Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GUAMBE-21
in Mozambique

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone GUAMBE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1000770
Name GUAMBE-21
From - To 17 Feb - 22 Feb
Exposed countries Mozambique
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 157 km/h Category 2
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (19 Feb 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Mozambique)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC 102 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 184 km/h 0.7 m 679 mm 0.5
GFS 133 km/h 0.6 m 442 mm 0.5
ECMWF 122 km/h 0.8 m 507 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Mozambique - Tropical Cyclone GUAMBE (ECHO 18 Feb 2021)Thu, 18 Feb 2021 02:00

  • New Tropical Cyclone (TC) GUAMBE is moving south over the Mozambique Channel, along the coast of Mozambique. On 17 February at 18.00 UTC, its centre was 240 km east of Inhassoro District (Inhambane Province, central Mozambique), with maximum sustained winds up to 83 km/h.
  • GUAMBE is forecast to strengthen, as it moves south  towards the central and southern coast of Mozambique, with maximum sustained winds up to 150 km/h.
  • Central and southern Mozambique were affected by TC ELOISE on 23-24 January and compounded by recent flooding in Maputo and Gaza Provinces (southern Mozambique), affecting more than 11,410 people.
  • A red warning for heavy rain, strong winds and thunderstorms has been issued for Sofala, Inhambane, Manica, and Zambezia Provinces.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

SA Weather Service issues weather warnings for Gauteng and Limpopo 2/22/2021 1:56:00 PM.

This as tropical storm Guambe is no longer expected to make landfall and is moving out into the Indian Ocean, where it will intensify into a cyclone. Ths South African Weather Service (SAWS) has issued a Level 2 warning for disruptive ra
...(more)
Mozambique to be hit by another tropical storm 2/20/2021 6:51:00 AM.

Tropical storm Guambe is strengthening in the southern half of the Mozambique Channel with a high likelihood of torrential rain, strong winds and flooding along southern Mozambique's coast and adjacent interior regions, especially from Beir
...(more)
Devenu cyclone tropical, Guambe continue de s'intensifier 2/19/2021 11:03:00 PM.

Sous les radars de Météo France depuis plusieurs jours, le système a atteint le stade de cyclone tropical ce vendredi matin et poursuit sa phase d'intensification. À 16h30, il se trouvait à 1 965 km à l'ouest-sud-ouest de nos côtes. Au coeu
...(more)
Mozambique: Cyclone Guambe to pass 100 km off the coast but storms are.. 2/19/2021 5:27:00 PM.

. Tropical storm Guambe turned into a tropical cyclone on Friday. The centre is expected to pass 100 kilometres off the Mozambican coast, the French weather centre for the Indian Ocean announced. “The heart of the cyclone is expected to
...(more)

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (38), (2), DesInventar (1), WMO (1), INFORM (2),