Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MAN-YI-24
in Philippines, China, Guam

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone MAN-YI-24 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1001124
Name MAN-YI-24
Glide number: TC-2024-000213-PHL
From - To 09 Nov - 19 Nov
Exposed countries Philippines, China, Guam
Exposed population 7.1 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 259 km/h Category 5
Maximum storm surge 1.1 m (16 Nov 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC 46 km/h 1 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 256 km/h 0.9 m 753 mm 2.5
GFS 205 km/h 1.2 m 823 mm 2.5
ECMWF 166 km/h 1 m 678 mm 1.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Philippines - Tropical Cyclone MAN-YI (ECHO 19 Nov 2024)Thu, 14 Nov 2024 12:06

  • A new tropical cyclone named MAN-YI that formed over the Pacific Ocean is moving over the central Philippines Sea westwards. On 14 November at 0.00 UTC, its centre was located over the sea,  approximately 150 km north of Colonia Island, Yap State, 510 km northeast of Palau island and 1,355 km east of the eastern coast Samar Islands, central Philippines with maximum sustained winds of 83 km/h (tropical storm).
  • Over the next 24 hours, MAN-YI is forecast to continue eastwards strengthening. On 15-16 November, it could turn north-eastwards and it could approach central and northern Philippines on 17 November as a very strong typhoon. 
  • MAN-YI will be the sixth tropical cyclone since 20 October which will affect the Philippines, particularly the central and northern regions.
  • For the next 24 hours, heavy rain and strong winds are forecast for the eastern islands of the Federated States of Micronesia.
Philippines - Tropical cyclone MAN-YI, update (ECHO 20 Nov 2024)Fri, 15 Nov 2024 11:55

  • Tropical cyclone MAN-YI (named "Pepito" in the Philippines) continued moving west over the Philippine Sea toward the central-northern Philippines on 14 November, as tropical storm, strengthening. On 15 November at 6.00 UTC its centre was located over the sea approximately 700 km south-east of the central Bicol region, central Philippines, with maximum sustained winds of 167 km/h (typhoon).
  • MAN-YI is expected to continue northwestward over the sea and to make landfall over the central Bicol region, close to the Bato town on 16 November in the afternoon (UTC), with maximum sustained winds of 220-230 km/h (typhoon).
  • Very heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surges are forecast over central and northern Philippines over the period from 16 to 19 November.
Philippines, China, Viet Nam - Tropical cyclone MAN-YI, update (ECHO 21 Nov 2024)Mon, 18 Nov 2024 11:47

  • Tropical cyclone MAN-YI (named "Pepito" in the Philippines) crossed north-central Luzon after it made landfall in the vicinity of Dipaculao, north-eastern Central Luzon region as a typhoon with winds up to 259 km/h. On 18 November at 6.00 UTC, its centre was located over the South China Sea approximately 270 km west of Batac city, Ilocos Norte, with maximum sustained winds of 110 km/h (tropical storm).
  • National authorities report that, as of 18 November, there were two injured, more than 685,000 displaced people and 1,145,942 affected people across six regions. This humanitarian impact is also due to the combination of tropical cyclones USAGI and TORAJI that affected the same region over the past week.
  • MAN-YI is forecast to continue over the South China Sea moving eastwards, it could pass close to the southern coast of Hainan island, south-eastern China on 19 November and eastern Viet Nam on 20 November as a tropical depression. 
  • For the next 48 hours, moderate rainfall is forecast over western Luzon while moderate to locally heavy rainfall is expected across Hainan and eastern Viet Nam.
MAN-YI-24 - UNITAR-UNOSAT ActivationMon, 18 Nov 2024 11:47

UNITAR-UNOSAT Potentially Damaged Buildings has been activated
MAN-YI-24 - UNITAR-UNOSAT ActivationTue, 19 Nov 2024 10:00

UNITAR-UNOSAT Potentially Damaged Buildings has been activated
Philippines, China, Viet Nam - Tropical cyclone MAN-YI, update (ECHO 21 Nov 2024)Tue, 19 Nov 2024 11:12

  • Tropical cyclone MAN-YI (named "Pepito" in the Philippines) is moving westwards over the South China Sea and is weakening. On 19 November at 0.00 UTC, its centre was located over the sea approximately 360 km east of Hainan island, south-eastern China, with maximum sustained winds of 74 km/h (tropical storm).
  • Following its passage over central-northern Luzon in combination with tropical cyclones USAGI and TORAJI, the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC) reports 25 injured people, almost 620,000 displaced people and more than 1.8 million affected people. Moreover, according to media, a landslide occurred on 18 November in Ambaguio town, Nueva Vizcaya province, Cagayan Valley region and resulted in seven fatalities and two injured people.
  • MAN-YI is forecast to continue west and west-southwest weakening and dissipating in the sea south of Hainan island. 
  • For the next 48 hours moderate to locally heavy rainfall is expected across most of Hainan and central-northern Vietnam.
MAN-YI-24 - UNITAR-UNOSAT ActivationWed, 20 Nov 2024 08:44

UNITAR-UNOSAT Potentially Damaged Buildings has been activated
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Philippines typhoon death toll rises to 12 11/21/2024 10:57:00 AM.

The death toll from Super Typhoon Man-yi in the Philippines has risen to 12, the national disaster agency said Thursday as widespread flooding subsided. Man-yi submerged villages and smashed flimsy buildings in the archipelago nation over t
...(more)
Philippines death toll rises to 12 11/21/2024 10:16:00 AM.

MANILA, PHILIPPINES — The death toll from Super Typhoon Man-yi in the Philippines has risen to 12, the national disaster agency said Thursday as widespread flooding subsided. Man-yi submerged villages and smashed flimsy buildings in the arc
...(more)
Death toll in Philippines from Super Typhoon Man-yi rises to 12 11/21/2024 7:37:00 AM.

MANILA: The death toll from Super Typhoon Man-yi in the Philippines has risen to 12, the national disaster agency said on Thursday (Nov 21) as widespread flooding subsided. Man-yi submerged villages and smashed flimsy buildings in the archi
...(more)
Asciende a nueve cifra de muertos en Filipinas por tifón Man-yi 11/21/2024 5:33:00 AM.

El Consejo Nacional de Gestión y Reducción del Riesgo de Desastres confirmó que cerca de un millón de personas fueron desplazadas de sus hogares por temor al más reciente fenómeno atmosférico, luego de haber sufrido el azote de organismos s
...(more)

Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), (2), WMO (1), INFORM (2),