Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for WIPHA-25
in China, Viet Nam, Philippines

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

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Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 221645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 221500 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (20.1 N) ONE ZERO
FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (105.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 15 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 60 NAUTICAL MILES.

NO FURTHER WARNINGS ON THIS TROPICAL STORM WILL BE ISSUED
BY THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION
TAKES PLACE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 221345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 221200 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 986 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (20.2 N) ONE ZERO
FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (105.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 15 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 60 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 221200
WARNING 221200.
WARNING VALID 231200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 990 HPA
AT 20.0N 105.5E VIETNAM MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 20.0N 104.5E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 20.0N 103.2E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 221045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 220900 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 986 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (20.2 N) ONE ZERO
FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (105.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 15 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 60 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230900 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (20.0 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (104.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 220900
WARNING ATCG MIL 09W NWP 250722072733
2025072206 09W WIPHA 016 02 250 06 SATL 060
T000 203N 1062E 035 R034 075 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 203N 1049E 030
T024 206N 1033E 020
AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 016
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220600Z --- NEAR 20.3N 106.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N 106.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 20.3N 104.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 20.6N 103.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
220900Z POSITION NEAR 20.3N 105.9E.
22JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 45 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
IMAGERY REVEALS THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
AS THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO DECAPITATE OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
THE INITIAL POSITION IN THE RED RIVER DELTA REGION IS MADE WITH
HIGH CONFIDENCE DUE TO THE EXPOSED NATURE OF THE CIRCULATION.
THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS WHILE DRIVEN WESTWARD ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS
SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL
BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE AT 220600Z IS 984 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 220600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10W (TEN) WARNINGS
//
0925071418 129N1345E 15
0925071500 130N1340E 15
0925071506 131N1336E 15
0925071512 132N1332E 15
0925071518 136N1324E 25
0925071600 138N1312E 25
0925071606 133N1306E 25
0925071612 128N1298E 25
0925071618 135N1284E 25
0925071700 144N1276E 30
0925071706 154N1268E 30
0925071712 164N1259E 30
0925071718 170N1249E 30
0925071800 177N1240E 30
0925071806 185N1232E 35
0925071812 194N1221E 40
0925071818 198N1207E 45
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071906 205N1189E 45
0925071912 210N1177E 50
0925071912 210N1177E 50
0925071918 215N1161E 55
0925071918 215N1161E 55
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072006 218N1132E 65
0925072006 218N1132E 65
0925072006 218N1132E 65
0925072012 217N1119E 60
0925072012 217N1119E 60
0925072018 216N1108E 50
0925072018 216N1108E 50
0925072100 215N1097E 45
0925072106 211N1091E 45
0925072112 210N1083E 50
0925072112 210N1083E 50
0925072118 208N1076E 50
0925072118 208N1076E 50
0925072200 205N1068E 45
0925072206 203N1062E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 220900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220600Z --- NEAR 20.3N 106.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N 106.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 20.3N 104.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 20.6N 103.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
220900Z POSITION NEAR 20.3N 105.9E.
22JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 45 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
IMAGERY REVEALS THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
AS THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO DECAPITATE OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
THE INITIAL POSITION IN THE RED RIVER DELTA REGION IS MADE WITH
HIGH CONFIDENCE DUE TO THE EXPOSED NATURE OF THE CIRCULATION.
THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS WHILE DRIVEN WESTWARD ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS
SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL
BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE AT 220600Z IS 984 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 220600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10W (TEN) WARNINGS
(WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 220745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 220600 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (20.3 N) ONE
ZERO SIX POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (106.1 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 15 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230600 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (20.0 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (104.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 220600
WARNING 220600.
WARNING VALID 230600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL
STORM 985 HPA
AT 20.5N 106.2E VIETNAM MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 20.3N 105.3E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 20.5N 103.4E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 220300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2506 WIPHA (2506) DOWNGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 220300UTC 20.6N 106.4E GOOD
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 180NM SOUTH 90NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 221500UTC 20.3N 105.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE WSW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 230300UTC 20.3N 104.1E 57NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 220145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 220000 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (20.4
N) ONE ZERO SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (106.7 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230000 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (20.2 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (104.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 220300
WARNING ATCG MIL 09W NWP 250722012044
2025072200 09W WIPHA 015 01 250 08 SATL RADR SYNP 040
T000 205N 1068E 045 R034 075 NE QD 100 SE QD 130 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 203N 1054E 035 R034 060 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 045 NW QD
T024 203N 1039E 025
T036 202N 1024E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 015
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220000Z --- NEAR 20.5N 106.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N 106.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 20.3N 105.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 20.3N 103.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 20.2N 102.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
220300Z POSITION NEAR 20.4N 106.4E.
22JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 59 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
220000Z IS 987 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS
15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AND 230300Z.//
0925071418 129N1345E 15
0925071500 130N1340E 15
0925071506 131N1336E 15
0925071512 132N1332E 15
0925071518 136N1324E 25
0925071600 138N1312E 25
0925071606 133N1306E 25
0925071612 128N1298E 25
0925071618 135N1284E 25
0925071700 144N1276E 30
0925071706 154N1268E 30
0925071712 164N1259E 30
0925071718 170N1249E 30
0925071800 177N1240E 30
0925071806 185N1232E 35
0925071812 194N1221E 40
0925071818 198N1207E 45
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071906 205N1189E 45
0925071912 210N1177E 50
0925071912 210N1177E 50
0925071918 215N1161E 55
0925071918 215N1161E 55
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072006 218N1132E 65
0925072006 218N1132E 65
0925072006 218N1132E 65
0925072012 217N1119E 60
0925072012 217N1119E 60
0925072018 216N1108E 50
0925072018 216N1108E 50
0925072100 215N1097E 45
0925072106 213N1090E 45
0925072112 210N1083E 50
0925072112 210N1083E 50
0925072118 208N1076E 50
0925072118 208N1076E 50
0925072200 205N1068E 45
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 220000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.25 FOR STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS WIPHA IS LOCATED AT 20.3N, 107.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 50KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF HIGH SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
NOAA-21/ATMS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE
CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT VIET-NAM BY
FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
UNTIL FT12 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT24. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 220300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220000Z --- NEAR 20.5N 106.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N 106.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 20.3N 105.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 20.3N 103.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 20.2N 102.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
220300Z POSITION NEAR 20.4N 106.4E.
22JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 59 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
220000Z IS 987 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS
15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AND 230300Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 220000
WARNING 220000.
WARNING VALID 230000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 980 HPA
AT 20.3N 107.0E GULF OF TONGKING MOVING SOUTHWEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 20.4N 105.8E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 20.2N 104.5E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 220000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 220000UTC 20.3N 107.0E FAIR
MOVE SW 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 180NM SOUTH 90NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 221200UTC 20.4N 105.8E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 230000UTC 20.2N 104.5E 57NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 212245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 212100 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (20.6 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (107.3 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 222100 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (20.2 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (104.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 232100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 212100
WARNING 212100.
WARNING VALID 222100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 975 HPA
AT 20.5N 107.1E GULF OF TONGKING MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220900UTC AT 20.6N 106.1E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 222100UTC AT 20.3N 104.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 212100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 212100UTC 20.5N 107.1E FAIR
MOVE WSW 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 180NM SOUTH 90NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 220900UTC 20.6N 106.1E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 222100UTC 20.3N 104.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 231800UTC 20.1N 103.2E 115NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 212100
WARNING ATCG MIL 09W NWP 250721185906
2025072118 09W WIPHA 014 01 255 07 SATL RADR SYNP 040
T000 208N 1076E 050 R050 030 NE QD 045 SE QD 065 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 100 SE QD 130 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 206N 1062E 040 R034 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 110 SW QD 020 NW QD
T024 205N 1048E 030
T036 205N 1032E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 014
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
211800Z --- NEAR 20.8N 107.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N 107.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 20.6N 106.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 20.5N 104.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 20.5N 103.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
212100Z POSITION NEAR 20.8N 107.2E.
21JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 96 NM
EAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 211800Z IS
984 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 18 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z, 220900Z, 221500Z AND 222100Z.//
0925071418 129N1345E 15
0925071500 130N1340E 15
0925071506 131N1336E 15
0925071512 132N1332E 15
0925071518 136N1324E 25
0925071600 138N1312E 25
0925071606 133N1306E 25
0925071612 128N1298E 25
0925071618 135N1284E 25
0925071700 144N1276E 30
0925071706 154N1268E 30
0925071712 164N1259E 30
0925071718 170N1249E 30
0925071800 177N1240E 30
0925071806 185N1232E 35
0925071812 194N1221E 40
0925071818 198N1207E 45
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071906 205N1189E 45
0925071912 210N1177E 50
0925071912 210N1177E 50
0925071918 215N1161E 55
0925071918 215N1161E 55
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072006 218N1132E 65
0925072006 218N1132E 65
0925072006 218N1132E 65
0925072012 217N1119E 60
0925072012 217N1119E 60
0925072018 216N1108E 50
0925072018 216N1108E 50
0925072100 215N1097E 45
0925072106 213N1090E 45
0925072112 210N1083E 50
0925072112 210N1083E 50
0925072118 208N1076E 50
0925072118 208N1076E 50
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 212100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
211800Z --- NEAR 20.8N 107.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N 107.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 20.6N 106.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 20.5N 104.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 20.5N 103.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
212100Z POSITION NEAR 20.8N 107.2E.
21JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 96 NM
EAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 211800Z IS
984 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 18 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z, 220900Z, 221500Z AND 222100Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 211945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 211800 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (20.7
N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (107.7 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 221800 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (20.2 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (105.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 211800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.24 FOR STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS WIPHA IS LOCATED AT 20.7N, 107.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
ELONGATION OF A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC.
METOP-C/MHS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND
WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT VIET-NAM BY
FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH
SSTS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS
LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 211800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 211800UTC 20.7N 107.6E FAIR
MOVE WSW 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 180NM SOUTH 90NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 220600UTC 20.6N 106.4E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 221800UTC 20.3N 105.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 231800UTC 20.1N 103.2E 115NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 211800
WARNING 211800.
WARNING VALID 221800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 975 HPA
AT 20.7N 107.6E GULF OF TONGKING MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 20.6N 106.4E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 20.3N 105.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 20.1N 103.2E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 211645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 211500 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (20.8
N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (108.0 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 221500 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (20.4 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (105.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 211500
WARNING 211500.
WARNING VALID 221500.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 980 HPA
AT 20.8N 108.0E GULF OF TONGKING MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220300UTC AT 20.6N 106.8E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221500UTC AT 20.4N 105.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 211500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 211500UTC 20.8N 108.0E FAIR
MOVE WSW 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 240NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 220300UTC 20.6N 106.8E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 221500UTC 20.4N 105.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 231200UTC 20.7N 103.2E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 211500
WARNING ATCG MIL 09W NWP 250721134154
2025072112 09W WIPHA 013 01 255 07 SATL RADR 060
T000 211N 1083E 050 R050 030 NE QD 045 SE QD 065 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 100 SE QD 130 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 209N 1071E 050 R050 005 NE QD 015 SE QD 020 SW QD 005 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 110 SE QD 095 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 207N 1058E 045 R034 065 NE QD 095 SE QD 085 SW QD 045 NW QD
T036 206N 1040E 030
T048 208N 1021E 020
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 013
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
211200Z --- NEAR 21.1N 108.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N 108.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 20.9N 107.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 20.7N 105.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 20.6N 104.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 20.8N 102.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
211500Z POSITION NEAR 21.0N 108.0E.
21JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 135 NM
EAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 211200Z IS 984 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
212100Z, 220300Z, 220900Z AND 221500Z.
//
0925071418 129N1345E 15
0925071500 130N1340E 15
0925071506 131N1336E 15
0925071512 132N1332E 15
0925071518 136N1324E 25
0925071600 138N1312E 25
0925071606 133N1306E 25
0925071612 128N1298E 25
0925071618 135N1284E 25
0925071700 144N1276E 30
0925071706 154N1268E 30
0925071712 164N1259E 30
0925071718 170N1249E 30
0925071800 177N1240E 30
0925071806 185N1232E 35
0925071812 194N1221E 40
0925071818 198N1207E 45
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071906 205N1189E 45
0925071912 210N1177E 50
0925071912 210N1177E 50
0925071918 215N1161E 55
0925071918 215N1161E 55
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072006 218N1132E 65
0925072006 218N1132E 65
0925072006 218N1132E 65
0925072012 217N1119E 60
0925072012 217N1119E 60
0925072018 216N1108E 50
0925072018 216N1108E 50
0925072100 215N1097E 45
0925072106 213N1090E 45
0925072112 211N1083E 50
0925072112 211N1083E 50
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 211500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
211200Z --- NEAR 21.1N 108.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N 108.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 20.9N 107.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
// END PART 01 //


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 211345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 211200 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (20.9
N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (108.1 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 221200 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (20.4 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (106.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231200 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (20.2 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (104.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 211200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.23 FOR STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS WIPHA IS LOCATED AT 21.0N, 108.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 50KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM
TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
ELONGATION OF A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC.
GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND
WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT VIET-NAM BY
FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM
WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 211200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2506 WIPHA (2506) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 211200UTC 21.0N 108.4E FAIR
MOVE WSW 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 240NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 220000UTC 20.6N 107.2E 35NM 70%
MOVE WSW 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 221200UTC 20.6N 105.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 231200UTC 20.7N 103.2E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 211200
WARNING 211200.
WARNING VALID 221200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM
980 HPA
AT 21.0N 108.4E GULF OF TONGKING MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 20.6N 107.2E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 20.6N 105.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 20.7N 103.2E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 211045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 210900 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (21.1 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (108.5 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220900 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (20.5 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (106.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230900 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (20.2 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (104.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 210900
WARNING 210900.
WARNING VALID 220900.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 985 HPA
AT 21.3N 108.9E GULF OF TONGKING MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 212100UTC AT 20.6N 107.5E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220900UTC AT 20.6N 106.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 210900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 210900UTC 21.3N 108.9E FAIR
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 212100UTC 20.6N 107.5E 35NM 70%
MOVE WSW 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 220900UTC 20.6N 106.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 230600UTC 20.5N 104.0E 85NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 210900
WARNING ATCG MIL 09W NWP 250721080637
2025072106 09W WIPHA 012 01 255 07 SATL RADR XTRP 060
T000 213N 1090E 045 R034 055 NE QD 070 SE QD 110 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 210N 1077E 055 R050 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 035 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 105 SE QD 105 SW QD 045 NW QD
T024 208N 1065E 045 R034 090 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 207N 1051E 035 R034 090 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 207N 1030E 020
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 012
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
210600Z --- NEAR 21.3N 109.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.3N 109.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 21.0N 107.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 20.8N 106.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 20.7N 105.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 20.7N 103.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
210900Z POSITION NEAR 21.2N 108.7E.
21JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 174 NM
EAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 210600Z IS 987 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
211500Z, 212100Z, 220300Z AND 220900Z.
//
0925071418 129N1345E 15
0925071500 130N1340E 15
0925071506 131N1336E 15
0925071512 132N1332E 15
0925071518 136N1324E 25
0925071600 138N1312E 25
0925071606 133N1306E 25
0925071612 128N1298E 25
0925071618 135N1284E 25
0925071700 144N1276E 30
0925071706 154N1268E 30
0925071712 164N1259E 30
0925071718 170N1249E 30
0925071800 177N1240E 30
0925071806 185N1232E 35
0925071812 194N1221E 40
0925071818 198N1207E 45
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071906 205N1189E 45
0925071912 210N1177E 50
0925071912 210N1177E 50
0925071918 215N1161E 55
0925071918 215N1161E 55
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072006 218N1132E 65
0925072006 218N1132E 65
0925072006 218N1132E 65
0925072012 217N1119E 60
0925072012 217N1119E 60
0925072018 216N1108E 50
0925072018 216N1108E 50
0925072100 215N1097E 45
0925072106 213N1090E 45
NNNN


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 210745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 210600 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (21.1 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (108.9 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220600 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (20.5 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (106.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230600 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (20.2 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (104.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 210600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.22 FOR TS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS WIPHA IS LOCATED AT 21.3N, 109.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS HAVE
GATHERED AROUND THE CSC. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT VIET-NAM BY
FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL.
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 210600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 210600UTC 21.3N 109.3E FAIR
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 211800UTC 20.7N 107.8E 35NM 70%
MOVE WSW 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 220600UTC 20.5N 106.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 230600UTC 20.5N 104.0E 85NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 210600
WARNING 210600.
WARNING VALID 220600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 985 HPA
AT 21.3N 109.3E GULF OF TONGKING MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 20.7N 107.8E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 20.5N 106.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 20.5N 104.0E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 210445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 210300 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (21.1 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (109.5 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220300 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (20.4 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (107.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230300 UTC
ONE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (19.9 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (104.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 210300
WARNING 210300.
WARNING VALID 220300.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 985 HPA
AT 21.3N 109.4E GULF OF TONGKING MOVING WEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211500UTC AT 20.9N 108.2E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220300UTC AT 20.7N 106.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 210300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 210300UTC 21.3N 109.4E FAIR
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 211500UTC 20.9N 108.2E 35NM 70%
MOVE WSW 06KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 220300UTC 20.7N 106.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 230000UTC 20.1N 104.2E 85NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 210300
WARNING ATCG MIL 09W NWP 250721011842
2025072100 09W WIPHA 011 01 265 13 SATL RADR SYNP 040
T000 215N 1094E 045 R034 055 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 211N 1080E 050 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 208N 1069E 055 R050 010 NE QD 040 SE QD 025 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 095 SE QD 075 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 206N 1052E 040 R034 060 NE QD 085 SE QD 045 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 205N 1035E 025
T072 206N 1012E 015
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 011
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
210000Z --- NEAR 21.5N 109.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N 109.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 21.1N 108.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 20.8N 106.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 20.6N 105.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 20.5N 103.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 20.6N 101.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
210300Z POSITION NEAR 21.4N 109.0E.
21JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 198 NM
EAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 210000Z IS 985 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
210900Z, 211500Z, 212100Z AND 220300Z.
//
0925071418 129N1345E 15
0925071500 130N1340E 15
0925071506 131N1336E 15
0925071512 132N1332E 15
0925071518 136N1324E 25
0925071600 138N1312E 25
0925071606 133N1306E 25
0925071612 128N1298E 25
0925071618 135N1284E 25
0925071700 144N1276E 30
0925071706 154N1268E 30
0925071712 164N1259E 30
0925071718 170N1249E 30
0925071800 177N1240E 30
0925071806 185N1232E 35
0925071812 194N1221E 40
0925071818 198N1207E 45
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071906 205N1189E 45
0925071912 210N1177E 50
0925071912 210N1177E 50
0925071918 215N1161E 55
0925071918 215N1161E 55
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072006 218N1132E 65
0925072006 218N1132E 65
0925072006 218N1132E 65
0925072012 217N1119E 60
0925072012 217N1119E 60
0925072018 216N1108E 50
0925072018 216N1108E 50
0925072100 215N1094E 45
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 210000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.21 FOR TS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS WIPHA IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 21.6N, 109.8E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
985HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT VIET-NAM BY FT48. THE TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP
MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS
ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL.
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 210300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
210000Z --- NEAR 21.5N 109.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N 109.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 21.1N 108.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 20.8N 106.9E
// END PART 01 //


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 210145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 210000 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (21.3
N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (110.0 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220000 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (20.5 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (107.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230000 UTC
ONE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (19.9 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (104.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 210000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2506 WIPHA (2506) DOWNGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 210000UTC 21.6N 109.8E FAIR
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 211200UTC 20.9N 108.7E 35NM 70%
MOVE WSW 06KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 220000UTC 20.5N 107.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE WSW 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 230000UTC 20.1N 104.2E 85NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 210000
WARNING 210000.
WARNING VALID 220000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL
STORM 985 HPA
AT 21.6N 109.8E SOUTH CHINA MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 20.9N 108.7E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 20.5N 107.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 20.1N 104.2E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 202245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 202100 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (21.5 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (110.4 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 212100 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (20.6 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (107.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 222100 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (20.0 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (105.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 232100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 202100
WARNING 202100.
WARNING VALID 212100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 980 HPA
AT 21.7N 110.2E SOUTH CHINA MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210900UTC AT 20.9N 108.9E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 212100UTC AT 20.5N 107.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 202100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 202100UTC 21.7N 110.2E FAIR
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 240NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 210900UTC 20.9N 108.9E 40NM 70%
MOVE WSW 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 212100UTC 20.5N 107.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE WSW 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 221800UTC 20.2N 105.7E 85NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 231800UTC 20.5N 102.6E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 202100
WARNING ATCG MIL 09W NWP 250720193610
2025072018 09W WIPHA 010 01 265 10 SATL RADR SYNP 040
T000 216N 1108E 050 R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 095 SE QD 100 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 211N 1091E 055 R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 130 SE QD 160 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 208N 1080E 060 R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 205N 1068E 060 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 120 SE QD 085 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 203N 1050E 040 R034 060 NE QD 120 SE QD 045 SW QD 025 NW QD
T072 205N 1025E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
201800Z --- NEAR 21.6N 110.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N 110.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 21.1N 109.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 20.8N 108.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 20.5N 106.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 20.3N 105.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 20.5N 102.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
202100Z POSITION NEAR 21.5N 110.4E.
20JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 194 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 201800Z IS 986 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT
210300Z, 210900Z, 211500Z AND 212100Z.
//
0925071418 129N1345E 15
0925071500 130N1340E 15
0925071506 131N1336E 15
0925071512 132N1332E 15
0925071518 136N1324E 25
0925071600 138N1312E 25
0925071606 133N1306E 25
0925071612 128N1298E 25
0925071618 135N1284E 25
0925071700 144N1276E 30
0925071706 154N1268E 30
0925071712 164N1259E 30
0925071718 170N1249E 30
0925071800 177N1240E 30
0925071806 185N1232E 35
0925071812 194N1221E 40
0925071818 198N1207E 45
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071906 205N1189E 45
0925071912 210N1177E 50
0925071912 210N1177E 50
0925071918 215N1161E 55
0925071918 215N1161E 55
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072006 218N1132E 65
0925072006 218N1132E 65
0925072006 218N1132E 65
0925072012 217N1119E 60
0925072012 217N1119E 60
0925072018 216N1108E 50
0925072018 216N1108E 50
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 202100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
201800Z --- NEAR 21.6N 110.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N 110.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 21.1N 109.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 20.8N 108.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 20.5N 106.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 20.3N 105.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 20.5N 102.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
202100Z POSITION NEAR 21.5N 110.4E.
20JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 194 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 201800Z IS 986 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT
210300Z, 210900Z, 211500Z AND 212100Z.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 201945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 201800 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (21.6 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (111.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 211800 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (20.7 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (108.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 221800 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (20.1 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (105.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 201800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.20 FOR STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS WIPHA IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 21.7N, 111.0E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
980HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 50KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF LAND AND LOW TCHP. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SHORTENING OF
A BAND WITH CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. METOP-B/MHS 85 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WESTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT VIET-NAM BY FT60. THE
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER
NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW
THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT36 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND INCREASED VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT60 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE OVER
LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 201800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 201800UTC 21.7N 111.0E FAIR
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 240NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 210600UTC 21.0N 109.4E 40NM 70%
MOVE WSW 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 211800UTC 20.5N 108.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE WSW 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 221800UTC 20.2N 105.7E 85NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 231800UTC 20.5N 102.6E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 201800
WARNING 201800.
WARNING VALID 211800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 980 HPA
AT 21.7N 111.0E SOUTH CHINA MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 21.0N 109.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 20.5N 108.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 20.2N 105.7E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 20.5N 102.6E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 201645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 201500 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (21.6 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (111.7 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 211500 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (20.9 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (108.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 221500 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (20.3 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (105.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 201500
WARNING 201500.
WARNING VALID 211500.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 980 HPA
AT 21.7N 111.3E SOUTH CHINA MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210300UTC AT 21.0N 109.7E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211500UTC AT 20.6N 108.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 201500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 201500UTC 21.7N 111.3E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 300NM SOUTH 180NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 210300UTC 21.0N 109.7E 35NM 70%
MOVE WSW 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 211500UTC 20.6N 108.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE WSW 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 221200UTC 20.2N 106.1E 85NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 231200UTC 20.0N 102.6E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 201500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 009
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 09W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
201200Z --- NEAR 21.7N 111.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.7N 111.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 21.3N 109.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
// END PART 01 //


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 201500
WARNING ATCG MIL 09W NWP 250720133627
2025072012 09W WIPHA 009 01 260 14 SATL RADR 060
T000 217N 1117E 060 R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 090 SE QD 085 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 213N 1097E 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 130 SE QD 160 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 209N 1083E 060 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 070 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 150 SE QD 140 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 206N 1071E 060 R050 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 150 SE QD 110 SW QD 070 NW QD
T048 204N 1058E 055 R050 045 NE QD 065 SE QD 075 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 065 NW QD
T072 203N 1038E 040
T096 208N 1021E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 009
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 09W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
201200Z --- NEAR 21.7N 111.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.7N 111.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 21.3N 109.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 20.9N 108.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 20.6N 107.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 20.4N 105.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 20.3N 103.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 20.8N 102.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
201500Z POSITION NEAR 21.6N 111.2E.
20JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 327 NM
EAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 201200Z IS 980 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
202100Z, 210300Z, 210900Z AND 211500Z.
//
0925071418 129N1345E 15
0925071500 130N1340E 15
0925071506 131N1336E 15
0925071512 132N1332E 15
0925071518 136N1324E 25
0925071600 138N1312E 25
0925071606 133N1306E 25
0925071612 128N1298E 25
0925071618 135N1284E 25
0925071700 144N1276E 30
0925071706 154N1268E 30
0925071712 164N1259E 30
0925071718 170N1249E 30
0925071800 177N1240E 30
0925071806 185N1232E 35
0925071812 194N1221E 40
0925071818 198N1207E 45
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071906 205N1189E 45
0925071912 210N1177E 50
0925071912 210N1177E 50
0925071918 215N1161E 55
0925071918 215N1161E 55
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072006 219N1132E 65
0925072006 219N1132E 65
0925072006 219N1132E 65
0925072012 217N1117E 60
0925072012 217N1117E 60
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 201200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.19 FOR STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS WIPHA IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 21.8N, 112.1E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
980HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 55KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SHORTENING OF
A BAND WITH CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WESTWARD
UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT VIET-NAM BY FT60. THE TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP
MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW
THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND LAND. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, INCREASED VWS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT60 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE OVER LAND.
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 201200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 201200UTC 21.8N 112.1E FAIR
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 300NM SOUTH 180NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 210000UTC 21.3N 110.0E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 211200UTC 20.8N 108.6E 50NM 70%
MOVE WSW 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 221200UTC 20.2N 106.1E 85NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 231200UTC 20.0N 102.6E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 201200
WARNING 201200.
WARNING VALID 211200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 980 HPA
AT 21.8N 112.1E SOUTH CHINA MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 21.3N 110.0E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 20.8N 108.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 20.2N 106.1E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 20.0N 102.6E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 201045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 200900 UTC, TYPHOON WIPHA (2506) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (21.8 N) ONE ONE TWO
POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (112.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 210900 UTC
TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (21.1 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (109.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220900 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (20.5 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (106.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230900 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (20.0 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (104.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 200900
WARNING 200900.
WARNING VALID 210900.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 970 HPA
AT 21.8N 112.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 202100UTC AT 21.6N 110.5E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210900UTC AT 21.0N 108.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 200900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 200900UTC 21.8N 112.8E FAIR
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 300NM SOUTH 180NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 202100UTC 21.6N 110.5E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 210900UTC 21.0N 108.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE WSW 09KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 220600UTC 20.4N 106.4E 85NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 230600UTC 20.1N 103.7E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 200900
WARNING ATCG MIL 09W NWP 250720080739
2025072006 09W WIPHA 008 01 280 13 SATL RADR 060
T000 219N 1132E 065 R064 000 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 090 SE QD 085 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 217N 1108E 060 R050 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 120 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 212N 1090E 055 R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 120 SE QD 130 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 208N 1076E 060 R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 205N 1065E 060 R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 030 NW QD
T072 202N 1038E 040
T096 209N 1019E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 008
1. TYPHOON 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
200600Z --- NEAR 21.9N 113.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.9N 113.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 21.7N 110.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 21.2N 109.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 20.8N 107.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 20.5N 106.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 20.2N 103.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 20.9N 101.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
200900Z POSITION NEAR 21.9N 112.6E.
20JUL25. TYPHOON 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 61 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 200600Z IS 977 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
201500Z, 202100Z, 210300Z AND 210900Z.
//
0925071418 129N1345E 15
0925071500 130N1340E 15
0925071506 131N1336E 15
0925071512 132N1332E 15
0925071518 136N1324E 25
0925071600 138N1312E 25
0925071606 133N1306E 25
0925071612 128N1298E 25
0925071618 135N1284E 25
0925071700 144N1276E 30
0925071706 154N1268E 30
0925071712 164N1259E 30
0925071718 170N1249E 30
0925071800 177N1240E 30
0925071806 185N1232E 35
0925071812 194N1221E 40
0925071818 198N1207E 45
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071906 205N1189E 45
0925071912 210N1177E 50
0925071912 210N1177E 50
0925071918 215N1161E 55
0925071918 215N1161E 55
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072000 217N1146E 65
0925072006 219N1132E 65
0925072006 219N1132E 65
0925072006 219N1132E 65
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 200900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
200600Z --- NEAR 21.9N 113.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.9N 113.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 21.7N 110.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 21.2N 109.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 20.8N 107.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 20.5N 106.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 20.2N 103.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 20.9N 101.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
200900Z POSITION NEAR 21.9N 112.6E.
20JUL25. TYPHOON 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 61 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 200600Z IS 977 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
201500Z, 202100Z, 210300Z AND 210900Z.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 200600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.18 FOR STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS WIPHA IS LOCATED AT 21.7N, 113.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 60KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE ELONGATION OF
A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS
GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. METOP-C/MHS 85
GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE
MAINLAND OR HAINAN ISLAND BY FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND LAND. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM
WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 200745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 200600 UTC, TYPHOON WIPHA (2506) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO ONE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (21.9 N) ONE ONE THREE
POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (113.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 210600 UTC
TWO ONE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (21.2 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (109.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220600 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (20.5 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (106.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230600 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (20.0 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (104.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 200600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 200600UTC 21.7N 113.3E GOOD
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 300NM SOUTH 180NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 201800UTC 21.4N 111.0E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 210600UTC 20.9N 108.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 220600UTC 20.4N 106.4E 85NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 230600UTC 20.1N 103.7E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 200600
WARNING 200600.
WARNING VALID 210600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 970 HPA
AT 21.7N 113.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 21.4N 111.0E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 20.9N 108.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 20.4N 106.4E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 20.1N 103.7E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 200445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 200300 UTC, TYPHOON WIPHA (2506) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (21.8 N) ONE ONE FOUR
POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (114.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 180 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 210300 UTC
TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (21.0 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (109.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220300 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (20.3 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (106.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230300 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (20.0 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (104.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 200300
WARNING 200300.
WARNING VALID 210300.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 970 HPA
AT 21.6N 114.1E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201500UTC AT 21.4N 111.1E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210300UTC AT 20.8N 109.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 200300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 200300UTC 21.6N 114.1E GOOD
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 300NM SOUTH 180NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 201500UTC 21.4N 111.1E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 210300UTC 20.8N 109.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE WSW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 220000UTC 20.2N 107.0E 85NM 70%
MOVE WSW 06KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 230000UTC 20.0N 104.4E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 200000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.17 FOR STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS WIPHA IS LOCATED AT 21.3N, 114.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE ELONGATION OF
A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS
GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. DMSP-F18/SSMIS
89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH
CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE
MAINLAND OR HAINAN ISLAND BY FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND LAND. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM
WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 200300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 007
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 09W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
200000Z --- NEAR 21.6N 114.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N 114.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 21.6N 111.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 21.1N 109.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 20.6N 108.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 20.3N 106.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 19.7N 103.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 20.0N 101.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
200300Z POSITION NEAR 21.6N 113.9E.
20JUL25. TYPHOON 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 48 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 200000Z IS 970 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
200900Z, 201500Z, 202100Z AND 210300Z.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 200300
WARNING ATCG MIL 09W NWP 250720014233
2025072000 09W WIPHA 007 01 275 13 SATL RADR SYNP 025
T000 216N 1146E 065 R064 000 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 090 SE QD 085 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 216N 1119E 070 R064 015 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 045 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 110 SE QD 105 SW QD 055 NW QD
T024 211N 1097E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 110 SE QD 130 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 206N 1081E 060 R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 110 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 203N 1069E 060 R050 025 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 005 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 105 SE QD 075 SW QD 055 NW QD
T072 197N 1039E 040 R034 070 NE QD 110 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T096 200N 1017E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 007
1. TYPHOON 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 007
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 09W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
200000Z --- NEAR 21.6N 114.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N 114.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 21.6N 111.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 21.1N 109.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 20.6N 108.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 20.3N 106.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 19.7N 103.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 20.0N 101.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
200300Z POSITION NEAR 21.6N 113.9E.
20JUL25. TYPHOON 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 48 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 200000Z IS 970 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 29 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
200900Z, 201500Z, 202100Z AND 210300Z.
//
0925071418 129N1345E 15
0925071500 130N1340E 15
0925071506 131N1336E 15
0925071512 132N1332E 15
0925071518 136N1324E 25
0925071600 138N1312E 25
0925071606 133N1306E 25
0925071612 128N1298E 25
0925071618 135N1284E 25
0925071700 144N1276E 30
0925071706 154N1268E 30
0925071712 164N1259E 30
0925071718 170N1249E 30
0925071800 177N1240E 30
0925071806 185N1232E 35
0925071812 194N1221E 40
0925071818 198N1207E 45
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071906 205N1189E 45
0925071912 210N1177E 50
0925071912 210N1177E 50
0925071918 215N1160E 55
0925071918 215N1160E 55
0925072000 216N1146E 65
0925072000 216N1146E 65
0925072000 216N1146E 65
NNNN


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 200145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 200000 UTC, TYPHOON WIPHA (2506) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (21.7 N) ONE ONE FOUR
POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (114.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 210000 UTC
TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (21.1 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (109.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220000 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (20.4 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (107.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230000 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (20.0 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (104.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 200000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 200000UTC 21.3N 114.8E GOOD
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 300NM SOUTH 180NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 201200UTC 21.6N 111.8E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 210000UTC 20.9N 109.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE WSW 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 220000UTC 20.2N 107.0E 85NM 70%
MOVE WSW 06KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 230000UTC 20.0N 104.4E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 200000
WARNING 200000.
WARNING VALID 210000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 975 HPA
AT 21.3N 114.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 21.6N 111.8E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 20.9N 109.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 20.2N 107.0E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 20.0N 104.4E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 192245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 192100 UTC, TYPHOON WIPHA (2506) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (21.6 N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT
FOUR DEGREES EAST (115.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR
WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 202100 UTC
TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (21.4 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (110.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 212100 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (20.5 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (107.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 222100 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (20.0 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (105.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 232100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 192100
WARNING 192100.
WARNING VALID 202100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 980 HPA
AT 21.6N 115.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 200900UTC AT 21.7N 112.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 202100UTC AT 21.3N 109.7E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 192100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 192100UTC 21.6N 115.4E FAIR
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 300NM SOUTH 180NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 200900UTC 21.7N 112.4E 40NM 70%
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 202100UTC 21.3N 109.7E 57NM 70%
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 211800UTC 20.6N 107.8E 85NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 221800UTC 20.2N 105.3E 120NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
93HF 231800UTC 20.3N 102.8E 175NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 192100
WARNING ATCG MIL 09W NWP 250719193448
2025071918 09W WIPHA 006 01 290 17 SATL AIRC SYNP 030
T000 215N 1160E 055 R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 080 SE QD 085 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 218N 1130E 060 R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 214N 1106E 045 R034 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 208N 1089E 050 R050 030 NE QD 035 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 085 SE QD 100 SW QD 070 NW QD
T048 204N 1076E 055 R050 035 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 110 SE QD 085 SW QD 065 NW QD
T072 199N 1050E 040 R034 030 NE QD 090 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD
T096 199N 1019E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
191800Z --- NEAR 21.5N 116.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, AIRCRAFT AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N 116.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 21.8N 113.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 21.4N 110.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 20.8N 108.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 20.4N 107.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 19.9N 105.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 19.9N 101.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
192100Z POSITION NEAR 21.6N 115.2E.
19JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 111 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 191800Z IS 981 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
200300Z, 200900Z, 201500Z AND 202100Z.
//
0925071418 129N1345E 15
0925071500 130N1340E 15
0925071506 131N1336E 15
0925071512 132N1332E 15
0925071518 136N1324E 25
0925071600 138N1312E 25
0925071606 133N1306E 25
0925071612 128N1298E 25
0925071618 135N1284E 25
0925071700 144N1276E 30
0925071706 154N1268E 30
0925071712 164N1259E 30
0925071718 170N1249E 30
0925071800 177N1240E 30
0925071806 185N1232E 35
0925071812 194N1221E 40
0925071818 198N1207E 45
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071906 205N1189E 45
0925071912 210N1177E 50
0925071912 210N1177E 50
0925071918 215N1160E 55
0925071918 215N1160E 55
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 192100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
191800Z --- NEAR 21.5N 116.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, AIRCRAFT AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N 116.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 21.8N 113.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 21.4N 110.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 20.8N 108.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 20.4N 107.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 19.9N 105.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 19.9N 101.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
192100Z POSITION NEAR 21.6N 115.2E.
19JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 111 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 191800Z IS 981 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
200300Z, 200900Z, 201500Z AND 202100Z.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 191800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.16 FOR STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS WIPHA IS LOCATED AT 21.5N, 116.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 50KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, WEAK VWS AND REDUCED TCHP.
THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST
SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE
NOW DISTINCT. METOP-C/MHS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE WEST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
DECELERATE AND MOVE WESTWARD UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE
CHINESE MAINLAND OR HAINAN ISLAND BY FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WEAK VWS.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW,
WEAK VWS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO
THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND
LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT96. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 191945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 191800 UTC, TYPHOON WIPHA (2506) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
965 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (21.4 N) ONE ONE SIX POINT
TWO DEGREES EAST (116.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR
WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 201800 UTC
TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (21.6 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (110.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 211800 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (20.6 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (107.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 221800 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (20.1 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (105.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 191800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 191800UTC 21.5N 116.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 300NM SOUTH 180NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 200600UTC 21.9N 113.2E 40NM 70%
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 201800UTC 21.2N 110.8E 57NM 70%
MOVE WSW 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 211800UTC 20.6N 107.8E 85NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 221800UTC 20.2N 105.3E 120NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
96HF 231800UTC 20.3N 102.8E 175NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 191800
WARNING 191800.
WARNING VALID 201800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 980 HPA
AT 21.5N 116.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 21.9N 113.2E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 21.2N 110.8E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 20.6N 107.8E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 20.2N 105.3E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 20.3N 102.8E WITH 175 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 191500
WARNING 191500.
WARNING VALID 201500.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 980 HPA
AT 21.6N 116.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 200300UTC AT 21.7N 114.0E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201500UTC AT 21.4N 111.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 191500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 191500UTC 21.6N 116.7E FAIR
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 270NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 200300UTC 21.7N 114.0E 40NM 70%
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 201500UTC 21.4N 111.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 211200UTC 20.8N 108.6E 85NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 221200UTC 20.2N 105.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
93HF 231200UTC 20.5N 102.6E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 191500
WARNING ATCG MIL 09W NWP 250719141221
2025071912 09W WIPHA 005 01 295 12 SATL 060
T000 210N 1177E 055 R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 055 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 100 SE QD 120 SW Q
D 105 NW QD
T012 215N 1151E 055 R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 085 NW QD
T024 214N 1125E 045 R034 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 211N 1104E 045 R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 110 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 207N 1089E 040 R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 100 SW QD 020 NW QD
T072 202N 1062E 030
T096 199N 1037E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
191200Z --- NEAR 21.0N 117.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.0N 117.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 21.5N 115.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 21.4N 112.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 21.1N 110.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 20.7N 108.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 20.2N 106.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 19.9N 103.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
191500Z POSITION NEAR 21.1N 117.1E.
19JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 191200Z IS 976 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
192100Z, 200300Z, 200900Z AND 201500Z.
//
0925071418 129N1345E 15
0925071500 130N1340E 15
0925071506 131N1336E 15
0925071512 132N1332E 15
0925071518 136N1324E 25
0925071600 138N1312E 25
0925071606 133N1306E 25
0925071612 128N1298E 25
0925071618 135N1284E 25
0925071700 144N1276E 30
0925071706 154N1268E 30
0925071712 164N1259E 30
0925071718 170N1249E 30
0925071800 177N1240E 30
0925071806 185N1232E 35
0925071812 194N1221E 40
0925071818 198N1207E 45
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071906 205N1189E 50
0925071906 205N1189E 50
0925071912 210N1177E 55
0925071912 210N1177E 55


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 191200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.15 FOR STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS WIPHA IS LOCATED AT 21.3N, 117.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 50KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, WEAK VWS AND REDUCED TCHP.
THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST
SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS
ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE WEST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE WESTWARD UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL
HIT THE CHINESE MAINLAND OR HAINAN ISLAND BY FT48. THE TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP
MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS
ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WEAK VWS.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW,
WEAK VWS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO
THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND
LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT96. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 191345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 191200 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (21.0 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (117.7 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 201200 UTC
TWO ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (21.7 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (112.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 211200 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (20.7 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (108.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 221200 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (20.4 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (106.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 191200
WARNING 191200.
WARNING VALID 201200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 980 HPA
AT 21.3N 117.6E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 21.7N 114.5E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 21.5N 111.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 20.8N 108.6E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 20.2N 105.7E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 20.5N 102.6E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 191200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 191200UTC 21.3N 117.6E FAIR
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 270NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 200000UTC 21.7N 114.5E 40NM 70%
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 201200UTC 21.5N 111.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 211200UTC 20.8N 108.6E 85NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 221200UTC 20.2N 105.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
96HF 231200UTC 20.5N 102.6E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 191045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 190900 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (20.7
N) ONE ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (118.3 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 200900 UTC
TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (21.6 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (112.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 210900 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (20.9 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (109.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220900 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (20.4 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (106.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230900 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (20.0 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (104.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 190900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 190900UTC 20.9N 118.3E FAIR
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 270NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 192100UTC 21.6N 115.2E 40NM 70%
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 200900UTC 21.5N 112.6E 57NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 210600UTC 21.0N 109.2E 100NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 220600UTC 20.5N 106.1E 120NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
93HF 230600UTC 20.5N 103.3E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 190900
WARNING 190900.
WARNING VALID 200900.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 980 HPA
AT 20.9N 118.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 192100UTC AT 21.6N 115.2E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 200900UTC AT 21.5N 112.6E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 190900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190600Z --- NEAR 20.5N 118.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N 118.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 21.3N 116.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 21.5N 113.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 21.3N 111.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 20.9N 109.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 20.3N 106.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 20.2N 103.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
190900Z POSITION NEAR 20.7N 118.3E.
19JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 284 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 190600Z IS 980 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
191500Z, 192100Z, 200300Z AND 200900Z.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 190900
WARNING ATCG MIL 09W NWP 250719073842
2025071906 09W WIPHA 004 01 285 09 SATL 060
T000 205N 1189E 050 R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 055 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 100 SE QD 120 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 213N 1163E 055 R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 215N 1136E 055 R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 050 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 213N 1115E 045 R034 070 NE QD 110 SE QD 140 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 209N 1095E 040 R034 080 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 203N 1068E 040 R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 040 SW QD 080 NW QD
T096 202N 1032E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190600Z --- NEAR 20.5N 118.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N 118.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 21.3N 116.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 21.5N 113.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 21.3N 111.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 20.9N 109.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 20.3N 106.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 20.2N 103.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
190900Z POSITION NEAR 20.7N 118.3E.
19JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 284 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 190600Z IS 980 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
191500Z, 192100Z, 200300Z AND 200900Z.
//
0925071418 129N1345E 15
0925071500 130N1340E 15
0925071506 131N1336E 15
0925071512 132N1332E 15
0925071518 136N1324E 25
0925071600 138N1312E 25
0925071606 133N1306E 25
0925071612 128N1298E 25
0925071618 135N1284E 25
0925071700 144N1276E 30
0925071706 154N1268E 30
0925071712 164N1259E 30
0925071718 170N1249E 30
0925071800 177N1240E 30
0925071806 185N1232E 35
0925071812 194N1221E 40
0925071818 198N1207E 45
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071900 203N1198E 50
0925071906 205N1189E 50
0925071906 205N1189E 50
NNNN


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 190745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 190600 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (20.5
N) ONE ONE NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (119.0 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 200600 UTC
TWO ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (21.7 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (113.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 210600 UTC
TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (21.0 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (109.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220600 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (20.4 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (106.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230600 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (20.1 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (104.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 190600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.14 FOR STS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS WIPHA IS LOCATED AT 20.6N, 119.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 50KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WEAK VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED
THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
METOP-B/MHS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND
WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE WESTWARD UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL
HIT THE CHINESE MAINLAND OR HAINAN ISLAND BY FT48. THE TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP
MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS
ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WEAK VWS.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT36 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW,
WEAK VWS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO
ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND
LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT96. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 190600
WARNING 190600.
WARNING VALID 200600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM
980 HPA
AT 20.6N 119.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 21.6N 115.8E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 21.7N 113.2E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 21.0N 109.2E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 20.5N 106.1E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 20.5N 103.3E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 190600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2506 WIPHA (2506) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 190600UTC 20.6N 119.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 270NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 191800UTC 21.6N 115.8E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 16KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 200600UTC 21.7N 113.2E 57NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 210600UTC 21.0N 109.2E 100NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 220600UTC 20.5N 106.1E 120NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
96HF 230600UTC 20.5N 103.3E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 190445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 190300 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (20.2 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (119.5 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 200300 UTC
TWO ONE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (21.9 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (114.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 210300 UTC
TWO ONE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (21.2 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (109.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220300 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (20.7 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (106.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230300 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (20.3 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (105.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.
0000009900
79751


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 190300
WARNING 190300.
WARNING VALID 200300.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 985 HPA
AT 20.5N 119.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 191500UTC AT 21.3N 116.7E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 200300UTC AT 21.8N 114.1E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 190300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 190300UTC 20.5N 119.3E FAIR
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 350NM EAST 180NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 191500UTC 21.3N 116.7E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 200300UTC 21.8N 114.1E 57NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 210000UTC 21.1N 110.2E 100NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 220000UTC 20.6N 107.1E 140NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
93HF 230000UTC 20.4N 104.3E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 190300
WARNING ATCG MIL 09W NWP 250719014100
2025071900 09W WIPHA 003 01 290 09 SATL 060
T000 201N 1198E 050 R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 150 SE QD 110 SW Q
D 130 NW QD
T012 210N 1174E 055 R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 100 NW QD
T024 215N 1148E 060 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD
T036 214N 1124E 045 R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 211N 1104E 040 R034 060 NE QD 130 SE QD 160 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 207N 1074E 045 R034 080 NE QD 120 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 203N 1042E 025
T120 202N 1026E 020
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190000Z --- NEAR 20.1N 119.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N 119.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 21.0N 117.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 21.5N 114.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 21.4N 112.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 21.1N 110.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 20.7N 107.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 20.3N 104.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 20.2N 102.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
190300Z POSITION NEAR 20.3N 119.2E.
19JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 340 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 190000Z IS 981 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 20 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z, 191500Z, 192100Z AND 200300Z.//
0925071418 129N1345E 15
0925071500 130N1340E 15
0925071506 131N1336E 15
0925071512 132N1332E 15
0925071518 136N1324E 25
0925071600 138N1312E 25
0925071606 133N1306E 25
0925071612 128N1298E 25
0925071618 135N1284E 25
0925071700 144N1276E 30
0925071706 154N1268E 30
0925071712 164N1259E 30
0925071718 170N1249E 30
0925071800 177N1240E 30
0925071806 185N1232E 35
0925071812 194N1221E 40
0925071818 198N1207E 45
0925071900 201N1198E 50
0925071900 201N1198E 50


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 190300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190000Z --- NEAR 20.1N 119.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N 119.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 21.0N 117.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 21.5N 114.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 21.4N 112.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 21.1N 110.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 20.7N 107.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 20.3N 104.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 20.2N 102.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
190300Z POSITION NEAR 20.3N 119.2E.
19JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 340 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 190000Z IS 981 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 20 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z, 191500Z, 192100Z AND 200300Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 190145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 190000 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (19.8
N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (120.0 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 180 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 200000 UTC
TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (21.8 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (114.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 210000 UTC
TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (21.3 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (110.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220000 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (20.7 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (107.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230000 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (20.3 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (105.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 190000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.13 FOR TS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS WIPHA IS LOCATED AT 19.9N, 119.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LAND. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND STARTING TO FORM A CURVED
BAND. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF
ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WESTWARD UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE MAINLAND OR
HAINAN ISLAND BY FT60. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS, GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL
FT60 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW TCHP AND LAND. THE
SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT96. THE INTENSITY FORECAST
IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 190000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 190000UTC 19.9N 119.7E FAIR
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 350NM EAST 180NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 191200UTC 21.1N 117.4E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 200000UTC 21.7N 114.9E 57NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 210000UTC 21.1N 110.2E 100NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 220000UTC 20.6N 107.1E 140NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
96HF 230000UTC 20.4N 104.3E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 190000
WARNING 190000.
WARNING VALID 200000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 985 HPA
AT 19.9N 119.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 21.1N 117.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 21.7N 114.9E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 21.1N 110.2E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 20.6N 107.1E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 20.4N 104.3E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 182100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 182100UTC 19.7N 120.3E FAIR
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 350NM EAST 180NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 190900UTC 20.7N 118.4E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 192100UTC 21.5N 115.8E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 201800UTC 21.5N 110.9E 115NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 211800UTC 20.8N 107.9E 160NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
93HF 221800UTC 20.0N 104.9E 175NM 70%
MOVE WSW 07KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
117HF 231800UTC 20.4N 102.0E 215NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 182100
WARNING 182100.
WARNING VALID 192100.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 985 HPA
AT 19.7N 120.3E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 190900UTC AT 20.7N 118.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 192100UTC AT 21.5N 115.8E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 182100
WARNING ATCG MIL 09W NWP 250718200150
2025071818 09W WIPHA 002 01 290 13 SATL 060
T000 198N 1208E 045 R034 210 NE QD 190 SE QD 100 SW QD 130 NW QD
T012 207N 1186E 050 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 150 SE QD 130 SW QD 130 NW QD
T024 215N 1162E 060 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD 100 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 218N 1135E 045 R034 130 NE QD 180 SE QD 100 SW QD 070 NW QD
T048 215N 1111E 040 R034 090 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 208N 1077E 045 R034 070 NE QD 140 SE QD 100 SW QD 060 NW QD
T096 203N 1047E 025
T120 201N 1021E 020
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
181800Z --- NEAR 19.8N 120.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N 120.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 20.7N 118.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 21.5N 116.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 21.8N 113.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 21.5N 111.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 20.8N 107.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 20.3N 104.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 20.1N 102.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
182100Z POSITION NEAR 20.0N 120.2E.
18JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 399 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 181800Z IS 984 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 20 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z, 190900Z, 191500Z AND 192100Z.//
0925071418 129N1345E 15
0925071500 130N1340E 15
0925071506 131N1336E 15
0925071512 132N1332E 15
0925071518 136N1324E 25
0925071600 138N1312E 25
0925071606 133N1306E 25
0925071612 128N1298E 25
0925071618 135N1284E 25
0925071700 144N1276E 30
0925071706 154N1268E 30
0925071712 164N1259E 30
0925071718 170N1249E 30
0925071800 177N1240E 30
0925071806 185N1232E 35
0925071812 194N1221E 40
0925071818 198N1208E 45
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 182100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
181800Z --- NEAR 19.8N 120.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N 120.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 20.7N 118.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 21.5N 116.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 21.8N 113.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 21.5N 111.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 20.8N 107.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 20.3N 104.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 20.1N 102.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
182100Z POSITION NEAR 20.0N 120.2E.
18JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 399 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 181800Z IS 984 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 20 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z, 190900Z, 191500Z AND 192100Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 181800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.12 FOR TS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS WIPHA IS LOCATED AT 19.4N, 121.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. METOP-C/MHS 85 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT
VIET-NAM BY FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOW TCHP AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN
UNTIL FT120 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD
INTENSITY BY FT120. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS
OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 181945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 181800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 985 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE NINE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (19.6 N) ONE TWO
ONE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (121.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 191800 UTC
TWO ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (21.5 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (116.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 201800 UTC
TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (21.6 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (111.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 211800 UTC
TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (21.0 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (108.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 221800 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (20.5 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (105.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 181800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 181800UTC 19.4N 121.0E FAIR
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 350NM EAST 180NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 190600UTC 20.8N 118.8E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 191800UTC 21.6N 116.2E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 201800UTC 21.5N 110.9E 115NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 211800UTC 20.8N 107.9E 160NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
96HF 221800UTC 20.0N 104.9E 175NM 70%
MOVE WSW 07KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
120HF 231800UTC 20.4N 102.0E 215NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 181800
WARNING 181800.
WARNING VALID 191800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 985 HPA
AT 19.4N 121.0E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 20.8N 118.8E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 21.6N 116.2E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 21.5N 110.9E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 20.8N 107.9E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 20.0N 104.9E WITH 175 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 20.4N 102.0E WITH 215 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 181645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 181500 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 985 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (19.4 N) ONE TWO
TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (122.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 191500 UTC
TWO ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (21.5 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (116.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 201500 UTC
TWO ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (21.7 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (111.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 211500 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (20.9 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (107.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 221500 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (20.3 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (105.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 181500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 181500UTC 19.4N 121.3E FAIR
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 300NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 190300UTC 20.2N 119.3E 40NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 191500UTC 21.2N 117.1E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 201200UTC 21.6N 112.2E 115NM 70%
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 211200UTC 20.9N 108.5E 160NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
93HF 221200UTC 20.4N 105.2E 200NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
117HF 231200UTC 20.5N 102.0E 250NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 181500
WARNING ATCG MIL 09W NWP 250718140252
2025071812 09W WIPHA 001 01 310 11 SATL SYNP 050
T000 193N 1225E 035 R034 180 NE QD 170 SE QD 035 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 203N 1203E 040 R034 180 NE QD 150 SE QD 070 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 213N 1180E 050 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 130 SE QD 090 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 219N 1154E 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 130 SE QD 090 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 218N 1128E 050 R050 030 NE QD 070 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 200 SE QD 090 SW QD 120 NW QD
T072 212N 1091E 040 R034 080 NE QD 190 SE QD 120 SW QD 080 NW QD
T096 206N 1058E 030
T120 202N 1030E 020
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
181200Z --- NEAR 19.3N 122.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N 122.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 20.3N 120.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 21.3N 118.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 21.9N 115.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 21.8N 112.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 21.2N 109.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 20.6N 105.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 20.2N 103.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
181500Z POSITION NEAR 19.6N 122.0E.
18JUL25. TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 499 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 181200Z IS
991 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 15 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z, 190300Z, 190900Z AND 191500Z.//
0925071418 129N1345E 15
0925071500 130N1340E 15
0925071506 131N1336E 15
0925071512 132N1332E 15
0925071518 136N1324E 25
0925071600 138N1312E 25
0925071606 133N1306E 25
0925071612 128N1298E 25
0925071618 135N1284E 25
0925071700 144N1276E 30
0925071706 154N1268E 30
0925071712 164N1259E 30
0925071718 170N1247E 30
0925071800 176N1241E 30
0925071806 186N1234E 35
0925071812 193N1225E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 181200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.11 FOR TS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS WIPHA IS LOCATED AT 19.4N, 122.1E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW.
HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO
TD INTENSITY BY FT120. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 181345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 181200 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE NINE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (19.2 N) ONE TWO
TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (122.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 191200 UTC
TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (21.3 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (117.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 201200 UTC
TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (21.8 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (112.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 211200 UTC
TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (21.0 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (108.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 221200 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (20.4 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (105.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 181200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 181200UTC 19.4N 122.1E FAIR
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 300NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 190000UTC 20.0N 119.6E 40NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 191200UTC 21.1N 117.8E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 201200UTC 21.6N 112.2E 115NM 70%
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 211200UTC 20.9N 108.5E 160NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
96HF 221200UTC 20.4N 105.2E 200NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
120HF 231200UTC 20.5N 102.0E 250NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 181200
WARNING 181200.
WARNING VALID 191200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 990 HPA
AT 19.4N 122.1E BASHI CHANNEL MOVING NORTHWEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 20.0N 119.6E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 191200UTC AT 21.1N 117.8E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 21.6N 112.2E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 20.9N 108.5E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 20.4N 105.2E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 20.5N 102.0E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 181045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 180900 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (18.7 N) ONE
TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (122.5 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 190900 UTC
TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (21.1 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (118.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 200900 UTC
TWO TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (22.0 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (112.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 210900 UTC
TWO ONE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (21.2 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (108.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220900 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (20.6 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (105.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 180900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 180900UTC 19.0N 122.6E FAIR
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 300NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 182100UTC 19.8N 120.5E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 190900UTC 20.8N 118.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 200600UTC 21.9N 113.9E 100NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 210600UTC 21.2N 109.2E 160NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
93HF 220600UTC 20.4N 105.9E 200NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
117HF 230600UTC 20.5N 103.6E 250NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 180745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 180600 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (18.6 N) ONE TWO
TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (122.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 150 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 190600 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (20.9 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (118.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 200600 UTC
TWO TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (22.0 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (113.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 210600 UTC
TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (21.3 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (108.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220600 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (20.6 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (106.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230600 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (20.2 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (104.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 180600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.10 FOR TS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS WIPHA IS LOCATED AT 18.6N, 123.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE NOW DISTINCT. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE WEST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL
FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 180600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 180600UTC 18.6N 123.0E FAIR
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 300NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 181800UTC 19.7N 121.0E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 190600UTC 20.3N 119.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 200600UTC 21.9N 113.9E 100NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 210600UTC 21.2N 109.2E 160NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
96HF 220600UTC 20.4N 105.9E 200NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
120HF 230600UTC 20.5N 103.6E 250NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 180600
WARNING 180600.
WARNING VALID 190600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 992 HPA
AT 18.6N 123.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 19.7N 121.0E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 190600UTC AT 20.3N 119.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 21.9N 113.9E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 21.2N 109.2E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 20.4N 105.9E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 20.5N 103.6E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 180445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 180300 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N) ONE
TWO THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (123.4 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 190300 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (20.3 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (119.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 200300 UTC
TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (21.4 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (114.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 210300 UTC
TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (21.3 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (109.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220300 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (20.7 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (106.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230300 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (20.1 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (105.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.
0000009800
72054


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 180300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 180300UTC 17.7N 123.7E FAIR
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 300NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 181500UTC 19.7N 121.7E 30NM 70%
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 190300UTC 20.2N 119.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 200000UTC 21.3N 115.4E 100NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 210000UTC 21.2N 109.9E 160NM 70%
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
93HF 220000UTC 20.1N 107.4E 200NM 70%
MOVE WSW 06KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
117HF 230000UTC 19.9N 105.1E 250NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 180000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 9 FOR TS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS WIPHA IS LOCATED AT 17.0N, 124.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW ARE NOW DISTINCT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND
THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE WEST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE
TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 180145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 180000 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N) ONE
TWO THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (123.8 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 190000 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (20.1 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (119.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 200000 UTC
TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (21.3 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (114.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 210000 UTC
TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (21.4 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (109.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220000 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (20.8 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (107.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230000 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (20.2 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (105.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.=


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 180000
WARNING 180000.
WARNING VALID 190000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) 992 HPA
AT 17.0N 124.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 181200UTC AT 19.4N 122.5E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 190000UTC AT 20.1N 119.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 200000UTC AT 21.3N 115.4E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 21.2N 109.9E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 20.1N 107.4E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 19.9N 105.1E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 180000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 180000UTC 17.0N 124.5E FAIR
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 240NM EAST 180NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 181200UTC 19.4N 122.5E 30NM 70%
MOVE NW 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 190000UTC 20.1N 119.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 200000UTC 21.3N 115.4E 100NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 210000UTC 21.2N 109.9E 160NM 70%
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
96HF 220000UTC 20.1N 107.4E 200NM 70%
MOVE WSW 06KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
120HF 230000UTC 19.9N 105.1E 250NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 172245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 172100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM WIPHA (2506) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N) ONE
TWO FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (124.4 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE, 120 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 182100 UTC
ONE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (19.9 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (120.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 192100 UTC
TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (21.1 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (115.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 202100 UTC
TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (21.6 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (110.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 212100 UTC
TWO ONE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (21.2 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (107.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 222100 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (20.8 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (105.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 172100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 172100UTC 16.7N 124.9E FAIR
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 180900UTC 18.8N 122.9E 30NM 70%
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 182100UTC 19.9N 120.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 191800UTC 20.4N 116.7E 110NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 201800UTC 20.9N 112.1E 165NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
93HF 211800UTC 20.8N 108.4E 210NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
117HF 221800UTC 21.2N 106.1E 280NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 171800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 8 FOR TS 2506 WIPHA (2506)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
A TD PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 15.6N, 126.1E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TS
(WIPHA) STATUS. TS WIPHA IS LOCATED AT 16.4N, 125.2E. INFORMATION
ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
996HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH
SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION
ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND STARTING TO FORM A CURVED
BAND. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW ARE NOW DISTINCT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND
THE SYSTEM. NOAA-20/ATMS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 171800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2506 WIPHA (2506) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 171800UTC 16.4N 125.2E FAIR
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 180600UTC 18.2N 123.2E 47NM 70%
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 181800UTC 19.4N 121.1E 60NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 191800UTC 20.4N 116.7E 110NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 201800UTC 20.9N 112.1E 165NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
96HF 211800UTC 20.8N 108.4E 210NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
120HF 221800UTC 21.2N 106.1E 280NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 171800
WARNING 171800.
WARNING VALID 181800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2506 WIPHA (2506) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION
996 HPA
AT 16.4N 125.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 180600UTC AT 18.2N 123.2E WITH 47 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 181800UTC AT 19.4N 121.1E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 191800UTC AT 20.4N 116.7E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 20.9N 112.1E WITH 165 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 20.8N 108.4E WITH 210 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 21.2N 106.1E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=