Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FRANCINE-24
in United States, Mexico

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone FRANCINE-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1001092
Name FRANCINE-24
From - To 08 Sep - 12 Sep
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population 930 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 157 km/h Category 2
Maximum storm surge 1.1 m (12 Sep 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (United States)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS NOAA 56 km/h 1.1 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 184 km/h 4.2 m 855 mm 0.5
GFS 137 km/h 4.1 m 434 mm 0.5
ECMWF 130 km/h 4.1 m 331 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Mexico, United States - Tropical cyclone FRANCINE (ECHO 15 Sep 2024)Tue, 10 Sep 2024 10:58

  • Tropical cyclone FRANCINE formed over the south-western Gulf of Mexico, off the coast of eastern Mexico on the evening (UTC) of 8 September and started moving north toward southern Texas, USA, strenghtening. On 10 September at 6.00 UTC its centre was located over the Gulf, approximately 185 km south-east of the border area between north-eastern Mexico and south-western Texas, with maximum sustained winds of 100 km/h (tropical storm).
  • FRANCINE is forecast to continue northeastward over the Gulf on 10-11 September, further strenghtening. After that, it is expected to make landfall over the area of Lafayette city, southern Louisiana, USA on 12 September around 0.00 UTC, with maximum sustained winds up to 139 km/h (category 1 hurricane).
  • Over the next 72 hours, heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surges are forecast over north-eastern Mexico, the coastal Texas, most of Louisiana and the far southern Mississippi. NOAA issued a hurricane warning over the coastal Louisiana and a storm surge warning over the same area and parts of the coastal Texas
United States - Tropical cyclone FRANCINE, update (ECHO 16 Sep 2024)Wed, 11 Sep 2024 10:50

  • Tropical cyclone FRANCINE continued moving northeastward over the Gulf of Mexico (well off the coast of southern Texas, USA) on 10 September, as a tropical storm. On 11 September at 6.00 UTC its centre was located over the Gulf of Mexico, approximately 385 km south-west of the the area of New Iberia city (just west of the greater New Orleans area, southern Louisiana, USA), with maximum sustained winds of 150 km/h (category 1 hurricane).
  • FRANCINE is expected to continue moving northeastward over the Gulf on 11 September, further strenghtening. After that, it is expected to make landfall over the area of New Iberia city on 12 September around 0.00 UTC, with maximum sustained winds up to 148 km/h (category 1 hurricane).
  • Over the next 48 hours, heavy rainfall and strong winds are forecast over most of Louisiana, most of Mississippi and the far southern Alabama. The hurricane warning over the coastal Louisiana issued by NOAA remains in effect.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

LaPlace neighbors flood for fourth time this year during Francine 9/13/2024 2:28:00 PM.

LAPLACE, La. (WVUE) - Hurricane Francine flooded homes in LaPlace, with water rising quickly in St. John Parish neighborhoods. For Josh Payne, whose home is on Mahogany Street, the water nearly reached the windowsills, leaving his family st
...(more)
Warm oceans strengthened Hurricane Francine and could power more Fall .. 9/13/2024 10:19:00 AM.

Warm water in the Gulf of Mexico helped , creating danger for Louisiana residents rushing to buy supplies and secure their homes ahead of the storm’s landfall Wednesday. Warm ocean water is essential for forming and strengthening hurricanes
...(more)
Hurricane Francine batters US state of Louisiana, with flash flood eme.. 9/12/2024 6:42:00 AM.

HURRICANE FRANCINE SLAMMED into Louisiana late yesterday with potential for life-threatening flooding and storm surge as residents of the southern US state, which still bears the scars of Hurricane Katrina, were advised to hunker down indoo
...(more)
Warm oceans strengthened Hurricane Francine and could power more Fall .. 9/12/2024 12:40:00 AM.

By MICHAEL PHILLIS. Warm water in the Gulf of Mexico helped quickly strengthen Hurricane Francine , creating danger for Louisiana residents rushing to buy supplies and secure their homes ahead of the storm’s landfall Wednesday. Warm ocean w
...(more)

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), (2), WMO (1), INFORM (2),