Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PRAPIROON-24
in Viet Nam, China

Global Telecommunication Service

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Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 230600
WARNING 230600.
WARNING VALID 240600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2404 PRAPIROON (2404) 994 HPA
AT 21.6N 107.3E VIETNAM MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 21.6N 106.7E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 21.8N 106.3E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 230446

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 230300 UTC, TROPICAL STORM PRAPIROON (2404) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (21.4 N) ONE ZERO
SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (107.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 15 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 60 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 230300
WARNING ATCG MIL 04W NWP 240723012201
2024072300 04W PRAPIROON 014 02 315 05 SATL RADR SYNP 060
T000 215N 1076E 045 R034 070 NE QD 065 SE QD 055 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 219N 1072E 035 R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 219N 1068E 030
T036 216N 1066E 025
T048 212N 1068E 020
AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 014
1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 014
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230000Z --- NEAR 21.5N 107.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N 107.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 21.9N 107.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 21.9N 106.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 21.6N 106.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 21.2N 106.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
230300Z POSITION NEAR 21.6N 107.5E.
23JUL24. TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
100 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED
NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED
TO BECOME DISORGANIZED AND WEAK AFTER MAKING LANDFALL. THE
ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS DISLOCATED SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) DUE TO ELEVATED 25-30KT WIND THAT IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WHILE OVER LAND, THE
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO RECURVE, AND MAY POTENTIALLY REDEVELOP BEYOND
THE FORECAST PERIOD WHILE IN THE GULF OF TONKIN. CURRENT JTWC
INTENSITY GUIDANCE INDICATES CONTINUOUS WEAKENING AND AN UNLIKELY
SCENARIO WHERE THE DISTURBANCE WOULD REDEVELOP DUE TO ELEVATED
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (GREATER THAN 25KTS) THAT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
IN THE REGION FOR THE NEXT FIVE DAYS. EXISTING ELEMENTS THAT WOULD
FAVOR REDEVELOPMENT WOULD BE ELEVATED OCEAN HEAT CONTENT IN THE GULF
ON TONKIN, SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 31-32C, AND VARIATIONS
IN THE ORIENTATION OF THE NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE TO THE DEVIATING THE
CURRENT TRACK.THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 230000Z IS
991 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER
UPDATES.
//
0424071512 77N1298E 15
0424071518 81N1287E 15
0424071600 88N1280E 15
0424071606 98N1278E 15
0424071612 101N1275E 15
0424071618 105N1272E 15
0424071700 108N1258E 15
0424071706 109N1253E 15
0424071712 112N1244E 15
0424071718 121N1234E 15
0424071800 125N1224E 15
0424071806 128N1214E 15
0424071812 130N1207E 15
0424071818 132N1198E 20
0424071900 136N1189E 20
0424071906 141N1178E 25
0424071912 147N1168E 25
0424071918 151N1157E 30
0424072000 156N1146E 30
0424072006 160N1138E 30
0424072012 163N1129E 30
0424072018 161N1117E 35
0424072100 161N1112E 35
0424072106 172N1111E 40
0424072112 179N1109E 45
0424072118 188N1102E 50
0424072118 188N1102E 50
0424072200 196N1092E 50
0424072200 196N1092E 50
0424072206 201N1087E 55
0424072206 201N1087E 55
0424072212 205N1083E 60
0424072212 205N1083E 60
0424072218 211N1080E 55
0424072218 211N1080E 55
0424072300 215N1076E 45
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 230300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 014
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230000Z --- NEAR 21.5N 107.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N 107.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 21.9N 107.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 21.9N 106.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 21.6N 106.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 21.2N 106.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
230300Z POSITION NEAR 21.6N 107.5E.
23JUL24. TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
100 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED
NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED
TO BECOME DISORGANIZED AND WEAK AFTER MAKING LANDFALL. THE
ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS DISLOCATED SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) DUE TO ELEVATED 25-30KT WIND THAT IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WHILE OVER LAND, THE
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO RECURVE, AND MAY POTENTIALLY REDEVELOP BEYOND
THE FORECAST PERIOD WHILE IN THE GULF OF TONKIN. CURRENT JTWC
INTENSITY GUIDANCE INDICATES CONTINUOUS WEAKENING AND AN UNLIKELY
SCENARIO WHERE THE DISTURBANCE WOULD REDEVELOP DUE TO ELEVATED
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (GREATER THAN 25KTS) THAT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
IN THE REGION FOR THE NEXT FIVE DAYS. EXISTING ELEMENTS THAT WOULD
FAVOR REDEVELOPMENT WOULD BE ELEVATED OCEAN HEAT CONTENT IN THE GULF
OF TONKIN, SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 31-32C, AND VARIATIONS
IN THE ORIENTATION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE POTENTIALLY DEVIATING THE
CURRENT TRACK. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 230000Z IS
991 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER
TO TYPHOON 05W (GAEMI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.
//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 230000
WARNING 230000.
WARNING VALID 240000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2404 PRAPIROON (2404) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL
STORM 992 HPA
AT 21.2N 107.4E VIETNAM MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 21.3N 107.0E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 21.3N 106.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 222246

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 222100 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM PRAPIROON (2404) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (21.1 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (107.8 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 15 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 232100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 222100
WARNING 222100.
WARNING VALID 232100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2404 PRAPIROON (2404) 990 HPA
AT 21.0N 107.5E GULF OF TONGKING MOVING NORTHWEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230900UTC AT 21.4N 107.3E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 232100UTC AT 21.4N 106.7E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 222100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2404 PRAPIROON (2404)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 222100UTC 21.0N 107.5E FAIR
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
12HF 230900UTC 21.4N 107.3E 35NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 232100UTC 21.4N 106.7E 57NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 221800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.15 FOR STS 2404 PRAPIROON (2404)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS PRAPIROON IS LOCATED AT 20.8N, 107.6E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
985HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 55KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SHORTENING OF A BAND WITH CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE
MOVEMENT. METOP-B/MHS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT
VIET-NAM BY FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR UNTIL FT12 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM
WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT24. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 221946

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 221800 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM PRAPIROON (2404) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (20.8
N) ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (107.9 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231800 UTC
TWO ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (21.5 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (106.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 221800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2404 PRAPIROON (2404)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 221800UTC 20.8N 107.6E FAIR
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
12HF 230600UTC 21.3N 107.4E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 231800UTC 21.4N 107.0E 57NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 221800
WARNING 221800.
WARNING VALID 231800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2404 PRAPIROON (2404) 985 HPA
AT 20.8N 107.6E GULF OF TONGKING MOVING NORTHWEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 21.3N 107.4E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 21.4N 107.0E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 221646

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 221500 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM PRAPIROON (2404) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (20.6 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (108.0 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231500 UTC
TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (21.8 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (106.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 221500
WARNING 221500.
WARNING VALID 231500.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2404 PRAPIROON (2404) 980 HPA
AT 20.5N 108.0E GULF OF TONGKING MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230300UTC AT 21.4N 107.6E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231500UTC AT 21.6N 107.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 221500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2404 PRAPIROON (2404)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 221500UTC 20.5N 108.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
12HF 230300UTC 21.4N 107.6E 30NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 231500UTC 21.6N 107.1E 50NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 221500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 012
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221200Z --- NEAR 20.5N 108.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N 108.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 21.3N 107.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
// END PART 01 //


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 221500
WARNING ATCG MIL 04W NWP 240722134013
2024072212 04W PRAPIROON 012 02 310 06 SATL 030
T000 205N 1082E 060 R050 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD
T012 213N 1076E 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 218N 1071E 040 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 218N 1064E 030
T048 214N 1067E 020
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 012
1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 012
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221200Z --- NEAR 20.5N 108.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N 108.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 21.3N 107.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 21.8N 107.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 21.8N 106.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 21.4N 106.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
221500Z POSITION NEAR 20.7N 108.1E.
22JUL24. TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
132 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED
NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 221200Z IS 987 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 20 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z, 230300Z, 230900Z AND 231500Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
0424071512 77N1298E 15
0424071518 81N1287E 15
0424071600 88N1280E 15
0424071606 98N1278E 15
0424071612 101N1275E 15
0424071618 105N1272E 15
0424071700 108N1258E 15
0424071706 109N1253E 15
0424071712 112N1244E 15
0424071718 121N1234E 15
0424071800 125N1224E 15
0424071806 128N1214E 15
0424071812 130N1207E 15
0424071818 132N1198E 20
0424071900 136N1189E 20
0424071906 141N1178E 25
0424071912 147N1168E 25
0424071918 151N1157E 30
0424072000 156N1146E 30
0424072006 160N1138E 30
0424072012 163N1129E 30
0424072018 161N1117E 35
0424072100 161N1112E 35
0424072106 172N1111E 40
0424072112 179N1109E 45
0424072118 188N1102E 50
0424072118 188N1102E 50
0424072200 196N1092E 50
0424072200 196N1092E 50
0424072206 201N1087E 55
0424072206 201N1087E 55
0424072212 205N1082E 60
0424072212 205N1082E 60
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 221200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.14 FOR STS 2404 PRAPIROON (2404)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS PRAPIROON IS LOCATED AT 20.4N, 108.1E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
980HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 60KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
ELONGATION OF A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE
NOW DISTINCT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION
OF THE MOVEMENT. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT VIET-NAM OR THE
CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INCREASED VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT24 DUE
TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT24.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 221346

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 221200 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM PRAPIROON (2404) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (20.5
N) ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (108.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231200 UTC
TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (21.8 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (107.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 221200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2404 PRAPIROON (2404)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 221200UTC 20.4N 108.1E FAIR
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
12HF 230000UTC 21.3N 107.7E 30NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 231200UTC 21.6N 107.2E 50NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 221200
WARNING 221200.
WARNING VALID 231200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2404 PRAPIROON (2404) 980 HPA
AT 20.4N 108.1E GULF OF TONGKING MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 21.3N 107.7E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 21.6N 107.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 221046

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 220900 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM PRAPIROON (2404) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (20.1 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (108.4 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230900 UTC
TWO ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (21.7 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (107.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 220900
WARNING 220900.
WARNING VALID 230900.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2404 PRAPIROON (2404) 990 HPA
AT 20.3N 108.2E GULF OF TONGKING MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 222100UTC AT 21.2N 107.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230900UTC AT 21.8N 107.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 220900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2404 PRAPIROON (2404)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 220900UTC 20.3N 108.2E FAIR
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
12HF 222100UTC 21.2N 107.9E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 230900UTC 21.8N 107.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 240600UTC 21.7N 106.4E 85NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 220900
WARNING ATCG MIL 04W NWP 240722074219
2024072206 04W PRAPIROON 011 02 315 07 SATL 030
T000 201N 1087E 055 R050 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD
T012 210N 1080E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 216N 1073E 040 R034 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 220N 1066E 030
T048 218N 1062E 020
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 011
1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 011
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220600Z --- NEAR 20.1N 108.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N 108.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 21.0N 108.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 21.6N 107.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 22.0N 106.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 21.8N 106.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
220900Z POSITION NEAR 20.3N 108.5E.
22JUL24. TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
166 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED
NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 220600Z IS 987 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 18 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z, 222100Z, 230300Z AND 230900Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
0424071512 77N1298E 15
0424071518 81N1287E 15
0424071600 88N1280E 15
0424071606 98N1278E 15
0424071612 101N1275E 15
0424071618 105N1272E 15
0424071700 108N1258E 15
0424071706 109N1253E 15
0424071712 112N1244E 15
0424071718 121N1234E 15
0424071800 125N1224E 15
0424071806 128N1214E 15
0424071812 130N1207E 15
0424071818 132N1198E 20
0424071900 136N1189E 20
0424071906 141N1178E 25
0424071912 147N1168E 25
0424071918 151N1157E 30
0424072000 156N1146E 30
0424072006 160N1138E 30
0424072012 163N1129E 30
0424072018 161N1117E 35
0424072100 161N1112E 35
0424072106 172N1111E 40
0424072112 179N1109E 45
0424072118 188N1102E 50
0424072118 188N1102E 50
0424072200 196N1092E 50
0424072200 196N1092E 50
0424072206 201N1087E 55
0424072206 201N1087E 55
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 220600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.13 FOR STS 2404 PRAPIROON (2404)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS PRAPIROON IS LOCATED AT 20.2N, 108.6E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
990HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 50KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC.
GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND
WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WESTWARD UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE MAINLAND BY
FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO
TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 220600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2404 PRAPIROON (2404)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 220600UTC 20.2N 108.6E FAIR
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
12HF 221800UTC 21.0N 108.0E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 230600UTC 21.6N 107.6E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 240600UTC 21.7N 106.4E 85NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 220600
WARNING 220600.
WARNING VALID 230600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2404 PRAPIROON (2404) 990 HPA
AT 20.2N 108.6E GULF OF TONGKING MOVING NORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 21.0N 108.0E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 21.6N 107.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 21.7N 106.4E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 220446

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 220300 UTC, TROPICAL STORM PRAPIROON (2404) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (19.7 N) ONE
ZERO NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (109.0 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230300 UTC
TWO ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (21.5 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (107.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 220300
WARNING 220300.
WARNING VALID 230300.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2404 PRAPIROON (2404) 992 HPA
AT 20.1N 108.9E GULF OF TONGKING MOVING NORTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221500UTC AT 20.6N 108.4E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230300UTC AT 21.4N 108.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 220300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2404 PRAPIROON (2404)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 220300UTC 20.1N 108.9E FAIR
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
12HF 221500UTC 20.6N 108.4E 35NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 230300UTC 21.4N 108.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 240000UTC 21.7N 106.6E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 220300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 010
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220000Z --- NEAR 19.6N 109.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.6N 109.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 20.6N 108.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
// END PART 01 //


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 220000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.12 FOR STS 2404 PRAPIROON (2404)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS PRAPIROON IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 19.6N, 109.3E. INFORMATION ON
THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
992HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 50KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC.
GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND
WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE
MAINLAND BY FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN
TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 220300
WARNING ATCG MIL 04W NWP 240722005839
2024072200 04W PRAPIROON 010 02 310 12 SATL RADR SYNP 030
T000 196N 1092E 045 R034 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 035 SW QD 050 NW QD
T012 206N 1082E 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 216N 1075E 050 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 220N 1070E 035
T048 219N 1065E 020
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 010
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220000Z --- NEAR 19.6N 109.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.6N 109.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 20.6N 108.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 21.6N 107.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 22.0N 107.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 21.9N 106.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
220300Z POSITION NEAR 19.9N 108.9E.
22JUL24. TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
204 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED
NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 220000Z IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AND 230300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0424071512 77N1298E 15
0424071518 81N1287E 15
0424071600 88N1280E 15
0424071606 98N1278E 15
0424071612 101N1275E 15
0424071618 105N1272E 15
0424071700 108N1258E 15
0424071706 109N1253E 15
0424071712 112N1244E 15
0424071718 121N1234E 15
0424071800 125N1224E 15
0424071806 128N1214E 15
0424071812 130N1207E 15
0424071818 132N1198E 20
0424071900 136N1189E 20
0424071906 141N1178E 25
0424071912 147N1168E 25
0424071918 151N1157E 30
0424072000 156N1146E 30
0424072006 160N1138E 30
0424072012 163N1129E 30
0424072018 161N1117E 35
0424072100 161N1112E 35
0424072106 172N1111E 40
0424072112 179N1109E 45
0424072118 188N1102E 50
0424072118 188N1102E 50
0424072200 196N1092E 45
NNNN


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 220146

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 220000 UTC, TROPICAL STORM PRAPIROON (2404) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (19.5 N) ONE
ZERO NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (109.4 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230000 UTC
TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (21.3 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (107.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 220000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2404 PRAPIROON (2404) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 220000UTC 19.6N 109.3E FAIR
MOVE NNW 14KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
12HF 221200UTC 20.4N 108.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 230000UTC 21.3N 108.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 240000UTC 21.7N 106.6E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 220000
WARNING 220000.
WARNING VALID 230000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2404 PRAPIROON (2404) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL
STORM 992 HPA
AT 19.6N 109.3E HAINAN MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 20.4N 108.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 21.3N 108.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 21.7N 106.6E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 212246

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 212100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM PRAPIROON (2404) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N) ONE
ZERO NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (109.8 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 222100 UTC
TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (21.1 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (108.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 232100 UTC
TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (21.6 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (107.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 242100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.
0000011800
05272


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 212100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2404 PRAPIROON (2404)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 212100UTC 19.1N 109.7E FAIR
MOVE NNW 15KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 222100UTC 21.1N 108.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 231800UTC 22.0N 106.9E 85NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 211800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.11 FOR TS 2404 PRAPIROON (2404)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS PRAPIROON IS LOCATED AT 18.4N, 110.1E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
996HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 40KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND.
GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH
CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT36. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT HAINAN ISLAND
SOON. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND
LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL.
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 212100
WARNING ATCG MIL 04W NWP 240721191403
2024072118 04W PRAPIROON 009 02 325 11 SATL RADR SYNP 035
T000 188N 1102E 050 R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 201N 1092E 040 R034 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 211N 1085E 040 R034 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 219N 1082E 035 R034 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 000 NW QD
T048 222N 1077E 025
T072 216N 1074E 020
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 009
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
211800Z --- NEAR 18.8N 110.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N 110.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 20.1N 109.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 21.1N 108.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 21.9N 108.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 22.2N 107.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 21.6N 107.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
212100Z POSITION NEAR 19.1N 109.9E.
21JUL24. TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
276 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED
NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 211800Z IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
220300Z, 220900Z, 221500Z AND 222100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0424071512 77N1298E 15
0424071518 81N1287E 15
0424071600 88N1280E 15
0424071606 98N1278E 15
0424071612 101N1275E 15
0424071618 105N1272E 15
0424071700 108N1258E 15
0424071706 109N1253E 15
0424071712 112N1244E 15
0424071718 121N1234E 15
0424071800 125N1224E 15
0424071806 128N1214E 15
0424071812 130N1207E 15
0424071818 132N1198E 20
0424071900 136N1189E 20
0424071906 141N1178E 25
0424071912 147N1168E 25
0424071918 151N1157E 30
0424072000 156N1146E 30
0424072006 160N1138E 30
0424072012 163N1129E 30
0424072018 161N1117E 35
0424072100 161N1112E 35
0424072106 172N1111E 40
0424072112 179N1109E 45
0424072118 188N1102E 50
0424072118 188N1102E 50
NNNN


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 211946

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 211800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM PRAPIROON (2404) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (18.8 N) ONE
ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (110.2 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 221800 UTC
TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (21.0 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (108.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231800 UTC
TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (21.6 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (107.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 211800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2404 PRAPIROON (2404)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 211800UTC 18.4N 110.1E FAIR
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 221800UTC 21.0N 108.2E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 231800UTC 22.0N 106.9E 85NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 211800
WARNING 211800.
WARNING VALID 221800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2404 PRAPIROON (2404) 996 HPA
AT 18.4N 110.1E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 21.0N 108.2E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 22.0N 106.9E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 211646

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 211500 UTC, TROPICAL STORM PRAPIROON (2404) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (18.3 N) ONE
ONE ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (110.5 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 221500 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (20.6 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (108.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231500 UTC
TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (21.4 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (107.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 211500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2404 PRAPIROON (2404)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 211500UTC 17.8N 110.5E FAIR
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
24HF 221500UTC 20.5N 108.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 231200UTC 22.0N 108.0E 70NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 211500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 008
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
211200Z --- NEAR 17.9N 110.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N 110.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 19.4N 109.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 20.3N 109.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 21.2N 108.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 21.8N 108.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 22.2N 107.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
211500Z POSITION NEAR 18.3N 110.6E.
21JUL24. TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
188 NM NORTHEAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 211200Z IS 996 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 15 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z, 220300Z, 220900Z AND 221500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 05W (GAEMI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 211500
WARNING ATCG MIL 04W NWP 240721134834
2024072112 04W PRAPIROON 008 02 355 08 SATL 030
T000 179N 1109E 040 R034 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 194N 1099E 040 R034 060 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 203N 1091E 035 R034 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 212N 1087E 030
T048 218N 1083E 025
T072 222N 1077E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 008
1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 008
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
211200Z --- NEAR 17.9N 110.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N 110.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 19.4N 109.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 20.3N 109.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 21.2N 108.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 21.8N 108.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 22.2N 107.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
211500Z POSITION NEAR 18.3N 110.6E.
21JUL24. TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
188 NM NORTHEAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 211200Z IS 996 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 15 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z, 220300Z, 220900Z AND 221500Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
0424071512 77N1298E 15
0424071518 81N1287E 15
0424071600 88N1280E 15
0424071606 98N1278E 15
0424071612 101N1275E 15
0424071618 105N1272E 15
0424071700 108N1258E 15
0424071706 109N1253E 15
0424071712 112N1244E 15
0424071718 121N1234E 15
0424071800 125N1224E 15
0424071806 128N1214E 15
0424071812 130N1207E 15
0424071818 132N1198E 20
0424071900 136N1189E 20
0424071906 141N1178E 25
0424071912 147N1168E 25
0424071918 151N1157E 30
0424072000 156N1146E 30
0424072006 160N1138E 30
0424072012 163N1129E 30
0424072018 161N1117E 35
0424072100 161N1112E 35
0424072106 171N1110E 35
0424072112 179N1109E 40
NNNN


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 211346

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 211200 UTC, THE TROPICAL STORM PRAPIROON (2404) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9
N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (110.9 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 221200 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (20.3 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (108.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231200 UTC
TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (21.4 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (107.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 211200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.10 FOR TS 2404 PRAPIROON (2404)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS PRAPIROON IS LOCATED AT 17.5N, 110.6E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
998HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT48. THE
SYSTEM WILL HIT HAINAN ISLAND BY FT12. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED
ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND LAND. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LAND AND INCREASED VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO
TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 211200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2404 PRAPIROON (2404)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 211200UTC 17.5N 110.6E FAIR
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
24HF 221200UTC 20.2N 108.8E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 231200UTC 22.0N 108.0E 70NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 211200
WARNING 211200.
WARNING VALID 221200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2404 PRAPIROON (2404) 998 HPA
AT 17.5N 110.6E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 20.2N 108.8E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 22.0N 108.0E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 211046

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 210900 UTC, THE TROPICAL STORM PRAPIROON (2404) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (17.4
N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (110.9 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220900 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (20.1 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (108.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230900 UTC
TWO ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (21.4 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (108.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 210900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2404 PRAPIROON (2404)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 210900UTC 17.0N 110.6E FAIR
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
24HF 220900UTC 20.1N 109.0E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 230600UTC 21.5N 108.6E 70NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 210900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 007 //
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 007
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
210600Z --- NEAR 17.1N 111.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N 111.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 18.6N 110.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 19.9N 109.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
// END PART 01 //


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 210900
WARNING ATCG MIL 04W NWP 240721074045
2024072106 04W PRAPIROON 007 02 350 10 SATL 030
T000 171N 1110E 035 R034 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 186N 1103E 040 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 199N 1092E 035 R034 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 208N 1085E 030
T048 215N 1081E 025
T072 222N 1076E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON) WARNING NR 007
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
210600Z --- NEAR 17.1N 111.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N 111.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 18.6N 110.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 19.9N 109.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 20.8N 108.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 21.5N 108.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 22.2N 107.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
210900Z POSITION NEAR 17.5N 110.8E.
21JUL24. TROPICAL STORM 04W (PRAPIROON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
169 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD
AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 210600Z IS 997 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 15 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z, 212100Z, 220300Z AND 220900Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
0424071512 77N1298E 15
0424071518 81N1287E 15
0424071600 88N1280E 15
0424071606 98N1278E 15
0424071612 101N1275E 15
0424071618 105N1272E 15
0424071700 108N1258E 15
0424071706 109N1253E 15
0424071712 112N1244E 15
0424071718 121N1234E 15
0424071800 125N1224E 15
0424071806 128N1214E 15
0424071812 130N1207E 15
0424071818 132N1198E 20
0424071900 136N1189E 20
0424071906 141N1178E 25
0424071912 147N1168E 25
0424071918 151N1157E 30
0424072000 156N1146E 30
0424072006 160N1138E 30
0424072012 163N1129E 30
0424072018 161N1117E 35
0424072100 161N1112E 35
0424072106 171N1110E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 210600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 9 FOR TS 2404 PRAPIROON (2404)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
THE SYSTEM WAS UPGRADED TO TS (PRAPIROON) STATUS THREE HOURS AGO.
TS PRAPIROON IS LOCATED AT 16.6N, 111.1E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
998HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND STARTING TO FORM A CURVED
BAND. METOP-C/MHS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS
ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT HAINAN
ISLAND BY FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND LAND. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND.
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 210746

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 210600 UTC, THE TROPICAL STORM PRAPIROON (2404) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SIX POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (16.9 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (111.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 220600 UTC
ONE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (19.9 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (109.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230600 UTC
TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (21.6 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (108.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 210600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2404 PRAPIROON (2404)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 210600UTC 16.6N 111.1E FAIR
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
24HF 220600UTC 19.8N 109.3E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 230600UTC 21.5N 108.6E 70NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 210600
WARNING 210600.
WARNING VALID 220600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2404 PRAPIROON (2404) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 998 HPA
AT 16.6N 111.1E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHWEST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 19.8N 109.3E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 21.5N 108.6E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 210300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2404 PRAPIROON (2404) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 210300UTC 16.4N 111.3E FAIR
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
24HF 220300UTC 19.7N 109.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 230000UTC 21.3N 108.2E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 210300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 04W (FOUR) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (FOUR) WARNING NR 006
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
210000Z --- NEAR 16.0N 111.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N 111.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 17.0N 110.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 18.5N 109.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
// END PART 01 //


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 210300
WARNING ATCG MIL 04W NWP 240721010428
2024072100 04W FOUR 006 02 255 04 SATL RADR SYNP 040
T000 160N 1113E 035 R034 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 170N 1109E 045 R034 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 185N 1098E 045 R034 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 197N 1088E 035 R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 205N 1081E 025
T072 211N 1072E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 04W (FOUR) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (FOUR) WARNING NR 006
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
210000Z --- NEAR 16.0N 111.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N 111.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 17.0N 110.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 18.5N 109.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 19.7N 108.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 20.5N 108.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 21.1N 107.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
210300Z POSITION NEAR 16.3N 111.2E.
21JUL24. TROPICAL STORM 04W (FOUR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 429 NM
SOUTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 210000Z IS 998 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
210900Z, 211500Z, 212100Z AND 220300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0424071512 77N1298E 15
0424071518 81N1287E 15
0424071600 88N1280E 15
0424071606 98N1278E 15
0424071612 101N1275E 15
0424071618 105N1272E 15
0424071700 108N1258E 15
0424071706 109N1253E 15
0424071712 112N1244E 15
0424071718 121N1234E 15
0424071800 125N1224E 15
0424071806 128N1214E 15
0424071812 130N1207E 15
0424071818 132N1198E 20
0424071900 136N1189E 20
0424071906 141N1178E 25
0424071912 147N1168E 25
0424071918 151N1157E 30
0424072000 156N1146E 30
0424072006 160N1138E 30
0424072012 163N1129E 30
0424072018 161N1117E 35
0424072100 160N1113E 35
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 202100
WARNING ATCG MIL 04W NWP 240720203349
2024072018 04W FOUR 005 02 275 13 SATL 060
T000 163N 1115E 035 R034 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 172N 1107E 040 R034 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD
T024 186N 1097E 045 R034 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 198N 1088E 030
T048 206N 1081E 040 R034 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 000 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 215N 1073E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 04W (FOUR) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL STORM 04W (FOUR) WARNING NR 005
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
201800Z --- NEAR 16.3N 111.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N 111.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 17.2N 110.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 18.6N 109.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 19.8N 108.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 20.6N 108.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 21.5N 107.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
202100Z POSITION NEAR 16.5N 111.3E.
20JUL24. TROPICAL STORM 04W (FOUR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM
EAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 201800Z IS 997 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
210300Z, 210900Z, 211500Z AND 212100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0424071512 77N1298E 15
0424071518 81N1287E 15
0424071600 88N1280E 15
0424071606 98N1278E 15
0424071612 101N1275E 15
0424071618 105N1272E 15
0424071700 108N1258E 15
0424071706 109N1253E 15
0424071712 112N1244E 15
0424071718 121N1234E 15
0424071800 125N1224E 15
0424071806 128N1214E 15
0424071812 130N1207E 15
0424071818 132N1198E 20
0424071900 136N1189E 20
0424071906 141N1178E 25
0424071912 147N1168E 25
0424071918 151N1157E 30
0424072000 156N1146E 30
0424072006 160N1138E 30
0424072012 162N1128E 30
0424072018 163N1115E 35


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 201500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (FOUR) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (FOUR) WARNING NR 004
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
201200Z --- NEAR 16.3N 113.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N 113.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 17.1N 112.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 18.5N 111.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 19.5N 110.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 20.6N 109.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 22.0N 108.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
201500Z POSITION NEAR 16.5N 113.0E.
20JUL24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (FOUR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
289 NM EAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 201200Z IS 999 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 12 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z, 210300Z, 210900Z AND 211500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (GAEMI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 201500
WARNING ATCG MIL 04W NWP 240720133923
2024072012 04W FOUR 004 02 300 09 SATL 060
T000 163N 1133E 030
T012 171N 1123E 040 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 185N 1114E 045 R034 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 195N 1105E 045 R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 206N 1097E 040 R034 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD
T072 220N 1088E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (FOUR) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (FOUR) WARNING NR 004
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
201200Z --- NEAR 16.3N 113.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N 113.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 17.1N 112.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 18.5N 111.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 19.5N 110.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 20.6N 109.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 22.0N 108.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
201500Z POSITION NEAR 16.5N 113.0E.
20JUL24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (FOUR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
289 NM EAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 201200Z IS 999 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 12 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z, 210300Z, 210900Z AND 211500Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
0424071512 77N1298E 15
0424071518 81N1287E 15
0424071600 88N1280E 15
0424071606 98N1278E 15
0424071612 101N1275E 15
0424071618 105N1272E 15
0424071700 108N1258E 15
0424071706 109N1253E 15
0424071712 112N1244E 15
0424071718 121N1234E 15
0424071800 125N1224E 15
0424071806 128N1214E 15
0424071812 130N1207E 15
0424071818 132N1198E 20
0424071900 136N1189E 20
0424071906 141N1178E 25
0424071912 147N1168E 25
0424071918 151N1157E 30
0424072000 156N1146E 30
0424072006 159N1141E 30
0424072012 163N1133E 30
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 200900
WARNING ATCG MIL 04W NWP 240720075614
2024072006 04W FOUR 003 02 300 06 SATL 060
T000 159N 1141E 030
T012 165N 1128E 035 R034 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD
T024 177N 1120E 040 R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 191N 1110E 045 R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 201N 1104E 040 R034 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD
T072 218N 1093E 030
T096 226N 1091E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (FOUR) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (FOUR) WARNING NR 003
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
200600Z --- NEAR 15.9N 114.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N 114.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 16.5N 112.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 17.7N 112.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 19.1N 111.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 20.1N 110.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 21.8N 109.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 22.6N 109.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
200900Z POSITION NEAR 16.1N 113.8E.
20JUL24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (FOUR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
335 NM EAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 200600Z IS 999 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 12 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z, 202100Z, 210300Z AND 210900Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
0424071512 77N1298E 15
0424071518 81N1287E 15
0424071600 88N1280E 15
0424071606 98N1278E 15
0424071612 101N1275E 15
0424071618 105N1272E 15
0424071700 108N1258E 15
0424071706 109N1253E 15
0424071712 112N1244E 15
0424071718 121N1234E 15
0424071800 125N1224E 15
0424071806 128N1214E 15
0424071812 130N1207E 15
0424071818 132N1198E 20
0424071900 136N1189E 20
0424071906 141N1178E 25
0424071912 147N1168E 25
0424071918 151N1157E 30
0424072000 156N1146E 30
0424072006 159N1141E 30
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 200300
WARNING ATCG MIL 04W NWP 240720004706
2024072000 04W FOUR 002 02 290 14 SATL SYNP 030
T000 156N 1143E 030
T012 164N 1126E 035 R034 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD
T024 172N 1116E 040 R034 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 184N 1108E 045 R034 050 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 198N 1098E 040 R034 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD
T072 218N 1090E 030
T096 226N 1091E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (FOUR) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (FOUR) WARNING NR 002
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
200000Z --- NEAR 15.6N 114.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N 114.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 16.4N 112.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 17.2N 111.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 18.4N 110.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 19.8N 109.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 21.8N 109.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 22.6N 109.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
200300Z POSITION NEAR 15.8N 113.9E.
20JUL24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (FOUR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
347 NM EAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
200000Z IS 1000 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS
12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z, 201500Z, 202100Z AND 210300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
0424071512 77N1298E 15
0424071518 81N1287E 15
0424071600 88N1280E 15
0424071606 98N1278E 15
0424071612 101N1275E 15
0424071618 105N1272E 15
0424071700 108N1258E 15
0424071706 109N1253E 15
0424071712 112N1244E 15
0424071718 121N1234E 15
0424071800 125N1224E 15
0424071806 128N1214E 15
0424071812 130N1207E 15
0424071818 132N1198E 20
0424071900 136N1189E 20
0424071906 141N1178E 25
0424071912 147N1168E 25
0424071918 151N1157E 30
0424072000 156N1143E 30
NNNN


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 192100
WARNING ATCG MIL 04W NWP 240719191543
2024071918 04W FOUR 001 02 290 11 SATL SYNP 025
T000 151N 1157E 030
T012 160N 1137E 035 R034 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 015 SW QD 000 NW QD
T024 168N 1122E 035 R034 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD
T036 176N 1114E 040 R034 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD
T048 189N 1107E 045 R034 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD
T072 208N 1099E 035 R034 010 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD
T096 217N 1103E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (FOUR) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (FOUR) WARNING NR 001
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
191800Z --- NEAR 15.1N 115.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N 115.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 16.0N 113.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 16.8N 112.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 17.6N 111.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 18.9N 110.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 20.8N 109.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 21.7N 110.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
192100Z POSITION NEAR 15.3N 115.2E.
19JUL24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 04W (FOUR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
309 NM WEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
191800Z IS 1000 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS
12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z, 200900Z, 201500Z AND 202100Z.
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
0424071512 77N1298E 15
0424071518 81N1287E 15
0424071600 88N1280E 15
0424071606 98N1278E 15
0424071612 101N1275E 15
0424071618 105N1272E 15
0424071700 108N1258E 15
0424071706 109N1253E 15
0424071712 112N1244E 15
0424071718 121N1234E 15
0424071800 125N1224E 15
0424071806 128N1214E 15
0424071812 130N1207E 15
0424071818 132N1198E 20
0424071900 136N1189E 20
0424071906 141N1178E 25
0424071912 147N1168E 25
0424071918 151N1157E 30
NNNN