Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for MURASU-26 in India from 01 Nov 2026 00:00 UTC to 03 Nov 2026 06:00 UTC

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Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for MURASU-26

in India

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

Click on the messages list to visualize on the right the detailed text.

Measurements Levels

SOURCE	GAUGE LOCATION	LAT	LON	TIME (UTC)	HEIGHT (m)	PERIOD (min)

03/11 07:52 WTIO51PGTW030900

03/11 07:50 WTIO31PGTW030900

03/11 01:37 WTIO51PGTW030300

03/11 01:34 WTIO31PGTW030300

02/11 19:44 WTIO31PGTW022100

02/11 19:44 WTIO51PGTW022100

02/11 18:01 WTIN01DEMS021800

02/11 13:07 WTIO51PGTW012100

02/11 13:07 WTIO51PGTW020300

02/11 13:05 WTIO51PGTW011500

02/11 04:14 WTIN01DEMS020412

01/11 09:54 WTIN20DEMS010952

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 030900
WARNING ATCG MIL 04B NIO 261103071503
2026110306 04B MURASU 010 01 340 03 SATL RADR 030
T000 158N 0802E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD
T012 163N 0800E 035
T024 168N 0797E 020
AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z --- NEAR 15.8N 80.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N 80.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 16.3N 80.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 16.8N 79.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
030900Z POSITION NEAR 15.9N 80.2E.
03NOV26. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 618
NM SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED
04B MAKING LANDFALL AT AROUND 030200Z JUST NORTHEAST OF ONGOLE AS A
HIGHLY COMPACT CYCLONE. FOLLOWING LANDFALL, 04B HAS STARTED TO
RAPIDLY DETERIORATE WITH INCREASINGLY DISORGANIZED CONVECTION AND
WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE
DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT
TRACKS FURTHER INLAND. TERRAIN INTERACTION WILL FURTHER ERODE
THE COMPACT VORTEX, WITH DISSIPATION EXEPCTED TO OCCUR NO LATER THAN
TAU 24. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 030600Z IS 984
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 12 FEET.//
0426102812 78N 981E 20
0426102818 82N 976E 25
0426102900 88N 974E 25
0426102906 88N 971E 20
0426102912 88N 966E 20
0426102918 89N 961E 20
0426103000 90N 955E 20
0426103006 93N 942E 20
0426103012 92N 934E 25
0426103018 93N 923E 25
0426103100 96N 910E 30
0426103106 99N 900E 30
0426103112 105N 887E 25
0426103118 108N 876E 30
0426110100 114N 862E 35
0426110106 123N 848E 40
0426110112 129N 836E 55
0426110112 129N 836E 55
0426110118 133N 826E 60
0426110118 133N 826E 60
0426110200 139N 815E 60
0426110200 139N 815E 60
0426110206 142N 810E 70
0426110206 142N 810E 70
0426110206 142N 810E 70
0426110212 146N 807E 75
0426110212 146N 807E 75
0426110212 146N 807E 75
0426110218 151N 805E 85
0426110218 151N 805E 85
0426110218 151N 805E 85
0426110300 155N 803E 80
0426110300 155N 803E 80
0426110300 155N 803E 80
0426110306 158N 802E 65
0426110306 158N 802E 65
0426110306 158N 802E 65
NNNN

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 030900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z --- NEAR 15.8N 80.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N 80.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 16.3N 80.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 16.8N 79.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
030900Z POSITION NEAR 15.9N 80.2E.
03NOV26. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 618
NM SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED
04B MAKING LANDFALL AT AROUND 030200Z JUST NORTHEAST OF ONGOLE AS A
HIGHLY COMPACT CYCLONE. FOLLOWING LANDFALL, 04B HAS STARTED TO
RAPIDLY DETERIORATE WITH INCREASINGLY DISORGANIZED CONVECTION AND
WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE
DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT
TRACKS FURTHER INLAND. TERRAIN INTERACTION WILL FURTHER ERODE
THE COMPACT VORTEX, WITH DISSIPATION EXPECTED TO OCCUR NO LATER THAN
TAU 24. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 030600Z IS 984
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 12 FEET.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 030300
WARNING ATCG MIL 04B NIO 261103012513
2026110300 04B MURASU 009 01 345 04 SATL RADR 030
T000 155N 0803E 085 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 162N 0800E 055
T024 166N 0798E 035
T036 170N 0793E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030000Z --- NEAR 15.5N 80.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N 80.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 16.2N 80.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 16.6N 79.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 17.0N 79.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
030300Z POSITION NEAR 15.7N 80.2E.
03NOV26. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 626
NM SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 030000Z IS 974 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
030900Z, 031500Z, 032100Z AND 040300Z.
//
0426102812 78N 981E 20
0426102818 82N 976E 25
0426102900 88N 974E 25
0426102906 88N 971E 20
0426102912 88N 966E 20
0426102918 89N 961E 20
0426103000 90N 955E 20
0426103006 93N 942E 20
0426103012 92N 934E 25
0426103018 93N 923E 25
0426103100 96N 910E 30
0426103106 99N 900E 30
0426103112 105N 887E 25
0426103118 108N 876E 30
0426110100 114N 862E 35
0426110106 123N 848E 40
0426110112 129N 836E 55
0426110112 129N 836E 55
0426110118 133N 826E 60
0426110118 133N 826E 60
0426110200 139N 815E 60
0426110200 139N 815E 60
0426110206 142N 810E 70
0426110206 142N 810E 70
0426110206 142N 810E 70
0426110212 146N 807E 75
0426110212 146N 807E 75
0426110212 146N 807E 75
0426110218 151N 804E 85
0426110218 151N 804E 85
0426110218 151N 804E 85
0426110300 155N 803E 85
0426110300 155N 803E 85
0426110300 155N 803E 85
NNNN

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 030300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
030000Z --- NEAR 15.5N 80.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N 80.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 16.2N 80.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 16.6N 79.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 17.0N 79.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
030300Z POSITION NEAR 15.7N 80.2E.
03NOV26. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 626
NM SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 030000Z IS 974 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
030900Z, 031500Z, 032100Z AND 040300Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 022100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021800Z --- NEAR 15.1N 80.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N 80.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 15.9N 80.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 16.4N 80.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 16.8N 79.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
022100Z POSITION NEAR 15.3N 80.4E.
02NOV26. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 635
NM SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 021800Z IS 973 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
030300Z, 030900Z, 031500Z AND 032100Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 022100
WARNING ATCG MIL 04B NIO 261102193419
2026110218 04B MURASU 008 01 340 05 SATL RADR 030
T000 151N 0805E 085 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 159N 0802E 070 R064 015 NE QD 010 SE QD 005 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD
T024 164N 0800E 050
T036 168N 0797E 030
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU) WARNING NR 008
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
021800Z --- NEAR 15.1N 80.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N 80.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 15.9N 80.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 16.4N 80.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 16.8N 79.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
022100Z POSITION NEAR 15.3N 80.4E.
02NOV26. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 635
NM SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 021800Z IS 973 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
030300Z, 030900Z, 031500Z AND 032100Z.
//
0426102812 78N 981E 20
0426102818 82N 976E 25
0426102900 88N 974E 25
0426102906 88N 971E 20
0426102912 88N 966E 20
0426102918 89N 961E 20
0426103000 90N 955E 20
0426103006 93N 942E 20
0426103012 92N 934E 25
0426103018 93N 923E 25
0426103100 96N 910E 30
0426103106 99N 900E 30
0426103112 105N 887E 25
0426103118 108N 876E 30
0426110100 114N 862E 35
0426110106 123N 848E 40
0426110112 129N 836E 55
0426110112 129N 836E 55
0426110118 133N 826E 60
0426110118 133N 826E 60
0426110200 139N 815E 60
0426110200 139N 815E 60
0426110206 142N 810E 70
0426110206 142N 810E 70
0426110206 142N 810E 70
0426110212 146N 807E 75
0426110212 146N 807E 75
0426110212 146N 807E 75
0426110218 151N 805E 85
0426110218 151N 805E 85
0426110218 151N 805E 85
NNNN

Original Message :

WTIN01 DEMS 021800
GMDSS BULLETIN NO-11: 021800
ISSUED BY: INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT, NEW DELHI
HIGH SEA FORECAST FOR MET. AREA VIII (N)
AREA OF COVERAGE: AREA OF THE INDIAN OCEAN ENCLOSED BY LINES FROM THE
INDO-
PAKISTAN FRONTIER AT 23O45N 68 DEG E TO 00 DEG N 6 DEG E, THECE TO
CAPE
GARDAFUI; THE EAST AFRICAN COAST SOUTH TO THE EQUATOR, THENCE TO 95
DEG E, TO
6 DEG N, THENCE NORTH EASTWARDS TO MYANMAR/THAIL FRONTIER IN 10 DEG N
98 DEG
30E NORTHWARDS COVERING ENTIRE BAY OF BENGAL.

VALID FROM 18 UTC OF 02ND NOVEMBER 2026 TO 12 UTC OF 04TH NOVEMBER
2026.

PART-I STORM WARNING

PART-II SYNOPTIC WEATHER SYSTEM AT 1200 UTC:

SUB: SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM MURASU [PRONUNCIATION: MURASU] OVER
WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL.

THE SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM MURASU [PRONUNCIATION: MURASU] OVER
WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL MOVED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF
12 KMPH DURING PAST 06 HOURS AND LAY CENTERED AT 1200 UTC OF TODAY,
THE 02ND NOVEMBER, 2026 OVER THE SAME REGION NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 DEG N
AND LONGITUDE 80.7 DEG E, ABOUT 80 KM EAST-NORTHEAST OF NELLORE
(43245, ANDHRA PRADESH), 80 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KAVALI (43243,
ANDHRA
PRADESH), 110 KM SOUTHEAST OF ONGOLE (43221, ANDHRA PRADESH), 190 KM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CHENNAI (TAMIL NADU) AND 170 KM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
MACHILIPATNAM (43185, ANDHRA PRADESH).

IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARDS AND CROSS SOUTH ANDHRA
PRADESH COAST AS A SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM WITH WIND SPEED OF 100 TO
110 KMPH GUSTING TO 120 KMPH BETWEEN NELLORE (ANDHRA PRADESH, 43245)
AND NARSAPUR (ANDHRA PRADESH, 43187) CLOSE TO ONGOLE (ANDHRA PRADESH,
43221) DURING 1800-2200 UTC OF 2ND NOVEMBER, 2026.

THE SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM MURASU IS UNDER THE CONTINUOUS SURVEILLANCE
OF DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS AT CHENNAI, MACHILIPATNAM AND
VISAKHAPATNAM.

FORECAST LOCATION AND INTENSITY ARE GIVEN IN FOLLOWING TABLE:

DATE/TIME
(UTC) POSITION
(LAT. 0N/ LONG. 0E) MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WIND SPEED (KMPH) CATEGORY OF CYCLONIC DISTURBANCE
02.11.26/1200 14.7/80.7 100-110 GUSTING TO 120 SEVERE
CYCLONIC STORM
02.11.26/1800 15.1/80.3 100-110 GUSTING TO 120 SEVERE
CYCLONIC STORM
03.11.26/0000 15.6/80.0 90-100 GUSTING TO 110 CYCLONIC
STORM
03.11.26/0600 15.9/79.8 70-80 GUSTING TO 90 CYCLONIC
STORM
03.11.26/1200 16.3/79.6 60-70 GUSTING TO 80 CYCLONIC
STORM
04.11.26/0000 17.1/79.4 50-60 GUSTING TO 70 DEEP
DEPRESSION
04.11.26/1200 14.7/80.7 100-110 GUSTING TO 120 SEVERE
CYCLONIC STORM

WIND INFORMATION:-

02.11.2026/1200:
WINDSPEEDS REACHING 27 KT AT AROUND 140 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE NE, SE QUADRANT, AROUND 130 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SW,
NW QUADRANTS RESPECTIVELY.

WINDSPEEDS REACHING 34 KT AT AROUND 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE NE QUADRANT, AROUND 95 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SE
QUADRANT, AROUND 85 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SW QUADRANT,
AROUND 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NW QUADRANT RESPACTIVELY.

WINDSPEEDS REACHING 50 KT AT AROUND 75 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE NE QUADRANT, AROUND 45 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SE, SW
QUADRANT, AROUND 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NW QUADRANTS
RESPECTIVELY.

02.11.2026/1800:
WINDSPEEDS REACHING 27 KT AT AROUND 140 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE NE, SE QUADRANT, AROUND 130 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SW,
NW QUADRANTS RESPECTIVELY.

WINDSPEEDS REACHING 34 KT AT AROUND 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE NE QUADRANT, AROUND 95 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SE
QUADRANT, AROUND 85 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SW QUADRANT,
AROUND 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NW QUADRANT RESPACTIVELY.

WINDSPEEDS REACHING 50 KT AT AROUND 80 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE NE QUADRANT, AROUND 45 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SE, SW
QUADRANT, AROUND 65 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NW QUADRANTS
RESPECTIVELY.

03.11.2026/0000:
WINDSPEEDS REACHING 27 KT AT AROUND 130 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE NE, SE QUADRANT, AROUND 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SW,
NW QUADRANTS RESPECTIVELY.

WINDSPEEDS REACHING 34 KT AT AROUND 95 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE NE QUADRANT, AROUND 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SE
QUADRANT, AROUND 85 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SW QUADRANT,
AROUND 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NW QUADRANT RESPACTIVELY.

03.11.2026/1200:
WINDSPEEDS REACHING 27 KT AT AROUND 130 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE NE, SE QUADRANT, AROUND 110 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SW
QUADRANT, AROUND 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NW QUADRANT
RESPECTIVELY.

04.11.2026/0000:
WINDSPEEDS REACHING 27 KT AT AROUND 130 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE NE, SE QUADRANT, AROUND 110 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SW
QUADRANT, AROUND 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NW QUADRANT
RESPECTIVELY.

PART-III AREA FORECAST:

AREA: ARB A1 (ARABIAN SEA)-EQUATOR TO 10 DEG N W OF 80 DEG E.
ARB A1-FORECAST VALID FROM 18 UTC OF 02ND NOV 2026 TO 12 UTC OF 03RD
NOV 2026.
I) WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED: 1) W OF 70 DEG E: NE/N-LY 05/10 KTS BEC
NW/N-LY 05/10 KTS
TO THE S OF 5 DEG N.
2) REST AREA: NW-LY 05/10 KTS.
II) WAVE HEIGHT: 0.5-2.0 MTR.
III) WEATHER: 1) E OF 50 DEG E TO THE S OF 5 DEG N: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD
RA/TS.
2) REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS.
IV) VISIBILITY: 1) E OF 50 DEG E TO THE S OF 5 DEG N: POOR.
2) REST AREA: GOOD.

ARB A1-FORECAST VALID FROM 12 UTC OF 03RD NOV 2026 TO 12 UTC OF 04TH
NOV 2026.
I) WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED: 1) W OF 70 DEG E: NE/E-LY 05/10 KTS BEC
NW-LY 05/10 KTS
TO THE S OF 5 DEG N.
2) REST AREA: NW/N-LY 05/10 KTS.
II) WAVE HEIGHT: 0.5-2.0 MTR.
III) WEATHER: 1) E OF 53 DEG E: SCATTERED RA/TS.
2) REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS.
IV) VISIBILITY: 1) E OF 53 DEG E: MODERATE.
2) REST AREA: GOOD.

ARB A2-ARABIAN SEA: -23 DEG 45 MIN N 68 DEG E TO 00 DEG N 63 DEG E TO
CAPE GARDAFUI
TO N OF 10 DEG N. 55.
ARB A2-FORECAST VALID FROM 18 UTC OF 02ND NOV 2026 TO 12 UTC OF 03RD
NOV 2026.
I) WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED: 1) N OF 20 DEG N: ANTICYCLONIC 05/10
KTS.
2) REST AREA: NE-LY 05/10 KTS.
II) WAVE HEIGHT: 0.5-2.0 MTR.
III) WEATHER: 1) S OF 20 DEG N: SCATTERED RA/TS.
2) REST AREA: FAIR.
IV) VISIBILITY: 1) S OF 20 DEG N: MODERATE.
2) REST AREA: GOOD.

ARB A2-FORECAST VALID FROM 12 UTC OF 03RD NOV 2026 TO 12 UTC OF 04TH
NOV 2026.
I) WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED: NE/N-LY 05/10 KTS.
II) WAVE HEIGHT: 0.5-2.0 MTR.
III) WEATHER: 1) E OF 65 DEG E TO THE S OF 20 DEG N: SCATTERED RA/TS.
2) REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS.
IV) VISIBILITY: 1) E OF 65 DEG E TO THE S OF 20 DEG N: MODERATE.
2) REST AREA: GOOD.

BOB A3-BAY OF BENGAL: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG N BETWEEN E OF 80 DEG E WEST
OF 10
DEG N/98 DEG 30 MIN E TO 6 DEG N/95 DEG E THENCE S-WARDS TO EQUATOR.
BOB A3-FORECAST VALID FROM 18 UTC OF 02ND NOV 2026 TO 12 UTC OF 03RD
NOV 2026.
I) WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED: 1) N OF 4 DEG N: NE-LY 05/10 KTS BEC
SE/S-LY 05/10 KTS TO
THE W OF 84 DEG E.
2) REST AREA:SE/E-LY 05/10 KTS.
II) WAVE HEIGHT: 0.5-2.0 MTR.
III) WEATHER: WIDESPREAD RA/TS.
IV) VISIBILITY: VERY POOR.

BOB A3-FORECAST VALID FROM 12 UTC OF 03RD NOV 2026 TO 12 UTC OF 04TH
NOV 2026.
I) WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED: NE/E-LY 05/10 KTS.
II) WAVE HEIGHT: 0.5-2.0 MTR.
III) WEATHER: WIDESPREAD RA/TS.
IV) VISIBILITY: VERY POOR.

BOB: A4: BAY OF BENGAL N OF 10 DEG N E OF 80 DEG E.
BOB A4-FORECAST VALID FROM 18 UTC OF 02ND NOV 2026 TO 12 UTC OF 03RD
NOV 2026.
I) WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED: NE/N-LY 10/20 KTS BEC CYCLONIC 50/60 KTS
AT 81.4 DEG E AND 14.1 DEG N
II) WAVE HEIGHT: 9.0-14.0 MTR.
III) WEATHER: 1) W OF 88 DEG E: WIDESPREAD RA/TS.
2) REST AREA: SCATTERED RA/TS.
IV) VISIBILITY: 1) W OF 88 DEG E: VERY POOR.
2) REST AREA: MODERATE.

BOB: A4: BAY OF BENGAL N OF 10 DEG N E OF 80 DEG E.
BOB A4-FORECAST VALID FROM 12 UTC OF 03RD NOV 2026 TO 12 UTC OF 04TH
NOV 2026.
I) WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED: NE/N-LY 10/20 KTS BEC CYCLONIC 35/45 KTS
AT 79.8 DEG E AND 15.5 DEG N.
II) WAVE HEIGHT: 6.0-9.0 MTR.
III) WEATHER: 1) S OF 18 DEG N: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS.
2) REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS.
IV) VISIBILITY: 1) S OF 18 DEG N: POOR.
2) REST AREA: GOOD.

ADVISORY: PLEASE BE AWARE. WIND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND
GUSTS
CAN BE 40 PER CENT STRONGER THAN THE FORECAST. MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT
CAN BE
TWICE THE FORECAST WAVE HEIGHT.

NEXT FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 03/0800 UTC.
==
ISSUED BY INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT=

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 012100
WARNING ATCG MIL 04B NIO 261101200459
2026110118 04B MURASU 004 01 295 15 SATL 060
T000 136N 0826E 060 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD
T012 145N 0810E 070 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 153N 0801E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 161N 0795E 050
T048 164N 0793E 030
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011800Z --- NEAR 13.6N 82.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N 82.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 14.5N 81.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 15.3N 80.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 16.1N 79.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z --- 16.4N 79.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
012100Z POSITION NEAR 13.8N 82.2E.
01NOV26. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 633
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 011800Z IS 995 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
020300Z, 020900Z, 021500Z AND 022100Z.
//
0426102812 78N 981E 20
0426102818 82N 976E 25
0426102900 88N 974E 25
0426102906 88N 971E 20
0426102912 88N 966E 20
0426102918 89N 961E 20
0426103000 90N 955E 20
0426103006 93N 942E 20
0426103012 92N 934E 25
0426103018 93N 923E 25
0426103100 96N 910E 30
0426103106 99N 900E 30
0426103112 105N 887E 25
0426103118 108N 876E 30
0426110100 114N 862E 35
0426110106 123N 848E 40
0426110112 129N 840E 50
0426110112 129N 840E 50
0426110118 136N 826E 60
0426110118 136N 826E 60
NNNN

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 020300
WARNING ATCG MIL 04B NIO 261102013856
2026110200 04B MURASU 005 01 285 08 SATL 060
T000 135N 0818E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD
T012 143N 0807E 055 R050 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 151N 0799E 050 R050 015 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD
T036 156N 0796E 040
T048 158N 0794E 030
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020000Z --- NEAR 13.5N 81.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N 81.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 14.3N 80.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 15.1N 79.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 15.6N 79.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 01 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 15.8N 79.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
020300Z POSITION NEAR 13.7N 81.5E.
02NOV26. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 663
NM SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 020000Z IS 996 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
020900Z, 021500Z, 022100Z AND 030300Z.
//
0426102812 78N 981E 20
0426102818 82N 976E 25
0426102900 88N 974E 25
0426102906 88N 971E 20
0426102912 88N 966E 20
0426102918 89N 961E 20
0426103000 90N 955E 20
0426103006 93N 942E 20
0426103012 92N 934E 25
0426103018 93N 923E 25
0426103100 96N 910E 30
0426103106 99N 900E 30
0426103112 105N 887E 25
0426103118 108N 876E 30
0426110100 114N 862E 35
0426110106 123N 848E 40
0426110112 129N 836E 55
0426110112 129N 836E 55
0426110118 133N 826E 60
0426110118 133N 826E 60
0426110200 135N 818E 55
0426110200 135N 818E 55
NNNN

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 011500
WARNING ATCG MIL 04B NIO 261101131026
2026110112 04B MURASU 003 01 300 12 SATL 060
T000 128N 0838E 050 R050 025 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 035 NW QD
T012 138N 0818E 065 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 148N 0805E 070 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 155N 0801E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 163N 0796E 045 R034 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD
T060 168N 0792E 025
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
060HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011200Z --- NEAR 12.8N 83.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N 83.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 13.8N 81.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 14.8N 80.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 15.5N 80.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 16.3N 79.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 16.8N 79.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
011500Z POSITION NEAR 13.1N 83.3E.
01NOV26. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (MURASU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 644
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 011200Z IS 998 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
012100Z, 020300Z, 020900Z AND 021500Z.
//
0426102812 78N 981E 20
0426102818 82N 976E 25
0426102900 88N 974E 25
0426102906 88N 971E 20
0426102912 88N 966E 20
0426102918 89N 961E 20
0426103000 90N 955E 20
0426103006 93N 942E 20
0426103012 92N 934E 25
0426103018 93N 923E 25
0426103100 96N 910E 30
0426103106 99N 900E 30
0426103112 105N 887E 25
0426103118 108N 876E 30
0426110100 114N 862E 35
0426110106 122N 849E 40
0426110112 128N 838E 50
0426110112 128N 838E 50
NNNN

Original Message :

WTIN01 DEMS 020412
SPECIAL GMDSS BULLETIN NO-7: 020400
ISSUED BY: INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT, NEW DELHI
HIGH SEA FORECAST FOR MET. AREA VIII (N)
AREA OF COVERAGE: AREA OF THE INDIAN OCEAN ENCLOSED BY LINES FROM THE
INDO-
PAKISTAN FRONTIER AT 23O45'N 68 DEG E TO 00 DEG N 6 DEG E, THECE TO
CAPE
GARDAFUI; THE EAST AFRICAN COAST SOUTH TO THE EQUATOR, THENCE TO 95
DEG E, TO
6 DEG N, THENCE NORTH EASTWARDS TO MYANMAR/THAIL FRONTIER IN 10 DEG N
98 DEG
30'E NORTHWARDS COVERING ENTIRE BAY OF BENGAL.
VALID FROM 04 UTC OF 02 ND NOVEMBER 2026 TO 12 UTC OF 03 RD NOVEMBER
2026.
PART-I STORM WARNING: NIL
PART-II SYNOPTIC WEATHER SYSTEM AT 0000 UTC:
SUB: - SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM MURASU [PRONUNCIATION: MURASU] OVER
WESTCENTRAL &
ADJOINING SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL [CYCLONE WARNING FOR ANDHRA PRADESH
AND
ADJOINING NORTH TAMIL NADU COASTS RED MESSAGE]
THE SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM MURASU [PRONUNCIATION: MURASU]\U201D OVER
WESTCENTRAL &
ADJOINING SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS WITH A
SPEED OF 25
KMPH DURING PAST 06 HOURS AND LAY CENTERED AT 0000 UTC OF TODAY, THE
02ND NOVEMBER,
2026 OVER THE SAME REGION NEAR LATITUDE 13.9ON AND LONGITUDE 81.8OE,
ABOUT 200 KM EAST-
NORTHEAST OF CHENNAI (TAMIL NADU), 210 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NELLORE
(ANDHRA PRADESH),
270 KM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MACHILIPATNAM (ANDHRA PRADESH), 220 KM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
KAVALI (ANDHRA PRADESH), AND 260 KM SOUTHEAST OF ONGOLE (ANDHRA
PRADESH).
IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARDS AND CROSS SOUTH ANDHRA
PRADESH COAST AS A
SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM WITH WIND SPEED OF 100 TO 110 KMPH GUSTING TO
120 KMPH BETWEEN
NELLORE AND NARSAPUR CLOSE TO ONGOLE DURING MIDNIGHT (2330 HRS IST)
OF TODAY, THE 02 ND
NOVEMBER TO EARLY HOURS (0400 HRS IST) OF TOMORROW, THE 3 RD
NOVEMBER, 2026.

FORECAST LOCATION AND INTENSITY ARE GIVEN IN FOLLOWING TABLE:
DATE/TIME
(UTC)

POSITION
(LAT. 0 N/ LONG. 0 E)

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WIND SPEED (KMPH)

CATEGORY OF CYCLONIC
DISTURBANCE
02.11.26/0000 13.9/81.8 95-105 GUSTING TO 115 SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
02.11.26/0600 14.2/81.1 100-110 GUSTING TO 120 SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
02.11.26/1200 14.6/80.6 100-110 GUSTING TO 120 SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
02.11.26/1800 15.1/80.1 100-110 GUSTING TO 120 SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
03.11.26/0000 15.5/79.8 75-85 GUSTING TO 95 CYCLONIC STORM

03.11.26/1200 16.0/79.5 50-60 GUSTING TO 70 DEEP DEPRESSION
04.11.26/0000 16.5/78.2 40-50 GUSTING TO 60 DEPRESSION

WIND INFORMATION:-
02.11.2026/0600:
WINDSPEEDS REACHING 27 KT AT AROUND 160 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE NE, SE
QUADRANT, AROUND 140 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SW, NW
QUADRANTS
RESPECTIVELY.
WINDSPEEDS REACHING 34 KT AT AROUND 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE NE,
AROUND 95 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SE QUADRANTS, AROUND 85 NM
RADIUS
FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SW QUADRANTS, AROUND 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE
CENTRE IN
THE NW QUADRANTS RESPACTIVELY.
WINDSPEEDS REACHING 50 KT AT AROUND 65 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE NE, SE
QUADRANT, AROUND 75 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SW, NW QUADRANTS
RESPECTIVELY.
02.11.2026/1200:
WINDSPEEDS REACHING 27 KT AT AROUND 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE NE, SE
QUADRANT, AROUND 130 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SW, NW
QUADRANTS
RESPECTIVELY.
WINDSPEEDS REACHING 34 KT AT AROUND 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE NE,
AROUND 95 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SE QUADRANTS, AROUND 85 NM
RADIUS
FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SW QUADRANTS, AROUND 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE
CENTRE IN
THE NW QUADRANTS RESPACTIVELY.
WINDSPEEDS REACHING 50 KT AT AROUND 65 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE NE, SE
QUADRANT, AROUND 75 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SW, NW QUADRANTS
RESPECTIVELY.
02.11.2026/1800:
WINDSPEEDS REACHING 27 KT AT AROUND 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE NE, SE
QUADRANT, AROUND 130 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SW, NW
QUADRANTS
RESPECTIVELY.
WINDSPEEDS REACHING 34 KT AT AROUND 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE NE,
AROUND 95 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SE QUADRANTS, AROUND 85 NM
RADIUS
FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SW QUADRANTS, AROUND 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE
CENTRE IN
THE NW QUADRANTS RESPACTIVELY.
WINDSPEEDS REACHING 50 KT AT AROUND 65 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE NE, SE
QUADRANT, AROUND 75 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SW, NW QUADRANTS
RESPECTIVELY.
03.11.2026/0000:
WINDSPEEDS REACHING 27 KT AT AROUND 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE NE, SE
QUADRANT, AROUND 130 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SW, NW
QUADRANTS
RESPECTIVELY.

WINDSPEEDS REACHING 34 KT AT AROUND 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE NE,
AROUND 95 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SE QUADRANTS, AROUND 85 NM
RADIUS
FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SW QUADRANTS, AROUND 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE
CENTRE IN
THE NW QUADRANTS RESPACTIVELY.
03.11.2026/1200:
WINDSPEEDS REACHING 27 KT AT AROUND 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE NE, SE
QUADRANT, AROUND 130 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SW, NW
QUADRANTS
RESPECTIVELY.
04.11.2026/0000:
WINDSPEEDS REACHING 27 KT AT AROUND 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE NE, SE
QUADRANT, AROUND 130 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SW, NW
QUADRANTS
RESPECTIVELY.
PART-III AREA FORECAST:
AREA: ARB A1 (ARABIAN SEA)-EQUATOR TO 10 DEG N W OF 80 DEG E.
ARB A1-FORECAST VALID FROM 04 UTC OF 02 ND NOV 2026 TO 12 UTC OF 02
ND NOV 2026.
I) WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED: NE/N-LY 05/15 KTS BEC NW-LY 05/10 KTS
TO THE S OF 3 DEG N.

II) WAVE HEIGHT: 0.5-2.0 MTR.
III) WEATHER: 1) E OF 52 DEG E TO THE S OF 7 DEG N: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD
RA/TS.

2) REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS.

IV) VISIBILITY: 1) E OF 52 DEG E TO THE S OF 7 DEG N: POOR.

2) REST AREA: GOOD.

ARB A1-FORECAST VALID FROM 12 UTC OF 02 ND NOV 2026 TO 12 UTC OF 03
RD NOV 2026.
I) WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED: 1) W OF 70 DEG E: NE/N-LY 05/10 KTS BEC
NW/N-LY 05/10 KTS

TO THE S OF 5 DEG N.
2) REST AREA: NE/E-LY 05/10 KTS.

II) WAVE HEIGHT: 0.5-2.0 MTR.
III) WEATHER: 1) S OF 6 DEG N: SCATTERED RA/TS.
2) REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS.
IV) VISIBILITY: 1) S OF 6 DEG N: MODERATE.
2) REST AREA: GOOD.

ARB A2-ARABIAN SEA: -23 DEG 45 MIN N 68 DEG E TO 00 DEG N 63 DEG E TO
CAPE GARDAFUI
TO N OF 10 DEG N. 55.
ARB A2-FORECAST VALID FROM 04 UTC OF 02 ND NOV 2026 TO 12 UTC OF 02
ND NOV 2026.
I) WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED: NE/N-LY 05/10 KTS.
II) WAVE HEIGHT: 0.5-2.0 MTR.
III) WEATHER: 1) E OF 60 DEG E TO THE S OF 20 DEG N: ISOLATED RA/TS.

2) REST AREA: FAIR.

IV) VISIBILITY: 1) E OF 60 DEG E TO THE S OF 20 DEG N: GOOD.

2) REST AREA: GOOD.

ARB A2-FORECAST VALID FROM 12 UTC OF 02 ND NOV 2026 TO 12 UTC OF 03
RD NOV 2026.
I) WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED: NE/E-LY 05/10 KTS.
II) WAVE HEIGHT: 0.5-2.0 MTR.
III) WEATHER: 1) S OF 18 DEG N: ISOLATED RA/TS.

2) REST AREA: FAIR.
IV) VISIBILITY: 1) S OF 18 DEG N: GOOD.
2) REST AREA: GOOD.

BOB A3-BAY OF BENGAL: EQUATOR TO 10 DEG N BETWEEN E OF 80 DEG E WEST
OF 10

DEG N/98 DEG 30 MIN E TO 6 DEG N/95 DEG E THENCE S-WARDS TO EQUATOR.
BOB A3-FORECAST VALID FROM 04 UTC OF 02 ND NOV 2026 TO 12 UTC OF 02
ND NOV 2026.
I) WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED: 1) N OF 5 DEG N: NE/N-LY 05/10 KTS BEC
SE/E-LY 05/10 KTS TO

THE W OF 85 DEG E.
2) REST AREA:SE/E-LY 05/10 KTS.

II) WAVE HEIGHT: 0.5-2.0 MTR.
III) WEATHER: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS.
IV) VISIBILITY: POOR.
BOB A3-FORECAST VALID FROM 12 UTC OF 02 ND NOV 2026 TO 12 UTC OF 03
RD NOV 2026.
I) WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED: NE/E-LY 05/10 KTS.
II) WAVE HEIGHT: 0.5-2.0 MTR.
III) WEATHER: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS.
IV) VISIBILITY: POOR.
BOB: A4: BAY OF BENGAL N OF 10 DEG N E OF 80 DEG E.
BOB A4-FORECAST VALID FROM 04 UTC OF 02 ND NOV 2026 TO 12 UTC OF 02
ND NOV 2026.
I) WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED: CYCLONIC 50/60 KTS AT 81.8 DEG E AND
13.9 DEG N
II) WAVE HEIGHT: 9.0-14.0 MTR.
III) WEATHER: 1) W OF 92 DEG E: WIDESPREAD RA/TS.
2) REST AREA: SCATTERED RA/TS.
IV) VISIBILITY: 1) W OF 92 DEG E: VERY POOR.
2) REST AREA: MODERATE.

BOB: A4: BAY OF BENGAL N OF 10 DEG N E OF 80 DEG E.
BOB A4-FORECAST VALID FROM 12 UTC OF 02 ND NOV 2026 TO 12 UTC OF 03
RD NOV 2026.
I) WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED: CYCLONIC 50/60 KTS AT 80.6 DEG E AND
14.6 DEG N.
II) WAVE HEIGHT: 9.0-14.0 MTR.
III) WEATHER: 1) S OF 18 DEG N: FAIRLY WIDESPREAD RA/TS.

2) REST AREA: ISOLATED RA/TS.
IV) VISIBILITY: 1) S OF 18 DEG N: POOR.
2) REST AREA: GOOD.

ADVISORY: PLEASE BE AWARE. WIND WAVE FORECASTS ARE AVERAGES. WIND
GUSTS
CAN BE 40 PER CENT STRONGER THAN THE FORECAST. MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT
CAN BE
TWICE THE FORECAST WAVE HEIGHT.
NEXT FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 02/1700 UTC.=

Original Message :

WTIN20 DEMS 010952
SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC SPECIAL TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 01.11.2026
SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY
OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR THE NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT
1000 UTC OF 01.11.2026 BASED ON 0600 UTC OF 01.11.2026.

SUB: DEEP DEPRESSION INTENSIFIED INTO CYCLONIC STORM MURASU
[PRONUNCIATION: MURASU] OVER
SOUTHWEST & ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL

THE DEEP DEPRESSION OVER SOUTHWEST & ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BAY OF
BENGAL MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS
WITH SPEED OF 23 KMPH DURING PAST 6 HOURS, INTENSIFIED INTO THE
CYCLONIC STORM MURASU [PRONUNCIATION:
MURASU] AND LAY CENTERED AT 0600 UTC OF TODAY, THE 01ST NOVEMBER,
2026 OVER SOUTHWEST & ADJOINING
WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL, NEAR LATITUDE 12.1ON AND LONGITUDE 85.3OE,
ABOUT 560 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
CHENNAI (TAMIL NADU, 43279), 660 KM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF VISHAKHAPATNAM
(ANDHRA PRADESH, 43149), 630
KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NELLORE (ANDHRA PRADESH, 43245), 640 KM
SOUTHEAST OF MACHILIPATNAM (ANDHRA
PRADESH, 43185) AND 680 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ONGOLE (ANDHRA PRADESH,
43221).

IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS AND INTENSIFY FURTHER
INTO A SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM OVER
WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL AROUND 0000 UTC OF 2ND NOVEMBER. THEREAFTER
IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE
NORTHWESTWARDS AND CROSS SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COAST AS A SEVERE
CYCLONIC STORM WITH WIND SPEED OF
100 TO 110 KMPH GUSTING 120KMPH BETWEEN NELLORE (ANDHRA PRADESH,
43245,) AND NARSAPUR (ANDHRA
PRADESH, 43187) DURING 1800 UTC AND 2230 UTC OF 2ND NOVEMBER, 2026.

FORECAST LOCATION AND INTENSITY ARE GIVEN IN FOLLOWING TABLE:

DATE/TIME POSITION MAXIMUM SUSTAINED CATEGORY OF CYCLONIC
(UTC) (LAT.0N/LONG.0E) SURFACE WIND SPEED (KMPH) DISTURBANCE

01.11.26/0600 12.1/85.3 65-75 GUSTING TO 85 CYCLONIC STORM
01.11.26/1200 12.6/84.3 70-80 GUSTING TO 90 CYCLONIC STORM
01.11.26/1800 13.1/83.3 80-90 GUSTING TO 100 CYCLONIC STORM
02.11.26/0000 13.6/82.3 90-100 GUSTING TO 110 SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
02.11.26/0600 14.6/81.2 100-110 GUSTING TO 120 SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
02.11.26/1800 15.3/80.4 100-110 GUSTING TO 120 SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
03.11.26/0600 16.2/80.0 80-90 GUSTING TO 100 CYCLONIC STORM
03.11.26/1800 17.5/79.9 55-65 GUSTING TO 75 DEEP DEPRESSION
04.11.26/0600 18.8/80.0 35-45 GUSTING TO 55 DEPRESSION

THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEED IS 35 KT
GUSTING TO 45KT.

A SHIP LOCATED AT 5.6N,86E REPORTED MSLP OF 1012.0 HPA AND MSW 1900

(WIND DIRECTION)/8.0KT,
ANOTHER SHIP LOCATED AT 5.57N, 85.0E REPORTED MSLP OF 1017.0 HPA AND
MSW 2100
(WIND

DIRECTION)/8KT,
AS PER LATEST INSAT 3DS IMAGERY BASED ON 0600 UTC, INTENSITY OF THE
SYSTEM IS T2.5. SPIRAL
BANDS ARE APPEARING IN THE CLOUD IMAGERY. THE AREA OF INTENSE
CONVECTION IS SHEARED TO NORTHWEST.
ASSOCIATED SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED
INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH AND ADJACENT CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL, WITH
MINIMUM CLOUD TOP
TEMPERATURE (CTT) AS -70OC TO -90OC. MULTI-SATELLITE BASED WINDS
INDICATE STRONGER WINDS IN
NORTHERN SECTOR.

STORM SURGE WARNING:

STORM SURGE OF ABOUT 1.0 M HEIGHT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE IS VERY
LIKELY TO INUNDATE LOW LYING
AREAS OF SOUTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH DURING THE TIME OF LANDFALL.
THE MAXIMUM PEAK SURGE IS
EXPECTED OVER BAPATLA, KRISNA AND PRAKASAM DISTRICT.

REMARKS:

SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE IS AROUND 290C OVER ANDAMAN SEA AND ENTIRE
BOB. IT HAS REDUCED BY 10C OVER
THE REGION COMPARED TO LAST WEEK. THE OCEAN HEAT CONTENT IS 60-70
KJ/CM2

AND IS SLIGHTLY LESS ALONG & OFF
SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COAST. THE MADDEN JULIAN OSCILLATION (MJO) IS
CURRENTLY IN PHASE 3 WITH AMPLITUDE
MORE THAN 1. IT IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE IN SAME PHASE DURING NEXT 5
DAYS WITH AMPLITUDE MORE THAN 1. THE
GUIDANCE FROM THE NCICS MODEL INDICATES THE PREVALENCE OF WESTERLY
WIND ANOMALY (7-9 MPS) ALONGWITH
MJO OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND EASTERLY WIND ANOMALY (7-9 MPS) TO
ITS NORTH OVER WESTCENTRAL BOB ON
1ST NOV. ON 2ND NOV., WESTERLY WIND ANOMALY (5-7 MPS) OVER SOUTHWEST
& ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL BOB OFF
NORTH TAMIL NADU-SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS AND (5-7 MPS) TO ITS
NORTH OVER WESTCENTRAL BOB OFF ANDHRA
PRADESH COAST. PREVALENCE OF KELVIN WAVE OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF INDIA
WILL LEAD TO ENHANCEMENT OF
NORTHWESTERLIES OVER THE SOUTH PENINSULAR INDIA, BRINGING COLD AND
DRY AIR FROM NORTHWEST OVER THE REGION,
WHICH IS NOT SUPPORTIVE FOR HIGHER INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM.
HOWEVER AT THE SAME TIME, ACTIVE MJO
PHASE IS PERSISTING OVER THE REGION WHICH WILL ENHANCE CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY AND HENCE INTENSIFICATION OF THE
SYSTEM OVER BOB. DURING 2ND TO 4TH NOVEMBER, NO EQUATORIAL WAVES ARE
LIKELY OVER THE SYSTEM AREA.

VARIOUS ENVIRONMENTAL FEATURES INDICATE, THE POSITIVE LOW-LEVEL
VORTICITY AT 850 IS AROUND 150-200 X10-6
S-1 OVER SYSTEM AREA WITH VERTICAL EXTENSION UP TO 200 HPA. THE LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS AROUND 10 X10-6
S-1 TO THE WEST OF SYSTEM AREA. UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE HAS INCREASED
AND IS AROUND 30X10-6
S-1 OVER THE SYSTEM
AREA. THE AREA OF MAXIMUM CONVERGENCE AND DIVERGENCE LAY NEARBY TO
EACH OTHER. MID-LEVEL WIND-SHEAR
(500-850 HPA) IS LOW (5-10 KT) AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE. THE
MID-LEVEL WIND-SHEAR 950-850 HPA), WHILE IT IS
CLOCKWISE IMMEDIATELY NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER (UPTO 80OE), BECOMES
ANTI-CLOCKWISE OVER SOUTH PENINSULAR
INDIA, HENCE SUCH TYPE OF SHEAR WILL SUPPORT INTENSIFICATION OF THE
SYSTEM, WHILE MOVING TOWARDS THE COAST,.
THE RATE OF INTENSIFICATION MAY INCREASE FROM 1ST NOVEMBER EVENING
DUE TO SUCH SUPPORTIVE WIND SHEAR.

THE DEEP LAYER (200-850HPA) WIND SHEAR IS ALSO LOW TO MODERATE AROUND
THE SYSTEM CENTRE AND ALONG THE
FORECAST TRACK. THE ANTICYCLONIC SHEAR PREVAILS OVER THE ENTIRE AREA
OF SOUTH AND CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL AND
ALONG SOUTH PENINSULAR WHICH IS FAVOURABLE FOR FURTHER
INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM.
AN UPPER TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE RUNS 17ON IN ASSOCIATION WITH ANTICYCLONE
OVER MYANMAR. THE SYSTEM IS BEING
STEERED WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS BY THE EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
PREVAILING TO THE SOUTH OF RIDGE. HOWEVER AS
THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS AND ENTERS SOUTHWEST BAY OF
BENGAL, IT WILL BE STEERED NORTHWARDS
ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE AND CROSS SOUTH ANDHRA
PRADESH. AFTER THE LANDFALL IT WILL LIE CLOSE
TO THE RIDGE AND HENCE IT WILL MOVE NORTHWARDS AND NORTH-NORTHEAST
WARDS. SIMULTANEOUSLY, IT WILL COME

UNDER THE INFLUENCE THE UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH WHICH CURRENTLY
RUNS ALONG 65OE & IT WILL BE MOVING
TOWARDS 75OE BY 3RD NOVEMBER 2026. IT WILL ALSO NOT ALLOW THE SYSTEM
TO MOVE WESTWARDS RATHER IT WILL HELP
ITS NORTH-NORTHEASTWARDS RECURVATURE.
THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY INDICATES WARM MOIST AIR
INCURSION INTO THE CORE FROM AROUND THE
SYSTEM AND ALSO SYSTEM FORECAST TRACK. HOWEVER, COLD AIR INCURSION IS
REACHING OUTER PERIPHERY OF THE
SYSTEM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SECTOR FROM SOUTH INTERIOR PENINSULAR. AS
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
TOWARDS SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH, IT MAY SUPPORT THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY
FURTHER.

IR-WV IMAGERY INDICATES INTENSE CONVECTION (COLDER THAN \U20133 TO 4

0C) TO THE NORTHWEST OF SYSTEM CENTRE.

THUS MJO, HIGH SST, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR MAY SUPPORT
INTENSIFICATION OF SYSTEM.
THE MODEL DIAGNOSIS BASED ON GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MODELS INDICATES,
THAT CURRENT HIGH LEVEL (LOW TO
MODERATE) WINDS SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE BECOMING LOW WIND SHEAR
BY 06UTC OF 1ST NOVEMBER 2026.
THE LOW WIND SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TILL 00UTC OF 3RD NOVEMBER 2026
SUPPORTING INTENSIFICATION. MIDDLE LEVEL
RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS AT PRESENT ABOUT 70% WHILE IT IS EXPECTED TO
DECREASE SLIGHTLY BY 1ST NOVEMBER AND IT
MAY INCREASE THEREAFTER TILL 3RD NOVEMBER REACHING ABOUT 70-75%. THUS
SUPPORTS THE INTENSIFICATION.

THERE IS VERY GOOD CONVERGENCE AMONG VARIOUS MODELS W.R.T. MOVEMENT
OF THE SYSTEM TOWARDS SOUTH
ANDHRA PRADESH COAST. HOWEVER, THERE IS VARIATION AMONG VARIOUS
MODELS W.R.T INTENSIFICATION OF THE
SYSTEM. MODEL LIKE ECMWF, ECAI, EC-AIFS, GOOGLE DEEPMIND ARE
INDICATING THE SYSTEM TO CROSS AS
SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM. MODELS LIKE NCEP-GFS, GFS-AI, AURORA, ECMM ARE
INDICATING THE SYSTEM TO
CROSS AS CYCLONIC STORM. SOME MODELS LIKE FGN, FCN, IMD-MME, NCUM-R,
PANGU WEATHER AND
GRAPHCAST ARE INDICATING THE SYSTEM TO CROSS AS A DEEP DEPRESSION.

HENCE CONSIDERING THE ENVIRONMENTAL FEATURES, CLIMATOLOGICAL GUIDANCE
AND MODEL GUIDANCE, THE DEEP
DEPRESSION OVER SOUTHWEST & ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL MOVED
WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS WITH SPEED
OF 23 KMPH DURING PAST 6 HOURS, INTENSIFIED INTO THE CYCLONIC STORM
\U201CMURASU\U201D [PRONUNCIATION: MURASU]\U201D. IT IS
VERY LIKELY TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS AND INTENSIFY FURTHER INTO A
SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM OVER
WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL AROUND 0000 UTC OF 2ND NOVEMBER.

CONFIDENCE LEVEL IN ESTIMATION OF:
(A) CURRENT LOCATION AND INTENSITY: HIGH
(B) FORECAST TRACK: HIGH
(C) FORECAST INTENSITY: MOD-HIGH=

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