Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for LALA-26 in United States from 12 Aug 2026 15:00 UTC to 28 Aug 2026 09:00 UTC

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Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for LALA-26

in United States

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

Click on the messages list to visualize on the right the detailed text.

Measurements Levels

SOURCE	GAUGE LOCATION	LAT	LON	TIME (UTC)	HEIGHT (m)	PERIOD (min)

28/08 08:33 WTPA42PHFO280832

28/08 08:31 WTPA22PHFO280831

28/08 08:31 WTPA32PHFO280831

28/08 02:40 WTPA42PHFO280238

28/08 02:38 WTPA22PHFO280237

28/08 02:38 WTPA32PHFO280237

27/08 20:45 WTPA42PHFO272044

27/08 20:44 WTPA32PHFO272043

27/08 20:44 WTPA22PHFO272043

27/08 16:22 WTNT82EGRR271621

27/08 14:38 WTPA42PHFO271436

27/08 14:36 WTPA32PHFO271436

27/08 14:36 WTPA22PHFO271435

27/08 08:45 WTPA42PHFO270844

27/08 08:43 WTPA32PHFO270843

27/08 08:43 WTPA22PHFO270842

27/08 04:23 WTNT82EGRR270422

27/08 02:33 WTPA42PHFO270232

27/08 02:32 WTPA32PHFO270232

27/08 02:32 WTPA22PHFO270231

26/08 20:34 WTPA42PHFO262032

26/08 20:32 WTPA32PHFO262031

26/08 20:31 WTPA22PHFO262031

26/08 16:23 WTNT82EGRR261622

26/08 14:38 WTPA42PHFO261437

26/08 14:36 WTPA32PHFO261436

26/08 14:35 WTPA22PHFO261435

26/08 08:36 WTPA42PHFO260835

26/08 08:34 WTPA32PHFO260834

26/08 08:33 WTPA22PHFO260833

26/08 03:39 WTPN31PHNC260400

26/08 02:38 WTPA42PHFO260236

26/08 02:36 WTPA32PHFO260235

26/08 02:35 WTPA22PHFO260234

25/08 20:34 WTPA42PHFO252032

25/08 20:32 WTPA22PHFO252031

25/08 20:32 WTPA32PHFO252031

25/08 14:46 WTPA42PHFO251444

25/08 14:44 WTPA32PHFO251443

25/08 14:43 WTPA22PHFO251443

25/08 08:50 WTPA42PHFO250849

25/08 08:48 WTPA22PHFO250848

25/08 08:48 WTPA32PHFO250848

25/08 04:46 WTPN31PHNC250400COR

25/08 02:39 WTPA42PHFO250238

25/08 02:37 WTPA32PHFO250237

24/08 21:35 WTPN31PHNC242200

24/08 20:42 WTPA42PHFO242041

24/08 20:41 WTPA32PHFO242041

24/08 20:41 WTPA22PHFO242040

24/08 14:37 WTPA42PHFO241436

24/08 14:35 WTPA22PHFO241435

24/08 14:35 WTPA32PHFO241435

24/08 10:13 WTPN31PHNC241000

24/08 08:59 WTPA42PHFO240858

24/08 08:53 WTPA42PHFO240852

24/08 08:52 WTPA32PHFO240851

24/08 08:51 WTPA22PHFO240851

24/08 04:40 WTPN31PHNC240400COR

24/08 03:21 WTPN31PHNC240400

24/08 02:33 WTPA42PHFO240232

24/08 02:32 WTPA32PHFO240231

23/08 21:37 WTPN31PHNC232200

23/08 20:35 WTPA42PHFO232033

23/08 20:32 WTPA32PHFO232032

23/08 20:32 WTPA22PHFO232031

23/08 15:36 WTPN31PHNC231600

23/08 14:35 WTPA42PHFO231434

23/08 14:33 WTPA32PHFO231432

23/08 09:39 WTPN31PHNC231000

23/08 08:45 WTPA42PHFO230844

23/08 08:43 WTPA32PHFO230842

23/08 08:42 WTPA22PHFO230842

23/08 02:45 WTPA42PHFO230244

23/08 02:44 WTPA22PHFO230243

23/08 02:44 WTPA32PHFO230243

22/08 21:31 WTPN31PHNC222200

22/08 20:35 WTPA42PHFO222034

22/08 20:33 WTPA32PHFO222033

22/08 20:33 WTPA22PHFO222032

22/08 15:30 WTPN31PHNC221600

22/08 14:36 WTPA42PHFO221435

22/08 14:33 WTPA32PHFO221433

22/08 09:19 WTPN31PHNC221000

22/08 08:43 WTPA42PHFO220842

22/08 08:42 WTPA32PHFO220841

22/08 08:41 WTPA22PHFO220841

22/08 04:27 WTNT82EGRR220426

22/08 03:04 WTPN31PHNC220400

22/08 02:38 WTPA42PHFO220236

22/08 02:36 WTPA22PHFO220235

22/08 02:36 WTPA32PHFO220235

21/08 22:58 WTPN31PHNC212200

21/08 20:35 WTPA42PHFO212033

21/08 20:33 WTPA32PHFO212032

21/08 20:33 WTPA22PHFO212032

21/08 15:27 WTPN31PHNC211600

21/08 14:46 WTPA42PHFO211445

21/08 14:16 WTPA22PHFO211416

21/08 14:13 WTPA32PHFO211413

21/08 11:55 WTPA32PHFO211154

21/08 09:27 WTPN31PHNC211000

21/08 08:54 WTPA42PHFO210852

21/08 08:52 WTPA32PHFO210852

21/08 08:52 WTPA22PHFO210851

21/08 05:43 WTPA32PHFO210542

21/08 03:20 WTPN31PHNC210400

21/08 02:36 WTPA42PHFO210235

21/08 02:34 WTPA32PHFO210234

21/08 02:34 WTPA22PHFO210233

20/08 23:41 WTPA32PHFO202340

20/08 22:15 WTPN31PHNC202200

20/08 20:41 WTPA42PHFO202040

20/08 20:39 WTPA32PHFO202039

20/08 20:39 WTPA22PHFO202038

20/08 17:46 WTPA32PHFO201745

20/08 16:23 WTNT82EGRR201623

20/08 15:44 WTPN31PHNC201600

20/08 14:56 WTPA42PHFO201455

20/08 14:55 WTPA32PHFO201454

20/08 14:54 WTPA22PHFO201454

20/08 11:46 WTPA32PHFO201146

20/08 08:40 WTPA42PHFO200839

20/08 08:38 WTPA22PHFO200838

20/08 08:38 WTPA32PHFO200838

20/08 05:38 WTPA32PHFO200537

20/08 04:22 WTNT82EGRR200421

20/08 02:43 WTPA42PHFO200242

20/08 02:41 WTPA22PHFO200240

20/08 02:41 WTPA32PHFO200240

19/08 23:39 WTPA32PHFO192339

19/08 20:37 WTPA42PHFO192035

19/08 20:35 WTPA32PHFO192034

19/08 20:34 WTPA22PHFO192033

19/08 16:24 WTNT82EGRR191623

19/08 14:51 WTPA42PHFO191449

19/08 14:49 WTPA22PHFO191448

19/08 14:49 WTPA32PHFO191448

19/08 11:34 WTPA32PHFO191133

19/08 08:36 WTPA42PHFO190834

19/08 08:36 WTPA32PHFO190833

19/08 08:34 WTPA22PHFO190833

19/08 05:43 WTPA32PHFO190541

19/08 04:20 WTNT82EGRR190420

19/08 02:56 WTPA42PHFO190253

19/08 02:54 WTPA32PHFO190253

19/08 02:54 WTPA22PHFO190252

19/08 01:58 WTPA62PHFO190155

18/08 23:44 WTPA32PHFO182342

18/08 20:40 WTPA42PHFO182038

18/08 20:39 WTPA32PHFO182037

18/08 20:38 WTPA22PHFO182037

18/08 17:33 WTPA32PHFO181732

18/08 16:22 WTNT82EGRR181621

18/08 14:40 WTPA42PHFO181438

18/08 14:39 WTPA32PHFO181437

18/08 14:38 WTPA22PHFO181437

18/08 08:59 WTPA42PHFO180856

18/08 08:58 WTPA32PHFO180856

18/08 08:57 WTPA22PHFO180855

18/08 04:22 WTNT82EGRR180421

18/08 02:51 WTPA42PHFO180249

18/08 02:49 WTPA32PHFO180247

18/08 02:48 WTPA22PHFO180247

17/08 21:58 WTPN31PHNC172200

17/08 20:43 WTPA42PHFO172041

17/08 20:41 WTPA22PHFO172039

17/08 16:22 WTNT82EGRR171621

17/08 14:58 WTPA42PHFO171455

17/08 14:55 WTPA22PHFO171453

17/08 08:39 WTPA42PHFO170837

17/08 08:36 WTPA32PHFO170835

17/08 08:35 WTPA22PHFO170835

17/08 05:40 WTPA32PHFO170539

17/08 02:39 WTPA42PHFO170237

17/08 02:37 WTPA32PHFO170236

17/08 02:36 WTPA22PHFO170236

16/08 23:54 WTPA32PHFO162354

16/08 20:56 WTPA42PHFO162055

16/08 20:55 WTPA32PHFO162054

16/08 20:54 WTPA22PHFO162054

16/08 17:47 WTPA32PHFO161746

16/08 14:56 WTPA42PHFO161455

16/08 14:55 WTPA32PHFO161454

16/08 14:54 WTPA22PHFO161454

16/08 11:51 WTPA32PHFO161150

16/08 08:55 WTPA42PHFO160854

16/08 08:53 WTPA32PHFO160852

16/08 08:50 WTPA22PHFO160849

16/08 05:00 WTPA62PHFO160458

16/08 04:21 WTNT82EGRR160420

16/08 04:02 WTPA62PHFO160400

16/08 02:55 WTPA42PHFO160254

16/08 02:54 WTPA32PHFO160253

16/08 02:53 WTPA22PHFO160252

16/08 01:56 WTPA62PHFO160154

16/08 00:58 WTPA62PHFO160056

15/08 23:57 WTPA32PHFO152356

15/08 22:58 WTPA62PHFO152256

15/08 21:57 WTPA62PHFO152155

15/08 20:45 WTPA42PHFO152044

15/08 20:44 WTPA32PHFO152043

15/08 20:43 WTPA22PHFO152042

15/08 19:57 WTPA62PHFO151955

15/08 19:01 WTPA62PHFO151859

15/08 17:56 WTPA32PHFO151755

15/08 17:03 WTPA62PHFO151701

15/08 16:03 WTPA62PHFO151601

15/08 14:55 WTPA42PHFO151453

15/08 14:53 WTPA22PHFO151452

15/08 14:53 WTPA32PHFO151452

15/08 11:49 WTPA32PHFO151148

15/08 08:34 WTPA42PHFO150833

15/08 08:32 WTPA32PHFO150831

15/08 08:32 WTPA22PHFO150831

15/08 05:55 WTPA32PHFO150554

15/08 04:22 WTNT82EGRR150421

15/08 03:00 WTPA42PHFO150259

15/08 02:59 WTPA32PHFO150258

15/08 02:58 WTPA22PHFO150257

14/08 21:09 WTPN31PHNC142200

14/08 20:37 WTPA42PHFO142035

14/08 20:34 WTPA32PHFO142034

14/08 20:34 WTPA22PHFO142033

14/08 17:32 WTPA32PHFO141731

14/08 15:36 WTPN31PHNC141600

14/08 14:45 WTPA42PHFO141444

14/08 14:44 WTPA32PHFO141443

14/08 14:43 WTPA22PHFO141443

14/08 11:52 WTPA32PHFO141151

14/08 09:02 WTPN31PHNC141000

14/08 08:37 WTPA42PHFO140836

14/08 08:33 WTPA32PHFO140832

14/08 08:32 WTPA22PHFO140832

14/08 06:00 WTPA32PHFO140559

14/08 04:22 WTNT82EGRR140421

14/08 03:45 WTPN31PHNC140400

14/08 02:52 WTPA42PHFO140251

14/08 02:49 WTPA32PHFO140248

14/08 02:49 WTPA22PHFO140248

13/08 23:43 WTPA32PHFO132343

13/08 22:44 WTPN31PHNC132200

13/08 20:56 WTPA42PHFO132055

13/08 20:52 WTPA32PHFO132051

13/08 20:51 WTPA22PHFO132051

13/08 17:53 WTPA32PHFO131752

13/08 16:21 WTNT82EGRR131620

13/08 15:28 WTPN31PHNC131600

13/08 14:40 WTPA42PHFO131439

13/08 14:38 WTPA32PHFO131438

13/08 14:37 WTPA22PHFO131436

13/08 08:43 WTPA42PHFO130841

13/08 08:41 WTPA22PHFO130840

13/08 08:41 WTPA32PHFO130840

13/08 02:53 WTPA42PHFO130251

12/08 20:46 WTPA42PHFO122044

12/08 20:44 WTPA32PHFO122043

12/08 20:44 WTPA22PHFO122043

12/08 17:44 WTPA22PHFO121743

12/08 15:03 WTPA42PHFO121502

12/08 15:01 WTPA32PHFO121500

12/08 14:55 WTPA41PHFO121454

12/08 14:51 WTPA21PHFO121450

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 280832
TCDCP2

Post-Tropical Cyclone Lala Discussion Number 64
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Thu Aug 27 2026

Although Lala is maintaining patches of thunderstorms southeast of
the center, the convective pattern has been disorganized for
nearly a day. Based on the lack of organized deep convection and
because Lala is over cool waters, it is now considered a
post-tropical cyclone. The initial intensity of the system is
estimated to be around 35 kt.

The post-tropical cyclone continues to move slowly to the
north-northwest. A gradual turn to the west-northwest or northwest
is forecast as a low- to mid-level ridge becomes better established
to the north of the system. The cyclone is also expected to weaken,
and ultimately dissipate within a couple of days.

Lala had lasted about 15 days as a tropical cyclone traveling more
than a couple of thousand miles during that time. This is last
advisory on this system by the National Hurricane Center.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/0900Z 38.2N 179.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 28/1800Z 38.5N 179.8E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 29/0600Z 39.1N 178.0E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 29/1800Z 40.6N 175.4E 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 280831
TCMCP2

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 64
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC FRI AUG 28 2026

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 179.4W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 80SE 0SW 80NW.
4 M SEAS....130NE 120SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 179.4W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.1N 179.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 38.5N 179.8E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 39.1N 178.0E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 40.6N 175.4E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.2N 179.4W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 280831
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 64
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM HST THU AUG 27 2026

...LALA IS NOW A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.2N 179.4W
ABOUT 680 MI...1095 KM N OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LALA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 179.4 WEST. THE
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 6
MPH (9 KM/H). A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED
TO BEGIN SOON, AND LALA IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE INTERNATIONAL DATE
LINE ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED, AND LALA IS FORECAST TO
DISSIPATE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES (185 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB (29.62 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON LALA.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 280238
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 63
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Thu Aug 27 2026

Lala is still maintaining some limited deep convection, with cloud
tops to near -50C, mainly over the southern portion of the
circulation. Thus, the system barely qualifies as a tropical
cyclone although the organization of the convection is marginal.
Dvorak classifications are T2.0 and T1.5. A couple of fairly
recent scatterometer passes indicated that the maximum winds have
decreased to around 35 kt. Given the vertical wind shear, dry air
entrainment, and the cyclone being over cold water, the convection
should mostly dissipate within the next 12 hours or so and it is
unlikely to return. Therefore, Lala is expected to become a
post-tropical cyclone by 12 hours.

The initial motion remains about the same, or about 335/4 kt.
A turn toward the west-northwest or northwest is expected during the
next day or so as Lala becomes embedded in the flow between a
low-level ridge to the north and a western Pacific tropical cyclone
approaching from the south. This general motion should continue
until the system dissipates. The new forecast track is similar to
the previous NHC prediction but a little faster in 36 to 48 hours.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/0300Z 37.8N 179.2W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 28/1200Z 38.2N 179.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
24H 29/0000Z 38.6N 178.9E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 29/1200Z 39.4N 176.8E 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 30/0000Z 41.3N 174.6E 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 280237
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 63
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC FRI AUG 28 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.8N 179.2W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 80SE 0SW 80NW.
4 M SEAS....100NE 100SE 0SW 70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.8N 179.2W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.7N 179.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 38.2N 179.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 38.6N 178.9E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 39.4N 176.8E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 41.3N 174.6E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.8N 179.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 280237
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 63
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM HST THU AUG 27 2026

...LALA SLOWLY WEAKENING AND SOON TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.8N 179.2W
ABOUT 650 MI...1050 KM N OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 179.2 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH (7 KM/H). A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK, LALA IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE INTERNATIONAL DATE
LINE ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST, AND LALA
IS LIKELY TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL LOW TONIGHT.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES (185 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB (29.59 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 272044
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 62
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Thu Aug 27 2026

Satellite imagery indicates that the convection associated with Lala
has become less organized, with only one small cluster south of the
center and a few small convective bands well to the northeast of the
center. The initial intensity is held at 40 kt pending the next
scatterometer overpasses, and this could be generous. Due to shear,
dry air entrainment, and the cyclone being over cold water, the
convection should dissipate completely within the next 12 h and it
is unlikely to return. Based on this, Lala is expected to become
post-tropical by 12 h.

The initial motion is now 335/4 kt. A turn toward the west-
northwest or northwest is expected during the next day or so as Lala
becomes embedded in the flow between a low-level ridge to the north
and a western Pacific tropical cyclone approaching from the south.
This motion should continue until the system dissipates. The new
forecast track is similar to, but a touch south of, the previous
track.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/2100Z 37.5N 178.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 28/0600Z 37.9N 179.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
24H 28/1800Z 38.3N 179.3E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 29/0600Z 39.0N 177.6E 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 29/1800Z 40.6N 175.4E 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 272043
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 62
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM HST THU AUG 27 2026

...LALA LOSING ORGANIZATION...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.5N 178.9W
ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM N OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 178.9 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH (7 KM/H). A
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH TODAY, FOLLOWED BY A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK, LALA IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE INTERNATIONAL DATE
LINE IN ABOUT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH (75 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT LALA IS LOSING ITS ASSOCIATED
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVITY, AND IT IS LIKELY TO BECOME A
POST-TROPICAL LOW THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES (205 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB (29.53 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 272043
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 62
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC THU AUG 27 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.5N 178.9W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 90SE 0SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS....140NE 130SE 0SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.5N 178.9W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.3N 178.8W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 37.9N 179.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 38.3N 179.3E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 39.0N 177.6E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 40.6N 175.4E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.5N 178.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 271621

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 27.08.2026

TROPICAL STORM DOLLY ANALYSED POSITION : 13.6N 37.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL042026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 27.08.2026 0 13.6N 37.4W 1009 30
0000UTC 28.08.2026 12 14.0N 41.3W 1009 31
1200UTC 28.08.2026 24 14.5N 45.7W 1010 31
0000UTC 29.08.2026 36 15.3N 49.9W 1011 32
1200UTC 29.08.2026 48 16.3N 54.0W 1011 33
0000UTC 30.08.2026 60 17.3N 57.7W 1011 33
1200UTC 30.08.2026 72 18.7N 61.0W 1011 35
0000UTC 31.08.2026 84 19.7N 63.4W 1010 32
1200UTC 31.08.2026 96 20.4N 65.8W 1010 34
0000UTC 01.09.2026 108 21.0N 67.5W 1009 32
1200UTC 01.09.2026 120 21.5N 69.4W 1007 35
0000UTC 02.09.2026 132 21.8N 70.6W 1006 36
1200UTC 02.09.2026 144 22.8N 72.2W 1004 39
0000UTC 03.09.2026 156 23.7N 73.7W 997 42
1200UTC 03.09.2026 168 25.2N 75.3W 992 49

TROPICAL STORM LALA ANALYSED POSITION : 36.9N 178.7W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 27.08.2026 0 36.9N 178.7W 1001 38
0000UTC 28.08.2026 12 37.6N 178.7W 1004 37
1200UTC 28.08.2026 24 37.9N 179.2W 1006 35
0000UTC 29.08.2026 36 38.2N 179.9W 1010 29
1200UTC 29.08.2026 48 38.5N 177.6E 1013 27
0000UTC 30.08.2026 60 40.0N 175.2E 1015 27
1200UTC 30.08.2026 72 CEASED TRACKING

TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 11.0N 111.0W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 27.08.2026 0 11.0N 111.0W 1003 33
0000UTC 28.08.2026 12 11.8N 113.2W 999 35
1200UTC 28.08.2026 24 12.6N 115.5W 997 37
0000UTC 29.08.2026 36 13.6N 117.3W 994 41
1200UTC 29.08.2026 48 15.2N 119.3W 992 42
0000UTC 30.08.2026 60 17.0N 121.4W 991 44
1200UTC 30.08.2026 72 17.9N 123.9W 990 41
0000UTC 31.08.2026 84 18.3N 126.2W 988 40
1200UTC 31.08.2026 96 18.8N 127.9W 989 43
0000UTC 01.09.2026 108 19.3N 129.5W 990 40
1200UTC 01.09.2026 120 19.7N 130.5W 991 43
0000UTC 02.09.2026 132 21.1N 130.7W 992 46
1200UTC 02.09.2026 144 22.2N 131.2W 992 43
0000UTC 03.09.2026 156 23.8N 130.5W 996 56
1200UTC 03.09.2026 168 26.4N 130.0W 997 41

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 11.1N 133.5W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 28.08.2026 24 11.6N 133.2W 1004 24
0000UTC 29.08.2026 36 11.7N 134.2W 1003 22
1200UTC 29.08.2026 48 12.1N 135.3W 1003 26
0000UTC 30.08.2026 60 12.7N 136.9W 1003 27
1200UTC 30.08.2026 72 12.4N 139.6W 1003 27
0000UTC 31.08.2026 84 12.3N 141.9W 1002 27
1200UTC 31.08.2026 96 11.9N 144.1W 1002 29
0000UTC 01.09.2026 108 11.4N 145.1W 1000 29
1200UTC 01.09.2026 120 11.4N 145.8W 998 29
0000UTC 02.09.2026 132 11.7N 146.9W 997 32
1200UTC 02.09.2026 144 12.2N 148.5W 995 37
0000UTC 03.09.2026 156 12.6N 149.7W 996 38
1200UTC 03.09.2026 168 13.5N 151.3W 997 35

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 9.6N 110.7W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 31.08.2026 96 9.7N 112.0W 1006 27
0000UTC 01.09.2026 108 9.9N 113.7W 1004 26
1200UTC 01.09.2026 120 10.4N 115.7W 1005 25
0000UTC 02.09.2026 132 10.9N 118.1W 1004 26
1200UTC 02.09.2026 144 11.5N 120.0W 1005 30
0000UTC 03.09.2026 156 12.2N 122.1W 1004 31
1200UTC 03.09.2026 168 12.8N 124.0W 1004 34

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 29.8N 74.4W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 01.09.2026 108 29.8N 74.4W 1013 26
1200UTC 01.09.2026 120 29.8N 74.8W 1011 30
0000UTC 02.09.2026 132 29.5N 75.8W 1009 36
1200UTC 02.09.2026 144 30.3N 77.3W 1008 37
0000UTC 03.09.2026 156 31.4N 78.5W 1004 39
1200UTC 03.09.2026 168 33.1N 80.0W 1001 39

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 150 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+150 : 11.1N 168.2W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 03.09.2026 156 11.1N 167.8W 1003 28
1200UTC 03.09.2026 168 12.2N 168.7W 1000 31

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 271621

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 271436
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 61
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Thu Aug 27 2026

Convection associated with Lala is gradually decreasing, with the
central convection comprised of some weak bands to the east of the
center. However, ASCAT and OSCAT scatterometer data indicate that
the maximum winds remain near 40 kt.

The cyclone is moving northward or 350/4 kt. A northwestward motion
is expected for the next day or so, followed by a turn toward the
west-northwest as Lala becomes embedded in the flow between a
low-level ridge to the north and a western Pacific tropical cyclone
approaching from the south. This motion should continue until the
system dissipates. The new forecast track is similar to the previous
track.

A combination of cool sea surface temperatures, moderate shear, and
dry air entrainment should cause Lala to weaken, and the cyclone is
expected to lose its organized convection and become post-tropical
between 24-36 h. The remnants of Lala are forecast to weaken to a
trough between 60-72 h.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/1500Z 37.2N 178.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 28/0000Z 37.7N 178.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 28/1200Z 38.1N 179.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 29/0000Z 38.7N 178.7E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 29/1200Z 39.8N 176.7E 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 30/0000Z 41.9N 174.6E 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 271436
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 61
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM HST THU AUG 27 2026

...LALA CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.2N 178.6W
ABOUT 610 MI...980 KM N OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 178.6 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH (7 KM/H). A NORTHWARD TO
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH TODAY, FOLLOWED BY A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK, LALA IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE INTERNATIONAL DATE
LINE IN ABOUT 30 H.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH (75 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, AND
LALA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW TONIGHT OR
FRIDAY MORNING.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES (205 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB (29.50 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 271435
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 61
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 178.6W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 90SE 0SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS....130NE 120SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N 178.6W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.0N 178.5W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 37.7N 178.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 38.1N 179.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 38.7N 178.7E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 39.8N 176.7E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 41.9N 174.6E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.2N 178.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 270844
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 60
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Wed Aug 26 2026

Mid-level dry air is beginning to wrap around the core of Lala,
although a small area of deep convection persists near the center.
An earlier AMSR-2 microwave pass indicated that moderate westerly
wind shear is starting to take its toll, with a more defined
circulation to the north and east of the center, and less definition
on the southern and western sides. Subjective Dvorak intensity
estimates from PHFO and JTWC were 2.0/30 kt, while objective
intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS range from 47-55 kt. The initial
intensity is maintained at 40 kt for this advisory.

Lala is moving northward around 5 kt, steered by a ridge of high
pressure centered to the northeast of the storm. A northward to
northwestward motion is expected over the next 24 h, followed by a
turn toward the west-northwest as Lala approaches and crosses the
International Date Line. Increasing wind shear and drier mid-level
air will support gradual weakening over the next couple of days, and
Lala may struggle to sustain deep, organized convection by late
Thursday night or early Friday morning. The latest NHC track
forecast has been shifted slightly to the right of the previous
forecast and calls for Lala to become a post-tropical low by 36 h.
The remnants of Lala should then gradually spin down and degenerate
into a trough within about 3 days.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/0900Z 37.0N 178.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 27/1800Z 37.5N 178.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 28/0600Z 38.1N 179.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 28/1800Z 38.5N 179.4E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 29/0600Z 39.3N 177.7E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 29/1800Z 41.0N 175.6E 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Adams

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 270843
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 60
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM HST WED AUG 26 2026

...LALA DRIFTING NORTHWARD...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.0N 178.3W
ABOUT 595 MI...955 KM N OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 178.3 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH (9 KM/H). A NORTHWARD TO
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY, FOLLOWED BY
A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK, LALA IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE INTERNATIONAL
DATE LINE IN ABOUT 30 TO 36 H.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH (75 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, AND
LALA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW THURSDAY
NIGHT OR FRIDAY MORNING.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES (205 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB (29.50 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 270842
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 60
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC THU AUG 27 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.0N 178.3W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 90SE 0SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS....140NE 120SE 90SW 140NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.0N 178.3W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.7N 178.4W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 37.5N 178.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 38.1N 179.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 38.5N 179.4E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 39.3N 177.7E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 41.0N 175.6E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.0N 178.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 270422

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 27.08.2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ISELLE ANALYSED POSITION : 22.7N 125.3W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 27.08.2026 0 22.7N 125.3W 1001 29
1200UTC 27.08.2026 12 23.2N 127.3W 1004 24
0000UTC 28.08.2026 24 23.9N 128.9W 1006 28
1200UTC 28.08.2026 36 24.3N 130.7W 1008 23
0000UTC 29.08.2026 48 CEASED TRACKING

TROPICAL STORM LALA ANALYSED POSITION : 36.3N 178.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 27.08.2026 0 36.3N 178.4W 999 40
1200UTC 27.08.2026 12 37.0N 178.6W 1000 40
0000UTC 28.08.2026 24 37.7N 178.7W 1002 36
1200UTC 28.08.2026 36 38.2N 179.3W 1005 35
0000UTC 29.08.2026 48 38.5N 179.3E 1008 33
1200UTC 29.08.2026 60 38.9N 177.2E 1012 27
0000UTC 30.08.2026 72 40.8N 174.7E 1014 27
1200UTC 30.08.2026 84 CEASED TRACKING

TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 14.1N 33.5W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 27.08.2026 0 14.1N 33.5W 1011 29
1200UTC 27.08.2026 12 13.8N 37.1W 1010 29
0000UTC 28.08.2026 24 14.2N 41.5W 1010 29
1200UTC 28.08.2026 36 14.4N 46.4W 1011 31
0000UTC 29.08.2026 48 15.1N 50.8W 1011 29
1200UTC 29.08.2026 60 16.0N 54.9W 1012 32
0000UTC 30.08.2026 72 16.8N 58.5W 1012 30
1200UTC 30.08.2026 84 18.2N 61.9W 1012 32
0000UTC 31.08.2026 96 19.3N 64.9W 1011 30
1200UTC 31.08.2026 108 20.8N 67.1W 1011 31
0000UTC 01.09.2026 120 21.9N 68.8W 1011 29
1200UTC 01.09.2026 132 22.5N 70.0W 1009 30
0000UTC 02.09.2026 144 23.6N 70.4W 1007 32
1200UTC 02.09.2026 156 25.5N 70.9W 1007 36
0000UTC 03.09.2026 168 27.2N 71.6W 1008 37

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 10.7N 134.8W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 28.08.2026 24 11.1N 133.9W 1005 25
1200UTC 28.08.2026 36 10.6N 133.7W 1004 23
0000UTC 29.08.2026 48 10.8N 133.8W 1003 24
1200UTC 29.08.2026 60 11.2N 134.7W 1004 26
0000UTC 30.08.2026 72 11.3N 136.2W 1003 25
1200UTC 30.08.2026 84 11.4N 138.2W 1003 29
0000UTC 31.08.2026 96 11.2N 140.8W 1003 30
1200UTC 31.08.2026 108 10.7N 142.6W 1002 27
0000UTC 01.09.2026 120 10.7N 143.7W 1001 31
1200UTC 01.09.2026 132 10.8N 144.9W 999 30
0000UTC 02.09.2026 144 11.5N 145.8W 997 33
1200UTC 02.09.2026 156 12.5N 147.1W 996 34
0000UTC 03.09.2026 168 13.4N 148.3W 996 36

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 10.9N 114.2W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 28.08.2026 24 10.9N 114.2W 1001 32
1200UTC 28.08.2026 36 12.2N 116.2W 1000 35
0000UTC 29.08.2026 48 13.2N 118.1W 999 36
1200UTC 29.08.2026 60 14.8N 119.7W 999 38
0000UTC 30.08.2026 72 15.8N 121.8W 997 38
1200UTC 30.08.2026 84 17.7N 122.9W 997 38
0000UTC 31.08.2026 96 18.7N 125.6W 996 36
1200UTC 31.08.2026 108 18.8N 126.9W 994 34
0000UTC 01.09.2026 120 18.9N 128.0W 993 36
1200UTC 01.09.2026 132 19.4N 128.7W 993 36
0000UTC 02.09.2026 144 20.5N 129.2W 994 41
1200UTC 02.09.2026 156 21.8N 130.1W 995 45
0000UTC 03.09.2026 168 23.0N 130.9W 999 41

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 29.5N 88.1W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 29.08.2026 48 29.2N 87.9W 1011 19
1200UTC 29.08.2026 60 29.5N 87.4W 1012 24
0000UTC 30.08.2026 72 30.3N 86.8W 1010 24
1200UTC 30.08.2026 84 32.1N 87.4W 1014 14
0000UTC 31.08.2026 96 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 10.1N 110.5W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 31.08.2026 96 10.1N 110.5W 1005 26
1200UTC 31.08.2026 108 10.3N 112.1W 1005 29
0000UTC 01.09.2026 120 9.8N 113.9W 1004 27
1200UTC 01.09.2026 132 10.3N 115.9W 1005 26
0000UTC 02.09.2026 144 11.0N 117.8W 1004 30
1200UTC 02.09.2026 156 11.4N 119.8W 1004 29
0000UTC 03.09.2026 168 11.8N 121.8W 1002 37

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 29.9N 72.3W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 31.08.2026 108 29.9N 72.3W 1014 25
0000UTC 01.09.2026 120 29.4N 72.3W 1011 30
1200UTC 01.09.2026 132 28.9N 72.4W 1007 35
0000UTC 02.09.2026 144 28.0N 73.7W 1005 37
1200UTC 02.09.2026 156 27.3N 75.6W 1005 38
0000UTC 03.09.2026 168 26.8N 77.3W 1003 37

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 13.0N 169.7W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 02.09.2026 144 13.0N 169.7W 1005 29
1200UTC 02.09.2026 156 13.2N 170.2W 1003 29
0000UTC 03.09.2026 168 13.6N 170.3W 1000 30

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 270422

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 270232
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 59
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Wed Aug 26 2026

Lala's convective state has remained fairly steady over the past 6
hours, with convective bands wrapping around the north and west
sides of the cyclone, indicating that westerly shear of 10-15 kt
isn't affecting the cyclone very much at this time. Subjective
Dvorak classifications from PHFO and JTWC range from 30-35 kt, while
objective satellite estimates range from 45-56 kt. The initial
intensity will remain 40 kt for this advisory.

Lala is inching toward the northwest, or 325 degrees at 4 kt. Weak
high pressure ridging to the northeast of Lala will keep the cyclone
on a slow north-northwestward track for the next 24 h, but as
ridging strengthens to the north of Lala, a turn toward the
west-northwest is expected in 36-48 h. Little change was made to the
previous NHC track forecast for the first 48 h. The forecast was
adjusted to the left, or southwest, of the previous forecast at hour
60-72. The NHC forecast is in best agreement with the HFIP
Corrected Consensus Approach (HCCA).

Sea-surface temperatures along Lala's track should remain steady
over the next 36 h between 23-24C while northwesterly wind shear is
forecast to increase slightly over the next day or so. 200 mb
temperatures will increase slightly over the next couple of days,
leading to an atmosphere that is slightly more stable. Model
guidance is in good agreement that Lala will gradually weaken, and
the cyclone's winds should eventually fall below gale force around
the same time it loses its convection, which should occur in about
36 hours. This is also about the same time that Lala is forecast to
cross the International Date Line, but there is some chance it could
still be a tropical cyclone when it crosses into the Eastern
Hemisphere. The remnant low should gradually spin down and open up
into a trough in 3 to 4 days.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/0300Z 36.4N 178.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 27/1200Z 37.0N 178.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 28/0000Z 37.7N 179.2W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 28/1200Z 38.2N 179.9E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 29/0000Z 38.7N 178.6E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 29/1200Z 39.7N 176.6E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 30/0000Z 41.9N 174.6E 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Hagen

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 270232
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 59
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM HST WED AUG 26 2026

...LALA EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN ABOUT 36 HOURS...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.4N 178.5W
ABOUT 550 MI...890 KM N OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 178.5 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH (7 KM/H). A
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY, FOLLOWED BY
A GRADUAL BEND TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, LALA IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE
INTERNATIONAL DATE LINE IN ABOUT 30 TO 36 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH (75 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, AND
LALA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW THURSDAY
NIGHT.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES (205 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB (29.50 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 270231
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 59
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC THU AUG 27 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.4N 178.5W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 90SE 0SW 70NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 120SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.4N 178.5W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 178.4W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 37.0N 178.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 37.7N 179.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 38.2N 179.9E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 38.7N 178.6E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 39.7N 176.6E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 41.9N 174.6E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.4N 178.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 262032
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 58
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Wed Aug 26 2026

Satellite imagery reveals little change in Lala’s convective
structure over the last couple of hours. Subjective Dvorak intensity
estimates from HFO and JTWC at 1800 UTC were 35 and 30 kt,
respectively, while objective estimates ranged from 45-50 kt. Given
the relatively steady nature of Lala’s appearance on satellite
imagery since the last advisory, the initial intensity was held at
40 kt.

Lala’s speed remains slow, with an initial motion estimate of 320/4
kt. A high pressure ridge centered to the storm’s east-northeast
will drive a slow storm motion toward the north-northwest, before
the system gradually turns more westward as it moves away from the
ridge’s influence. Little change was made to the track forecast from
the last advisory package, as models generally exhibited good
agreement in the track while Lala remains tropical.

With the storm moving over gradually decreasing SSTs and
increasing vertical wind shear, Lala is expected to become a
post-tropical remnant low within the next 48 hours, right when the
system is forecast to cross the international dateline. Changes to
the intensity forecast were minimal, with the main adjustment being
to show an earlier dissipation for Lala at 96 hours. This is sooner
than the previous forecast, as global models generally depict the
system becoming an open trough over the weekend.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/2100Z 36.1N 178.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 27/0600Z 36.7N 178.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 27/1800Z 37.4N 179.0W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 28/0600Z 38.1N 179.6W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 28/1800Z 38.5N 179.2E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 29/0600Z 39.4N 177.7E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 29/1800Z 41.2N 176.1E 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Evans/Zelinsky

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 262031
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 58
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM HST WED AUG 26 2026

...LALA EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY THE END OF THE WEEK...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.1N 178.3W
ABOUT 610 MI...985 KM NNW OF PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL
ABOUT 530 MI...855 KM N OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 178.3 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH (7 KM/H), WITH A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH-NORTHWEST EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH (75 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS, AND LALA IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BY THURSDAY NIGHT.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES (185 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB (29.50 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER EVANS/ZELINSKY=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 262031
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 58
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC WED AUG 26 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N 178.3W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 90SE 0SW 70NW.
4 M SEAS....160NE 80SE 70SW 170NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N 178.3W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.9N 178.2W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 36.7N 178.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 37.4N 179.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 38.1N 179.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 38.5N 179.2E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 39.4N 177.7E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 41.2N 176.1E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.1N 178.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER EVANS/ZELINSKY=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 261622

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 26.08.2026

TROPICAL STORM ISELLE ANALYSED POSITION : 22.1N 124.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 26.08.2026 0 22.1N 124.0W 997 36
0000UTC 27.08.2026 12 23.0N 125.4W 1000 32
1200UTC 27.08.2026 24 24.0N 127.4W 1003 27
0000UTC 28.08.2026 36 24.6N 129.0W 1005 29
1200UTC 28.08.2026 48 25.1N 130.2W 1008 26
0000UTC 29.08.2026 60 CEASED TRACKING

TROPICAL STORM LALA ANALYSED POSITION : 35.5N 177.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 26.08.2026 0 35.5N 177.9W 998 41
0000UTC 27.08.2026 12 36.3N 178.4W 999 40
1200UTC 27.08.2026 24 37.0N 178.6W 1000 40
0000UTC 28.08.2026 36 37.9N 178.9W 1002 39
1200UTC 28.08.2026 48 38.2N 179.6W 1005 35
0000UTC 29.08.2026 60 38.7N 179.3E 1007 34
1200UTC 29.08.2026 72 39.3N 176.9E 1012 28
0000UTC 30.08.2026 84 41.2N 174.4E 1014 27
1200UTC 30.08.2026 96 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 9.3N 110.3W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 27.08.2026 12 9.3N 110.3W 1003 29
1200UTC 27.08.2026 24 10.5N 111.5W 1003 28
0000UTC 28.08.2026 36 11.2N 114.6W 1001 31
1200UTC 28.08.2026 48 11.5N 116.3W 999 34
0000UTC 29.08.2026 60 12.9N 118.8W 997 39
1200UTC 29.08.2026 72 14.2N 120.5W 996 40
0000UTC 30.08.2026 84 15.7N 122.7W 995 43
1200UTC 30.08.2026 96 16.5N 125.0W 993 42
0000UTC 31.08.2026 108 17.4N 126.7W 989 41
1200UTC 31.08.2026 120 17.9N 128.2W 987 42
0000UTC 01.09.2026 132 18.6N 129.6W 987 42
1200UTC 01.09.2026 144 19.1N 130.6W 989 43
0000UTC 02.09.2026 156 19.9N 130.8W 991 47
1200UTC 02.09.2026 168 21.1N 131.2W 993 53

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 13.8N 33.6W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 27.08.2026 12 13.8N 33.6W 1010 27
1200UTC 27.08.2026 24 13.6N 37.9W 1008 31
0000UTC 28.08.2026 36 13.8N 41.6W 1010 30
1200UTC 28.08.2026 48 14.4N 46.3W 1010 32
0000UTC 29.08.2026 60 15.0N 50.5W 1011 29
1200UTC 29.08.2026 72 16.4N 54.4W 1011 33
0000UTC 30.08.2026 84 17.5N 58.3W 1011 32
1200UTC 30.08.2026 96 18.6N 61.7W 1011 33
0000UTC 31.08.2026 108 19.5N 63.9W 1010 32
1200UTC 31.08.2026 120 20.5N 66.3W 1009 40
0000UTC 01.09.2026 132 21.6N 67.9W 1008 43
1200UTC 01.09.2026 144 22.3N 69.7W 1007 42
0000UTC 02.09.2026 156 23.2N 71.1W 1002 43
1200UTC 02.09.2026 168 24.5N 73.3W 999 42

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 11.4N 134.2W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 28.08.2026 36 11.4N 134.2W 1005 26
1200UTC 28.08.2026 48 11.2N 134.2W 1004 25
0000UTC 29.08.2026 60 11.1N 134.3W 1003 26
1200UTC 29.08.2026 72 11.2N 135.9W 1003 30
0000UTC 30.08.2026 84 11.2N 138.2W 1002 30
1200UTC 30.08.2026 96 10.9N 139.8W 1001 32
0000UTC 31.08.2026 108 11.4N 140.9W 999 31
1200UTC 31.08.2026 120 11.4N 142.5W 999 32
0000UTC 01.09.2026 132 11.7N 143.7W 997 33
1200UTC 01.09.2026 144 12.1N 145.4W 994 39
0000UTC 02.09.2026 156 12.7N 147.1W 991 39
1200UTC 02.09.2026 168 13.5N 149.0W 989 42

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 9.7N 112.1W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 01.09.2026 132 9.9N 112.3W 1006 21
1200UTC 01.09.2026 144 11.0N 113.9W 1007 21
0000UTC 02.09.2026 156 10.8N 115.1W 1006 26
1200UTC 02.09.2026 168 12.8N 116.6W 1006 24

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 11.2N 164.6W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 01.09.2026 144 11.5N 164.6W 1006 25
0000UTC 02.09.2026 156 11.6N 165.8W 1004 28
1200UTC 02.09.2026 168 12.3N 166.3W 1002 28

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 261622

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 261437
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 57
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Wed Aug 26 2026

Lala's deep convection has been decreasing in coverage, with
continued evidence of dry air intrusion over the southern portion of
the circulation. Also, some southwesterly vertical wind shear
appears to now be affecting the system. Although Dvorak intensity
estimates are slowly decreasing, a Metop-C scatterometer pass from a
few hours ago suggests that the intensity is still near 40 kt. The
SHIPS guidance shows increasing shear over Lala with relatively dry
air, and SSTs should remain near 23 deg C. Therefore, additional
slow weakening is likely and Lala is expected to degenerate into a
post-tropical remnant low in 48 hours. The system is forecast to
cross the International Date line around that time as well.

Recent center fixes now show a slow north-northwestward motion
around 330/4 kt. A mid-level ridge to the northeast of Lala should
result in a north-northwesterly to northwesterly track for the next
few days. The official track prediction is only a tad to the right
and slightly slower than the previous NHC forecast. This is in
close agreement with the latest corrected consensus, HCCA, guidance.
Post-tropical Lala is forecast to accelerate deeper into the
mid-latitudes over the weekend, and it should open up into a trough
over the northern Pacific before reaching the western Aleutian
Islands.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/1500Z 35.8N 178.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 27/0000Z 36.3N 178.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 27/1200Z 37.1N 178.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 28/0000Z 37.9N 179.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 28/1200Z 38.4N 179.9E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 29/0000Z 38.9N 178.7E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 29/1200Z 40.0N 177.0E 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 30/1200Z 45.5N 175.0E 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 261436
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 57
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM HST WED AUG 26 2026

...LALA EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN A COUPLE OF DAYS...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.8N 178.0W
ABOUT 585 MI...945 KM NNW OF PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL
ABOUT 510 MI...825 KM N OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 178.0 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH (7 KM/H) AND A SLOW
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH (75 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, AND
LALA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BY LATE
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES (185 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB (29.44 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 261435
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 57
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC WED AUG 26 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N 178.0W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 60SE 0SW 80NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 90SE 100SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.8N 178.0W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 177.9W

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 36.3N 178.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 37.1N 178.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 37.9N 179.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 38.4N 179.9E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 38.9N 178.7E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 40.0N 177.0E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 45.5N 175.0E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.8N 178.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 260835
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 56
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Tue Aug 25 2026

The satellite presentation of Lala has slowly deteriorated tonight.
Water vapor imagery shows some drier air has worked its way into the
circulation, which has led to diminished convection and warming
infrared cloud tops near and around the center. The Dvorak current
intensity estimates from JTWC and HFO have decreased to T2.5/35 kt,
and so the initial intensity is lowered to 40 kt.

Fixes from recent AMSR3 and GMI passive microwave images suggest
Lala has resumed a slow northwestward motion (310/4 kt), steered by
a mid-level ridge just to the northeast of the storm. This ridge
should keep Lala on a slow northwestward heading while the storm
approaches the International Date Line (IDL). The updated NHC track
forecast has been nudged to the right of the previous one, in
response to an eastward shift in the latest track guidance envelope.
Lala will remain in a fairly dry mid-level environment while
encountering increasing shear over cool waters during the next
couple of days. Thus, continued weakening is forecast, and Lala is
predicted to lose organized convection and become a post-tropical
low by 48 h as it reaches the IDL. Post-tropical Lala is forecast to
accelerate deeper into the mid-latitudes over the weekend, and it
should open up into a trough over the northern Pacific by 120 h.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0900Z 35.4N 177.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 26/1800Z 35.9N 178.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 27/0600Z 36.6N 178.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 27/1800Z 37.4N 179.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 28/0600Z 38.0N 180.0E 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
60H 28/1800Z 38.6N 179.0E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 29/0600Z 39.5N 177.6E 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 30/0600Z 44.5N 174.5E 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 31/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 260834
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 56
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM HST TUE AUG 25 2026

...LALA WEAKENS...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.4N 177.7W
ABOUT 555 MI...895 KM N OF PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL
ABOUT 485 MI...780 KM N OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 177.7 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH (7 KM/H), AND A SLOW
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH (75 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, AND
LALA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BY LATE THURSDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES (185 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB (29.44 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 260833
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 56
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC WED AUG 26 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 177.7W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 60SE 0SW 80NW.
4 M SEAS....165NE 90SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 177.7W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.3N 177.6W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 35.9N 178.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 36.6N 178.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 37.4N 179.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 38.0N 180.0E...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 38.6N 179.0E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 39.5N 177.6E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 44.5N 174.5E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.4N 177.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 260400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 055//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 055
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260000Z --- NEAR 35.1N 177.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 35.1N 177.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 35.6N 178.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 36.1N 178.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 37.0N 179.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 37.7N 179.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 38.3N 179.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 39.0N 177.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 43.5N 175.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
260400Z POSITION NEAR 35.3N 177.7W.
26AUG26. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1182 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 260000Z IS 995 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
261000Z, 261600Z, 262200Z AND 270400Z.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 260236
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 55
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Tue Aug 25 2026

Lala continues to exhibit a symmetric convective structure as it
moves over cooler waters. An ASCAT pass from around 2200 UTC
captured much of Lala’s inner core and revealed max winds at around
40 kt. Objective Dvorak estimates range from 45-55 kt, while
subjective Dvorak estimates from JTWC and HFO reflect a weakening
trend with a 2.0/2.5 and 2.5/3.0, respectively. Given the quality of
the ASCAT pass, the initial intensity was held steady at 45 kt.

The motion of the cyclone remains slow as it approaches the
International Dateline. The initial motion was estimated at 295/5
kt. Lala continues to be guided to the west-northwest by a high
pressure ridge centered over the central Pacific, just to the
northeast of the storm. Global forecast models suggest that the
ridge will remain stagnant over the next couple of days, which
should keep Lala moving at a slow speed as it rounds the ridge’s
westward flank. Eventually, Lala will gain forward speed as it moves
away from the ridge’s influence and turns more northward. Little
change was made to the track forecast from the previous advisory.

The storm is expected to move over continuously cooling waters
before encountering a more hostile vertical wind shear environment
over the next 24 hours. By Thursday, Lala is anticipated to become
post-tropical, with simulated satellite imagery from the ECMWF
suggesting that the storm will ultimately dissipate over the
weekend. Lala’s dissipation time was moved up roughly 24 hours from
the previous forecast, otherwise the overall intensity trend was
generally left intact.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0300Z 35.2N 177.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 26/1200Z 35.6N 178.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 27/0000Z 36.1N 178.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 27/1200Z 37.0N 179.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 28/0000Z 37.7N 179.9E 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
60H 28/1200Z 38.3N 179.0E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 29/0000Z 39.0N 177.8E 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 30/0000Z 43.5N 175.0E 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Evans/Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 260235
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 55
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM HST TUE AUG 25 2026

...LALA EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IN A COUPLE OF
DAYS...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.2N 177.6W
ABOUT 540 MI...870 KM N OF PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL
ABOUT 470 MI...760 KM N OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 177.6 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH (9 KM/H) AND A SLOW
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH (85 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS, AND LALA
IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON THURSDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES (220 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB (29.39 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER EVANS/CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 260234
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 55
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC WED AUG 26 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 177.6W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 60SE 0SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 120SE 90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 177.6W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 177.4W

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 35.6N 178.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 60SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 36.1N 178.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 37.0N 179.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 37.7N 179.9E...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 38.3N 179.0E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 39.0N 177.8E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 43.5N 175.0E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.2N 177.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER EVANS/CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 252032
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 54
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Tue Aug 25 2026

Deep convection associated with Lala has decreased a bit in
coverage over the past few hours. Whereas this may be temporary,
it is more likely a response to cooler waters. The system
continues to exhibit a ragged eye-like feature and remains fairly
well organized. The intensity is held at 45 kt for this advisory
which is the same as a Dvorak Current Intensity Number from the
Joint Typhoon Warning Center. Dvorak Final T-Numbers have
decreased however. Data from an upcoming scatterometer overpass
should provide a good intensity estimate.

Lala continues moving west-northwestward, with an initial motion
estimate of 300/5 kt. A mid-level ridge to the northeast of the
cyclone should steer the system on a west-northwestward to
northwestward track for the next few days. Since Lala is likely to
remain fairly well removed from the faster southwesterly flow at
higher latitudes for the next 72 hours, it is likely to continue
moving rather slowly until late in the forecast period. Not much
change is made to the official track forecast for this advisory
cycle. The official forecast remains close to the corrected model
consensus, HCCA, solution.

The cyclone is likely to remain over relatively cooler waters of
around 23 deg C or so and within a fairly dry low- to mid-level air
mass during the forecast period. Therefore, gradual weakening is
expected and Lala will probably degenerate into a post-tropical
cyclone within 60 hours, or sooner. This is consistent with the
latest simulated IR imagery from the ECMWF which shows most of the
system's deep convection dissipating by that time.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/2100Z 35.0N 177.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 26/0600Z 35.3N 177.8W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 26/1800Z 35.8N 178.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 27/0600Z 36.5N 179.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 27/1800Z 37.3N 179.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
60H 28/0600Z 38.0N 179.4E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 28/1800Z 38.4N 178.2E 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 29/1800Z 41.7N 174.7E 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 30/1800Z 48.5N 177.0E 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 252031
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 54
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC TUE AUG 25 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N 177.2W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE 70SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 150SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N 177.2W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 177.0W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 35.3N 177.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 35.8N 178.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 36.5N 179.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 37.3N 179.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 38.0N 179.4E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 38.4N 178.2E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 41.7N 174.7E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 48.5N 177.0E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.0N 177.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 252031
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Lala Advisory Number 54
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Tue Aug 25 2026

...LALA EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IN A COUPLE OF
DAYS...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.0N 177.2W
ABOUT 525 MI...845 KM N OF PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL
ABOUT 460 MI...740 KM N OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lala was
located near latitude 35.0 North, longitude 177.2 West. Lala is
moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h) and a slow
west-northwestward to northwestward motion is expected over the
next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is expected during the next 48 hours, and Lala
is forecast to become a post-tropical remnant low on Thursday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 251444
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 53
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Tue Aug 25 2026

The satellite presentation of Lala remains about the same as it has
been for the last couple of days. The cyclone continues to have
well-defined curved bands of shallow-to-moderate convection with
coldest cloud tops of -60 to -65 deg C. Upper-level outflow is
strongest over the northern semicircle of the circulation. Based
on an earlier scatterometer overpass with little change in
structure since that pass, the advisory intensity remains at 45 kt.

Latest center fixes show that the storm is moving slowly
west-northwestward with a motion estimate of around 300/5 kt. The
primary steering feature at this time is a weak mid-tropospheric
ridge to the northeast of Lala. The global models indicate that
the stronger higher-latitude southwesterly flow will continue to be
well-removed from the cyclone for the next few days. Therefore the
system is likely to continue a slow forward motion for the next
72 hours or so. The official track forecast is similar or very
slightly to the west of the one from the previous advisory. This
is close to the latest corrected consensus, HCCA, solution.

Lala is forecast to traverse SSTs of about 23-24 deg C through
Thursday and remain within a relatively dry low- to mid-level air
mass. These conditions should lead to slow weakening and gradually
diminishing deep convection. It is likely that the system's deep
convection will have decreased to the point that Lala will become a
post-tropical cyclone by around 60 hours, and this is reflected in
the latest NHC forecast.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/1500Z 34.9N 176.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 26/0000Z 35.2N 177.3E 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 26/1200Z 35.6N 178.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 27/0000Z 36.3N 178.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 27/1200Z 37.0N 179.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
60H 28/0000Z 37.7N 179.9E 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
72H 28/1200Z 38.5N 178.6E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 29/1200Z 40.6N 176.4E 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 30/1200Z 47.0N 176.0E 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 251443
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 53
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM HST TUE AUG 25 2026

...LALA SHOWING LITTLE CHANGE...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.9N 176.7W
ABOUT 515 MI...825 KM N OF PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL
ABOUT 460 MI...740 KM N OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 176.7 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH (9 KM/H), AND A SLOW
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH (85 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, AND
LALA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ON THURSDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES (205 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB (29.36 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 251443
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 53
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC TUE AUG 25 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 176.7W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE 70SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 150SE 90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 176.7W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 176.4W

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 35.2N 177.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 35.6N 178.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 36.3N 178.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 37.0N 179.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 37.7N 179.9E...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 38.5N 178.6E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 40.6N 176.4E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 47.0N 176.0E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.9N 176.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 250849
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 52
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Mon Aug 24 2026

Lala continues to produce shallow to moderate convection in curved
bands around its center. The coldest cloud tops are located on the
northern side of the circulation, where recent scatterometer data
indicate the strongest winds are occurring. There are several wind
vectors from the ASCAT-B pass at or slightly above 40 kt, and based
on these winds, the initial intensity is lowered to 45 kt.

Additional slow weakening is anticipated during the next couple of
days while Lala moves over gradually cooler waters in a low shear
environment. After 48 h, increasing shear along with a drier and
more stable surrounding air mass should induce a slightly faster
rate of weakening. These hostile conditions are expected to cause
Lala to lose organized convection and ultimately degenerate to a
remnant low by 72 h, if not sooner. No changes were made to the NHC
intensity forecast or the timing of post-tropical transition.

Lala is moving slowly northwestward (325/5 kt) on the southwest side
of a weak mid-level ridge. This steering pattern should prevail for
the next few days, keeping Lala on a slow northwestward heading
through midweek. By days 4-5, the system is forecast to turn
northward and accelerate as the ridge builds to its east. Little
change was made to the official track forecast through 60 h, which
remains near the center of the guidance envelope. Thereafter, some
westward adjustments were made to the post-tropical portion of the
forecast to trend closer to the latest multi-model consensus aids.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/0900Z 34.7N 175.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 25/1800Z 35.0N 176.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 26/0600Z 35.4N 177.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 26/1800Z 35.9N 178.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 27/0600Z 36.6N 179.0W 35 KT 40 MPH
60H 27/1800Z 37.4N 179.6W 35 KT 40 MPH
72H 28/0600Z 38.2N 179.6E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 29/0600Z 40.2N 177.5E 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 30/0600Z 44.5N 176.0E 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 250848
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 52
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC TUE AUG 25 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 175.9W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 70SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 175.9W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 175.7W

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 35.0N 176.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 35.4N 177.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 35.9N 178.3W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 36.6N 179.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 37.4N 179.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 38.2N 179.6E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 40.2N 177.5E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 44.5N 176.0E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.7N 175.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 250848
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 52
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM HST MON AUG 24 2026

...LALA SLIGHTLY WEAKER...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.7N 175.9W
ABOUT 495 MI...800 KM N OF PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL
ABOUT 455 MI...735 KM NNE OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 175.9 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH (9 KM/H), AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

SATELLITE-DERIVED WIND DATA INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH (85 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, AND LALA IS
FORECAST TO DEGENERATE TO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW BY THURSDAY
NIGHT.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES (220 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB (29.36 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 250400 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 051A CORRECTED//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 051A CORRECTED
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250000Z --- NEAR 34.1N 175.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 34.1N 175.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 34.7N 176.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 35.1N 177.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 35.6N 178.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 36.2N 178.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 37.1N 179.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 38.1N 180.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 40.0N 178.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 43.0N 176.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
250400Z POSITION NEAR 34.3N 175.7W.
25AUG26. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1091 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 250000Z IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
251000Z, 251600Z, 252200Z AND 260400Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPPRESSION 02C (MOKE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED STORM CLASSIFICATION FOR
THE LAST THREE FORECAST TIMES.//
NNNN

0000834200
00001

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 250238
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 51
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Mon Aug 24 2026

ASCAT data that arrived after the issuance of the previous advisory
indicated that Lala has weakened slightly. The ASCAT-B pass showed
maximum winds between 40-45 kt, with slightly smaller 34 kt wind
radii than previously estimated. Accounting for some likely
undersampling, the initial intensity has been set to 50 kt for this
advisory. The ASCAT data also indicted Lala is centered slightly
northeast of previous estimates.

The official track forecast for Lala has been shifted slightly
northward, mainly due to the initial position adjustment. Otherwise,
the reasoning behind the forecast is unchanged. Lala is expected to
move slowly northwestward for the next several days, between a weak
ridge to its northeast and a weak trough to its southwest. The NHC
forecast track remains similar to the GDMI and HCCA forecasts
through 72 h, and then weighs some of the global models a little
more heavily after that for the post-tropical part of the forecast.

No change of note was made to the NHC intensity or size forecast for
Lala. The tropical storm is moving over cool SSTs and through a
moderately dry environment (RH less than 50 percent based on GFS and
ECMWF SHIPS diagnostics). In about 2 days, an increase in south or
southwesterly wind shear should contribute to Lala losing its deep
convection and becoming a remnant low about a day after that, near
the dateline. Simulated satellite imagery from the GFS, ECMWF and
various hurricane models also agrees with that timing.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/0300Z 34.3N 175.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 25/1200Z 34.7N 176.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 26/0000Z 35.1N 177.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 26/1200Z 35.6N 178.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 27/0000Z 36.2N 178.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
60H 27/1200Z 37.1N 179.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
72H 28/0000Z 38.1N 180.0E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 29/0000Z 40.0N 178.5E 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 30/0000Z 43.0N 176.5E 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 250237
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 51
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM HST MON AUG 24 2026

...LALA SLOWLY WEAKENING...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.3N 175.6W
ABOUT 470 MI...755 KM N OF PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL
ABOUT 435 MI...705 KM NNE OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 175.6 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH (9 KM/H). SLOW MOVEMENT
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS FORECAST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH (95 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES (205 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB (29.30 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 242200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 050//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 050
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241800Z --- NEAR 33.5N 175.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 33.5N 175.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 34.2N 176.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 34.8N 177.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 35.2N 177.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 35.8N 178.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 36.6N 179.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 37.4N 179.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 39.0N 178.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 42.0N 176.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
242200Z POSITION NEAR 33.7N 175.5W.
24AUG26. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1054 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT
03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 241800Z IS 988 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
250400Z, 251000Z, 251600Z AND 252200Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 02C (MOKE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 242041
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 50
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Mon Aug 24 2026

Lala has remained remarkably steady in organization over the past
couple of days. The storm continues to maintain moderate deep
convection in banding features with a ragged eye-like feature near
the center. The system is over sea surface temperatures of around
25 deg C and there is apparently sufficient instability to allow
the cyclone to maintain its convection for the time being. Lala's
current intensity is held at 55 kt in agreement with a Dvorak
intensity estimate from PHFO Honolulu. This is also a blend of
objective estimates from UW-CIMSS.

The current motion estimate is around 320/4 kt, about the same as
earlier this morning. Lala is embedded in a broad cyclonic flow
with fairly weak steering currents overall. The system is still
fairly well-removed from the faster deep-layer southwesterly flow
at higher latitudes. Therefore a continued slow motion is expected
for the next few days, although a mid level ridge could build a bit
to the northeast of the system and possibly impart a slightly
faster forward speed. The official forecast is a blend of the
corrected dynamical model consensus and the Google DeepMind
forecast. This is quite similar to the previous NHC track.

Lala is expected to pass over gradually cooling ocean waters during
the next several days. This, along with a relatively dry low- to
mid-level air mass, should result in slow weakening through the
forecast period. Simulated satellite imagery from the global
models show the system losing most of its associated deep
convection in around 72 hours so the official forecast indicates
that Lala should transition into a post tropical cyclone near the
time.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 24/2100Z 33.7N 175.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 25/0600Z 34.2N 176.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 25/1800Z 34.8N 177.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 26/0600Z 35.2N 177.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 26/1800Z 35.8N 178.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
60H 27/0600Z 36.6N 179.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
72H 27/1800Z 37.4N 179.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
96H 28/1800Z 39.0N 178.5E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 29/1800Z 42.0N 176.0E 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 242041
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 50
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM HST MON AUG 24 2026

...LALA MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY FOR NOW...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.7N 175.4W
ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM N OF PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL
ABOUT 405 MI...650 KM NNE OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 175.4 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH (7 KM/H). A SLOW
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH (100 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES (240 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB (29.18 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 242040
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 50
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC MON AUG 24 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.7N 175.4W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE 70SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 120SE 120SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.7N 175.4W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 175.2W

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 34.2N 176.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 34.8N 177.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 35.2N 177.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 35.8N 178.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 36.6N 179.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 37.4N 179.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 30SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 39.0N 178.5E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 42.0N 176.0E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.7N 175.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 241436
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 49
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Mon Aug 24 2026

Lala has remained steady state with a curved band that wraps about
three-quarters of the way around the center. Convection persists
even as the storm traverses cooler sea surface temperatures.
Satellite intensity estimates from HFO, JTWC, and UW-CIMSS range
from 45 to 62 kt. Scatterometer data that arrived shortly after the
previous advisory shows a peak wind of 44 kt, and was used to adjust
the wind radii on the western side of the system. Given the
steady-state satellite appearance and a blend of the estimates and
scatterometer data, the initial intensity is held at 55 kt.

The storm is moving slowly northwestward (320/4 kt). A slow and
generally northwestward motion is expected to continue for the next
several days while the system is steered by a ridge to the
northeast. The latest NHC forecast track shows Lala crossing the
International Date Line just beyond 72 h. The official track
forecast was nudged slightly to the left in the short term and lies
close to the latest HCCA consensus aid.

Lala has continued to produce convection over cool sea surface
temperatures within a low wind shear environment. As SSTs decrease
further along the forecast track, the cyclone will increasingly
struggle to sustain this convective activity. Thus, a slow weakening
trend is forecast to continue during the next few days. The official
intensity forecast lies near the middle of the guidance envelope and
is similar to the previous prediction. Simulated infrared satellite
imagery from the global models suggests Lala will fail to maintain
organized deep convection between days 3 and 4, and the system is
forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone by 96 h.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 24/1500Z 33.4N 175.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 25/0000Z 33.9N 175.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 25/1200Z 34.6N 176.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 26/0000Z 35.0N 177.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 26/1200Z 35.6N 178.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 27/0000Z 36.3N 179.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 27/1200Z 37.2N 179.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
96H 28/1200Z 38.9N 179.0E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 29/1200Z 41.4N 176.1E 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Kelly

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 241435
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 49
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC MON AUG 24 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 175.3W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE 70SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 120SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 175.3W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 175.2W

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 33.9N 175.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 34.6N 176.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 35.0N 177.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 35.6N 178.6W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 36.3N 179.2W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 37.2N 179.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 30SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 38.9N 179.0E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 41.4N 176.1E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.4N 175.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 241435
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 49
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM HST MON AUG 24 2026

...LALA HOLDING STEADY MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.4N 175.3W
ABOUT 410 MI...655 KM N OF PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL
ABOUT 390 MI...625 KM NNE OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 175.3 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH (7 KM/H). A SLOW
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH (100 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES (280 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB (29.18 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KELLY=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 241000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 048//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 048
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
240600Z --- NEAR 33.2N 174.7W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 33.2N 174.7W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 33.8N 175.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 34.5N 176.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 35.1N 177.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 35.6N 177.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 36.1N 178.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 36.9N 179.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 38.3N 179.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 40.5N 177.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
241000Z POSITION NEAR 33.4N 174.9W. 24AUG26. TROPICAL STORM 01C
(LALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1029 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF JOHNSTON
ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 240600Z IS 988 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
241600Z, 242200Z, 250400Z AND 251000Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION
02C (MOKE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 240858
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 48
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Sun Aug 23 2026

The satellite presentation of Lala consists of a large curved band
that wraps most of the way around the center of the storm. Infrared
cloud top temperatures are as cold as -55C to -60C, which is fairly
impressive given Lala's higher latitude over sub-26C waters. The
subjective Dvorak current intensity estimates and the objective
estimates from UW-CIMSS have held steady tonight, and the initial
intensity remains 55 kt. Data from an ASCAT-C pass is expected just
after this advisory issuance but will be useful in reassessing the
intensity and size of Lala for the next cycle.

Lala is moving slowly north-northwestward (330/5 kt). Based on the
storm's position near but just to the southwest of a strong ridge
axis, a slow and generally northwestward motion is expected to
continue for the next several days. The latest NHC forecast track
shows Lala crossing the International Date Line between 72-96 h from
now. There remains a fair amount of cross-track spread in the
guidance at days 3-5, but only minimal adjustments were made to the
NHC track forecast to bring it closer to the latest corrected
consensus (HCCA).

While Lala is predicted to move over gradually cooler waters in the
coming days, the aforementioned ridge will keep the deep-layer shear
relatively weak over the storm. Therefore, only slow weakening is
anticipated during the next few days. The NHC intensity forecast
lies near the middle of the various intensity aids and is similar
to the previous prediction. GFS and ECMWF simulated satellite data
suggest Lala will struggle to maintain organized convection between
days 3-4, and the system appears likely to become post-tropical by
96 h.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 24/0900Z 33.3N 174.8W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 24/1800Z 33.8N 175.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 25/0600Z 34.5N 176.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 25/1800Z 35.1N 177.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 26/0600Z 35.6N 177.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 26/1800Z 36.1N 178.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 27/0600Z 36.9N 179.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 28/0600Z 38.3N 179.2E 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
120H 29/0600Z 40.5N 177.0E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 240852
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 48
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Sun Aug 23 2026

The satellite presentation of Lala consists of a large curved band
that wraps most of the way around the center of the storm. Infrared
cloud top temperatures are as cold as -55C to -60C, which is fairly
impressive given Lala's higher latitude over sub-26C waters. The
subjective Dvorak current intensity estimates and the objective
estimates from UW-CIMSS have held steady tonight, and the initial
intensity remains 55 kt. Data from an ASCAT-C pass is expected just
after this advisory issuance but will be useful in reassessing the
intensity and size of Lala for the next cycle.

Lala is moving slowly north-northwestward (330/5 kt). Based on the
storm's position near but just to the southwest of a strong ridge
axis, a slow and generally northwestward motion is expected to
continue for the next several days. The latest NHC forecast track
shows Lala crossing the International Date Line between 72-96 h from
now. There remains a fair amount of cross-track spread in the
guidance at days 3-5, but only minimal adjustments were made to the
NHC track forecast to bring it closer to the latest corrected
consensus (HCCA).

While Lala is predicted to move over gradually cooler waters in the
coming days, the aforementioned ridge will keep the deep-layer shear
relatively weak over the storm. Therefore, only slow weakening is
anticipated during the next few days. The NHC intensity forecast
lies near the middle of the various intensity aids and is similar
to the previous prediction. GFS and ECMWF simulated satellite data
suggest Lala will struggle to maintain organized convection between
days 3-4, and the system appears likely to become post-tropical by
96 h.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 24/0900Z 33.3N 174.8W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 24/1800Z 33.8N 175.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 25/0600Z 34.5N 176.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 25/1800Z 35.1N 177.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 26/0600Z 35.6N 177.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 26/1800Z 36.1N 178.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 27/0600Z 36.9N 179.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 28/0600Z 38.3N 179.2E 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
120H 29/0600Z 40.5N 177.0E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 240851
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM HST SUN AUG 23 2026

...LALA MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.3N 174.8W
ABOUT 405 MI...650 KM N OF PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL
ABOUT 395 MI...640 KM NNE OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 174.8 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH (9 KM/H). A SLOW
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH (100 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES (280 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB (29.18 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 240851
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 48
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC MON AUG 24 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 174.8W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE 70SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 150SE 210SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 174.8W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.2N 174.7W

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 33.8N 175.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 34.5N 176.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 35.1N 177.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 35.6N 177.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 36.1N 178.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 36.9N 179.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 80SE 0SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 38.3N 179.2E...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 30NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 40.5N 177.0E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.3N 174.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 240400 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 047A CORRECTED//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 047A CORRECTED
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
240000Z --- NEAR 32.9N 174.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 32.9N 174.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 33.5N 175.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 34.3N 175.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 34.8N 176.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 35.4N 177.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 36.0N 178.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 36.6N 179.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 38.2N 179.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 39.8N 177.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
240400Z POSITION NEAR 33.1N 174.8W. 24AUG26. TROPICAL STORM 01C
(LALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1010 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF JOHNSTON
ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 240000Z IS 988 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
241000Z, 241600Z, 242200Z AND 250400Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 02C
(MOKE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED STORM DESIGNATOR TO SHOW
CORRECTED INTENSITY FOR TROPICAL STORM 02C (MOKE) IN REMARKS.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 240400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 047//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 047
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
240000Z --- NEAR 32.9N 174.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 32.9N 174.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 33.5N 175.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 34.3N 175.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 34.8N 176.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 35.4N 177.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 36.0N 178.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 36.6N 179.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 38.2N 179.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 39.8N 177.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
240400Z POSITION NEAR 33.1N 174.8W.
24AUG26. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1010 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
240000Z IS 988 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 29
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241000Z, 241600Z, 242200Z AND 250400Z. REFER
TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (MOKE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 09E (ISELLE) WARNINGS
(WTPN33 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

0000254500
00002

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 240232
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 47
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Sun Aug 23 2026

Lala remains a well organized tropical storm despite moving over
cool waters. The system is maintaining a partial eyewall that wraps
a little more than halfway around the center, along with
numerous fragmented outer rainbands. There has been little change in
the latest satellite intensity estimates, and a blend of the latest
objective and subjective estimates supports holding the initial
intensity steady at 55 kt. An ASCAT-C pass from around 21Z was
helpful in adjusting the 34- and 50-kt wind radii.

The storm is moving slowly northwestward at about 6 kt. An even
slower northwestward motion is expected during the next few days as
Lala is forecast to remain located just southwest of a strong
subtropical ridge, not far from the ridge axis where the steering
currents are weak. This motion should cause Lala to cross the
International Date Line around the middle of the week. Although the
models show the same general theme, there is a fair amount of
cross-track spread beyond 72 hours. The NHC track forecast is
similar to the previous one and lies closer to the left side of the
guidance envelope, near the Google DeepMind, HCCA, and TVCA aids.

Lala is expected to weaken over the next several days as it moves
over progressively cooler waters, but the weakening trend will
likely be slow since it is expected to remain in generally low wind
shear conditions. The GFS and ECMWF models show the storm losing
organized deep convection around the time it nears the International
Date Line in a few days. Based on that guidance, the transition to a
post-tropical cyclone has been moved up to day 4. Otherwise, this
intensity forecast is very similar to the previous one and near the
middle of the guidance envelope.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 24/0300Z 33.1N 174.7W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 24/1200Z 33.5N 175.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 25/0000Z 34.3N 175.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 25/1200Z 34.8N 176.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 26/0000Z 35.4N 177.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 26/1200Z 36.0N 178.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 27/0000Z 36.6N 179.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 28/0000Z 38.2N 179.5E 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
120H 29/0000Z 39.8N 177.9E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 240231
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Lala Advisory Number 47
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Sun Aug 23 2026

...LALA HOLDING STEADY OVER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.1N 174.7W
ABOUT 390 MI...630 KM N OF PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL
ABOUT 390 MI...625 KM NNE OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lala was
located near latitude 33.1 North, longitude 174.7 West. Lala is
moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and a continued
slow northwestward motion is expected over the next few days.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next several days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 232200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 046//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 046
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231800Z --- NEAR 32.3N 174.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 32.3N 174.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 33.0N 174.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 33.6N 175.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 34.3N 176.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 34.8N 177.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 35.4N 177.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 36.1N 178.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 37.5N 179.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 39.6N 178.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
232200Z POSITION NEAR 32.5N 174.4W. 23AUG26. TROPICAL STORM 01C
(LALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 970 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF JOHNSTON
ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 231800Z IS 988 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240400Z, 241000Z,
241600Z AND 242200Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 02C (MOKE) WARNINGS
(WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 232033
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 46
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Sun Aug 23 2026

Visible and infrared satellite imagery shows Tropical Storm Lala may
be a bit better organized, with deep convection over the center and
a larger outer band now wrapping around the eastern and northern
semicircles. The change in appearance has not yet influenced the
objective and subjective satellite-based intensity estimates, which
support maintaining an initial intensity of 55 kt for this
advisory. I again note that this intensity could be generous, but
is consistent with a steady decay of the cyclone over cooler waters
and the recent improved appearance on satellite imagery.

Lala's current forward motion is analyzed to be 305/4 kt. The
mid-level ridge positioned just south and east of the central
Aleutian Islands is expected to remain the primary steering feature
through this week. As a result, the tropical storm is forecast to
continue slowly on a northwestward heading until degenerating into a
remnant low by 120 h. The track forecast is similar to the previous
advisory and closely follows the corrected multi-model consensus
(HCCA), which lies on the western side of the guidance envelope.

The intensity forecast is largely unchanged, lies within the middle
of the guidance envelope near HCCA, and continues to show a slow and
steady decay as the tropical cyclone moves across gradually cooler
waters. Some increase in vertical wind shear beginning around 72 h
should allow mid-level dry air to better penetrate the cyclone. Lala
is forecast to become a remnant low by 120 h, in agreement with the
latest GFS and ECMWF simulated satellite imagery, though this could
happen sooner.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/2100Z 32.5N 174.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 24/0600Z 33.0N 174.8W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 24/1800Z 33.6N 175.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 25/0600Z 34.3N 176.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 25/1800Z 34.8N 177.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 26/0600Z 35.4N 177.8W 40 KT 45 MPH
72H 26/1800Z 36.1N 178.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 27/1800Z 37.5N 179.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
120H 28/1800Z 39.6N 178.1E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Mahoney/Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 232032
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 46
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM HST SUN AUG 23 2026

...LALA REMAINS A STRONG TROPICAL STORM OVER OPEN WATERS...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.5N 174.3W
ABOUT 355 MI...575 KM NNE OF PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL
ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM NE OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 174.3 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH (7 KM/H) AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH (100 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES (280 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB (29.18 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER MAHONEY/CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 232031
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC SUN AUG 23 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 174.3W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 180SE 210SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 174.3W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 174.2W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 33.0N 174.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...135NE 120SE 85SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 33.6N 175.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 35NW.
34 KT...125NE 105SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 34.3N 176.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 34.8N 177.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 35.4N 177.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 36.1N 178.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 37.5N 179.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 20SW 50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 39.6N 178.1E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.5N 174.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER MAHONEY/CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 231600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 045//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 045
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231200Z --- NEAR 31.9N 173.7W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 31.9N 173.7W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 32.5N 174.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 33.1N 174.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 33.8N 175.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 34.3N 176.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 34.9N 177.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 35.6N 177.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 37.2N 179.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 39.1N 178.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
231600Z POSITION NEAR 32.1N 173.9W. 23AUG26. TROPICAL STORM 01C
(LALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 940 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF JOHNSTON
ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 231200Z IS 988 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
232200Z, 240400Z, 241000Z AND 241600Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 02C
(MOKE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 231434
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 45
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Sun Aug 23 2026

The presentation of Tropical Storm Lala has not changed much on
infrared satellite imagery over the past six hours, with deep
convection limited to the south and eastern semicircles. Subjective
Dvorak estimates from JTWC and HFO are both T3.5/55 kt, and
objective intensity estimates are closer to 50 kt. For this
advisory, the initial intensity is lowered to 55 kt, which could be
generous but is consistent with a steady decay of the cyclone over
cooler waters.

Lala appears to have slightly decelerated on a west-northwestward
heading (300/4 kt), as it is steered by a weak mid-level ridge
positioned just south and east of the central Aleutian Islands. The
tropical storm should continue on a generally west-northwestward to
northwestward heading through the remainder of the forecast period
as the ridge slides eastward. Lala's forward motion is not expected
to change much, and remain somewhat slow. The track guidance this
cycle remains in decent agreement on this scenario, though there
continues to be some cross-track spread, with the GFS presenting a
more eastward solution and the Google Deep Mind showing a more
westward solution. The updated track forecast is again slightly
slower than the previous one, and is again nudged westward toward
the latest corrected multi-model consensus (HCCA).

The waters near the tropical storm are around 26C, with light shear
and dry mid-level air. The shear and mid-level moisture are not
likely to change much through the forecast period, so Lala should
only weaken gradually as it moves over progressively cooler waters.
Cooler upper tropospheric temperatures, which increase tropospheric
instability, could counter some of the effect, at least initially,
of the sea surface temperatures. By 120 h, Lala is forecast to
become a post-tropical remnant low, in agreement with the GFS and
ECMWF simulated satellite imagery and the large-scale environmental
diagnostics from the Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction
Scheme (SHIPS) guidance. The new intensity forecast is consistent
with the previous one.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/1500Z 32.1N 173.9W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 24/0000Z 32.5N 174.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 24/1200Z 33.1N 174.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 25/0000Z 33.8N 175.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 25/1200Z 34.3N 176.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 26/0000Z 34.9N 177.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 26/1200Z 35.6N 177.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 27/1200Z 37.2N 179.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
120H 28/1200Z 39.1N 178.9E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Mahoney/Blake

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 231432
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 45
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM HST SUN AUG 23 2026

...LALA SLIGHTLY WEAKER OVER OPEN WATERS...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.1N 173.9W
ABOUT 335 MI...545 KM NNE OF PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL
ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM NE OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 173.9 WEST. LALA HAS
SOMEWHAT DECELERATED, AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
NEAR 5 MPH (7 KM/H). THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH (100 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES (280 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB (29.18 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT WESTERN SECTIONS
OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE LARGE WAVES COULD INUNDATE SOME LOW-LYING
ATOLLS, ESPECIALLY FROM MARO REEF TO KURE ATOLL.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER MAHONEY/BLAKE=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 231000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 044//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 044
DOWNGRADED FROM HURRICANE 01C
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230600Z --- NEAR 31.8N 173.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 31.8N 173.3W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 32.5N 174.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 33.1N 174.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 33.7N 175.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 34.3N 176.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 35.0N 176.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 35.7N 177.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 37.4N 179.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 39.0N 179.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
---
REMARKS:
231000Z POSITION NEAR 32.0N 173.6W. 23AUG26. TROPICAL STORM 01C
(LALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 929 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF JOHNSTON
ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 230600Z IS 984 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231600Z, 232200Z,
240400Z AND 241000Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 02C (MOKE) WARNINGS
(WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 230844
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 44
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Sat Aug 22 2026

Visible satellite images before sunset showed the well-defined
center of Lala surrounded by pronounced curved convective bands.
Infrared cloud top temperatures closer to the center have warmed
within the decaying eyewall. A blend of the latest HFO and JTWC
Dvorak intensity estimates and the earlier scatterometer data
support holding the initial intensity at 60 kt for this advisory.

The storm is moving slowly to the northwest (325/6 kt) with a
mid-level ridge positioned to its north and northeast. This ridge is
forecast to slide eastward and build over the northern Pacific
during the next several days. This should keep Lala on a slow
northwestward track through the forecast period. While the track
models agree on this general scenario, there is notable cross-track
spread in the extended range with the Google Deep Mind and GFS
solutions on opposite sides of the guidance envelope. The updated
NHC track forecast is slightly slower than the previous one, with
small westward adjustments beyond 48 h that trend closer to the
latest corrected multi-model consensus (HCCA).

Lala is centered over waters slightly warmer than 26C in a
relatively weak shear environment. With no baroclinic features
forecast to impart shear on the storm or induce its extratropical
transition, Lala is predicted to only gradually weaken during the
next couple of days. After 48 h, the storm will move over
progressively cooler waters, and the updated NHC prediction shows
steady weakening during the latter half of the forecast. GFS and
ECMWF simulated satellite images suggest Lala could struggle to
sustain organized convection by midweek, and this forecast shows the
system becoming a post-tropical remnant low by 120 h.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/0900Z 32.0N 173.7W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 23/1800Z 32.5N 174.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 24/0600Z 33.1N 174.8W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 24/1800Z 33.7N 175.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 25/0600Z 34.3N 176.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 25/1800Z 35.0N 176.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 26/0600Z 35.7N 177.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 27/0600Z 37.4N 179.2W 35 KT 40 MPH
120H 28/0600Z 39.0N 179.0E 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 230842
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM HST SAT AUG 22 2026

...LALA MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER OPEN WATERS...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.0N 173.7W
ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM NNE OF PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL
ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM NE OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 173.7 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH (11 KM/H), AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH (110 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES (295 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB (29.06 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT WESTERN SECTIONS
OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE LARGE WAVES COULD INUNDATE SOME LOW-LYING
ATOLLS, ESPECIALLY FROM MARO REEF TO KURE ATOLL.

// END PART 01 //=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 230842
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC SUN AUG 23 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 173.7W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 160SE 110SW 160NW.
4 M SEAS....330NE 210SE 300SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 173.7W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 173.3W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 32.5N 174.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 33.1N 174.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 33.7N 175.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 34.3N 176.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 35.0N 176.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 35.7N 177.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 37.4N 179.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 20SW 50NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 39.0N 179.0E...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.0N 173.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 230244
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 43
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Sat Aug 22 2026

Lala has a good structure of curved convective bands surrounding a
ragged and intermittent eye. However, the cloud tops are not cold,
with tops of -50C to -55C confined to small areas near the center.
The various satellite intensity estimates range from 45-65 kt and
are trending slowly downward, while an earlier ASCAT overpass showed
maximum winds between 50-55 kt. Based on these data and the
possibility of undersampling of the ASCAT data, the initial
intensity is reduced to 60 kt. Thus, Lala is downgraded to a
tropical storm.

The initial motion is 320/5 kt. During the forecast period, Lala
should be steered by a low- to mid-level ridge to the north, with
this feature expected to build northwestward due to a developing
baroclinic trough over the far northwestern Pacific. This pattern
should cause Lala to move on a general slow northwestward track.
There is little change to the track guidance, and the new forecast
track is similar to the previous forecast.

Despite the high latitudes of the forecast, Lala is likely to stay
well away from any baroclinic zones that could cause extratropical
transition. The cyclone is expected to remain in an area of light
to moderate shear for the next several days, so the intensity will
be controlled mainly by sea surface temperatures and moisture. The
storm has another 24 h over sea surface temperatures of 26C, after
which the water gets colder along the forecast track. The new
intensity forecast follows the trend of the guidance in showing a
slow weakening over the next several days. As before, Lala is
forecast to lose its convection and become post-tropical around
120 h as suggested by simulated satellite imagery from the GFS and
ECMWF models.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/0300Z 31.5N 172.9W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 23/1200Z 32.0N 173.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 24/0000Z 32.7N 174.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 24/1200Z 33.3N 174.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 25/0000Z 33.9N 175.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 25/1200Z 34.7N 176.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 26/0000Z 35.4N 176.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 27/0000Z 37.2N 178.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
120H 28/0000Z 39.1N 180.0E 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL

$$
Forecaster Beven

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 230243
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC SUN AUG 23 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 172.9W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT.......190NE 160SE 100SW 160NW.
4 M SEAS....330NE 210SE 270SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 172.9W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 172.7W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 32.0N 173.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 32.7N 174.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 33.3N 174.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 33.9N 175.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 34.7N 176.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 35.4N 176.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 50SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 37.2N 178.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 39.1N 180.0E...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 40NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 172.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 230243
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM HST SAT AUG 22 2026

...LALA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.5N 172.9W
ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM NNE OF PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL
ABOUT 385 MI...625 KM NE OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 172.9 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH (9 KM/H), AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 70 MPH (110 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220 MILES (350 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB (29.06 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT WESTERN SECTIONS
OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE LARGE WAVES COULD INUNDATE SOME LOW-LYING
ATOLLS, ESPECIALLY FROM MARO REEF TO KURE ATOLL.

// END PART 01 //=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 222200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 042//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 042
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221800Z --- NEAR 30.8N 172.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 30.8N 172.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 31.6N 173.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 32.4N 174.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 33.0N 174.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 33.6N 175.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 34.4N 176.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 35.1N 176.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 37.0N 178.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 38.8N 179.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
POST-TROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
222200Z POSITION NEAR 31.1N 172.8W.
22AUG26. HURRICANE 01C (LALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 862 NM NORTH
OF JOHNSTON ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 221800Z IS 981 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 37 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
230400Z, 231000Z, 231600Z AND 232200Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 02C (MOKE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 222034
TCDCP2

Hurricane Lala Discussion Number 42
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Sat Aug 22 2026

Lala’s convective structure hasn’t changed much over the past 6 h,
which consists of tightly curved bands. Only some of the area of
these convective bands consists of deep convection with cloud tops
colder than -30C, whereas only moderate convection covers the
remainder of the convective band area, with cloud top temperatures
between 0C and -30C. The latest subjective Dvorak classifications
are T4.0/65 kt from JTWC and T3.5/55 kt from PHFO. Since convection
has been fairly meager for a while now, and we are 12 hours removed
from the earlier 09Z ASCAT pass mentioned in the discussion from the
15Z advisory, the initial intensity it again nudged downward, and is
set at 65 kt for this advisory.

Lala has slowed down over the past 12 hours, and the initial motion
is estimated to be northwestward, or 305 degrees at 6 kt. There is
no change to the forecast track philosophy. Two mid- to upper-level
ridges, one to the north and one to the west of Lala will cause the
cyclone to continue moving slowly northwestward through Monday,
before it attempts to squeeze in between those two ridges by
midweek. The northwestward motion in 3-5 days will also be aided by
an approaching upper-level trough well to the north of the system.
Only a small change to the right of the previous NHC track forecast
has been made, and the latest forecast is close to the latest HFIP
Corrected Consensus (HCCA) model.

Relatively dry air and decreasing sea-surface temperatures along
Lala's track will cause continued weakening. The shear will
continue to be weak, and Lala will be moving into an area of colder
upper-tropospheric temperatures, so those positive factors will be
enough so that only gradual weakening is expected over the next
several days. No major changes are made to the previous NHC
intensity forecast, which lies near the middle of the guidance
envelope. The system is now forecast to lose its convection and
become post-tropical in about 5 days, as suggested by the GFS and
ECMWF simulated satellite imageries.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 22/2100Z 31.0N 172.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 23/0600Z 31.6N 173.4W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 23/1800Z 32.4N 174.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 24/0600Z 33.0N 174.9W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 24/1800Z 33.6N 175.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 25/0600Z 34.4N 176.1W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 25/1800Z 35.1N 176.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 26/1800Z 37.0N 178.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 27/1800Z 38.8N 179.8W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL

$$
Forecaster Hagen

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 222033
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM HST SAT AUG 22 2026

...HURRICANE LALA CONTINUING NORTHWESTWARD AT A SLOWER FORWARD
SPEED...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.0N 172.7W
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM NE OF PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL
ABOUT 380 MI...615 KM ENE OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 172.7 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH (11 KM/H) AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH (120 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS,
AND LALA'S WINDS COULD DECREASE BELOW HURRICANE FORCE TONIGHT.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES (95 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255 MILES
(405 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB (28.97 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT WESTERN SECTIONS
OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE LARGE WAVES COULD INUNDATE SOME LOW-LYING
ATOLLS, ESPECIALLY FROM MARO REEF TO KURE ATOLL.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 222032
TCMCP2

HURRICANE LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC SAT AUG 22 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 172.7W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 45NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 70SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT.......220NE 130SE 130SW 190NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 240SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 172.7W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 172.5W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 31.6N 173.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...190NE 130SE 110SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 32.4N 174.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 33.0N 174.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 33.6N 175.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 34.4N 176.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 35.1N 176.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 100SE 50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 37.0N 178.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 38.8N 179.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 0SW 40NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N 172.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 221600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 041//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 041
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220600Z --- NEAR 30.2N 171.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 30.2N 171.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 31.3N 172.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 32.2N 173.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 33.0N 174.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 33.6N 175.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 34.3N 175.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 35.1N 176.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 36.8N 178.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 38.9N 179.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
221000Z POSITION NEAR 30.6N 171.8W. 22AUG26. HURRICANE 01C (LALA),
LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 799 NM NORTHWEST OF BARKING SANDS, HAS TRACKED
NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE AT 220600Z IS 976 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
220600Z IS 37 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221600Z, 222200Z, 230400Z AND
231000Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 02C (MOKE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 221435
TCDCP2

Hurricane Lala Discussion Number 41
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Sat Aug 22 2026

The areal coverage of deep convection in association with Lala has
been gradually decreasing over the past 12 to 18 h. The latest
subjective Dvorak current intensity estimates from JTWC and PHFO are
a consensus T4.0/65 kt. Recent objective satellite intensity
estimates range from 50-62 kt. A 22/0905 UTC ASCAT-C overpass had
wind vectors as high as 64 kt. Given the degraded appearance on
satellite imagery, but also taking into account the well-known
low-bias in the ASCAT instrument at those wind speeds, the intensity
is nudged downward to 70 kt for this advisory. The 34-kt wind
radii were expanded in some of the quadrants based on the ASCAT
pass.

Lala appears to have made a short-term jog to the west-northwest and
is also starting to decelerate, but the longer term motion is
estimated to be northwestward, or 310 degrees at 9 kt. Two mid- to
upper-level ridges, one to the north and one to the west of Lala
will cause the cyclone to slow down to a forward speed of around 5
kt on Sunday and Monday while continuing northwestward, before it
attempts to squeeze in between those two ridges in 3-5 days. The
northwestward motion in 3-5 days will also be aided by an
approaching upper-level trough well to the north of the system.
There continues to be significant cross-track model spread in the
3-5 day period. The NHC forecast is slower and farther left
compared to the previous NHC forecast and is close to an average of
the latest HFIP Corrected Consensus (HCCA) and Simple Consensus
(TVCN) models.

The dry air getting into the core of Lala has been the culprit for
the recent weakening. The shear is forecast to remain low through
the forecast period. By the time the mid-level troposphere moistens
slightly in a couple of days, Lala will have crossed the 26C
sea-surface temperature isotherm into cooler waters, and will
continue to move into progressively cooler water after that. Since
upper-level temperatures will also cool down in a few days along
Lala's path, only gradual weakening is forecast, and Lala could
still be a tropical cyclone in 4-5 days. Only very small changes
have been made to the previous NHC forecast, which lies near the
middle of the guidance envelope.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 22/1500Z 30.5N 172.4W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 23/0000Z 31.2N 173.2W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 23/1200Z 31.9N 174.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 24/0000Z 32.6N 174.8W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 24/1200Z 33.2N 175.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 25/0000Z 34.0N 176.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 25/1200Z 34.8N 176.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 26/1200Z 36.5N 178.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 27/1200Z 38.8N 179.9W 40 KT 45 MPH

$$
Forecaster Hagen

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 221433
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM HST SAT AUG 22 2026

...LALA STILL A LARGE HURRICANE...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.5N 172.4W
ABOUT 290 MI...470 KM NE OF PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL
ABOUT 385 MI...615 KM ENE OF KURE ATOLL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 172.4 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH (17 KM/H). THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT A SLOWER SPEED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH (130 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS, AND LALA'S WINDS COULD DECREASE BELOW HURRICANE FORCE
BY EARLY SUNDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES (95 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255 MILES
(405 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB (28.91 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT WESTERN SECTIONS
OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE LARGE WAVES COULD INUNDATE SOME LOW-LYING
ATOLLS, ESPECIALLY FROM MARO REEF TO KURE ATOLL.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 221000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 040//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 040
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220000Z --- NEAR 28.7N 170.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.7N 170.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 30.1N 171.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 31.0N 172.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 31.8N 173.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 32.3N 174.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 33.0N 174.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 33.8N 175.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 35.5N 177.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 37.3N 178.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
22100Z POSITION NEAR 29.2N 170.7W. 22AUG26. HURRICANE 01C (LALA),
LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 705 NM NORTHWEST OF BARKING SANDS, HAS TRACKED
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 220600Z IS 977 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 220600Z IS 37 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221600Z, 222200Z, 230400Z AND
230600Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 02C (MOKE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 220842
TCDCP2

Hurricane Lala Discussion Number 40
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Fri Aug 21 2026

Lala's structure has evolved over the past 6-12 hours due to
interaction with an upper-level trough to its west and southwest.
Deep convection has been sheared away from the center due to nearly
30 kt of south-southwesterly shear, and moderate convection now
wraps around the northern and western side of the circulation,
very similar to the structure of an occluded extratropical low.
Dvorak Current Intensity numbers from HFO and JTWC are still 4.5/77
kt, and given that winds can be slow to decrease when a tropical
cyclone positively interacts with an upper-level trough, the
current intensity estimate remains 75 kt. It is estimated that
Lala's wind field has also expanded as a result of the trough
interaction. A pair of ASCAT passes should hit the cyclone soon to
give us a better estimate of Lala's intensity and size.

The interaction with the trough has also caused Lala to turn and
temporarily accelerate toward the northwest (325/12 kt). A mid-level
ridge to the northeast should force the cyclone on a northwestward
trajectory for the next 3 days, but the steering is so weak that
Lala is likely to slow down considerably, only moving at 4-5 kt on
Sunday and Monday. A motion toward the north-northwest could occur
by Tuesday and Wednesday as the ridge shifts east of Lala, but
there is model spread regarding the degree and speed of that turn.
The NHC track forecast lies just left of the center of the guidance
envelope, leaning toward the HCCA and GDMI guidance, and is also not
very different from the previous forecast.

Deep-layer shear is forecast to fall to 10 kt or less in about 12
hours once Lala becomes embedded within the larger-scale longwave
trough. Since the hurricane is expected to slow down, water
temperatures and atmospheric instability are only expected to
gradually decrease during the next few days, which should allow for
at least moderate convection to continue. The NHC intensity
forecast continues to show gradual weakening, generally close to
the IVCN intensity consensus, and Lala could still be a tropical
cyclone at the end of the 5-day forecast period.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 22/0900Z 30.3N 172.0W 75 KT 85 MPH
12H 22/1800Z 31.3N 172.7W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 23/0600Z 32.2N 173.6W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 23/1800Z 33.0N 174.4W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 24/0600Z 33.6N 175.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
60H 24/1800Z 34.3N 175.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 25/0600Z 35.1N 176.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 26/0600Z 36.8N 178.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 27/0600Z 38.9N 179.4W 40 KT 45 MPH

$$
Forecaster Berg

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 220841
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM HST FRI AUG 21 2026

...LALA TURNS NORTHWESTWARD...
...FORECAST TO WEAKEN BUT REMAIN A TROPICAL CYCLONE FOR SEVERAL
MORE DAYS...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.3N 172.0W
ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM NE OF PEARL AND HERMES ATOLL
ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM NNE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 172.0 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH (22 KM/H). A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION
BUT AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH (140 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS,
AND LALA'S WINDS COULD DECREASE BELOW HURRICANE FORCE BY EARLY
SUNDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES (110 KM) FROM
THE CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES (335 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB (28.82 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT WESTERN
SECTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FOR THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THESE LARGE WAVES COULD INUNDATE SOME LOW-LYING
ATOLLS, ESPECIALLY FROM MARO REEF TO KURE ATOLL.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BERG=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 220841
TCMCP2

HURRICANE LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC SAT AUG 22 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 172.0W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
50 KT.......100NE 70SE 80SW 90NW.
34 KT.......180NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 270SE 210SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 172.0W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 171.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 31.3N 172.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...170NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 32.2N 173.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 33.0N 174.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 33.6N 175.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 34.3N 175.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 35.1N 176.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 36.8N 178.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 40SW 80NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 38.9N 179.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.3N 172.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 220426

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 22.08.2026

TROPICAL STORM MOKE ANALYSED POSITION : 14.0N 147.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP022026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 22.08.2026 0 14.0N 147.9W 1003 34
1200UTC 22.08.2026 12 14.6N 150.2W 1004 35
0000UTC 23.08.2026 24 15.1N 152.6W 1005 33
1200UTC 23.08.2026 36 14.9N 155.7W 1006 31
0000UTC 24.08.2026 48 14.8N 158.8W 1007 27
1200UTC 24.08.2026 60 14.6N 161.5W 1007 24
0000UTC 25.08.2026 72 14.8N 163.7W 1008 24
1200UTC 25.08.2026 84 15.3N 166.2W 1008 23
0000UTC 26.08.2026 96 16.1N 168.7W 1008 24
1200UTC 26.08.2026 108 CEASED TRACKING

HURRICANE LALA ANALYSED POSITION : 29.2N 170.7W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 22.08.2026 0 29.2N 170.7W 972 68
1200UTC 22.08.2026 12 30.1N 172.1W 970 60
0000UTC 23.08.2026 24 31.4N 172.5W 977 54
1200UTC 23.08.2026 36 32.1N 173.8W 983 47
0000UTC 24.08.2026 48 32.7N 174.6W 986 47
1200UTC 24.08.2026 60 33.5N 175.3W 990 45
0000UTC 25.08.2026 72 34.0N 176.3W 993 41
1200UTC 25.08.2026 84 34.3N 177.0W 994 38
0000UTC 26.08.2026 96 35.0N 177.4W 996 41
1200UTC 26.08.2026 108 36.4N 178.4W 997 47
0000UTC 27.08.2026 120 37.3N 179.9W 997 42
1200UTC 27.08.2026 132 38.1N 179.1E 999 41
0000UTC 28.08.2026 144 38.8N 178.2E 1002 37
1200UTC 28.08.2026 156 39.4N 176.3E 1005 32
0000UTC 29.08.2026 168 40.7N 174.2E 1009 32

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 17.1N 118.5W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 24.08.2026 48 17.1N 118.5W 1004 32
1200UTC 24.08.2026 60 18.3N 120.3W 1002 37
0000UTC 25.08.2026 72 19.8N 122.9W 1001 38
1200UTC 25.08.2026 84 22.0N 124.6W 1003 37
0000UTC 26.08.2026 96 22.3N 126.8W 1004 29
1200UTC 26.08.2026 108 24.2N 128.3W 1006 23
0000UTC 27.08.2026 120 25.1N 129.7W 1008 25
1200UTC 27.08.2026 132 26.2N 130.1W 1009 23
0000UTC 28.08.2026 144 27.4N 130.5W 1011 22
1200UTC 28.08.2026 156 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 35.8N 59.2W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 25.08.2026 84 35.8N 59.2W 1014 27
0000UTC 26.08.2026 96 38.6N 56.5W 1014 28
1200UTC 26.08.2026 108 41.9N 52.0W 1012 32
0000UTC 27.08.2026 120 45.1N 45.9W 1011 33
1200UTC 27.08.2026 132 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 11.7N 28.4W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 26.08.2026 108 11.4N 30.4W 1008 30
0000UTC 27.08.2026 120 11.9N 34.6W 1007 33
1200UTC 27.08.2026 132 11.8N 38.7W 1005 36
0000UTC 28.08.2026 144 12.6N 43.0W 1006 37
1200UTC 28.08.2026 156 13.4N 47.5W 1006 37
0000UTC 29.08.2026 168 14.7N 52.3W 1007 39

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 29.6N 58.9W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 26.08.2026 108 30.4N 59.4W 1015 29
0000UTC 27.08.2026 120 31.4N 60.4W 1013 32
1200UTC 27.08.2026 132 33.2N 61.0W 1009 37
0000UTC 28.08.2026 144 35.2N 60.3W 1007 40
1200UTC 28.08.2026 156 37.6N 58.6W 1005 47
0000UTC 29.08.2026 168 40.2N 55.5W 1001 54

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 8.9N 118.5W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 27.08.2026 132 8.9N 118.5W 1005 31
0000UTC 28.08.2026 144 10.1N 119.5W 1004 25
1200UTC 28.08.2026 156 11.1N 121.1W 1004 23
0000UTC 29.08.2026 168 11.8N 123.2W 1003 26

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 220426

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 220400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CENTPAC//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 040
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220000Z --- NEAR 28.7N 170.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.7N 170.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 30.1N 171.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 31.0N 172.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 31.8N 173.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 32.3N 174.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 33.0N 174.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 33.8N 175.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 35.5N 177.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 37.3N 178.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
220400Z POSITION NEAR 29.2N 170.7W.
22AUG26. HURRICANE 01C (LALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 705 NM
NORTHWEST OF BARKING SANDS, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 220000Z IS
977 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 37 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 221000Z, 221600Z, 222200Z AND 230400Z. REFER TO TROPICAL
CYCLONE 02C (MOKE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 220236
TCDCP2

Hurricane Lala Discussion Number 39
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Fri Aug 21 2026

Lala has become more asymmetrical this afternoon due to strong
southwesterly vertical wind shear displacing the convection mostly
to the north of the low-level center. A recent GPM microwave pass
shows that the low- and mid-level centers are becoming tilted due to
the shear. Dry air has also started to intrude into the system, with
convection warming and broken banding features. The latest
subjective and objective intensity aids have decreased as well
following the degraded satellite appearance, with estimates ranging
from 63 to 77 kt. Using these estimates and the current satellite
trends, the intensity is lowered to 75 kt for this advisory.

Lala is moving northward at an estimated motion of 355/8 kt. The
system should begin to turn northwestward later tonight into
Saturday as a mid-level ridge builds to the east of the cyclone.
Lala will move around the western periphery of the ridge, towards
the northwest, throughout the forecast period at a slightly slower
forward speed. The latest NHC track forecast is nudged slightly to
the left toward the latest consensus aids.

Although the southwesterly shear is forecast to decrease later
tonight or early Saturday, Lala is expected to track over
progressively cooler sea surface temperatures and remain embedded
within a dry mid-level environment. Thus, the system is forecast to
continue weakening throughout the forecast period. The latest NHC
intensity forecast is similar to the previous and shows a gradual
weakening trend.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 22/0300Z 29.4N 170.7W 75 KT 85 MPH
12H 22/1200Z 30.1N 171.2W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 23/0000Z 31.0N 172.2W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 23/1200Z 31.8N 173.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 24/0000Z 32.3N 174.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
60H 24/1200Z 33.0N 174.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 25/0000Z 33.8N 175.3W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 26/0000Z 35.5N 177.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 27/0000Z 37.3N 178.4W 40 KT 45 MPH

$$
Forecaster Kelly

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 220235
TCMCP2

HURRICANE LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC SAT AUG 22 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 170.7W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 240SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 170.7W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 170.4W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 30.1N 171.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 120SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 31.0N 172.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 120SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 31.8N 173.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 32.3N 174.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 33.0N 174.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 33.8N 175.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 35.5N 177.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 80NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 37.3N 178.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N 170.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 220235
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 39
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM HST FRI AUG 21 2026

...LALA MOVING NORTHWARD...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.4N 170.7W
ABOUT 285 MI...455 KM N OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM NE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 170.7 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH (15 KM/H). A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
IS EXPECTED TONIGHT, AND A MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WILL
CONTINUE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH (140 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LALA IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE
WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES
(260 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB (28.85 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL LIKELY INUNDATE SOME OF THE LOW-LYING
ATOLLS, ESPECIALLY FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KELLY=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 212200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 038//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 038
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
211800Z --- NEAR 28.1N 170.7W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.1N 170.7W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 29.9N 171.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 31.0N 171.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 31.9N 173.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 32.6N 173.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 33.2N 174.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 33.8N 175.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 35.4N 177.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 37.3N 178.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
212200Z POSITION NEAR 28.7N 170.8W.
21AUG26. HURRICANE 01C (LALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 687 NM NORTH
OF JOHNSTON ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 211800Z IS 974 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
220400Z, 221000Z, 221600Z AND 222200Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 02C (MOKE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 212033
TCDCP2

Hurricane Lala Discussion Number 38
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Fri Aug 21 2026

The combined influence of strong southwesterly vertical wind shear
and intrusions of dry air is more clearly evident on infrared and
visible satellite imagery. An earlier microwave pass also indicates
the cyclone vortex is tilted in response to the strong shear. The
subjective Dvorak estimates from HFO and JTWC are both T4.5/77 kt,
with objective satellite intensity estimates near 80 kt. Based on
these data, the analyzed intensity for this advisory is 80 kt.

Lala is again moving at a slightly faster forward speed toward the
north-northeast at 030/12. The overall track forecast philosophy has
not changed, however the long-range track will be more sensitive
than usual to errors at early forecast hours given the geometry of
the track. By Saturday, a quick turn to the north and then the
northwest is expected as the trough exits to the east and a
mid-level ridge builds just south of the Aleutian Islands. Lala will
then decelerate slightly as the ridge remains the primary steering
feature through the remainder of the forecast period. The track
forecast is once again adjusted slightly to the right of the
previous forecast, mainly due to the current motion towards the
north-northeast. The new track forecast is a blend of the
interpolated previous forecast (OFCI) and the HCCA and TCVN aids.

Even though southwesterly shear is forecast to subside during the
next 18-24 h, sea surface temperatures (SSTs) will cool gradually as
Lala gains latitude, and thus the current weakening trend will
continue. Cooling upper tropospheric temperatures could compensate
somewhat for the cooler SSTs, allowing Lala to maintain deep
convection and weaken at a more gradual pace. The intensity forecast
remains on the higher side of the guidance envelope, and is largely
unchanged from the previous advisory.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 21/2100Z 28.6N 170.4W 80 KT 90 MPH
12H 22/0600Z 29.9N 171.0W 75 KT 85 MPH
24H 22/1800Z 31.0N 171.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
36H 23/0600Z 31.9N 173.0W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 23/1800Z 32.6N 173.9W 60 KT 70 MPH
60H 24/0600Z 33.2N 174.6W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 24/1800Z 33.8N 175.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 25/1800Z 35.4N 177.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
120H 26/1800Z 37.3N 178.5W 45 KT 50 MPH

$$
Forecaster Mahoney/Kelly

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 212032
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM HST FRI AUG 21 2026

...LALA REMAINS A STRONG HURRICANE...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.6N 170.4W
ABOUT 230 MI...365 KM N OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM NE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 170.4 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH (22 KM/H). A TURN TOWARD THE
THE NORTH IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY, FOLLOWED BY A NORTHWESTWARD
MOTION BEGINNING TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH (150 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY
OR SO, FOLLOWED BY GRADUAL WEAKENING THROUGH NEXT WEEK. LALA IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN A HURRICANE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES
(260 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 974 MB (28.77 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL LIKELY INUNDATE SOME OF THE LOW-LYING
ATOLLS, ESPECIALLY FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER MAHONEY/KELLY=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 212032
TCMCP2

HURRICANE LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC FRI AUG 21 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 170.4W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 150SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 170.4W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 170.7W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 29.9N 171.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 75SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 120SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 31.0N 171.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 65NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 125SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 31.9N 173.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 70NE 65SE 50SW 55NW.
34 KT...140NE 125SE 120SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 32.6N 173.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 55NE 50SE 40SW 45NW.
34 KT...135NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 33.2N 174.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 33.8N 175.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...130NE 105SE 70SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 35.4N 177.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 10SW 10NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 50SW 80NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 37.3N 178.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 60NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.6N 170.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER MAHONEY/KELLY

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 211600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 037//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 037
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
211200Z --- NEAR 27.0N 171.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.0N 171.3W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 28.9N 171.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 30.4N 171.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 31.4N 172.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 32.1N 173.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 32.7N 174.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 33.5N 175.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 35.0N 176.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 37.0N 178.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
211600Z POSITION NEAR 27.6N 171.2W.
21AUG26. HURRICANE 01C (LALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 626 NM NORTH
OF JOHNSTON ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 211200Z IS 970
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 212200Z, 220400Z, 221000Z AND 221600Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (TWO-C) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

0001117700
00001

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 211445
TCDCP2

Hurricane Lala Discussion Number 37
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Fri Aug 21 2026

Since the previous advisory, Lala has maintained a relatively steady
presentation on infrared satellite imagery, with a ragged eye and a
ring of cool cloud tops encircling the center of the hurricane. The
initial intensity of 85 kt is a bit higher than the subjective
Dvorak estimates from HFO (T4.0/65 kt) and JTWC (T4.5/77 kt), but
closer to the objective satellite intensity estimates from CIMSS.
Hurricane Lala is also interacting favorably with an upper-level
trough.

The influence of the trough interaction appears to be slightly
accelerating the system towards the north-northeast. The estimated
forward motion for this advisory is 030/11 kt, which is forecast to
continue through later this morning or this afternoon. By Saturday,
a quick turn to the north and then the northwest is expected as the
trough exits to the east and a mid-level ridge builds just south of
the Aleutian Islands. Lala will then decelerate slightly as the
ridge remains the primary steering feature through the remainder of
the forecast period. The track forecast is again adjusted slightly
to the right of the previous forecast, mainly due to the current
motion positioning the system more north-northeast at the initial
time. The new track forecast closely follows the HCCA and TVCN aids.

The ongoing strong southwesterly vertical wind shear combined with
an expansive area of somewhat dry mid-level air appears to be having
little effect on the robust inner core of Hurricane Lala. This is
likely due to the favorable trough interaction. As the trough moves
away from the system, the shear is expected to decrease
dramatically, with gradually cooling sea surface temperatures and
ambient dry air likely to be the only hindrances through 120 h. The
intensity forecast, as a result, shows steady weakening, and I would
not be surprised if Lala decays slower than forecast. The intensity
forecast is on the higher side of the guidance envelope, which
often struggle to capture these favorable trough interactions.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 21/1500Z 27.6N 170.8W 85 KT 100 MPH
12H 22/0000Z 28.9N 171.1W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 22/1200Z 30.4N 171.9W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 23/0000Z 31.4N 172.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 23/1200Z 32.1N 173.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 24/0000Z 32.7N 174.6W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 24/1200Z 33.5N 175.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 25/1200Z 35.0N 176.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
120H 26/1200Z 37.0N 178.7W 45 KT 50 MPH

$$
Forecaster Mahoney/Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 211416
TCMCP2

HURRICANE LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC FRI AUG 21 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 170.8W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE 80SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 150SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 170.8W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 171.3W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 28.9N 171.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 75SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...155NE 140SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 30.4N 171.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 75SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 31.4N 172.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 70NE 65SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 32.1N 173.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 65NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 32.7N 174.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 33.5N 175.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 35.0N 176.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 110NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 37.0N 178.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N 170.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER MAHONEY/CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 211413
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM HST FRI AUG 21 2026

...LALA MOVING SLIGHTLY FASTER TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING DISCONTINUED FOR THE ISLANDS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.6N 170.8W
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM N OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM ENE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL
MONUMENT FROM LISIANSKI ISLAND TO MARO REEF HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 170.8 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH (20 KM/H) AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH WITH A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY,
FOLLOWED BY A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION BEGINNING TONIGHT AND CONTINUING
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH (155 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
DAY OR SO, FOLLOWED BY GRADUAL WEAKENING THROUGH NEXT WEEK. LALA IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN A HURRICANE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES
(240 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB (28.65 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL LIKELY INUNDATE SOME OF THE LOW-LYING
ATOLLS, ESPECIALLY FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER MAHONEY/CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 211154
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 36A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM HST FRI AUG 21 2026

...LALA MOVING AWAY FROM THE ISLANDS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS CONTINUE BETWEEN LISIANSKI ISLAND AND
MARO REEF...

SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.9N 171.2W
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM NNW OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 180 MI...295 KM ENE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM
LISIANSKI ISLAND TO MARO REEF.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL
MONUMENT EAST OF MARO REEF TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM LISIANSKI
ISLAND TO MARO REEF

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

// END PART 01 //=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 211000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 036//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 036
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
210600Z --- NEAR 26.1N 171.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.1N 171.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 28.1N 171.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 29.8N 171.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 30.9N 172.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 31.8N 173.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 32.5N 174.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 33.1N 175.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 34.6N 176.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 36.6N 178.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
211000Z POSITION NEAR 26.8N 171.7W.
21AUG26. HURRICANE 01C (LALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 580 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-
NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 210600Z IS 974 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
211600Z, 212200Z, 220400Z AND 221000Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (TWO-C) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 210852
TCDCP2

Hurricane Lala Discussion Number 36
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Thu Aug 20 2026

A ragged eye has reappeared in infrared satellite imagery, which
resulted in subjective Dvorak estimates from HFO and JTWC bumping
up to T4.5/77 kt and T5.0/90 kt, respectively. The initial intensity
is therefore estimated to be 85 kt, which is also near the middle
of the range of objective estimates from UW-CIMSS (75-95 kt).

Lala's center has passed Laysan Island and is now beginning to move
away from the islands of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National
Monument. The hurricane is interacting with a mid- to upper-level
trough to its northwest, which has induced a north-northeastward
motion of 020/8 kt. This motion should continue through early
Friday, but a relatively quick turn to the north and then northwest
is expected late Friday and early Saturday when Lala rotates around
to the northern side of the trough. A developing mid-tropospheric
high south of the Aleutian Islands should then keep Lala on a slow
northwestward trajectory through Tuesday. Mainly as a result of
Lala turning more to the north-northeast than previously expected,
the track guidance has shifted a bit to the right on this cycle.
The new NHC track forecast blends the previous forecast with the
latest TVCN, HCCA, and GDMI aids.

Various shear diagnostics suggest that the trough near Lala is
causing 30-40 kt of deep-layer southwesterly shear over the
hurricane, but this is apparently being compensated by strong
upper-level divergence. These conditions are expected to flip in
the next 24-36 hours, with shear decreasing significantly and
upper-level divergence becoming more neutral. Lala will also
gradually move over cooler waters in the coming days, with sea
surface temperatures falling below 26 degrees Celsius in 2 to 3
days. As a result, only slow weakening is anticipated for much of
the 5-day forecast period, and the NHC intensity forecast most
closely follows the gradual trend shown by the IVCN intensity
consensus. By day 5, mid-level moisture and instability, along with
relatively low shear, could still be sufficient enough to support
some deep convection and keep Lala going as a tropical cyclone, but
the storm will probably be getting very close to becoming
post-tropical.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 21/0900Z 26.6N 171.7W 85 KT 100 MPH
12H 21/1800Z 28.1N 171.3W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 22/0600Z 29.8N 171.7W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 22/1800Z 30.9N 172.7W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 23/0600Z 31.8N 173.6W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 23/1800Z 32.5N 174.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 24/0600Z 33.1N 175.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 25/0600Z 34.6N 176.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
120H 26/0600Z 36.6N 178.7W 45 KT 50 MPH

$$
Forecaster Berg

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 210852
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM HST THU AUG 20 2026

...LALA TEMPORARILY BACK TO CATEGORY 2 STRENGTH WHILE BEGINNING
TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...
...CONDITIONS FORECAST TO IMPROVE NEAR THE ISLANDS ON FRIDAY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.6N 171.7W
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM NW OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM ENE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM LISIANSKI
ISLAND TO MARO REEF

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT EAST OF MARO REEF
TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 171.7 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH (15 KM/H), AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH
IS EXPECTED LATER ON FRIDAY, FOLLOWED BY A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION
BEGINNING FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF LALA WILL CONTINUE MOVING FARTHER
AWAY FROM THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH (155 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE
OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO, BUT OVERALL GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. LALA IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A HURRICANE
THROUGH SATURDAY.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES
(240 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 MB (28.68 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS, ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS, ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AREA AND WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY.

SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL LIKELY INUNDATE SOME OF THE LOW-LYING
ATOLLS, ESPECIALLY FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 200 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BERG=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 210851
TCMCP2

HURRICANE LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC FRI AUG 21 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 171.7W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 971 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 165SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 171.7W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 171.9W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 28.1N 171.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 29.8N 171.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 30.9N 172.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 31.8N 173.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 32.5N 174.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 33.1N 175.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 34.6N 176.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 110NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 36.6N 178.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.6N 171.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 21/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 210542
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 35A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM HST THU AUG 20 2026

...LALA TURNS TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST...
...HURRICANE CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITHIN PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.1N 172.0W
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM WNW OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM E OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM LISIANSKI
ISLAND TO MARO REEF

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT EAST OF MARO REEF
TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 PM HST (0600 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 172.0 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH (17 KM/H). A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH IS FORECAST LATER TODAY, FOLLOWED BY A NORTHWESTWARD
MOTION BY THIS WEEKEND. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF LALA
WILL CONTINUE TO TRAVERSE THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL
MONUMENT FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH (150 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME INTENSITY FLUCTUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO, FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND. HOWEVER, LALA IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN A HURRICANE INTO THE WEEKEND.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM) FROM
THE CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
MILES (240 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 974 MB (28.77 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITHIN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA INTO FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
CURRENTLY OCCURRING WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA AND WILL
PERSIST INTO FRIDAY.

SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL LIKELY INUNDATE SOME OF THE LOW-LYING
ATOLLS, ESPECIALLY FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BERG=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 210400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 035//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 035
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
210000Z --- NEAR 25.2N 172.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.2N 172.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 27.0N 171.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 28.9N 171.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 30.3N 172.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 31.3N 173.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 32.0N 174.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 32.7N 175.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 34.0N 177.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 35.5N 178.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
210400Z POSITION NEAR 25.8N 172.2W.
21AUG26. HURRICANE 01C (LALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 535 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 210000Z IS 974 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
211000Z, 211600Z, 212200Z AND 220400Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 02C (TWO-C) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 210235
TCDCP2

Hurricane Lala Discussion Number 35
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Thu Aug 20 2026

Lala's satellite presentation has changed little during the past
several hours, characterized by a persistent band of deep convection
over the western semicircle of the inner core. While intermittent
dry air entrainment has occurred, the cyclone has successfully
fended off these intrusions before they could significantly disrupt
the overall structure. The current Subjective and objective
satellite intensity estimates show a large spread, ranging from 65
to 92 kt. Given the relatively steady state of the system and a
blend of these estimates, the initial intensity is held at 80 kt for
this advisory.

The hurricane has made the anticipated turn toward the north, with
an estimated initial motion of 355/8 kt. This general heading should
continue for the next day or so. Thereafter, a large mid-level ridge
over the central Pacific is forecast to build to the northeast of
the system, which should cause Lala to turn back toward the
northwest. The track model guidance is in fairly good agreement
throughout the forecast period, with the primary spread consisting
of only minor along-track differences in forward speed. The updated
NHC track forecast is very similar to the previous advisory and lies
near the various multi-model consensus aids, including the GDMI.

Lala will remain a strong hurricane as it moves through the
Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument, passing near or over
some of the atolls tonight into tomorrow and lingering within the
monument area for the next couple of days. Intensity guidance
indicates that some fluctuations in strength are possible during the
next day or so. The cyclone is currently situated in an environment
with enhanced upper-level divergence, which is helping to offset the
negative impacts of moderate vertical wind shear and dry air. Thus,
the official intensity forecast shows little change in strength in
the short term. By this weekend, a gradual weakening trend should
commence, in agreement with the latest HCCA consensus aid, as the
favorable divergence aloft wanes and the shear and dry air begin to
take a greater toll on the system. In about 3 days, Lala is forecast
to move over increasingly cooler sea surface temperatures. The
combination of cooler waters, persistent shear, and a dry mid-level
environment should induce a steadier rate of weakening. Although the
official forecast does not explicitly depict Lala becoming a
post-tropical cyclone at the end of the forecast period, some global
models suggest the system could struggle to maintain organized deep
convection by Day 5.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 21/0300Z 25.6N 172.3W 80 KT 90 MPH
12H 21/1200Z 27.0N 171.7W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 22/0000Z 28.9N 171.6W 80 KT 90 MPH
36H 22/1200Z 30.3N 172.6W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 23/0000Z 31.3N 173.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 23/1200Z 32.0N 174.6W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 24/0000Z 32.7N 175.5W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 25/0000Z 34.0N 177.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 26/0000Z 35.5N 178.7W 45 KT 50 MPH

$$
Forecaster Kelly

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 210234
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM HST THU AUG 20 2026

...HURRICANE LALA BRINGING HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.6N 172.3W
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM W OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM ESE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM LISIANSKI
ISLAND TO MARO REEF

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT EAST OF MARO REEF
TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD NOW BE COMPLETE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 172.3 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH (15 KM/H) AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED
BY THIS WEEKEND. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF LALA WILL
CONTINUE TO TRAVERSE THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT
FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH (150 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME INTENSITY FLUCTUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO, FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND. HOWEVER, LALA IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN A HURRICANE INTO THE WEEKEND.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES
(240 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 974 MB (28.77 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITHIN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA INTO FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
CURRENTLY OCCURRING WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA AND WILL
PERSIST INTO FRIDAY.

SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL LIKELY INUNDATE SOME OF THE LOW-LYING
ATOLLS, ESPECIALLY FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 800 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KELLY=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 210233
TCMCP2

HURRICANE LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC FRI AUG 21 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 172.3W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 165SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 172.3W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 172.4W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 27.0N 171.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 28.9N 171.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 30.3N 172.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 31.3N 173.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 32.0N 174.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 32.7N 175.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 90SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 34.0N 177.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 100NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 35.5N 178.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 40SW 80NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N 172.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 21/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 202340
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 34A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM HST THU AUG 20 2026

...HURRICANE CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.2N 172.4W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM W OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM ESE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM LISIANSKI
ISLAND TO MARO REEF

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT EAST OF MARO REEF
TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD NOW BE COMPLETE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 PM HST (0000 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 172.4 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH (17 KM/H). A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS
EXPECTED BY THIS WEEKEND. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF LALA
WILL CONTINUE TO TRAVERSE THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL
MONUMENT FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH (150 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ALTHOUGH SOME INTENSITY FLUCTUATIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NEXT DAY OR SO, A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND SHOULD BEGIN BY THE
WEEKEND, THOUGH LALA IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A HURRICANE THROUGHOUT
THAT TIME.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM) FROM
THE CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES (280 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB (28.74 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA TODAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ONGOING. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.

SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL LIKELY INUNDATE SOME OF THE LOW-LYING
ATOLLS, ESPECIALLY FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KELLY=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 202200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 034//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 034
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
201800Z --- NEAR 24.6N 172.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.6N 172.3W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 26.2N 172.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 28.1N 171.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 29.9N 171.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 30.9N 172.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 31.8N 173.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 32.6N 175.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 34.1N 176.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 35.7N 178.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
202200Z POSITION NEAR 25.1N 172.2W.
20AUG26. HURRICANE 01C (LALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 499 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 201800Z IS 973 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
210400Z, 211000Z, 211600Z AND 212200Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C (TWO-C) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 202040
TCDCP2

Hurricane Lala Discussion Number 34
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Thu Aug 20 2026

Despite some renewed convection earlier today, the central structure
of Lala appears to be slowly deteriorating by dry air intrusion, as
depicted on the latest satellite images. The Dvorak final-T and
current intensity numbers from HFO and JTWC showcase values that
warranted the initial intensity to be set a little lower than the
previous advisory; now near a possibly generous 80 kt, which is
still a bit higher than the latest objective intensity estimates
from UW-CIMSS, which range between 65-75 kt.

Lala has shifted to a more northerly track at 355/09 kt, just ahead
of the mid- to upper-level trough located northwest of the
hurricane. As the aforementioned trough becomes absorbed by Lala,
broad ridging building in the Central Pacific just north of the
hurricane will help shift Lala back to a more northwesterly track by
the weekend. The models are in pretty good agreement through the
forecast period, and little changes were needed to the latest NHC
track which generally follows the HCCA and GDMI trends.

Lala will remain a strong and powerful hurricane as it continues to
traverse the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument over the
next couple of days. The latest intensity guidance suggests small
near-term fluctuations are possible within the next 24-36 h as
strong upper-level divergence is countered by negative influences of
moderate shear and dry air. The NHC intensity forecast shows little
change during this time, generally following HCCA. Thereafter, a
gradual weakening trend is forecast in line with the multi-model
intensity consensus as Lala moves over gradually cooling SSTs and
moderate shear returns by 96 h.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 20/2100Z 24.9N 172.3W 80 KT 90 MPH
12H 21/0600Z 26.2N 172.0W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 21/1800Z 28.1N 171.4W 80 KT 90 MPH
36H 22/0600Z 29.9N 171.8W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 22/1800Z 30.9N 172.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 23/0600Z 31.8N 173.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 23/1800Z 32.6N 175.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 24/1800Z 34.1N 176.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
120H 25/1800Z 35.7N 178.3W 45 KT 50 MPH

$$
Forecaster Pierce/Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 202039
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM HST THU AUG 20 2026

...HURRICANE CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT BETWEEN LISIANSKI ISLAND AND MARO REEF...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.9N 172.3W
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM WSW OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM SE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM LISIANSKI
ISLAND TO MARO REEF

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT EAST OF MARO REEF
TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 172.3 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH (17 KM/H). A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS
FORECAST TODAY, WITH A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION EXPECTED BY THIS
WEEKEND. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF LALA WILL CONTINUE TO
TRAVERSE THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH (150 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS, BUT LALA IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A HURRICANE THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
(280 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB (28.74 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA TODAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ONGOING. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA
TODAY.

SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL LIKELY INUNDATE SOME OF THE LOW-LYING
ATOLLS, ESPECIALLY FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER PIERCE/REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 202038
TCMCP2

HURRICANE LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC THU AUG 20 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 172.3W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N 172.3W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 172.3W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 26.2N 172.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 28.1N 171.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 29.9N 171.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 30.9N 172.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 31.8N 173.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 32.6N 175.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 34.1N 176.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 35.7N 178.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.9N 172.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 21/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PIERCE=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 201745
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Lala Intermediate Advisory Number 33A
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM HST Thu Aug 20 2026

...LALA CONTINUES MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...
...HURRICANE CONDITIONS SPREADING ACROSS THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT BETWEEN LISIANSKI ISLAND AND MARO REEF...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 172.3W
ABOUT 125 MI...195 KM WSW OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* The Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument from Lisianski
Island to Maro Reef

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument east of Maro Reef
to French Frigate Shoals

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM HST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lala was located
near latitude 24.6 North, longitude 172.3 West. Lala is moving
toward the north-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn toward the
north is forecast today, with a northwestward motion expected by
this weekend. On the forecast track, the center of Lala will
continue to traverse the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument
for the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some gradual weakening is expected during the next couple of
days, but Lala is forecast to remain a hurricane through this
weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175
miles (280 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 969 mb (28.62 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the Hurricane Warning
area today, with tropical storm conditions ongoing. Tropical
storm conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm Warning area
today.

SURF: Large surf associated with Lala will affect the
Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument for the next couple of
days. These large waves will likely inundate some of the low-lying
atolls, especially from French Frigate Shoals to Maro Reef.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Pierce/Reinhart

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 201623

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 20.08.2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02C ANALYSED POSITION : 10.2N 142.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP022026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 20.08.2026 0 10.2N 142.0W 1008 21
0000UTC 21.08.2026 12 CEASED TRACKING

HURRICANE LALA ANALYSED POSITION : 23.8N 172.1W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 20.08.2026 0 23.8N 172.1W 969 69
0000UTC 21.08.2026 12 25.3N 172.4W 965 76
1200UTC 21.08.2026 24 26.9N 171.6W 963 74
0000UTC 22.08.2026 36 29.1N 171.0W 966 70
1200UTC 22.08.2026 48 30.5N 172.7W 970 61
0000UTC 23.08.2026 60 31.3N 173.5W 975 60
1200UTC 23.08.2026 72 32.3N 175.0W 982 52
0000UTC 24.08.2026 84 32.4N 176.2W 985 46
1200UTC 24.08.2026 96 33.0N 176.6W 989 45
0000UTC 25.08.2026 108 34.2N 177.3W 993 45
1200UTC 25.08.2026 120 35.2N 178.7W 995 45
0000UTC 26.08.2026 132 36.1N 179.7E 998 43
1200UTC 26.08.2026 144 37.2N 178.3E 1000 44
0000UTC 27.08.2026 156 39.3N 176.2E 999 41
1200UTC 27.08.2026 168 40.4N 174.5E 999 54

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 8.9N 113.6W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 21.08.2026 12 8.9N 113.6W 1006 21
1200UTC 21.08.2026 24 9.3N 114.9W 1006 19
0000UTC 22.08.2026 36 10.5N 115.9W 1005 23
1200UTC 22.08.2026 48 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 13.5N 119.3W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 23.08.2026 72 14.1N 120.1W 1003 32
0000UTC 24.08.2026 84 15.4N 121.2W 1001 32
1200UTC 24.08.2026 96 16.7N 122.9W 999 34
0000UTC 25.08.2026 108 18.1N 124.0W 997 37
1200UTC 25.08.2026 120 19.7N 125.2W 997 39
0000UTC 26.08.2026 132 21.3N 126.6W 998 39
1200UTC 26.08.2026 144 22.5N 128.1W 1001 36
0000UTC 27.08.2026 156 23.4N 130.1W 1004 32
1200UTC 27.08.2026 168 23.6N 131.9W 1006 24

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 30.6N 59.7W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 24.08.2026 96 31.2N 59.5W 1015 27
0000UTC 25.08.2026 108 33.3N 58.9W 1014 28
1200UTC 25.08.2026 120 35.7N 58.8W 1012 27
0000UTC 26.08.2026 132 37.6N 56.9W 1010 29
1200UTC 26.08.2026 144 41.1N 53.7W 1003 39
0000UTC 27.08.2026 156 44.2N 47.8W 1005 39
1200UTC 27.08.2026 168 47.5N 39.9W 1002 37

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 11.8N 19.1W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 25.08.2026 108 11.8N 19.1W 1009 32
1200UTC 25.08.2026 120 12.5N 22.5W 1007 30
0000UTC 26.08.2026 132 12.8N 26.9W 1006 35
1200UTC 26.08.2026 144 12.1N 31.1W 1002 41
0000UTC 27.08.2026 156 12.5N 35.2W 1003 39
1200UTC 27.08.2026 168 12.8N 39.8W 1002 44

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 162 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+162 : 16.2N 176.7W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 27.08.2026 168 16.1N 177.7W 1007 25

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 201623

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 201600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/HURRICANE 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 033//
RMKS/
1. HURRICANE 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 033
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
201200Z --- NEAR 23.8N 172.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.8N 172.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 25.3N 172.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 27.0N 171.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 29.0N 171.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 30.3N 172.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 31.4N 173.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 32.4N 174.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 33.9N 176.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 35.9N 178.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
201600Z POSITION NEAR 24.3N 172.0W.
20AUG26. HURRICANE 01C (LALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 449 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF JOHNSTON ISLAND, HAS TRACKED NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 201200Z IS 969 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
202200Z, 210400Z, 211000Z AND 211600Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION
02C (WTPN32 PHNC 201600) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

0001111500
00001

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 201455
TCDCP2

Hurricane Lala Discussion Number 33
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Thu Aug 20 2026

While the eye is not presently visible, current satellite
observations suggest Lala has slowly reorganized during the early
morning hours, with deep convection building in near and south of
the center. Based on a blend of the latest Dvorak final-T and
current intensity numbers from HFO and JTWC, the initial intensity
is set at a possibly generous 85 kt. This is a bit higher than the
latest objective intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS, which range
between 70-80 kt.

Lala continues to maintain a north-northwestward track at 340/08 kt,
beginning to feel the impacts of the mid- to upper-level trough just
northwest of the hurricane. It is forecast that the hurricane track
will nudge more northerly tomorrow and pick up a bit of speed. As
the aforementioned trough becomes absorbed by Lala, broad ridging
building in the Central Pacific just north of the hurricane will
help shift Lala on a more northwesterly track by the weekend. Many
models, including HCCA and GDMI are in pretty good agreement through
the forecast period, with little changes needed to the latest NHC
track.

The latest model and satellite trends suggest Lala will maintain
strength as a strong and powerful hurricane as it nears the
Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument today. While the
hurricane will continue to experience moderate to strong
southwesterly shear during the next day or so, upper-level
divergence from the aforementioned trough may help counter the
negative shear effects. The latest guidance suggests small intensity
fluctuations could occur in the near term, and the latest NHC
forecast shows little change during this time. Thereafter, gradual
weakening is forecast in line with the multi-model intensity
consensus as Lala moves over gradually cooling SSTs.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 20/1500Z 24.2N 172.2W 85 KT 100 MPH
12H 21/0000Z 25.3N 172.0W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 21/1200Z 27.0N 171.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
36H 22/0000Z 29.0N 171.5W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 22/1200Z 30.3N 172.4W 70 KT 80 MPH
60H 23/0000Z 31.4N 173.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
72H 23/1200Z 32.4N 174.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 24/1200Z 33.9N 176.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
120H 25/1200Z 35.9N 178.4W 45 KT 50 MPH

$$
Forecaster Pierce/Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 201454
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM HST THU AUG 20 2026

...LALA CONTINUES MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AS A HURRICANE NEARING
THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.2N 172.2W
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM SW OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM SE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM LISIANSKI
ISLAND TO MARO REEF

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT EAST OF MARO REEF
TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
// END PART 01 //=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 201454
TCMCP2

HURRICANE LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC THU AUG 20 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 172.2W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 172.2W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 172.0W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 25.3N 172.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 27.0N 171.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 29.0N 171.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 30.3N 172.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 31.4N 173.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 32.4N 174.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 33.9N 176.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 35.9N 178.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.2N 172.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 20/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PIERCE/REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 201146
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 32A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM HST THU AUG 20 2026

...LALA MOVES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AS A HURRICANE NEARING THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...

SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.8N 172.0W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM SW OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 200 MI...325 KM SE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...968 MB...28.59 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM LISIANSKI
ISLAND TO MARO REEF

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT EAST OF MARO REEF
TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 AM HST (1200 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 172.0 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH (15 KM/H). A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH IS FORECAST TODAY, WITH A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION EXPECTED BY
THIS WEEKEND. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF LALA WILL BE NEAR
PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT LATER
TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH (155 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS, BUT LALA IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A HURRICANE THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM) FROM
THE CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES (280 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 968 MB (28.59 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA LATER TODAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ONGOING. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA
TODAY.

SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL LIKELY INUNDATE SOME OF THE LOW-LYING
ATOLLS, ESPECIALLY FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER PIERCE/REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 200839
TCDCP2

Hurricane Lala Discussion Number 32
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Wed Aug 19 2026

Satellite imagery indicates that Lala has lost organization during
the evening hours, with most of the deepest convection shifting
into the northern semicircle. Microwave data also show this change
in structure, with the mid-level center a bit north of the
low-level circulation, presumably due to shear. Satellite estimates
have noticeably fallen recently, and the current intensity is set
to 90 kt as a consensus of the available values. A pair of recent
SAR and ASCAT passes were helpful in expanding the wind radii.

Lala has turned north-northwestward as it feels the steering by an
an approaching mid- to upper-level trough from the northwest. The
hurricane should turn northward tomorrow but then move back to the
northwest by Saturday as the trough becomes absorbed by Lala and a
new ridge forms over the northwestern Central Pacific, blocking
any fast exit. For such a complex pattern, the models are in
pretty good agreement, and only a small northeastward nudge was
made to the official forecast after 36 hours.

The hurricane is expected to remain powerful as it tracks through
the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument through Thursday.
After moving north of those waters, gradually cooling sea-surface
temperatures, and moderate shear is expected to promote slow
weakening during the next several days. The absorption of the
upper-level trough by the weekend should provide an unusual amount
of instability through cold upper-level temperatures, despite
waters at 25C or below. Additionally, the shear becomes quite low,
limiting the potential dry-air entrainment into the center. These
factors suggest it will maintain hurricane strength at quite a high
latitude for the Central Pacific. The new NHC intensity forecast
is basically just an update of the previous one, adjusted for a
lower initial wind speed.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 20/0900Z 23.5N 171.9W 90 KT 105 MPH
12H 20/1800Z 24.5N 172.3W 85 KT 100 MPH
24H 21/0600Z 26.1N 172.0W 85 KT 100 MPH
36H 21/1800Z 28.0N 171.4W 80 KT 90 MPH
48H 22/0600Z 29.8N 171.8W 75 KT 85 MPH
60H 22/1800Z 31.0N 173.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
72H 23/0600Z 31.9N 174.1W 65 KT 75 MPH
96H 24/0600Z 33.4N 176.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
120H 25/0600Z 35.4N 178.2W 50 KT 60 MPH

$$
Forecaster Blake

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 200838
TCMCP2

HURRICANE LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC THU AUG 20 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 171.9W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 963 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 171.9W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 171.8W

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 24.5N 172.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 26.1N 172.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 28.0N 171.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 29.8N 171.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...170NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 31.0N 173.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 31.9N 174.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 33.4N 176.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 35.4N 178.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 171.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 20/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 200838
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM HST WED AUG 19 2026

...LALA REMAINS A POTENT HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE NORTHWESTERN
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.5N 171.9W
ABOUT 150 MI...245 KM SW OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM SE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM LISIANSKI
ISLAND TO MARO REEF

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT EAST OF MARO REEF
TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 171.9 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH (15 KM/H). A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH IS FORECAST EARLY THURSDAY, WITH A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION
EXPECTED BY THIS WEEKEND. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF LALA
WILL BE NEAR PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL
MONUMENT ON THURSDAY.

SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR
105 MPH (165 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, BUT LALA IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN A HURRICANE THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
(280 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 963 MB (28.44 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BY THURSDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ONGOING.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AREA BY EARLY THURSDAY.

SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL LIKELY INUNDATE SOME OF THE LOW-LYING
ATOLLS, ESPECIALLY FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 200 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 200537
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 31A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM HST WED AUG 19 2026

...LALA CONTINUES MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHWESTERN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.2N 171.7W
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SSW OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM SE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM LISIANSKI
ISLAND TO MARO REEF

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT EAST OF MARO REEF
TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 PM HST (0600 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 171.7 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH (17 KM/H). A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH IS FORECAST EARLY THURSDAY, WITH A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION
EXPECTED BY THIS WEEKEND. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF LALA
WILL BE NEAR PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL
MONUMENT ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 115 MPH (185 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LALA IS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, BUT LALA IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A HURRICANE
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES (55 KM) FROM
THE CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES (220 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 959 MB (28.32 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BY THURSDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED SOON.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AREA BY EARLY THURSDAY.

SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL LIKELY INUNDATE SOME OF THE LOW-LYING
ATOLLS, ESPECIALLY FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 200421

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 20.08.2026

HURRICANE LALA ANALYSED POSITION : 22.4N 171.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 20.08.2026 0 22.4N 171.4W 955 88
1200UTC 20.08.2026 12 23.7N 172.2W 966 76
0000UTC 21.08.2026 24 25.3N 172.4W 966 73
1200UTC 21.08.2026 36 27.1N 171.6W 959 81
0000UTC 22.08.2026 48 29.4N 171.3W 956 82
1200UTC 22.08.2026 60 30.7N 172.5W 963 70
0000UTC 23.08.2026 72 31.7N 173.8W 971 59
1200UTC 23.08.2026 84 32.3N 175.5W 977 54
0000UTC 24.08.2026 96 32.7N 176.6W 982 47
1200UTC 24.08.2026 108 33.7N 177.6W 988 43
0000UTC 25.08.2026 120 34.7N 178.9W 992 40
1200UTC 25.08.2026 132 35.7N 179.6E 994 41
0000UTC 26.08.2026 144 36.7N 178.5E 998 41
1200UTC 26.08.2026 156 38.2N 177.2E 1001 38
0000UTC 27.08.2026 168 39.2N 176.5E 1004 34

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 12.4N 142.6W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 21.08.2026 24 13.1N 143.7W 1005 27
1200UTC 21.08.2026 36 13.2N 146.5W 1004 31
0000UTC 22.08.2026 48 13.8N 148.4W 1004 32
1200UTC 22.08.2026 60 14.3N 150.6W 1005 30
0000UTC 23.08.2026 72 14.9N 153.1W 1006 31
1200UTC 23.08.2026 84 15.2N 156.7W 1007 32
0000UTC 24.08.2026 96 15.8N 159.8W 1007 29
1200UTC 24.08.2026 108 16.4N 163.4W 1008 27
0000UTC 25.08.2026 120 16.4N 166.1W 1007 28
1200UTC 25.08.2026 132 16.5N 168.9W 1007 27
0000UTC 26.08.2026 144 16.4N 171.8W 1007 27
1200UTC 26.08.2026 156 16.3N 174.4W 1008 29
0000UTC 27.08.2026 168 16.4N 177.4W 1007 29

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 28.8N 86.4W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 21.08.2026 36 28.8N 86.4W 1013 27
0000UTC 22.08.2026 48 28.4N 86.6W 1011 23
1200UTC 22.08.2026 60 28.2N 86.2W 1011 28
0000UTC 23.08.2026 72 27.9N 85.9W 1010 25
1200UTC 23.08.2026 84 27.6N 86.0W 1010 26
0000UTC 24.08.2026 96 26.9N 85.9W 1009 29
1200UTC 24.08.2026 108 26.6N 86.2W 1009 29
0000UTC 25.08.2026 120 26.7N 87.3W 1009 27
1200UTC 25.08.2026 132 27.1N 88.7W 1010 28
0000UTC 26.08.2026 144 27.5N 89.9W 1010 27
1200UTC 26.08.2026 156 28.2N 91.1W 1011 27
0000UTC 27.08.2026 168 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 13.4N 113.8W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 23.08.2026 72 13.4N 113.8W 1006 30
1200UTC 23.08.2026 84 15.2N 116.1W 1005 32
0000UTC 24.08.2026 96 16.5N 118.9W 1003 33
1200UTC 24.08.2026 108 18.0N 121.3W 1002 38
0000UTC 25.08.2026 120 19.5N 123.4W 1002 42
1200UTC 25.08.2026 132 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 12.4N 124.6W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 23.08.2026 84 12.2N 125.3W 1004 25
0000UTC 24.08.2026 96 12.3N 125.7W 1004 26
1200UTC 24.08.2026 108 13.2N 125.3W 1002 32
0000UTC 25.08.2026 120 14.4N 125.3W 1001 34
1200UTC 25.08.2026 132 16.6N 125.0W 1001 40
0000UTC 26.08.2026 144 19.0N 125.7W 1003 42
1200UTC 26.08.2026 156 21.0N 128.0W 1005 34
0000UTC 27.08.2026 168 21.1N 130.3W 1006 30

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 30.2N 60.5W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 24.08.2026 96 30.9N 60.3W 1016 25
1200UTC 24.08.2026 108 32.9N 60.0W 1015 24
0000UTC 25.08.2026 120 35.1N 59.3W 1015 27
1200UTC 25.08.2026 132 38.2N 57.8W 1011 32
0000UTC 26.08.2026 144 41.6N 54.3W 1008 35
1200UTC 26.08.2026 156 45.2N 49.5W 1006 34
0000UTC 27.08.2026 168 48.8N 42.8W 1006 33

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 150 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+150 : 9.8N 31.6W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 26.08.2026 156 9.9N 33.2W 1009 32
0000UTC 27.08.2026 168 10.4N 38.6W 1009 37

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 200421

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 200242
TCDCP2

Hurricane Lala Discussion Number 31
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Wed Aug 19 2026

The satellite presentation of Major Hurricane Lala has degraded
somewhat this afternoon, with the eye becoming obscured by high
clouds and slightly warmer cloud top temperatures developing around
the center. An earlier AMSR-2 microwave pass indicated that Lala may
have undergone an eyewall replacement cycle, with ragged concentric
eyes evident in the imagery. This process likely contributed to the
recent weakening, as environmental conditions have not changed much
since earlier today. Recent subjective Dvorak intensity estimates
from JTWC and WFO HFO were 6.0/115 kt and 5.5/102 kt, respectively,
while objective estimates ranged from 90-104 kt. Given the degraded
satellite presentation, suspected eyewall replacement, and the
considerable spread among intensity estimates, the initial intensity
is set at 100 kt for this advisory.

Lala is moving northwestward at around 9 kt, steered by an
upper-level ridge to the northeast and a mid- to upper-level trough
approaching from the northwest. A turn toward the north, accompanied
by a modest increase in forward speed, is expected by tomorrow as
the approaching trough weakens the ridge. This general motion is
forecast through the next 48 h or so, followed by a turn back toward
the northwest this weekend as ridging strengthens to the east.
However, there remains considerable spread in the track model
guidance regarding the timing of this northwestward turn. The latest
NHC forecast is very close to the previous advisory, and remains
near the middle of the track guidance envelope.

The hurricane is currently moving over very warm sea surface
temperatures around 28 C, and Lala is expected to remain a powerful
hurricane as it tracks toward and beyond the Papahanaumokuakea
Marine National Monument. After 24 h, increasing wind shear,
gradually cooler waters, and strengthening upper-level winds are
expected to promote slow weakening over the next several days.
However, the wind field is also forecast to expand as Lala interacts
with the approaching trough. The latest NHC intensity forecast
keeps Lala above hurricane strength through 72 h and lies near the
middle of the forecast intensity guidance.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 20/0300Z 22.8N 171.6W 100 KT 115 MPH
12H 20/1200Z 23.7N 172.0W 95 KT 110 MPH
24H 21/0000Z 25.2N 172.1W 95 KT 110 MPH
36H 21/1200Z 27.0N 171.9W 90 KT 105 MPH
48H 22/0000Z 28.8N 171.9W 85 KT 100 MPH
60H 22/1200Z 30.4N 172.7W 75 KT 85 MPH
72H 23/0000Z 31.5N 173.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
96H 24/0000Z 33.3N 176.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
120H 25/0000Z 35.2N 178.1W 55 KT 65 MPH

$$
Forecaster Adams/Pasch

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 200240
TCMCP2

HURRICANE LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC THU AUG 20 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 171.6W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 959 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE 60SW 110NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 135SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 171.6W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 171.3W

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 23.7N 172.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 25.2N 172.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 27.0N 171.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 28.8N 171.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 30.4N 172.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 31.5N 173.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 33.3N 176.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 35.2N 178.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 110NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N 171.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 20/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 200240
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM HST WED AUG 19 2026

...LALA STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.8N 171.6W
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM SSW OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM SE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM LISIANSKI
ISLAND TO MARO REEF

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT EAST OF MARO REEF
TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
TO 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 171.6 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH (17 KM/H). A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH
IS FORECAST EARLY THURSDAY, WITH A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION EXPECTED BY
THIS WEEKEND. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF LALA WILL BE NEAR
PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT ON
THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH (185 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LALA IS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, BUT LALA IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A HURRICANE
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES (55 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
(220 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 959 MB (28.32 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BY THURSDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY
TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AREA BY EARLY THURSDAY.

SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT BEGINNING TODAY. THESE
LARGE WAVES WILL LIKELY INUNDATE SOME OF THE LOW-LYING ATOLLS,
ESPECIALLY FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 800 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 192339
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 30A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM HST WED AUG 19 2026

...CONDITIONS TO RAPIDLY DETERIORATE NEAR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT TONIGHT...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.5N 171.5W
ABOUT 205 MI...325 KM SSW OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM SSE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM LISIANSKI
ISLAND TO MARO REEF

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT EAST OF MARO REEF
TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
TO 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
// END PART 01 //=

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 192035
TCDCP2

Hurricane Lala Discussion Number 30
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Wed Aug 19 2026

Lala has weakened slightly as the eye of the hurricane does not
appear to be as pronounced as before, and the cloud tops of the deep
convection in the eyewall have warmed slightly as well. The most
recent subjective Dvorak intensity estimates from HFO and JTWC for
Lala were both T5.5/102 kt. The objective intensity estimates from
UW-CIMSS range from 99-113 kt. From a blend of this data and the
latest satellite trends, the initial intensity has been lowered to
105 kt for this advisory.

The cyclone has been moving toward the north-northwest at 315/8 kt.
However, a more gradual turn to the north should be occuring soon as
a ridge that was previously to the north of the hurricane begins to
weaken due to the approach of a mid- to upper-level trough from the
northern Pacific. The current NHC forecast track does not have many
changes from the previous one until around 36 h, where the updated
forecast lies slightly to the west of the previous one. Once the
system turns to the northwest again, the new track and the old track
become very similar again. The other change to the forecast was that
the speed of Lala was increased slightly.

The current model and satellite trends are indicating that Lala will
continue to weaken as it moves farther north and west away from the
main Hawaiian Islands. The current NHC intensity forecast continues
to maintain the system as a strong and powerful hurricane as it
tracks toward and past the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National
Monument. The wind shear should start to increase more as the
cyclone moves farther north as the favorable trough interaction
decreases. In addition, past 60 h, the hurricane is expected to
enter a drier environment, that should keep the weakening trend
going. Given these factors, the current NHC intensity forecast shows
a steady weakening trend throughout the forecast period and lies
near the simple and corrected intensity consensus.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 19/2100Z 22.2N 171.0W 105 KT 120 MPH
12H 20/0600Z 23.2N 171.7W 100 KT 115 MPH
24H 20/1800Z 24.6N 172.1W 95 KT 110 MPH
36H 21/0600Z 26.3N 172.0W 90 KT 105 MPH
48H 21/1800Z 28.1N 171.8W 85 KT 100 MPH
60H 22/0600Z 29.8N 172.2W 80 KT 90 MPH
72H 22/1800Z 31.1N 173.3W 75 KT 85 MPH
96H 23/1800Z 33.1N 175.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 24/1800Z 34.7N 177.8W 55 KT 65 MPH

$$
Forecaster Katz/Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 192034
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM HST WED AUG 19 2026

...LALA CONTINUES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AS A STRONG HURRICANE TOWARD
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.2N 171.0W
ABOUT 215 MI...350 KM S OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM SE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM LISIANSKI
ISLAND TO MARO REEF

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT EAST OF MARO REEF
TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 171.0 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH (15 KM/H). THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE DAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH
EARLY TOMORROW AND A NORTHWESTWARD TURN THIS WEEKEND. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF LALA WILL BE NEAR PORTIONS OF THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT TOMORROW.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH (195 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LALA IS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, BUT LALA IS ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN A HURRICANE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES (45 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
(185 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB (28.20 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BY THURSDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY
TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AREA BY EARLY THURSDAY.

SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT BEGINNING TODAY. THESE
LARGE WAVES WILL LIKELY INUNDATE SOME OF THE LOW-LYING ATOLLS,
ESPECIALLY FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KATZ/REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 192033
TCMCP2

HURRICANE LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC WED AUG 19 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 171.0W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 90SE 50SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 135SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 171.0W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 170.7W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 23.2N 171.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 24.6N 172.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 26.3N 172.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 28.1N 171.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 29.8N 172.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 31.1N 173.3W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 33.1N 175.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 20SE 10SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 34.7N 177.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 171.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 20/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KATZ/REINHART=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 191623

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 19.08.2026

HURRICANE LALA ANALYSED POSITION : 21.3N 169.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 19.08.2026 0 21.3N 169.9W 961 82
0000UTC 20.08.2026 12 22.4N 171.3W 963 81
1200UTC 20.08.2026 24 23.7N 172.4W 971 67
0000UTC 21.08.2026 36 25.1N 172.8W 968 70
1200UTC 21.08.2026 48 26.8N 172.4W 964 68
0000UTC 22.08.2026 60 29.1N 172.0W 957 79
1200UTC 22.08.2026 72 30.7N 173.4W 967 64
0000UTC 23.08.2026 84 31.7N 174.6W 970 62
1200UTC 23.08.2026 96 33.0N 176.0W 979 52
0000UTC 24.08.2026 108 33.6N 177.8W 986 44
1200UTC 24.08.2026 120 34.3N 178.6W 990 45
0000UTC 25.08.2026 132 35.4N 179.6W 994 43
1200UTC 25.08.2026 144 36.0N 179.6E 997 37
0000UTC 26.08.2026 156 36.8N 179.1E 1000 40
1200UTC 26.08.2026 168 37.8N 178.9E 1004 38

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 12.4N 143.5W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 21.08.2026 36 12.8N 144.7W 1006 28
1200UTC 21.08.2026 48 13.1N 146.9W 1005 31
0000UTC 22.08.2026 60 13.5N 149.0W 1005 31
1200UTC 22.08.2026 72 14.0N 151.0W 1006 32
0000UTC 23.08.2026 84 14.0N 153.8W 1006 33
1200UTC 23.08.2026 96 14.4N 156.4W 1007 29
0000UTC 24.08.2026 108 14.5N 159.9W 1007 32
1200UTC 24.08.2026 120 14.5N 162.7W 1006 28
0000UTC 25.08.2026 132 14.7N 165.3W 1006 29
1200UTC 25.08.2026 144 15.1N 167.6W 1005 30
0000UTC 26.08.2026 156 15.4N 170.1W 1005 31
1200UTC 26.08.2026 168 15.7N 172.9W 1005 31

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 15.7N 121.2W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 24.08.2026 108 15.7N 121.2W 1003 32
1200UTC 24.08.2026 120 15.9N 122.9W 1001 39
0000UTC 25.08.2026 132 17.3N 125.3W 1001 38
1200UTC 25.08.2026 144 19.0N 127.3W 1002 36
0000UTC 26.08.2026 156 19.7N 129.5W 1003 32
1200UTC 26.08.2026 168 20.9N 131.3W 1005 32

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 168 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+168 : 30.7N 58.7W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 26.08.2026 168 30.7N 58.7W 1015 29

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 191623

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 191449
TCDCP2

Hurricane Lala Discussion Number 29
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Wed Aug 19 2026

Lala continues to be a strong hurricane with a well-defined,
pronounced eye and cold cloud tops centralized around a ring of deep
convection. Although in the last several hours, cloud tops have
warmed some. The latest subjective Dvorak intensity estimates from
HFO and JTWC for Lala were T6.0/115 kt and T5.5/102 kt,
respectively. Objective intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS range
between 96-114 kt. Using a blend of these estimates and the latest
satellite trends, the initial intensity is set to 110 kt for this
advisory.

Lala has been maintaining a northwestward motion at 310/8 kt, but is
forecast to begin a gradual turn to the north by tomorrow as a ridge
originally anchored north of the hurricane begins to weaken by an
approaching mid- to upper-level trough from the northern Pacific.
The latest guidance from HCCA and Google DeepMind has a general
consensus that Lala will persist tracking northward through the next
couple of days and then return to a northwestward heading. Guidance
spread becomes more divergent by Day 3, particularly in the forward
speed. The latest NHC forecast track is a blend of the previous one
and the GDMI and HCCA corrected consensus aids.

The latest model and satellite trends suggest that Lala has reached
its peak intensity and will gradually weaken as it continues to
track north and west away from the main Hawaiian Islands. However,
the system will remain a strong and powerful hurricane as it tracks
towards and past the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument.
Beyond 60 h, moderate shear will steadily increase and mid-level RH
values begin to decrease. At the same time, the favorable trough
interaction and upper-level divergence begin to decrease as well.
Given these factors, the latest NHC intensity forecast shows a
steady weakening trend throughout the forecast period and lies near
the simple and corrected intensity consensus.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 19/1500Z 21.3N 170.2W 110 KT 125 MPH
12H 20/0000Z 22.2N 171.1W 105 KT 120 MPH
24H 20/1200Z 23.6N 171.9W 95 KT 110 MPH
36H 21/0000Z 25.0N 172.0W 90 KT 105 MPH
48H 21/1200Z 26.9N 171.5W 85 KT 100 MPH
60H 22/0000Z 28.8N 171.4W 80 KT 90 MPH
72H 22/1200Z 30.4N 172.5W 75 KT 85 MPH
96H 23/1200Z 32.3N 174.9W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 24/1200Z 34.2N 177.6W 55 KT 65 MPH

$$
Forecaster Pierce/Kelly

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 191448
TCMCP2

HURRICANE LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC WED AUG 19 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 170.2W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 953 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 90SE 50SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 120SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 170.2W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 169.9W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 22.2N 171.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 23.6N 171.9W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 25.0N 172.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 26.9N 171.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 28.8N 171.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 30.4N 172.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 32.3N 174.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 34.2N 177.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 110NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 170.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 19/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PIERCE/KELLY=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 191448
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM HST WED AUG 19 2026

...LALA FORECAST TO BE A STRONG HURRICANE NEAR PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA
MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.3N 170.2W
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM S OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM SE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.15 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM LISIANSKI
ISLAND TO MARO REEF

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT EAST OF MARO REEF
TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 170.2 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH (15 KM/H). THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH
EARLY TOMORROW. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF LALA WILL BE
NEAR PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT
TOMORROW.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH (205 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LALA IS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED DURING
THE NEXT FEW DAYS, BUT LALA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A HURRICANE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES (45 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
(185 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 953 MB (28.15 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BY THURSDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY
TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AREA BY EARLY THURSDAY.

SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT BEGINNING TODAY. THESE
LARGE WAVES WILL LIKELY INUNDATE SOME OF THE LOW-LYING ATOLLS,
ESPECIALLY FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER PIERCE/KELLY=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 191133
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 28A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM HST WED AUG 19 2026

...LALA CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AS A STRONG HURRICANE...

SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.0N 169.9W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM S OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 435 MI...705 KM SE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.15 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM LISIANSKI
ISLAND TO MARO REEF

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT EAST OF MARO REEF
TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 AM HST (1200 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 169.9 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH (15 KM/H). THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED FOR ABOUT A DAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH EARLY
ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF LALA WILL BE NEAR
THE NORTHWESTERN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH (205 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LALA IS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED DURING
THE NEXT FEW DAYS, BUT LALA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A HURRICANE INTO
THE WEEKEND.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES (45 KM) FROM
THE CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES (185 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 953 MB (28.15 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BY THURSDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY
TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AREA BY EARLY THURSDAY.

SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT BEGINNING TODAY. THESE
LARGE WAVES WILL LIKELY INUNDATE SOME OF THE LOW-LYING ATOLLS,
ESPECIALLY FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO REEF.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER KELLY/PIERCE=

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 190834
TCDCP2

Hurricane Lala Discussion Number 28
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Tue Aug 18 2026

Lala is an impressive hurricane tonight with a very clear eye and
cold cloud tops in the surrounding ring of convection. Although
recent images have shown some weakening of the thunderstorms in the
southwestern quadrant, all of the best intensity estimates
(HFO, JTWC, DMINT, DPRINT) were near 115 kt at 6z, so the initial
wind speed is raised to that value.

The hurricane is moving northwestward at about 8 kt, steered
primarily by a mid-level ridge centered to the north. A gradual
turn toward the north is expected by Thursday as a mid- to
upper-level trough weakens the ridge. Late this week, Lala is
likely to turn back toward the north-northwest or northwest as the
trough cuts off, and Lala moves around its northeastern periphery.
The biggest change to the forecast is a westward adjustment at
long range, though not nearly as far west as the latest Google
DeepMind solution. There remains considerable spread regarding the
timing and location of the eventual turn back towards the
north-northwest or northwest due to the complicated flow regime.

Recent satellite imagery suggests Lala could be at the beginning of
an eyewall replacement cycle, though there any microwave passes are
inconclusive. Regardless, most of the models suggest Lala is near
peak intensity with warm waters somewhat balancing the moderate
shear conditions and a dry mid-level environment. After 24 h, Lala
is expected to move over gradually cooler waters while interacting
with the aforementioned trough, which should keep the hurricane
weakening. The long-range forecast is challenging because the
trough interaction could allow for the system to keep more tropical
features than typical at such a high latitude in the central
Pacific, with very cold upper-level temperatures and
lower shear countering sub 25C waters. At this point, a gradual
lessening of the winds is shown through the end of the forecast,
but is of low confidence due to the variety of possibilities with
the upcoming trough interaction.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 19/0900Z 20.9N 169.7W 115 KT 130 MPH
12H 19/1800Z 21.8N 170.6W 110 KT 125 MPH
24H 20/0600Z 23.1N 171.7W 100 KT 115 MPH
36H 20/1800Z 24.5N 172.2W 95 KT 110 MPH
48H 21/0600Z 26.1N 171.8W 90 KT 105 MPH
60H 21/1800Z 28.1N 171.2W 85 KT 100 MPH
72H 22/0600Z 30.1N 171.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
96H 23/0600Z 32.2N 174.1W 70 KT 80 MPH
120H 24/0600Z 34.0N 176.5W 60 KT 70 MPH

$$
Forecaster Blake

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 190833
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM HST TUE AUG 18 2026

...LALA BECOMES A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...
...SHOULD BEGIN AFFECTING THE NORTHWESTERN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS BY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 169.7W
ABOUT 310 MI...495 KM S OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 450 MI...725 KM SE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.97 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM LISIANSKI
ISLAND TO MARO REEF

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT EAST OF MARO REEF
TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 169.7 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH (15 KM/H). THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED FOR ABOUT A DAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARDS THE
NORTH EARLY ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF LALA
WILL BE NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ON THURSDAY.

SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR
130 MPH (215 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LALA IS A CATEGORY 4
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME GRADUAL
WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS, BUT LALA IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN A HURRICANE.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES (45 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
(185 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 947 MB (27.97 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BY THURSDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA BY EARLY THURSDAY.

SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT BEGINNING EARLY
WEDNESDAY. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL LIKELY INUNDATE SOME OF THE
LOW-LYING ATOLLS, ESPECIALLY FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO
REEF.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 200 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 190833
TCMCP2

HURRICANE LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC WED AUG 19 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 169.7W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 90SE 50SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 105SE 135SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 169.7W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 169.3W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 21.8N 170.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 23.1N 171.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 24.5N 172.2W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 26.1N 171.8W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 28.1N 171.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 30.1N 171.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 32.2N 174.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 140NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 34.0N 176.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 110NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 169.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 19/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 190541
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Lala Intermediate Advisory Number 27A
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM HST Tue Aug 18 2026

...MAJOR HURRICANE LALA FORECAST TO TURN TOWARDS THE NORTHWESTERN
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS ON WEDNESDAY...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 169.3W
ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM SSE OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 475 MI...770 KM SE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.15 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* The Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument from Lisianski
Island to Maro Reef

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument east of Maro Reef
to French Frigate Shoals

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36
hours before the anticipated first occurrence of
tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM HST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lala was located
near latitude 20.7 North, longitude 169.3 West. Lala is moving
toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn towards the
northwest is forecast on Wednesday, followed by a turn towards the
north early on Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Lala
will be near the northwestern Hawaiian Islands on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher
gusts. Lala is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some additional strengthening is forecast
tonight, followed by slow weakening. Lala is expected to remain a
hurricane for the next several days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105
miles (165 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 953 mb (28.15 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the Hurricane Warning
area by Thursday, with tropical storm conditions expected by
Wednesday night. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the
Tropical Storm Warning area by early Thursday.

SURF: Large surf associated with Lala will affect the
Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument beginning early
Wednesday. These large waves will likely inundate some of the
low-lying atolls, especially from French Frigate Shoals to Maro
Reef.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Blake

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 190420

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 19.08.2026

HURRICANE LALA ANALYSED POSITION : 20.4N 168.5W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 19.08.2026 0 20.4N 168.5W 976 69
1200UTC 19.08.2026 12 21.1N 170.2W 981 68
0000UTC 20.08.2026 24 22.2N 171.7W 978 64
1200UTC 20.08.2026 36 23.3N 173.0W 979 64
0000UTC 21.08.2026 48 24.5N 173.7W 977 62
1200UTC 21.08.2026 60 25.8N 173.5W 970 70
0000UTC 22.08.2026 72 28.0N 173.1W 967 68
1200UTC 22.08.2026 84 29.6N 174.9W 969 66
0000UTC 23.08.2026 96 30.3N 176.5W 970 63
1200UTC 23.08.2026 108 31.1N 177.6W 977 55
0000UTC 24.08.2026 120 32.0N 179.3W 985 46
1200UTC 24.08.2026 132 32.4N 179.2E 987 46
0000UTC 25.08.2026 144 33.3N 178.1E 988 44
1200UTC 25.08.2026 156 34.1N 176.5E 990 42
0000UTC 26.08.2026 168 35.1N 175.5E 994 45

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 12.8N 143.4W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 21.08.2026 48 13.0N 145.4W 1006 30
1200UTC 21.08.2026 60 12.8N 147.1W 1005 29
0000UTC 22.08.2026 72 13.5N 149.3W 1005 32
1200UTC 22.08.2026 84 13.7N 150.9W 1006 30
0000UTC 23.08.2026 96 14.1N 153.2W 1006 30
1200UTC 23.08.2026 108 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 13.7N 111.9W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 23.08.2026 96 14.3N 113.5W 1006 31
1200UTC 23.08.2026 108 14.8N 116.7W 1005 30
0000UTC 24.08.2026 120 15.8N 119.2W 1004 32
1200UTC 24.08.2026 132 15.9N 122.0W 1003 31
0000UTC 25.08.2026 144 17.1N 124.8W 1003 33
1200UTC 25.08.2026 156 17.7N 127.7W 1004 35
0000UTC 26.08.2026 168 17.7N 130.3W 1004 32

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 12.3N 128.2W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 24.08.2026 132 12.3N 128.2W 1005 23
0000UTC 25.08.2026 144 12.8N 128.1W 1005 28
1200UTC 25.08.2026 156 17.8N 127.7W 1004 35
0000UTC 26.08.2026 168 17.7N 130.3W 1004 32

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 14.3N 165.3W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 25.08.2026 144 14.3N 165.3W 1007 27
1200UTC 25.08.2026 156 14.7N 167.9W 1006 28
0000UTC 26.08.2026 168 14.6N 170.7W 1006 29

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 32.7N 62.8W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 25.08.2026 144 32.7N 62.8W 1013 26
1200UTC 25.08.2026 156 34.9N 61.6W 1011 27
0000UTC 26.08.2026 168 36.4N 60.4W 1007 30

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 150 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+150 : 10.9N 22.0W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 25.08.2026 156 10.5N 24.4W 1010 38
0000UTC 26.08.2026 168 10.2N 28.2W 1007 38

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 190420

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 190253
TCDCP2

Hurricane Lala Discussion Number 27
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Tue Aug 18 2026

The satellite presentation of Lala has improved markedly over the
past several hours, with very cold cloud tops now completely
surrounding a clear, symmetric and very warm eye. The latest
subjective intensity estimates from WFO HFO and JTWC are 5.0/90 kt
and 5.5/102 kt, respectively. However, objective intensity estimates
from UW-CIMSS span a considerably wider range of 94-119 kt. Given
the rapidly increasing objective intensity estimates and the
continued improvement in Lala's satellite presentation, the initial
intensity has been set at 110 kt for this advisory. This makes Lala
the first major hurricane of the year in the Central Pacific Basin.

Lala is moving west-northwestward around 8 kt, steered primarily by
a mid-level ridge centered to the north. A gradual turn toward the
northwest is expected on Wednesday as a mid- to upper-level trough
approaches the region from the northwest. By Thursday, the trough is
expected to weaken the ridge, resulting in a more northward motion.
Late this week, Lala is likely to turn back toward the
north-northwest as the trough becomes a cut-off low and Lala moves
around its northeastern periphery. The latest NHC track forecast is
very similar to the previous advisory through 96 h. Beyond that
time, however, there remains considerable along- and cross-track
spread regarding the timing and location of the eventual turn back
toward the north-northwest.

Despite moderate west-southwesterly wind shear, relatively dry
mid-level air and unfavorable upper-level winds, Lala has
been rapidly intensifying over fairly warm sea surface
temperatures. Although recent satellite imagery suggests that
the hurricane's strength may be leveling off for the time
being, some additional strengthening is possible over the next 12 h
or so. The forecast peak intensity has been increased to
115 kt, which is above all available intensity guidance. After 24
h, Lala is expected to move over gradually cooler waters while
continuing to encounter moderate west-southwesterly wind shear
associated with the trough. During this time, however, the hurricane
should move into a more moist environment and experience periods of
enhanced upper-level divergence which could temporarily offset some
of the unfavorable conditions. The latest NHC forecast therefore
calls for only slow weakening beyond 24 h, followed by more steady
weakening after 72 h as Lala moves over progressively cooler
waters.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 19/0300Z 20.7N 168.9W 110 KT 125 MPH
12H 19/1200Z 21.3N 169.9W 115 KT 130 MPH
24H 20/0000Z 22.5N 171.1W 105 KT 120 MPH
36H 20/1200Z 23.9N 171.8W 100 KT 115 MPH
48H 21/0000Z 25.4N 171.7W 95 KT 110 MPH
60H 21/1200Z 26.9N 171.1W 90 KT 105 MPH
72H 22/0000Z 28.7N 171.0W 85 KT 100 MPH
96H 23/0000Z 31.8N 172.5W 75 KT 85 MPH
120H 24/0000Z 34.0N 174.1W 65 KT 75 MPH

$$
Forecaster Adams/Pasch

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 190253
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM HST TUE AUG 18 2026

...LALA NOW A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE WITH 125 MPH WINDS...
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE NORTHWESTERN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 168.9W
ABOUT 335 MI...535 KM SSE OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 495 MI...795 KM SE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.15 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL
MONUMENT FROM LISIANSKI ISLAND TO MARO REEF HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A
HURRICANE WARNING.

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL
MONUMENT EAST OF MARO REEF TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS HAS BEEN
UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM LISIANSKI
ISLAND TO MARO REEF

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT EAST OF MARO REEF
TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36
HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 168.9 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH (15 KM/H). A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST IS FORECAST ON WEDNESDAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH (205 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LALA IS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS FORECAST TONIGHT, FOLLOWED BY SLOW WEAKENING. LALA IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN A HURRICANE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES (35 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
(165 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 953 MB (28.15 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA BY THURSDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA BY EARLY THURSDAY.

SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT BEGINNING EARLY
WEDNESDAY. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL LIKELY INUNDATE SOME OF THE
LOW-LYING ATOLLS, ESPECIALLY FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO
REEF.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 800 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 190252
TCMCP2

HURRICANE LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC WED AUG 19 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 168.9W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 953 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 70SE 50SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 105SE 135SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 168.9W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 168.5W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 21.3N 169.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 22.5N 171.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 23.9N 171.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 25.4N 171.7W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 26.9N 171.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 28.7N 171.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 110SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 31.8N 172.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 34.0N 174.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 90SW 120NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 168.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 19/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPA62 PHFO 190155
TCUCP2

Hurricane Lala Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
400 PM HST Tue Aug 18 2026

...LALA RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE...

Satellite images indicate that Lala has strengthened rapidly over
the past few hours. The maximum sustained winds are now estimated
to be 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum
central pressure is 953 mb (28.14 inches).

A complete advisory will be issued at 500 PM HST.

SUMMARY OF 400 PM HST...0200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 168.7W
ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM SSE OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 505 MI...815 KM SE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.14 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 182342
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 26A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM HST TUE AUG 18 2026

...LALA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
...EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD TOWARD THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.5N 168.5W
ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM SSE OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 520 MI...840 KM SE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM LISIANSKI
ISLAND TO MARO REEF

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT EAST OF MARO REEF
TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL
MONUMENT SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LALA. WARNINGS MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 PM HST (0000 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 168.5 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH (15 KM/H). A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST THEN NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY,
FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH (175 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO, AND LALA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE
LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. SUBSEQUENTLY, LALA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A
HURRICANE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES (35 KM) FROM
THE CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES (165 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB (28.53 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA
BY THURSDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA BY THURSDAY.

SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT BEGINNING EARLY
WEDNESDAY. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL LIKELY INUNDATE SOME OF THE
LOW-LYING ATOLLS, ESPECIALLY FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO
REEF.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 182038
TCDCP2

Hurricane Lala Discussion Number 26
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Tue Aug 18 2026

Lala has continued to become better organized since the previous
advisory, with the eyewall cloud tops continuing to cool and the
eye becoming warmer and more distinct. The various satellite
intensity estimates continue to have a large spread from 61 to 94
kt, but they have all increased over the past six hours. Based on
the previous advisory and current trends, the initial intensity is
increased to 90 kt.

The initial motion remains westward or 275/8 kt. There is little
change in the track forecast reasoning from the previous advisory.
Lala should move westward to west-northwestward for the next 12-24
h as it is steered by a mid-level ridge to the north. From 24-72 h,
the cyclone should make a northward turn as a mid- to upper-level
trough to the northwest breaks down the ridge. From 72-120 h, a
turn back toward the northwest is likely as the trough becomes a
cut-off low with Lala moving around the northeast side. The
guidance is in reasonably good agreement with this scenario,
although there is still cross-track spread on when and where the
various turns will occur. The new forecast track is similar to the
previous track and follows a cluster of models that includes the
HFIP Corrected consensus (HCCA) and the Google DeepMind Ensemble
mean (GDMI).

In the short term, it is unclear how much more Lala can strengthen
since the hurricane is experiencing 15-20 kt of westerly shear and
is embedded in a dry mid-level air mass. Based on the guidance
trends, the intensity forecast shows 12 h more strengthening and a
peak intensity of 100 kt, which is at the upper edge of the
guidance. In the longer term, the large-scale models forecast the
shear to persist for at least the next three days as the hurricane
interacts with aforementioned upper-level trough. The shear gets
strong enough so that the hurricane should weaken some for 24-72 h,
although during this time Lala should reach a more moist
environment and find periods of strong upper-level divergence caused
by the trough. Overall, the intensity guidance shows a slow decay
from 24-72 h, and the new forecast follows this. Sea surface
temperatures decrease along the forecast track after 72 h, and this
should cause continued gradual weakening even though the shear is
forecast to decrease.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 18/2100Z 20.4N 168.1W 90 KT 105 MPH
12H 19/0600Z 20.8N 169.3W 100 KT 115 MPH
24H 19/1800Z 21.9N 170.7W 100 KT 115 MPH
36H 20/0600Z 23.2N 171.7W 95 KT 110 MPH
48H 20/1800Z 24.5N 171.9W 90 KT 105 MPH
60H 21/0600Z 26.1N 171.4W 85 KT 100 MPH
72H 21/1800Z 28.0N 170.9W 85 KT 100 MPH
96H 22/1800Z 31.2N 171.8W 75 KT 85 MPH
120H 23/1800Z 33.6N 173.5W 65 KT 75 MPH

$$
Forecaster Beven

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 182037
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM HST TUE AUG 18 2026

...LALA STRENGTHENING FURTHER...
...EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD TOWARD THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.4N 168.1W
ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM SSE OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 545 MI...875 KM SE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM LISIANSKI
ISLAND TO MARO REEF

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT EAST OF MARO REEF
TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL
MONUMENT SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LALA. WARNINGS MAY BE
REQUIRE FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 168.1 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH (15 KM/H), AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST THEN NORTHWEST
IS FORECAST TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR NEAR 105 MPH (165
KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO, AND LALA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR
HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. SUBSEQUENTLY, LALA IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN A HURRICANE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES (35 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
(165 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB (28.65 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA
BY THURSDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA BY THURSDAY.

SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT BEGINNING EARLY
WEDNESDAY. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL LIKELY INUNDATE SOME OF THE
LOW-LYING ATOLLS, ESPECIALLY FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO
REEF.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 182037
TCMCP2

HURRICANE LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC TUE AUG 18 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 168.1W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 70SE 50SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....165NE 90SE 90SW 165NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 168.1W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 167.7W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 20.8N 169.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 21.9N 170.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 23.2N 171.7W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 24.5N 171.9W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 26.1N 171.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 28.0N 170.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 31.2N 171.8W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 33.6N 173.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 168.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 19/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 181732
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM HST TUE AUG 18 2026

...LALA STRENGTHENING...
...EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD TOWARD THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.4N 167.7W
ABOUT 380 MI...615 KM SSE OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 560 MI...900 KM SE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM LISIANSKI
ISLAND TO MARO REEF

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT EAST OF MARO REEF
TO FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL
MONUMENT SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LALA. WARNINGS MAY BE
REQUIRE FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM HST (1800 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 167.7 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH (17 KM/H), AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST THEN NORTHWEST
IS FORECAST TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH (155 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO, AND LALA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A HURRICANE FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES (30 KM) FROM
THE CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES (165 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 974 MB (28.77 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA
BY THURSDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH AREA BY THURSDAY.

SURF: LARGE SURF ASSOCIATED WITH LALA WILL AFFECT THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT BEGINNING EARLY
WEDNESDAY. THESE LARGE WAVES WILL LIKELY INUNDATE SOME OF THE
LOW-LYING ATOLLS, ESPECIALLY FROM FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS TO MARO
REEF.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 181621

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 18.08.2026

HURRICANE LALA ANALYSED POSITION : 20.5N 166.7W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 18.08.2026 0 20.5N 166.7W 986 59
0000UTC 19.08.2026 12 20.6N 168.5W 977 71
1200UTC 19.08.2026 24 21.3N 170.0W 975 73
0000UTC 20.08.2026 36 22.3N 171.4W 973 68
1200UTC 20.08.2026 48 23.5N 172.6W 971 73
0000UTC 21.08.2026 60 24.6N 173.0W 970 70
1200UTC 21.08.2026 72 26.1N 172.3W 964 74
0000UTC 22.08.2026 84 28.4N 171.6W 960 77
1200UTC 22.08.2026 96 30.4N 172.9W 959 69
0000UTC 23.08.2026 108 31.2N 174.4W 966 62
1200UTC 23.08.2026 120 32.1N 175.3W 975 59
0000UTC 24.08.2026 132 33.5N 176.6W 983 46
1200UTC 24.08.2026 144 34.5N 176.9W 987 50
0000UTC 25.08.2026 156 36.5N 177.2W 991 43
1200UTC 25.08.2026 168 39.0N 177.7W 995 41

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 12.5N 145.4W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 21.08.2026 72 12.3N 145.9W 1006 29
0000UTC 22.08.2026 84 13.3N 147.9W 1005 29
1200UTC 22.08.2026 96 12.7N 149.5W 1006 30
0000UTC 23.08.2026 108 13.1N 151.2W 1006 30
1200UTC 23.08.2026 120 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 30.8N 56.0W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 22.08.2026 84 30.7N 56.0W 1016 18
1200UTC 22.08.2026 96 30.4N 56.1W 1015 21
0000UTC 23.08.2026 108 30.8N 56.7W 1015 25
1200UTC 23.08.2026 120 32.0N 58.0W 1014 27
0000UTC 24.08.2026 132 33.0N 59.2W 1014 31
1200UTC 24.08.2026 144 35.0N 59.5W 1012 32
0000UTC 25.08.2026 156 38.2N 59.2W 1009 37
1200UTC 25.08.2026 168 42.0N 55.8W 1002 42

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 13.4N 111.9W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 23.08.2026 108 14.1N 113.9W 1005 32
1200UTC 23.08.2026 120 14.1N 117.1W 1004 28
0000UTC 24.08.2026 132 15.5N 119.4W 1003 34
1200UTC 24.08.2026 144 15.2N 121.7W 1002 37
0000UTC 25.08.2026 156 16.7N 123.8W 1002 39
1200UTC 25.08.2026 168 17.0N 125.6W 1003 33

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 162 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+162 : 12.4N 162.8W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 25.08.2026 168 12.5N 163.5W 1006 23

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 162 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+162 : 28.3N 54.0W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 25.08.2026 168 28.8N 54.7W 1014 27

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 181621

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 181438
TCDCP2

Hurricane Lala Discussion Number 25
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Tue Aug 18 2026

Lala has become a bit better organized during the past couple of
hours. While the eye remains ragged and cloud filled, the eyewall
convection has become more vigorous and more symmetric. The various
satellite intensity estimates have an unusually large spread from
49 to 77 kt, but they are trending upward. The initial intensity is
increased to 75 kt based on the recent increase in organization.

The initial motion remains westward or 275/8 kt. There is little
change in the track forecast reasoning from the previous advisory.
Lala should move westward to west-northwestward for the next 24 h or
so as it is steered by a mid-level ridge to the north. From 24-72 h,
the cyclone should make a northward turn as a mid- to upper-level
trough to the northwest breaks down the ridge. From 72-120 h, a
turn back toward the northwest is likely as the aforementioned
trough becomes a cut-off low with Lala moving around the northeast
side of this system. The guidance is in reasonably good agreement
with this scenario, although there is some cross-track spread on
when the various turns will occur. The new forecast track is similar
to the previous track and follows a cluster of models that includes
the HFIP Corrected consensus (HCCA) and the Google DeepMind Ensemble
mean (GDMI).

Lala is strengthening despite being in a marginal shear environment
and being embedded in a dry mid-level environment. The large-scale
models forecast the shear to persist for at least the next three
days as the hurricane interacts with the upper-level trough. While
the shear should at least slow the strengthening, Lala is forecast
to reach a more moist environment, and it may find periods with
strong upper-level divergence due to a favorable interaction with
the trough. The intensity forecast will show continued strengthening
for 24-36 h, and since this part of the forecast is in the middle of
the intensity guidance envelope it is possible Lala could get
stronger than what is shown here. Sea surface temperatures start
decreasing along the forecast track after 72 h, and this should lead
to a gradual weakening during that time.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 18/1500Z 20.5N 167.2W 75 KT 85 MPH
12H 19/0000Z 20.8N 168.3W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 19/1200Z 21.5N 169.8W 85 KT 100 MPH
36H 20/0000Z 22.7N 171.0W 85 KT 100 MPH
48H 20/1200Z 24.0N 171.7W 80 KT 90 MPH
60H 21/0000Z 25.4N 171.6W 80 KT 90 MPH
72H 21/1200Z 27.2N 171.0W 80 KT 90 MPH
96H 22/1200Z 31.3N 170.9W 75 KT 85 MPH
120H 23/1200Z 34.0N 172.9W 65 KT 75 MPH

$$
Forecaster Beven

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 181437
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Lala Advisory Number 25
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Tue Aug 18 2026

...WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE
NATIONAL MONUMENT AS LALA IS EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.5N 167.2W
ABOUT 390 MI...630 KM SSE OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 580 MI...930 KM SE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Hurricane Watch is now in effect for the Papahanaumokuakea Marine
National Monument from Lisianski Island to Maro Reef.

A Tropical Storm Watch is now in effect for the Papahanaumokuakea
Marine National Monument east of Maro Reef to French Frigate Shoals.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* The Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument from Lisianski
Island to Maro Reef

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* The Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument east of Maro Reef
to French Frigate Shoals

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National
Monument should monitor the progress of Lala. Warnings may be
require for portions of this area later today.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lala was located
near latitude 20.5 North, longitude 167.2 West. Lala is moving
toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this motion is expected
to continue today. A turn toward the west-northwest then northwest
is forecast tonight and Wednesday, followed by a turn toward the
north on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are now near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, and
Lala is expected to remain a hurricane for the next several days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles
(165 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 981 mb (28.97 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible in the Hurricane Watch area
by Thursday, with tropical storm conditions possible by Wednesday
night. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the Tropical Storm
Watch area by Thursday.

SURF: Large surf associated with Lala will affect the
Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument beginning early
Wednesday. These large waves will likely inundate some of the
low-lying atolls, especially from French Frigate Shoals to Maro
Reef.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM HST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 181437
TCMCP2

HURRICANE LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC TUE AUG 18 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 167.2W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 70SE 50SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 90SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 167.2W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 166.6W

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 20.8N 168.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 21.5N 169.8W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 22.7N 171.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 24.0N 171.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 25.4N 171.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
// END PART 01 //=

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 180856
TCDCP2

Hurricane Lala Discussion Number 24
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Mon Aug 17 2026

Satellite imagery indicates that Lala has continued to become better
organized, with an eye emerging in infrared satellite imagery around
06Z. Since that time, the eye has opened and closed a couple times
as Lala attempts to become better organized. A very recent GPMI
microwave pass also indicates that the eye is becoming better
organized. Lala appears to be strengthening, despite being embedded
in an environment of 10-15 kt westerly vertical wind shear and a dry
mid-level troposphere. The latest subjective Dvorak estimates are a
consensus 4.0/65 kt from PHFO and JTWC. Recent SATCON, DPRINT and
DMINT intensity estimates have been ebbing and flowing in the 62-76
kt range. Given these estimates, the initial intensity has been
raised to 70 kt, making Lala a hurricane again.

The initial motion estimate is westward, or 275/9 kt. A gradual
turn toward the northwest is expected over the next 36 h as a narrow
ridge north of Lala shifts eastward and an upper-level trough
approaches the hurricane from the northwest. By Thursday, that
trough will cause Lala to turn northward. This forecast brings Lala
toward portions of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument on
Thursday and Thursday night, and watches will likely be required for
parts of that area on Tuesday morning. The latest NHC track
forecast is similar to the previous one through 36 h, but then
faster toward the north from 48-120 h. The NHC track forecast is
near the Google DeepMind Ensemble Mean (GDMI) and the Simple
Consensus aid (TVCN). The confidence is the track forecast is high
through 48 h, but there is significant spread in the guidance from
72-120 h in both the along-track and cross-track directions.

Lala has been able to strengthen by 20 kt over the past 18-24 h
despite a dry mid-level environment and 10-15 kt of westerly
vertical wind shear. All of the models indicate continued
strengthening over the next 24 h despite a slight increase in wind
shear to the 15-20 kt range by 12-24 h. The NHC intensity forecast
is between the middle and high end of the guidance during this
period. The NHC forecast peak intensity was increased slightly to
85 kt during hour 24-48, similar to an average of the hurricane
regional models. Thereafter, most models keep Lala a hurricane
through at least day 4 or 5. Although SHIPS guidance shows
increasing vertical wind shear in the 60-96 h period, the shear
vector should be fairly similar to the direction of motion by that
time, limiting the shear's negative influence. Furthermore, the
position of the aforementioned upper-level trough relative to Lala
could help enhance upper-level divergence and outflow over the
hurricane. These factors lead to a complicated intensity forecast
around the 60-96 h time frame. The NHC forecast is near the middle
of the guidance envelope during that time. By day 5, Lala will
likely be approaching the 26C sea-surface temperature isotherm as it
gains latitude, leading to weakening by that point.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 18/0900Z 20.4N 166.1W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 18/1800Z 20.6N 167.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 19/0600Z 21.1N 169.1W 85 KT 100 MPH
36H 19/1800Z 22.1N 170.4W 85 KT 100 MPH
48H 20/0600Z 23.3N 171.6W 85 KT 100 MPH
60H 20/1800Z 24.6N 172.0W 80 KT 90 MPH
72H 21/0600Z 26.0N 171.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
96H 22/0600Z 30.2N 170.5W 75 KT 85 MPH
120H 23/0600Z 33.3N 172.1W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
Forecaster Hagen

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 180856
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Lala Advisory Number 24
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Mon Aug 17 2026

...LALA RESTRENGTHENS TO A HURRICANE OVER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.4N 166.1W
ABOUT 440 MI...705 KM SE OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 635 MI...1025 KM SE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument should
monitor the progress of Lala. Watches will likely be required for
portions of the area early Tuesday.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lala was located
near latitude 20.4 North, longitude 166.1 West. Lala is moving
toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion is expected
to continue through Tuesday. A turn toward the west-northwest then
northwest is forecast on Tuesday night and Wednesday, followed by a
turn toward the north on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the
next day or so. Lala is expected to remain a hurricane for the next
several days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles
(150 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 180855
TCMCP2

HURRICANE LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC TUE AUG 18 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 166.1W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 90SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 166.1W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 165.8W

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 20.6N 167.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 21.1N 169.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 22.1N 170.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 23.3N 171.6W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 24.6N 172.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 26.0N 171.5W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 30.2N 170.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 100SW 120NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 33.3N 172.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 166.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 180421

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 18.08.2026

TROPICAL STORM LALA ANALYSED POSITION : 20.3N 164.8W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 18.08.2026 0 20.3N 164.8W 996 45
1200UTC 18.08.2026 12 20.3N 166.9W 994 50
0000UTC 19.08.2026 24 20.5N 168.6W 990 51
1200UTC 19.08.2026 36 21.2N 170.5W 987 58
0000UTC 20.08.2026 48 22.1N 172.1W 985 58
1200UTC 20.08.2026 60 22.9N 173.6W 984 66
0000UTC 21.08.2026 72 23.6N 174.4W 977 71
1200UTC 21.08.2026 84 24.5N 174.3W 979 62
0000UTC 22.08.2026 96 26.2N 173.1W 980 59
1200UTC 22.08.2026 108 28.9N 172.7W 970 62
0000UTC 23.08.2026 120 31.3N 174.0W 970 57
1200UTC 23.08.2026 132 32.3N 175.1W 977 57
0000UTC 24.08.2026 144 34.1N 175.4W 985 49
1200UTC 24.08.2026 156 36.1N 176.2W 987 44
0000UTC 25.08.2026 168 37.9N 176.5W 991 41

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 12.7N 145.2W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 21.08.2026 72 12.7N 145.2W 1006 27
1200UTC 21.08.2026 84 13.0N 148.5W 1005 30
0000UTC 22.08.2026 96 13.1N 150.4W 1005 32
1200UTC 22.08.2026 108 13.3N 152.6W 1005 32
0000UTC 23.08.2026 120 13.6N 154.7W 1006 31
1200UTC 23.08.2026 132 13.6N 157.8W 1006 31
0000UTC 24.08.2026 144 13.7N 160.6W 1006 30
1200UTC 24.08.2026 156 14.2N 163.4W 1006 28
0000UTC 25.08.2026 168 13.9N 166.2W 1005 29

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 30.7N 57.7W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 22.08.2026 96 30.3N 58.2W 1016 18
1200UTC 22.08.2026 108 29.9N 58.8W 1016 20
0000UTC 23.08.2026 120 30.1N 60.1W 1016 20
1200UTC 23.08.2026 132 30.8N 61.0W 1015 24
0000UTC 24.08.2026 144 32.2N 61.9W 1015 25
1200UTC 24.08.2026 156 33.8N 62.0W 1015 27
0000UTC 25.08.2026 168 35.7N 61.8W 1014 27

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 12.1N 111.8W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 23.08.2026 120 12.8N 113.9W 1006 30
1200UTC 23.08.2026 132 12.8N 116.8W 1004 28
0000UTC 24.08.2026 144 13.8N 119.4W 1003 34
1200UTC 24.08.2026 156 14.4N 121.2W 1001 45
0000UTC 25.08.2026 168 14.8N 123.2W 998 42

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 162 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+162 : 14.9N 134.0W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 25.08.2026 168 15.2N 135.0W 1005 27

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 180421

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 180249
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 23
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Mon Aug 17 2026

The visible and infrared satellite presentation of Lala has improved
over the past several hours, with convection becoming increasingly
organized around the center of the storm. A recent AMSR-2 microwave
pass revealed a well-defined core with a convective band wrapping
completely around the center. However, some westerly shear is
evident, with the mid-level center displaced slightly to the east
of the low-level center. Objective Dvorak intensity estimates from
UW-CIMSS span a wide range of 41-63 kt, though these estimates have
steadily increased over the past several hours. Subjective Dvorak
intensity estimates from JTWC and WFO HFO were 3.5/55 kt and 4.0/65
kt, respectively. Given the improved satellite presentation and the
upward trend in intensity estimates, the initial intensity is set at
60 kt for this advisory.

The tropical storm is moving westward at around 10 kt, steered by a
ridge of high pressure to the north, and this general motion is
expected to continue through Tuesday. By midweek, an upper-level
trough is forecast to approach the storm from the northwest,
inducing a turn toward the northwest then north. This forecast
brings Lala toward portions of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National
Monument on Thursday and Thursday night, and watches may be required
for parts of that area on Tuesday. The latest NHC track forecast is
very close to the previous forecast through 96 h, after which it has
been accelerated, and remains near the middle of the track forecast
consensus.

Despite a relatively dry mid-level environment and moderate westerly
wind shear, warm sea surface temperature and a well-established
inner core are allowing for Lala to strengthen. All available model
guidance support additional strengthening over the next 36 h, with
the hurricane regional models and Google DeepMind (GDM) showing the
most aggressive intensification. In addition, the ECMWF- and
GFS-based SHIPS guidance indicate that rapid intensification is
possible during this period. The forecast peak intensity has
therefore been raised to 80 kt, which lies between the stronger
regional hurricane models and GDM solution and the weaker
statistical-dynamical model guidance. The longer-range intensity
forecast remains more uncertain, as the global models suggest some
potential for positive interaction with an upper-level trough later
this week, followed by slow weakening as strong southwesterly shear
develops.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 18/0300Z 20.3N 165.5W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 18/1200Z 20.4N 166.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 19/0000Z 20.6N 168.5W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 19/1200Z 21.3N 170.0W 80 KT 90 MPH
48H 20/0000Z 22.3N 171.2W 80 KT 90 MPH
60H 20/1200Z 23.5N 172.1W 75 KT 85 MPH
72H 21/0000Z 24.8N 172.2W 75 KT 85 MPH
96H 22/0000Z 27.7N 171.1W 75 KT 85 MPH
120H 23/0000Z 31.3N 170.8W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
Forecaster Adams/Pasch

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 180247
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM HST MON AUG 17 2026

...LALA STRENGTHENING OVER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.3N 165.5W
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 670 MI...1080 KM SE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LALA. WATCHES COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS
OF THE AREA ON TUESDAY.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 165.5 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH (19 KM/H), AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST THEN NORTHWEST IS FORECAST ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH (110 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS, AND LALA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE AGAIN BY
TUESDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES (165 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB (29.27 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 180247
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC TUE AUG 18 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 165.5W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 50SE 50SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 75SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 165.5W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 165.0W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 20.4N 166.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 20.6N 168.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 21.3N 170.0W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 22.3N 171.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 23.5N 172.1W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
// END PART 01 //=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 172200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 022//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171800Z --- NEAR 20.4N 163.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N 163.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 20.4N 165.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 20.5N 167.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 20.9N 169.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 21.7N 170.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 22.8N 171.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 24.1N 172.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 26.5N 171.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 30.5N 170.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
172200Z POSITION NEAR 20.4N 164.5W.
17AUG26. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 254 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BARKING SANDS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 171800Z IS 994 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
180400Z, 181000Z, 181600Z AND 182200Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 172041
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 22
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Mon Aug 17 2026

Lala is a compact tropical storm. A large, curved convective band
wraps most of the way around the system in visible and infrared
satellite images. Objective UW-CIMSS D-MINT intensity estimates have
increased this morning based on recent SSMIS passive microwave data
that showed improved mid-level structure. In addition, HFO and JTWC
recently provided consensus T3.5 Dvorak intensity estimates. Based
on these data, the initial intensity is raised to 55 kt.

Lala is moving just south of due west (260/9 kt). A subtropical
ridge to the north of Lala will keep the storm on a westward heading
for the next 12-24 h. Then, a shortwave trough is forecast to move
over the northern Pacific and induce a weakness in the steering
ridge by midweek. This should cause Lala to turn northwestward and
then northward later this week. This forecast brings Lala toward
portions of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument on
Thursday and Thursday night, and watches may be required for parts
of that area on Tuesday. Track forecast confidence is higher than
yesterday since the track models are in better agreement on the
northward turn, though there is still some spread in how abrupt that
turn will be. Overall, the updated NHC forecast is slightly faster,
but otherwise very similar to the previous prediction.

The small size of Lala could make it prone to faster intensity
changes in either direction. The storm is currently moving within a
fairly dry mid-level environment and experiencing moderate westerly
shear. While these conditions are not ideal for strengthening, a
solidified inner core could allow Lala to resist some of these
inhibiting environmental factors and intensify over warm waters
(27-28 deg C). The hurricane regional models and Google Deep Mind
(GDMI) remain most aggressive with near-term strengthening. The NHC
intensity forecast has been adjusted upward slightly following the
simple consensus (IVCN) and shows Lala becoming a hurricane again by
late Tuesday. The longer-range forecast is tricky, as the global
models suggest some potential for positive trough interaction later
this week before strong southwesterly shear induces weakening. While
a secondary intensity peak is not shown in the official forecast,
some intensification in 3-4 days cannot be ruled out.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 17/2100Z 20.4N 164.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 18/0600Z 20.4N 165.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 18/1800Z 20.5N 167.6W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 19/0600Z 20.9N 169.1W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 19/1800Z 21.7N 170.5W 75 KT 85 MPH
60H 20/0600Z 22.8N 171.6W 70 KT 80 MPH
72H 20/1800Z 24.1N 172.2W 70 KT 80 MPH
96H 21/1800Z 26.5N 171.6W 70 KT 80 MPH
120H 22/1800Z 30.5N 170.5W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 172039
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC MON AUG 17 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 164.3W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 60SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 164.3W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 163.9W

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 20.4N 165.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 20.5N 167.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 10SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 20.9N 169.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 21.7N 170.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 22.8N 171.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 24.1N 172.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 26.5N 171.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 30.5N 170.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 164.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 171621

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 17.08.2026

TROPICAL STORM LALA ANALYSED POSITION : 20.4N 163.1W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 17.08.2026 0 20.4N 163.1W 999 39
0000UTC 18.08.2026 12 20.3N 165.1W 997 43
1200UTC 18.08.2026 24 20.2N 166.8W 995 53
0000UTC 19.08.2026 36 20.5N 168.4W 990 53
1200UTC 19.08.2026 48 21.1N 170.0W 989 58
0000UTC 20.08.2026 60 21.9N 171.4W 988 62
1200UTC 20.08.2026 72 22.8N 172.8W 990 58
0000UTC 21.08.2026 84 23.5N 173.6W 986 63
1200UTC 21.08.2026 96 24.4N 173.7W 990 56
0000UTC 22.08.2026 108 25.9N 172.3W 988 62
1200UTC 22.08.2026 120 28.4N 171.1W 988 48
0000UTC 23.08.2026 132 32.0N 172.3W 982 55
1200UTC 23.08.2026 144 33.3N 175.3W 983 49
0000UTC 24.08.2026 156 33.8N 176.6W 988 47
1200UTC 24.08.2026 168 35.1N 177.2W 993 46

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 13.5N 145.1W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 21.08.2026 84 13.5N 145.1W 1007 27
1200UTC 21.08.2026 96 13.7N 147.4W 1006 27
0000UTC 22.08.2026 108 13.7N 149.7W 1006 28
1200UTC 22.08.2026 120 14.0N 151.9W 1007 28
0000UTC 23.08.2026 132 14.0N 153.9W 1008 27
1200UTC 23.08.2026 144 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 10.2N 103.5W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 21.08.2026 96 10.2N 103.5W 1006 29
0000UTC 22.08.2026 108 11.0N 106.4W 1005 31
1200UTC 22.08.2026 120 11.3N 109.9W 1004 32
0000UTC 23.08.2026 132 12.8N 112.6W 1003 37
1200UTC 23.08.2026 144 13.2N 115.3W 1002 39
0000UTC 24.08.2026 156 13.7N 118.3W 999 49
1200UTC 24.08.2026 168 14.0N 120.5W 997 49

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 32.4N 60.7W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 23.08.2026 144 32.4N 60.7W 1016 20
0000UTC 24.08.2026 156 33.1N 61.5W 1017 21
1200UTC 24.08.2026 168 34.7N 61.7W 1016 23

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 150 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+150 : 11.9N 127.6W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 24.08.2026 156 12.0N 128.7W 1005 28
1200UTC 24.08.2026 168 11.5N 130.9W 1004 25

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 171621

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 171455
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 21
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Mon Aug 17 2026

Convection is limited to the inner core of Lala based on the latest
satellite imagery this morning with the cyclone embedded in a dry
airmass. The latest subjective Dvorak current intensity estimates
from HFO and JTWC range from 45 to 55 kt. The objective intensity
estimates from UW-CIMSS range from 33 to 58 kt. Given that the
satellite presentation has remained steady the last several hours
and using a blend of all the intensity estimates, the current
intensity has been held at 50 kt.

Lala is moving westward, or 265/10 kt, and this motion is expected
to continue over the next couple of days as a strong subtropical
ridge remains positioned to the north. Thereafter, a weakness is
forecast to develop in the ridge in response to a shortwave trough
moving across the northern Pacific, causing Lala to turn toward the
northwest and then north during the middle of the week. Track
forecast confidence remains relatively high through the next few
days. Beyond Day 3, the spread increases with the turn to the
northwest and north, and how fast that occurs. The GDMI and HCCA
turn the system more abruptly, with an increase in forward speed
compared to the remainder of the guidance. The latest NHC track
forecast is very close to the previous advisory through midweek,
then follows a blend of the previous forecast and the HCCA and
Google DeepMind aids.

Some fluctuations in intensity are expected during the next day or
so as the system moves away from the main Hawaiian Islands, as the
system continues to deal with a dry airmass and moderate wind shear.
In about a day or so, Lala will move into a slightly better
environment with warm sea-surface temperatures and more moisture in
the mid-levels, which will allow some intensification to occur. How
much intensification remains to be seen, especially if Lala's inner
core is small and compact, as some of the hurricane regional models
depict. There is also the potential for positive interaction with
the aforementioned shortwave trough that may increase storm top
divergence. The latest NHC intensity forecast calls for Lala to
regain hurricane strength in about a day or two and is similar to
the previous prediction, although it is below some of the hurricane
regional models, HCCA and GDMI intensity aids.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 17/1500Z 20.4N 163.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 18/0000Z 20.4N 164.8W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 18/1200Z 20.4N 166.7W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 19/0000Z 20.6N 168.3W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 19/1200Z 21.2N 169.7W 75 KT 85 MPH
60H 20/0000Z 22.1N 171.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
72H 20/1200Z 23.1N 171.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
96H 21/1200Z 25.3N 172.3W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 22/1200Z 28.5N 171.0W 65 KT 75 MPH

$$
Forecaster Katz/Kelly

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 171453
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC MON AUG 17 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 163.4W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 50SE 50SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 75SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 163.4W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 162.9W

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.4N 164.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 20.4N 166.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 10SE 10SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 20.6N 168.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 20SE 10SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 21.2N 169.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 10SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 22.1N 171.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 23.1N 171.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 25.3N 172.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 28.5N 171.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 163.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KATZ/KELLY=

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 170837
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 20
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Sun Aug 16 2026

Lala appears to be succumbing to the surrounding dry mid-level air,
with convective coverage having diminished over the past several
hours. Intermittent bursts of deep convection persist near the
center of the circulation, while the previously fragmented band
across the northern and western portions of the circulation has
weakened. The latest subjective Current Intensity estimates from HFO
and JTWC range from 45 to 55 kt, which generally align with the
latest objective estimates from UW-CIMSS. In addition, a 0702 UTC
METOP-B scatterometer pass provided useful information on Lala's
overall structure and wind field and supports an intensity near 50
kt. Based on a blend of these data and the satellite presentation,
the initial intensity is set at 50 kt for this advisory.

Lala is moving westward, or 270/11 kt, and this motion is expected
to continue over the next couple of days as a strong subtropical
ridge remains positioned to the north. Thereafter, a weakness is
forecast to develop in the ridge in response to a shortwave trough
moving across the northern Pacific, causing Lala to slow and
gradually turn toward the northwest and then northward during the
middle to latter half of the week. Track forecast confidence remains
relatively high through the first half of the week, but decreases
thereafter due to run-to-run inconsistencies in the models and
considerable cross-track spread among the guidance. The latest NHC
track forecast is very close to the previous advisory through
midweek, then follows a blend of the previous forecast, the
multi-model consensus (HCCA), and the Google DeepMind ensemble mean
thereafter to account for the increasing uncertainty.

Little change in intensity is expected during the next day or so as
Lala continues westward away from the main Hawaiian Islands and
south of the eastern portion of the Northwestern Hawaiian Islands.
Thereafter, the intensity guidance continues to indicate a
strengthening trend, with Lala forecast to regain hurricane
intensity by midweek as it begins to turn northwestward. Although
the cyclone will remain over warm waters, mid-level dry air and
increasing westerly vertical wind shear could temper the amount of
strengthening that occurs later in the forecast period.
Nevertheless, much of the guidance continues to show Lala
strengthening as it approaches portions of the Northwestern Hawaiian
Islands later in the week. The latest NHC intensity forecast is
similar to the previous advisory through midweek, then trends toward
the middle of the guidance envelope during the latter half of the
forecast period.

Key Messages:
1. Rain will continue to taper off across the island chain tonight
into Monday morning, but localized areas of flooding and
mudslides remain possible.

2. Continue to use caution in the wake of Lala, as dangerous hazards
remain, including flooded areas and downed power lines. If using a
generator, be sure it is placed outside at least 20 feet away from
doors, windows, and garages to avoid deadly carbon monoxide
poisoning.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 17/0900Z 20.7N 162.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 17/1800Z 20.6N 164.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 18/0600Z 20.5N 165.9W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 18/1800Z 20.6N 167.7W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 19/0600Z 20.9N 169.2W 70 KT 80 MPH
60H 19/1800Z 21.7N 170.7W 75 KT 85 MPH
72H 20/0600Z 22.6N 171.9W 75 KT 85 MPH
96H 21/0600Z 24.5N 172.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
120H 22/0600Z 26.9N 172.2W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
Forecaster Gibbs/Evans

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 170835
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM HST SUN AUG 16 2026

...LALA HOLDING STEADY AS IT CONTINUES WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE MAIN
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 162.6W
ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM W OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LALA.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 162.6 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH (20 KM/H). A WESTWARD MOTION IS
FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH (95 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED THEREAFTER, AND LALA IS FORECAST
TO BECOME A HURRICANE AGAIN BY WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES (165 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB (29.44 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPA42 PHFO.

RAINFALL: FROM MAUI TO KAUAI COUNTY, AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE, WHICH MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLOODING
AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH LALA,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

FOR A LIST OF RAINFALL OBSERVATIONS AND WIND REPORTS ASSOCIATED WITH
LALA, SEE THE COMPANION STORM SUMMARY AT WBCSCCNS2 WITH THE WMO
HEADER ACUS42 KWBC OR AT THE FOLLOWING LINK:
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/NFDSCC2.HTML.

SURF: LARGE WAVES GENERATED BY LALA WILL CONTINUE TO TREND DOWN
FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE HAWAIIAN WATERS THROUGH MONDAY.
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO
MONDAY. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS/EVANS=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 170835
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC MON AUG 17 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 162.6W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 50SE 50SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 90SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 162.6W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 162.0W

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.6N 164.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 20.5N 165.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 20.6N 167.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 20.9N 169.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 21.7N 170.7W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 22.6N 171.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 24.5N 172.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 100NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 26.9N 172.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 70SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 162.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS/EVANS=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 170539
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM HST SUN AUG 16 2026

...LALA WEAKENS AS IT CONTINUES WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE MAIN
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR KAUAI COUNTY HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 162.0W
ABOUT 270 MI...430 KM W OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR KAUAI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS
OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU, HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LALA.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 PM HST (0600 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 162.0 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH (20 KM/H). A WESTWARD MOTION IS
FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH (95 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE INTENSITY CHANGE IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO. SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THEREAFTER, AND LALA COULD
BECOME A HURRICANE AGAIN BY WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES (220 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB (29.44 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPA42 PHFO.

RAINFALL: OUTER BANDS FROM LALA ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS WINDWARD PORTIONS OF THE BIG ISLAND
AND WINDWARD MAUI. ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND CHAIN, AN
ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED, WITH ISOLATED
ADDITIONAL TOTALS AROUND 6 INCHES. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE
FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH LALA,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

FOR A LIST OF RAINFALL OBSERVATIONS AND WIND REPORTS ASSOCIATED WITH
LALA, SEE THE COMPANION STORM SUMMARY AT WBCSCCNS2 WITH THE WMO
HEADER ACUS42 KWBC OR AT THE FOLLOWING LINK:
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/NFDSCC2.HTML.

SURF: LARGE WAVES GENERATED BY LALA WILL GRADUALLY TREND DOWN FROM
EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE HAWAIIAN WATERS THROUGH MONDAY.
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO
MONDAY. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS=

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 170237
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 19
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Sun Aug 16 2026

Lala has shown very little change in convective structure over the
past several hours as it begins to move away from the main Hawaiian
Islands. Deep convection remains over the center of the circulation,
with a large fragmented convective band wrapping into the center
across the northern and western semicircles. The latest subjective
Current Intensity estimates from HFO and JTWC are T3.5/55 kt, with
objective intensity estimates ranging from 35 to 50 kt. Based on
these data and the steady trend in satellite presentation, the
initial intensity is held at a possibly generous 55 kt for this
advisory.

Lala is moving westward, or 265/14 kt. A strong subtropical ridge
positioned north of the cyclone should maintain Lala on a generally
westward motion through the first half of the week. Thereafter, a
weakness is forecast to develop in the ridge in response to a
shortwave trough moving across the northern Pacific, causing Lala to
slow and gradually turn toward the northwest and then northward
during the latter half of the week. Track forecast confidence
remains relatively high through the first half of the week, but
decreases thereafter due to run-to-run inconsistencies in the models
and considerable cross-track spread among the guidance. The latest
NHC track forecast is very close to or slightly left of the previous
advisory through midweek, then follows a blend of the previous
forecast, the multi-model consensus (HCCA), and the Google DeepMind
ensemble mean thereafter to account for the increasing uncertainty.

Little change in intensity is expected during the next day or two as
Lala continues westward away from the main Hawaiian Islands and
south of the eastern portion of the Northwestern Hawaiian Islands.
Thereafter, the intensity guidance continues to indicate a
strengthening trend, with Lala forecast to regain hurricane
intensity around midweek as it begins to turn northwestward.
Although the cyclone will remain over warm waters, mid-level dry air
and increasing westerly vertical wind shear could limit the amount
of strengthening that occurs later in the forecast period.
Nevertheless, much of the guidance continues to show Lala
strengthening as it approaches portions of the Northwestern Hawaiian
Islands later in the week. The latest NHC intensity forecast is
similar to the previous advisory through midweek, then trends toward
the middle of the guidance envelope during the latter half of the
forecast period.

Key Messages:

1. Tropical-storm-force winds, especially in gusts, will persist
over Kauai County into the overnight period. The strongest winds
will occur over areas of higher terrain.

2. Rain will continue to taper off across the Big Island and Maui by
tonight, however additional areas of flash flooding and mudslides
will be possible. Heavy rainfall and the potential for flooding and
mudslides from Lala will continue across the rest of the island
chain through later tonight or early Monday.

3. Large waves generated by Lala will continue to impact exposed
shores of the Hawaiian Islands through tonight, with a gradual
downward trend expected from east to west by Monday. This heavy surf
may cause localized coastal flooding and significant beach erosion.

4. Use caution after Lala passes as deadly hazards remain, including
flooded areas and downed power lines. If you use a generator, be
sure it is placed outside at least 20 feet away from doors, windows,
and garages to avoid deadly carbon monoxide poisoning.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 17/0300Z 20.7N 161.6W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 17/1200Z 20.8N 163.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 18/0000Z 20.6N 165.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 18/1200Z 20.6N 167.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 19/0000Z 20.7N 168.9W 60 KT 70 MPH
60H 19/1200Z 21.1N 170.3W 65 KT 75 MPH
72H 20/0000Z 22.1N 171.8W 70 KT 80 MPH
96H 21/0000Z 23.9N 173.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
120H 22/0000Z 25.9N 173.6W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
Forecaster Gibbs/Evans

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 170236
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM HST SUN AUG 16 2026

...LALA HOLDING STEADY SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI COUNTY...
...OUTER BANDS OF LALA BRINGING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO
PORTIONS OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 161.6W
ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM W OF HONOLULU HAWAII
ABOUT 170 MI...270 KM WSW OF LIHUE HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LALA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 161.6 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH (26 KM/H). A WESTWARD MOTION IS
FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH (100 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE INTENSITY CHANGE IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO. SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THEREAFTER, AND LALA COULD
BECOME A HURRICANE AGAIN BY WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES (220 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB (29.36 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS, ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS, ARE ONGOING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF KAUAI COUNTY, WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING
IN AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN. WIND SPEEDS ATOP MOUNTAINS AND ON THE
WINDWARD AND LEEWARD SLOPES ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
THE NEAR-SURFACE WINDS INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND IN SOME
ELEVATED LOCATIONS COULD BE EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: OUTER BANDS FROM LALA ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS WINDWARD PORTIONS OF THE BIG ISLAND
AND WINDWARD MAUI, WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTALS OF 30 TO 40 INCHES OVER
THE WINDWARD BIG ISLAND. ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND CHAIN AN
ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED, WITH ISOLATED
ADDITIONAL TOTALS AROUND 6 INCHES. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE
FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH LALA,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

FOR A LIST OF RAINFALL OBSERVATIONS AND WIND REPORTS ASSOCIATED WITH
LALA, SEE THE COMPANION STORM SUMMARY AT WBCSCCNS2 WITH THE WMO
HEADER ACUS42 KWBC OR AT THE FOLLOWING LINK:
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/NFDSCC2.HTML.

STORM SURGE: WATER LEVELS MAY REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH THE NEXT TIDE
CYCLE DUE TO PERSISTENT LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVE ACTIVITY.

SURF: LARGE WAVES GENERATED BY LALA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT EXPOSED
WATERS OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT, WITH A GRADUAL
DOWNWARD TREND EXPECTED FROM EAST TO WEST BY MONDAY.
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 800 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS/EVANS=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 170236
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC MON AUG 17 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 161.6W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 50SE 50SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 120SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 161.6W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 160.9W

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.8N 163.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.6N 165.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 20.6N 167.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 20.7N 168.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 21.1N 170.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 22.1N 171.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 23.9N 173.9W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 100NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 25.9N 173.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 70SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 161.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 17/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS/EVANS=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 162354
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM HST SUN AUG 16 2026

...LALA CONTINUES WESTWARD TO THE SOUTHWEST OF KAUAI COUNTY...
...OUTER BANDS OF LALA BRINGING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO
PORTIONS OF THE SMALLER MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.8N 160.9W
ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM WNW OF KAILUA-KONA HAWAII
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM W OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR MAUI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS
OF MAUI, LANAI, MOLOKAI AND KAHOOLAWE, AND FOR OAHU HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LALA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 PM HST (0000 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 160.9 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH (31 KM/H). A WESTWARD MOTION IS
FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH (100 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE INTENSITY CHANGE IS EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY. SOME
RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THEREAFTER, AND LALA COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE AGAIN ON TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES (220 KM)
FROM THE CENTER. A WIND GUST OF 39 MPH (63 KM/H) WAS RECENTLY
REPORTED AT LIHUE AIRPORT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB (29.36 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS, ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS, ARE ONGOING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF KAUAI COUNTY, WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING
IN AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN. WIND SPEEDS ATOP MOUNTAINS AND ON THE
WINDWARD AND LEEWARD SLOPES ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
THE NEAR-SURFACE WINDS INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND IN SOME
ELEVATED LOCATIONS COULD BE EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: OUTER BANDS FROM LALA ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS WINDWARD PORTIONS OF THE BIG ISLAND
AND WINDWARD MAUI, WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTALS OF 30 TO 40 INCHES OVER
THE WINDWARD BIG ISLAND. ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND CHAIN AN
ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED, WITH ISOLATED
ADDITIONAL TOTALS AROUND 6 INCHES. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE
FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH LALA,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

FOR A LIST OF RAINFALL OBSERVATIONS AND WIND REPORTS ASSOCIATED WITH
LALA, SEE THE COMPANION STORM SUMMARY AT WBCSCCNS2 WITH THE WMO
HEADER ACUS42 KWBC OR AT THE FOLLOWING LINK:
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/NFDSCC2.HTML.

STORM SURGE: WATER LEVELS MAY REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH THE NEXT TIDE
CYCLE DUE TO PERSISTENT LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVE ACTIVITY.

SURF: LARGE WAVES GENERATED BY LALA WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT EXPOSED
WATERS OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH TONIGHT, WITH A GRADUAL
DOWNWARD TREND EXPECTED FROM EAST TO WEST BY MONDAY.
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE.
PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS=

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 162055
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 18
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Sun Aug 16 2026

The satellite presentation of Lala is highlighted by a large, curved
convective band that extends over the northern and eastern sides of
the storm. A small area of central convection obscures the low-level
center, and a large dry slot wraps around the southern and eastern
portions of the circulation. Objective and subjective satellite
intensity estimates have continued to decrease this morning, and the
initial intensity is set at 55 kt, in best agreement with recent
D-MINT and D-PRINT estimates from UW-CIMSS.

After moving northwestward for much of the morning, recent radar
fixes indicate Lala has sped up and begun its westward turn. A
subtropical ridge over the central Pacific should keep Lala moving
westward during the next couple of days. The track forecast for days
3-5 remains challenging. There is slightly better agreement among
the track guidance this cycle on the storm turning northwestward
later in the period as an upper-level trough induces a weakness in
the subtropical ridge. However, there is still a bifurcation of GFS
and Google Deep Mind ensemble solutions, with some members
continuing westward across the International Date Line. With the
overall track envelope shifting eastward this cycle, the updated NHC
track forecast lies to the right of the previous one at most
forecast times. This adjustment is in the direction of the latest
multi-model consensus aids and the Google Deep Mind ensemble mean.

Given Lala's disorganized structure, its proximity to the Hawaiian
Islands, and the drier environment surrounding the storm, little
change in strength is expected during the next 24 h. Once Lala pulls
away from Hawaii, warm SSTs along the forecast track could allow for
some reintensification. However, moderate west-northwesterly shear
and continued dry air in the environment could temper the amount
of strengthening that occurs. The NHC intensity forecast has been
nudged upward in the 36-72 h period and shows Lala becoming a
hurricane again by midweek. The forecast still lies below the
intensity consensus (IVCN), which is higher due to the stronger
hurricane regional model solutions.

Key Messages:

1. Tropical-storm-force winds, accompanied by gusts to near
hurricane strength, will persist over Maui County, Oahu, and Kauai
County today. The strongest winds will occur over areas of higher
terrain.

2. Rain will continue to taper off across the Big Island and Maui
this afternoon, however additional areas of flash flooding and
mudslides will be possible. Otherwise, heavy rainfall and the
potential for flooding and mudslides from Lala will continue across
the rest of the island chain through later tonight.

3. Large and dangerous waves are expected to persist across portions
of the Hawaiian Islands today. Surf is building along east-facing
shores and will increase along exposed southern shores as Lala
passes through the region. This heavy surf may cause localized
coastal flooding and significant beach erosion.

4. Use caution after Lala passes as deadly hazards remain, including
flooded areas and downed power lines. If you use a generator, be
sure it is placed outside at least 20 feet away from doors, windows,
and garages to avoid deadly carbon monoxide poisoning.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 16/2100Z 20.9N 160.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 17/0600Z 21.1N 161.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 17/1800Z 21.2N 163.7W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 18/0600Z 21.1N 165.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 18/1800Z 21.0N 167.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 19/0600Z 21.3N 169.6W 65 KT 75 MPH
72H 19/1800Z 21.9N 171.2W 70 KT 80 MPH
96H 20/1800Z 23.5N 174.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
120H 21/1800Z 25.0N 176.0W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 162054
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Lala Advisory Number 18
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Sun Aug 16 2026

...OUTER BANDS OF LALA BRINGING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO
PORTIONS OF MAUI COUNTY, OAHU, AND KAUAI COUNTY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 160.0W
ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM WNW OF KAILUA-KONA HAWAII
ABOUT 140 MI...220 KM W OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Maui County, including the islands of Maui, Lanai, Molokai and
Kahoolawe
* Oahu
* Kauai County, including the islands of Kauai and Niihau

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 6 to 12 hours.

Interests in the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument should
monitor the progress of Lala.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lala was
located near latitude 20.9 North, longitude 160.0 West. Lala is
moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A westward
motion is forecast through Tuesday night, followed by a turn toward
the west-northwest on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little intensity change is expected through Monday. Some
restrengthening is forecast thereafter, and Lala could become a
hurricane again on Tuesday or Wednesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Lala can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header HFOTCDCP2 and WMO header WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions, especially in gusts, are ongoing
across portions of Maui County, Oahu, and Kauai County, with the
strongest winds occurring in areas of higher terrain. Wind speeds
atop mountains and on the windward and leeward slopes are often up
to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations could be even greater.

RAINFALL: Outer bands from Lala are expected to produce additional
rainfall of 1 to 2 inches across windward portions of the Big Island
and windward Maui, with maximum storm totals of 30 to 40 inches over
the windward Big Island. Across the remainder of the island chain an
additional 2 to 4 inches of rainfall is expected, with isolated
additional totals around 6 inches. This rainfall may produce
flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Lala,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_cp2.shtml?rainqpf

For a list of rainfall observations and wind reports associated with
Lala, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS2 with the WMO
header ACUS42 KWBC or at the following link:
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html.

STORM SURGE: Water levels may remain elevated through the next tide
cycle due to persistent large and dangerous wave activity.

SURF: Swells generated by Lala will continue to build westward
across the exposed windward waters today. Swells will also build
over the exposed leeward waters as Lala passes south of the islands.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM HST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 162054
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC SUN AUG 16 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 160.0W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 50SE 50SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 150SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 160.0W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 158.8W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 21.1N 161.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 21.2N 163.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.1N 165.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 21.0N 167.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 21.3N 169.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 21.9N 171.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 23.5N 174.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 60SW 100NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 25.0N 176.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE 70SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 160.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 17/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 161746
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM HST SUN AUG 16 2026

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF MAUI
COUNTY AND OAHU...
...CONDITIONS DETERIORATING ACROSS KAUAI COUNTY...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.7N 158.8W
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM WNW OF KAILUA-KONA HAWAII
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAWAII COUNTY HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAUI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI, LANAI, MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE
* OAHU
* KAUAI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LALA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM HST (1800 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 158.8 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH (22 KM/H) BUT IS EXPECTED TO
TURN WESTWARD SOON. THEN, A CONTINUED WESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THE CENTER OF THE STORM IS FORECAST TO PASS
SOUTH OF KAUAI COUNTY TODAY AND MOVE SOUTH OF THE EASTERNMOST
NORTHWESTERN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS EARLY THIS WEEK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH (100 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLIGHT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO. SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BY MIDWEEK.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES (220 KM)
FROM THE CENTER. A WIND GUST OF 67 MPH (108 KM/H) WAS RECENTLY
REPORTED AT THE MARINE CORPS AIR STATION IN KANEOHE (PHNG).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB (29.36 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING ACROSS PORTIONS OF MAUI
COUNTY AND OAHU AND ARE SPREADING WESTWARD OVER KAUAI COUNTY, WITH
THE STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRING IN AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN. WIND
SPEEDS ATOP MOUNTAINS AND ON THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD SLOPES ARE
OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE NEAR-SURFACE WINDS
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS COULD BE
EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: LALA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3
INCHES ACROSS WINDWARD PORTIONS OF THE THE BIG ISLAND AND WINDWARD
MAUI, WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL OF 30 TO 35 INCHES OVER THE WINDWARD
BIG ISLAND. ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND CHAIN TOTAL RAINFALL
OF 2 TO 6 INCHES IS EXPECTED, WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS OVER WINDWARD
KAUAI. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND
MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH LALA,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

FOR A LIST OF RAINFALL OBSERVATIONS AND WIND REPORTS ASSOCIATED WITH
LALA, SEE THE COMPANION STORM SUMMARY AT WBCSCCNS2 WITH THE WMO
HEADER ACUS42 KWBC OR AT THE FOLLOWING LINK:
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/NFDSCC2.HTML.

STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD
REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED
AREAS IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

OAHU...1-2 FT
KAUAI...1-2 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHERE THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE INUNDATION,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK STORM SURGE GRAPHIC,
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY LALA WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD WESTWARD
ACROSS THE EXPOSED WINDWARD WATERS TODAY. SWELLS WILL ALSO BUILD
OVER THE EXPOSED LEEWARD WATERS AS LALA PASSES SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS.
THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 161455
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 17
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Sun Aug 16 2026

Lala is showing ill effects from land interaction with the Hawaiian
Islands and dry air intrusions this morning. The coverage of deep
convection has diminished and become displaced to the north of the
center. The southern half of the circulation is partially exposed in
proxy-visible satellite images, with drier mid-level air apparent in
water vapor imagery to the south of the storm. Radar data from
Kohala (PHKM) indicate bands of heavy rainfall continue across Maui
County and are beginning to reach Oahu. The initial intensity has
been lowered to 60 kt this morning, which is supported by a blend of
the data-T and final-T Dvorak numbers from HFO and JTWC and some of
the UW-CIMSS objective estimates between 55-60 kt.

The long-term motion of the storm is still northwestward (305/12
kt). Lala is expected to turn westward later today and continue
westward for the next couple of days along the southern extent of a
subtropical ridge to its north. The track models are in good
agreement on this portion of the forecast. The updated NHC track
prediction lies slightly north of the previous one, mainly because
the current position is north of the previous forecast track. The
longer-range track forecast is highly uncertain, with a bifurcation
in the track guidance related to whether a weakness develops in the
subtropical ridge to induce a northward turn. The ECMWF and UKMET
models show a westward motion through the period, while the GFS
depicts a sharp northward turn at days 4-5. For now, the NHC
forecast continues to split the difference and generally lies
between the simple (TVCN) and corrected (HCCA) consensus aids.

Given the current structure of Lala and the drier air surrounding
the storm, some additional near-term weakening is forecast. However,
the intensity guidance this cycle was more aggressive with
restrengthening during the middle part of this week, particularly
the hurricane regional models. The shear diagnosed from the SHIPS
guidance does not appear prohibitive, and SSTs along the track are
warm enough to support intensification if Lala can become better
organized within a slightly better mid-level moisture environment.
Therefore, the updated NHC intensity forecast has been increased
from 48-120 h, though it still lies below the simple intensity
consensus (IVCN).

Key Messages:

1. Strong wind gusts are expected to continue across the Big Island
of Hawaii this morning, particularly over areas of higher terrain.
Across portions of the smaller islands, tropical-storm-force winds
accompanied by gusts to near hurricane strength will persist through
today.

2. Rain will continue to taper across the Big Island and Maui this
morning, however additional areas of flash flooding and mudslides
will be possible. Otherwise, heavy rainfall and the potential for
flooding from Lala will continue to spread westward across the
island chain through today.

3. Large and dangerous waves are expected to persist across portions
of the Hawaiian Islands today. Surf is building along east-facing
shores and will increase along exposed southern shores as Lala
passes through the region. This heavy surf may cause localized
coastal flooding and significant beach erosion.

4. Use caution after Lala passes as deadly hazards remain, including
flooded areas and downed power lines. If you use a generator, be
sure it is placed outside at least 20 feet away from doors, windows,
and garages to avoid deadly carbon monoxide poisoning.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 16/1500Z 20.2N 158.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 17/0000Z 20.7N 160.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 17/1200Z 20.9N 162.8W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 18/0000Z 20.8N 165.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 18/1200Z 20.6N 167.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
60H 19/0000Z 20.7N 168.9W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 19/1200Z 21.0N 170.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
96H 20/1200Z 22.4N 174.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
120H 21/1200Z 23.5N 176.0W 75 KT 85 MPH

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 161454
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Lala Advisory Number 17
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Sun Aug 16 2026

...LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BIG
ISLAND OF HAWAII AND MAUI COUNTY...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS SPREADING OVER OAHU...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.2N 158.1W
ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM WNW OF KAILUA-KONA HAWAII
ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM S OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Hawaii County
* Maui County, including the islands of Maui, Lanai, Molokai and
Kahoolawe
* Oahu
* Kauai County, including the islands of Kauai and Niihau

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 12
to 24 hours.

Interests in the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument should
monitor the progress of Lala.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lala was
located near latitude 20.2 North, longitude 158.1 West. Lala is
moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h) but is expected to
turn westward later today. A continued westward motion is forecast
through Tuesday night. The core of the storm is forecast to remain
south of the smaller main Hawaiian Islands and the easternmost
Northwestern Hawaiian Islands during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts. Slight additional weakening is expected during the next day
or so. Some restrengthening is forecast by midweek.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center. A weather station (Ilio 1) on the northwestern
portion of Molokai at an elevation of 175 ft recently reported a
sustained wind of 53 mph (85 km/h) and a gust of 69 mph (111 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Lala can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header HFOTCDCP2 and WMO header WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions continue across portions of the Big
Island of Hawaii and Maui County, with the strongest winds occurring
in areas of higher terrain. Tropical storm conditions will spread
across Oahu this morning and Kauai County later today. Wind speeds
atop mountains and on the windward and leeward slopes are often up
to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds indicated in this
advisory, and in some elevated locations could be even greater.

RAINFALL: Lala is expected to produce additional rainfall of 1 to 3
inches across windward portions of the the Big Island and windward
Maui, with maximum storm total of 30 to 35 inches over the windward
Big Island. Across the remainder of the island chain total rainfall
of 2 to 6 inches is expected, with the highest totals over windward
Kauai. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and
mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Lala,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_cp2.shtml?rainqpf

For a list of rainfall observations and wind reports associated with
Lala, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS2 with the WMO
header ACUS42 KWBC or at the following link:
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Oahu...1-2 ft
Kauai...1-2 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast, where the
surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_cp2.shtml?peakSurge.

SURF: Swells generated by Lala will continue to build westward
across the exposed windward waters today. Swells will also build
over the exposed leeward waters as Lala passes south of the islands.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM HST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 161454
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC SUN AUG 16 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 158.1W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 50SE 50SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 180SE 180SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 158.1W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 157.6W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.7N 160.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.9N 162.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.8N 165.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 50SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 20.6N 167.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 20.7N 168.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 21.0N 170.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
// END PART 01 //=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 161150
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM HST SUN AUG 16 2026

...DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN CONTINUE ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND AND
MAUI COUNTY...
...CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE ACROSS OAHU THIS MORNING...

SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.9N 157.6W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM WNW OF KAILUA-KONA HAWAII
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM S OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR HAWAII COUNTY HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI, LANAI, MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE
* OAHU
* KAUAI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
TO 24 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LALA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 AM HST (1200 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 157.6 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH (24 KM/H). A GRADUAL
WESTWARD TURN WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY,
FOLLOWED BY A CONTINUED WESTWARD MOTION THROUGH TUESDAY. THE CORE OF
THE STORM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN SOUTH OF THE SMALLER MAIN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS AND THE EASTERNMOST NORTHWESTERN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH (110 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND IS FORECAST TODAY AND
MONDAY. SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BY MIDWEEK.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES (280 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB (29.27 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII EARLY THIS MORNING, WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS
EXPECTED IN AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL
SPREAD WESTWARD FROM MAUI COUNTY TO OAHU THIS MORNING, THEN TO KAUAI
COUNTY LATER TODAY. WIND SPEEDS ATOP MOUNTAINS AND ON THE WINDWARD
AND LEEWARD SLOPES ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE
NEAR-SURFACE WINDS INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND IN SOME ELEVATED
LOCATIONS COULD BE EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: LALA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND AND WINDWARD MAUI, WITH MAXIMUM STORM
TOTAL OF 30 TO 35 INCHES OVER THE WINDWARD BIG ISLAND. ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND CHAIN TOTAL RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES, WITH
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES, IS EXPECTED. THIS RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF
STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH LALA,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

FOR A LIST OF RAINFALL OBSERVATIONS AND WIND REPORTS ASSOCIATED WITH
LALA, SEE THE COMPANION STORM SUMMARY AT WBCSCCNS2 WITH THE WMO
HEADER ACUS42 KWBC OR AT THE FOLLOWING LINK:
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/NFDSCC2.HTML.

STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD
REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED
AREAS IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

HAWAII...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHERE THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE INUNDATION,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK STORM SURGE GRAPHIC,
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY LALA WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD WESTWARD
ACROSS THE EXPOSED WINDWARD WATERS TODAY. SWELLS WILL ALSO BUILD
OVER THE EXPOSED LEEWARD WATERS AS LALA PASSES SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS.
THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP
CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER REINHART=

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 160854
TCDCP2

Hurricane Lala Discussion Number 16
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Sat Aug 15 2026

Lala appears to have peaked in intensity earlier this afternoon
while passing near South Point of the Big Island. Since that time,
the hurricane has continued northwestward just offshore of the
Leeward Coast of the Big Island, while its satellite presentation
has gradually degraded. Despite the less organized appearance,
subjective Dvorak Current Intensity estimates from both HFO and JTWC
remain at 4.0/65 kt, which align with the latest objective estimates
from UW-CIMSS. Based on these estimates, the initial intensity is
held at 65 kt.

Lala continues to move northwestward just offshore of the Leeward
Coast of the Big Island, with an initial motion of 310/13 kt. A
gradual turn toward the west and an increase in forward speed are
expected on Sunday as the influence of the Big Island terrain
diminishes and Lala moves westward along the southern periphery of a
strong subtropical ridge. This general motion should continue
through early next week. By the middle of next week, a shortwave
trough moving across the northern Pacific is forecast to weaken the
ridge, causing Lala to slow and gradually turn toward the
west-northwest and northwest. Forecast confidence in the track,
however, begins to decrease by day 5 due to increasing cross-track
spread among the guidance. The latest NHC forecast lies close to the
Google DeepMind ensemble mean and multi-model consensus (HCCA) aids
throughout the forecast period.

Lala appears to have peaked in intensity earlier while passing near
South Point of the Big Island. The hurricane could maintain its
intensity for a few more hours, but weakening is expected by early
Sunday as Lala continues to pull away from the Big Island. Dry
mid-level air along with moderate vertical wind shear should
contribute to a deterioration of the convective structure and
support additional weakening. Some re-strengthening could occur
after 48 hours, and the NHC intensity forecast is close to the
previous advisory.

Key Messages:

1. Damaging winds are expected to continue on the Big Island of
Hawaii into the overnight hours, with the strongest wind gusts
expected in areas of higher terrain. Residents are urged to stay in
their shelter through tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds with gusts
to near or up to hurricane strength will persist across portions of
the smaller islands through Sunday.

2. Heavy rainfall, with life-threatening flooding and mudslides,
especially in areas of steep terrain, will continue tonight into
early Sunday over the Big Island and Maui. This heavy rain and flood
risk will continue to spread westward across the island chain
through Sunday.

3. Large and dangerous waves are expected to persist across portions
of the Hawaiian Islands through the weekend. Surf is building along
east-facing shores and will increase along exposed southern shores
as Lala passes through the region. This heavy surf may cause
localized coastal flooding and significant beach erosion.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 16/0900Z 19.6N 157.0W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 16/1800Z 20.1N 159.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 17/0600Z 20.5N 161.9W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 17/1800Z 20.5N 164.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 18/0600Z 20.4N 166.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
60H 18/1800Z 20.3N 168.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 19/0600Z 20.4N 170.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 20/0600Z 21.5N 173.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 21/0600Z 23.1N 176.1W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
Forecaster Gibbs/Evans

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 160852
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM HST SAT AUG 15 2026

...LALA REMAINS A HURRICANE AS IT BEGINS TO PULL AWAY FROM THE
BIG ISLAND...
...DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE BIG
ISLAND AND MAUI COUNTY OVERNIGHT AND SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS OAHU
AND KAUAI COUNTY ON SUNDAY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 157.0W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM W OF KAILUA-KONA HAWAII
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM SSE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAUI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI, LANAI, MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE
* OAHU
* KAUAI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 6
TO 12 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD NOW BE
COMPLETE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
TO 24 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LALA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 157.0 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH (24 KM/H), AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. A GRADUAL WESTWARD TURN
WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY, AS THE
CORE OF THE STORM REMAINS SOUTH OF THE SMALLER MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
AND THE EASTERNMOST NORTHWESTERN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH THE EARLY
PART OF NEXT WEEK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH (120 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THIS INTENSITY OF LALA IS FORECAST TO REMAIN STEADY
FOR A FEW MORE HOURS, FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND ON
SUNDAY AS LALA PASSES SOUTH OF THE SMALLER MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES (55 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
(280 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB (29.18 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: DAMAGING WINDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BIG ISLAND
OF HAWAII OVERNIGHT, WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED IN AREAS OF
HIGHER TERRAIN. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
WESTWARD FROM MAUI COUNTY TO OAHU INTO EARLY SUNDAY, THEN TO KAUAI
COUNTY THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY. WIND SPEEDS ATOP MOUNTAINS AND ON THE
WINDWARD AND LEEWARD SLOPES ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN
THE NEAR-SURFACE WINDS INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND IN SOME
ELEVATED LOCATIONS COULD BE EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: LALA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND AND WINDWARD MAUI, WITH MAXIMUM STORM
TOTAL OF 30 TO 35 INCHES OVER THE WINDWARD BIG ISLAND. ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND CHAIN TOTAL RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES, WITH
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES, IS EXPECTED. THIS RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF
STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH LALA,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

FOR A LIST OF RAINFALL OBSERVATIONS AND WIND REPORTS ASSOCIATED WITH
LALA, SEE THE COMPANION STORM SUMMARY AT WBCSCCNS2 WITH THE WMO
HEADER ACUS42 KWBC OR AT THE FOLLOWING LINK:
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/NFDSCC2.HTML.

STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD
REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED
AREAS IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

HAWAII...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHERE THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE INUNDATION,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK STORM SURGE GRAPHIC,
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY LALA WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD WESTWARD
ACROSS THE EXPOSED WINDWARD WATERS THROUGH SUNDAY. SWELLS WILL ALSO
BUILD OVER THE EXPOSED LEEWARD WATERS AS LALA PASSES SOUTH OF THE
ISLANDS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 200 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS/EVANS=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 160849
TCMCP2

HURRICANE LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC SUN AUG 16 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 157.0W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 90SE 50SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 180SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 157.0W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 156.5W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.1N 159.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 50SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.5N 161.9W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.5N 164.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 20.4N 166.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 20.3N 168.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 20.4N 170.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 21.5N 173.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 23.1N 176.1W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 157.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 16/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS/EVANS=

Original Message :

WTPA62 PHFO 160458
TCUCP2

Hurricane Lala Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM HST Sat Aug 15 2026

...HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES TO SPREAD ACROSS THE EASTERN MAIN
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...
...700 PM HST (0500 UTC) POSITION UPDATE...

Radar data indicate that the eyewall of Lala is located west of
South Point, Hawaii.

An observation at Kohala Ranch recently reported a sustained wind of
50 mph (80 km/h) and a gust of 77 mph (124 km/h).

Peak rainfall measurements over the last 12 hours are between 15 to
17 inches across windward Maui and the Big Island.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM HST...0500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.0N 156.3W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM W OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Evans

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 160420

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 16.08.2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION HERNAN ANALYSED POSITION : 16.0N 136.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP082026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 16.08.2026 0 16.0N 136.4W 1007 24
1200UTC 16.08.2026 12 16.4N 138.8W 1007 22
0000UTC 17.08.2026 24 16.6N 141.2W 1008 21
1200UTC 17.08.2026 36 16.6N 143.5W 1008 20
0000UTC 18.08.2026 48 CEASED TRACKING

HURRICANE LALA ANALYSED POSITION : 18.2N 155.7W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 16.08.2026 0 18.2N 155.7W 998 47
1200UTC 16.08.2026 12 19.3N 158.3W 1003 35
0000UTC 17.08.2026 24 20.4N 160.5W 1003 35
1200UTC 17.08.2026 36 20.7N 163.3W 1002 34
0000UTC 18.08.2026 48 20.6N 165.7W 1002 33
1200UTC 18.08.2026 60 20.5N 167.8W 1002 40
0000UTC 19.08.2026 72 20.5N 170.0W 1001 45
1200UTC 19.08.2026 84 20.6N 172.7W 1000 46
0000UTC 20.08.2026 96 21.3N 175.1W 1000 44
1200UTC 20.08.2026 108 22.0N 177.8W 1002 38
0000UTC 21.08.2026 120 22.7N 179.7E 1002 37
1200UTC 21.08.2026 132 23.2N 176.9E 1002 38
0000UTC 22.08.2026 144 23.7N 174.6E 1000 37
1200UTC 22.08.2026 156 24.2N 172.2E 997 40
0000UTC 23.08.2026 168 24.8N 170.3E 996 39

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 8.1N 92.8W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 17.08.2026 24 8.1N 94.1W 1007 27
1200UTC 17.08.2026 36 8.2N 96.9W 1007 26
0000UTC 18.08.2026 48 8.2N 100.1W 1006 27
1200UTC 18.08.2026 60 8.4N 103.0W 1007 24
0000UTC 19.08.2026 72 9.1N 105.5W 1007 24
1200UTC 19.08.2026 84 9.3N 108.2W 1007 23
0000UTC 20.08.2026 96 9.4N 110.8W 1007 23
1200UTC 20.08.2026 108 9.7N 112.6W 1007 24
0000UTC 21.08.2026 120 10.2N 115.4W 1006 27
1200UTC 21.08.2026 132 10.2N 117.5W 1006 25
0000UTC 22.08.2026 144 10.6N 119.5W 1006 23
1200UTC 22.08.2026 156 10.6N 121.6W 1005 24
0000UTC 23.08.2026 168 11.0N 123.5W 1004 27

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 35.6N 51.8W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 17.08.2026 36 35.6N 51.8W 1006 34
0000UTC 18.08.2026 48 36.5N 50.9W 1007 32
1200UTC 18.08.2026 60 38.6N 49.0W 1009 29
0000UTC 19.08.2026 72 41.2N 48.1W 1011 26
1200UTC 19.08.2026 84 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 23.6N 72.7W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 21.08.2026 132 24.5N 73.7W 1014 35
0000UTC 22.08.2026 144 25.5N 74.7W 1011 37
1200UTC 22.08.2026 156 27.1N 75.3W 1010 36
0000UTC 23.08.2026 168 28.6N 74.7W 1009 35

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 150 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+150 : 10.9N 109.7W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 22.08.2026 156 10.9N 111.4W 1006 26
0000UTC 23.08.2026 168 11.6N 113.7W 1005 27

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 160420

Original Message :

WTPA62 PHFO 160400
TCUCP2

Hurricane Lala Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
600 PM HST Sat Aug 15 2026

...HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES TO SPREAD ACROSS THE EASTERN MAIN
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...
...600 PM HST (0400 UTC) POSITION UPDATE...

Radar data indicate that the eyewall of Lala is passing near South
Point, Hawaii.

An observation at Kona Airport recently reported a sustained wind of
52 mph (84 km/h) and a gust of 71 mph (114 km/h).

Peak rainfall measurements over the last 12 hours are between 13 to
14 inches across windward Maui and the Big Island.

SUMMARY OF 600 PM HST...0400 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.8N 156.2W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SW OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Evans

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 160254
TCDCP2

Hurricane Lala Discussion Number 15
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Sat Aug 15 2026

Lala has strengthened a little more this afternoon as it passes just
south of the Big Island. The eye remains well defined in radar
imagery, with the northern eyewall currently brushing South Point.
Recent Doppler radar velocity estimates indicate that winds have
increased within the eastern eyewall, with upwards of 80 to 85 kt
around or just under 5,000 ft depicted. Based primarily on these
radar data, the initial intensity is raised to 70 kt for this
advisory.

Recent radar fixes indicate that Lala is moving northwestward, or
320/8 kt, as it continue to interact with the terrain of the Big
Island. Lala is now passing within 50 n mi of South Point on the Big
Island, where the interaction of the large-scale northeasterly flow
with the island terrain, along with a lee-side low northwest of the
hurricane, could support this motion persisting tonight. These
terrain-induced deviations may not be well represented by the
official forecast guidance. For this reason, the NHC forecast lies
to the right of the track guidance through 12 h. Thereafter, the
official forecast trends back toward the multi-model consensus
(HCCA) and Google DeepMind ensemble mean as Lala turns westward and
accelerates away from the Big Island on Sunday. This westward motion
is expected to continue through Tuesday. A shortwave trough moving
across the northern Pacific around the middle of next week may
weaken the ridge enough to allow Lala to turn toward the
west-northwest and then northwest, potentially approaching western
portions of the Northwestern Hawaiian Islands, but there remains
quite a bit of track guidance spread around day 5.

Lala could maintain its intensity during the next few hours while it
passes south of the Big Island, but weakening is expected shortly
thereafter. As the cyclone moves west of the island, entrainment of
dry mid-level air, along with the potential for downsloping flow
from the Big Island to enter the circulation, could disrupt the
cyclone's convective structure and contribute to weakening. Despite
the forecast weakening, Lala has a large wind field extending well
north of the center, and the interaction of this flow with the
terrain of the islands will continue to produce strong winds across
portions of the island chain as Lala passes south of the smaller
islands. Therefore, significant wind impacts could continue despite
the expected weakening trend. Some re-strengthening could occur
after 48 hours, and the NHC forecast is very similar to the previous
advisory.

NHC will continue to issue hourly position updates via the Tropical
Cyclone Update product (HFOTCUCP2) as long as the eye remains well
defined in radar imagery.

Key Messages:

1. Damaging hurricane-force winds are expected to continue on the
Big Island of Hawaii into the overnight hours, with the strongest
wind gusts expected in areas of higher terrain. Residents are urged
to stay in their shelter through tonight. Tropical-storm-force
winds with gusts to near or up to hurricane strength will
persist across portions of the smaller islands through Sunday.

2. Heavy rainfall will continue over the Big Island this
evening and then spread westward across the remainder of the
island chain tonight and Sunday. This rainfall will produce
life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of
steep terrain.

3. Large and dangerous waves are expected to persist across portions
of the Hawaiian Islands through the weekend. Surf is building along
east-facing shores and will increase along exposed southern shores
as Lala passes through the region. This heavy surf may cause
localized coastal flooding and significant beach erosion.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 16/0300Z 18.7N 156.0W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 16/1200Z 19.6N 157.7W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 17/0000Z 20.2N 160.5W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 17/1200Z 20.3N 163.1W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 18/0000Z 20.2N 165.1W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 18/1200Z 20.1N 167.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 19/0000Z 20.3N 169.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 20/0000Z 21.5N 172.4W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 21/0000Z 22.9N 175.2W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
Forecaster Gibbs

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 160253
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM HST SAT AUG 15 2026

...LALA'S EYEWALL BRUSHING THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BIG ISLAND...
...DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE BIG
ISLAND THROUGH TONIGHT AND SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS THE SMALLER
ISLANDS ON SUNDAY...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.7N 156.0W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SW OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 220 MI...350 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAUI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI, LANAI, MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE
* OAHU
* KAUAI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD NOW BE
COMPLETE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LALA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 156.0 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH (15 KM/H). SOME ERRATIC MOTION
REMAINS POSSIBLE INTO TONIGHT WHILE LALA INTERACTS WITH THE BIG
ISLAND OF HAWAII. AFTER PASSING THE BIG ISLAND, LALA IS EXPECTED TO
TURN WESTWARD ON SUNDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED, AS THE
CORE OF THE STORM REMAINS SOUTH OF THE SMALLER MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
AND THE EASTERNMOST NORTHWESTERN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH THE EARLY
PART OF NEXT WEEK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH (130 KM/H)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE INTENSITY OF LALA IS FORECAST TO REMAIN
STEADY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS THE HURRICANE REMAINS NEAR SOUTH
POINT OF THE BIG ISLAND. THEREAFTER, STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
LATER TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS LALA PASSES SOUTH OF THE SMALLER MAIN
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES (75 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
(280 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB (29.09 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
INTO TONIGHT, WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED IN AREAS OF HIGHER
TERRAIN. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD WESTWARD
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS FROM MAUI COUNTY AND OAHU
LATER TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT, THEN TO KAUAI COUNTY ON SUNDAY. WIND
SPEEDS ATOP MOUNTAINS AND ON THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD SLOPES ARE
OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE NEAR-SURFACE WINDS
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS COULD BE
EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: LALA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 20
INCHES ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND, WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 25 INCHES
POSSIBLE. AN ADDITIONAL 8 TO 12 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ACROSS WINDWARD
MAUI, WITH TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES, AND MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES,
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND CHAIN. THIS RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF
STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH LALA,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

FOR A LIST OF RAINFALL OBSERVATIONS AND WIND REPORTS ASSOCIATED WITH
LALA, SEE THE COMPANION STORM SUMMARY AT WBCSCCNS2 WITH THE WMO
HEADER ACUS42 KWBC OR AT THE FOLLOWING LINK:
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/NFDSCC2.HTML.

STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD
REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED
AREAS IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

HAWAII...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHERE THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE
INUNDATION, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK
STORM SURGE GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY LALA WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD WESTWARD
ACROSS THE EXPOSED WINDWARD WATERS INTO SUNDAY. SWELLS WILL ALSO
BUILD ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN SHORES AS LALA PASSES SOUTH OF THE
ISLANDS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 800 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 160252
TCMCP2

HURRICANE LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC SUN AUG 16 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 156.0W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 35NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 50SE 50SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 180SE 210SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 156.0W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 155.7W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.6N 157.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 50SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.2N 160.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...130NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.3N 163.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
34 KT...110NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.2N 165.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 20.1N 167.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 20.3N 169.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 21.5N 172.4W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 22.9N 175.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 156.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 16/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS

Original Message :

WTPA62 PHFO 160154
TCUCP2

Hurricane Lala Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
400 PM HST Sat Aug 15 2026

...HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES TO SPREAD ACROSS THE EASTERN MAIN
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...
...400 PM HST (0200 UTC) POSITION UPDATE...

Radar data indicate that the eyewall of Lala is nearing South Point,
Hawaii.

An observation near South Point around 550 feet elevation recently
reported a sustained wind of 51 mph (82 km/h) and a gust of 71 mph
(114 km/h). An observation site at South Point Park also reported a
sustained wind of 49 mph (79 km/h) and a gust of 73 mph (117 km/h).

Peak rainfall measurements over the last 12 hours are between 12 to
13 inches across windward Maui and the Big Island.

SUMMARY OF 400 PM HST...0200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.6N 155.9W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM S OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky/Evans

Original Message :

WTPA62 PHFO 160056
TCUCP2

Hurricane Lala Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
300 PM HST Sat Aug 15 2026

...DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN SPREADING ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII...
...300 PM HST (0100 UTC) POSITION UPDATE...

Radar data indicate that strong rainbands are spreading across the
Big Island, producing heavy rain and tropical-storm-force winds.

An observation near South Point around 550 feet elevation recently
reported a sustained wind of 50 mph (80 km/h) and a gust of 69 mph
(111 km/h). An observation site at South Point Park also reported a
sustained wind of 48 mph (77 km/h) and a gust of 63 mph (101 km/h).

SUMMARY OF 300 PM HST...0100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.5N 155.7W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SSE OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky/Evans

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 152356
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM HST SAT AUG 15 2026

...LALA CONTINUES NORTHWESTWARD AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE BIG
ISLAND TERRAIN...
...DAMAGING WINDS WILL PERSIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BIG ISLAND
INTO TONIGHT AND SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS THE SMALLER ISLANDS
THROUGH SUNDAY...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 155.7W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM S OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 250 MI...405 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAUI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI, LANAI, MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE
* OAHU
* KAUAI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD NOW BE
COMPLETE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LALA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 PM HST (0000 UTC), THE EYE OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 155.7 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH (13 KM/H). SOME ERRATIC MOTION
REMAINS POSSIBLE INTO TONIGHT WHILE LALA INTERACTS WITH THE BIG
ISLAND OF HAWAII. AFTER PASSING THE BIG ISLAND, LALA IS EXPECTED TO
TURN WESTWARD ON SUNDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED, AS THE
CORE OF THE STORM REMAINS SOUTH OF THE SMALLER MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
AND THE EASTERNMOST NORTHWESTERN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH THE EARLY
PART OF NEXT WEEK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH (120 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. INTENSITY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN STEADY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS AS LALA REMAINS NEAR SOUTH POINT OF THE BIG ISLAND.
THEREAFTER, SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS
LALA PASSES SOUTH OF THE SMALLER MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. SOME
RESTRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES (55 KM) FROM
THE CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES (280 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB (29.18 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP2 AND WMO HEADER WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
INTO TONIGHT, WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED IN AREAS OF HIGHER
TERRAIN. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD WESTWARD
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS FROM MAUI COUNTY AND OAHU
LATER TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT, THEN TO KAUAI COUNTY ON SUNDAY. WIND
SPEEDS ATOP MOUNTAINS AND ON THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD SLOPES ARE
OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE NEAR-SURFACE WINDS
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS COULD BE
EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: LALA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 20
INCHES ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND, WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 25 INCHES
POSSIBLE. RAINFALL OF 8 TO 12 INCHES IS EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN
MAUI, WITH TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES, AND MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES,
ACROSS WESTERN MAUI AND THE REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND CHAIN. THIS
RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES,
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH LALA,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

FOR A LIST OF RAINFALL OBSERVATIONS AND WIND REPORTS ASSOCIATED WITH
LALA, SEE THE COMPANION STORM SUMMARY AT WBCSCCNS2 WITH THE WMO
HEADER ACUS42 KWBC OR AT THE FOLLOWING LINK:
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/NFDSCC2.HTML.

STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD
REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED
AREAS IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

HAWAII...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHERE THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE
INUNDATION, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK
STORM SURGE GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY LALA WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. SWELLS WILL ALSO BUILD ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN SHORES AS
LALA PASSES SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS/EVANS=

Original Message :

WTPA62 PHFO 152256
TCUCP2

Hurricane Lala Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM HST Sat Aug 15 2026

...HEAVY RAINBANDS SPREADING ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII...
...100 PM HST (2300 UTC) POSITION UPDATE...

Radar data indicate that strong rainbands are spreading across the
Big Island, producing heavy rain and tropical-storm-force winds.

An observation near South Point around 550 feet elevation recently
reported a sustained wind of 42 mph (68 km/h) and a gust of 63 mph
(101 km/h). An observation site south of Volcano, Kealakomo, near
100 feet elevation has recently reported a wind gust of 48 mph
(77 km/h).

SUMMARY OF 100 PM HST...2300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 155.5W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SSE OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Evans

Original Message :

WTPA62 PHFO 152155
TCUCP2

Hurricane Lala Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1200 PM HST Sat Aug 15 2026

...LALA CONTINUES TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE BIG
ISLAND OF HAWAII...

...1200 PM HST (2200 UTC) POSITION UPDATE...

A sustained wind of 41 mph (66 km/h) and a gust of 59 mph (95
km/h) was recently reported at an observation site near South
Point around 550 feet elevation. An observation site south of
Volcano, Kealakomo, near 100 feet elevation has recently reported a
wind gust of 51 mph (82 km/h).

SUMMARY OF 1200 PM HST...2200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.2N 155.4W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM SSE OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Pierce/Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 152044
TCDCP2

Hurricane Lala Discussion Number 14
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Sat Aug 15 2026

Lala's radar and satellite presentation has improved since earlier
this morning, including a ragged eye appearing in visible and
infrared satellite images. The Dvorak intensity estimate from WFO
Honolulu increased to T4.0/65 kt at 1800 UTC, and radar data from
the South Point, Hawaii, site have been showing patches of
winds around 70 kt at 8,000 to 10,000 ft to the northeast of
the center. Based on this data, Lala was upgraded to a hurricane on
the 9 AM HST (1900 UTC) Tropical Cyclone Update, and the initial
intensity is still estimated to be 65 kt.

Recent radar fixes of Lala's center suggest the hurricane is
feeling the influence of the Big Island of Hawaii, and it's now
moving more slowly toward the northwest (305/7 kt). Dynamical model
fields continue to show the center getting pulled northwestward
into or near the Big Island later this afternoon while at the same
time a lee-side trough or broad low forms west of the island. This
will likely cause a discontinuous track that is not reflected in
the official forecast points or track forecast cone. This also
makes it unclear if Lala will actually make a landfall on the Big
Island. Whatever is left of the cyclone after interacting with the
Big Island is expected to turn westward on Sunday and continue on
that track through Tuesday. A shortwave trough moving across the
northern Pacific around the middle of next week may weaken the ridge
enough to allow Lala to turn toward the west-northwest and then
northwest, potentially approaching western portions of the
Northwestern Hawaiian Islands, but there is quite a bit of track
guidance spread around day 5.

Lala could strengthen a little more over the next few hours before
the circulation becomes disrupted by the Big Island. The
interaction is expected to cause the cyclone to weaken
significantly, and the NHC intensity forecast has been lowered a
bit while Lala moves south of the remainder of the main Hawaiian
Islands. Some re-strengthening could occur after 48 hours, and the
NHC forecast is closest to the Google DeepMind ensemble mean.

NHC will continue to issue hourly position updates via the
Tropical Cyclone Update product (HFOTCUCP2) as long as the eye
remains well defined in radar imagery.

Key Messages:

1. Damaging hurricane-force winds are expected on the Big Island of
Hawaii today, with the strongest wind gusts expected in areas
of higher terrain. Residents are urged to stay in their shelter
through tonight. Tropical-storm-force wind gusts are also
spreading across portions of the smaller islands and should
continue through Sunday.

2. Heavy rainfall will continue to overspread the Big Island this
afternoon and then spread westward across the remainder of the
island chain tonight and Sunday. This rainfall will produce
life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of
steep terrain.

3. Large and dangerous waves are expected across portions of the
Hawaiian Islands this weekend. Surf is building along east-facing
shores and will increase along exposed southern shores as Lala
passes through the region. This heavy surf may cause localized
coastal flooding and significant beach erosion.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 15/2100Z 18.2N 155.2W 65 KT 75 MPH
12H 16/0600Z 19.3N 157.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 16/1800Z 20.0N 159.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 17/0600Z 20.1N 162.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 17/1800Z 20.2N 164.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 18/0600Z 20.2N 166.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 18/1800Z 20.3N 168.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 19/1800Z 21.3N 171.1W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 20/1800Z 23.1N 173.2W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
Forecaster Berg

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 152043
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM HST SAT AUG 15 2026

...LALA SLOWING DOWN AND TURNING NORTHWEST AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT
WITH THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII...
...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ON THE BIG ISLAND THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.2N 155.2W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SSE OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAUI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI, LANAI, MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE
* OAHU
* KAUAI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD NOW BE
COMPLETE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LALA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 155.2 WEST. LALA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH (13 KM/H). SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS
LIKELY LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT WHILE LALA INTERACTS WITH THE BIG
ISLAND OF HAWAII. AFTER PASSING THE BIG ISLAND, LALA IS EXPECTED TO
TURN WESTWARD ON SUNDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED, WITH THE
CORE OF THE STORM STAYING SOUTH OF REMAINDER OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS AND THE EASTERNMOST NORTHWESTERN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH (120 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW
HOURS, BUT SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING IS LIKELY TONIGHT AFTER LALA
INTERACTS WITH THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES (55 KM) FROM THE
CENTER AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
(280 KM).

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB (29.18 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL STORM LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP2 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS, INCLUDING GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE,
ARE OCCURRING ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF
HIGHER TERRAIN. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ON THE BIG ISLAND
DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE SPREADING
WESTWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF MAUI COUNTY AND KAUAI, AND ARE EXPECTED
TO REACH KAUAI COUNTY ON SUNDAY. WIND SPEEDS ATOP MOUNTAINS AND ON
THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD SLOPES ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER
THAN THE NEAR-SURFACE WINDS INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND IN SOME
ELEVATED LOCATIONS COULD BE EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: LALA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 20
INCHES ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND, WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 25 INCHES
POSSIBLE. RAINFALL OF 8 TO 12 INCHES IS EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN
MAUI, WITH TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES, AND MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES,
ACROSS WESTERN MAUI AND THE REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND CHAIN. THIS
RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES,
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH LALA,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

FOR A LIST OF RAINFALL OBSERVATIONS AND WIND REPORTS ASSOCIATED WITH
LALA, SEE THE COMPANION STORM SUMMARY AT WBCSCCNS2 WITH THE WMO
HEADER ACUS42 KWBC OR AT THE FOLLOWING LINK:
WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/NFDSCC2.HTML.

STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD
REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED
AREAS IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

HAWAII...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHERE THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE
INUNDATION, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK
STORM SURGE GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY LALA WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. SWELLS WILL ALSO BUILD ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN SHORES AS
LALA PASSES SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BERG=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 152042
TCMCP2

HURRICANE LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC SAT AUG 15 2026

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 155.2W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 30SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 50SE 50SW 90NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 180SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 155.2W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 155.0W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.3N 157.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 50SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.0N 159.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.1N 162.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.2N 164.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 20.2N 166.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 20.3N 168.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 21.3N 171.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 23.1N 173.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 90NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 155.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 16/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG=

Original Message :

WTPA62 PHFO 151955
TCUCP2

Hurricane Lala Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 AM HST Sat Aug 15 2026

...LALA CONTINUES ITS APPROACH TOWARD THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
BRINGING GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL...
...1000 AM HST (2000 UTC) POSITION UPDATE...

A sustained wind of 41 mph (66 km/h) and a gust of 64 mph (102
km/h) was recently reported at an observation site near South
Point around 550 feet elevation.

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM HST...2000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 155.2W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SSE OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Pierce/Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTPA62 PHFO 151859
TCUCP2

Hurricane Lala Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
900 AM HST Sat Aug 15 2026

...LALA STRENGTHENS INTO A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE BIG
ISLAND OF HAWAII...
...900 AM HST (1900 UTC) POSITION AND INTENSITY UPDATE...

Recent radar and satellite data indicate that Lala has strengthened
into a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 75 mph (120 km/h).

A wind gust of 49 mph (79 km/h) was recently reported near
Kealakomo south of Volcano within the last hour.

SUMMARY OF 900 AM HST...1900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 155.1W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SSE OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Brown/Katz/Pierce

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 151755
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM HST SAT AUG 15 2026

...LALA A LITTLE STRONGER AND CLOSE TO HURRICANE STRENGTH...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING AND STRONG WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THIS WEEKEND...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 155.0W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SSE OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAUI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI, LANAI, MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE
* OAHU
* KAUAI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD NOW BE
COMPLETE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LALA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM HST (1800 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 155.0 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH (19 KM/H). SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS
LIKELY LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT WHILE LALA INTERACTS WITH THE BIG
ISLAND OF HAWAII. AFTER PASSING THE BIG ISLAND, LALA IS EXPECTED TO
TURN WESTWARD ON SUNDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED, WITH THE
CORE OF THE STORM STAYING SOUTH OF REMAINDER OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS AND THE EASTERNMOST NORTHWESTERN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH
THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.

RADAR AND SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH (110 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY, AND LALA IS EXPECTED TO
BE NEAR OR AT HURRICANE INTENSITY WHILE IT IS NEAR THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND ON SUNDAY, BUT SOME
RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BY LATE MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES (335 KM)
FROM THE CENTER. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 46 MPH (74 KM/H) AND A GUST TO
69 MPH (111 KM/H) WERE RECENTLY REPORTED AT PUULOA ON THE BIG
ISLAND OF HAWAII AT AN ELEVATION OF 3366 FT (1026 M). A WIND GUST
TO 40 MPH (64 KM/H) WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT THE DANIEL K. INOUYE
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN HONOLULU.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB (29.23 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL STORM LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP2 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII, WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN MAUI COUNTY LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT, ON OAHU TONIGHT AND SUNDAY, AND IN KAUAI COUNTY ON SUNDAY.
WIND SPEEDS ATOP MOUNTAINS AND ON THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD SLOPES
ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE NEAR-SURFACE WINDS
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS COULD BE
EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: LALA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 20
INCHES ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND, WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 25 INCHES
POSSIBLE. RAINFALL OF 8 TO 12 INCHES IS EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN
MAUI, WITH TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES, AND MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES,
ACROSS WESTERN MAUI AND THE REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND CHAIN. THIS
RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES,
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH LALA,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD
REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED
AREAS IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

HAWAII...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHERE THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE
INUNDATION, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK
STORM SURGE GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY LALA ARE STEADILY BUILDING ALONG
EAST-FACING SHORES AND WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. SWELLS WILL ALSO BUILD ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN SHORES AS
LALA PASSES SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BERG=

Original Message :

WTPA62 PHFO 151701
TCUCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM HST Sat Aug 15 2026

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WIND GUSTS SPREADING
ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII...
...700 AM HST (1700 UTC) POSITION UPDATE...

Tropical-storm-force winds gusts are occurring at elevated
locations on the Big Island with wind gusts approaching
tropical storm force at lower elevated locations. A wind gust to
38 mph (61 km/h) was recently reported at Hilo, Hawaii.

SUMMARY OF 700 AM HST...1700 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 154.9W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM SE OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Brown/Katz/Pierce

Original Message :

WTPA62 PHFO 151601
TCUCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
600 AM HST Sat Aug 15 2026

...BANDS OF RAINFALL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS SPREADING ACROSS THE BIG
ISLAND OF HAWAII AS LALA APPROACHES...
...600 AM HST (1600 UTC) POSITION UPDATE...

Tropical-storm-force wind gusts are occurring at elevated locations
on the Big Island and Maui. On the Big Island a wind gust of 45 mph
(72 km/h) was reported at Puuloa, and a wind gust of 44 mph (71
km/h) at Kamuela.

SUMMARY OF 600 AM HST...1600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 154.7W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SE OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Brown/Katz/Pierce

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 151453
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 13
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Sat Aug 15 2026

A ragged eye-like feature has formed in radar imagery from the
South Point, Hawaii, radar site, even though Lala's satellite
presentation has not improved much since the previous advisory.
Radar velocities are as high as 55-60 kt between 10,000 and 15,000
ft in deep convection to the northeast of the center. Along with
satellite estimates, these data support holding Lala's intensity at
55 kt.

Lala's current motion remains west-northwestward, or 285/11 kt, but
that is likely to change later today as the circulation begins to
interact with terrain of the Big Island. Dynamical model fields
suggest that the center may get pulled northwestward into or near
the Big Island later this afternoon while at the same time a
leeside trough or broad low forms west of the island. This may
cause a discontinuous track that is reflected in the official
forecast points or track forecast cone. After the cyclone
reconstitutes itself west of the Big Island, it is likely to turn
toward the west on Sunday and continue on that path for several
days due to high pressure north of the Hawaiian Islands. A
shortwave trough moving across the northern Pacific around the
middle of next week may weaken the ridge enough to allow Lala to
turn toward the west-northwest and then northwest, potentially
approaching western portions of the Northwestern Hawaiian
Islands.

Lala has about 12 hours left for some strengthening before the
center reaches the Big Island, and the NHC forecast continues to
show the storm becoming a hurricane near the southern coast of the
Big Island. Even if the storm only manages to strengthen slightly,
there is no practical difference between a 60-kt tropical storm and
a 65-kt hurricane, especially since hurricane-force gusts are
expected on the Big Island regardless. Weakening is expected after
the circulation interacts with the Big Island, and it will likely
take a few days for the storm to re-organize. Environmental
conditions appear conducive to support intensification in 3-5 days.
The intensity guidance has not changed much of this cycle, and the
new NHC forecast is very similar to the previous one.

Lala's center is sufficiently well defined in radar imagery that we
plan to start hourly updates at 6 AM HST (1600 UTC) via the
Tropical Cyclone Update product (HFOTCUCP2). These hourly updates
will continue as long as the center remains well defined in radar
imagery.

Key Messages:

1. Damaging hurricane-force winds are expected on the Big Island of
Hawaii later today, with the strongest wind gusts expected in areas
of higher terrain. Tropical-storm-force winds are already beginning
on the Big Island, and preparations should now be complete.
Tropical-storm-force wind gusts are also beginning across portions
of the smaller islands and should continue through Sunday.

2. Heavy rainfall will continue to increase over the Big Island this
morning and then spread westward across the remainder of the island
chain over the weekend. This rainfall will produce life-threatening
flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.

3. Large and dangerous waves are expected across portions of the
Hawaiian Islands this weekend. Surf is already building along
east-facing shores and will increase along exposed southern shores
as Lala passes through the region. This heavy surf may cause
localized coastal flooding and significant beach erosion.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 15/1500Z 17.8N 154.6W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 16/0000Z 18.7N 155.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 16/1200Z 19.9N 158.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 17/0000Z 20.3N 160.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 17/1200Z 20.5N 163.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 18/0000Z 20.6N 165.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 18/1200Z 20.7N 167.3W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 19/1200Z 21.6N 170.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 20/1200Z 23.5N 172.7W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
Forecaster Berg

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 151452
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC SAT AUG 15 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 154.6W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 40SE 30SW 150NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 180SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 154.6W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 154.1W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.7N 155.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 50SE 30SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.9N 158.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 60SE 40SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.3N 160.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...140NE 60SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.5N 163.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 60SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.6N 165.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 20.7N 167.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 21.6N 170.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 100NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 23.5N 172.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 154.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 15/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 151452
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM HST SAT AUG 15 2026

...OUTER RAINBANDS FROM LALA SPREADING OVER THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING AND STRONG WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THIS WEEKEND...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 154.6W
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SE OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 325 MI...520 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAUI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI, LANAI, MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE
* OAHU
* KAUAI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD NOW BE
COMPLETE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LALA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 154.6 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH (20 KM/H). SOME
ERRATIC MOTION IS LIKELY LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT WHILE LALA
INTERACTS WITH THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII. AFTER PASSING THE BIG
ISLAND, LALA IS EXPECTED TO TURN WESTWARD ON SUNDAY WITH AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED, WITH THE CORE OF THE STORM STAYING SOUTH
OF REMAINDER OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS AND THE EASTERNMOST
NORTHWESTERN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH (100 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY, AND LALA COULD BE
NEAR OR AT HURRICANE INTENSITY WHILE IT IS NEAR THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND ON SUNDAY, BUT SOME
RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BY LATE MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES (335 KM)
FROM THE CENTER. STRONG TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE
OCCURRING ON THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS FROM THE BIG ISLAND TO OAHU.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB (29.27 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL STORM LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP2 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE BEGINNING ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII, WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN MAUI COUNTY LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT, ON OAHU TONIGHT AND SUNDAY, AND IN KAUAI COUNTY ON SUNDAY.
WIND SPEEDS ATOP MOUNTAINS AND ON THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD SLOPES
ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE NEAR-SURFACE WINDS
INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS COULD BE
EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: LALA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 20
INCHES ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND, WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 25 INCHES
POSSIBLE. RAINFALL OF 8 TO 12 INCHES IS EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN
MAUI, WITH TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES, AND MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES,
ACROSS WESTERN MAUI AND THE REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND CHAIN. THIS
RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES,
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH LALA,
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC
AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD
REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED
AREAS IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

HAWAII...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHERE THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE
INUNDATION, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK
STORM SURGE GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY LALA ARE STEADILY BUILDING ALONG
EAST-FACING SHORES AND WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. SWELLS WILL ALSO BUILD ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN SHORES AS
LALA PASSES SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BERG=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 151148
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM HST SAT AUG 15 2026

...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE GUSTS OCCURRING ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AS LALA APPROACHES...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING EXPECTED ACROSS THE HAWAIIAN ISLAND
CHAIN THIS WEEKEND...

SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 154.0W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM SE OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 350 MI...565 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAUI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI, LANAI, MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE
* OAHU
* KAUAI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36
HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LALA. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR THE EASTERN PORTION OF THAT AREA LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 AM HST (1200 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 154.0 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH (20 KM/H). THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS,
TAKING THE CORE OF LALA NEAR THE SOUTH POINT OF THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII ON SATURDAY AND THEN SOUTH OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH (100 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST, AND LALA IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE BIG ISLAND LATER TODAY. A
WIND GUST TO 61 MPH (98 KM/H) WAS RECENTLY MEASURED AT PU'U MALI ON
THE NORTHERN SLOPE OF MAUNA KEA ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220 MILES (350 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB (29.27 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL STORM LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP2 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
LATER TODAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN MAUI COUNTY
TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON OAHU AND KAUAI
COUNTY BY SUNDAY MORNING. WIND SPEEDS ATOP MOUNTAINS AND ON THE
WINDWARD AND LEEWARD SLOPES ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER
THAN THE NEAR-SURFACE WINDS INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND IN SOME
ELEVATED LOCATIONS COULD BE EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: TROPICAL STORM LALA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 10 TO 20 INCHES ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MAUI, WITH 4 TO 6 INCHES AND MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
8 INCHES EXPECTED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND CHAIN. THIS
RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES,
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH
LALA, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD
REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED
AREAS IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

HAWAII...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHERE THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE
INUNDATION, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK
STORM SURGE GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY LALA ARE STEADILY BUILDING ALONG
EAST-FACING SHORES AND WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. SWELLS WILL ALSO BUILD ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN SHORES AS
LALA PASSES SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER BERG=

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 150833
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 12
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Fri Aug 14 2026

Lala has shown little change in convective structure over the past
several hours, although there have been some decent bursts of deep
convection over the circulation with cloud tops as cold as -75 C.
An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft measured peak 700-mb
flight-level winds of 58 kt in the northeastern quadrant and a
minimum pressure of 991 mb. Given the broad structure of the cyclone
and the overall satellite presentation, the initial intensity is
held at 55 kt.

The initial motion is west-northwestward, or 285/11 kt. A mid-level
high pressure system anchored north of the Hawaiian Islands should
continue to steer Lala generally west-northwestward during the next
several days. Some slowing of the forward motion is possible as the
cyclone approaches the Big Island and begins to interact with the
island's terrain on Saturday. Short-term deviations in the track are
also possible during this time. After passing near or over the
southern portion of the Big Island, Lala could make a subtle turn
toward the northwest in the lee of the island before resuming a
west-northwestward motion south of the smaller islands through the
remainder of the weekend. The latest NHC track forecast is very
similar to the previous advisory and remains close to the
multi-model consensus (HCCA) and the Google DeepMind ensemble mean.

Some additional strengthening is forecast during the next 12 h
while environmental conditions remain generally favorable. Although
mid-level dry air continues to be a limiting factor, the inner
circulation could become somewhat more compact and organized as Lala
approaches the southern portion of the Big Island. The NHC forecast
therefore continues to show Lala reaching hurricane strength near
the time it reaches the Big Island on Saturday. Interaction with the
island's terrain should then disrupt the low-level circulation and
result in weakening, with modest vertical wind shear providing
an additional negative influence later in the weekend as Lala
passes south of the smaller islands. Some re-strengthening is
forecast early next week as the cyclone remains over warm sea
surface temperatures. The latest NHC intensity forecast is similar
to the previous advisory and remains near the middle of the
guidance envelope.

Key Messages:

1. Damaging hurricane-force winds are expected on the Big Island of
Hawaii Saturday, with the strongest wind gusts expected in areas of
higher terrain. Preparations should be rushed to completion this
evening before tropical-storm-force winds begin.
Tropical-storm-force winds are also expected across portions of the
smaller islands this weekend.

2. Heavy rainfall will continue across the Big Island and spread
westward across the remainder of the island chain this weekend. This
rainfall will produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides,
especially in areas of steep terrain.

3. Large and dangerous waves are expected across portions of the
Hawaiian Islands this weekend. Surf is already building along
east-facing shores and will increase along exposed southern shores
as Lala passes through the region. This heavy surf may cause
localized coastal flooding and significant beach erosion.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 15/0900Z 17.8N 153.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 15/1800Z 18.2N 154.8W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 16/0600Z 19.3N 156.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 16/1800Z 20.2N 159.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 17/0600Z 20.7N 162.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
60H 17/1800Z 20.8N 164.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 18/0600Z 20.9N 166.6W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 19/0600Z 21.4N 170.0W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 20/0600Z 23.0N 172.5W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
Forecaster Gibbs

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 150831
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM HST FRI AUG 14 2026

...LALA FORECAST TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO THE BIG ISLAND
OF HAWAII ON SATURDAY...
...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS THE HAWAIIAN ISLAND CHAIN THIS
WEEKEND...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 153.5W
ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM ESE OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 375 MI...605 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAUI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI, LANAI, MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE
* OAHU
* KAUAI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36
HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LALA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 153.5 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH (20 KM/H). THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS,
TAKING THE CORE OF LALA NEAR THE SOUTH POINT OF THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII ON SATURDAY AND THEN SOUTH OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH (100 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST, AND LALA IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE BIG ISLAND SATURDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220 MILES (350 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 991 MB (29.27 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL STORM LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP2 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
ON SATURDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN MAUI COUNTY
SATURDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON OAHU AND
KAUAI COUNTY BY SUNDAY MORNING. WIND SPEEDS ATOP MOUNTAINS AND ON
THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD SLOPES ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER
THAN THE NEAR-SURFACE WINDS INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND IN SOME
ELEVATED LOCATIONS COULD BE EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: TROPICAL STORM LALA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 10 TO 20 INCHES ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MAUI, WITH 4 TO 6 INCHES AND MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
8 INCHES EXPECTED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND CHAIN. THIS
RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES,
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH
LALA, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD
REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED
AREAS IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

HAWAII...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHERE THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE
INUNDATION, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK
STORM SURGE GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY LALA ARE STEADILY BUILDING ALONG
EAST-FACING SHORES AND WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. SWELLS WILL ALSO BUILD ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN SHORES AS
LALA PASSES SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 200 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 150831
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC SAT AUG 15 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 153.5W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......190NE 0SE 0SW 150NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 180SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 153.5W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 153.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.2N 154.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...170NE 50SE 30SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.3N 156.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 70SE 40SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.2N 159.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.7N 162.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 70SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.8N 164.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 20.9N 166.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 21.4N 170.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 50SW 90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 23.0N 172.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 153.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 15/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 150554
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM HST FRI AUG 14 2026

...LALA FORECAST TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO THE BIG ISLAND
OF HAWAII ON SATURDAY...
...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS THE HAWAIIAN ISLAND CHAIN THIS
WEEKEND...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 153.0W
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM ESE OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 405 MI...650 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAUI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI, LANAI, MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE
* OAHU
* KAUAI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36
HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LALA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 PM HST (0600 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 153.0 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH (20 KM/H). THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS,
TAKING THE CORE OF LALA NEAR THE SOUTH POINT OF THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII ON SATURDAY AND THEN SOUTH OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH (100 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST, AND LALA IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE BIG ISLAND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220 MILES (350 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 991 MB (29.27 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL STORM LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP2 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
ON SATURDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN MAUI COUNTY
SATURDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN OAHU AND
KAUAI COUNTIES BY SUNDAY MORNING. WIND SPEEDS ATOP MOUNTAINS AND ON
THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD SLOPES ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER
THAN THE NEAR-SURFACE WINDS INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND IN SOME
ELEVATED LOCATIONS COULD BE EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: TROPICAL STORM LALA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND, WITH MAXIMUM
TOTALS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND. RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND CHAIN. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF
STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH
LALA, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD
REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED
AREAS IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

HAWAII...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHERE THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE
INUNDATION, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK
STORM SURGE GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY LALA ARE ALREADY BUILDING ALONG
EAST-FACING SHORES AND WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. SWELLS WILL ALSO BUILD ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN SHORES AS
LALA PASSES SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 150421

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 15.08.2026

TROPICAL DEPRESSION HERNAN ANALYSED POSITION : 15.7N 132.5W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP082026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 15.08.2026 0 15.7N 132.5W 1005 26
1200UTC 15.08.2026 12 16.1N 134.1W 1006 25
0000UTC 16.08.2026 24 16.4N 136.6W 1007 25
1200UTC 16.08.2026 36 16.4N 139.3W 1007 23
0000UTC 17.08.2026 48 CEASED TRACKING

TROPICAL STORM LALA ANALYSED POSITION : 17.8N 152.1W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 15.08.2026 0 17.8N 152.1W 996 44
1200UTC 15.08.2026 12 17.6N 154.0W 994 44
0000UTC 16.08.2026 24 18.6N 155.1W 991 50
1200UTC 16.08.2026 36 20.1N 158.7W 1000 40
0000UTC 17.08.2026 48 20.9N 161.2W 999 39
1200UTC 17.08.2026 60 20.9N 164.1W 998 41
0000UTC 18.08.2026 72 20.9N 166.5W 996 42
1200UTC 18.08.2026 84 21.2N 168.8W 994 62
0000UTC 19.08.2026 96 21.4N 170.9W 990 60
1200UTC 19.08.2026 108 21.7N 173.4W 992 56
0000UTC 20.08.2026 120 22.5N 175.8W 996 43
1200UTC 20.08.2026 132 23.3N 178.5W 998 45
0000UTC 21.08.2026 144 23.7N 178.4E 994 42
1200UTC 21.08.2026 156 24.2N 175.5E 994 48
0000UTC 22.08.2026 168 25.0N 172.9E 993 56

TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 5.5N 74.7W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 15.08.2026 0 5.5N 74.7W 1005 19
1200UTC 15.08.2026 12 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 34.4N 59.7W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 16.08.2026 36 34.4N 59.7W 1009 31
0000UTC 17.08.2026 48 33.9N 55.7W 1006 35
1200UTC 17.08.2026 60 35.0N 52.8W 1006 32
0000UTC 18.08.2026 72 35.7N 50.9W 1009 29
1200UTC 18.08.2026 84 38.2N 49.9W 1011 26
0000UTC 19.08.2026 96 41.5N 48.8W 1013 23
1200UTC 19.08.2026 108 45.0N 47.0W 1014 23
0000UTC 20.08.2026 120 46.7N 43.2W 1014 24
1200UTC 20.08.2026 132 48.9N 35.1W 1013 28
0000UTC 21.08.2026 144 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 156 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+156 : 36.4N 69.3W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 21.08.2026 156 36.4N 69.3W 1010 24
0000UTC 22.08.2026 168 36.6N 65.9W 1010 27

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 168 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+168 : 10.1N 120.1W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 22.08.2026 168 10.1N 120.1W 1006 24

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 150421

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 150259
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 11
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Fri Aug 14 2026

Lala has changed little in organization during the past several
hours, with most of the deep convection remaining over and north of
the center. However, data from NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane
Hunter aircraft indicate that the cyclone has strengthened some this
afternoon. Pressure observations from nearby NDBC buoy 51004 have
also been useful in assessing the cyclone as it passes close to the
station. Based on a blend of the aircraft data, buoy observations,
and overall satellite presentation, the initial intensity is set at
55 kt.

The initial motion is west-northwestward, or 290/10 kt. A mid-level
high pressure system anchored north of the Hawaiian Islands should
continue to steer Lala generally west-northwestward during the next
several days. Some slowing of the forward motion is possible as the
cyclone approaches the Big Island and begins to interact with the
island's terrain on Saturday. Short-term deviations in the track are
also possible during this time. After passing near or over the
southern portion of the Big Island, Lala could make a subtle turn
toward the northwest in the lee of the island before resuming a
west-northwestward motion south of the smaller islands through the
remainder of the weekend. The latest NHC track forecast is very
similar to the previous advisory and remains close to the mult-model
consensus (HCCA) and the Google DeepMind ensemble mean.

Some additional strengthening is forecast during the next 12 to 24 h
while environmental conditions remain generally favorable. Although
mid-level dry air continues to be a limiting factor, the inner
circulation could become somewhat more compact and organized as Lala
approaches the southern portion of the Big Island. The NHC forecast
therefore continues to show Lala reaching hurricane strength near
the time it reaches the Big Island on Saturday. Interaction with the
island's terrain should then disrupt the low-level circulation and
result in weakening, with increasing vertical wind shear associated
with an upper-level low providing an additional negative influence
later in the weekend. Some re-strengthening is forecast early next
week as vertical wind shear relaxes and Lala remains over warm sea
surface temperatures. The latest NHC intensity forecast is similar
to the previous advisory and remains near the middle- to upper-end
of the guidance envelope.

Key Messages:

1. Damaging hurricane-force winds are expected on the Big Island of
Hawaii Saturday, with the strongest wind gusts expected in areas of
higher terrain. Preparations should be rushed to completion this
evening before tropical-storm-force winds begin.
Tropical-storm-force winds are also expected across portions of the
smaller islands this weekend.

2. Heavy rainfall will reach the Big Island this evening and spread
westward across the remainder of the island chain this weekend. This
rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides,
especially in areas of steep terrain.

3. Large and dangerous waves are expected across portions of the
Hawaiian Islands this weekend. Surf is already building along
east-facing shores and will increase along exposed southern shores
as Lala passes through the region. This heavy surf may cause
localized coastal flooding and significant beach erosion.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 15/0300Z 17.6N 152.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 15/1200Z 18.0N 154.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 16/0000Z 18.8N 155.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 16/1200Z 20.0N 158.6W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 17/0000Z 20.7N 161.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
60H 17/1200Z 20.9N 163.8W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 18/0000Z 21.0N 166.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 19/0000Z 21.5N 170.0W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 20/0000Z 22.8N 173.3W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
Forecaster Gibbs

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 150258
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM HST FRI AUG 14 2026

...LALA FORECAST TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO THE BIG ISLAND
OF HAWAII ON SATURDAY...
...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS THE HAWAIIAN ISLAND CHAIN THIS
WEEKEND...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.6N 152.4W
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM ESE OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 440 MI...710 KM SE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR OAHU AND KAUAI COUNTY HAS BEEN UPGRADED
TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAUI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI, LANAI, MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE
* OAHU
* KAUAI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36
HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LALA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 152.4 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH (19 KM/H). THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS,
TAKING THE CORE OF LALA NEAR THE SOUTH POINT OF THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII ON SATURDAY AND THEN SOUTH OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH (100 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST, AND LALA IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE BIG ISLAND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220 MILES (350 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE, BASED ON NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT DATA AND NEARBY OBSERVATIONS FROM NDBC BUOY 51004, IS
ESTIMATED TO BE 995 MB (29.39 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL STORM LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCDCP2 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
ON SATURDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN MAUI COUNTY
SATURDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN OAHU AND
KAUAI COUNTIES BY SUNDAY MORNING. WIND SPEEDS ATOP MOUNTAINS AND ON
THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD SLOPES ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER
THAN THE NEAR-SURFACE WINDS INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND IN SOME
ELEVATED LOCATIONS COULD BE EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: TROPICAL STORM LALA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND, WITH MAXIMUM
TOTALS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND. RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND CHAIN. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF
STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH
LALA, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD
REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED
AREAS IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

HAWAII...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHERE THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE
INUNDATION, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK
STORM SURGE GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY LALA ARE ALREADY BUILDING ALONG
EAST-FACING SHORES AND WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. SWELLS WILL ALSO BUILD ALONG EXPOSED SOUTHERN SHORES AS
LALA PASSES SOUTH OF THE ISLANDS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 800 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 150257
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC SAT AUG 15 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 152.4W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT.......190NE 0SE 0SW 170NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 150SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 152.4W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 151.9W

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.0N 154.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...170NE 50SE 30SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.8N 155.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 70SE 40SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 20.0N 158.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 70SE 50SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.7N 161.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 70SE 50SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.9N 163.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 70SE 40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.0N 166.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
// END PART 01 //=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 142200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141800Z --- NEAR 17.0N 150.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N 150.3W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 17.8N 152.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 18.4N 154.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 19.4N 156.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 20.2N 159.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 20.6N 162.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 20.9N 164.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 21.5N 168.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 22.6N 171.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
142200Z POSITION NEAR 17.3N 151.1W.
14AUG26. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 318 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 141800Z IS 997 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
150400Z, 151000Z, 151600Z AND 152200Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08E (HERNAN) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PHNC)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 142035
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 10
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Fri Aug 14 2026

Lala is gradually becoming better organized. Satellite images show
that the circulation appears less elongated and deep convection has
increased some near the center. Despite the improved appearance,
the latest satellite intensity estimates suggest that Lala has not
strengthened yet. A very recent ASCAT-B pass showed maximum winds
around 40 kt north of the center, which is near most of the
objective and subjective satellite estimates. The initial intensity
is held at a possibly generous 50 kt. Both the NOAA and Air Force
Hurricane Hunters will be investigating Lala later today, and the
data they collect will be helpful to assess the storm's structure
and intensity.

Lala is moving a little faster to the west-northwest at 12 kt, and
this general motion is expected to persist during the next few days
as a mid-level high pressure system remains anchored north of the
Hawaiian Islands. When Lala is near the Big Island, short-term
deviations in the track are also likely due to local terrain
interactions, as depicted in many of the models. In fact, the model
trends and latest guidance now support a landfall on the Big Island
on Saturday. After Lala passes the Big Island, a continued
west-northwestward track south of the remainder of the islands is
expected Saturday night and Sunday. The NHC track forecast is
mostly unchanged from the previous one, and is based on a blend of
the latest Google DeepMind, HCCA, and TVCA aids, which have been
performing quite well for this storm.

Steady strengthening is expected during the next day or so since the
storm appears to be consolidating while environmental conditions
remain generally favorable. Lala is expected to become a category 1
hurricane when it reaches the Big Island. Once it interacts with
land, Lala is forecast to weaken back to a tropical storm and an
increase in shear, associated with an upper-level low, could also
contribute to weakening later in the weekend. Re-strengthening is
forecast early next week after Lala pulls away from the main
Hawaiian Islands. The latest NHC intensity forecast is similar to
the previous advisory and remains near the upper end of the
guidance envelope.

Key Messages:

1. Damaging hurricane-force winds are expected on the Big Island of
Hawaii Saturday, with the strongest wind gusts expected in areas of
higher terrain. Preparations should be rushed to completion today
before tropical-storm-force winds begin.

2. Heavy rainfall will reach the Big Island later today, and spread
westward across the remainder of the island chain this weekend. This
rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides,
especially in areas of steep terrain.

3. Large and dangerous waves, especially on the Big Island, are
expected this weekend, with the greatest impacts along exposed
windward and southern shores. This heavy surf may cause localized
coastal flooding and significant beach erosion.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 14/2100Z 17.2N 150.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 15/0600Z 17.8N 152.6W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 15/1800Z 18.4N 154.6W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 16/0600Z 19.4N 156.6W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 16/1800Z 20.2N 159.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
60H 17/0600Z 20.6N 162.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 17/1800Z 20.9N 164.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 18/1800Z 21.5N 168.3W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 19/1800Z 22.6N 171.8W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Pierce

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 142034
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM HST FRI AUG 14 2026

...LALA FORECAST TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO THE BIG ISLAND
OF HAWAII ON SATURDAY...
...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS THE HAWAIIAN ISLAND CHAIN THIS
WEEKEND...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 150.9W
ABOUT 340 MI...545 KM ESE OF SOUTH POINT HAWAII
ABOUT 535 MI...865 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAUI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI, LANAI, MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU
* KAUAI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36
HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 TO
48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LALA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 150.9 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH (22 KM/H). THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS,
TAKING THE CORE OF LALA NEAR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII ON SATURDAY
AND THEN SOUTH OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH (95 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
STEADY STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST, AND LALA IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE BIG ISLAND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195 MILES (315 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB (29.44 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL STORM LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCPCP2 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
ON SATURDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN MAUI COUNTY
SATURDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN OAHU AND
KAUAI COUNTIES BY SUNDAY MORNING. WIND SPEEDS ATOP MOUNTAINS AND ON
THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD SLOPES ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER
THAN THE NEAR-SURFACE WINDS INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND IN SOME
ELEVATED LOCATIONS COULD BE EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: TROPICAL STORM LALA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND, WITH MAXIMUM
TOTALS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND. RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND CHAIN. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF
STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH
LALA, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD
REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED
AREAS IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

HAWAII...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHERE THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE
INUNDATION, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK
STORM SURGE GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY LALA ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE EAST-FACING
SHORES OF THE STATE TODAY, SPREADING WESTWARD AND BUILDING THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PIERCE=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 142033
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC FRI AUG 14 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 150.9W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......170NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 150SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 150.9W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 150.3W

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.8N 152.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...160NE 50SE 30SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.4N 154.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 70SE 40SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.4N 156.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 70SE 50SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.2N 159.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 80SE 50SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.6N 162.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 70SE 40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.9N 164.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 21.5N 168.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 50SW 90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 22.6N 171.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 150.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 15/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 141731
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM HST FRI AUG 14 2026

...LALA SLOWLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...
...CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
BEGINNING EARLY SATURDAY...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 150.3W
ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 580 MI...930 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAUI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI, LANAI, MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU
* KAUAI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36
HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 TO
48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LALA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM HST (1800 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 150.3 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH (19 KM/H). THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE, TAKING THE CORE OF LALA
NEAR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII ON SATURDAY AND THEN SOUTH OF THE
SMALLER ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH (95 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST, AND LALA IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE BIG ISLAND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES (335 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB (29.44 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL STORM LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCPCP2 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
ON SATURDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN MAUI
COUNTY SATURDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN
OAHU AND KAUAI COUNTIES ON SUNDAY. WIND SPEEDS ATOP MOUNTAINS
AND ON THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD SLOPES ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT
STRONGER THAN THE NEAR-SURFACE WINDS INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND
IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS COULD BE EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: TROPICAL STORM LALA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND, WITH MAXIMUM
TOTALS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND. RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND CHAIN. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF
STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH
LALA, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD
REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED
AREAS IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

HAWAII...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHERE THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE
INUNDATION, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK
STORM SURGE GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY LALA ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE EAST-FACING
SHORES OF THE STATE TODAY, SPREADING WESTWARD AND BUILDING THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PIERCE=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 141600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141200Z --- NEAR 16.5N 149.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N 149.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 17.2N 151.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 18.0N 153.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 18.7N 155.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 19.6N 158.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 20.2N 160.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 20.7N 163.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 21.2N 166.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 22.3N 170.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
141600Z POSITION NEAR 16.7N 149.7W. 14AUG26. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA),
LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 397 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE AT 141200Z IS 997 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
141200Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142200Z, 150400Z, 151000Z AND
151600Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 141444
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 9
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Fri Aug 14 2026

Lala has remained relatively steady state overnight. The storm
continues to be asymmetric, with most of the deep convection and
tropical-storm-force winds on its north side. Earlier data from an
Air Force reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the minimum pressure
has been generally unchanged around 997 mb and the maximum winds
still near 50 kt. The aircraft data and an OSCAT pass from around
09Z indicate that the wind field has contracted, which could be a
sign that circulation is becoming more compact and might lead to
strengthening soon.

Lala is moving west-northwestward at 10 kt, and this general motion
is expected to persist during the next few days as a mid-level high
pressure system remains anchored north of the Hawaiian Islands. This
motion should take the core of Lala very near or over the Big Island
on Saturday. When Lala is near the Big Island, short-term
deviations in the track are also likely due to local terrain
interactions, as depicted in many of the models. After Lala passes
the Big Island, a continued west-northwestward track south of the
remainder of the islands is expected Saturday night and Sunday. The
NHC track forecast is mostly unchanged from the previous one, and is
based on a blend of the latest Google DeepMind, HCCA, and TVCA aids,
which have been performing quite well for this storm.

Steady strengthening is expected during the next day or so since the
storm appears to be consolidating while environmental conditions
remain generally favorable. Lala is still forecast to become a
category 1 hurricane when it reaches the Big Island. Land
interaction and an increase in wind shear should result in Lala
weakening back to a tropical storm as it moves south of the
remainder of the island chain later in the weekend.
Re-strengthening is forecast early next week as vertical wind shear
relaxes and Lala remains over warm sea surface temperatures. The
latest NHC intensity forecast is similar to the previous advisory
and remains near the upper end of the guidance envelope.

Key Messages:

1. Lala is forecast to strengthen and become a hurricane as it
approaches the Big Island of Hawaii on Saturday. A Hurricane Warning
remains in effect for the Big Island and a Tropical Storm Warning
has been issued for Maui County. Tropical Storm Watches have been
issued for Oahu and Kauai Counties. Winds are expected to be the
strongest in areas of higher terrain.

2. Heavy rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Lala will begin to
impact the Big Island today, spreading westward across the
remainder of the island chain during the weekend. This rainfall may
produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas
of steep terrain.

3. Large and dangerous waves, especially on the Big Island, are
expected this weekend, with the greatest impacts along exposed
windward and southern shores. This prolonged period of heavy surf
may cause localized coastal flooding and significant beach erosion.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 14/1500Z 16.7N 149.5W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 15/0000Z 17.2N 151.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 15/1200Z 18.0N 153.3W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 16/0000Z 18.7N 155.2W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 16/1200Z 19.6N 158.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
60H 17/0000Z 20.2N 160.4W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 17/1200Z 20.7N 163.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 18/1200Z 21.2N 166.9W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 19/1200Z 22.3N 170.9W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Pierce

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 141443
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM HST FRI AUG 14 2026

...NEW WATCHES AND WARNING ISSUED FOR THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 149.5W
ABOUT 420 MI...680 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 635 MI...1020 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR MAUI COUNTY HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR OAHU AND KAUAI COUNTIES.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAUI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI, LANAI, MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU
* KAUAI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36
HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 TO
48 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LALA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 149.5 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH (19 KM/H). THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE, TAKING THE CORE OF LALA
NEAR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII ON SATURDAY AND THEN SOUTH OF THE
SMALLER ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH (95 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST, AND LALA IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE BIG ISLAND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES (335 KM)
NORTH OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB (29.44 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL STORM LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCPCP2 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
ON SATURDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN MAUI
COUNTY SATURDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN
OAHU AND KAUAI COUNTIES ON SUNDAY. WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE
WINDWARD SIDES OF SLOPES AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT
STRONGER THAN THE NEAR-SURFACE WINDS INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND
IN SOME ELEVATED LOCATIONS COULD BE EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: TROPICAL STORM LALA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND, WITH MAXIMUM
TOTALS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND. RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE ISLAND CHAIN. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF
STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH
LALA, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD
REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED
AREAS IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

HAWAII...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHERE THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE
INUNDATION, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK
STORM SURGE GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY LALA ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE EAST-FACING
SHORES OF THE STATE TODAY, SPREADING WESTWARD AND BUILDING THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PIERCE=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 141443
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC FRI AUG 14 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 149.5W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 0SE 0SW 120NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 150SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 149.5W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 149.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.2N 151.2W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...170NE 50SE 30SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.0N 153.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 70SE 40SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.7N 155.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 70SE 50SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.6N 158.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...160NE 80SE 50SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.2N 160.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 80SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.7N 163.0W
// END PART 01 //=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 141151
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM HST FRI AUG 14 2026

...LALA FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE BIG
ISLAND OF HAWAII...
...CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO DETERIORATE THERE EARLY
SATURDAY...

SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 149.3W
ABOUT 435 MI...705 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 650 MI...1045 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAUI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI, LANAI, MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36
HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 TO
48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS, AND IN THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT, SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 AM HST (1200 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 149.3 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH (17 KM/H). THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE, TAKING THE CORE OF LALA
NEAR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII ON SATURDAY AND THEN SOUTH OF THE
SMALLER ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH (95 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST, AND LALA IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE BIG ISLAND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES (445 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB (29.44 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL STORM LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCPCP2 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
BY EARLY SATURDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN MAUI
COUNTY BY LATE SATURDAY. WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD
SIDES OF SLOPES AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER
THAN THE NEAR-SURFACE WINDS INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND IN SOME
ELEVATED LOCATIONS COULD BE EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: TROPICAL STORM LALA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS
OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4
TO 6 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
THE ISLAND CHAIN. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH
LALA, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD
REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED
AREAS IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

HAWAII...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHERE THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE
INUNDATION, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK
STORM SURGE GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY LALA ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE EAST-FACING
SHORES OF THE STATE ON FRIDAY, SPREADING WESTWARD AND BUILDING
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PIERCE=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 141000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140600Z --- NEAR 16.2N 147.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N 147.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 16.9N 150.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 17.6N 152.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 18.3N 154.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 19.2N 156.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 20.1N 159.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 20.7N 162.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 21.4N 166.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 22.5N 170.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
141000Z POSITION NEAR 16.4N 148.6W. 14AUG26. TROPICAL STORM 01C
(LALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 461 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS
TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 140600Z IS 997 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141600Z, 142200Z,
150400Z AND 151000Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 140836
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 8
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Thu Aug 13 2026

Lala has shown little change in organization over the past several
hours. Most of the deep convection remains confined to the northern
portion of the circulation, with little deep convection occurring
south of the center. Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
investigating Lala has measured peak 850-mb flight-level winds of 55
kt. In addition, 0621 UTC METOP-B and 0645 UTC METOP-C scatterometer
passes provided useful information for adjusting the
tropical-storm-force wind radii and confirmed the highly asymmetric
nature of the circulation, with much weaker winds across the
southern semicircle. Based on all of the available data, the initial
intensity is held at a generous 50 kt for this advisory.

The initial motion estimate is west-northwestward, or 290/9 kt. The
overall track forecast philosophy remains largely unchanged. A
strong mid-level ridge north of the Hawaiian Islands should continue
to steer the cyclone west-northwestward during the next several
days. The cyclone's forward motion is forecast to slow somewhat as
it approaches and begins to interact with the terrain of the Big
Island on Saturday. Some short-term deviations in the track are also
possible during this time due to these terrain interactions. Lala
should then resume a faster west-northwestward motion as it passes
south of the smaller islands through the remainder of the weekend,
and south of the Northwestern Hawaiian Islands Sunday night into
early next week. The latest NHC track forecast is very similar to
the previous advisory and remains close to the multi-model consensus
(HCCA) and Google DeepMind ensemble mean.

Environmental conditions are expected to remain generally favorable
for strengthening during the next couple of days, with the primary
limiting factor being the dry mid-level air that continues to be
entrained into the cyclone's large circulation. Steady strengthening
is forecast, and Lala is expected to become a hurricane as it
approaches the Big Island on Saturday. Interaction with the terrain
of the Big Island could result in short-term changes in the
cyclone's structure and intensity during its closest approach.
Thereafter, a progressively drier mid-level environment, along with
some increase in westerly vertical wind shear, should result in
weakening as Lala passes south of the smaller islands through the
remainder of the weekend. Some re-strengthening is forecast early
next week as vertical wind shear relaxes and Lala remains over warm
sea surface temperatures. The latest NHC intensity forecast is
similar to the previous advisory and remains near the middle to
upper end of the guidance envelope.

Key Messages:

1. Lala is forecast to strengthen and become a hurricane as it
approaches the Big Island of Hawaii by early Saturday. A Hurricane
Warning remains in effect for the Big Island and a Tropical Storm
Watch is in effect for Maui County. Winds are expected to be the
strongest in areas of higher terrain.

2. Heavy rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Lala will begin to
impact the Big Island Friday, spreading westward across the
remainder of the island chain during the weekend. This rainfall may
produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas
of steep terrain.

3. Large and dangerous waves, especially on the Big Island, are
expected this weekend, with the greatest impacts along exposed
windward and southern shores. This prolonged period of heavy surf
may cause localized coastal flooding and significant beach erosion.

4. Interests elsewhere in Hawaii should monitor the progress of
Lala, and Tropical Storm Watches or Warnings could be required on
Friday.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 14/0900Z 16.7N 148.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 14/1800Z 16.9N 150.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 15/0600Z 17.6N 152.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 15/1800Z 18.3N 154.1W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 16/0600Z 19.2N 156.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 16/1800Z 20.1N 159.4W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 17/0600Z 20.7N 162.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 18/0600Z 21.4N 166.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 19/0600Z 22.5N 170.5W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
Forecaster Gibbs

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 140832
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM HST THU AUG 13 2026

...LALA HOLDING STEADY TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE BIG ISLAND
OF HAWAII...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 148.9W
ABOUT 455 MI...735 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 670 MI...1075 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAUI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI, LANAI, MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36
HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 TO
48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS, AND IN THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT, SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 148.9 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH (17 KM/H). A
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS,
WITH SOME SLOWING IN FORWARD SPEED AS LALA APPROACHES THE BIG ISLAND
ON SATURDAY, FOLLOWED BY AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED LATER IN THE
WEEKEND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH (95 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
STEADY STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST, AND LALA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE BIG ISLAND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES (445 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA IS 997 MB (29.44 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL STORM LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCPCP2 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
BY EARLY SATURDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN MAUI
COUNTY BY LATE SATURDAY. WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD
SIDES OF SLOPES AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER
THAN THE NEAR-SURFACE WINDS INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND IN SOME
ELEVATED LOCATIONS COULD BE EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: TROPICAL STORM LALA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS
OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4
TO 6 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
THE ISLAND CHAIN. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH
LALA, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD
REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED
AREAS IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

HAWAII...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHERE THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE
INUNDATION, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK
STORM SURGE GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY LALA ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE EAST-FACING
SHORES OF THE STATE ON FRIDAY, SPREADING WESTWARD AND BUILDING
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 140832
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC FRI AUG 14 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 148.9W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT.......110NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......240NE 0SE 0SW 140NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 150SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 148.9W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 147.9W

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.9N 150.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...230NE 40SE 0SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.6N 152.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...230NE 70SE 30SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.3N 154.1W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...210NE 70SE 40SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.2N 156.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...180NE 80SE 40SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.1N 159.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 20SE 10SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 80SE 50SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.7N 162.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 20SE 10SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 21.4N 166.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 22.5N 170.5W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 148.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 140559
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM HST THU AUG 13 2026

...LALA HOLDING STEADY...
...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE BIG ISLAND
OF HAWAII...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM HST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 147.9W
ABOUT 530 MI...855 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 740 MI...1195 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAUI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI, LANAI, MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36
HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 TO
48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS, AND IN THE
PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT, SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 PM HST (0600 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 147.9 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH (19 KM/H). A
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS,
WITH SOME SLOWING IN FORWARD SPEED AS LALA APPROACHES THE BIG ISLAND
ON SATURDAY, FOLLOWED BY AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED LATER IN THE
WEEKEND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH (95 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST, AND LALA IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE BIG ISLAND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES (445 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA IS 997 MB (29.44 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL STORM LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCPCP2 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
BY EARLY SATURDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN MAUI
COUNTY BY LATE SATURDAY. WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD
SIDES OF SLOPES AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER
THAN THE NEAR-SURFACE WINDS INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND IN SOME
ELEVATED LOCATIONS COULD BE EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: TROPICAL STORM LALA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS
OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4
TO 6 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
THE ISLAND CHAIN. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH
LALA, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD
REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED
AREAS IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

HAWAII...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHERE THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE
INUNDATION, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK
STORM SURGE GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY LALA ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE
EAST-FACING SHORES OF THE STATE ON FRIDAY, SPREADING WESTWARD
AND BUILDING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 140421

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 14.08.2026

TROPICAL STORM HERNAN ANALYSED POSITION : 17.1N 132.3W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP082026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 14.08.2026 0 17.1N 132.3W 1004 33
1200UTC 14.08.2026 12 15.7N 132.8W 1006 25
0000UTC 15.08.2026 24 15.4N 133.7W 1006 25
1200UTC 15.08.2026 36 CEASED TRACKING

TROPICAL STORM LALA ANALYSED POSITION : 16.3N 147.2W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 14.08.2026 0 16.3N 147.2W 999 36
1200UTC 14.08.2026 12 16.7N 149.5W 999 32
0000UTC 15.08.2026 24 17.3N 151.8W 1000 36
1200UTC 15.08.2026 36 17.7N 154.0W 999 41
0000UTC 16.08.2026 48 18.2N 155.3W 1000 43
1200UTC 16.08.2026 60 18.4N 159.3W 1005 42
0000UTC 17.08.2026 72 20.0N 161.6W 1004 33
1200UTC 17.08.2026 84 20.8N 163.5W 1002 33
0000UTC 18.08.2026 96 20.5N 166.2W 1000 33
1200UTC 18.08.2026 108 20.7N 168.5W 1000 42
0000UTC 19.08.2026 120 21.0N 170.7W 1000 46
1200UTC 19.08.2026 132 21.3N 173.2W 1001 45
0000UTC 20.08.2026 144 21.8N 175.9W 1001 43
1200UTC 20.08.2026 156 22.5N 179.1W 1000 42
0000UTC 21.08.2026 168 22.8N 177.3E 995 42

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 30.2N 55.5W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 18.08.2026 96 30.7N 54.3W 1012 25
1200UTC 18.08.2026 108 32.1N 52.9W 1013 24
0000UTC 19.08.2026 120 33.6N 51.2W 1016 22
1200UTC 19.08.2026 132 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 17.1N 56.8W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 18.08.2026 108 17.1N 56.8W 1013 24
0000UTC 19.08.2026 120 18.4N 58.3W 1014 25
1200UTC 19.08.2026 132 19.2N 60.4W 1014 26
0000UTC 20.08.2026 144 20.0N 62.1W 1015 27
1200UTC 20.08.2026 156 20.6N 64.3W 1015 28
0000UTC 21.08.2026 168 21.4N 67.0W 1014 28

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 162 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+162 : 36.9N 71.9W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 21.08.2026 168 37.8N 68.8W 1008 26

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 140421

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 140400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
131800Z --- NEAR 15.2N 145.7W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N 145.7W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 16.1N 147.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 16.9N 150.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 17.5N 152.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 18.2N 154.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 19.0N 157.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 19.8N 160.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 21.1N 165.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 22.3N 169.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
132200Z POSITION NEAR 15.5N 146.4W.
13AUG26. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 602 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 131800Z IS 1000 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
141000Z AND 142200Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 140251
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 7
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Thu Aug 13 2026

Lala continues to steadily intensify. While the associated central
convection has changed little over the past several hours, aircraft
data show that the peak 700 mb flight-level winds have increased to
61 kt, and the pressure has dropped to 997 mb, although with a
surface dropsonde wind of 49 kt. Based on these data, the initial
intensity is raised to 50 kt for this advisory.

The initial motion estimate is west-northwestward, or 295/10 kt.
The overall track forecast philosophy remains largely unchanged. A
strong mid-level ridge north of the Hawaiian Islands should continue
to steer the cyclone west-northwestward during the next several
days. The cyclone's forward motion is forecast to slow somewhat as
it approaches and begins to interact with the terrain of the Big
Island on Saturday. Some short-term deviations in the track are
also possible during this time due to these terrain interactions.
Lala should then resume a faster west-northwestward motion as it
passes south of the smaller islands through the remainder of the
weekend, and south of the Northwestern Hawaiian Islands Sunday night
into early next week. The latest NHC track forecast is very similar
to the previous advisory, except for a slight northward adjustment
in the lee of the Big Island, and lies close to the multi-model
consensus (HCCA) and Google DeepMind ensemble mean.

Environmental conditions are expected to remain generally favorable
for strengthening during the next couple of days, with the primary
limiting factor being the dry mid-level air that continues to be
entrained into the cyclone's large circulation. Steady
strengthening is forecast, and Lala is expected to become a
hurricane as it approaches the Big Island on Saturday. Interaction
with the terrain of the Big Island could result in short-term
changes in the cyclone's structure and intensity during its closest
approach. Thereafter, an upper-level low is forecast to produce
increasing vertical wind shear with increasing dry air continuing to
entrain into the circulation as Lala passes south of the smaller
islands, which should result in some weakening through the remainder
of the weekend. Re-strengthening is forecast early next week as the
cyclone moves away from the Hawaiian Islands and into a more
favorable environment. The latest NHC intensity forecast is similar
to the previous advisory and remains near the middle to upper end of
the guidance envelope.

Key Messages:

1. Lala is forecast to strengthen and become a hurricane as it
approaches the Big Island of Hawaii by early Saturday. A Hurricane
Warning is now in effect for the Big Island and a Tropical Storm
Watch is in effect for Maui County. Winds are expected to be the
strongest in areas of higher terrain.

2. Heavy rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Lala will begin to
impact the Big Island Friday, spreading westward across the
remainder of the island chain during the weekend. This rainfall may
produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas
of steep terrain.

3. Large and dangerous waves, especially on the Big Island, are
expected this weekend, with the greatest impacts along exposed
windward and southern shores. This prolonged period of heavy surf
may cause localized coastal flooding and significant beach erosion.

4. Interests elsewhere in Hawaii should monitor the progress of
Lala, and Tropical Storm Watches or Warnings could be required on
Friday.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 14/0300Z 16.2N 147.5W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 14/1200Z 16.8N 149.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 15/0000Z 17.6N 151.6W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 15/1200Z 18.2N 153.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 16/0000Z 18.8N 155.6W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 16/1200Z 19.9N 158.3W 65 KT 75 MPH
72H 17/0000Z 20.6N 161.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 18/0000Z 21.7N 165.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 19/0000Z 22.6N 170.0W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
Forecaster Gibbs

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 140248
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM HST THU AUG 13 2026

...LALA STEADILY STRENGTHENING...
...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE BIG ISLAND
OF HAWAII...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 147.5W
ABOUT 555 MI...890 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 765 MI...1230 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR HAWAII COUNTY HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A
HURRICANE WARNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR MAUI COUNTY, INCLUDING
THE ISLANDS OF MAUI, LANAI, MOLOKAI AND KAHOOLAWE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAUI COUNTY, INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI, LANAI, MOLOKAI AND
KAHOOLAWE

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36
HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
// END PART 01 //=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 140248
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC FRI AUG 14 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 147.5W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......240NE 0SE 0SW 200NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 210SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 147.5W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 147.0W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.8N 149.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 60SE 0SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.6N 151.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...230NE 70SE 30SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.2N 153.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...210NE 70SE 40SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.8N 155.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...180NE 80SE 40SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.9N 158.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 80SE 50SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.6N 161.1W
// END PART 01 //=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 132343
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM HST THU AUG 13 2026

...LALA GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING...
...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE BIG ISLAND
OF HAWAII...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM HST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 146.7W
ABOUT 620 MI...1000 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 830 MI...1340 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 200 PM HST (0000 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 146.7 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH (17 KM/H). A FASTER
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK, LALA IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF
THE BIG ISLAND ON SATURDAY, AND PASS SOUTH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE
ISLANDS LATER IN THE WEEKEND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH (85 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
STEADY STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST, AND LALA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE BIG ISLAND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES (335 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB (29.50 INCHES)
BASED ON NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER DATA.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL STORM LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCPCP2 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
BY EARLY SATURDAY. WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES OF
HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE
NEAR-SURFACE WINDS INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND IN SOME ELEVATED
LOCATIONS COULD BE EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: TROPICAL STORM LALA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS
OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
THE ISLAND CHAIN. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH
LALA, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD
REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED
AREAS IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

HAWAII...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHERE THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE
INUNDATION, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK
STORM SURGE GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY LALA ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE
EAST-FACING SHORES OF THE STATE ON FRIDAY, SPREADING WESTWARD
AND BUILDING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER GIBBS=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 132200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
131800Z --- NEAR 15.2N 145.7W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N 145.7W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 16.1N 147.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 16.9N 150.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 17.5N 152.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 18.2N 154.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 19.0N 157.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 19.8N 160.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 21.1N 165.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 22.3N 169.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
132200Z POSITION NEAR 15.5N 146.4W.
13AUG26. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 602 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 131800Z IS
1001 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 140400Z, 141000Z, 141600Z AND 142200Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 132055
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 6
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Thu Aug 13 2026

Tropical Storm Lala has strengthened a little this morning. A very
recent ASCAT-B pass showed peak winds of about 40 kt north of the
center, and data from an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft indicate
that the minimum pressure is around 1000 mb. Based on a combination
of aircraft, scatterometer, and satellite data, the initial
intensity is nudged upward to 40 kt. The storm's wind field is
quite asymmetric with all of its tropical-storm-force winds
occurring north of the center. Additional data from the Air Force
and NOAA Hurricane Hunters will be helpful to further assess Lala's
intensity over the next couple of days.

Lala has slowed down a bit and turned to the west-northwest. A
large mid-level high pressure system located to the north of the
Hawaiian Islands should keep Lala on a west-northwestward track,
taking the core of the system near the Big Island by early Saturday.
Lala will very likely pass south of the remainder of the main
Hawaiian Islands later in the weekend. The spread in the guidance
has increased a little this cycle, with the GFS shifting south of
the previous run while the Google DeepMind remains unchanged on
the north side of the guidance envelope. Based on a blend of the
latest Google DeepMind, HCCA, and TVCA aids, the NHC track forecast
is largely an update of the previous one. It is important to note,
that the NHC 48-h track error is about 50 to 60 miles.

Lala is likely to continue to strengthen while it approaches the Big
Island as the storm is expected to remain in generally conducive
environmental conditions. The NHC intensity forecast now shows Lala
reaching category one hurricane status when it is near the Big
Island, trending toward the latest HCCA and Google DeepMind
solutions. An upper-level low is expected to develop and impart
shear, helping intrude dry air in the circulation when Lala moves to
the south of the smaller islands, and that could cause some
weakening this weekend. However, re-strengthening is forecast early
next week when the system pulls away from the Hawaiian Islands. The
NHC intensity forecast is unchanged. This forecast lies near the
high end of the guidance in the short term, but lies near the middle
of the guidance envelope thereafter.

Key Messages:

1. Lala is forecast to strengthen and it could be near hurricane
strength when it approaches the Big Island of Hawaii by early
Saturday. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the island, and a
Hurricane Warning could be required later today. Winds are
expected to be the strongest in areas of higher terrain.

2. Heavy rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Lala will begin to
impact the Big Island Friday, spreading westward across the
remainder of the island chain during the weekend. This rainfall may
produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas
of steep terrain.

3. Large and dangerous waves, especially on the Big Island, are
expected this weekend, with the greatest impacts along the southern
shores. This prolonged period of heavy surf may cause localized
coastal flooding and significant beach erosion.

4. Interests elsewhere in Hawaii should monitor the progress of
Lala, and Tropical Storm Watches could be required later today or
Friday.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 13/2100Z 15.4N 146.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 14/0600Z 16.1N 147.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 14/1800Z 16.9N 150.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 15/0600Z 17.5N 152.6W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 15/1800Z 18.2N 154.9W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 16/0600Z 19.0N 157.3W 65 KT 75 MPH
72H 16/1800Z 19.8N 160.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 17/1800Z 21.1N 165.0W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 18/1800Z 22.3N 169.4W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Pierce

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 132051
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM HST THU AUG 13 2026

...LALA STRENGTHENS A LITTLE...
...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE BIG ISLAND
OF HAWAII...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.4N 146.2W
ABOUT 655 MI...1055 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 870 MI...1395 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 146.2 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH (15 KM/H). A FASTER
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, LALA IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR OR JUST
SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND ON SATURDAY, AND PASS SOUTH OF THE
REMAINDER OF THE ISLANDS LATER IN THE WEEKEND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH (75 KM/H) WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. STEADY STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST, AND LALA IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE BIG ISLAND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES (335 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 1000 MB (29.53 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL STORM LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCPCP2 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
BY EARLY SATURDAY. WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES OF
HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE
NEAR-SURFACE WINDS INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND IN SOME ELEVATED
LOCATIONS COULD BE EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: TROPICAL STORM LALA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS
OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
THE ISLAND CHAIN. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH
LALA, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?RAINQPF

STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD
REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED
AREAS IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

HAWAII...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHERE THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE
INUNDATION, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK
STORM SURGE GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY LALA ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE
EAST-FACING SHORES OF THE STATE ON FRIDAY, SPREADING WESTWARD
AND BUILDING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 200 PM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PIERCE=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 132051
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC THU AUG 13 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 146.2W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 60SE 0SW 180NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 210SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 146.2W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 145.7W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.1N 147.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...180NE 60SE 0SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.9N 150.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...150NE 70SE 30SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.5N 152.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 40SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.2N 154.9W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 40SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.0N 157.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.8N 160.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 21.1N 165.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 50SW 90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 22.3N 169.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 100NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 146.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 14/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 131752
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM HST THU AUG 13 2026

...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT ABOUT TO INVESTIGATE LALA...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM HST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.4N 145.8W
ABOUT 680 MI...1095 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 890 MI...1435 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 800 AM HST (1800 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 145.8 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH (17 KM/H). A WESTWARD
TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, LALA IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR JUST
SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND ON SATURDAY, AND PASS SOUTH OF THE SMALLER
ISLANDS DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
STEADY STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST, AND LALA COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE
STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE BIG ISLAND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES (220 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB (29.56 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL STORM LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCPCP2 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
BY EARLY SATURDAY. WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES OF
HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE
NEAR-SURFACE WINDS INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND IN SOME ELEVATED
LOCATIONS COULD BE EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: TROPICAL STORM LALA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE ISLAND CHAIN, WITH MAXIMUM
TOTALS OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF
STEEP TERRAIN.

STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD
REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED
AREAS IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

HAWAII...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHERE THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE
INUNDATION, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK
STORM SURGE GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY LALA ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE
EAST-FACING SHORES OF THE STATE ON FRIDAY, SPREADING WESTWARD
AND BUILDING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PIERCE=

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 131620

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 13.08.2026

TROPICAL STORM HERNAN ANALYSED POSITION : 17.3N 131.5W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP082026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 13.08.2026 0 17.3N 131.5W 1007 27
0000UTC 14.08.2026 12 17.1N 132.6W 1005 37
1200UTC 14.08.2026 24 15.7N 132.6W 1006 26
0000UTC 15.08.2026 36 15.2N 133.3W 1006 25
1200UTC 15.08.2026 48 CEASED TRACKING

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CRISTOBAL ANALYSED POSITION : 39.0N 37.7W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL032026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 13.08.2026 0 39.0N 37.7W 1017 22
0000UTC 14.08.2026 12 CEASED TRACKING

TROPICAL STORM LALA ANALYSED POSITION : 14.9N 144.5W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012026

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 13.08.2026 0 14.9N 144.5W 1001 31
0000UTC 14.08.2026 12 16.3N 147.1W 1001 34
1200UTC 14.08.2026 24 16.7N 149.3W 1001 33
0000UTC 15.08.2026 36 17.5N 151.6W 1001 35
1200UTC 15.08.2026 48 18.1N 153.6W 1001 41
0000UTC 16.08.2026 60 18.9N 154.9W 1002 44
1200UTC 16.08.2026 72 20.2N 158.6W 1002 41
0000UTC 17.08.2026 84 20.4N 161.3W 999 37
1200UTC 17.08.2026 96 20.7N 163.7W 997 37
0000UTC 18.08.2026 108 21.2N 165.9W 997 41
1200UTC 18.08.2026 120 21.7N 168.3W 995 50
0000UTC 19.08.2026 132 21.8N 170.7W 990 54
1200UTC 19.08.2026 144 21.9N 172.7W 986 63
0000UTC 20.08.2026 156 22.5N 174.5W 979 67
1200UTC 20.08.2026 168 23.3N 176.6W 976 68

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 35.0N 67.5W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 16.08.2026 60 34.5N 65.0W 1012 29
1200UTC 16.08.2026 72 34.2N 60.9W 1008 34
0000UTC 17.08.2026 84 36.3N 55.5W 998 52
1200UTC 17.08.2026 96 35.6N 53.6W 992 42
0000UTC 18.08.2026 108 37.0N 52.3W 995 34
1200UTC 18.08.2026 120 38.5N 51.3W 998 37
0000UTC 19.08.2026 132 41.1N 49.8W 1001 33
1200UTC 19.08.2026 144 44.0N 46.4W 1003 35
0000UTC 20.08.2026 156 48.1N 40.8W 1003 38
1200UTC 20.08.2026 168 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 17.1N 58.5W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 18.08.2026 120 17.1N 58.5W 1013 32
0000UTC 19.08.2026 132 18.4N 60.5W 1012 31
1200UTC 19.08.2026 144 19.9N 62.3W 1012 34
0000UTC 20.08.2026 156 21.5N 63.7W 1011 40
1200UTC 20.08.2026 168 22.9N 65.4W 1009 47

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 131620

Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 131600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01C (LALA) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN CENTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
131200Z --- NEAR 14.9N 145.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N 145.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 15.9N 146.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 16.6N 149.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 17.4N 151.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 18.0N 154.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 18.7N 156.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 19.6N 159.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 21.0N 164.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 22.6N 169.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
131600Z POSITION NEAR 15.2N 145.6W. 13AUG26. TROPICAL STORM 01C
(LALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 646 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HILO, HAS
TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 131200Z IS 1001 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132200Z, 140400Z,
141000Z AND 141600Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 131439
TCDCP2

Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number 5
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Thu Aug 13 2026

Over the past several hours, deep convection has been increasing
near the center and in bands on the north side of the system. In
addition, the circulation appears less elongated and more
consolidated. Based on the improvement in its appearance, the
system now meets the criteria of a tropical storm. The initial
intensity of Lala is estimated to be 35 kt, which is near the middle
of the latest satellite intensity estimates. An Air Force
reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate Lala later this
morning, and that data will be quite helpful in better assessing the
storm's intensity and structure.

Lala is moving generally westward at about 9 kt. The track forecast
philosophy appears fairly straightforward. A large mid-level high
pressure system located to the north of the Hawaiian Islands should
keep Lala on a westward to west-northwestward track, taking the core
of the system near or just south of the Big Island by early
Saturday. Lala will very likely pass south of the smaller islands
during the remainder of the weekend. The guidance has trended a bit
to the south this cycle, and the NHC track forecast has been nudged
in that direction. It is important to note, that the NHC 48-h track
error is about 50 to 60 miles.

The storm is likely to strengthen during the next couple of days as
the environmental conditions are expected to be generally favorable
for the system. The NHC intensity forecast brings Lala up to 60 kt
around the time it nears the Big Island, but there is some very
skillful guidance, including the Google DeepMind and HCCA that show
it becoming a category 1 hurricane during that time. An upper-level
low is expected to develop and impart shear, helping intrude dry air
in the circulation when Lala moves to the south of the smaller
islands, and that could cause some weakening this weekend.
However, re-strengthening is forecast early next week when the
system pulls away from the Hawaiian Islands. The NHC intensity
forecast lies near the high end of the guidance in the short term,
but lies near the middle of the guidance envelope thereafter.

Key Messages:

1. Lala is forecast to strengthen and it could be near hurricane
strength when it approaches the Big Island by early Saturday. A
Hurricane Watch has been issued for the island. Winds are expected
to be the strongest downslope of higher terrain, over headlands, and
through passes.

2. Heavy rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Lala will begin to
impact the Big Island Friday, spreading westward across the island
chain during the weekend. This rainfall may produce
life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of
steep terrain.

3. Large and dangerous waves, especially on the Big Island, are
expected this weekend, with the greatest impacts along the southern
shores. This prolonged period of heavy surf may cause localized
coastal flooding and significant beach erosion.

4. Interests in the smaller islands should monitor the progress of
Lala, and Tropical Storm Watches could be required later today or
Friday.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 13/1500Z 15.2N 145.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 14/0000Z 15.9N 146.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 14/1200Z 16.6N 149.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 15/0000Z 17.4N 151.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 15/1200Z 18.0N 154.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
60H 16/0000Z 18.7N 156.3W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 16/1200Z 19.6N 159.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 17/1200Z 21.0N 164.3W 60 KT 70 MPH
120H 18/1200Z 22.6N 169.5W 70 KT 80 MPH

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Pierce

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 131438
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LALA ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM HST THU AUG 13 2026

...TROPICAL STORM LALA FORMS...
...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 145.5W
ABOUT 705 MI...1135 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 915 MI...1475 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR HAWAII COUNTY.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS, CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LALA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 145.5 WEST. LALA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH (17 KM/H). A WESTWARD TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK, LALA IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF
THE BIG ISLAND ON SATURDAY, AND PASS SOUTH OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS
DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
STEADY STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST, AND LALA COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE
STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE BIG ISLAND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES (220 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB (29.56 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR TROPICAL STORM LALA CAN BE FOUND IN THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCPCP2 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
BY EARLY SATURDAY. WIND SPEEDS ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES OF
HILLS AND MOUNTAINS ARE OFTEN UP TO 30 PERCENT STRONGER THAN THE
NEAR-SURFACE WINDS INDICATED IN THIS ADVISORY, AND IN SOME ELEVATED
LOCATIONS COULD BE EVEN GREATER.

RAINFALL: TROPICAL STORM LALA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE ISLAND CHAIN, WITH MAXIMUM
TOTALS OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF
STEEP TERRAIN.

STORM SURGE: THE COMBINATION OF A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND THE
TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY
RISING WATERS MOVING INLAND FROM THE SHORELINE. THE WATER COULD
REACH THE FOLLOWING HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE IN THE INDICATED
AREAS IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE...

HAWAII...1 TO 3 FT

THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHERE THE
SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.
SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE, AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK OF STORM SURGE
INUNDATION, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEAK
STORM SURGE GRAPHIC, AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP2.SHTML?PEAKSURGE.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY LALA ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE
EAST-FACING SHORES OF THE STATE ON FRIDAY, SPREADING WESTWARD
AND BUILDING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 800 AM HST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PIERCE=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 131436
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM LALA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC THU AUG 13 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 145.5W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 90SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 145.5W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 145.0W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.9N 146.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 50SE 0SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.6N 149.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 60SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.4N 151.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...120NE 60SE 30SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.0N 154.1W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 40SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 18.7N 156.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.6N 159.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 50SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
// END PART 01 //=

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 130841
TCDCP2

Potential Tropical Cyclone One-C Discussion Number 4
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM HST Wed Aug 12 2026

Recent ASCAT data suggest that the circulation of the disturbance
has become more circular during the past several hours. However,
the strongest winds are still located almost 200 n mi to the
northeast of the center, and the system continues to lack enough
organized convection to be called a tropical cyclone. The ASCAT
data showed 35 kt winds, and that remains the initial intensity.

The initial motion is a rather uncertain 275/9 kt. A large high
pressure system north of the Hawaiian Islands should steer the
system generally west-northwestward for the next several days.
While the guidance is in general agreement with this scenario, the
track guidance has shifted a bit to the south of the previous
guidance suite since the last advisory, and the previous forecast,
the HCCA corrected consensus model, and the Google DeepMind
ensemble mean are all near the north edge of the guidance envelope.
Since reformations of the center could occur as the disturbance
organizes, the new forecast track will be nudged only a little south
of the previous track at this time. The track forecast, including
how close the center will come to Hawaii, will remain low
confidence until a better-defined center forms.

For the next two days or so, the environment looks generally
favorable for intensification. However, the ongoing sprawling
structure suggests this strengthening will be gradual. As the
system passes near Hawaii, the environment should become somewhat
less favorable due to some southwesterly shear, interaction with
the island of Hawaii, and dry air entrainment. These conditions are
likely to slow or stop intensification. The new intensity forecast
is has some minor tweaks for the previous forecast, and it lies in
the center of the intensity guidance envelope. As noted in the
previous advisory, if the system tracks farther south of Hawaii
than forecast, it would stay in more favorable conditions and
likely get stronger than forecast.

Key Messages:

1. The disturbance is expected to become a tropical storm by
Thursday night and strengthen while it moves west-northwestward
near or over the Hawaiian Islands late this week and this weekend.
Although it is too soon to specify the exact location and magnitude
of impacts, residents should closely monitor the latest forecast
updates and ensure that they have their preparedness plan in place.

2. Heavy rainfall associated with the Potential Tropical Cyclone
will begin to impact the Big Island Friday, spreading westward
across the island chain during the weekend. This rainfall may
produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas
of steep terrain.

3. There is an increasing risk of wind and wave impacts in the
Hawaiian Islands regardless of the exact track and intensity of the
system. Hurricane or Tropical Storm Watches may be required for
portions of the Hawaiian Islands early Thursday.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 13/0900Z 14.8N 144.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
12H 13/1800Z 15.5N 145.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
24H 14/0600Z 16.5N 147.9W 40 KT 45 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE
36H 14/1800Z 17.3N 150.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 15/0600Z 18.0N 153.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 15/1800Z 18.7N 155.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 16/0600Z 19.6N 158.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 17/0600Z 21.2N 163.6W 55 KT 65 MPH
120H 18/0600Z 22.8N 169.1W 60 KT 70 MPH

$$
Forecaster Beven

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 130840
TCMCP2

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC THU AUG 13 2026

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 144.5W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......240NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 180SE 90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 144.5W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 144.1W

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.5N 145.7W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.5N 147.9W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 60SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.3N 150.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 60SE 30SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.0N 153.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 40SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.7N 155.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.6N 158.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 80SE 50SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
// END PART 01 //=

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 130840
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM HST WED AUG 12 2026

...DISTURBANCE HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST
SEVERAL HOURS...
...FORECAST TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL, HIGH WINDS AND DANGEROUS SURF
TO THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS STARTING LATE FRIDAY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.8N 144.5W
ABOUT 775 MI...1250 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 985 MI...1590 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL
LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE STATE BY EARLY THURSDAY.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), THE DISTURBANCE WAS CENTERED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 144.5 WEST. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH (17 KM/H), AND A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE
CENTER WILL BE NEARING THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS BY LATE FRIDAY.

RECENT SATELLITE WIND DATA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM
STILL LACKS SUFFICIENT ORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
// END PART 01 //=

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 130251
TCDCP2

Potential Tropical Cyclone One-C Discussion Number 3
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Wed Aug 12 2026

The disturbance remains poorly organized, with at least two
mesovortices rotating around the larger circulation. A recent
OSCAT pass also shows a very elongated circulation, with gale-force
winds confined to the northeastern quadrant. There has been some
suggestion in recent imagery that the southern side of the
circulation is becoming more dominant, but the overall system
is still too ill-defined to be considered a tropical cyclone. The
initial wind speed remains 35 kt per earlier scatterometer data.

The overall circulation envelope appears to be moving westward at
about 8 kt. A large high pressure system north of the Hawaiian
Islands should cause a west to west-northwestward track of the
disturbance for the next several days. At this point, the track
forecast is highly dependent on where a true center forms, with the
most northward model formations generally gaining the most
latitude, and the southward model solutions usually staying just
south of the Hawaiian Islands. The overall model trend is slightly
south of the previous forecast, and the new forecast is adjusted in
that direction. This should not be considered a high-confidence
prediction given the uncertainties on where a center will form.

The environment should generally be conducive for intensification
during the next few days with warm sea-surface temperatures,
low-to-moderate vertical wind shear and ample low- to mid-level
humidities in the system's path. Due to the sprawling structure,
only a gradual strengthening is anticipated. The intensity forecast
near the Hawaiian Islands is challenging because of land
interaction and an upper-low dropping near the cyclone. Models
tonight generally show a more conducive trough interaction than a
high-shear one, and the system is expected to be near hurricane
strength by the time it nears the Hawaiian Islands. The new
intensity forecast is slightly higher than the previous one, but is
leveled off near Hawaii. This forecast could be conservative
beyond 3 days, especially if the system moves south of expected.

Key Messages:

1. The disturbance is expected to become a tropical storm on
Thursday and strengthen while it moves west-northwestward near or
over the Hawaiian Islands late this week and this weekend. Although
it is too soon to specify the exact location and magnitude of
impacts, residents should closely monitor the latest forecast
updates and ensure that they have their preparedness plan in place.

2. Heavy rainfall associated with the system will begin to impact
the Big Island Friday, spreading westward into Maui Saturday, and
Lanai, Molokai, Oahu and Kauai on Sunday. This rainfall may
produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas
of steep terrain.

3. There is an increasing risk of wind and wave impacts in the
Hawaiian Islands regardless of the exact track and intensity of the
system. Hurricane or Tropical Storm Watches may be required for
portions of the Hawaiian Islands early Thursday.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 13/0300Z 14.8N 143.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
12H 13/1200Z 15.2N 144.6W 40 KT 45 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
24H 14/0000Z 16.2N 146.6W 45 KT 50 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE
36H 14/1200Z 17.3N 149.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 15/0000Z 18.1N 151.6W 55 KT 65 MPH
60H 15/1200Z 18.8N 154.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
72H 16/0000Z 19.6N 156.7W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 17/0000Z 21.4N 162.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
120H 18/0000Z 23.3N 167.6W 60 KT 70 MPH

$$
Forecaster Blake

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 122044
TCDCP2

Potential Tropical Cyclone One-C Discussion Number 2
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Wed Aug 12 2026

The disturbance remains a broad and sprawling system. The
associated deep convection is poorly organized and curved banding
features are currently lacking. An ASCAT-B scatterometer pass
showed some wind vectors near 35 kt, although these winds were
located well northeast, over 200 n mi, from the estimated center.
Therefore the initial intensity is set at 35 kt for this advisory.
Note that the circulation is not well enough defined and the deep
convection is not sufficiently well-organized for the system to be
considered a tropical cyclone yet, despite the stronger winds.

Since the system has a large overall cyclonic circulation, a
unique center has become difficult to pin down. There appear
to be some swirls rotating around the overall gyre. My best
estimate of the initial motion is 260/8 kt. There hasn't been much
change to the track forecast or reasoning behind the forecast. A
large mid-level anticyclone to the north of One-C should result in
a mostly west-northwestward track over the next several days. The
official track forecast is basically unchanged from the previous
one, and close to the dynamical consensus and Google DeepMind
Guidance. Given that the system is still in the formative stage,
the precise track is still somewhat uncertain.

Sea surface temperatures, vertical wind shear and low- to
mid-level humidities should support gradual strengthening during
the next few days. Based on the intensity models, the system is
expected to be nearing hurricane strength by the time it nears the
Hawaiian Islands. However, an upper-level low/trough could limit
strengthening while the system passes near or over the Islands.

Key Messages:

1. The disturbance is expected to become a tropical storm on
Thursday and strengthen while it moves west-northwestward near or
over the Hawaiian Islands late this week and this weekend. Although
it is too soon to specify the exact location and magnitude of
impacts, residents should closely monitor the latest forecast
updates and ensure that they have their preparedness plan in place.

2. Heavy rainfall associated with the system will begin to impact
the Big Island Friday, spreading westward into Maui Saturday, and
Lanai, Molokai, Oahu and Kauai on Sunday. This rainfall may
produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas
of steep terrain.

3. There is an increasing risk of wind and wave impacts in the
Hawaiian Islands regardless of the exact track and intensity of the
system. Hurricane or Tropical Storm Watches may be required for
portions of the Hawaiian Islands early Thursday.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 12/2100Z 14.7N 142.6W 35 KT 40 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
12H 13/0600Z 15.2N 143.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
24H 13/1800Z 15.9N 145.1W 40 KT 45 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE
36H 14/0600Z 17.0N 147.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 14/1800Z 17.9N 149.5W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 15/0600Z 18.6N 152.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 15/1800Z 19.3N 154.6W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 16/1800Z 21.0N 160.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
120H 17/1800Z 22.9N 165.8W 60 KT 70 MPH

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 122043
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM HST WED AUG 12 2026

...DISTURBANCE FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN BEFORE NEARING THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS..

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.7N 142.6W
ABOUT 895 MI...1440 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1100 MI...1775 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL
LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE STATE BY EARLY THURSDAY.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), THE DISTURBANCE WAS CENTERED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 142.6 WEST. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH (15 KM/H), AND A WESTWARD TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER WILL BE NEARING THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
BY LATE FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS, BUT THE SYSTEM STILL LACKS ORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. THE DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON
THURSDAY, AND ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST THEREAFTER.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES (445 KM)
TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB (29.62 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-C CAN BE FOUND IN
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCPCP2 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: THERE IS AN INCREASING RISK OF WIND IMPACTS IN THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS REGARDLESS OF THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM.

RAINFALL: THE POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE ISLAND CHAIN,
WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF
STEEP TERRAIN.

SURF: SWELLS GENERATED BY THE DISTURBANCE ARE EXPECTED TO REACH
THE EAST-FACING SHORES OF THE STATE ON FRIDAY, SPREADING WESTWARD
AND BUILDING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM HST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 122043
TCMCP2

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC WED AUG 12 2026

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 142.6W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......240NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 180SE 0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 142.6W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 142.2W

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 15.2N 143.7W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.9N 145.1W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 60SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 17.0N 147.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 60SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.9N 149.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.6N 152.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 10SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.3N 154.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 10SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 50SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 21.0N 160.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 10SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 50SW 110NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 22.9N 165.8W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 10SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 50SW 110NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 142.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPA22 PHFO 121743
TCMCP2

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC WED AUG 12 2026

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 141.8W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 141.8W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 141.4W

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.3N 142.9W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 15.9N 144.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 16.9N 145.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.9N 148.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.6N 150.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.1N 153.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 50SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 20.6N 158.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 50SW 110NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 22.3N 163.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 50SW 110NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 141.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPA42 PHFO 121502
TCDCP2

Potential Tropical Cyclone One-C Discussion Number 1
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Wed Aug 12 2026

The disturbance well to the east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands
is expected to become a tropical storm within the next day or so
and be near the Islands by late Friday. Given the potential for
significant impacts over the Hawaiian Islands, Potential Tropical
Cyclone advisories are being initiated at this time. The system's
cloud pattern is elongated from southwest to northeast with most of
the deep convection well to the southwest of the center. The
disturbance currently lacks sufficiently organized convection to be
classified as a tropical cyclone, and the Dvorak classifications
from Honolulu are T1.0/1.0. Scatterometer data suggests that the
intensity is near 30 kt,

Satellite fixes indicate that the system is moving generally
westward and the initial motion estimate is 270/9 kt. Dynamical
models show a mid-level high pressure system persisting to the
north of the disturbance. This steering pattern should result in
a generally west-northwestward track for the next several days.
The simple and corrected model consensus and Google DeepMind track
predictions are in reasonable agreement, and the official forecast
follows this guidance closely. Given that the system is still in
the formative stage, the precise track is still somewhat
uncertain.

The atmospheric and oceanic environment look conducive for gradual
strengthening during the next few days. Based on the intensity
models, the system is expected to be nearing hurricane strength by
the time it nears the Hawaiian Islands. However, an upper-level
low/trough could limit strengthening while the system passes near
or over the Islands.

Key Messages:

1. The disturbance is expected to become a tropical storm later
today or tonight and strengthen while it moves west-northwestward
near or over the Hawaiian Islands late this week and this weekend.
Although it is too soon to specify the exact location and magnitude
of impacts, residents should closely monitor the latest forecast
updates and ensure that they have their preparedness plan in place.

2. Heavy rainfall associated with the system is expected to begin
to impact the Big Island Friday, spreading westward into Maui on
Saturday, and across Lanai, Molokai, Oahu and Kauai on Sunday. This
rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides,
especially in areas of steep terrain.

3. There is an increasing risk of wind and wave impacts in the
Hawaiian Islands regardless of the exact track and intensity of the
system. Hurricane or Tropical Storm Watches may be required for
portions of the Hawaiian Islands tonight or early Thursday.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 12/1500Z 15.0N 141.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
12H 13/0000Z 15.3N 142.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE
24H 13/1200Z 15.9N 144.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 14/0000Z 16.9N 145.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 14/1200Z 17.9N 148.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 15/0000Z 18.6N 150.8W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 15/1200Z 19.1N 153.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 16/1200Z 20.6N 158.3W 60 KT 70 MPH
120H 17/1200Z 22.3N 163.7W 60 KT 70 MPH

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTPA32 PHFO 121500
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-C ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM HST WED AUG 12 2026

...DISTURBANCE FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN BEFORE BE NEARING THE
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS BY LATE FRIDAY...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.0N 141.8W
ABOUT 935 MI...1505 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1140 MI...1835 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL
LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR THESE ISLANDS BY EARLY THURSDAY.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), THE DISTURBANCE WAS CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE
15.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 141.8 WEST. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST NEAR 10 MPH (17 KM/H) AND A WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK,
THE CENTER WILL BE NEARING THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS BY LATE FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS, AND THE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 7 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB (29.62 INCHES).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-C CAN BE FOUND IN
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCPCP2 AND
WMO HEADER WTPA42 PHFO.

WIND: THERE IS AN INCREASING RISK OF WIND IMPACTS IN THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS REGARDLESS OF THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM.

RAINFALL: THE POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE ISLAND CHAIN,
WITH MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS RAINFALL MAY PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF
STEEP TERRAIN.

FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF FORECAST RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THE
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE, PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV/GRAPHICS_CP01.SHTML?RAINQPF

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM HST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=

Original Message :

WTPA41 PHFO 121454
TCDCP1

Potential Tropical Cyclone One-C Discussion Number 1
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Wed Aug 12 2026

The disturbance well to the east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands
is expected to become a tropical storm within the next day or so
and be near the Islands by late Friday. Given the potential for
significant impacts over the Hawaiian Islands, Potential Tropical
Cyclone advisories are being initiated at this time. The system's
cloud pattern is elongated from southwest to northeast with most of
the deep convection well to the southwest of the center. The
disturbance currently lacks sufficiently organized convection to be
classified as a tropical cyclone, and the Dvorak classifications
from Honolulu are T1.0/1.0. Scatterometer data suggests that the
intensity is near 30 kt,

Satellite fixes indicate that the system is moving generally
westward and the initial motion estimate is 270/9 kt. Dynamical
models show a mid-level high pressure system persisting to the
north of the disturbance. This steering pattern should result in
a generally west-northwestward track for the next several days.
The simple and corrected model consensus and Google DeepMind track
predictions are in reasonable agreement, and the official forecast
follows this guidance closely. Given that the system is still in
the formative stage, the precise track is still somewhat
uncertain.

The atmospheric and oceanic environment look conducive for gradual
strengthening during the next few days. Based on the intensity
models, the system is expected to be nearing hurricane strength by
the time it nears the Hawaiian Islands. However, an upper-level
low/trough could limit strengthening while the system passes near
or over the Islands.

Key Messages:

1. The disturbance is expected to become a tropical storm later
today or tonight and strengthen while it moves west-northwestward
near or over the Hawaiian Islands late this week and this weekend.
Although it is too soon to specify the exact location and magnitude
of impacts, residents should closely monitor the latest forecast
updates and ensure that they have their preparedness plan in place.

2. Heavy rainfall associated with the system is expected to begin
to impact the Big Island Friday, spreading westward into Maui on
Saturday, and across Lanai, Molokai, Oahu and Kauai on Sunday. This
rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides,
especially in areas of steep terrain.

3. There is an increasing risk of wind and wave impacts in the
Hawaiian Islands regardless of the exact track and intensity of the
system. Hurricane or Tropical Storm Watches may be required for
portions of the Hawaiian Islands tonight or early Thursday.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 12/1500Z 15.0N 141.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
12H 13/0000Z 15.3N 142.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE
24H 13/1200Z 15.9N 144.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 14/0000Z 16.9N 145.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 14/1200Z 17.9N 148.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 15/0000Z 18.6N 150.8W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 15/1200Z 19.1N 153.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 16/1200Z 20.6N 158.3W 60 KT 70 MPH
120H 17/1200Z 22.3N 163.7W 60 KT 70 MPH

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTPA21 PHFO 121450
TCMCP1

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC WED AUG 12 2026

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 141.8W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 141.8W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 141.4W

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.3N 142.9W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 15.9N 144.1W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 16.9N 145.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.9N 148.3W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.6N 150.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.1N 153.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 70SE 50SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 20.6N 158.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 50SW 110NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 22.3N 163.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 50SW 110NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 141.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH=

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