Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MALIKSI-24 in China from 31 May 2024 00:00 UTC to 18:00

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Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MALIKSI-24

in China

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

Click on the messages list to visualize on the right the detailed text.

Measurements Levels

SOURCE	GAUGE LOCATION	LAT	LON	TIME (UTC)	HEIGHT (m)	PERIOD (min)

01/06 07:34 WTSS20VHHH010746

01/06 07:06 WTPQ31RJTD010600

01/06 06:42 WTPQ51RJTD010600

01/06 04:33 WTSS20VHHH010446

01/06 03:42 WTPQ51RJTD010300

01/06 01:25 WTPQ31RJTD010000

01/06 00:48 WTPQ51RJTD010000

01/06 00:47 WTJP22RJTD010000

31/05 22:33 WTSS20VHHH312246

31/05 21:41 WTPQ51RJTD312100

31/05 19:56 WTPN52PGTW312100

31/05 19:55 WTPN32PGTW312100

31/05 19:35 WTSS20VHHH311946

31/05 19:31 WTPQ31RJTD311800

31/05 18:41 WTPQ51RJTD311800

31/05 18:41 WTJP22RJTD311800

31/05 16:34 WTSS20VHHH311646

31/05 15:43 WTPQ51RJTD311500

31/05 14:05 WTPN52PGTW311500

31/05 14:04 WTPN32PGTW311500

31/05 13:35 WTSS20VHHH311346

31/05 13:17 WTPQ31RJTD311200

31/05 12:41 WTPQ51RJTD311200

31/05 12:41 WTJP22RJTD311200

31/05 11:24 WTSS20VHHH311046CCA

31/05 10:39 WTSS20VHHH311046

31/05 09:41 WTPQ51RJTD310900

31/05 08:17 WTPN52PGTW310900

31/05 08:16 WTPN32PGTW310900

31/05 07:54 WTPQ31RJTD310600

31/05 07:15 WTPQ51RJTD310600

31/05 07:14 WTJP22RJTD310600

31/05 05:05 WTPN32PGTW310300COR

31/05 02:08 WTPN52PGTW310300

31/05 02:07 WTPN32PGTW310300

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 010746

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 010600 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION MALIKSI (2402) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (23.4
N) ONE ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (112.5 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 010600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 9 FOR TD LOCATED AT 23N 112E
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
MALIKSI (2402) HAS WEAKENED TO TD INTENSITY. THE TD IS LOCATED ON
LAND AT 23N, 112E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON
ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002HPA
AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE LESS THAN 30KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS ARE SCATTERED AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89
GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
SEE THE MARINE WARNING (WWJP27 RJTD).
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
SEE THE MARINE WARNING (WWJP27 RJTD).
5.REMARKS
THIS WILL BE THE FINAL PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR THE SYSTEM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 010600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 2402 MALIKSI (2402)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 010600UTC 23N 112E
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 1002HPA =

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 010446

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 010300 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION MALIKSI (2402) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (23.0
N) ONE ONE TWO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (112.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020300 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (25.5 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (116.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 030300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 010300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2402 MALIKSI (2402)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 010300UTC 22.2N 111.7E FAIR
MOVE N 07KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM SOUTHEAST 60NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 011500UTC 24.0N 113.9E 35NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HF 020300UTC 25.2N 116.1E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 010000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 8 FOR TS 2402 MALIKSI (2402)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MALIKSI IS LOCATED AT 21.3N, 111.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY
OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS
THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE
MAINLAND SOON. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
UNTIL FT12 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT12 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND. THE
SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT12. THE INTENSITY FORECAST
IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 010000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2402 MALIKSI (2402)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 010000UTC 21.3N 111.4E FAIR
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM SOUTHEAST 60NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 011200UTC 23.6N 113.1E 35NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HF 020000UTC 25.0N 115.4E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 010000
WARNING 010000.
WARNING VALID 020000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2402 MALIKSI (2402) 1002 HPA
AT 21.3N 111.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 23.6N 113.1E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 020000UTC AT 25.0N 115.4E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1006 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 312246

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 312100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MALIKSI (2402) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 996 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ONE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (21.9 N) ONE ONE
ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (111.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 012100 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (25.3 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (115.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 022100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 312100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2402 MALIKSI (2402)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 312100UTC 21.1N 111.5E FAIR
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM SOUTHEAST 60NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 010900UTC 23.4N 112.8E 35NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HF 012100UTC 25.3N 115.3E 50NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 312100
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 240531190027
2024053118 02W MALIKSI 004 01 345 06 SATL RADR 045
T000 216N 1114E 030
T012 231N 1122E 025
T024 246N 1143E 020
AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (MALIKSI) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (MALIKSI) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
311800Z --- NEAR 21.6N 111.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N 111.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 23.1N 112.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 24.6N 114.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
312100Z POSITION NEAR 22.0N 111.6E.
31MAY24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 02W (MALIKSI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
161 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 311800Z IS
1001 MB.
//
0224052912 181N1124E 15
0224052918 179N1123E 15
0224053000 176N1126E 15
0224053006 174N1127E 20
0224053012 174N1123E 20
0224053018 183N1129E 25
0224053100 196N1126E 30
0224053106 204N1119E 30
0224053112 210N1116E 30
0224053118 216N1114E 30
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 312100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (MALIKSI) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (MALIKSI) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
311800Z --- NEAR 21.6N 111.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
REPEAT POSIT: 21.6N 111.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 23.1N 112.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 24.6N 114.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
312100Z POSITION NEAR 22.0N 111.6E.
31MAY24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 02W (MALIKSI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
161 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC) MAKING LANDFALL OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS, FLANKED
BY CURVED CONVECTIVE BANDING WITHIN THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT. THE LOCAL
ANIMATED RADAR LOOP ALSO DEPICTS THE LLCC AS MAKING LANDFALL INTO
SOUTHERN MAINLAND CHINA AND BECOMING ELONGATED THROUGH INCREASED
FRICTIONAL INFLUENCES FROM TERRAIN. RECENT SUBJECTIVE AGENCY DVORAK
ESTIMATES ASSESS INTENSITIES OF TD 02W BETWEEN 25-30 KTS. DUE TO
RECENTLY MAKING LANDFALL, THE TERRAIN INDUCED FRICTION WILL CONTINUE
TO DETERIORATE THE CORE STRUCTURE OF TD 02W, RAPIDLY WEAKENING AND
COMPLETING FULL DISSIPATION BY TAU 24. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON
THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM
WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE AT 311800Z IS 1001 MB.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 311946

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 311800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MALIKSI (2402) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 996 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (21.6 N) ONE ONE
ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (111.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011800 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (25.0 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (114.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 311800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 7 FOR TS 2402 MALIKSI (2402)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MALIKSI IS LOCATED AT 20.9N, 111.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS
GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. METOP-C/MHS 85 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT12. THE
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER
NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP
MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT12 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND. THE
SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT12. THE INTENSITY FORECAST
IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 311800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2402 MALIKSI (2402)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 311800UTC 20.9N 111.3E FAIR
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM SOUTHEAST 60NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 010600UTC 23.3N 112.6E 35NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HF 011800UTC 25.1N 114.9E 50NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 311800
WARNING 311800.
WARNING VALID 011800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2402 MALIKSI (2402) 1000 HPA
AT 20.9N 111.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 23.3N 112.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011800UTC AT 25.1N 114.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 311646

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 311500 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MALIKSI (2402) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 996 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (21.1 N) ONE ONE
ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (111.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTH AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011500 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (24.5 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (114.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 311500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2402 MALIKSI (2402)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 311500UTC 20.9N 111.4E FAIR
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM SOUTHEAST 60NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 010300UTC 22.7N 112.4E 35NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HF 011500UTC 24.5N 114.0E 50NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 311500
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 240531130349
2024053112 02W MALIKSI 003 01 335 07 SATL RADR 060
T000 211N 1116E 030
T012 225N 1116E 025
T024 240N 1133E 020
AMP
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (MALIKSI) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (MALIKSI) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
311200Z --- NEAR 21.1N 111.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N 111.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 22.5N 111.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 24.0N 113.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
311500Z POSITION NEAR 21.4N 111.6E.
31MAY24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (MALIKSI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
162 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 311200Z IS 998 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
312100Z, 010300Z AND 010900Z.
//
0224052912 181N1124E 15
0224052918 179N1123E 15
0224053000 176N1126E 15
0224053006 174N1127E 20
0224053012 174N1123E 20
0224053018 183N1129E 25
0224053100 196N1126E 30
0224053106 205N1119E 30
0224053112 211N1116E 30
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 311500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (MALIKSI) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (MALIKSI) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
311200Z --- NEAR 21.1N 111.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N 111.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 22.5N 111.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 24.0N 113.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
311500Z POSITION NEAR 21.4N 111.6E.
31MAY24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (MALIKSI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
162 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 311200Z IS 998 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
312100Z, 010300Z AND 010900Z.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 311346

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 311200 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MALIKSI (2402) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 996 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (20.7 N) ONE
ONE ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (111.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
BE SLOW MOVING AT FIRST, THEN MOVE NORTH AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011200 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (24.2 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (114.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 021200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 311200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 6 FOR TS 2402 MALIKSI (2402)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MALIKSI IS LOCATED AT 20.9N, 111.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT12. THE
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER
NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP
MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT12 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND. THE
SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT12. THE INTENSITY FORECAST
IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 311200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2402 MALIKSI (2402)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 311200UTC 20.9N 111.4E FAIR
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM SOUTHEAST 60NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 010000UTC 22.4N 112.2E 35NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HF 011200UTC 24.1N 113.7E 50NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 311200
WARNING 311200.
WARNING VALID 011200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2402 MALIKSI (2402) 1000 HPA
AT 20.9N 111.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 22.4N 112.2E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 24.1N 113.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 311046 CCA

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 310900 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MALIKSI (2402) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 996 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (20.6 N) ONE ONE
ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (111.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO BE
SLOW MOVING AT FIRST, THEN MOVE NORTH AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010900 UTC
TWO THREE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (23.9 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (113.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 311046

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 310900 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MALIKSI (2402) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 996 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (20.6 N) ONE ONE
ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (111.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTH AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010900 UTC
TWO THREE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (23.9 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (113.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 020900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 310900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2402 MALIKSI (2402)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 310900UTC 20.5N 111.9E FAIR
MOVE N 07KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM SOUTHEAST 60NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 312100UTC 22.1N 111.7E 35NM 70%
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 010900UTC 23.6N 112.8E 50NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 310900
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 240531073330
2024053106 02W TWO 002 02 325 11 SATL RADR 060
T000 205N 1119E 030
T012 221N 1115E 030
T024 236N 1125E 025
T036 251N 1142E 020
AMP
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 002
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
310600Z --- NEAR 20.5N 111.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N 111.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 22.1N 111.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 23.6N 112.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 25.1N 114.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
310900Z POSITION NEAR 20.9N 111.8E.
31MAY24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 168
NM SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 310600Z IS 995 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
311500Z, 312100Z, 010300Z AND 010900Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0224052912 181N1124E 15
0224052918 179N1123E 15
0224053000 176N1126E 15
0224053006 174N1127E 20
0224053012 174N1123E 20
0224053018 183N1129E 25
0224053100 196N1126E 30
0224053106 205N1119E 30
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 310900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 002
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
310600Z --- NEAR 20.5N 111.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N 111.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 22.1N 111.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 23.6N 112.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 25.1N 114.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
310900Z POSITION NEAR 20.9N 111.8E.
31MAY24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 168
NM SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 310600Z IS 995 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
311500Z, 312100Z, 010300Z AND 010900Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 01W (EWINIAR) FINAL WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW)
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 310600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 5 FOR TS 2402 MALIKSI (2402)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
A TD PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 19.0N, 112.2E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TS
(MALIKSI) STATUS. TS MALIKSI IS LOCATED AT 20.0N, 112.1E.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 998HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE
35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW.
THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE WINDS DATA ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE
SCATTEROMETERS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY
OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE NOW DISTINCT. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. METOP-B/MHS 85 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE
MAINLAND BY FT12. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN
CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW,
LOW TCHP AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO
ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD
INTENSITY BY FT24. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS
OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 310600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2402 MALIKSI (2402) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 310600UTC 20.0N 112.1E FAIR
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM SOUTHEAST 60NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 311800UTC 21.7N 111.5E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 010600UTC 23.3N 112.4E 50NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 310600
WARNING 310600.
WARNING VALID 010600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2402 MALIKSI (2402) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION
998 HPA
AT 20.0N 112.1E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING NORTH SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 21.7N 111.5E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 23.3N 112.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 310300 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 001A CORRECTED//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/302121ZAPR2022//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 001A CORRECTED
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
310000Z --- NEAR 19.7N 112.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 23 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N 112.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 21.5N 112.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 23.1N 113.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 24.6N 114.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
310300Z POSITION NEAR 20.1N 112.8E.
31MAY24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 175
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 310000Z IS 1002 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
310900Z, 311500Z, 312100Z AND 010300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 01W
(EWINIAR) FINAL WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW).
2. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 302130).
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED REFERENCE AND ADDITIONAL
REMARKS.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 310300
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 240531014414
2024053100 02W TWO 001 02 015 23 SATL 025
T000 197N 1128E 025
T012 215N 1128E 030
T024 231N 1132E 025
T036 246N 1147E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 001
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
310000Z --- NEAR 19.7N 112.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 23 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N 112.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 21.5N 112.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 23.1N 113.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 24.6N 114.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
310300Z POSITION NEAR 20.1N 112.8E.
31MAY24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 175
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 310000Z IS 1002 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
310900Z, 311500Z, 312100Z AND 010300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0224052912 181N1124E 15
0224052918 179N1123E 15
0224053000 176N1126E 15
0224053006 174N1127E 20
0224053012 174N1123E 20
0224053018 175N1121E 20
0224053100 197N1128E 25
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 310300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 001
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
310000Z --- NEAR 19.7N 112.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 23 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N 112.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 21.5N 112.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 23.1N 113.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 24.6N 114.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
310300Z POSITION NEAR 20.1N 112.8E.
31MAY24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 175
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 310000Z IS 1002 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
310900Z, 311500Z, 312100Z AND 010300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
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