Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIRRILY-24
in Australia

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone KIRRILY-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1001043
Name KIRRILY-24
From - To 23 Jan - 02 Feb
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 102 km/h Tropical storm
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (25 Jan 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

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Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC 65 km/h 1 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 122 km/h 1.4 m 441 mm 0.5
GFS 122 km/h 1.2 m 652 mm 0.5
ECMWF 97 km/h 1.1 m 582 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Australia - Tropical storm KIRRILY (ECHO 24 Jan 2024)Wed, 24 Jan 2024 10:17

  • A new tropical storm named KIRRILY formed over the Coral Sea, south of the Solomon Islands, on  23 January and started moving south-west toward eastern Queensland State, north-eastern Australia. On 24 January at 6.00 UTC its centre was located offshore approximately 615 km north-east of Townsville City, coastal central Queensland, with maximum sustained winds of 85 km/h.
  • KIRRILY is expected to make landfall over the area between Townsville and Ayr Cities on the late afternoon (UTC) of 25 January, with maximum sustained winds up to 100 km/h.
  • Heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surge are forecast over the area between Sarina Town north to Innisfail Town, coastal central Queensland over 25-27 January. The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) has issed a gale warning zone and a gale watch zone over this area.
Australia - Tropical cyclone KIRRILY, update (ECHO 25 Jan 2024)Thu, 25 Jan 2024 11:38

  • Tropical cyclone KIRRILY continued south-west toward eastern Queensland State, north-eastern Australia on 24 January, strenghtening. On 25 January at 6.00 UTC its centre was located over the Coral Sea approximately 120 km north-east of Townsville City, coastal central Queensland, with maximum sustained winds of 111 km/h (tropical storm).
  • KIRRILY is forecast to make landfall over the Townsville City area, coastal central Queensland on late in the morning (UTC) of 25 January, with maximum sustained winds of aproximately 110 km/h. After that it is expected to continue south-westward inland over central Queensland on 25 January, weakening and becoming a tropical depression on the afternoon (UTC) of 26 January.
  • Heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surge are forecast over the area between Sarina Town north to Innisfail Town, coastal central Queensland over 25-26 January. The gale warning zone issued by the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) over this area is still in force. Over the same period, heavy rainfall is also forecast over central Queensland.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane weather: When the rain stops 2/6/2024 3:55:00 AM.

“The southern end of the low-pressure system will see the heaviest rainfall, with 30mm to 100mm expected,” Mr Hines said. ‘Canberra is right in line with the heavier rainfall totals and we could see between 50mm and 100mm of rain over the n
...(more)
Former tropical cyclone Kirrily brings torrential rain and flash flood.. 2/6/2024 1:07:00 AM.

New South Wales was lashed with torrential rain in the early hours of Tuesday, and three people were rescued from flood waters in their cars, as ex-tropical cyclone Kirrily moved across the state. After wreaking havoc in Queensland, the ex-
...(more)
Drenching for remote Aussie town 2/5/2024 10:45:00 PM.

The ex-cyclone triggered flood watches and warnings on Monday, with moderate and minor flood warnings remaining in place on Tuesday morning for parts of the state’s west. Moderate warnings for catchments including the Lachlan River to Cotto
...(more)
Drenching for remote Aussie town 2/5/2024 10:26:00 PM.

The ex-cyclone triggered flood watches and warnings on Monday, with moderate and minor flood warnings remaining in place on Tuesday morning for parts of the state’s west. Moderate warnings for catchments including the Lachlan River to Cotto
...(more)

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), (2), WMO (1), INFORM (2),