Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JELAWAT-23
in Philippines

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone JELAWAT-23 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1001039
Name JELAWAT-23
From - To 17 Dec - 18 Dec
Exposed countries Philippines
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h Tropical storm
Maximum storm surge n.a.
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC 46 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 83 km/h 0.4 m 793 mm 0.5
GFS 72 km/h 0.4 m 502 mm 0.5
ECMWF 65 km/h 0.5 m 598 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Philippines - Tropical storm JELAWAT (ECHO 18 Dec 2023)Mon, 18 Dec 2023 09:57

  • Tropical storm JELAWAT (named "Kabayan" in the Philippines) formed over the southern Philippine Sea on 17 December and started moving west toward central Mindanao Island  in southern Philippines. On 18 December at 0.00 UTC, its centre was located offshore very close to the coastal area of the Manay Municipality in Davao Region, with maximum sustained winds of 56 km/h (tropical depression).
  • The National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC) reports, as of 18 December, 6,370 people already evacuated in 48 evacuation centres across Mindanao.
  • JELAWAT is expected to make landfall over Manay Municipality on the very early morning (UTC) of 18 December, as a tropical depression. After that it is forecast to continue westward over central Mindanao on 18 December and to reach the far southern Palawan Island in western Philippines on the afternoon (UTC) of 19 December, as a tropical depression.
  • Over the next 24 hours, heavy rainfall, strong winds and strom surges are forecast over most of Mindanao. Heavy rainfall is also forecast over southern Palawan starting from 19 December. PAGASA has issued a Wind Signal No. 1 over most of Mindanao.
Philippines - Tropical storm JELAWAT, update (ECHO 19 Dec 2023)Tue, 19 Dec 2023 12:15

  • On 18 Dec 2023 at 1:30 UTC, JELAWAT ("Kabayan" in the Philippines) made landfall over the coastal area of Manay Municipality, Davao Oriental. After that at 3:00 UTC, it weakened into a Tropical Depression and further weakened into a Low Pressure Area (LPA).
  • According to the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council, one person is reported missing in Davao while another has been injured in Northern Mindanao. Moreover, almost 83,000 people have been displaced, almost 22,700 preventively evacuated and 86,321 persons affected in Davao, Northern Mindanao, and CARAGA.
  • The Low Pressure Area and Shear Line are forecast to bring significant amounts of rain in the next three days over the affected area of Mindanao and over central southern Philippines.
Philippines - Tropical storm JELAWAT, update (ECHO 20 Dec 2023)Wed, 20 Dec 2023 11:08

  • Tropical storm JELAWAT ("Kabayan" in the Philippines) made landfall over the Davao Oriental Province of Davao Region, eastern Mindano Island on very early in the morning (UTC) of 18 December. It continued westward over Mindanao on the afternoon of 18 December and on the morning of 19 December, as a tropical depression, further weakening and dissipating.
  • Its passage caused very heavy rainfall across Mindano Island and Visayas Islands. The National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC) reports, as of 20 December, nearly 84,100 evacuated people, of which approximately 68,500 inside 401 evacuation centres, a total of more than 90,000 affected people and 54 damaged houses across five regions in Mindanao and Visayas: Davao, Northern Mindanao, Caraga, Mimaropa, Western Visayas and Eastern Visayas. According to NDRRMC, one person is confirmed missing and one more injured.
  • Over the next 24 hours, more heavy rainfall is forecast over the whole Mindano Island and Visayas Islands.
Philippines - Tropical storm JELAWAT, update (ECHO 21 Dec 2023)Thu, 21 Dec 2023 10:19

  • The humanitarian impact has increased after the passage of tropical storm JELAWAT ("Kabayan" in the Philippines) in eastern Mindanao.
  • National authorities report one still missing person in the Davao Region, another injured in Northern Mindanao, and almost 327,000 affected people across six Regions (Davao, Northern Mindanao, Caraga, Mimaropa, Western Visayas and Eastern Visayas). In addition, 2,674 persons are currently taking temporary shelter in 16 evacuation centres in Central Visayas, Davao, and Caraga) and 2,682 people are still displaced in Eastern Visayas, Davao, and Caraga.
  • For the next 24 hours, light to moderate rain is expected across eastern Mindanao and Visayas Islands.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

2023 could tie record of fewest storms inside PAR 12/21/2023 8:34:00 AM.

This year could tie with 1998 and 2010 as the year with the record fewest number of storms since 1948, based on PAGASA data. This number is just half of the annual average number of storms in the country at 19 to 20. No tropical system is e
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Près de 84 000 personnes touchées par Kabayan à Caraga 12/20/2023 1:57:00 AM.

Près de 84 000 personnes ont été touchées par le typhon Kabayan dans la région de Caraga, aux Philippines. Les ravages causés par la tempête ont laissé de nombreuses familles sans abri et dans le besoin. Les autorités locales et les organis
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Nearly 84,000 affected by ‘Kabayan’ in Caraga 12/20/2023 12:28:00 AM.

BUTUAN, Philippines – A total of 83,961 individuals or 24,937 families were affected in the Caraga region by Tropical Storm Kabayan (Jelawat) before and even after it weakened into a low-pressure area on Monday, December 18. In a December 1
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Tropical Cyclone Jelawat (Kabayan), Philippines - Flash Update #2 (Tue.. 12/19/2023 12:16:00 PM.

OVERVIEW : On 18 Dec 2023, 0830 HRS UTC+7, “JELAWAT” made landfall over Manay, Davao Oriental. Later “JELAWAT” weakened into a Tropical Depression and further weakened into a Remnant LPA at 1330 HRS UTC+7. As of 0300 HRS UTC+7 today, the ce
...(more)

Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), INFORM (1), (1),