Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIRRILY-24
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIRRILY-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 102 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (25 Jan 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)
Landfall between
25 Jan 2024 00:00 - 26 Jan 2024 00:00

in Australia

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 120 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 102 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

120 km/h Current Max.

Up to 4900 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 23 Jan 2024 00:00 120 360 thousand No people Australia

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 23 Jan 2024 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -16.6, 153.7
GREEN
1 23 Jan 2024 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -17, 153.4
GREEN
1 24 Jan 2024 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -17.5, 152.6
GREEN
1 24 Jan 2024 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 35000 people -18, 151.2
GREEN
1 25 Jan 2024 00:00 Category 1 120 no people 360000 people -18.7, 149.5
GREEN
1 26 Jan 2024 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 2500 people -21.3, 146 Australia
GREEN
1 27 Jan 2024 00:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people -22.6, 146.1 Australia
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country Population in Category 1 or higher strength
Australia 4800 people

Provinces

Region Province Country Population in Category 1 or higher strength
Queensland Australia 4800 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Abbot Point AUABP Coral Sea Islands

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Dalrymple Burdekin Falls Burdekin 1987

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Bowen, Australia. This height is estimated for 25 Jan 2024 10:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (89 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 23 Jan 2024 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Jan 2024 10:00 Bowen Australia  0.8
25 Jan 2024 10:00 Yumbabullo Australia  0.8
25 Jan 2024 10:00 Inveroona Australia  0.8
25 Jan 2024 10:00 Queens Beach Australia  0.8
25 Jan 2024 10:00 Merinda Australia  0.7
25 Jan 2024 10:00 Delta Australia  0.7
25 Jan 2024 10:00 Bootooloo Australia  0.7
25 Jan 2024 07:00 Banana Pocket Australia  0.6
25 Jan 2024 07:00 Lethebrook Australia  0.6
25 Jan 2024 08:00 Midgeton Australia  0.6
25 Jan 2024 06:00 Cannonvale Australia  0.6
25 Jan 2024 06:00 Airlie Australia  0.6
25 Jan 2024 07:00 Etowri Australia  0.5
25 Jan 2024 07:00 Nindaroo Australia  0.5
25 Jan 2024 07:00 Bucasia Australia  0.5
25 Jan 2024 07:00 Eimeo Australia  0.5
25 Jan 2024 07:00 Andergrove Australia  0.5
25 Jan 2024 07:00 Blacks Beach Australia  0.5
25 Jan 2024 10:00 Seaforth Australia  0.5
24 Jan 2024 19:00 Te Kowai Australia  0.5
24 Jan 2024 18:00 Carmila Australia  0.4
24 Jan 2024 21:00 Slade Point Australia  0.4
24 Jan 2024 21:00 Amhurst Australia  0.4
25 Jan 2024 06:00 Glenella Australia  0.4
24 Jan 2024 21:00 Bakers Creek Australia  0.4
25 Jan 2024 14:00 Carstairs Australia  0.4
25 Jan 2024 14:00 Jarvisfield Australia  0.4
25 Jan 2024 14:00 Rita Island Australia  0.4
24 Jan 2024 20:00 North Mackay Australia  0.4
24 Jan 2024 20:00 Mackay Australia  0.4
24 Jan 2024 20:00 Cremorne Australia  0.4
25 Jan 2024 07:00 Rosella Australia  0.4
25 Jan 2024 07:00 Chelona Australia  0.4
25 Jan 2024 11:00 Taffy Islet Australia  0.4
24 Jan 2024 19:00 Flaggy Rock Australia  0.4
25 Jan 2024 07:00 Hay Point Australia  0.4
25 Jan 2024 07:00 Alligator Creek Australia  0.4
25 Jan 2024 11:00 Saint Lawrence Australia  0.3
25 Jan 2024 10:00 Elalie Australia  0.3
25 Jan 2024 11:00 Kalarka Australia  0.3
25 Jan 2024 11:00 Clairview Australia  0.3
25 Jan 2024 08:00 Alva Australia  0.3
24 Jan 2024 16:00 Keppel Sands Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2024 16:00 Farnborough Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2024 16:00 Yeppoon Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2024 16:00 Emu Park Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2024 16:00 Bula Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Jan 2024 16:00 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Jan 2024 16:00 Tais Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Jan 2024 14:00 Anansai Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2024 14:00 Wendu Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2024 14:00 Matara Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2024 14:00 Urum Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2024 14:00 Merauke Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2024 14:00 Kumbe Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2024 14:00 Sarire Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2024 14:00 Kotad Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2024 14:00 Dumande Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2024 14:00 Onggalie Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2024 16:00 Badu Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2024 15:00 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Jan 2024 17:00 Southend Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2024 14:00 Alakoe Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2024 14:00 Alatepi Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2024 14:00 Okaba Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2024 14:00 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2024 14:00 Pantava Papua New Guinea  0.1
25 Jan 2024 02:00 Cassady Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2024 17:00 Hammond I Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2024 17:00 Port Kennedy Australia  0.1
25 Jan 2024 02:00 Lucinda Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2024 14:00 Kobiem Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2024 14:00 Rewe Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Jan 2024 14:00 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2024 14:00 Welab Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2024 19:00 Townsville Australia  0.1
25 Jan 2024 19:00 Oonoonba Australia  0.1
25 Jan 2024 19:00 Cluden Australia  0.1
25 Jan 2024 19:00 Oolbun Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2024 14:00 Madaua Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Jan 2024 13:00 Hekampan Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Jan 2024 13:00 Tagula Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Jan 2024 14:00 Papisote Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2024 14:00 Gelib Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2024 01:00 Deeral Australia  0.1
25 Jan 2024 01:00 Bellenden Ker Australia  0.1
25 Jan 2024 02:00 Innisfail Australia  0.1
25 Jan 2024 02:00 Halifax Australia  0.1
25 Jan 2024 02:00 South Mission Beach Australia  0.1