Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for GONZALO-26
in Cape Verde

Global Telecommunication Service

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Original Message :

WTNT42 KNHC 262038
TCDAT2

Post-Tropical Cyclone Gonzalo Discussion Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072026
800 PM CVT Sat Sep 26 2026

The bulk of the convective activity associated with Gonzalo has
become even further separated from its center this afternoon. This
increased separation is due to strong southwesterly vertical wind
shear, diagnosed at nearly 50 kt this afternoon by UW-CIMSS. In
addition, water vapor imagery shows very dry air infiltrating the
low-level circulation, limiting convective redevelopment. Given that
the nearest convection is now more than 100 n mi away from the
center, lacks sufficient organization, and that these very
unfavorable conditions are likely to persist, Gonzalo is being
declared a post-tropical cyclone in this advisory. The maximum
sustained winds remain 35 kt, assuming some higher winds exist in
the convection displaced well northeast of the center. The
post-tropical cyclone is still moving off to the north-northeast at
045 degrees at 6 kt. Downshear convection may still attempt to tug
the center more northward over the next 12-24 h. However, as this
activity diminishes, a shallow low-level ridge should steer the
remnant low more west-northwest during the early portion of next
week before dissipation.

This is the final NHC advisory on Gonzalo. Additional information
on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header
FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/2100Z 19.3N 23.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 27/0600Z 20.1N 23.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 27/1800Z 20.8N 23.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 28/0600Z 21.3N 24.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 28/1800Z 21.5N 24.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 29/0600Z 21.7N 25.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Papin


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 262037
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Gonzalo Advisory Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072026
800 PM CVT Sat Sep 26 2026

...GONZALO NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM CVT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 23.3W
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM N OF SAL CABO VERDE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM CVT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Gonzalo was located near latitude 19.3 North, longitude 23.3 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northwest near
7 mph (11 km/h) and this general motion is forecast to continue
through the weekend, with a slow down and turn to the west-northwest
expected by early next week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Additional weakening is forecast, and the post-tropical cyclone is
expected to dissipate over eastern Subtropical Atlantic by the
early to mid portion of next week.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Gonzalo are expected to affect portions
of the Cabo Verde Islands this evening before diminishing Sunday.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Papin


Original Message :

WTNT22 KNHC 262035
TCMAT2

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072026
2100 UTC SAT SEP 26 2026

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 23.3W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......160NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 90SE 60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 23.3W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 23.2W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 20.1N 23.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.8N 23.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.3N 24.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 21.5N 24.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.7N 25.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 23.3W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER PAPIN


Original Message :

WTNT42 KNHC 261441
TCDAT2

Tropical Storm Gonzalo Discussion Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072026
200 PM CVT Sat Sep 26 2026

Gonzalo remains a highly sheared tropical storm. Even though the
low-level circulation on GOES-19 visible images appears to be
somewhat less elongated than overnight, convection continues to be
quite displaced to the northeast due to a brutal 45 kt of
southwesterly vertical wind shear. A Metop-C ASCAT pass showed a
peak wind of 31 kt to the north of the circulation this morning, but
missed the center and the deeper convection to the northeast where
the highest winds were previously observed. The initial intensity is
thus only lowered to 35 kt this advisory, assuming some stronger
winds still exist in the convection to the northeast.

The low-level circulation is moving generally north-northwestward
at 345 degrees at 9 kt. This general motion should continue today,
followed by a slow down and turn to the west-northwest as the
increasingly shallow circulation becomes steered by a narrow
low-level ridge to its north. The latest NHC track forecast has been
shifted slightly further north, following the latest trends in the
HFIP Corrected Consensus Approach (HCCA) and Google DeepMind
ensemble mean (GDMI) aids. Intensity-wise, Gonzalo likely does not
have much time left as a tropical cyclone, with convection becoming
increasingly displaced from the center as shear over the system
remains above 40 kt. Like the previous forecast, weakening is
anticipated, and Gonzalo is forecast to become a remnant low in the
next 12 h as the convection is completely stripped away. Total
dissipation is likely to occur early next week as the remnant low
drifts over the subtropical Eastern Atlantic basin.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/1500Z 18.8N 23.0W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 27/0000Z 19.8N 23.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 27/1200Z 20.6N 23.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 28/0000Z 21.2N 23.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 28/1200Z 21.5N 24.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 29/0000Z 21.7N 24.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 29/1200Z 21.8N 25.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Papin


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 261440
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gonzalo Advisory Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072026
200 PM CVT Sat Sep 26 2026

...GONZALO MOVING NORTH OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS AND EXPECTED TO
DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW BY SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM CVT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.8N 23.0W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM N OF SAL CABO VERDE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM CVT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was
located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 23.0 West. Gonzalo is
moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this
general motion is forecast to continue through the weekend, with a
slow down and a turn to the west-northwest anticipated early next
week. On the forecast track, the center will continue to move away
from northeastern portions of the Cabo Verde Islands today.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Gonzalo is
expected to become a remnant low in the next 12-24 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Gonzalo are expected to affect portions
of the Cabo Verde Islands through today before diminishing Sunday.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM CVT.

$$
Forecaster Papin


Original Message :

WTNT22 KNHC 261439
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072026
1500 UTC SAT SEP 26 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 23.0W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......160NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 150SE 60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 23.0W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 22.8W

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 19.8N 23.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.6N 23.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 21.2N 23.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.5N 24.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.7N 24.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.8N 25.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 23.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN


Original Message :

WTNT42 KNHC 260848
TCDAT2

Tropical Storm Gonzalo Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072026
800 AM CVT Sat Sep 26 2026

The convective structure of Gonzalo has not changed much during the
last 6 hours. It continues to be a sheared tropical cyclone, with
the somewhat ill-defined low-level center exposed to the southwest
of the convective mass due to 30 kt of southwesterly shear
occurring over the cyclone. The TAFB current intensity number is
2.5/35 kt. Objective intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS range from
34-41 kt. Based on these estimates as well as earlier scatterometer
data, the intensity is held at 40 kt, but this could be a bit
generous.

The initial motion is northward, or 350 degrees at 8 kt. This
general motion should continue for another day, followed by a
deceleration and a turn toward the west-northwest by Monday. The
storm is already experiencing 30 kt of southwesterly vertical wind
shear, and the shear is expected to increase to over 40 kt by hour
12 of the forecast, so I expect the convection to continue moving
farther away from the low-level center. This should lead to Gonzalo
becoming post-tropical by hour 24 or a bit sooner. Model guidance
is in good agreement that Gonzalo will weaken significantly over the
next 36 hours, and the NHC forecast follows the guidance. Earlier
ASCAT data indicated the low-level circulation was becoming
elongated. If this trend continues, then Gonzalo could dissipate
sooner than forecast.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0900Z 17.6N 23.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 26/1800Z 18.9N 23.2W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 27/0600Z 20.1N 23.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 27/1800Z 20.7N 23.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 28/0600Z 21.1N 24.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 28/1800Z 21.3N 24.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 29/0600Z 21.5N 25.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 30/0600Z 21.9N 26.0W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Hagen


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 260847
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gonzalo Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072026
800 AM CVT Sat Sep 26 2026

...GONZALO STILL A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM THE CABO
VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM CVT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.6N 23.0W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM N OF SAL CABO VERDE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM CVT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was
located near latitude 17.6 North, longitude 23.0 West. Gonzalo is
moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h). A motion between
north and north-northwest is expected to continue through the
weekend, with a deceleration and a turn to the west-northwest
expected early next week. On the forecast track, the center will
continue to move away from northeastern portions of the Cabo
Verde Islands today.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. Weakening is anticipated, and Gonzalo could become a remnant
low or dissipate within the next 24 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by Gonzalo are expected to affect portions
of the Cabo Verde Islands through today before diminishing Sunday.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM CVT.

$$
Forecaster Hagen


Original Message :

WTNT22 KNHC 260845
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072026
0900 UTC SAT SEP 26 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 23.0W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......160NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 150SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 23.0W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 22.9W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.9N 23.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 20.1N 23.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.7N 23.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.1N 24.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 21.3N 24.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.5N 25.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 21.9N 26.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 23.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN


Original Message :

WTNT42 KNHC 260233
TCDAT2

Tropical Storm Gonzalo Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072026
200 AM CVT Sat Sep 26 2026

ASCAT-C data valid near 2230 UTC indicated that Gonzalo's
circulation has become poorly defined. At that time, the center of
Gonzalo was severely stretched by about 100 miles from southwest to
northeast. Although the ASCAT did not fully sample the area where
convection associated with Gonzalo is strongest, it did indicate
that the winds have generally decreased since yesterday. Based on
these data and the latest TAFB Dvorak fix, the intensity has been
lowered to 40 kt. It is worth noting that if current trends
continue and the center does not re-form under the convection,
Gonzalo could dissipate later this morning.

Gonzalo still appears to be moving northward, and should continue
on this track for the next day or so, though the track could jump
to the northeast temporarily if the center re-forms nearer the deep
convection. Regardless, models indicate that the remaining
convection should become disorganized within the next 24 h, which
would cause the cyclone to become post-tropical. Given the
environment that Gonzalo is moving into, which will consist of
increasing shear and cool SSTs, this seems likely. Once it becomes a
shallow cyclone, the remnants of Gonzalo are expected to meander
slowly to the north of the Cabo Verde Islands for several days
before dissipating near the middle of next week.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0300Z 16.9N 22.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 26/1200Z 18.4N 22.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 27/0000Z 19.8N 23.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 27/1200Z 20.6N 23.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 28/0000Z 21.1N 23.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 28/1200Z 21.5N 23.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 29/0000Z 21.8N 24.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 30/0000Z 22.0N 24.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky


Original Message :

WTNT22 KNHC 260232
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072026
0300 UTC SAT SEP 26 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 22.5W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......160NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 105SE 30SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 22.5W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 22.5W

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.4N 22.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...160NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 19.8N 23.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.6N 23.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 21.1N 23.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.5N 23.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.8N 24.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 22.0N 24.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 22.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 260232
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gonzalo Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072026
200 AM CVT Sat Sep 26 2026

...GONZALO WEAKENS AS IT CONTINUES NORTHWARD...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM CVT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 22.5W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM ENE OF SAL CABO VERDE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of the Cabo Verde Islands has discontinued the
Tropical Storm Warning for all of the Cabo Verde Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM CVT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was
located near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 22.5 West. Gonzalo is
moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h). A northward motion is
expected to continue this morning, followed by a slower
north-northwestward motion over the weekend. On the forecast track,
the center will move away from northeastern portion of the Cabo
Verde Islands today.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional weakening is anticipated. Gonzalo
could become a post-tropical remnant low or dissipate later today.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: Swells generated by the storm are expected to affect the Cabo
Verde Islands through today. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM CVT.

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 252336
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gonzalo Intermediate Advisory Number 4A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072026
1100 PM CVT Fri Sep 25 2026

...GONZALO MOVING NORTHWARD NEAR THE NORTHEASTERN CABO VERDE
ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM CVT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 22.5W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SE OF SAL CABO VERDE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The Cabo Verde Islands

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM CVT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was
located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 22.5 West. Gonzalo is
moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h). A northward motion is
expected to continue overnight, followed by a slower
north-northwestward motion over the weekend. On the forecast track,
the center will continue to pass near the northeastern portion of
the Cabo Verde Islands during the next couple of hours and move
north of the Cabo Verde Islands on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected during the next few hours.
Weakening is expected to begin by Saturday morning and continue
through the weekend. Gonzalo is forecast to become a post-tropical
remnant low by Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km),
primarily to the northeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Gonzalo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue over portions of
the Cabo Verde Islands tonight.

RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Gonzalo is expected to produce rainfall
totals of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) across the eastern portions of
the islands of Cabo Verde on Friday and Saturday with less than 1
inch anticipated for the western side of the island chain. Across
coastal areas of Guinea-Bissau, Gambia, and Senegal, rain bands east
of Gonzalo’s track will produce another 1 to 2 inches of rainfall
(25 to 50 mm) with isolated higher amounts along the immediate
coast.

SURF: Swells generated by the storm are expected to affect the Cabo
Verde Islands through Saturday. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM CVT.

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 252037
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gonzalo Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072026
800 PM CVT Fri Sep 25 2026

...GONZALO PASSING NEAR THE NORTHEASTERN CABO VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM CVT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 22.7W
ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM SSE OF SAL CABO VERDE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The Cabo Verde Islands

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM CVT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was
located near latitude 16.2 North, longitude 22.7 West. Gonzalo is
moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h). A northward to
north-northwestward motion is expected through tonight, followed by
a slower north-northwestward motion over the weekend. On the
forecast track, the center will pass near the northeastern portion
of the Cabo Verde Islands tonight and move north of the Cabo Verde
Islands on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected tonight. Weakening is
expected to begin by Saturday morning and continue through the
weekend. Gonzalo is forecast to become a post-tropical remnant
low by Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
primarily to the northeast of the center. The official observing
station on Sal in the Cabo Verde Islands recently reported a
sustained wind of 31 mph (50 km/h) with a gust to 43 mph (69 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Gonzalo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue over portions of
the Cabo Verde Islands tonight.

RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Gonzalo is expected to produce rainfall
totals of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) across the eastern portions of
the islands of Cabo Verde on Friday and Saturday with less than 1
inch anticipated for the western side of the island chain. Across
coastal areas of Guinea-Bissau, Gambia, and Senegal, rain bands east
of Gonzalos track will produce another 1 to 2 inches of rainfall
(25 to 50 mm) with isolated higher amounts along the immediate
coast.

SURF: Swells generated by the storm are expected to affect the Cabo
Verde Islands through Saturday. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 1100 PM CVT.
Next complete advisory at 200 AM CVT.

$$
Forecaster Brown


Original Message :

WTNT42 KNHC 252037
TCDAT2

Tropical Storm Gonzalo Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072026
800 PM CVT Fri Sep 25 2026

The overall structure of Gonzalo has changed little today. The
circulation is elongated from the north-northeast to south-southwest
with the advisory position set as a mean between a couple of
low-level vorticity centers on either end of the elongated center.
Deep convection remains displaced well to the northeast of the
estimated center due to moderate to strong southwesterly shear.
Objective and subjective satellite intensity estimates have not
changed much, therefore the initial intensity remains 45 kt, in line
with the earlier scatterometer data.

Gonzalo has been moving more northward today with an initial motion
estimate of 350/10 kt. The storm is expected to be steered
northward to north-northwestward during the next couple of days
between a mid-level trough to its north and a ridge over western
Africa. Gonzalo's forward speed is expected to decrease as the
system becomes increasingly shallow and is steered by the weaker
low-level flow. The new official track forecast is similar to the
previous advisory and lies closest to the latest Google Deep Mind
ensemble prediction.

The vertical shear over Gonzalo is forecast to increase
significantly on Saturday and with gradually decreasing sea surface
temperatures along the forecast track, weakening should begin by
Saturday morning. Simulated satellite imagery from the global
models indicate that Gonzalo will lose organized deep convection in
24 to 36 hours, and the new NHC forecast shows the system becoming a
post-tropical remnant low by Sunday morning. The intensity forecast
is in best agreement with the typically reliable consensus aids.

Key Messages:

1. Tropical storm conditions will continue across portions of the
Cabo Verde Islands tonight.

2. Heavy rains from Gonzalo could affect the eastern portions of
the Cabo Verde Islands and the western coast of Africa between
Guinea-Bissau to Senegal through Saturday. Areas of flash flooding
will be possible along the Africa coast with some isolated flash
flood concerns for the eastern islands of Cabo Verde.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/2100Z 16.2N 22.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 26/0600Z 17.6N 22.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 26/1800Z 19.0N 23.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 27/0600Z 20.0N 23.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 27/1800Z 20.6N 23.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 28/0600Z 21.2N 24.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 28/1800Z 21.7N 24.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 29/1800Z 22.0N 25.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brown


Original Message :

WTNT22 KNHC 252036
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072026
2100 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 22.7W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 40SE 0SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 90SE 45SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 22.7W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 22.6W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.6N 22.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 40SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 19.0N 23.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 30SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 20.0N 23.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.6N 23.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.2N 24.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 21.7N 24.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 22.0N 25.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 22.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 26/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 251748
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gonzalo Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072026
500 PM CVT Fri Sep 25 2026

...CENTER OF GONZALO NEARING THE EASTERN CABO VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM CVT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.7N 22.7W
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM S OF SAL CABO VERDE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The Cabo Verde Islands

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM CVT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was
located near latitude 15.7 North, longitude 22.7 West. Gonzalo is
moving toward the north near 10 mph (17 km/h). A northward to
north-northwestward motion is expected through tonight, followed by
a slower north-northwestward motion over the weekend. On the
forecast track, the center will pass near or over the eastern
portions of the Cabo Verde Islands later today and tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is expected today. A gradual
weakening trend is forecast to begin tonight and continue through
the weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
primary to the northeast of the center. The official observing
station on Sal in the Cabo Verde Islands recently reported a
sustained wind of 35 mph (56 km/h) with a gust to 48 mph (78 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Gonzalo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue over portions of
the Cabo Verde Islands through tonight.

RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Gonzalo is expected to produce rainfall
totals of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) across the eastern portions of
the islands of Cabo Verde on Friday and Saturday with less than 1
inch anticipated for the western side of the island chain. Heavy
rain along the coastal areas of Guinea-Bissau, Gambia, and Senegal
will produce totals between 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with
isolated higher amounts along the immediate coast.

SURF: Swells generated by the storm are expected to affect the Cabo
Verde Islands through Saturday. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM CVT.

$$
Forecaster Brown


Original Message :

WTNT42 KNHC 251445
TCDAT2

Tropical Storm Gonzalo Discussion Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072026
200 PM CVT Fri Sep 25 2026

Gonzalo remains a sheared tropical cyclone with the deep convection
located northeast of the elongated center. ASCAT data from around
1100 UTC revealed a large area of tropical-storm force winds
located over the northeastern portion of the circulation with peak
winds of around 45 kt. Those peak winds were the basis for
increasing the intensity to 45 kt on the 1200 UTC intermediate
advisory, and the initial intensity for this advisory remains
unchanged.

The initial motion estimate is north-northwest or 345/9 kt. A
mid-level trough over the eastern Atlantic is expected to steer
Gonzalo north-northwestward to northward today with the center
passing near or over the easternmost Cabo Verde Islands. A
north-northwestward heading should then continue over the weekend
with some reduction in forward speed as the system weakens and
becomes more vertically shallow. The updated NHC track forecast is
similar to the previous advisory and lies closest to the HFIP
corrected consensus aid.

Little change in strength is expected today as Gonzalo passes near
or over the Cabo Verde Islands. The shear is forecast to increase
to more than 30 kt later tonight and become even more belligerent
over the weekend. This should cause weakening to begin by Saturday
morning with a continued gradual spin down through the weekend. As
the SSTs cool along the track and strong shear continues, the
system is likely to lose organized deep convection by late Sunday
or Sunday night and become post-tropical. The NHC intensity
forecast is close to a blend of the Google Deep Mind and HFIP
corrected consensus aids.

Key Messages:

1. Tropical storm conditions will continue across portions of the
Cabo Verde Islands into tonight.

2. Heavy rains from Gonzalo could affect the eastern portions of
the Cabo Verde Islands and the western coast of Africa between
Guinea-Bissau to Senegal through Saturday. Areas of flash flooding
will be possible along the Africa coasts with some isolated flash
flood concerns for the eastern portions of Cabo Verde.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/1500Z 15.1N 22.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 26/0000Z 16.5N 22.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 26/1200Z 18.1N 23.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 27/0000Z 19.3N 23.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 27/1200Z 20.3N 24.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
60H 28/0000Z 20.8N 24.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 28/1200Z 21.3N 25.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 29/1200Z 21.8N 25.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 30/1200Z 22.2N 25.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Brown


Original Message :

WTNT22 KNHC 251444
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072026
1500 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 22.7W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 22.7W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 22.6W

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.5N 22.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 30SE 0SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.1N 23.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 30SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 19.3N 23.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.3N 24.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.8N 24.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.3N 25.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 21.8N 25.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 22.2N 25.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 22.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 25/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 251444
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gonzalo Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072026
200 PM CVT Fri Sep 25 2026

...GONZALO SPREADING GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM CVT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.1N 22.7W
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM S SAL CABO VERDE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The Cabo Verde Islands

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM CVT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was
located near latitude 15.1 North, longitude 22.7 West. Gonzalo is
moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). This
general motion is expected to continue over the next few days, with
a slower forward speed this weekend. On the forecast track, the
center will pass near or over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands
later today and tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected today. A gradual weakening
trend is forecast to begin tonight and continue through the
weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
primarily to the northeast of the center. The official observing
station on Sal in the Cabo Verde Islands recently reported a
sustained wind of 32 mph (52 km/h) with a gust to 45 mph (72 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Gonzalo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are spreading over the Cabo Verde
Islands and will continue through today.

RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Gonzalo is expected to produce rainfall
totals of 1 to 3 inches (30 to 75 mm) across the eastern portions of
the islands of Cabo Verde on Friday and Saturday with less than 1
inch anticipated for the western side of the island chain. Heavy
rain along the coastal areas of Guinea-Bissau, Gambia, and Senegal
will produce totals between 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with
isolated higher amounts along the immediate coast.

SURF: Swells generated by the storm are expected to affect the Cabo
Verde Islands through Saturday. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 500 PM CVT.
Next complete advisory at 800 PM CVT.

$$
Forecaster Brown


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 251157
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gonzalo Intermediate Advisory Number 2A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072026
1100 AM CVT Fri Sep 25 2026

...GONZALO STRENGTHENS AS GUSTY WINDS SPREAD ACROSS THE CABO VERDE
ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM CVT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.7N 22.6W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM E OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The Cabo Verde Islands

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 12
hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM CVT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was
located near latitude 14.7 North, longitude 22.6 West. Gonzalo is
moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). This motion
is expected to continue over the next several days, with a slower
forward speed this weekend. On the forecast track, the center will
pass near or over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands today and
tonight.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with
higher gusts. Small intensity fluctuations are possible today, with
a gradual weakening trend forecast to begin this weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
from the center. Sal International Airport recently reported a wind
gust of 41 mph (66 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Gonzalo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are spreading over the Cabo Verde
Islands and will continue through the day.

RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Gonzalo is expected to produce rainfall
totals of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) across the eastern portions of
the Cabo Verde Islands today and on Saturday with less than 1 inch
anticipated for the western side of the island chain. Heavy rain
along the coastal areas of Guinea-Bissau, The Gambia, and Senegal
will produce totals between 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with
isolated higher amounts along the immediate coast.

SURF: Swells generated by the storm are expected to affect the Cabo
Verde Islands through Saturday. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM CVT.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 250841
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gonzalo Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072026
800 AM CVT Fri Sep 25 2026

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM CVT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.2N 22.4W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM ESE OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The Cabo Verde Islands.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 12
hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM CVT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was
located near latitude 14.2 North, longitude 22.4 West. Gonzalo is
moving toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue over the next several days, with a
slower forward speed this weekend. On the forecast track, the center
will pass near or over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands today and
tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is possible today, with a gradual weakening trend
forecast to begin this weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Gonzalo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the Cabo Verde
Islands within the warning area in a few hours, and continue through
the day and into tonight.

RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Gonzalo is expected to produce rainfall
totals of 1 to 3 inches (30 to 75 mm) across the eastern portions of
the Cabo Verde Islands today and on Saturday with less than 1 inch
anticipated for the western side of the island chain. Heavy rain
along the coastal areas of Guinea-Bissau, The Gambia, and Senegal
will produce totals between 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with
isolated higher amounts along the immediate coast.

SURF: Swells generated by the storm are expected to affect the Cabo
Verde Islands through Saturday. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 1100 AM CVT.
Next complete advisory at 200 PM CVT.

$$
Forecaster Kelly


Original Message :

WTNT42 KNHC 250842
TCDAT2

Tropical Storm Gonzalo Discussion Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072026
800 AM CVT Fri Sep 25 2026

Gonzalo remains an asymmetric tropical storm, with wind shear
displacing the deep convection over the eastern and southern
portions of the center. Satellite intensity estimates from TAFB and
UW-CIMSS are around 35-40 kt. Given the earlier scatterometer data
depicting 40 kt and a steady satellite appearance, the initial
intensity for this advisory is held at 40 kt.

The initial motion remains north-northwestward at 340/8 kt. The
storm is expected to continue moving north-northwestward during the
next couple of days, steered by the flow of a deep mid-level trough
over the eastern Atlantic. As the trough lifts northwestward later
in the forecast period, the steering currents will become very weak,
and Gonzalo is forecast to slow down and meander over the eastern
Atlantic. On the forecast track, the center will pass near or over
portions of the Cabo Verde Islands today and tonight. The official
NHC track forecast is lies between the HCCA corrected consensus and
GDMI aids.

Gonzalo has about 12 to 18 hours within a marginally conducive
environment for some strengthening, with sea surface temperatures
near 27-28 deg C. After that time, vertical wind shear is forecast
to increase, becoming fairly strong by day 2. Along the forecast
track, sea surface temperatures will also cool, and mid-level
relative humidity values will begin to drop into the 50, and then
40 percent range. The NHC intensity forecast is similar to the
previous advisory. Global model-simulated infrared satellite imagery
depicts Gonzalo becoming devoid of deep convection in about 2 to 3
days. Thus, the forecast shows the system becoming a post-tropical
remnant low at that time, and it is expected to remain a remnant low
through day 5.

Key Messages:

1. Tropical storm conditions are expected to spread across portions
of the Cabo Verde Islands, where a Tropical Storm Warning is in
effect, today and will continue through tonight.

2. Heavy rains from Gonzalo could affect the eastern islands of Cabo
Verde and the western coast of Africa between Guinea-Bissau to
Senegal today through Saturday. Areas of flash flooding will be
possible along the western coast of Africa with some isolated flash
flood concerns for the eastern islands of Cabo Verde.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/0900Z 14.2N 22.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 25/1800Z 15.4N 22.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 26/0600Z 17.0N 23.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 26/1800Z 18.5N 23.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 27/0600Z 19.8N 24.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
60H 27/1800Z 20.5N 24.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 28/0600Z 21.0N 24.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 29/0600Z 22.0N 24.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 30/0600Z 22.2N 25.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Kelly


Original Message :

WTNT22 KNHC 250841
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072026
0900 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 22.4W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 22.4W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 22.3W

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.4N 22.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.0N 23.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.5N 23.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 19.8N 24.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.5N 24.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 21.0N 24.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 22.0N 24.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 22.2N 25.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 22.4W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 25/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 250539
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gonzalo Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072026
500 AM CVT Fri Sep 25 2026

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN THE CABO VERDE
ISLANDS LATER THIS MORNING...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM CVT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 22.3W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM ESE OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The Cabo Verde Islands.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24
hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM CVT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was
located near latitude 13.7 North, longitude 22.3 West. Gonzalo is
moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue over the next several days, with a
slower forward speed this weekend. On the forecast track, the center
will pass near or over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands today and
tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is possible today, with a gradual weakening trend
forecast to begin this weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Gonzalo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the Cabo Verde
Islands within the warning area later this morning.

RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Gonzalo is expected to produce rainfall
totals of 1 to 3 inches (30 to 75 mm) across the eastern portions of
the Cabo Verde Islands on Friday and Saturday with less than 1 inch
anticipated for the western side of the island chain. Heavy rain
along the coastal areas of Guinea-Bissau, The Gambia, and Senegal
will produce totals between 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with
isolated higher amounts along the immediate coast.

SURF: Swells generated by the storm are expected to affect the Cabo
Verde Islands through Saturday. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM CVT.

$$
Forecaster Kelly


Original Message :

WTNT42 KNHC 250246
TCDAT2

Tropical Storm Gonzalo Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072026
200 AM CVT Fri Sep 25 2026

Satellite imagery indicates that the area of low pressure (Invest
AL90) has developed a closed, albeit slightly elongated, low-level
circulation this morning along with organized deep convection.
This convection is currently displaced mainly over the eastern and
southern semicircles of the circulation due to moderate westerly
vertical wind shear. Recent scatterometer data show maximum winds
near 40 kt in the northeastern quadrant, and TAFB provided a
subjective Dvorak satellite intensity estimate of T2.5/35 kt. Based
on these data, advisories are being initiated on Tropical Storm
Gonzalo with an initial intensity of 40 kt. A Tropical Storm Warning
has been issued for all the Cabo Verde Islands.

The initial motion is somewhat uncertain given the recent formation
of the center, but the best estimate is 330/7 kt. Gonzalo is
expected to move north-northwestward during the next couple of days,
steered by the flow of a deep mid-level trough over the eastern
Atlantic. As this trough lifts northeastward later in the forecast
period, the cyclone will be left behind in a very weak steering
environment, causing it to drift slowly over the eastern Atlantic.
On the forecast track, the center will pass near or over portions of
the Cabo Verde Islands today and tonight. Track guidance is in
fairly good agreement in the short term, though cross- and
along-track differences emerge beyond day 2. The official NHC track
forecast lies near the HCCA corrected consensus and the TVCN simple
consensus aids.

Gonzalo is currently located within a marginally conducive
environment that could allow for some slight strengthening,
characterized by sea surface temperatures near 27-28C and mid-level
relative humidity values around 60 percent. In about 24 hours,
vertical wind shear is forecast to increase to moderate-to-strong
levels. This increase in shear, combined with cooling SSTs and a
progressively drier mid-level environment, will cause a gradual
weakening trend. The NHC intensity forecast lies near the HCCA
corrected consensus aid. Global model simulated infrared satellite
imagery depicts Gonzalo losing organized deep convection in about 3
days, and the forecast shows the system becoming a post-tropical
remnant low at that time, and remaining a remnant low through the
remainder of the forecast period.

Key Messages:

1. Tropical storm conditions are expected to spread across portions
of the Cabo Verde Islands, where a Tropical Storm Warning is in
effect, later today and will continue through tonight.

2. Heavy rains from Gonzalo could affect the eastern islands of Cabo
Verde and the western coast of Africa between Guinea-Bissau to
Senegal today through Saturday. Areas of flash flooding will be
possible along the western coast of Africa with some isolated flash
flood concerns for the eastern islands of Cabo Verde.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/0300Z 13.2N 22.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 25/1200Z 14.2N 22.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 26/0000Z 15.6N 23.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 26/1200Z 17.2N 23.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 27/0000Z 18.7N 23.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
60H 27/1200Z 19.8N 24.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
72H 28/0000Z 20.2N 24.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 29/0000Z 20.9N 24.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 30/0000Z 21.7N 26.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Kelly


Original Message :

WTNT22 KNHC 250245
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072026
0300 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 22.1W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 22.1W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 22.0W

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 14.2N 22.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 15.6N 23.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.2N 23.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 18.7N 23.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 19.8N 24.2W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.2N 24.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 20.9N 24.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 21.7N 26.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 22.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 25/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 250245
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gonzalo Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072026
200 AM CVT Fri Sep 25 2026

...TROPICAL STORM GONZALO FORMS SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE CABO VERDE
ISLANDS...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM CVT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.2N 22.1W
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of the Cabo Verde Islands has issued a Tropical
Storm Warning for all of the Cabo Verde Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The Cabo Verde Islands.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24
hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM CVT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was
located near latitude 13.2 North, longitude 22.1 West. Gonzalo is
moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue over the next several days, with a
slower forward speed this weekend. On the forecast track, the center
will pass near or over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands today and
tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is possible today, with a gradual weakening trend
forecast to begin this weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Gonzalo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the Cabo Verde
Islands within the warning area later this morning.

RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Gonzalo is expected to produce rainfall
totals of 1 to 3 inches – 30 to 75 mm — across the eastern portions
of the Cabo Verde Islands on Friday and Saturday with less than 1
inch anticipated for the western side of the island chain. Heavy
rain along the coastal areas of Guinea-Bissau, The Gambia, and
Senegal will produce totals between 2 to 4 inches – 50 to 100 mm –
with isolated higher amounts along the immediate coast.

SURF: Swells generated by the storm are expected to affect the Cabo
Verde Islands through Saturday. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 500 AM CVT.
Next complete advisory at 800 AM CVT.

$$
Forecaster Kelly