Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MAN-YI-24
in Guam, Philippines

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone MAN-YI-24 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1001124
Name MAN-YI-24
Glide number: TC-2024-000208-PHL
From - To 09 Nov - 15 Nov
Exposed countries Guam, Philippines
Exposed population 9.5 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 231 km/h Category 4
Maximum storm surge 1.1 m (16 Nov 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC 231 km/h 1.1 m n.a. 2.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 212 km/h 0.7 m 637 mm 2.5
GFS 187 km/h n.a. 1216 mm 1.5
ECMWF 187 km/h 0.8 m 519 mm 1.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Philippines - Tropical Cyclone MAN-YI (ECHO 15 Nov 2024)Thu, 14 Nov 2024 12:06

  • A new tropical cyclone named MAN-YI that formed over the Pacific Ocean is moving over the central Philippines Sea westwards. On 14 November at 0.00 UTC, its centre was located over the sea,  approximately 150 km north of Colonia Island, Yap State, 510 km northeast of Palau island and 1,355 km east of the eastern coast Samar Islands, central Philippines with maximum sustained winds of 83 km/h (tropical storm).
  • Over the next 24 hours, MAN-YI is forecast to continue eastwards strengthening. On 15-16 November, it could turn north-eastwards and it could approach central and northern Philippines on 17 November as a very strong typhoon. 
  • MAN-YI will be the sixth tropical cyclone since 20 October which will affect the Philippines, particularly the central and northern regions.
  • For the next 24 hours, heavy rain and strong winds are forecast for the eastern islands of the Federated States of Micronesia.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Pepito now a typhoon; Ofel lowers strength to severe tropical storm 11/15/2024 4:16:00 AM.

Severe Tropical Storm Pepito (international name: Man-yi) gathers more strength and is now a typhoon, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa). In a bulletin on Friday, November
...(more)
Philippines braces for typhoon Man-yi as Usagi weakens 11/15/2024 4:08:00 AM.

MANILA – Typhoon Usagi weakened sharply on Friday after bearing down on the Philippines’ northern towns, blowing away houses in its path as authorities brace for another storm that could hit the capital Manila over the weekend. Usagi, known
...(more)
Philippines braces for typhoon Man-yi as Usagi weakens 11/15/2024 3:47:00 AM.

MANILA: Typhoon Usagi weakened sharply on Friday (Nov 15) after bearing down on the Philippines'' northern towns, blowing away houses in its path as authorities brace for another storm that could hit the capital Manila over the weekend. Usa
...(more)
Philippines braces for typhoon Man-yi as Usagi weakens 11/15/2024 3:44:00 AM.

This Himawari satellite handout image from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) website in collaboration with National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service (NOAA/NESDIS) and
...(more)

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), (2), WMO (1), INFORM (2),