Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for BEBINCA-24
in China, Japan, Guam, Northern Mariana Islands

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

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Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 170000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.30 FOR TD LOCATED AT 32N 117E
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
BEBINCA (2413) HAS WEAKENED TO TD INTENSITY. THE TD IS LOCATED ON
LAND AT 32N, 117E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND ANIMATED MSI. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004HPA
AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE LESS THAN 30KNOTS. INFORMATION ON
THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS ARE SCATTERED AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST

4.INTENSITY FORECAST

5.REMARKS
THIS WILL BE THE FINAL PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR THE SYSTEM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 170000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 2413 BEBINCA (2413)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 170000UTC 32N 117E
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 1004HPA =


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 162100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2413 BEBINCA (2413)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 162100UTC 32.2N 117.6E FAIR
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
12HF 170900UTC 33.1N 115.5E 25NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HF 172100UTC 33.2N 114.6E 35NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 161800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.29 FOR TS 2413 BEBINCA (2413)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS BEBINCA IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 31.8N, 117.9E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
998HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS ARE
SCATTERED AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW HAVE BECOME OBSCURE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS HIGH
BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE
OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT12. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 161800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2413 BEBINCA (2413)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 161800UTC 31.8N 117.9E FAIR
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
12HF 170600UTC 33.1N 116.2E 25NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HF 171800UTC 33.2N 114.8E 35NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 161800
WARNING 161800.
WARNING VALID 171800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2413 BEBINCA (2413) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL
STORM 998 HPA
AT 31.8N 117.9E CENTRAL CHINA MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 33.1N 116.2E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1006 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 33.2N 114.8E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 161500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2413 BEBINCA (2413) DOWNGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 161500UTC 31.8N 118.7E GOOD
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM NORTHEAST 100NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 170300UTC 32.8N 116.6E 25NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HF 171500UTC 33.2N 115.1E 35NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 161200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.28 FOR STS 2413 BEBINCA (2413)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS BEBINCA IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 31.7N, 119.3E. INFORMATION ON
THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
990HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 50KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS HIGH BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE
OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT12. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 161200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2413 BEBINCA (2413)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 161200UTC 31.7N 119.3E GOOD
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 120NM NORTHEAST 100NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 170000UTC 32.7N 117.0E 25NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HF 171200UTC 33.1N 115.5E 35NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 161200
WARNING 161200.
WARNING VALID 171200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2413 BEBINCA (2413) 990 HPA
AT 31.7N 119.3E CENTRAL CHINA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 32.7N 117.0E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 33.1N 115.5E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 160900
WARNING 160900.
WARNING VALID 170900.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2413 BEBINCA (2413) 985 HPA
AT 31.4N 120.1E CENTRAL CHINA MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 162100UTC AT 32.5N 117.4E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170900UTC AT 33.0N 115.7E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 160900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2413 BEBINCA (2413)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 160900UTC 31.4N 120.1E GOOD
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 120NM NORTHEAST 100NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 162100UTC 32.5N 117.4E 25NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 170900UTC 33.0N 115.7E 35NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 160600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.27 FOR STS 2413 BEBINCA (2413)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS BEBINCA IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 31.4N, 120.5E. INFORMATION ON
THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
980HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 60KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC.
GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND
WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS HIGH BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED
PRESENCE OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY
FT24. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE
DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 160600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2413 BEBINCA (2413) DOWNGRADED FROM TY
ANALYSIS
PSTN 160600UTC 31.4N 120.5E GOOD
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 120NM NORTHEAST 100NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 161800UTC 32.3N 117.9E 25NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 170600UTC 33.0N 116.0E 35NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 160600
WARNING 160600.
WARNING VALID 170600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2413 BEBINCA (2413) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 980
HPA
AT 31.4N 120.5E CENTRAL CHINA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 100
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 32.3N 117.9E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 33.0N 116.0E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 160300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2413 BEBINCA (2413)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 160300UTC 31.2N 121.2E GOOD
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 150NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 161500UTC 32.0N 118.6E 25NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 170300UTC 32.7N 116.4E 35NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 160300
WARNING 160300.
WARNING VALID 170300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2413 BEBINCA (2413) 975 HPA
AT 31.2N 121.2E CENTRAL CHINA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161500UTC AT 32.0N 118.6E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170300UTC AT 32.7N 116.4E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 160000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.26 FOR TY 2413 BEBINCA (2413)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY BEBINCA IS LOCATED AT 31.0N, 121.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A
CDO PATTERN. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF
ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS
THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED
PRESENCE OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY
FT24. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE
DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 160000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2413 BEBINCA (2413)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 160000UTC 31.0N 121.8E GOOD
MOVE WNW 16KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 150NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 161200UTC 31.6N 119.2E 25NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 170000UTC 32.4N 116.8E 35NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 160000
WARNING 160000.
WARNING VALID 170000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2413 BEBINCA (2413) 975 HPA
AT 31.0N 121.8E CENTRAL CHINA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 16 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 31.6N 119.2E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 32.4N 116.8E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 152100
WARNING 152100.
WARNING VALID 162100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2413 BEBINCA (2413) 965 HPA
AT 30.9N 122.4E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160900UTC AT 31.6N 119.8E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 162100UTC AT 32.3N 117.4E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 152100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2413 BEBINCA (2413)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 152100UTC 30.9N 122.4E GOOD
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 150NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 160900UTC 31.6N 119.8E 25NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 162100UTC 32.3N 117.4E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 171800UTC 33.0N 114.3E 55NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 152100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 024//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 024
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
151800Z --- NEAR 30.5N 123.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 30.5N 123.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 31.1N 120.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
// END PART 01 //


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 152100
WARNING ATCG MIL 14W NWP 240915185459
2024091518 14W BEBINCA 024 01 275 12 SATL RADR SYNP 010
T000 305N 1233E 070 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 060 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 115 NW QD
T012 311N 1206E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 318N 1182E 035 R034 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD
T036 322N 1163E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 024
1. TYPHOON 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 024
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
151800Z --- NEAR 30.5N 123.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 30.5N 123.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 31.1N 120.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 31.8N 118.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 32.2N 116.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
152100Z POSITION NEAR 30.7N 122.6E.
15SEP24. TYPHOON 14W (BEBINCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 102 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF SHANGHAI, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 151800Z IS 966 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 160300Z, 160900Z, 161500Z AND 162100Z.//
1424090518 68N1647E 15
1424090600 70N1640E 15
1424090606 73N1630E 15
1424090612 77N1617E 15
1424090618 81N1604E 15
1424090700 82N1590E 15
1424090706 84N1575E 15
1424090712 86N1559E 15
1424090718 86N1544E 15
1424090800 87N1530E 20
1424090806 89N1522E 15
1424090812 93N1509E 15
1424090818 99N1496E 20
1424090900 105N1482E 15
1424090906 105N1480E 15
1424090912 104N1476E 20
1424090918 107N1471E 20
1424091000 110N1466E 25
1424091006 117N1460E 30
1424091012 126N1454E 30
1424091018 133N1439E 35
1424091100 137N1423E 35
1424091106 142N1415E 35
1424091112 150N1407E 35
1424091118 160N1403E 45
1424091200 178N1400E 50
1424091200 178N1400E 50
1424091206 190N1395E 60
1424091206 190N1395E 60
1424091212 200N1390E 50
1424091212 200N1390E 50
1424091218 210N1375E 45
1424091300 222N1369E 40
1424091306 237N1354E 40
1424091312 245N1338E 45
1424091318 252N1327E 45
1424091400 263N1314E 50
1424091400 263N1314E 50
1424091406 274N1303E 55
1424091406 274N1303E 55
1424091412 282N1292E 65
1424091412 282N1292E 65
1424091412 282N1292E 65
1424091418 290N1281E 70
1424091418 290N1281E 70
1424091418 290N1281E 70
1424091500 297N1271E 75
1424091500 297N1271E 75
1424091500 297N1271E 75
1424091506 301N1261E 75
1424091506 301N1261E 75
1424091506 301N1261E 75
1424091512 304N1247E 70
1424091512 304N1247E 70
1424091512 304N1247E 70
1424091518 305N1233E 70
1424091518 305N1233E 70
1424091518 305N1233E 70
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 151800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.25 FOR TY 2413 BEBINCA (2413)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY BEBINCA IS LOCATED AT 30.5N, 123.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 75KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE REDUCTION OF A
CDO PATTERN. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF
ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE
SYSTEM. GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE
CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT12. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM
WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 151800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2413 BEBINCA (2413)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 151800UTC 30.5N 123.6E GOOD
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 150NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 160600UTC 31.4N 120.5E 25NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 161800UTC 32.2N 117.9E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 171800UTC 33.0N 114.3E 55NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 151800
WARNING 151800.
WARNING VALID 161800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2413 BEBINCA (2413) 965 HPA
AT 30.5N 123.6E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 31.4N 120.5E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 32.2N 117.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 171800UTC AT 33.0N 114.3E WITH 55 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1006 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 151500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2413 BEBINCA (2413)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 151500UTC 30.6N 124.2E GOOD
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 180NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 160300UTC 31.1N 121.1E 25NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 161500UTC 31.8N 118.4E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 171200UTC 32.6N 114.7E 55NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 151500
WARNING 151500.
WARNING VALID 161500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2413 BEBINCA (2413) 965 HPA
AT 30.6N 124.2E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160300UTC AT 31.1N 121.1E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161500UTC AT 31.8N 118.4E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 151500
WARNING ATCG MIL 14W NWP 240915132046
2024091512 14W BEBINCA 023 01 280 12 SATL 030
T000 305N 1246E 070 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 060 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 115 NW QD
T012 311N 1218E 065 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 065 SW QD 075 NW QD
T024 318N 1192E 040
T036 323N 1164E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 023
1. TYPHOON 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
151200Z --- NEAR 30.5N 124.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 30.5N 124.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 31.1N 121.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 31.8N 119.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 32.3N 116.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
151500Z POSITION NEAR 30.7N 123.9E.
15SEP24. TYPHOON 14W (BEBINCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 165 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SHANGHAI, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
151200Z IS 966 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z
IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z, 160300Z, 160900Z
AND 161500Z.//
1424090518 68N1647E 15
1424090600 70N1640E 15
1424090606 73N1630E 15
1424090612 77N1617E 15
1424090618 81N1604E 15
1424090700 82N1590E 15
1424090706 84N1575E 15
1424090712 86N1559E 15
1424090718 86N1544E 15
1424090800 87N1530E 20
1424090806 89N1522E 15
1424090812 93N1509E 15
1424090818 99N1496E 20
1424090900 105N1482E 15
1424090906 105N1480E 15
1424090912 104N1476E 20
1424090918 107N1471E 20
1424091000 110N1466E 25
1424091006 117N1460E 30
1424091012 126N1454E 30
1424091018 133N1439E 35
1424091100 137N1423E 35
1424091106 142N1415E 35
1424091112 150N1407E 35
1424091118 160N1403E 45
1424091200 178N1400E 50
1424091200 178N1400E 50
1424091206 190N1395E 60
1424091206 190N1395E 60
1424091212 200N1390E 50
1424091212 200N1390E 50
1424091218 210N1375E 45
1424091300 222N1369E 40
1424091306 237N1354E 40
1424091312 245N1338E 45
1424091318 252N1327E 45
1424091400 263N1314E 50
1424091400 263N1314E 50
1424091406 274N1303E 55
1424091406 274N1303E 55
1424091412 282N1292E 65
1424091412 282N1292E 65
1424091412 282N1292E 65
1424091418 290N1281E 70
1424091418 290N1281E 70
1424091418 290N1281E 70
1424091500 297N1271E 75
1424091500 297N1271E 75
1424091500 297N1271E 75
1424091506 303N1260E 75
1424091506 303N1260E 75
1424091506 303N1260E 75
1424091512 305N1246E 70
1424091512 305N1246E 70
1424091512 305N1246E 70
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 151500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 023//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
151200Z --- NEAR 30.5N 124.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 30.5N 124.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 31.1N 121.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 31.8N 119.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 32.3N 116.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
151500Z POSITION NEAR 30.7N 123.9E.
15SEP24. TYPHOON 14W (BEBINCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 165 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SHANGHAI, CHINA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
151200Z IS 966 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z
IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z, 160300Z, 160900Z
AND 161500Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 151200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.24 FOR TY 2413 BEBINCA (2413)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY BEBINCA IS LOCATED AT 30.6N, 125.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 75KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A
BAND SPIRALING AROUND THE CSC BY AT LEAST 360 DEGREES. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE
NOW DISTINCT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE
CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND LAND. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL.
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 151200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2413 BEBINCA (2413)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 151200UTC 30.6N 125.0E GOOD
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 180NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 160000UTC 30.8N 121.8E 25NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 161200UTC 31.5N 119.0E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 171200UTC 32.6N 114.7E 55NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 151200
WARNING 151200.
WARNING VALID 161200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2413 BEBINCA (2413) 965 HPA
AT 30.6N 125.0E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160000UTC AT 30.8N 121.8E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 31.5N 119.0E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 171200UTC AT 32.6N 114.7E WITH 55 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 150900
WARNING 150900.
WARNING VALID 160900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2413 BEBINCA (2413) 965 HPA
AT 30.3N 125.6E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 152100UTC AT 30.6N 122.4E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160900UTC AT 31.3N 119.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 150900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2413 BEBINCA (2413)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 150900UTC 30.3N 125.6E GOOD
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 180NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 152100UTC 30.6N 122.4E 30NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 160900UTC 31.3N 119.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 170600UTC 32.5N 115.2E 55NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 150600
WARNING 150600.
WARNING VALID 160600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2413 BEBINCA (2413) 965 HPA
AT 30.1N 126.1E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 30.5N 123.1E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 31.2N 120.2E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170600UTC AT 32.5N 115.2E WITH 55 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 150300
WARNING 150300.
WARNING VALID 160300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2413 BEBINCA (2413) 965 HPA
AT 29.8N 126.9E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151500UTC AT 30.3N 123.5E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160300UTC AT 31.0N 120.6E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 142100
WARNING 142100.
WARNING VALID 152100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2413 BEBINCA (2413) 965 HPA
AT 29.3N 127.4E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150900UTC AT 30.0N 124.9E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 152100UTC AT 30.5N 121.9E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 141500
WARNING 141500.
WARNING VALID 151500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2413 BEBINCA (2413) 975 HPA
AT 28.5N 128.6E EAST CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150300UTC AT 29.6N 126.0E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151500UTC AT 30.1N 123.2E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 141500
WARNING ATCG MIL 14W NWP 240914140239
2024091412 14W BEBINCA 019 01 310 13 SATL RADR 020
T000 282N 1292E 065 R064 025 NE QD 015 SE QD 010 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 075 SE QD 045 SW QD 095 NW QD
T012 294N 1267E 070 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 303N 1241E 070 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 311N 1214E 060 R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 318N 1191E 040
T072 327N 1146E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 019
1. TYPHOON 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 019
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 14W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141200Z --- NEAR 28.2N 129.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.2N 129.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 29.4N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 30.3N 124.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 31.1N 121.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 31.8N 119.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 32.7N 114.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
141500Z POSITION NEAR 28.5N 128.6E.
14SEP24. TYPHOON 14W (BEBINCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 126 NM
NORTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 141200Z IS
973 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 27 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z, 150300Z, 150900Z AND 151500Z.//
1424090518 68N1647E 15
1424090600 70N1640E 15
1424090606 73N1630E 15
1424090612 77N1617E 15
1424090618 81N1604E 15
1424090700 82N1590E 15
1424090706 84N1575E 15
1424090712 86N1559E 15
1424090718 86N1544E 15
1424090800 87N1530E 20
1424090806 89N1522E 15
1424090812 93N1509E 15
1424090818 99N1496E 20
1424090900 105N1482E 15
1424090906 105N1480E 15
1424090912 104N1476E 20
1424090918 107N1471E 20
1424091000 110N1466E 25
1424091006 117N1460E 30
1424091012 126N1454E 30
1424091018 133N1439E 35
1424091100 137N1423E 35
1424091106 142N1415E 35
1424091112 150N1407E 35
1424091118 160N1403E 45
1424091200 178N1400E 50
1424091200 178N1400E 50
1424091206 190N1395E 60
1424091206 190N1395E 60
1424091212 200N1390E 50
1424091212 200N1390E 50
1424091218 210N1375E 45
1424091300 222N1369E 40
1424091306 237N1354E 40
1424091312 245N1338E 45
1424091318 252N1327E 45
1424091400 263N1314E 50
1424091400 263N1314E 50
1424091406 274N1303E 55
1424091406 274N1303E 55
1424091412 282N1292E 65
1424091412 282N1292E 65
1424091412 282N1292E 65
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 141500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 019//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 019
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 14W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141200Z --- NEAR 28.2N 129.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.2N 129.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 29.4N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 30.3N 124.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 31.1N 121.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 31.8N 119.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 32.7N 114.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
141500Z POSITION NEAR 28.5N 128.6E.
14SEP24. TYPHOON 14W (BEBINCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 126 NM
NORTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 141200Z IS
973 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 27 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z, 150300Z, 150900Z AND 151500Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 140900
WARNING 140900.
WARNING VALID 150900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2413 BEBINCA (2413) 980 HPA
AT 27.8N 129.5E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHWEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 142100UTC AT 29.4N 127.2E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150900UTC AT 30.2N 124.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 140900
WARNING ATCG MIL 14W NWP 240914080147
2024091406 14W BEBINCA 018 01 320 15 SATL RADR 020
T000 274N 1303E 055 R050 050 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 075 SE QD 035 SW Q
D 090 NW QD
T012 289N 1279E 065 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 300N 1254E 070 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 307N 1228E 065 R064 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 315N 1201E 045
T072 324N 1156E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 018
1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140600Z --- NEAR 27.4N 130.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.4N 130.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 28.9N 127.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 30.0N 125.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 30.7N 122.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 31.5N 120.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 32.4N 115.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
140900Z POSITION NEAR 27.8N 129.7E.
14SEP24. TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
144 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD
AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
AT 140600Z IS 978 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
140600Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z, 142100Z,
150300Z AND 150900Z.//
1424090518 68N1647E 15
1424090600 70N1640E 15
1424090606 73N1630E 15
1424090612 77N1617E 15
1424090618 81N1604E 15
1424090700 82N1590E 15
1424090706 84N1575E 15
1424090712 86N1559E 15
1424090718 86N1544E 15
1424090800 87N1530E 20
1424090806 89N1522E 15
1424090812 93N1509E 15
1424090818 99N1496E 20
1424090900 105N1482E 15
1424090906 105N1480E 15
1424090912 104N1476E 20
1424090918 107N1471E 20
1424091000 110N1466E 25
1424091006 117N1460E 30
1424091012 126N1454E 30
1424091018 133N1439E 35
1424091100 137N1423E 35
1424091106 142N1415E 35
1424091112 150N1407E 35
1424091118 160N1403E 45
1424091200 178N1400E 50
1424091200 178N1400E 50
1424091206 190N1395E 60
1424091206 190N1395E 60
1424091212 200N1390E 50
1424091212 200N1390E 50
1424091218 210N1375E 45
1424091300 222N1369E 40
1424091306 237N1354E 40
1424091312 245N1338E 45
1424091318 252N1327E 45
1424091400 263N1314E 50
1424091400 263N1314E 50
1424091406 274N1303E 55
1424091406 274N1303E 55


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 140300
WARNING 140300.
WARNING VALID 150300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2413 BEBINCA (2413) 985 HPA
AT 26.9N 130.8E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHWEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141500UTC AT 28.6N 128.3E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150300UTC AT 29.6N 125.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 140300 AMD
WARNING ATCG MIL 14W NWP 240914031204
2024091400 14W BEBINCA 017A 01 315 16 SATL RADR 040
T000 263N 1314E 050 R050 050 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 080 SE QD 045 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 279N 1288E 060 R050 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 290N 1262E 070 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 298N 1236E 065 R064 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 304N 1208E 045 R034 070 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 319N 1154E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 017A AMENDED
1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 017A AMENDED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140000Z --- NEAR 26.3N 131.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.3N 131.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 27.9N 128.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 29.0N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 29.8N 123.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 30.4N 120.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 31.9N 115.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
140300Z POSITION NEAR 26.7N 130.8E.
14SEP24. TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 194
NM EAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 140000Z IS 982 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 140900Z, 141500Z, 142100Z AND 150300Z.
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT: ADDED 50 KNOT WIND RADII TO
INIITAL POSITION.//
1424090518 68N1647E 15
1424090600 70N1640E 15
1424090606 73N1630E 15
1424090612 77N1617E 15
1424090618 81N1604E 15
1424090700 82N1590E 15
1424090706 84N1575E 15
1424090712 86N1559E 15
1424090718 86N1544E 15
1424090800 87N1530E 20
1424090806 89N1522E 15
1424090812 93N1509E 15
1424090818 99N1496E 20
1424090900 105N1482E 15
1424090906 105N1480E 15
1424090912 104N1476E 20
1424090918 107N1471E 20
1424091000 110N1466E 25
1424091006 117N1460E 30
1424091012 126N1454E 30
1424091018 133N1439E 35
1424091100 137N1423E 35
1424091106 142N1415E 35
1424091112 150N1407E 35
1424091118 160N1403E 45
1424091200 178N1400E 50
1424091200 178N1400E 50
1424091206 190N1395E 60
1424091206 190N1395E 60
1424091212 200N1390E 50
1424091212 200N1390E 50
1424091218 210N1375E 45
1424091300 222N1369E 40
1424091306 237N1354E 40
1424091312 245N1338E 45
1424091318 252N1327E 45
1424091400 263N1314E 50
1424091400 263N1314E 50
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 140300
WARNING ATCG MIL 14W NWP 240914015333
2024091400 14W BEBINCA 017 01 315 16 SATL RADR 040
T000 263N 1314E 050 R034 120 NE QD 080 SE QD 045 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 279N 1288E 060 R050 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 290N 1262E 070 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 298N 1236E 065 R064 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 304N 1208E 045 R034 070 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 319N 1154E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 017
1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140000Z --- NEAR 26.3N 131.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.3N 131.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 27.9N 128.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 29.0N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 29.8N 123.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 30.4N 120.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 31.9N 115.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
140300Z POSITION NEAR 26.7N 130.8E.
14SEP24. TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 194
NM EAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 140000Z IS 982 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
140900Z, 141500Z, 142100Z AND 150300Z.
//
1424090518 68N1647E 15
1424090600 70N1640E 15
1424090606 73N1630E 15
1424090612 77N1617E 15
1424090618 81N1604E 15
1424090700 82N1590E 15
1424090706 84N1575E 15
1424090712 86N1559E 15
1424090718 86N1544E 15
1424090800 87N1530E 20
1424090806 89N1522E 15
1424090812 93N1509E 15
1424090818 99N1496E 20
1424090900 105N1482E 15
1424090906 105N1480E 15
1424090912 104N1476E 20
1424090918 107N1471E 20
1424091000 110N1466E 25
1424091006 117N1460E 30
1424091012 126N1454E 30
1424091018 133N1439E 35
1424091100 137N1423E 35
1424091106 142N1415E 35
1424091112 150N1407E 35
1424091118 160N1403E 45
1424091200 178N1400E 50
1424091200 178N1400E 50
1424091206 190N1395E 60
1424091206 190N1395E 60
1424091212 200N1390E 50
1424091212 200N1390E 50
1424091218 210N1375E 45
1424091300 222N1369E 40
1424091306 237N1354E 40
1424091312 245N1338E 45
1424091318 252N1327E 45
1424091400 263N1314E 50
NNNN


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 132100
WARNING 132100.
WARNING VALID 142100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2413 BEBINCA (2413) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL
STORM 985 HPA
AT 25.7N 132.1E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140900UTC AT 27.9N 129.0E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 142100UTC AT 29.1N 126.3E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 132100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
131800Z --- NEAR 25.2N 132.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.2N 132.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 26.9N 130.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 28.2N 127.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 29.1N 125.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 29.9N 122.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 31.3N 116.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 31.6N 114.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
132100Z POSITION NEAR 25.6N 132.1E.
13SEP24. TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 276
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 131800Z IS 986 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
140300Z, 140900Z, 141500Z AND 142100Z.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 132100
WARNING ATCG MIL 14W NWP 240913201131
2024091318 14W BEBINCA 016 01 305 12 SATL 060
T000 252N 1327E 045 R034 120 NE QD 080 SE QD 045 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 269N 1302E 055 R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 065 SE QD 050 SW QD 095 NW QD
T024 282N 1276E 070 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 291N 1250E 070 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 055 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 299N 1222E 055 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 055 SE QD 040 SW QD 065 NW QD
T072 313N 1169E 025
T096 316N 1149E 015
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 016
1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
131800Z --- NEAR 25.2N 132.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.2N 132.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 26.9N 130.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 28.2N 127.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 29.1N 125.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 29.9N 122.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 31.3N 116.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 31.6N 114.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
132100Z POSITION NEAR 25.6N 132.1E.
13SEP24. TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 276
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 131800Z IS 986 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
140300Z, 140900Z, 141500Z AND 142100Z.
//
1424090518 68N1647E 15
1424090600 70N1640E 15
1424090606 73N1630E 15
1424090612 77N1617E 15
1424090618 81N1604E 15
1424090700 82N1590E 15
1424090706 84N1575E 15
1424090712 86N1559E 15
1424090718 86N1544E 15
1424090800 87N1530E 20
1424090806 89N1522E 15
1424090812 93N1509E 15
1424090818 99N1496E 20
1424090900 105N1482E 15
1424090906 105N1480E 15
1424090912 104N1476E 20
1424090918 107N1471E 20
1424091000 110N1466E 25
1424091006 117N1460E 30
1424091012 126N1454E 30
1424091018 133N1439E 35
1424091100 137N1423E 35
1424091106 142N1415E 35
1424091112 150N1407E 35
1424091118 160N1403E 45
1424091200 178N1400E 50
1424091200 178N1400E 50
1424091206 190N1395E 60
1424091206 190N1395E 60
1424091212 200N1390E 50
1424091212 200N1390E 50
1424091218 210N1375E 45
1424091300 222N1369E 40
1424091306 237N1354E 40
1424091312 245N1338E 45
1424091318 252N1327E 45
NNNN


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 131500
WARNING 131500.
WARNING VALID 141500.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2413 BEBINCA (2413) 992 HPA
AT 25.3N 133.2E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHWEST 20 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140300UTC AT 27.3N 130.2E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141500UTC AT 28.8N 127.6E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 131525
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bebinca (14W) Advisory Number 15
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP142024
125 AM ChST Sat Sep 14 2024

...TROPICAL STORM BEBINCA MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...25.1N 133.3E

About 360 miles east of Okinawa
About 500 miles west of Iwo To Island
About 1060 miles northwest of Saipan
About 1095 miles northwest of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...50 mph
Present movement...northwest...310 degrees at 24 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Bebinca
was located near Latitude 25.1 degrees North and Longitude 133.3
degrees East. Bebinca is moving northwest at 24 mph. It is expected
to maintain this general course with a decrease in forward speed
through Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 50 mph. Bebinca is forecast
to intensify through Sunday, possibly becoming a typhoon early
Sunday morning.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
160 miles to the north and 0 miles to the south.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This will be the last advisory issued by the National Weather Service
on Bebinca.

$$

Kleeschulte


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 131500
WARNING ATCG MIL 14W NWP 240913132718
2024091312 14W BEBINCA 015 01 310 21 SATL SYNP 030
T000 246N 1340E 045 R034 140 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 120 NW QD
T012 266N 1313E 055 R050 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 130 NW QD
T024 281N 1287E 070 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 135 NW QD
T036 290N 1262E 070 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 130 NW QD
T048 298N 1234E 065 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 120 NW QD
T072 312N 1187E 030
T096 320N 1153E 015
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 015
1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
131200Z --- NEAR 24.6N 134.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 21 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.6N 134.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 26.6N 131.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 28.1N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 29.0N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 29.8N 123.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 31.2N 118.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 32.0N 115.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
131500Z POSITION NEAR 25.1N 133.3E.
13SEP24. TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 354
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 21
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 131200Z IS 988 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
132100Z, 140300Z, 140900Z AND 141500Z.
//
1424090518 68N1647E 15
1424090600 70N1640E 15
1424090606 73N1630E 15
1424090612 77N1617E 15
1424090618 81N1604E 15
1424090700 82N1590E 15
1424090706 84N1575E 15
1424090712 86N1559E 15
1424090718 86N1544E 15
1424090800 87N1530E 20
1424090806 89N1522E 15
1424090812 93N1509E 15
1424090818 99N1496E 20
1424090900 105N1482E 15
1424090906 105N1480E 15
1424090912 104N1476E 20
1424090918 107N1471E 20
1424091000 110N1466E 25
1424091006 117N1460E 30
1424091012 126N1454E 30
1424091018 133N1439E 35
1424091100 137N1423E 35
1424091106 142N1415E 35
1424091112 150N1407E 35
1424091118 160N1403E 45
1424091200 178N1400E 50
1424091200 178N1400E 50
1424091206 190N1395E 60
1424091206 190N1395E 60
1424091212 200N1390E 50
1424091212 200N1390E 50
1424091218 210N1375E 45
1424091300 222N1369E 40
1424091306 232N1357E 40
1424091312 246N1340E 45
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 130947
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bebinca (14W) Advisory Number 14
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP142024
747 PM ChST Fri Sep 13 2024

...TROPICAL STORM BEBINCA CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...23.7N 135.0E

About 405 miles west of Iwo To
About 490 miles east-southeast of Okinawa
About 915 miles northwest of Saipan
About 950 miles northwest of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...45 mph
Present movement...northwest...310 degrees at 17 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Bebinca
was located near Latitude 23.7 degrees North and Longitude
135.0 degrees East. Bebinca is moving northwest at 17 mph. It is
expected to maintain this general course and speed through
Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 45 mph. Bebinca is forecast to
intensify through Saturday, possibly becoming a typhoon by early
Sunday morning.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
115 miles to the north, and zero miles to the south.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 AM ChST early Saturday morning.

$$

Montvila


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 130900
WARNING 130900.
WARNING VALID 140900.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2413 BEBINCA (2413) 992 HPA
AT 24.4N 134.8E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHWEST 18 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 132100UTC AT 26.4N 131.8E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140900UTC AT 28.2N 129.1E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 130900
WARNING ATCG MIL 14W NWP 240913073033
2024091306 14W BEBINCA 014 01 310 15 SATL 020
T000 232N 1357E 040 R034 100 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 254N 1330E 050 R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 272N 1303E 060 R050 025 NE QD 015 SE QD 000 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 284N 1277E 070 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 030 SW QD 085 NW QD
T048 292N 1254E 065 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 308N 1200E 035 R034 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD
T096 320N 1166E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 014
1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
130600Z --- NEAR 23.2N 135.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.2N 135.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 25.4N 133.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 27.2N 130.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 28.4N 127.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 29.2N 125.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 30.8N 120.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 32.0N 116.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
130900Z POSITION NEAR 23.7N 135.0E.
13SEP24. TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 473
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 15
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 130600Z IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
131500Z, 132100Z, 140300Z AND 140900Z.
//
1424090518 68N1647E 15
1424090600 70N1640E 15
1424090606 73N1630E 15
1424090612 77N1617E 15
1424090618 81N1604E 15
1424090700 82N1590E 15
1424090706 84N1575E 15
1424090712 86N1559E 15
1424090718 86N1544E 15
1424090800 87N1530E 20
1424090806 89N1522E 15
1424090812 93N1509E 15
1424090818 99N1496E 20
1424090900 105N1482E 15
1424090906 105N1480E 15
1424090912 104N1476E 20
1424090918 107N1471E 20
1424091000 110N1466E 25
1424091006 117N1460E 30
1424091012 126N1454E 30
1424091018 133N1439E 35
1424091100 137N1423E 35
1424091106 142N1415E 35
1424091112 150N1407E 35
1424091118 160N1403E 45
1424091200 178N1400E 50
1424091200 178N1400E 50
1424091206 190N1395E 60
1424091206 190N1395E 60
1424091212 200N1390E 50
1424091212 200N1390E 50
1424091218 210N1375E 45
1424091300 222N1369E 40
1424091306 232N1357E 40
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 130900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
130600Z --- NEAR 23.2N 135.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.2N 135.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 25.4N 133.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 27.2N 130.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 28.4N 127.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 29.2N 125.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 30.8N 120.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 32.0N 116.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
130900Z POSITION NEAR 23.7N 135.0E.
13SEP24. TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 473
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 15
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 130600Z IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
131500Z, 132100Z, 140300Z AND 140900Z.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 130300
WARNING 130300.
WARNING VALID 140300.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2413 BEBINCA (2413) 992 HPA
AT 22.8N 136.0E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHWEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131500UTC AT 25.5N 133.2E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140300UTC AT 27.5N 130.2E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 130319
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bebinca (14W) Advisory Number 13
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP142024
119 PM ChST Fri Sep 13 2024

...TROPICAL STORM BEBINCA MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...22.7N 136.3E

About 345 miles west-southwest of Iwo To
About 805 miles northwest of Saipan
About 845 miles northwest of Guam
About 920 miles north of Yap

Maximum sustained winds...45 mph
Present movement...north-northwest...335 degrees at 14 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Bebinca
was located near Latitude 22.7 degrees North and Longitude
136.3 degrees East. Bebinca is moving north-northwest at 14 mph.
It is expected to make a slight turn toward the northwest with
little change in forward speed through Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to 45 mph. Bebinca is
forecast to intensify through the weekend, possibly becoming a
typhoon by Sunday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
100 miles to the north and zero miles to the south.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 PM this evening.

$$

Slagle


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 130300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
130000Z --- NEAR 22.1N 136.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.1N 136.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 24.4N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 26.0N 132.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
// END PART 01 //


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 130300
WARNING ATCG MIL 14W NWP 240913022120
2024091300 14W BEBINCA 013 01 335 12 SATL 030
T000 221N 1369E 040 R034 085 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 244N 1344E 045 R034 100 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 260N 1321E 050 R050 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 278N 1290E 060 R050 045 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 095 NW QD
T048 290N 1265E 070 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 105 NW QD
T072 308N 1216E 065 R064 025 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 090 SE QD 075 SW QD 095 NW QD
T096 322N 1178E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 013
1. TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
130000Z --- NEAR 22.1N 136.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.1N 136.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 24.4N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 26.0N 132.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 27.8N 129.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 29.0N 126.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 30.8N 121.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 32.2N 117.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
130300Z POSITION NEAR 22.7N 136.3E.
13SEP24. TROPICAL STORM 14W (BEBINCA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 291
NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 130000Z IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
130900Z, 131500Z, 132100Z AND 140300Z.
//
1424090518 68N1647E 15
1424090600 70N1640E 15
1424090606 73N1630E 15
1424090612 77N1617E 15
1424090618 81N1604E 15
1424090700 82N1590E 15
1424090706 84N1575E 15
1424090712 86N1559E 15
1424090718 86N1544E 15
1424090800 87N1530E 20
1424090806 89N1522E 15
1424090812 93N1509E 15
1424090818 99N1496E 20
1424090900 105N1482E 15
1424090906 105N1480E 15
1424090912 104N1476E 20
1424090918 107N1471E 20
1424091000 110N1466E 25
1424091006 117N1460E 30
1424091012 126N1454E 30
1424091018 133N1439E 35
1424091100 137N1423E 35
1424091106 142N1415E 35
1424091112 150N1407E 35
1424091118 160N1403E 45
1424091200 178N1400E 50
1424091200 178N1400E 50
1424091206 190N1395E 60
1424091206 190N1395E 60
1424091212 200N1390E 50
1424091212 200N1390E 50
1424091218 210N1375E 45
1424091300 221N1369E 40
NNNN


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 130000
WARNING 130000.
WARNING VALID 140000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2413 BEBINCA (2413) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL
STORM 992 HPA
AT 22.1N 136.9E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 24.9N 134.0E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 27.0N 131.0E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 29.9N 126.0E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160000UTC AT 31.4N 121.3E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 32.9N 117.2E WITH 175 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 122100
WARNING 122100.
WARNING VALID 132100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2413 BEBINCA (2413) 990 HPA
AT 21.3N 137.3E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130900UTC AT 24.3N 134.5E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 132100UTC AT 26.5N 131.6E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 122100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2413 BEBINCA (2413)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 122100UTC 21.3N 137.3E FAIR
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 325NM EAST 150NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 130900UTC 24.3N 134.5E 45NM 70%
MOVE NW 20KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 132100UTC 26.5N 131.6E 65NM 70%
MOVE NW 17KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 141800UTC 29.1N 126.8E 115NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 151800UTC 30.7N 121.8E 160NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
93HF 161800UTC 32.2N 118.1E 200NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 122132
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bebinca (14W) Advisory Number 12
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP142024
732 AM ChST Fri Sep 13 2024

...TROPICAL STORM BEBINCA MOVING NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...21.6N 136.9E

About 355 miles southwest of Iwo To Island
About 730 miles northwest of Saipan
About 765 miles northwest of Guam
About 840 miles north of Yap
About 995 miles north of Koror

Maximum sustained winds...50 mph
Present movement...northwest...305 degrees at 20 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Bebinca
was located near Latitude 21.6 degrees North and Longitude
136.9 degrees East. Bebinca is moving northwest at 20 mph. It is
expected to maintain this general course with a slight decrease
in forward speed through Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to 50 mph. Bebinca is
forecast to intensify through the weekend.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
115 miles to the northeast and up to 70 miles elsewhere.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 PM ChST.

$$

Slagle


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 121800
WARNING 121800.
WARNING VALID 131800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2413 BEBINCA (2413) 990 HPA
AT 20.9N 137.7E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 23.5N 135.3E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 25.9N 132.4E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 29.1N 126.8E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 30.7N 121.8E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 32.2N 118.1E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 121601
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bebinca (14W) Advisory Number 11
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP142024
201 AM ChST Fri Sep 13 2024

...TROPICAL STORM BEBINCA MOVING RAPIDLY NORTH-NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...21.7N 138.4E

About 280 miles southwest of Iwo To Island
About 660 miles northwest of Saipan
About 705 miles northwest of Guam
About 845 miles north of Yap

Maximum sustained winds...60 mph
Present movement...north-northwest...340 degrees at 23 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Bebinca
was located near Latitude 21.7 degrees North and Longitude
138.4 degrees East. Bebinca is moving north-northwest at 23 mph.
It is expected to make a slight turn toward the northwest with a
decrease in forward speed through Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to 60 mph. Bebinca is
forecast to weaken tonight, then start to strengthen again. It could
become a typhoon Saturday night.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
155 miles to the north and up to 85 miles to the south.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 AM ChST.

$$

Stanko


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 121500
WARNING 121500.
WARNING VALID 131500.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2413 BEBINCA (2413) 990 HPA
AT 20.6N 138.2E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHWEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130300UTC AT 22.8N 136.1E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131500UTC AT 24.7N 133.5E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 120900
WARNING 120900.
WARNING VALID 130900.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2413 BEBINCA (2413) 990 HPA
AT 19.7N 139.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 13
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 122100UTC AT 21.4N 137.1E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130900UTC AT 23.5N 135.0E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 120914
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bebinca (14W) Advisory Number 10
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP142024
714 PM ChST Thu Sep 12 2024

...INTENSIFYING TS BEBINCA MOVING NORTHWEST INTO THE PHILIPPINE
SEA...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...19.9N 139.3E

About 440 miles west-northwest of Pagan
About 535 miles northwest of Saipan
About 570 miles northwest of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...70 mph
Present movement...north...350 degrees at 18 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Bebinca
was located near Latitude 19.9 degrees North and Longitude
139.3 degrees East. Bebinca is moving north at 18 mph. It is
expected to make a turn toward the northwest with little change
in forward speed through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 70 mph. Bebinca is
forecast to maintain this intensity through Friday possibly
becoming a typhoon.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
150 miles to the north and up to 85 miles to the south.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 AM ChST early Friday morning.

$$

Bowsher


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 120300
WARNING 120300.
WARNING VALID 130300.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2413 BEBINCA (2413) 990 HPA
AT 18.5N 139.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 16
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121500UTC AT 20.4N 138.6E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130300UTC AT 22.6N 136.5E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 120301
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bebinca (14W) Advisory Number 9
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP142024
101 PM ChST Thu Sep 12 2024

...INTENSIFYING TS BEBINCA MOVING NORTHWEST INTO THE PHILIPPINE
SEA...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.
by
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...18.0N 139.7E

About 400 miles west of Pagan
About 445 miles west-northwest of Saipan
About 460 miles northwest of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...60 mph
Present movement...north...350 degrees at 16 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Bebinca
was located near Latitude 18.0 degrees North and Longitude
139.7 degrees East. Bebinca is moving north at 16 mph. It is
expected to make a turn toward the northwest with little change
in forward speed through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 60 mph. Bebinca is
forecast to intensify through tonight possibly becoming a
typhoon by Saterday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
125 miles to the east and up to 60 miles to the west.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 PM ChST.

$$

Bowsher


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 112206
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bebinca (14W) Advisory Number 8
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP142024
806 AM ChST Thu Sep 12 2024

...TROPICAL STORM BEBINCA MOVING NORTHWEST INTO THE PHILIPPINE SEA...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...16.4N 139.9E

About 385 miles west-northwest of Guam
About 395 miles west-northwest of Saipan
About 405 miles west-southwest of Pagan

Maximum sustained winds...45 mph
Present movement...NW...325 degrees at 13 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Bebinca
was located near Latitude 16.4 degrees North and Longitude 139.9
degrees East. Bebinca is moving northwest at 13 mph and is expected
to continue northwest or north-northwest with a slight increase in
forward speed through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased slightly to 45 mph. Bebinca
is forecast to slowly intensify the next few days, though at a slower
rate than prior forecasts. Bebinca could become a typhoon around
Saturday.

Bebinca's wind field remains very asymmetric with tropical storm
force winds extending outward from the center up to 125 miles only
in the eastern semicircle with much weaker winds to the west.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 200 PM.

$$

W. Aydlett


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 111504
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bebinca (14W) Advisory Number 7
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP142024
104 AM ChST Thu Sep 12 2024

...TROPICAL STORM BEBINCA MOVING NORTHWEST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...15.3N 140.3E

About 325 miles west-northwest of Guam
About 340 miles west-northwest of Rota
About 355 miles west of Tinian
About 360 miles west of Saipan
About 365 miles west of Anatahan
About 400 miles west-southwest of Alamagan
About 410 miles west-southwest of Pagan

Maximum sustained winds...40 mph
Present movement...northwest...310 degrees at 13 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Bebinca
was located near Latitude 15.3 degrees North and Longitude
140.3 degrees East. Bebinca is moving northwest at 13 mph. It is
expected to make a slight turn toward the north-northwest with a
slight increase in forward speed through Friday.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 40 mph. Bebinca is forecast to
intensify, potentially becoming a typhoon Friday night
or Saturday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
125 miles to the east and 0 miles to the west.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 AM ChST.

$$

Schank


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 110909
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bebinca (14W) Advisory Number 6
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP142024
709 PM ChST Wed Sep 11 2024

...BEBINCA UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
Bebinca was upgraded to a tropical storm.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...14.9N 141.7E

About 230 miles west-northwest of Guam
About 240 miles west-northwest of Rota
About 260 miles west of Tinian
About 270 miles west of Saipan
About 280 miles west-southwest of Anatahan
About 330 miles west-southwest of Alamagan
About 350 miles southwest of Pagan

Maximum sustained winds...40 mph
Present movement...north-northwest...335 degrees at 10 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Bebinca
was located near Latitude 14.9 degrees North and Longitude
141.7 degrees East. Bebinca is moving north-northwest at 10 mph.
It is expected to maintain this general course with a slight
increase in forward speed through Thursday as it continues deeper
into the Philippine Sea.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 40 mph. Bebinca is
forecast to intensify through Friday, and is still anticipated
to eventually become a typhoon around Friday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
140 miles to the northeast, up to 105 miles to the southeast and
0 miles elsewhere.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 200 AM ChST early Thursday morning.

$$

Schank


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 110340
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Bebinca (14W) Advisory Number 5
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP142024
140 PM ChST Wed Sep 11 2024

...BEBINCA DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
All tropical storm warnings have been cancelled.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
The tropical storm warnings for Guam, Rota, Tinian and Saipan have
been cancelled. Tropical storm conditions are no longer expected.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...14.1N 142.0E

About 190 miles west-northwest of Guam
About 215 miles west of Rota
About 250 miles west-southwest of Tinian
About 260 miles west-southwest of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...35 mph
Present movement...west-northwest...285 degrees at 21 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression
Bebinca was located near Latitude 14.1 degrees North and
Longitude 142.0 degrees East. Bebinca has sped up in its west-
northwest motion and is now moving at 21 mph. It is expected to
resume a northwest motion tonight as it continues deeper into the
Philippine Sea.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to 35 mph, however, Bebinca
is expected to resume intensification this evening and is still
anticipated to eventually become a typhoon around Friday.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 800 PM.

$$

W. Aydlett


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 110300 AMD
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 005A AMENDED//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (BEBINCA) WARNING NR 005A AMENDED
DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 14W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110000Z --- NEAR 13.7N 142.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N 142.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 15.4N 141.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 17.6N 140.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
// END PART 01 //


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 110111
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bebinca (14W) Intermediate Advisory Number 4A
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP142024
1111 AM ChST Wed Sep 11 2024

...BEBINCA CONTINUING AWAY FROM GUAM...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A tropical storm warning remains in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian
and Saipan. Tropical storm conditions continue, but are gradually
subsiding.

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CHST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
------------------------------------------------
Location...14.0N 143.2E

About 110 miles west-northwest of Guam
About 135 miles west of Rota
About 175 miles west-southwest of Tinian
About 185 miles west-southwest of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...40 mph
Present movement...WNW...300 degrees at 13 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CHST...0000 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Bebinca
was located near Latitude 14.0 degrees North and Longitude
143.2 degrees East. Bebinca is moving west-northwest at 13 mph.
It is expected to make a slight turn toward the northwest with a
slight decrease in forward speed through Thursday as it continues
to move away from the Marianas. Gusty winds will be slow to decrease
due to the monsoon flow east and south of Bebinca.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 40 mph. Infrared satellite trends
suggest Bebinca becoming better organized and thus intensification
is expected over the next few days. Bebinca may possibly become a
typhoon Friday, though well northwest of the Marianas.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
100 miles to the northeast and up to 30 miles elsewhere.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 PM this afternoon.

$$

W. Aydlett


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 102107
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bebinca (14W) Advisory Number 4
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP142024
707 AM ChST Wed Sep 11 2024

...BEBINCA UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
Bebinca is now a tropical storm west of Guam.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A tropical storm warning remains in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian
and Saipan. Tropical storm conditions, including winds at least
39 mph, are expected through the rest of the morning, then may
slowly decrease this afternoon.

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...13.6N 144.0E

About 55 miles west of Guam
About 90 miles west-southwest of Rota
About 145 miles southwest of Tinian
About 155 miles southwest of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...40 mph
Present movement...west-northwest...300 degrees at 13 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Bebinca
was located near Latitude 13.6 degrees North and Longitude
144.0 degrees East. Bebinca is moving west-northwest at 13 mph.
It is expected to make a slight turn toward the northwest with a
slight decrease in forward speed through Thursday as it continues
to move away from the Marianas. Heavy rain and gusty winds will be
slow to decrease due to the monsoon flow east and south of Bebinca.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 40 mph. Bebinca is
forecast to intensify over the next few days. Bebinca may possibly
become a typhoon Friday, well northwest of the Marianas.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
100 miles to the northeast and up to 30 miles elsewhere.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 1100 AM ChST followed by the next scheduled advisory
at 200 PM ChST.

$$

Schank


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 101902
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Bebinca (14W) Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP142024
502 AM ChST Wed Sep 11 2024

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEBINCA (14W) JUST WEST OF GUAM...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A tropical storm warning remains in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian
and Saipan. Tropical storm conditions, including winds at least
39 mph, are expected through the rest of the morning, then may
slowly decrease this evening.

SUMMARY OF 400 AM CHST...1700 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...13.4N 144.5E

About 20 miles west-southwest of Guam
About 75 miles southwest of Rota
About 135 miles southwest of Tinian
About 145 miles southwest of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...35 mph
Present movement...northwest...315 degrees at 10 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CHST...1700 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression
Bebinca (14W) was located by PGUA radar near Latitude 13.4 degrees
North and Longitude 144.5 degrees East. This is just west of Guam.
Bebinca is moving northwest at 13 mph. It is expected to maintain
this general course and speed through Thursday as it moves away from
the Marianas and into the Philippine Sea.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 35 mph. Bebinca is forecast to
intensify today and tonight possibly becoming a tropical storm as it
continues to move away from The Marianas.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 800 AM ChST followed by an intermediate
advisory at 1100 AM ChST.

$$

Schank


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 101512
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Bebinca (14W) Advisory Number 3
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP142024
112 AM ChST Wed Sep 11 2024

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEBINCA (14W) PASSING NEAR GUAM...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
Tropical Depression 14W is now named Tropical Depression Bebinca.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A tropical storm warning remains in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian
and Saipan. Tropical storm conditions, including winds at least
39 mph, are expected over the next few hours.

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...13.0N 145.0E

About 35 miles south-southeast of Guam
About 80 miles south-southwest of Rota
About 145 miles south-southwest of Tinian
About 155 miles south-southwest of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...35 mph
Present movement...northwest...325 degrees at 13 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CHST...1500 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression
Bebinca was located near Latitude 13.0 degrees North and Longitude
145.0 degrees East. Bebinca is moving northwest at 13 mph. It is
expected to maintain this general course and speed through Thursday.
TD Bebinca is expected to pass over or just south of Guam over the
next couple of hours.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 35 mph. Bebinca is forecast to
intensify through Thursday possibly becoming a tropical storm as it
passes west of Guam. Bebinca is expected to continue intensifying
over the Philippine Sea as it continues to move NW and away from the
Marianas.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 500 AM ChST early this morning followed by the next
scheduled advisory at 800 AM ChST.

$$

Schank


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 101316 CCA
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN...CORRECTED
Tropical Depression 14W Intermediate Advisory Number 2A
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP142024
1116 PM ChST Tue Sep 10 2024

Corrected headline to make it clear that it is 14W.

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W MOVING NORTHWEST TOWARD GUAM...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A tropical storm warning remains in effect for Guam, Rota,
Tinian and Saipan. Tropical storm conditions, including winds at
least 39 mph, are expected over the next few hours.

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CHST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...12.8N 145.4E

About 60 miles southeast of Guam
About 95 miles south of Rota
About 150 miles south of Tinian
About 160 miles south of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...35 mph
Present movement...northwest...312 degrees at 21 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CHST...1200 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression 14W
was located by PGUA radar near Latitude 12.8 degrees North and
Longitude 145.4 degrees East. 14W is moving northwest at 21 mph.
It is expected to maintain this general course and speed through
Wednesday. This current forecast track sends 14W over or near Guam
over the next few hours.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 35 mph. 14W is forecast to intensify
through tonight and is expected to become a tropical storm overnight.
Once to the northwest of Guam, 14W is expected to continue
intensifying over the Philippine Sea.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 AM ChST early Wednesday morning followed
by an intermediate advisory at 500 AM ChST.

$$

Schank


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 101301
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression 14W Intermediate Advisory Number 2A
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP142024
1101 PM ChST Tue Sep 10 2024

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN MOVING NORTHWEST TOWARD GUAM...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A tropical storm warning remains in effect for Guam, Rota,
Tinian and Saipan. Tropical storm conditions, including winds at
least 39 mph, are expected over the next few hours.

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CHST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...12.8N 145.4E

About 60 miles southeast of Guam
About 95 miles south of Rota
About 150 miles south of Tinian
About 160 miles south of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...35 mph
Present movement...northwest...312 degrees at 21 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CHST...1200 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression 14W
was located by PGUA radar near Latitude 12.8 degrees North and
Longitude 145.4 degrees East. 14W is moving northwest at 21 mph.
It is expected to maintain this general course and speed through
Wednesday. This current forecast track sends 14W over or near Guam
over the next few hours.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 35 mph. 14W is forecast to intensify
through tonight and is expected to become a tropical storm overnight.
Once to the northwest of Guam, 14W is expected to continue
intensifying over the Philippine Sea.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 AM ChST early Wednesday morning followed
by an intermediate advisory at 500 AM ChST.

$$

Schank


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 100900
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression 14W Advisory Number 2
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP142024
700 PM ChST Tue Sep 10 2024

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W MOVING NORTHWEST TOWARD GUAM...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------

A tropical storm warning remains in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian
and Saipan. Tropical storm conditions, including winds at least 39
mph, are expected by early Wednesday morning.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...12.0N 145.4E

About 110 miles south-southeast of Guam
About 150 miles south of Rota
About 205 miles south of Tinian
About 215 miles south of Saipan

Maximum sustained winds...35 mph
Present movement...NW...305 degrees at 13 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression 14W
was located near Latitude 12.0 degrees North and Longitude 145.4
degrees East. 14W is moving northwest at 13 mph. It is expected
to maintain this general course and speed through Wednesday
night. This track keeps 14W passing over or very near Guam early
Wednesday morning as a slowly-intensifying tropical storm.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to 35 mph. 14W is forecast
to intensify the next few days, likely becoming a tropical storm
tonight as it passes Guam.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 1100 PM followed by the next scheduled advisory at 200 AM
early Wednesday morning.

$$

W. Aydlett


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 100708
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression 14W Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP142024
508 PM ChST Tue Sep 10 2024

...14W MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST TOWARD GUAM...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A tropical storm warning is now in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian
and Saipan. A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm
force winds of at least 39 mph are expected within 24 hours.

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CHST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...11.6N 145.7E

About 145 miles south-southeast of Guam
About 180 miles south of Rota
About 235 miles south of Tinian
About 245 miles south of Saipan
About 505 miles northwest of Chuuk
About 535 miles east-northeast of Yap

Maximum sustained winds...30 mph
Present movement...WNW...305 degrees at 13 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CHST...0600 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression 14W
was located near Latitude 11.6 degrees North and Longitude 145.7
degrees East. 14W is moving west-northwest at about 13 mph. It is
expected to make a turn toward the northwest with a slight increase
in forward speed through Wednesday. This current forecast track sends
14W over or near Guam Wednesday morning.

Maximum sustained winds are 30 mph. 14W is forecast to intensify
through tonight and is expected to become a tropical storm overnight.
Once to the northwest of Guam, 14W is expected to continue
intensifying over the Philippine Sea.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 800 PM followed by an intermediate advisory at 1100 PM.

$$

W. Aydlett


Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 100313
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression 14W Advisory Number 1
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP142024
113 PM ChST Tue Sep 10 2024

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W FORMS SOUTHEAST OF GUAM...
...14W EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR GUAM AS A TROPICAL STORM WEDNESDAY...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
A tropical storm warning is now in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian
and Saipan.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A tropical storm warning is now in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian and
Saipan. A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm force
winds of at least 39 mph are expected within 24 hours.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...11.2N 146.5E

About 195 miles southeast of Guam
About 220 miles south-southeast of Rota
About 270 miles south-southeast of Tinian
About 275 miles south of Saipan
About 445 miles northwest of Chuuk
About 585 miles east-northeast of Yap

Maximum sustained winds...30 mph
Present movement...west...275 degrees at 9 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression
14W was located near Latitude 11.2 degrees North and Longitude
146.5 degrees East. 14W is moving west at 9 mph. It is expected to
make a turn toward the northwest with a slight increase in forward
speed through Wednesday. This current forecast track sends 14W over
or near Guam early Wednesday morning.

Maximum sustained winds are 30 mph. 14W is forecast to intensify
through tonight and is expected to become a tropical storm overnight.
Once to the northwest of Guam, 14W is expected to continue
intensifying over the Philippine Sea.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Weather
Service at 500 PM followed by the next scheduled advisory at 800 PM.

$$

W. Aydlett


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 100300
WARNING ATCG MIL 14W NWP 240910013452
2024091000 14W FOURTEEN 001 01 275 08 SATL 060
T000 108N 1468E 025
T012 125N 1456E 035 R034 120 NE QD 120 SE QD 060 SW QD 075 NW QD
T024 141N 1440E 040 R034 140 NE QD 110 SE QD 020 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 158N 1426E 050 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 005 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 050 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 174N 1413E 060 R050 090 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 110 SE QD 030 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 209N 1378E 065 R050 050 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 120 NW QD
T096 242N 1324E 080 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 120 NW QD
T120 266N 1267E 100 R064 035 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 120 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (FOURTEEN) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (FOURTEEN) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100000Z --- NEAR 10.8N 146.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N 146.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 12.5N 145.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 14.1N 144.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 15.8N 142.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 17.4N 141.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 20.9N 137.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 24.2N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 26.6N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
100300Z POSITION NEAR 11.2N 146.5E.
10SEP24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (FOURTEEN),
LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF WFO GUAM ,
HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 100000Z IS 1003 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 10 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z, 101500Z, 102100Z AND 110300Z.//
1424090518 68N1647E 15
1424090600 70N1640E 15
1424090606 73N1630E 15
1424090612 77N1617E 15
1424090618 81N1604E 15
1424090700 82N1590E 15
1424090706 84N1575E 15
1424090712 86N1559E 15
1424090718 86N1544E 15
1424090800 87N1530E 20
1424090806 89N1522E 15
1424090812 93N1509E 15
1424090818 99N1496E 20
1424090900 105N1482E 15
1424090906 105N1480E 15
1424090912 104N1476E 20
1424090918 107N1476E 20
1424091000 108N1468E 25
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