Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MAN-YI-24
in Guam, Philippines

Global Telecommunication Service

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Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 150313
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Typhoon Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 25
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
113 PM ChST Fri Nov 15 2024

...MAN-YI UPGRADED TO TYPHOON...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
Man-yi upgraded to Typhoon.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...10.7N 131.3E

About 295 miles northwest of Kayangel
About 315 miles northwest of Koror
About 325 miles northwest of Peleliu
About 325 miles northwest of Angaur
About 455 miles west-northwest of Ngulu
About 470 miles west of Yap
About 580 miles west of Ulithi
About 930 miles west of Guam
About 1015 miles west-southwest of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...80 mph
Present movement...west...275 degrees at 18 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...the center of Typhoon Man-yi was located
near Latitude 10.7 degrees North and Longitude 131.3 degrees East.
Man-yi is moving west at 18 mph. It is expected to make a slight turn
toward the west-northwest with a slight decrease in forward speed
through Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 80 mph. Man-yi is forecast
to intensify through Saturday evening.

Typhoon force winds extend outward from the center up to 25 miles.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to 105
miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 800 PM ChST.

$$

Kleeschulte


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 150300
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 241115013750
2024111500 25W MAN-YI 025 02 275 16 SATL SYNP 010
T000 105N 1320E 070 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 065 SE QD 020 SW QD 075 NW QD
T012 113N 1292E 095 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 040 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 122N 1268E 110 R064 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 134N 1248E 125 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 145N 1228E 115 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 172N 1183E 060 R050 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 110 NW QD
T096 181N 1145E 050 R050 060 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 060 SE QD 080 SW QD 250 NW QD
T120 178N 1111E 035 R034 200 NE QD 020 SE QD 060 SW QD 110 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TYPHOON 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 025
1. TYPHOON 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 025
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 25W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150000Z --- NEAR 10.5N 132.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 132.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 11.3N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 12.2N 126.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 13.4N 124.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 14.5N 122.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 17.2N 118.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 18.1N 114.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 17.8N 111.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
150300Z POSITION NEAR 10.7N 131.3E.
15NOV24. TYPHOON 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 689 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 150000Z IS 976 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
150900Z, 151500Z, 152100Z AND 160300Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 27W (USAGI) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2524110612 81N1766E 15
2524110618 82N1757E 15
2524110700 82N1743E 15
2524110706 83N1730E 20
2524110712 84N1711E 20
2524110718 91N1691E 20
2524110800 102N1670E 20
2524110806 113N1651E 20
2524110812 122N1632E 20
2524110818 130N1609E 25
2524110900 137N1599E 30
2524110906 143N1591E 35
2524110912 149N1584E 40
2524110918 160N1566E 45
2524111000 160N1560E 45
2524111006 159N1553E 45
2524111012 158N1546E 45
2524111018 151N1538E 40
2524111100 150N1528E 35
2524111106 143N1523E 40
2524111112 142N1517E 40
2524111118 143N1504E 40
2524111200 141N1492E 40
2524111206 141N1475E 40
2524111212 139N1463E 40
2524111218 130N1450E 40
2524111300 126N1437E 35
2524111306 123N1426E 35
2524111312 119N1412E 35
2524111318 114N1395E 40
2524111400 109N1381E 45
2524111406 106N1366E 50
2524111406 106N1366E 50
2524111412 104N1350E 55
2524111412 104N1350E 55
2524111418 104N1336E 60
2524111418 104N1336E 60
2524111500 105N1320E 70
2524111500 105N1320E 70
2524111500 105N1320E 70
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 150300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 025//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 025
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 25W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150000Z --- NEAR 10.5N 132.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 132.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 11.3N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 12.2N 126.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 13.4N 124.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 14.5N 122.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 17.2N 118.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 18.1N 114.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 17.8N 111.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
150300Z POSITION NEAR 10.7N 131.3E.
15NOV24. TYPHOON 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 689 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 150000Z IS 976 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
150900Z, 151500Z, 152100Z AND 160300Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 27W (USAGI) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 142127
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 24
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
727 AM ChST Fri Nov 15 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY NORTHWEST OF
KAYANGEL...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...10.5N 132.9E

About 210 miles northwest of Kayangel
About 245 miles north-northwest of Koror
About 260 miles north-northwest of Peleliu
About 260 miles north-northwest of Angaur
About 350 miles west-northwest of Ngulu
About 360 miles west-northwest of Yap
About 470 miles west of Ulithi
About 830 miles west-southwest of Guam
About 920 miles west-southwest of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...70 mph
Present movement...west...270 degrees at 16 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 10.5 degrees North and Longitude
132.9 degrees East. Man-yi is moving west at 16 mph. It is
expected to make a slight turn toward the west-northwest with
little change in forward speed through Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 70 mph. Man-yi is
forecast to intensify through tonight possibly becoming a
typhoon.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
90 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 PM ChST.

$$

Doll


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 142100
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 241114201718
2024111418 25W MAN-YI 024 03 270 14 SATL SYNP 020
T000 104N 1336E 060 R050 035 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 000 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 109N 1307E 085 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 040 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 119N 1280E 100 R064 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 129N 1259E 115 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 141N 1240E 125 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 166N 1196E 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 110 NW QD
T096 180N 1157E 060 R050 060 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 060 SE QD 080 SW QD 250 NW QD
T120 179N 1123E 040 R034 200 NE QD 020 SE QD 060 SW QD 110 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 024
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 024
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141800Z --- NEAR 10.4N 133.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N 133.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 10.9N 130.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 11.9N 128.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 12.9N 125.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 14.1N 124.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 16.6N 119.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 18.0N 115.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 17.9N 112.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
142100Z POSITION NEAR 10.5N 132.9E.
14NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 192 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF KOROR, PALAU, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 141800Z IS
988 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 150300Z, 150900Z, 151500Z AND 152100Z. REFER TO TYPHOON
27W (USAGI) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2524110612 81N1766E 15
2524110618 82N1757E 15
2524110700 82N1743E 15
2524110706 83N1730E 20
2524110712 84N1711E 20
2524110718 91N1691E 20
2524110800 102N1670E 20
2524110806 113N1651E 20
2524110812 122N1632E 20
2524110818 130N1609E 25
2524110900 137N1599E 30
2524110906 143N1591E 35
2524110912 149N1584E 40
2524110918 160N1566E 45
2524111000 160N1560E 45
2524111006 159N1553E 45
2524111012 158N1546E 45
2524111018 151N1538E 40
2524111100 150N1528E 35
2524111106 143N1523E 40
2524111112 142N1517E 40
2524111118 143N1504E 40
2524111200 141N1492E 40
2524111206 141N1475E 40
2524111212 139N1463E 40
2524111218 130N1450E 40
2524111300 126N1437E 35
2524111306 123N1426E 35
2524111312 119N1412E 35
2524111318 114N1395E 40
2524111400 109N1381E 45
2524111406 106N1366E 50
2524111406 106N1366E 50
2524111412 104N1350E 55
2524111412 104N1350E 55
2524111418 104N1336E 60
2524111418 104N1336E 60
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 142100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 024//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 024
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141800Z --- NEAR 10.4N 133.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N 133.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 10.9N 130.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 11.9N 128.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 12.9N 125.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 14.1N 124.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 16.6N 119.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 18.0N 115.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 17.9N 112.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
142100Z POSITION NEAR 10.5N 132.9E.
14NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 192 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF KOROR, PALAU, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 141800Z IS
988 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 150300Z, 150900Z, 151500Z AND 152100Z. REFER TO TYPHOON
27W (USAGI) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 141513
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 23
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
113 AM ChST Fri Nov 15 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI GAINING STRENGTH AS IT MOVES WEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...10.6N 134.2E

About 175 miles north of Kayangel
About 225 miles north of Koror
About 250 miles north of Peleliu
About 255 miles north of Angaur
About 275 miles northwest of Ngulu
About 275 miles west-northwest of Yap
About 380 miles west of Ulithi
About 740 miles west-southwest of Guam
About 835 miles west-southwest of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...65 mph
Present movement...west...270 degrees at 18 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi was
located near Latitude 10.6 degrees North and Longitude 134.2 degrees
East. Man-yi is moving west at 18 mph. It is expected to turn slightly
toward the west-northwest with a slight decrease in forward speed
through Saturday. Man-yi is passing north of Koror and will likely
leave Micronesia tonight.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 65 mph. Man-yi is forecast
to intensify through Saturday possibly becoming a typhoon later today.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
90 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 AM ChST.

$$

Stanko


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 141500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 023//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 023
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141200Z --- NEAR 10.6N 135.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N 135.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 10.8N 132.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 11.4N 129.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 12.4N 126.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 13.5N 124.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 16.1N 120.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 18.1N 116.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 18.2N 113.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
141500Z POSITION NEAR 10.6N 134.2E.
14NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 854
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
141200Z IS 993 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS
23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z, 150300Z, 150900Z AND 151500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TORAJI) FINAL WARNING
(WTPN33 PGTW). REFER TO TYPHOON 27W (USAGI) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 141500
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 241114130903
2024111412 25W MAN-YI 023 03 270 16 SATL 040
T000 106N 1350E 055 R050 035 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 045 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 108N 1320E 075 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 040 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 114N 1293E 090 R064 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 124N 1269E 105 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 135N 1247E 125 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 161N 1208E 100 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 110 NW QD
T096 181N 1165E 075 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 060 SE QD 080 SW QD 250 NW QD
T120 182N 1137E 055 R050 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 020 SE QD 060 SW QD 110 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 023
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 023
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141200Z --- NEAR 10.6N 135.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N 135.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 10.8N 132.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 11.4N 129.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 12.4N 126.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 13.5N 124.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 16.1N 120.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 18.1N 116.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 18.2N 113.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
141500Z POSITION NEAR 10.6N 134.2E.
14NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 854
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
141200Z IS 993 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS
23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z, 150300Z, 150900Z AND 151500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TORAJI) FINAL WARNING
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
2524110612 81N1766E 15
2524110618 82N1757E 15
2524110700 82N1743E 15
2524110706 83N1730E 20
2524110712 84N1711E 20
2524110718 91N1691E 20
2524110800 102N1670E 20
2524110806 113N1651E 20
2524110812 122N1632E 20
2524110818 130N1609E 25
2524110900 137N1599E 30
2524110906 143N1591E 35
2524110912 149N1584E 40
2524110918 160N1566E 45
2524111000 160N1560E 45
2524111006 159N1553E 45
2524111012 158N1546E 45
2524111018 151N1538E 40
2524111100 150N1528E 35
2524111106 143N1523E 40
2524111112 142N1517E 40
2524111118 143N1504E 40
2524111200 141N1492E 40
2524111206 141N1475E 40
2524111212 139N1463E 40
2524111218 130N1450E 40
2524111300 126N1437E 35
2524111306 123N1426E 35
2524111312 119N1412E 35
2524111318 116N1395E 40
2524111400 110N1381E 45
2524111406 106N1366E 50
2524111406 106N1366E 50
2524111412 106N1350E 55
2524111412 106N1350E 55
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 140855
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 22
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
655 PM ChST Thu Nov 14 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...10.6N 135.8E

About 175 miles west-northwest of Yap
About 190 miles north-northeast of Kayangel
About 195 miles northwest of Ngulu
About 240 miles north-northeast of Koror
About 275 miles west of Ulithi
About 325 miles west of Fais
About 640 miles west-southwest of Guam
About 735 miles west-southwest of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...60 mph
Present movement...west-southwest...255 degrees at 17 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 10.6 degrees North and Longitude
135.8 degrees East. Man-yi is moving west-southwest at 17 mph. It
is expected to make a slight turn toward the west with little
change in forward speed through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 60 mph. Man-yi is
forecast to intensify through Friday possibly becoming a typhoon.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
90 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 AM ChST early Friday morning.

$$

Bowsher


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 140900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 022//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 022
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140600Z --- NEAR 10.6N 136.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N 136.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 10.6N 133.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 11.0N 130.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 11.8N 128.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 12.9N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 15.3N 121.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 17.3N 117.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 18.3N 113.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
140900Z POSITION NEAR 10.6N 135.8E.
14NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 110
NM NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 140600Z IS
996 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 23 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z, 142100Z, 150300Z AND 150900Z. REFER
TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TORAJI) FINAL WARNING (WTPN33 PGTW).
REFER TO TYPHOON 27W (USAGI) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 140900
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 241114070608
2024111406 25W MAN-YI 022 03 255 15 SATL 040
T000 106N 1366E 050 R050 035 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 045 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 106N 1335E 065 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 040 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 110N 1306E 085 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 040 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 118N 1280E 105 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 129N 1258E 125 R064 030 NE QD 015 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 153N 1217E 110 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 090 NW QD
T096 173N 1174E 075 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 280 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 250 NW QD
T120 183N 1135E 055 R050 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 030 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 020 SE QD 050 SW QD 110 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 022
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 022
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140600Z --- NEAR 10.6N 136.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.6N 136.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 10.6N 133.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 11.0N 130.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 11.8N 128.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 12.9N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 15.3N 121.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 17.3N 117.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 18.3N 113.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
140900Z POSITION NEAR 10.6N 135.8E.
14NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 110
NM NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 140600Z IS
996 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 23 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z, 142100Z, 150300Z AND 150900Z. REFER
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
2524110612 81N1766E 15
2524110618 82N1757E 15
2524110700 82N1743E 15
2524110706 83N1730E 20
2524110712 84N1711E 20
2524110718 91N1691E 20
2524110800 102N1670E 20
2524110806 113N1651E 20
2524110812 122N1632E 20
2524110818 130N1609E 25
2524110900 137N1599E 30
2524110906 143N1591E 35
2524110912 149N1584E 40
2524110918 160N1566E 45
2524111000 160N1560E 45
2524111006 159N1553E 45
2524111012 158N1546E 45
2524111018 151N1538E 40
2524111100 150N1528E 35
2524111106 143N1523E 40
2524111112 142N1517E 40
2524111118 143N1504E 40
2524111200 141N1492E 40
2524111206 141N1475E 40
2524111212 139N1463E 40
2524111218 130N1450E 40
2524111300 126N1437E 35
2524111306 123N1426E 35
2524111312 119N1412E 35
2524111318 116N1395E 40
2524111400 110N1381E 45
2524111406 106N1366E 50
2524111406 106N1366E 50
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 140340
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 21
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
140 PM ChST Thu Nov 14 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI INTENSIFYING NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP...
...MAN-YI HAS JUST MADE CLOSEST POINT OF APPROACH TO YAP...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...11.1N 137.0E

About 135 miles north-northwest of Yap
About 205 miles west-northwest of Ulithi
About 255 miles west-northwest of Fais
About 550 miles west-southwest of Guam
About 650 miles west-southwest of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...50 mph
Present movement...west-southwest...255 degrees at 20 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi was
located near Latitude 11.1 degrees North and Longitude 137.0 degrees
East. Man-yi is continuing its rapid west-southwestward motion, now
at 20 mph, but is expected to turn westward overnight and then begin
a turn to the west-northwest later Friday with only a slight decrease
in forward speed as it continues to head into the open waters of the
Philippine Sea.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 50 mph and Man-yi is
forecast to intensify, possibly rapidly, the next couple of days.
Man-yi could become a typhoon as early as this evening.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
120 miles to the southeast and up to 80 miles elsewhere.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 PM this evening.

$$

W. Aydlett


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 140300
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 241114012954
2024111400 25W MAN-YI 021 03 255 17 SATL SYNP 020
T000 112N 1378E 045 R034 065 NE QD 105 SE QD 070 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 109N 1346E 065 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 111N 1315E 085 R064 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 090 SE QD 040 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 117N 1288E 105 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 128N 1264E 125 R064 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 151N 1224E 110 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD
T096 176N 1179E 065 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 220 NW QD
T120 185N 1141E 060 R050 080 NE QD 010 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 340 NE QD 070 SE QD 090 SW QD 180 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 021
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 021
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140000Z --- NEAR 11.2N 137.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N 137.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 10.9N 134.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 11.1N 131.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 11.7N 128.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 12.8N 126.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 15.1N 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 17.6N 117.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 18.5N 114.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
140300Z POSITION NEAR 11.1N 137.0E.
14NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 104 NM
NORTH OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 140000Z IS 1000 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
140900Z, 141500Z, 142100Z AND 150300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION
26W (TORAJI) FINAL WARNING (WTPN33 PGTW). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON 27W
(USAGI) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2524110612 81N1766E 15
2524110618 82N1757E 15
2524110700 82N1743E 15
2524110706 83N1730E 20
2524110712 84N1711E 20
2524110718 91N1691E 20
2524110800 102N1670E 20
2524110806 113N1651E 20
2524110812 122N1632E 20
2524110818 130N1609E 25
2524110900 137N1599E 30
2524110906 143N1591E 35
2524110912 149N1584E 40
2524110918 160N1566E 45
2524111000 160N1560E 45
2524111006 159N1553E 45
2524111012 158N1546E 45
2524111018 151N1538E 40
2524111100 150N1528E 35
2524111106 143N1523E 40
2524111112 142N1517E 40
2524111118 143N1504E 40
2524111200 141N1492E 40
2524111206 141N1475E 40
2524111212 139N1463E 40
2524111218 130N1450E 40
2524111300 126N1437E 35
2524111306 123N1426E 35
2524111312 119N1412E 35
2524111318 116N1395E 40
2524111400 112N1378E 45
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 140300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 021//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 021
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140000Z --- NEAR 11.2N 137.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N 137.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 10.9N 134.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 11.1N 131.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 11.7N 128.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 12.8N 126.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 15.1N 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 17.6N 117.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 18.5N 114.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
140300Z POSITION NEAR 11.1N 137.0E.
14NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 104 NM
NORTH OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 140000Z IS 1000 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
140900Z, 141500Z, 142100Z AND 150300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION
26W (TORAJI) FINAL WARNING (WTPN33 PGTW). REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON 27W
(USAGI) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 132109
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 20
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
709 AM ChST Thu Nov 14 2024

...INTENSIFYING TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI TO PASS JUST NORTH OF YAP
TODAY...
...MAN-YI COULD BEGIN TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY LATER TODAY...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None. However...residents of Yap and Ulithi should closely
monitor the progress of Tropical Storm Man-yi through at least
tonight as it passes to the north.

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...11.4N 138.7E

About 120 miles northwest of Ulithi
About 140 miles north-northeast of Yap
About 165 miles northwest of Fais
About 435 miles west-southwest of Guam
About 535 miles west-southwest of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...45 mph
Present movement...west...260 degrees at 20 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi was
located near Latitude 11.4 degrees North and Longitude 138.7 degrees
East. Man-yi is moving west at 20 mph. It is expected to maintain
this general course today before turning west overnight and Friday
with a slight decrease in forward speed. This current track has not
dropped any further south than the prior forecast track and maintains
a close-by approach of Man-yi just to the north of Yap Island around
midday today.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 45 mph. Man-yi is forecast
to intensify through Friday, possibly beginning a phase of rapid
intensification later today. Man-yi could become a typhoon by this
evening.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
145 miles to the north with no damaging winds to the south.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 200 PM.

$$

Stanko


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 132100
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 241113195028
2024111318 25W MAN-YI 020 03 260 17 SATL 015
T000 116N 1395E 040 R034 125 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 110N 1364E 065 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 111N 1333E 085 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 070 SE QD 030 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 115N 1302E 105 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 090 SE QD 040 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 123N 1277E 125 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 090 SE QD 050 SW QD 110 NW QD
T072 143N 1233E 110 R064 040 NE QD 000 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 167N 1191E 080 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 170 NW QD
T120 184N 1150E 065 R064 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 010 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 310 NE QD 050 SE QD 070 SW QD 220 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 020
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 020
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
131800Z --- NEAR 11.6N 139.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N 139.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 11.0N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 11.1N 133.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 11.5N 130.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 12.3N 127.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 14.3N 123.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 16.7N 119.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 18.4N 115.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
132100Z POSITION NEAR 11.4N 138.7E.
13NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 151 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 131800Z IS 1001 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 140300Z, 140900Z, 141500Z AND 142100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 26W
(TORAJI) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO SUPER
TYPHOON 27W (USAGI) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2524110612 81N1766E 15
2524110618 82N1757E 15
2524110700 82N1743E 15
2524110706 83N1730E 20
2524110712 84N1711E 20
2524110718 91N1691E 20
2524110800 102N1670E 20
2524110806 113N1651E 20
2524110812 122N1632E 20
2524110818 130N1609E 25
2524110900 137N1599E 30
2524110906 143N1591E 35
2524110912 149N1584E 40
2524110918 160N1566E 45
2524111000 160N1560E 45
2524111006 159N1553E 45
2524111012 158N1546E 45
2524111018 151N1538E 40
2524111100 150N1528E 35
2524111106 143N1523E 40
2524111112 142N1517E 40
2524111118 143N1504E 40
2524111200 141N1492E 40
2524111206 141N1475E 40
2524111212 139N1463E 40
2524111218 130N1450E 40
2524111300 126N1437E 35
2524111306 123N1426E 35
2524111312 119N1412E 35
2524111318 116N1395E 40
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 132100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 020//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 020
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
131800Z --- NEAR 11.6N 139.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N 139.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 11.0N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 11.1N 133.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 11.5N 130.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 12.3N 127.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 14.3N 123.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 16.7N 119.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 18.4N 115.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
132100Z POSITION NEAR 11.4N 138.7E.
13NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 151 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 131800Z IS 1001 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 140300Z, 140900Z, 141500Z AND 142100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 26W
(TORAJI) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO SUPER
TYPHOON 27W (USAGI) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 131814 RRA
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 19...Retransmitted
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
123 AM ChST Thu Nov 14 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR YAP...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None. However...residents of Yap and Ulithi should closely monitor
the progress of Tropical Storm Man-yi through at least tonight.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...11.7N 140.4E

About 125 miles north-northeast of Ulithi
About 135 miles north of Fais
About 220 miles northeast of Yap
About 320 miles west-southwest of Guam
About 365 miles west-southwest of Rota
About 420 miles west-southwest of Tinian
About 430 miles west-southwest of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...40 mph
Present movement...west-southwest...255 degrees at 16 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi was
located near Latitude 11.7 degrees North and Longitude 140.4 degrees
East. Man-yi is moving west-southwest at 16 mph. It is expected to
turn slightly toward the west with little change in forward speed
through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 40 mph. Man-yi is forecast to
intensify through Friday, possibly becoming a typhoon well west of
Yap.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to 145
miles to the north with no tropical storm force winds to the south.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 AM ChST.

$$

Stanko


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 131800
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 19
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
400 AM ChST Thu Nov 14 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None. |*Any significant changes? Please describe here.*|

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.
|*Recommend a TS warning for Ulithi Fais Yap *|

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...11.7N 140.4E

About 125 miles north-northeast of Ulithi
About 135 miles north of Fais
About 220 miles northeast of Yap
About 320 miles west-southwest of Guam
About 365 miles west-southwest of Rota
About 420 miles west-southwest of Tinian
About 430 miles west-southwest of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...40 mph
Present movement...west-southwest...255 degrees at 16 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 11.7 degrees North and Longitude
140.4 degrees East. Man-yi is moving west-southwest at 16 mph. It
is expected to make a slight turn toward the west with little
change in forward speed through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 40 mph. Man-yi is forecast to
intensify through Friday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
145 miles to the northeast and up to 90 miles elsewhere.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 AM ChST.

$$

|*Name*|


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 131523
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 19
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
123 AM ChST Thu Nov 14 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR YAP...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None. However...residents of Yap and Ulithi should closely monitor
the progress of Tropical Storm Man-yi through at least tonight.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...11.7N 140.4E

About 125 miles north-northeast of Ulithi
About 135 miles north of Fais
About 220 miles northeast of Yap
About 320 miles west-southwest of Guam
About 365 miles west-southwest of Rota
About 420 miles west-southwest of Tinian
About 430 miles west-southwest of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...40 mph
Present movement...west-southwest...255 degrees at 16 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi was
located near Latitude 11.7 degrees North and Longitude 140.4 degrees
East. Man-yi is moving west-southwest at 16 mph. It is expected to
turn slightly toward the west with little change in forward speed
through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 40 mph. Man-yi is forecast to
intensify through Friday, possibly becoming a typhoon well west of
Yap.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to 145
miles to the north with no tropical storm force winds to the south.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 AM ChST.

$$

Stanko


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 130905
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 18
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
705 PM ChST Wed Nov 13 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...12.2N 142.0E

About 195 miles north-northeast of Fais
About 205 miles west-southwest of Guam
About 210 miles northeast of Ulithi
About 255 miles west-southwest of Rota
About 310 miles southwest of Tinian
About 320 miles southwest of Saipan
About 325 miles northeast of Yap

Maximum sustained winds...40 mph
Present movement...west-southwest...255 degrees at 13 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 12.2 degrees North and Longitude
142.0 degrees East. Man-yi is moving west-southwest at 13 mph. It
is expected to make a slight turn toward the west with a slight
increase in forward speed through Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 40 mph. Man-yi is forecast to
intensify through at least Thursday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
90 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 AM ChST early Thursday morning.

$$

Bowsher


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 130505
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Special Advisory Number 17A
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
305 PM ChST Wed Nov 13 2024

Updated to issue a special advisory for the weakened
intensity in JTWC's amended bulletin.

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...12.5N 142.8E

About 150 miles west-southwest of Guam
About 200 miles southwest of Rota
About 245 miles northeast of Fais
About 255 miles southwest of Tinian
About 265 miles southwest of Saipan
About 265 miles northeast of Ulithi
About 380 miles east-northeast of Yap

Maximum sustained winds...40 mph
Present movement...west-southwest...255 degrees at 18 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 12.5 degrees North and Longitude
142.8 degrees East. Man-yi is moving west-southwest at 18 mph. It
is expected to make a slight turn toward the west with a slight
decrease in forward speed through Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to 40 mph. This decrease in
maximum wind speed was based on timely satellite-derived ocean
surface wind speed data. Although Man-yi has weakened in recent
hours, it is expected to resume a slow intensification overnight,
and could still become a typhoon Thursday night or early Friday
as it moves farther into the Philippine Sea.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
90 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 800 PM ChST.

$$

Doll/W. Aydlett


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 130453 AAA
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 17...UPDATED
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
253 PM ChST Wed Nov 13 2024

Updated for an adjustment by JTWC to lower the storm intensity.

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...12.5N 142.8E

About 150 miles west-southwest of Guam
About 200 miles southwest of Rota
About 245 miles northeast of Fais
About 255 miles southwest of Tinian
About 265 miles southwest of Saipan
About 265 miles northeast of Ulithi
About 380 miles east-northeast of Yap

Maximum sustained winds...40 mph
Present movement...west-southwest...255 degrees at 18 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 12.5 degrees North and Longitude
142.8 degrees East. Man-yi is moving west-southwest at 18 mph. It
is expected to make a slight turn toward the west with a slight
decrease in forward speed through Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to 40 mph. This decrease in
maximum wind speed was based on timely satellite-derived ocean
surface wind speed data. Although Man-yi has weakened in recent
hours, it is expected to resume a slow intensification overnight,
and could still become a typhoon Thursday night or early Friday
as it moves farther into the Philippine Sea.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
90 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 800 PM ChST.

$$

Doll/W. Aydlett


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 130300 AMD
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 017A AMENDED//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 017A AMENDED
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
130000Z --- NEAR 12.6N 143.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.6N 143.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 12.1N 140.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 11.6N 138.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 11.3N 134.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 11.6N 131.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 13.4N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 16.0N 123.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 18.3N 119.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
130300Z POSITION NEAR 12.5N 142.8E.
13NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 85 NM
SOUTHWEST OF NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 16
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 130000Z IS 995 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
130900Z, 131500Z, 132100Z AND 140300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24W (YINXING) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 26W (TORAJI) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TYPHOON 27W (USAGI) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT: UPDATED INITIAL INTENSITY AND
TAU 12 FORECAST INTENSITY.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 130415 CCA
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN...CORRECTED
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 17
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
215 PM ChST Wed Nov 13 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...12.5N 142.8E

About 150 miles west-southwest of Guam
About 200 miles southwest of Rota
About 245 miles northeast of Fais
About 255 miles southwest of Tinian
About 265 miles southwest of Saipan
About 265 miles northeast of Ulithi
About 380 miles east-northeast of Yap

Maximum sustained winds...50 mph
Present movement...west-southwest...255 degrees at 18 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 12.5 degrees North and Longitude
142.8 degrees East. Man-yi is moving west-southwest at 18 mph. It
is expected to make a slight turn toward the west with a slight
decrease in forward speed through Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 50 mph. Man-yi is forecast to
intensify through tonight.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
90 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 800 PM ChST.

$$

Doll


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 130355
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 17
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
155 PM ChST Wed Nov 13 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
The tropical storm warning for Rota, Guam and their adjacent
coastal waters has been cancelled. Tropical storm force winds
are no longer expected, though strong gusts will persist into
the afternoon hours. Folks in Yap State should closely monitor
later advisories for Man-yi as it drops a little further s
north and passes to the north of Yap Thursday.


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...12.5N 142.8E

About 150 miles west-southwest of Guam
About 200 miles southwest of Rota
About 245 miles northeast of Fais
About 255 miles southwest of Tinian
About 265 miles southwest of Saipan
About 265 miles northeast of Ulithi
About 380 miles east-northeast of Yap

Maximum sustained winds...50 mph
Present movement...west-southwest...255 degrees at 18 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 12.5 degrees North and Longitude
142.8 degrees East. Man-yi is moving west-southwest at 18 mph. It
is expected to make a slight turn toward the west with a slight
decrease in forward speed through Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 50 mph. Man-yi is forecast to
intensify through tonight.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
90 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 500 PM ChST followed by the next scheduled advisory at
800 PM ChST.

$$

Doll


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 130102
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Intermediate Advisory Number 16A
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
1102 AM ChST Wed Nov 13 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI RAPIDLY MOVING AWAY FROM GUAM...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR GUAM AND ROTA ARE CANCELLED...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
The tropical storm warning for Guam, Rota, and adjacent coastal
waters has been cancelled.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
The tropical storm warning for Rota, Guam and their adjacent
coastal waters has been canceled. Tropical storm force winds
are no longer expected, though strong gusts will persist into
the afternoon hours.

Folks in Yap State should closely monitor later advisories for
Man-yi as it drops a little further south and passes to the north
of Yap Thursday.

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CHST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
------------------------------------------------
Location...12.6N 143.4E

About 110 miles west-southwest of Guam
About 165 miles southwest of Rota
About 225 miles southwest of Tinian
About 235 miles southwest of Saipan
About 300 miles northeast of Ulithi
About 420 miles east-northeast of Yap

Maximum sustained winds...50 mph
Present movement...southwest...235 degrees at 18 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CHST...0000 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi was
located near Latitude 12.6 degrees North and Longitude 143.4 degrees
East. Man-yi continues to move quickly to the southwest at 18 mph.
It is expected to make a turn toward the west- southwest later today
with little change in forward speed. Man-yi is expected to pass well
to the north of Yap on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 50 mph. Man-yi is forecast to
intensify the next couple of days, possibly becoming a typhoon to
the north of Yap Thursday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
85 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 PM this afternoon.

$$

W. Aydlett


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 122142
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 16
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
742 AM ChST Wed Nov 13 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI MOVING AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
The Tropical Storm Warning for Tinian and Saipan is canceled as of
800 AM ChST.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
The Tropical Storm Warning for Tinian and Saipan is canceled as of
800 AM ChST. Tropical Storm force winds are no longer expected for
Tinian, Saipan, or surrounding waters.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect for Guam and Rota.
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions
including winds of 39 mph or greater are imminent or occurring this
morning.

Residents of Yap and Ulithi should carefully monitor the progress of
Tropical Storm Man-yi.

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...12.9N 144.4E

About 50 miles southwest of Guam
About 105 miles south-southwest of Rota
About 165 miles south-southwest of Tinian
About 175 miles south-southwest of Saipan
About 370 miles east-northeast of Ulithi
About 490 miles east-northeast of Yap
About 775 miles east-northeast of Koror

Maximum sustained winds...50 mph
Present movement...southwest...235 degrees at 18 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi was
located near Latitude 12.9 degrees North and Longitude 144.4 degrees
East. Man-yi is moving southwest at 18 mph. It is expected to turn
toward the west with a slight decrease in forward speed through
Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 50 mph. Man-yi is forecast to
intensify through Thursday, possibly becoming a typhoon just north of
Yap.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
85 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 1100 AM ChST followed by the next scheduled advisory
at 200 PM ChST.

$$

Stanko


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 121923
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Intermediate Advisory Number 15A
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
523 AM ChST Wed Nov 13 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI PASSING SOUTH OF GUAM...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A tropical storm warning remains in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian,
and Saipan. A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm
conditions including winds of 39 mph or greater are expected early
this morning.

SUMMARY OF 500 AM CHST...1900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...12.8N 144.7E

About 45 miles south of Guam
About 100 miles south-southwest of Rota
About 165 miles south-southwest of Tinian
About 175 miles south-southwest of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...50 mph
Present movement...west...245 degrees at 18 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM CHST...1900 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi was
located near Latitude 12.8 degrees North and Longitude 144.7 degrees
East. Man-yi is moving west-southwest at 18 mph. It is expected to
turn slightly toward the west with little change in forward speed
through Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 50 mph. Man-yi is forecast to
intensify through Thursday, possibly becoming a typhoon.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
85 miles to the northeast and up to 50 miles elsewhere.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 800 AM ChST followed by an intermediate advisory at 1100
AM ChST.

$$

Stanko


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 121537
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 15
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
137 AM ChST Wed Nov 13 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI MOVING WEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A tropical storm warning remains in effect for Guam, Rota,
Tinian, and Saipan. A tropical storm warning means that tropical
storm conditions including winds of 39 mph or greater are
expected to develop early Wednesday morning.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...13.4N 145.7E

About 60 miles south-southeast of Rota
About 60 miles east of Guam
About 110 miles south of Tinian
About 120 miles south of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...50 mph
Present movement...west...270 degrees at 19 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi was
located near Latitude 13.4 degrees North and Longitude 145.7 degrees
East. Man-yi is moving west at 19 mph. It is expected to maintain
this general course with a decrease in forward speed through Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 50 mph. Man-yi is forecast
to intensify slowly through Thursday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
85 miles to the northeast and up to 50 miles elsewhere.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 500 AM ChST followed by the next scheduled advisory at
800 AM ChST.

$$

Stanko


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 121318
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Intermediate Advisory Number 14A
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
1118 PM ChST Tue Nov 12 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI EAST OF GUAM MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A tropical storm warning remains in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian, and
Saipan. A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm
conditions including winds of 39 mph or greater are expected to
develop early Wednesday morning.

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CHST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
------------------------------------------------
Location...13.2N 146.3E

About 100 miles east of Guam
About 100 miles southeast of Rota
About 130 miles south-southeast of Tinian
About 140 miles south-southeast of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...45 mph
Present movement...west-southwest...240 degrees at 12 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CHST...1200 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi was
estimated by radar to be near Latitude 13.2 degrees North and
Longitude 146.3 degrees East. Man-yi is moving west-southwest at
12 mph. It is expected to turn slightly toward the west with little
change in forward speed through Wednesday. The current forecast has
Man-yi moving through the Rota Channel, however the current southward
deviation could bring it near or even south of Guam.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 45 mph. Man-yi is forecast to
intensify slowly through Wednesday. Man-yi could pass near Guam as a
50 mph tropical storm.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
85 miles to the northeast and up to 50 miles elsewhere.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 AM ChST early Wednesday morning followed
by an intermediate advisory at 500 AM ChST.

$$

Stanko


Original Message :

WTJP23 RJTD 121200
WARNING 121200.
WARNING VALID 131200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2424 MAN-YI (2424) 1002 HPA
AT 13.5N 146.5E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 16 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 13.5N 144.6E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 13.1N 142.0E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 12.2N 136.0E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 13.1N 129.9E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 15.3N 125.7E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 17.2N 123.1E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 120937
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 14
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
737 PM ChST Tue Nov 12 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI MOVING TOWARDS THE ROTA CHANNEL...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A tropical storm warning is in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian, and
Saipan. A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm
conditions including winds of 39 mph or greater are expected to
develop early Wednesday morning.


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...14.0N 147.1E

About 120 miles southeast of Tinian
About 120 miles southeast of Saipan
About 125 miles east of Rota
About 160 miles east-northeast of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...45 mph
Present movement...west...270 degrees at 18 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 14.0 degrees North and Longitude
147.1 degrees East. Man-yi is moving west at 18 mph. It is
expected to maintain this general course with a slight decrease
in forward speed through Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 45 mph. Man-yi is forecast to
intensify through Wednesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
85 miles to the northeast and up to 50 miles elsewhere.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 1100 PM ChST followed by the next scheduled advisory
at 200 AM ChST early Wednesday morning.

$$

Williams


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 120706
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Special Advisory Number 12A
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
506 PM ChST Tue Nov 12 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST TOWARD ROTA...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM, ROTA, TINIAN, AND
SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A tropical storm warning is in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian, and
Saipan. A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions
including winds of 39 mph or greater are expected to develop early
Wednesday morning.

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CHST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...14.1N 147.6E

About 145 miles east-southeast of Saipan
About 145 miles east-southeast of Tinian
About 160 miles east of Rota
About 195 miles east-northeast of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...45 mph
Present movement...west...265 degrees at 18 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CHST...0600 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 14.1 degrees North and Longitude
147.6 degrees East. Man-yi is moving west at 18 mph. It is
expected to maintain this general course with a decrease in
forward speed through Wednesday, making a pass near Rota Wednesday
afternoon through Wednesday night.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 45 mph. Man-yi is forecast to
intensify through Wednesday, passing near Rota as a strong tropical
storm.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
70 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 PM ChST early Wednesday morning followed
by an intermediate advisory at 1100 PM ChST.

$$

DeCou


Original Message :

WTJP23 RJTD 120600
WARNING 120600.
WARNING VALID 130600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2424 MAN-YI (2424) 1002 HPA
AT 14.2N 147.7E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 17 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 13.6N 145.8E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 13.4N 143.5E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 12.1N 137.6E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 12.6N 131.1E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 14.7N 126.4E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 17.1N 123.6E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 120305
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 13
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
105 PM ChST Tue Nov 12 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI MOVING WEST TOWARD GUAM...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A tropical storm warning is in effect for Guam and Rota. A
tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions
including winds of 39 mph or greater are expected within
24 hours.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for Tinian
and Saipan. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm
conditions including winds of 39 mph or greater are possible as
early as late tonight or Wednesday.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...14.1N 148.7E

About 210 miles east-southeast of Saipan
About 215 miles east-southeast of Tinian
About 230 miles east of Rota
About 265 miles east of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...45 mph
Present movement...west...265 degrees at 18 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 14.1 degrees North and Longitude
148.7 degrees East. Man-yi is moving west at 18 mph. It is
expected to maintain this general course with a slight decrease in
forward speed through Wednesday, making a pass near Guam Wednesday
afternoon through Wednesday night.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 45 mph. Man-yi is forecast to
intensify through Wednesday, passing near Guam as a strong tropical
storm.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
70 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 500 PM ChST followed by the next scheduled advisory at
800 PM ChST.

$$

DeCou


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 120300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 013
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120000Z --- NEAR 14.1N 149.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N 149.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 14.0N 147.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 13.8N 144.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 13.4N 142.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 12.9N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 12.9N 132.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 14.7N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 16.7N 125.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
120300Z POSITION NEAR 14.1N 148.7E.
12NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 271
NM EAST OF NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 120000Z IS 994 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
120900Z, 121500Z, 122100Z AND 130300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (YINXING) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 26W (TORAJI) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 27W (USAGI) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 120300
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 241112014344
2024111200 25W MAN-YI 013 04 265 16 SATL 060
T000 141N 1492E 040 R034 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD
T012 140N 1472E 045 R034 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 138N 1449E 045 R034 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 134N 1423E 050 R050 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 129N 1393E 060 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 129N 1327E 090 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD
T096 147N 1278E 100 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD
T120 167N 1250E 090 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 013
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 013
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120000Z --- NEAR 14.1N 149.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N 149.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 14.0N 147.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 13.8N 144.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 13.4N 142.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 12.9N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 12.9N 132.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 14.7N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 16.7N 125.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
120300Z POSITION NEAR 14.1N 148.7E.
12NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 271
NM EAST OF NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 120000Z IS 994 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
120900Z, 121500Z, 122100Z AND 130300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
2524110612 81N1766E 15
2524110618 82N1757E 15
2524110700 82N1743E 15
2524110706 83N1730E 20
2524110712 84N1711E 20
2524110718 91N1691E 20
2524110800 102N1670E 20
2524110806 113N1651E 20
2524110812 122N1632E 20
2524110818 130N1609E 25
2524110900 137N1599E 30
2524110906 143N1591E 35
2524110912 149N1584E 40
2524110918 160N1566E 45
2524111000 160N1560E 45
2524111006 159N1553E 45
2524111012 158N1546E 45
2524111018 151N1538E 40
2524111100 150N1528E 35
2524111106 143N1523E 40
2524111112 142N1517E 40
2524111118 142N1508E 40
2524111200 141N1492E 40
NNNN


Original Message :

WTJP23 RJTD 120000
WARNING 120000.
WARNING VALID 130000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2424 MAN-YI (2424) 1000 HPA
AT 13.6N 149.8E MARIANAS MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 14.0N 147.6E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 13.8N 145.3E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 12.9N 139.7E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 13.0N 133.0E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160000UTC AT 15.1N 128.0E WITH 125 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 17.5N 125.6E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 120102
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Intermediate Advisory Number 12A
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
1102 AM ChST Tue Nov 12 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST TOWARD GUAM...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A tropical storm warning is in effect for Guam and Rota. A
tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions
including winds of 39 mph or greater are expected within
24 hours.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for Tinian and Saipan. A
tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions
including winds of 39 mph or greater are possible as early
as late tonight or Wednesday.

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CHST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...14.0N 149.2E

About 245 miles east-southeast of Saipan
About 250 miles east-southeast of Tinian
About 265 miles east of Rota
About 300 miles east of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...45 mph
Present movement...west-southwest...255 degrees at 8 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CHST...0000 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 14.0 degrees North and Longitude
149.2 degrees East. Man-yi is moving west-southwest at 8 mph. It
is expected to make a slight turn toward the west with an
increase in forward speed through Wednesday, and is anticipated to
pass near Guam Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday night.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 45 mph. Man-yi is forecast to
intensify through Wednesday, passing near Guam as a strong tropical
storm.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
70 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 PM ChST followed by an intermediate
advisory at 500 PM ChST.

$$

DeCou


Original Message :

WTPQ52 RJTD 112100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 112100UTC 13.7N 150.3E FAIR
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
12HF 120900UTC 14.4N 148.0E 45NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 122100UTC 14.3N 145.8E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 131800UTC 13.4N 140.9E 100NM 70%
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 141800UTC 12.8N 134.5E 120NM 70%
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
93HF 151800UTC 14.2N 128.7E 150NM 70%
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
117HF 161800UTC 16.7N 125.7E 180NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 112152
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 12
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
752 AM ChST Tue Nov 12 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for Guam and Rota.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A tropical storm warning is in effect for Guam and Rota, and a
tropical storm watch remains in effect for Tinian and Saipan. A
tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions including
winds of 39 mph or greater are expected within 24 hours. A tropical
storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible as early
as late tonight or Wednesday.

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...14.0N 150.5E

About 330 miles east-southeast of Saipan
About 330 miles east-southeast of Tinian
About 350 miles east of Rota
About 360 miles east-southeast of Anatahan
About 385 miles east of Guam
About 400 miles southeast of Alamagan
About 460 miles north of Chuuk

Maximum sustained winds...45 mph
Present movement...west-southwest...255 degrees at 8 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 14.0 degrees North and Longitude
150.5 degrees East. Man-yi is moving west-southwest at 8 mph. It
is expected to make a slight turn toward the west with an
increase in forward speed through Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 45 mph. Man-yi is forecast to
intensify slowly through Wednesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
70 miles to the north and 45 miles to the south.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 1100 AM ChST followed by the next scheduled advisory
at 200 PM ChST.

$$

DeCou/Stanko


Original Message :

WTPQ32 RJTD 111800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.12 FOR TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MAN-YI IS LOCATED AT 13.8N, 151.1E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS
STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST
SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS HAVE GATHERED AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS
AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL
HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND DRY AIR.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 112100
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 241111192624
2024111118 25W MAN-YI 012 04 255 07 SATL 060
T000 140N 1510E 040 R034 060 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD
T012 139N 1491E 045 R034 070 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 137N 1469E 045 R034 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 133N 1445E 050 R050 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 127N 1416E 055 R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 122N 1352E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 135N 1297E 090 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD
T120 156N 1264E 090 R064 010 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 012
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 012
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111800Z --- NEAR 14.0N 151.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N 151.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 13.9N 149.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 13.7N 146.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 13.3N 144.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 12.7N 141.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 12.2N 135.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 13.5N 129.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 15.6N 126.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
112100Z POSITION NEAR 14.0N 150.5E.
11NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 375
NM EAST OF NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 111800Z IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
120300Z, 120900Z, 121500Z AND 122100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
2524110612 81N1766E 15
2524110618 82N1757E 15
2524110700 82N1743E 15
2524110706 83N1730E 20
2524110712 84N1711E 20
2524110718 91N1691E 20
2524110800 102N1670E 20
2524110806 113N1651E 20
2524110812 122N1632E 20
2524110818 130N1609E 25
2524110900 137N1599E 30
2524110906 143N1591E 35
2524110912 149N1584E 40
2524110918 160N1566E 45
2524111000 160N1560E 45
2524111006 159N1553E 45
2524111012 158N1546E 45
2524111018 151N1538E 40
2524111100 150N1528E 35
2524111106 142N1523E 40
2524111112 142N1517E 40
2524111118 140N1510E 40
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 112100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 012
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111800Z --- NEAR 14.0N 151.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N 151.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 13.9N 149.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 13.7N 146.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 13.3N 144.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 12.7N 141.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 12.2N 135.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 13.5N 129.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 15.6N 126.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
112100Z POSITION NEAR 14.0N 150.5E.
11NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 375
NM EAST OF NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 111800Z IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
120300Z, 120900Z, 121500Z AND 122100Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 24W (YINXING) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 26W (TORAJI) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 27W (TWENTYSEVEN) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 111905
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Intermediate Advisory Number 11A
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
505 AM ChST Tue Nov 12 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI NOW MOVING WEST TOWARD THE MARIANAS...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian,
and Saipan. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm
conditions including winds of 39 mph or greater are possible as
early as late tonight or Wednesday.

SUMMARY OF 400 AM CHST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...14.0N 151.0E

About 360 miles east-southeast of Saipan
About 365 miles east of Tinian
About 385 miles east of Rota
About 390 miles east-southeast of Anatahan
About 420 miles east of Guam
About 425 miles southeast of Alamagan
About 455 miles north of Chuuk
About 690 miles northwest of Pohnpei

Maximum sustained winds...45 mph
Present movement...west...270 degrees at 10 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CHST...1800 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi was
located near Latitude 14.0 degrees North and Longitude 151.0 degrees
East. Man-yi is moving west at 10 mph. It is expected to maintain
this general course with an increase in forward speed through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 45 mph. Man-yi is forecast to
maintain this intensity through Thursday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
40 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 AM ChST followed by an intermediate
advisory at 1100 AM ChST.

$$

Stanko


Original Message :

WTPQ52 RJTD 111800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 111800UTC 13.8N 151.1E FAIR
MOVE WSW 08KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
12HF 120600UTC 14.5N 148.5E 45NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 121800UTC 14.4N 146.4E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 131800UTC 13.4N 140.9E 100NM 70%
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 141800UTC 12.8N 134.5E 120NM 70%
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
96HF 151800UTC 14.2N 128.7E 150NM 70%
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
120HF 161800UTC 16.7N 125.7E 180NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTJP23 RJTD 111800
WARNING 111800.
WARNING VALID 121800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2424 MAN-YI (2424) 1000 HPA
AT 13.8N 151.1E TRUKS MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 14.5N 148.5E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 14.4N 146.4E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 13.4N 140.9E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 12.8N 134.5E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 14.2N 128.7E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 16.7N 125.7E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 111601
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 11
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
201 AM ChST Tue Nov 12 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI NEARLY STATIONARY...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian,
and Saipan. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm
conditions including winds of 39 mph or greater are possible as
early as Tuesday night or Wednesday.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...14.0N 151.7E

About 405 miles east of Saipan
About 410 miles east of Tinian
About 430 miles east of Rota
About 435 miles east-southeast of Anatahan
About 450 miles north of Chuuk
About 460 miles east-southeast of Alamagan
About 465 miles east of Guam
About 655 miles northwest of Pohnpei

Maximum sustained winds...45 mph
Present movement...south-southwest...205 degrees at 2 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi was
located near Latitude 14.0 degrees North and Longitude 151.7 degrees
East. Man-yi is moving south-southwest at 2 mph. It is expected to
turn toward the west with an increase in forward speed through
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 45 mph. Man-yi is forecast
to slowly intensify through Wednesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
40 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 500 AM ChST followed by the next scheduled advisory at
800 AM ChST.

$$

Stanko


Original Message :

WTPQ52 RJTD 111500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 111500UTC 13.8N 151.6E FAIR
MOVE WSW 07KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
12HF 120300UTC 14.1N 149.1E 45NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 121500UTC 14.0N 147.1E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 131200UTC 13.3N 142.7E 100NM 70%
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 141200UTC 12.1N 136.6E 120NM 70%
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
93HF 151200UTC 12.6N 130.5E 150NM 70%
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
117HF 161200UTC 14.6N 126.2E 180NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ32 RJTD 111200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.11 FOR TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MAN-YI IS LOCATED AT 14.1N, 151.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS
OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE
LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS ARE SCATTERED AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. NOAA-19/MHS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTHWEST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND DRY AIR.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 111500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 011
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111200Z --- NEAR 14.0N 152.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N 152.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 13.9N 150.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 13.9N 148.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 13.7N 146.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 13.2N 143.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 12.3N 137.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 12.9N 131.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 15.1N 127.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
111500Z POSITION NEAR 14.0N 151.7E.
11NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
444 NM EAST OF NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 111200Z IS 997 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 17 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z, 120300Z, 120900Z AND 121500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 24W (YINXING) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 26W (TORAJI) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 27W (TWENTYSEVEN) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 111500
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 241111132420
2024111112 25W MAN-YI 011 04 205 02 SATL 060
T000 140N 1522E 040 R034 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD
T012 139N 1504E 040 R034 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 025 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 139N 1484E 045 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 137N 1460E 045 R034 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 025 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 132N 1435E 050 R050 020 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 123N 1376E 060 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 080 NW QD
T096 129N 1315E 065 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T120 151N 1274E 060 R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 011
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 011
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111200Z --- NEAR 14.0N 152.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N 152.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 13.9N 150.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 13.9N 148.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 13.7N 146.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 13.2N 143.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 12.3N 137.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 12.9N 131.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 15.1N 127.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
111500Z POSITION NEAR 14.0N 151.7E.
11NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
444 NM EAST OF NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 111200Z IS 997 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 17 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z, 120300Z, 120900Z AND 121500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 24W (YINXING) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 26W (TORAJI) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 27W (TWENTYSEVEN) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2524110612 81N1766E 15
2524110618 82N1757E 15
2524110700 82N1743E 15
2524110706 83N1730E 20
2524110712 84N1711E 20
2524110718 91N1691E 20
2524110800 102N1670E 20
2524110806 113N1651E 20
2524110812 122N1632E 20
2524110818 130N1609E 25
2524110900 137N1599E 30
2524110906 143N1591E 35
2524110912 149N1584E 40
2524110918 160N1566E 45
2524111000 160N1560E 45
2524111006 159N1553E 45
2524111012 158N1546E 45
2524111018 151N1538E 40
2524111100 150N1528E 35
2524111106 142N1523E 35
2524111112 140N1522E 40
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ52 RJTD 111200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 111200UTC 14.1N 151.9E FAIR
MOVE WSW 07KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
12HF 120000UTC 14.0N 149.7E 45NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 121200UTC 14.1N 147.8E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 131200UTC 13.3N 142.7E 100NM 70%
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 141200UTC 12.1N 136.6E 120NM 70%
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
96HF 151200UTC 12.6N 130.5E 150NM 70%
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
120HF 161200UTC 14.6N 126.2E 180NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =


Original Message :

WTJP23 RJTD 111200
WARNING 111200.
WARNING VALID 121200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2424 MAN-YI (2424) 1000 HPA
AT 14.1N 151.9E TRUKS MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 14.0N 149.7E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 14.1N 147.8E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 13.3N 142.7E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 12.1N 136.6E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 12.6N 130.5E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 14.6N 126.2E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 111302
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Intermediate Advisory Number 10A
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
1102 PM ChST Mon Nov 11 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI CONTINUING TOWARDS THE MARIANAS...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian,
and Saipan. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm
conditions including winds of 39 mph or greater are possible as
early as Tuesday night or Wednesday.

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CHST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
------------------------------------------------
Location...14.0N 152.2E

About 440 miles east of Saipan
About 445 miles east of Tinian
About 450 miles north of Chuuk
About 465 miles east of Rota
About 465 miles east-southeast of Anatahan
About 490 miles east-southeast of Alamagan
About 500 miles east of Guam
About 635 miles northwest of Pohnpei

Maximum sustained winds...40 mph
Present movement...south-southwest...210 degrees at 10 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CHST...1200 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 14.0 degrees North and Longitude
152.2 degrees East. Man-yi is moving south-southwest at 10 mph.
It is expected to make a turn toward the west with little change
in forward speed through Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 40 mph. Man-yi is forecast to
intensify through Tuesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
45 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 AM ChST early Tuesday morning followed by
an intermediate advisory at 500 AM ChST.

$$

Stanko


Original Message :

WTPQ52 RJTD 110900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110900UTC 14.1N 152.2E FAIR
MOVE WSW 09KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
12HF 112100UTC 14.7N 150.0E 45NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 120900UTC 14.6N 148.1E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 130600UTC 14.5N 143.9E 115NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 140600UTC 13.2N 137.6E 140NM 70%
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
93HF 150600UTC 13.3N 131.3E 150NM 70%
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
117HF 160600UTC 15.2N 126.1E 180NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 110921
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 10
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
721 PM ChST Mon Nov 11 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI CONTINUING TOWARDS THE MARIANAS...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A tropical storm watch is now in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian,
and Saipan. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm
conditions including winds of 39 mph or greater are possible as
early as Tuesday night or Wednesday.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...14.2N 151.8E

About 410 miles east of Saipan
About 415 miles east of Tinian
About 440 miles east of Rota
About 470 miles east of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...40 mph
Present movement...south-southwest...210 degrees at 10 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 14.2 degrees North and Longitude
151.8 degrees East. Man-yi is moving south-southwest at 10 mph.
It is expected to make a turn toward the west with little change
in forward speed through Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 40 mph. Man-yi is forecast to
intensify through Tuesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
45 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 1100 PM ChST followed by the next scheduled advisory
at 200 AM ChST early Tuesday morning.

$$

Williams


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 110805
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Special Advisory Number 9A
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
605 PM ChST Mon Nov 11 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI CONTINUING TOWARDS THE MARIANAS...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
Tropical storm watches issued for Guam, Rota, Tinian, and Saipan.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A tropical storm watch is now in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian,
and Saipan. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm
conditions including winds of 39 mph or greater are possible
as early as Tuesday night or Wednesday.

SUMMARY OF 600 PM CHST...0800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...14.2N 152.3E

About 445 miles east of Saipan
About 450 miles east of Tinian
About 470 miles east of Rota
About 505 miles east of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...40 mph
Present movement...west-southwest...255 degrees at 12 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 600 PM CHST...0800 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 14.2 degrees North and Longitude
152.3 degrees East. Man-yi is moving west-southwest at 12 mph. It
is expected to make a slight turn toward the west with a slight
decrease in forward speed through Tuesday. Based on this current
forecast track Man-yi is expected to pass through the Marianas
Tuesday night or Wednesday as a tropical storm.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 40 mph. Man-yi is forecast to
slowly intensify the next couple of days, including as it passes
through the Marianas.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
40 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 PM ChST this evening, followed by an
intermediate advisory at 11 PM ChST.

$$

Williams


Original Message :

WTPQ32 RJTD 110600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.10 FOR TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MAN-YI IS LOCATED AT 14.3N, 152.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS
STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST
SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW HAVE BECOME OBSCURE.
DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS
ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP
MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT
DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND STRONG VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION
WITH HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTJP23 RJTD 110600
WARNING 110600.
WARNING VALID 120600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2424 MAN-YI (2424) 1000 HPA
AT 14.3N 152.6E TRUKS MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 15.2N 150.1E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 15.1N 148.4E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 14.5N 143.9E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 13.2N 137.6E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 13.3N 131.3E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 15.2N 126.1E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ52 RJTD 110600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110600UTC 14.3N 152.6E FAIR
MOVE WSW 12KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
12HF 111800UTC 15.2N 150.1E 45NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 120600UTC 15.1N 148.4E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 130600UTC 14.5N 143.9E 115NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 140600UTC 13.2N 137.6E 140NM 70%
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
96HF 150600UTC 13.3N 131.3E 150NM 70%
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
120HF 160600UTC 15.2N 126.1E 180NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =


Original Message :

WTJP33 RJTD 110300
WARNING 110300.
WARNING VALID 120300.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2424 MAN-YI (2424) 1000 HPA
AT 14.6N 153.0E TRUKS MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111500UTC AT 15.6N 150.6E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120300UTC AT 15.4N 148.9E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ52 RJTD 110300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110300UTC 14.6N 153.0E FAIR
MOVE WSW 12KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
12HF 111500UTC 15.6N 150.6E 45NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 120300UTC 15.4N 148.9E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 130000UTC 15.2N 145.5E 115NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 140000UTC 14.2N 140.0E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 110314
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 9
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
114 PM ChST Mon Nov 11 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...15.1N 152.2E

About 430 miles east of Saipan
About 440 miles east of Tinian
About 445 miles east of Anatahan
About 470 miles east of Rota
About 475 miles east-southeast of Pagan
About 510 miles east-northeast of Guam
About 530 miles north of Chuuk
About 690 miles northwest of Pohnpei

Maximum sustained winds...40 mph
Present movement...west-southwest...255 degrees at 12 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 15.1 degrees North and Longitude
152.2 degrees East. Man-yi is moving west-southwest at 12 mph. It
is expected to make a slight turn toward the west with a slight
decrease in forward speed through Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to 40 mph. Man-yi is
forecast to intensify through tonight.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
40 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 PM ChST.

$$

Williams


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 110300
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 241111023243
2024111100 25W MAN-YI 009 04 255 10 SATL 060
T000 151N 1527E 035 R034 035 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 035 NW QD
T012 151N 1507E 040 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 151N 1488E 040 R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 149N 1470E 035 R034 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 145N 1449E 030
T072 137N 1392E 035 R034 060 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 060 NW QD
T096 131N 1333E 045 R034 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T120 153N 1282E 040 R034 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 009
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110000Z --- NEAR 15.1N 152.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N 152.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 15.1N 150.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 15.1N 148.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 14.9N 147.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 14.5N 144.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 13.7N 139.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 13.1N 133.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 15.3N 128.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
110300Z POSITION NEAR 15.1N 152.2E.
11NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400
NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 110000Z IS 1002 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
110900Z, 111500Z, 112100Z AND 120300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2524110612 81N1766E 15
2524110618 82N1757E 15
2524110700 82N1743E 15
2524110706 83N1730E 20
2524110712 84N1711E 20
2524110718 91N1691E 20
2524110800 102N1670E 20
2524110806 113N1651E 20
2524110812 122N1632E 20
2524110818 130N1609E 25
2524110900 137N1599E 30
2524110906 143N1591E 35
2524110912 149N1584E 40
2524110918 160N1566E 45
2524111000 160N1560E 45
2524111006 159N1553E 45
2524111012 158N1546E 45
2524111018 154N1537E 40
2524111100 151N1527E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 110300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 009
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110000Z --- NEAR 15.1N 152.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N 152.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 15.1N 150.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 15.1N 148.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 14.9N 147.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 14.5N 144.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 13.7N 139.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 13.1N 133.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 15.3N 128.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
110300Z POSITION NEAR 15.1N 152.2E.
11NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400
NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 110000Z IS 1002 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
110900Z, 111500Z, 112100Z AND 120300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 24W (YINXING) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TYPHOON 26W (TORAJI) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 27W (TWENTYSEVEN) WARNINGS (WTPN34 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ32 RJTD 110000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 9 FOR TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MAN-YI IS LOCATED AT 15.1N, 153.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS
STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST
SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. METOP-B/MHS 85 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN ADJACENT SYSTEM. THE
SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST
IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ52 RJTD 110000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110000UTC 15.1N 153.5E FAIR
MOVE WSW 08KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
12HF 111200UTC 15.6N 151.1E 45NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 120000UTC 15.5N 149.3E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 130000UTC 15.2N 145.5E 115NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 140000UTC 14.2N 140.0E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP23 RJTD 110000
WARNING 110000.
WARNING VALID 120000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2424 MAN-YI (2424) 1000 HPA
AT 15.1N 153.5E MINAMITORISIMA MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 15.6N 151.1E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 15.5N 149.3E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 15.2N 145.5E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 14.2N 140.0E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP33 RJTD 102100
WARNING 102100.
WARNING VALID 112100.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2424 MAN-YI (2424) 1000 HPA
AT 15.4N 154.2E MINAMITORISIMA MOVING WEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110900UTC AT 15.8N 151.6E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 112100UTC AT 15.6N 149.6E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ52 RJTD 102100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 102100UTC 15.4N 154.2E FAIR
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
12HF 110900UTC 15.8N 151.6E 45NM 70%
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 112100UTC 15.6N 149.6E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 121800UTC 15.4N 146.6E 115NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 131800UTC 14.5N 141.7E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 102104
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 8
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
704 AM ChST Mon Nov 11 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI MOVING SOUTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...15.2N 153.4E

About 460 miles north of Fananu
About 510 miles east of Saipan
About 545 miles north of Chuuk
About 590 miles east-northeast of Guam
About 655 miles north-northwest of Pohnpei
About 915 miles west-southwest of Wake
About 940 miles northwest of Kosrae

Maximum sustained winds...45 mph
Present movement...southwest...230 degrees at 10 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 15.2 degrees North and Longitude
153.4 degrees East. Man-yi is moving southwest at 10 mph. It is
expected to make a turn toward the west with little change in
forward speed through Tuesday as it continues to move towards the
Marianas.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to 45 mph. Man-yi is
forecast to maintain this intensity through tonight and then
continue to gradually weaken Tuesday as it moves closer to the
Marianas.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
45 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 PM ChST.

$$

Schank


Original Message :

WTPQ32 RJTD 101800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 8 FOR TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MAN-YI IS LOCATED AT 15.4N, 154.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS
STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST
SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS
GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN ADJACENT SYSTEM. THE
SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST
IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 102100
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 241110192554
2024111018 25W MAN-YI 008 03 230 09 SATL 060
T000 152N 1539E 040 R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 153N 1520E 040 R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 153N 1501E 035 R034 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 155N 1484E 035 R034 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 152N 1465E 030
T072 141N 1419E 025
T096 136N 1352E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 008
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 008
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101800Z --- NEAR 15.2N 153.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N 153.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 15.3N 152.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 15.3N 150.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 15.5N 148.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 15.2N 146.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 14.1N 141.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 13.6N 135.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
102100Z POSITION NEAR 15.2N 153.4E.
10NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 469
NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 101800Z IS 999 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
110300Z, 110900Z, 111500Z AND 112100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2524110612 81N1766E 15
2524110618 82N1757E 15
2524110700 82N1743E 15
2524110706 83N1730E 20
2524110712 84N1711E 20
2524110718 91N1691E 20
2524110800 102N1670E 20
2524110806 113N1651E 20
2524110812 122N1632E 20
2524110818 130N1609E 25
2524110900 137N1599E 30
2524110906 143N1591E 35
2524110912 149N1584E 40
2524110918 160N1566E 45
2524111000 160N1560E 45
2524111006 159N1553E 45
2524111012 158N1546E 45
2524111018 152N1539E 40
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 102100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 008
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101800Z --- NEAR 15.2N 153.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N 153.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 15.3N 152.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 15.3N 150.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 15.5N 148.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 15.2N 146.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 14.1N 141.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 13.6N 135.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
102100Z POSITION NEAR 15.2N 153.4E.
10NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 469
NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 101800Z IS 999 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
110300Z, 110900Z, 111500Z AND 112100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 24W
(YINXING) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO
TYPHOON 26W (TORAJI) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ52 RJTD 101800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101800UTC 15.4N 154.8E FAIR
MOVE WSW SLOWLY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
12HF 110600UTC 15.8N 152.1E 45NM 70%
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 111800UTC 15.7N 150.0E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 121800UTC 15.4N 146.6E 115NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 131800UTC 14.5N 141.7E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP23 RJTD 101800
WARNING 101800.
WARNING VALID 111800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2424 MAN-YI (2424) 1000 HPA
AT 15.4N 154.8E MINAMITORISIMA MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 15.8N 152.1E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 15.7N 150.0E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 15.4N 146.6E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 14.5N 141.7E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP33 RJTD 101500
WARNING 101500.
WARNING VALID 111500.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2424 MAN-YI (2424) 1000 HPA
AT 15.5N 155.2E MINAMITORISIMA MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110300UTC AT 15.9N 152.1E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111500UTC AT 16.0N 150.3E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ52 RJTD 101500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101500UTC 15.5N 155.2E FAIR
MOVE WSW SLOWLY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM NORTH 90NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 110300UTC 15.9N 152.1E 45NM 70%
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 111500UTC 16.0N 150.3E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 121200UTC 16.0N 147.1E 115NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 131200UTC 15.1N 142.6E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 101510
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 7
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
110 AM ChST Mon Nov 11 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI MOVING WEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...15.8N 154.1E

About 560 miles east of Saipan
About 595 miles north-northeast of Chuuk
About 640 miles east-northeast of Guam
About 670 miles north-northwest of Pohnpei
About 860 miles west-southwest of Wake
About 940 miles northwest of Kosrae

Maximum sustained winds...50 mph
Present movement...west...260 degrees at 8 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 15.8 degrees North and Longitude
154.1 degrees East. Man-yi is moving west at 8 mph. It is
expected to maintain this general course with a slight increase
in forward speed through Tuesday as it approaches the Marianas.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 50 mph. Man-yi is forecast to
maintain this intensity through the day, then gradual weakening
is expected tonight as it approaches the Marianas.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
60 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 AM ChST.

$$

Schank


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 101500
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 241110133544
2024111012 25W MAN-YI 007 03 260 07 SATL 060
T000 158N 1546E 045 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 158N 1528E 045 R034 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 161N 1509E 040 R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 162N 1492E 035 R034 040 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD
T048 163N 1474E 030
T072 154N 1431E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 007
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101200Z --- NEAR 15.8N 154.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N 154.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 15.8N 152.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 16.1N 150.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 16.2N 149.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 16.3N 147.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 15.4N 143.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
101500Z POSITION NEAR 15.8N 154.1E.
10NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
510 NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 101200Z IS 997 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 19 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z, 110300Z, 110900Z AND 111500Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 24W (YINXING) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TYPHOON 26W (TORAJI) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2524110612 81N1766E 15
2524110618 82N1757E 15
2524110700 82N1743E 15
2524110706 83N1730E 20
2524110712 84N1711E 20
2524110718 91N1691E 20
2524110800 102N1670E 20
2524110806 113N1651E 20
2524110812 122N1632E 20
2524110818 130N1609E 25
2524110900 137N1599E 30
2524110906 143N1591E 35
2524110912 149N1584E 40
2524110918 160N1566E 45
2524111000 160N1560E 45
2524111006 159N1553E 45
2524111012 158N1546E 45
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 101500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 007
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101200Z --- NEAR 15.8N 154.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N 154.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 15.8N 152.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 16.1N 150.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 16.2N 149.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 16.3N 147.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 15.4N 143.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
101500Z POSITION NEAR 15.8N 154.1E.
10NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
510 NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 101200Z IS 997 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 19 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z, 110300Z, 110900Z AND 111500Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 24W (YINXING) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TYPHOON 26W (TORAJI) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ32 RJTD 101200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 7 FOR TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MAN-YI IS LOCATED AT 15.6N, 155.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS
STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST
SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN ADJACENT SYSTEM. THE
SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST
IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ52 RJTD 101200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101200UTC 15.6N 155.3E FAIR
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM NORTH 90NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 110000UTC 15.8N 152.6E 45NM 70%
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 111200UTC 16.0N 150.7E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 121200UTC 16.0N 147.1E 115NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 131200UTC 15.1N 142.6E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP23 RJTD 101200
WARNING 101200.
WARNING VALID 111200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2424 MAN-YI (2424) 1000 HPA
AT 15.6N 155.3E MINAMITORISIMA MOVING WEST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 15.8N 152.6E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 16.0N 150.7E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 16.0N 147.1E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 15.1N 142.6E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP33 RJTD 100900
WARNING 100900.
WARNING VALID 110900.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2424 MAN-YI (2424) 1000 HPA
AT 15.7N 155.4E MINAMITORISIMA MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 102100UTC AT 15.9N 152.9E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110900UTC AT 16.1N 151.0E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ52 RJTD 100900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100900UTC 15.7N 155.4E FAIR
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM NORTH 90NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 102100UTC 15.9N 152.9E 45NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 110900UTC 16.1N 151.0E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 120600UTC 16.1N 147.8E 115NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 130600UTC 15.5N 144.0E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 100903
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 6
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
703 PM ChST Sun Nov 10 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI MOVING WEST TOWARDS THE CNMI...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...15.9N 154.8E

About 605 miles east of Saipan
About 690 miles east-northeast of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...50 mph
Present movement...west...260 degrees at 8 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 15.9 degrees North and Longitude
154.8 degrees East. Man-yi is moving west at 8 mph. It is
expected to maintain this general course with a slight increase
in forward speed through Monday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 50 mph. Man-yi is forecast to
intensify through tonight, then a gradual weakening is expected
through Tuesday as it approaches the Marianas.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
60 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 AM ChST early Monday morning.

$$

DS


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 100900
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 241110073925
2024111006 25W MAN-YI 006 03 260 07 SATL 060
T000 159N 1553E 045 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 160N 1535E 050 R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 005 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 162N 1517E 040 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 164N 1499E 035 R034 055 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 163N 1483E 030
T072 159N 1450E 025
T096 148N 1404E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 006
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100600Z --- NEAR 15.9N 155.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N 155.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 16.0N 153.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 16.2N 151.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 16.4N 149.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 16.3N 148.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 15.9N 145.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 14.8N 140.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
100900Z POSITION NEAR 15.9N 154.8E.
10NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
551 NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 100600Z IS 996 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 18 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z, 102100Z, 110300Z AND 110900Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 24W (YINXING) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TYPHOON 26W (TORAJI) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2524110612 81N1766E 15
2524110618 82N1757E 15
2524110700 82N1743E 15
2524110706 83N1730E 20
2524110712 84N1711E 20
2524110718 91N1691E 20
2524110800 102N1670E 20
2524110806 113N1651E 20
2524110812 122N1632E 20
2524110818 130N1609E 25
2524110900 137N1599E 30
2524110906 143N1591E 35
2524110912 149N1584E 40
2524110918 160N1566E 45
2524111000 160N1560E 45
2524111006 159N1553E 45
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 100900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 006
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100600Z --- NEAR 15.9N 155.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N 155.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 16.0N 153.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 16.2N 151.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 16.4N 149.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 16.3N 148.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 15.9N 145.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 14.8N 140.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
100900Z POSITION NEAR 15.9N 154.8E.
10NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
551 NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 100600Z IS 996 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 18 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z, 102100Z, 110300Z AND 110900Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 24W (YINXING) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TYPHOON 26W (TORAJI) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ32 RJTD 100600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 6 FOR TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MAN-YI IS LOCATED AT 15.8N, 155.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS
STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST
SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INCREASED VWS.
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ52 RJTD 100600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100600UTC 15.8N 155.6E FAIR
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM NORTH 90NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 101800UTC 15.9N 153.3E 45NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 110600UTC 16.2N 151.3E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 120600UTC 16.1N 147.8E 115NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 130600UTC 15.5N 144.0E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP23 RJTD 100600
WARNING 100600.
WARNING VALID 110600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2424 MAN-YI (2424) 1000 HPA
AT 15.8N 155.6E MINAMITORISIMA MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 15.9N 153.3E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 16.2N 151.3E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 16.1N 147.8E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 15.5N 144.0E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP33 RJTD 100300
WARNING 100300.
WARNING VALID 110300.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2424 MAN-YI (2424) 1000 HPA
AT 15.8N 155.9E MINAMITORISIMA MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101500UTC AT 15.8N 153.9E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110300UTC AT 15.7N 152.1E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ52 RJTD 100300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100300UTC 15.8N 155.9E FAIR
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM NORTH 90NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 101500UTC 15.8N 153.9E 40NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 110300UTC 15.7N 152.1E 57NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 120000UTC 16.0N 148.5E 100NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 130000UTC 15.0N 144.6E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 100300
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 5
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
100 PM ChST Sun Nov 10 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...16.2N 155.6E

About 655 miles north-northeast of Chuuk
About 660 miles east of Saipan
About 660 miles north-northwest of Pohnpei
About 745 miles east-northeast of Guam
About 755 miles west-southwest of Wake
About 900 miles north-northwest of Kosrae

Maximum sustained winds...50 mph
Present movement...WNW...295 degrees at 6 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------

At 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 16.2 degrees North and Longitude 155.6
degrees East. Man-yi is moving west-northwest and has slowed to
6 mph. It is expected to make a slight turn toward the west with a
slight increase in forward speed through Monday as it approaches
the Marianas.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 50 mph. Man-yi is forecast to
intensify through tonight, with a potential weakening trend
starting Monday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
70 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 PM ChST.

$$

IC


Original Message :

WTPQ32 RJTD 100000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 5 FOR TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MAN-YI IS LOCATED AT 15.8N, 156.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP
OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS
BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS ARE SCATTERED AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS
AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 100300
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 241110013753
2024111000 25W MAN-YI 005 03 295 05 SATL 060
T000 162N 1561E 045 R034 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 050 NW QD
T012 163N 1542E 050 R050 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 165N 1523E 045 R034 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 164N 1504E 040 R034 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 164N 1487E 035 R034 060 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 159N 1451E 025
T096 151N 1410E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 005
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100000Z --- NEAR 16.2N 156.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N 156.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 16.3N 154.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 16.5N 152.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 16.4N 150.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 16.4N 148.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 15.9N 145.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 15.1N 141.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
100300Z POSITION NEAR 16.2N 155.6E.
10NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 598
NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 100000Z IS 998 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
100900Z, 101500Z, 102100Z AND 110300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2524110612 81N1766E 15
2524110618 82N1757E 15
2524110700 82N1743E 15
2524110706 83N1730E 20
2524110712 84N1711E 20
2524110718 91N1691E 20
2524110800 102N1670E 20
2524110806 113N1651E 20
2524110812 122N1632E 20
2524110818 130N1609E 25
2524110900 137N1599E 30
2524110906 143N1591E 35
2524110912 149N1584E 40
2524110918 160N1566E 45
2524111000 162N1561E 45
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 100300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 005
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100000Z --- NEAR 16.2N 156.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N 156.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 16.3N 154.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 16.5N 152.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 16.4N 150.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 16.4N 148.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 15.9N 145.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 15.1N 141.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
100300Z POSITION NEAR 16.2N 155.6E.
10NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 598
NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 100000Z IS 998 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
100900Z, 101500Z, 102100Z AND 110300Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 24W (YINXING) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 26W (TORAJI) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ52 RJTD 100000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100000UTC 15.8N 156.3E FAIR
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM NORTH 90NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 101200UTC 15.9N 154.3E 40NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 110000UTC 15.8N 152.4E 57NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 120000UTC 16.0N 148.5E 100NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 130000UTC 15.0N 144.6E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP23 RJTD 100000
WARNING 100000.
WARNING VALID 110000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2424 MAN-YI (2424) 1000 HPA
AT 15.8N 156.3E MINAMITORISIMA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 15.9N 154.3E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 15.8N 152.4E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 16.0N 148.5E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 15.0N 144.6E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ52 RJTD 092100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 092100UTC 15.8N 157.0E POOR
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 120NM NORTH 90NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 100900UTC 16.1N 154.9E 40NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 102100UTC 16.0N 152.8E 57NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 111800UTC 16.0N 149.5E 100NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 121800UTC 15.8N 145.7E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP33 RJTD 092100
WARNING 092100.
WARNING VALID 102100.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2424 MAN-YI (2424) 1002 HPA
AT 15.8N 157.0E MINAMITORISIMA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100900UTC AT 16.1N 154.9E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 102100UTC AT 16.0N 152.8E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 092106
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 4
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
706 AM ChST Sun Nov 10 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...16.1N 156.1E

About 645 miles north-northwest of Pohnpei
About 660 miles north-northeast of Chuuk
About 690 miles east of Saipan
About 725 miles west-southwest of Wake
About 775 miles east-northeast of Guam
About 875 miles north-northwest of Kosrae

Maximum sustained winds...50 mph
Present movement...northwest...305 degrees at 24 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 16.1 degrees North and Longitude
156.1 degrees East. Man-yi is moving northwest at 24 mph. It is
expected to make a turn toward the west with a decrease in
forward speed through Monday as it approaches the Marianas.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 50 mph. Man-yi is
forecast to intensify through tonight.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
70 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 PM ChST.

$$

Schank


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 092100
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 241109195056
2024110918 25W MAN-YI 004 03 305 21 SATL 060
T000 160N 1566E 045 R034 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 050 NW QD
T012 164N 1547E 055 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 168N 1527E 060 R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 169N 1508E 050 R050 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 170N 1489E 040 R034 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 169N 1457E 030
T096 161N 1417E 025
T120 146N 1348E 020
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 004
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091800Z --- NEAR 16.0N 156.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 21 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N 156.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 16.4N 154.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 16.8N 152.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 16.9N 150.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 17.0N 148.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 16.9N 145.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 16.1N 141.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 14.6N 134.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
092100Z POSITION NEAR 16.1N 156.1E.
09NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 626
NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 091800Z IS 999 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
100300Z, 100900Z, 101500Z AND 102100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2524110612 81N1766E 15
2524110618 82N1757E 15
2524110700 82N1743E 15
2524110706 83N1730E 20
2524110712 84N1711E 20
2524110718 91N1691E 20
2524110800 102N1670E 20
2524110806 113N1651E 20
2524110812 122N1632E 20
2524110818 130N1609E 25
2524110900 137N1599E 30
2524110906 143N1591E 35
2524110912 149N1584E 40
2524110918 160N1566E 45
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 092100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 004
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091800Z --- NEAR 16.0N 156.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 21 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N 156.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 16.4N 154.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 16.8N 152.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 16.9N 150.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 17.0N 148.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 16.9N 145.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 16.1N 141.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 14.6N 134.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
092100Z POSITION NEAR 16.1N 156.1E.
09NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 626
NM EAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 091800Z IS 999 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
100300Z, 100900Z, 101500Z AND 102100Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 24W (YINXING) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 26W (TORAJI) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ32 RJTD 091800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 4 FOR TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MAN-YI IS LOCATED AT 15.7N, 157.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS POOR BECAUSE THE CSC IS OBSCURE. CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 1002HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER
ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE NOW DISTINCT. GPM/GMI
89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE
CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ52 RJTD 091800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091800UTC 15.7N 157.7E POOR
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 120NM NORTH 90NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 100600UTC 15.9N 155.6E 40NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 101800UTC 16.0N 153.6E 57NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 111800UTC 16.0N 149.5E 100NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 121800UTC 15.8N 145.7E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP23 RJTD 091800
WARNING 091800.
WARNING VALID 101800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2424 MAN-YI (2424) 1002 HPA
AT 15.7N 157.7E MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 15.9N 155.6E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 16.0N 153.6E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 16.0N 149.5E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 15.8N 145.7E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1006 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP33 RJTD 091500
WARNING 091500.
WARNING VALID 101500.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2424 MAN-YI (2424) 1002 HPA
AT 15.3N 158.3E MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100300UTC AT 16.0N 156.1E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101500UTC AT 16.2N 153.9E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ52 RJTD 091500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091500UTC 15.3N 158.3E POOR
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 120NM NORTH 90NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 100300UTC 16.0N 156.1E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 101500UTC 16.2N 153.9E 57NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 111200UTC 16.3N 150.3E 100NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 121200UTC 16.4N 147.1E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 091500
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 3
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
100 AM ChST Sun Nov 10 2024

...TROPICAL STORM MAN-YI MOVING NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...15.7N 157.3E

About 450 miles northwest of Enewetak
About 480 miles north-northwest of Ujelang
About 605 miles north of Pohnpei
About 665 miles west-southwest of Wake
About 680 miles north-northeast of Chuuk
About 770 miles east of Saipan
About 810 miles north-northwest of Kosrae
About 850 miles east of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...45 mph
Present movement...northwest...320 degrees at 17 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 15.7 degrees North and Longitude
157.3 degrees East. Man-yi is moving northwest at 17 mph and is
moving towards the Marianas. It is expected to make a turn toward the
west with a decrease in forward speed through Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 45 mph. Man-yi is
forecast to intensify through Monday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
60 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 AM ChST.

$$

Schank


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 091500
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 241109131209
2024110912 25W MAN-YI 003 03 320 15 SATL 060
T000 155N 1578E 040 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 163N 1560E 050 R050 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 035 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 166N 1541E 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 167N 1522E 050 R050 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 166N 1503E 045 R034 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 161N 1470E 035 R034 070 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 070 NW QD
T096 152N 1432E 025
T120 142N 1380E 025
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
120HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 003
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091200Z --- NEAR 15.5N 157.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N 157.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 16.3N 156.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 16.6N 154.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 16.7N 152.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 16.6N 150.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 16.1N 147.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 15.2N 143.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 14.2N 138.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
091500Z POSITION NEAR 15.7N 157.3E.
09NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 757
NM EAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 091200Z IS 1001 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
092100Z, 100300Z, 100900Z AND 101500Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 24W (YINXING) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 26W (TORAJI) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2524110612 81N1766E 15
2524110618 82N1757E 15
2524110700 82N1743E 15
2524110706 83N1730E 20
2524110712 84N1711E 20
2524110718 91N1691E 20
2524110800 102N1670E 20
2524110806 113N1651E 20
2524110812 122N1632E 20
2524110818 130N1609E 25
2524110900 137N1599E 30
2524110906 144N1588E 35
2524110912 155N1578E 40
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 091500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 003
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091200Z --- NEAR 15.5N 157.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N 157.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 16.3N 156.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 16.6N 154.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 16.7N 152.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 16.6N 150.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 16.1N 147.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 15.2N 143.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 14.2N 138.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
091500Z POSITION NEAR 15.7N 157.3E.
09NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 757
NM EAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 091200Z IS 1001 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
092100Z, 100300Z, 100900Z AND 101500Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 24W (YINXING) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 26W (TORAJI) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ32 RJTD 091200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 3 FOR TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MAN-YI IS LOCATED AT 15.0N, 158.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS POOR BECAUSE THE CSC IS OBSCURE. CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 1004HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER
ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS
AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS
STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST
SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS HAVE GATHERED AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE NOW DISTINCT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ52 RJTD 091200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091200UTC 15.0N 158.7E POOR
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM NORTHEAST 90NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 100000UTC 15.9N 156.7E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 101200UTC 16.2N 154.5E 57NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 111200UTC 16.3N 150.3E 100NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 121200UTC 16.4N 147.1E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP23 RJTD 091200
WARNING 091200.
WARNING VALID 101200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2424 MAN-YI (2424) 1004 HPA
AT 15.0N 158.7E MARSHALLS MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 15.9N 156.7E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 16.2N 154.5E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 16.3N 150.3E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 16.4N 147.1E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1006 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ52 RJTD 090900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090900UTC 14.7N 159.1E POOR
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM NORTHEAST 100NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 092100UTC 15.8N 156.6E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 100900UTC 16.0N 154.5E 57NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 110600UTC 16.3N 150.7E 115NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 120600UTC 16.8N 147.4E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 090901
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Man-yi (25W) Advisory Number 2
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
701 PM ChST Sat Nov 9 2024

...25W UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...14.7N 158.3E

About 535 miles north of Pohnpei
About 840 miles east of Saipan
About 910 miles east of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...40 mph
Present movement...northwest...305 degrees at 15 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Man-yi
was located near Latitude 14.7 degrees North and Longitude
158.3 degrees East. Man-yi is moving northwest at 15 mph. It is
expected to make a slight turn toward the west-northwest with a
slight decrease in forward speed through Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 40 mph. Man-yi is
forecast to intensify through Sunday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
60 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 AM ChST early Sunday morning.

$$

DS


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 090900
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 241109074919
2024110906 25W MAN-YI 002 03 305 13 SATL 060
T000 144N 1588E 035 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 155N 1567E 045 R034 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 161N 1548E 050 R050 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 000 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 164N 1528E 045 R034 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 164N 1509E 040 R034 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 165N 1476E 025
T096 160N 1442E 025
T120 148N 1398E 025
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 002
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090600Z --- NEAR 14.4N 158.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N 158.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 15.5N 156.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 16.1N 154.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 16.4N 152.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 16.4N 150.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 16.5N 147.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 16.0N 144.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 14.8N 139.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
090900Z POSITION NEAR 14.7N 158.3E.
09NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 767
NM EAST OF TINIAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 090600Z IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
091500Z, 092100Z, 100300Z AND 100900Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 24W (YINXING) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TORAJI) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
2524110612 81N1766E 15
2524110618 82N1757E 15
2524110700 82N1743E 15
2524110706 83N1730E 20
2524110712 84N1711E 20
2524110718 91N1691E 20
2524110800 102N1670E 20
2524110806 113N1651E 20
2524110812 122N1632E 20
2524110818 130N1609E 25
2524110900 137N1599E 30
2524110906 144N1588E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 090900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI) WARNING NR 002
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090600Z --- NEAR 14.4N 158.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N 158.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 15.5N 156.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 16.1N 154.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 16.4N 152.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 16.4N 150.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 16.5N 147.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 16.0N 144.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 14.8N 139.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
090900Z POSITION NEAR 14.7N 158.3E.
09NOV24. TROPICAL STORM 25W (MAN-YI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 767
NM EAST OF TINIAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 090600Z IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
091500Z, 092100Z, 100300Z AND 100900Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 24W (YINXING) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TORAJI) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ32 RJTD 090600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 2 FOR TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
A TD PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 13.6N, 160.4E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TS
(MAN-YI) STATUS. TS MAN-YI IS LOCATED AT 14.6N, 159.2E.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS POOR BECAUSE THE CSC
IS OBSCURE. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS ARE
SCATTERED AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE NOW DISTINCT. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS
ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT36 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG VWS.
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ52 RJTD 090600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2424 MAN-YI (2424) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090600UTC 14.6N 159.2E POOR
MOVE NW 15KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM NORTHEAST 100NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 091800UTC 15.6N 157.3E 45NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 100600UTC 15.9N 155.0E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 110600UTC 16.3N 150.7E 115NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 120600UTC 16.8N 147.4E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP23 RJTD 090600
WARNING 090600.
WARNING VALID 100600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2424 MAN-YI (2424) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION
1004 HPA
AT 14.6N 159.2E MARSHALLS MOVING NORTHWEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 15.6N 157.3E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 15.9N 155.0E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 16.3N 150.7E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 16.8N 147.4E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1006 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ32 PGUM 090304
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression 25W Advisory Number 1
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP252024
104 PM ChST Sat Nov 9 2024

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W FORMS NORTHWEST OF ENEWETAK...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...14.1N 159.0E

About 295 miles northwest of Enewetak
About 495 miles north of Pohnpei
About 620 miles southwest of Wake
About 890 miles east of Saipan
About 955 miles east of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...35 mph
Present movement...northwest...305 degrees at 22 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression 25W
was located near Latitude 14.1 degrees North and Longitude
159.0 degrees East. 25W is moving northwest at 22 mph. It is
expected to make a slight turn toward the west-northwest with a
decrease in forward speed through Sunday, then making a turn to
the west on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are 35 mph. 25W is forecast to intensify
through tonight possibly becoming a tropical storm.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 PM ChST.

$$

DeCou


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 090300
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 241109013938
2024110900 25W TWENTYFIVE 001 02 305 19 SATL SYNP 020
T000 138N 1595E 030
T012 152N 1574E 035 R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 161N 1555E 045 R034 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 164N 1535E 050 R050 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 165N 1515E 040 R034 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD
T072 167N 1476E 030
T096 165N 1449E 025
T120 152N 1412E 025
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (TWENTYFIVE) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (TWENTYFIVE) WARNING NR 001
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090000Z --- NEAR 13.8N 159.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N 159.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 15.2N 157.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 16.1N 155.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 16.4N 153.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 16.5N 151.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 16.7N 147.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 16.5N 144.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 15.2N 141.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
090300Z POSITION NEAR 14.1N 159.0E.
09NOV24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (TWENTYFIVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
421 NM NORTH OF POHNPEI, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 090000Z IS 1002 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 090900Z, 091500Z, 092100Z AND 100300Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 24W (YINXING)
2524110612 81N1766E 15
2524110618 82N1757E 15
2524110700 82N1743E 15
2524110706 83N1730E 20
2524110712 84N1711E 20
2524110718 91N1691E 20
2524110800 102N1670E 20
2524110806 113N1651E 20
2524110812 122N1632E 20
2524110818 127N1611E 20
2524110900 138N1595E 30
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 090300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (TWENTYFIVE) WARNING NR 001
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090000Z --- NEAR 13.8N 159.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N 159.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 15.2N 157.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 16.1N 155.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 16.4N 153.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 16.5N 151.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 16.7N 147.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 16.5N 144.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 15.2N 141.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
090300Z POSITION NEAR 14.1N 159.0E.
09NOV24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (TWENTYFIVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
421 NM NORTH OF POHNPEI, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 090000Z IS 1002 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 090900Z, 091500Z, 092100Z AND 100300Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 24W
(YINXING)
WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN