Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for CHRIS-24 in Mexico from 30 Jun 2024 21:00 UTC to 01 Jul 2024 15:00 UTC

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Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CHRIS-24

in Mexico

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

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Measurements Levels

SOURCE	GAUGE LOCATION	LAT	LON	TIME (UTC)	HEIGHT (m)	PERIOD (min)

01/07 14:34 WTNT33KNHC011431

01/07 14:34 WTNT43KNHC011432

01/07 14:33 WTNT23KNHC011431

01/07 11:40 WTNT33KNHC011138

01/07 08:57 WTNT43KNHC010855

01/07 08:57 WTNT33KNHC010855

01/07 08:56 WTNT23KNHC010854

01/07 05:56 WTNT33KNHC010554

01/07 04:54 WTNT63KNHC010452

01/07 03:00 WTNT43KNHC010258

01/07 02:59 WTNT23KNHC010256

01/07 02:59 WTNT33KNHC010257

30/06 23:31 WTNT33KNHC302329

30/06 20:48 WTNT43KNHC302046

30/06 20:46 WTNT33KNHC302044

30/06 20:44 WTNT23KNHC302042

Original Message :

WTNT33 KNHC 011431
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Chris Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032024
1000 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024

...CHRIS DISSIPATES OVER THE RUGGED TERRAIN OF EASTERN MEXICO...
...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE...

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.2N 97.8W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM SSW OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the remnants of Chris were located near
latitude 20.2 North, longitude 97.8 West. The remnants are moving
toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h).

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: The remnants of Chris is expected to produce rainfall
totals of 4 to 8 inches across portions of eastern Mexico today.
Maximum rainfall totals around 12 inches are possible across the
higher terrain of the Mexican states of Guanajuato, Quertaro, and
San Luis Potos. This rainfall will result in areas of flooding,
with mudslides possible in areas of higher terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Chris, please see the National Weather Service
Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTNT43 KNHC 011432
TCDAT3

Remnants Of Chris Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032024
1000 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024

Chris weakened to a tropical depression a few hours ago and now has
dissipated over the rugged terrain of eastern Mexico. Its
associated remnant trough is still producing a large area of heavy
rain over portions of eastern Mexico, and that is expected to
continue for several more hours. This is the last advisory on Chris
from NHC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/1500Z 20.2N 97.8W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTNT23 KNHC 011431
TCMAT3

REMNANTS OF CHRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032024
1500 UTC MON JUL 01 2024

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 97.8W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 97.8W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 97.5W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 97.8W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

Original Message :

WTNT33 KNHC 011138
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Chris Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032024
700 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING CONTINUES OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN
MEXICO...

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.2N 97.7W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SSW OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning for eastern Mexico.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

None

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Chris
was located near latitude 20.2 North, longitude 97.7 West. Chris is
moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion will
continue until the system dissipates.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. Chris will likely dissipate over the higher terrain later
this morning.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007mb (29.74 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Chris can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Chris is expected to produce rainfall
totals of 4 to 8 inches across portions of eastern Mexico through
this morning. Maximum rainfall totals around 12 inches are possible
across the higher terrain of the Mexican states of Guanajuato,
Queretaro, and San Luis Potosi. This rainfall will result in areas
of flooding, with mudslides possible in areas of higher terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Tropical Depression Chris, please see the National
Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf

WIND: Gusts to tropical storm force could continue along portions
of the east coast of Mexico for a couple of hours.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Original Message :

WTNT43 KNHC 010855
TCDAT3

Tropical Storm Chris Discussion Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032024
400 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024

Around 0450 UTC, Chris is estimated to have made landfall near
Lechuguillas in the Mexican state of Veracruz. Since then,
satellite infrared imagery showed an increase in the thunderstorm
activity in the eastern portion of the circulation, near the region
of the radius of maximum wind which is still over the Bay of
Campeche. Therefore, the initial intensity is held at 35 kt for
this advisory. Chris should weaken quickly throughout the day as the
system moves just north of west at an estimated 280/10 kt inland
over eastern Mexico. Simulated satellite data from global models
suggest Chris will dissipate over the higher terrain later today
and the official forecast now shows dissipation occuring by 12 h,
if not sooner.

Key messages:

1. Heavy rainfall will result in areas of flooding across portions
of eastern Mexico this morning, with mudslides possible in areas of
higher terrain.

2. Tropical-storm-force winds are expected for the next few hours in
the tropical storm warnings area in Mexico.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/0900Z 20.1N 97.2W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Bucci

Original Message :

WTNT33 KNHC 010855
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Chris Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032024
400 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024

...TROPICAL STORM CHRIS BRINGING HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO...

SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.1N 97.2W
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM SSE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cabo Rojo to Puerto Veracruz

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next few hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Chris was
located near latitude 20.1 North, longitude 97.2 West. Chris is
moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general
motion is expected during the next day or so. On the forecast
track, the center of Chris will continue farther inland over
eastern Mexico through today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is expected as Chris moves farther inland, and the system
will likely dissipate over the higher terrain later today.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Chris can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Chris are expected to produce rainfall
totals of 4 to 8 inches across portions of eastern Mexico through
this morning. Maximum rainfall totals around 12 inches are possible
across the higher terrain of the Mexican states of Guanajuato,
Queretaro, and San Luis Potosi. This rainfall will result in areas
of flooding, with mudslides possible in areas of higher terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Tropical Storm Chris, please see the National
Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area
during the next few hours.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Bucci

Original Message :

WTNT23 KNHC 010854
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM CHRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032024
0900 UTC MON JUL 01 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 97.2W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 97.2W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 96.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 97.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 01/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI

Original Message :

WTNT33 KNHC 010554
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Chris Intermediate Advisory Number 2A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032024
100 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024

...TROPICAL STORM CHRIS MOVES INLAND...
...BRINGING HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF
EASTERN MEXICO...

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 96.7W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cabo Rojo to Puerto Veracruz

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next few hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Chris was
located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 96.7 West. Chris is
moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general
motion is expected during the next day or so. On the forecast
track, the center of Chris will continue farther inland over
eastern Mexico through today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is expected as Chris moves farther inland, and the system
will likely dissipate over the higher terrain later today.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Chris can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Chris is expected to produce rainfall
totals of 4 to 8 inches across portions of eastern Mexico through
today. Maximum rainfall totals around 12 inches are possible
across the higher terrain of the Mexican states of Guanajuato,
Queretaro, and San Luis Potosi. This rainfall will result in areas
of flooding, with mudslides possible in areas of higher terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Tropical Storm Chris, please see the National
Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area
during the next few hours.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Bucci

Original Message :

WTNT63 KNHC 010452
TCUAT3

Tropical Storm Chris Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032024
1150 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024

...CHRIS MOVES INLAND OVER EASTERN MEXICO...

Satellite imagery and data from an earlier Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the center of Tropical
Storm Chris has made landfall in Veracruz near Lechuguillas, which
is about 85 miles southeast of Tuxpan. The maximum winds are
estimated to be 40 mph (65 km/h), and minimum central pressure is
estimated to be 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

SUMMARY OF 1150 PM CDT...0450 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 96.6W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Bucci

Original Message :

WTNT43 KNHC 010258
TCDAT3

Tropical Storm Chris Discussion Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032024
1000 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Unit Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate that the maximum sustained winds are now near 35 kt so the
system is being named at this time.

The tropical cyclone continues on a slightly north of due west
heading with an initial motion estimate of 280/11 kt. A strong mid-
level ridge associated with a high pressure system centered over
the southern U.S. Plains should continue to steer the system mainly
westward through tomorrow, i.e. until dissipation. The official
track forecast is similar to the previous NHC prediction and about
in the middle of the objective guidance.

Since the cyclone should make landfall within the next few hours,
little additional strengthening is anticipated. Chris should
weaken quickly after moving inland and dissipate over the
mountainous terrain of Mexico.

The primary hazard associated with this system is expected to be
heavy rainfall, which will result in life-threatening flash floods
and mud slides over portions of eastern Mexico tonight and into
Monday.

Key messages:

1. Heavy rainfall will result in areas of flooding across eastern
Mexico into Monday, with mudslides possible in areas of higher
terrain.

2. Tropical-storm-force winds are expected overnight in the
tropical storm warnings area in Mexico.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/0300Z 20.0N 96.2W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 01/1200Z 20.3N 97.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
24H 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTNT23 KNHC 010256
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM CHRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032024
0300 UTC MON JUL 01 2024

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 96.2W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 96.2W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 95.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 20.3N 97.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 96.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 01/0600Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

Original Message :

WTNT33 KNHC 010257
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Chris Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032024
1000 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024

...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM CHRIS...
...BRINGING HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF
EASTERN MEXICO...

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 96.2W
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cabo Rojo to Puerto Veracruz

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within
the next 6 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Chris was
located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 96.2 West. Chris is
moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general
motion is expected during the next day or so. On the forecast
track, the center will move inland early Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Chris will begin to weaken after landfall and will likely dissipate
later on Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Chris can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Chris is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8
inches across portions of eastern Mexico through Monday. Maximum
rainfall totals around 12 inches are possible across the higher
terrain of the Mexican states of Guanajuato, Queretaro, and San
Luis Potosi. This rainfall will result in area of flooding, with
mudslides possible in areas of higher terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Tropical Storm Chris, please see the National
Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area
during the next few hours.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTNT33 KNHC 302329
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Three Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032024
700 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024

...DEPRESSION MOVING TOWARD THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO...
...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF
EASTERN MEXICO...

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.8N 95.6W
ABOUT 145 MI...230 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cabo Rojo to Puerto Veracruz.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within
the next 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three
was located near latitude 19.8 North, longitude 95.6 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this
general motion should continue until it dissipates over eastern
Mexico late Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is expected, and the cyclone is forecast to
become a tropical storm before it reaches the coast later tonight.
The system is expected to weaken and dissipate after it moves inland
over eastern Mexico.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for the depression can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Three is expected to produce rainfall
totals of 4 to 8 inches across portions of eastern Mexico into
Monday, with localized maximum totals of 15 inches possible. This
rainfall will result in areas of flooding, with mudslides possible
in areas of higher terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Tropical Depression Three, please see the National
Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area
later tonight.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

Original Message :

WTNT43 KNHC 302046
TCDAT3

Tropical Depression Three Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032024
400 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024

Aircraft reconnaissance data and satellite-derived winds
indicate that the low-pressure system that emerged over the
southeastern Bay of Campeche this morning has become sufficiently
organized to be classified as a tropical depression, the third
tropical cyclone of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season.
Conventional satellite imagery shows developing curved bands in the
northwest and northeast quadrants with a recent deep burst of
convection near the surface center. Based on the wind data, this
advisory's initial intensity is set at 30 kt.

The surrounding environment appears conducive for some
strengthening before the tropical cyclone moves inland early
Monday. Subsequently, the official intensity forecast calls for
the system to become a tropical storm before landfall and this
agrees with the global models and the SHIPS statistical guidance.
Afterward, the circulation is very likely to dissipate over the
mountainous terrain of eastern Mexico by Monday night.

The initial motion is estimated to be westward, or 280/10 kt, along
the southern periphery of a mid-tropospheric ridge over the
north-central Gulf coast. The depression should continue in this
general motion and is expected to approach the coast of eastern
Mexico tonight and move inland early Monday. The official NHC
track forecast is based on a blend of the global models.

Based on the forecast, the Government of Mexico has issued a
tropical storm warning for a portion of the coast of Mexico within
the state of Veracruz.

The primary hazard associated with this system is expected to be
heavy rainfall, which will result in life-threatening flash floods
and mud slides over portions of eastern Mexico and into Monday.

Key message:
1. Heavy rainfall will result in areas of flooding across eastern
Mexico into Monday, with mudslides possible in areas of higher
terrain.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 30/2100Z 19.7N 94.9W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 01/0600Z 20.0N 96.6W 35 KT 40 MPH...ON THE COAST
24H 01/1800Z 20.2N 99.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Roberts

Original Message :

WTNT33 KNHC 302044
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Three Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032024
400 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING OVER PORTIONS OF
EASTERN MEXICO...

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.7N 94.9W
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning from
Cabo Rojo south to Puerto Veracruz.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cabo Rojo to Puerto Veracruz.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within
the next 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three
was located near latitude 19.7 North, longitude 94.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this
general motion should continue until it dissipates over eastern
Mexico late Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is expected, and the cyclone is forecast to
become a tropical storm before it reaches the coast later tonight.
The system is expected to weaken and dissipate after it moves
inland over eastern Mexico.

The estimated minimum central pressure reported by aircraft
reconnaissance is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for the depression can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Three is expected to produce rainfall
totals of 4 to 8 inches across portions of eastern Mexico into
Monday, with localized maximum totals of 15 inches possible. This
rainfall will result in areas of flooding, with mudslides possible
in areas of higher terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Tropical Depression Three, please see the National
Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area
later tonight.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

Original Message :

WTNT23 KNHC 302042
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032024
2100 UTC SUN JUN 30 2024

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 94.9W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 94.9W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 94.4W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 20.0N 96.6W...ON THE COAST
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 20.2N 99.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 94.9W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 01/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS

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