Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for EWINIAR-24 in Philippines, Japan from 24 May 2024 18:00 UTC to 31 May 2024 00:00 UTC

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 310300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 026
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
310000Z --- NEAR 32.8N 139.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 32.8N 139.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 36.3N 145.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
310300Z POSITION NEAR 33.7N 141.2E.
31MAY24. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150
NM SOUTH OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 15
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI)
DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED AND ASYMMETRIC LLCC WHICH IS SHOWING
FRONTOGENESIS. A CIMSS TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER LOOP CONFIRMS THE
FRONTAL DEVELOPMENT AND SHOWS DRY CONTINENTAL POLAR AIR CUTTING INTO
THE VORTEX FROM THE SOUTHWEST. ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS
ENTERED THE BAROCLINIC ZONE OVER 22C SEA WATER AND 40-45KTS OF
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TS 01W IS UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND
IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A GALE FORCE COLD CORE LOW BY TAU 12.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 310000Z IS 995
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 23 FEET.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 310300
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240531005409
2024053100 01W EWINIAR 026 01 040 15 SATL 025
T000 328N 1397E 045 R034 070 NE QD 085 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD
T012 363N 1457E 045 R034 090 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 040 NW QD
AMP 000HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
012HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 026
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 026
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
310000Z --- NEAR 32.8N 139.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 32.8N 139.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 36.3N 145.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
310300Z POSITION NEAR 33.7N 141.2E.
31MAY24. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150
NM SOUTH OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 15
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED AND ASYMMETRIC LLCC WHICH IS SHOWING FRONTOGENESIS. A CIMSS TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER LOOP CONFIRMS THE FRONTAL DEVELOPMENT AND SHOWS DRY CONTINENTAL POLAR AIR CUTTING INTO THE VORTEX FROM THE SOUTHWEST. ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS ENTERED THE BAROCLINIC ZONE OVER 22C SEA WATER AND 40-45KTS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TS 01W IS UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A GALE FORCE COLD CORE LOW BY TAU 12.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 310000Z IS 995
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z IS 23 FEET.
//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1276E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 20
0124052412 104N1260E 25
0124052418 114N1250E 25
0124052500 122N1238E 30
0124052506 128N1230E 30
0124052512 135N1222E 35
0124052518 138N1218E 40
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052906 252N1318E 60
0124052906 252N1318E 60
0124052912 263N1329E 55
0124052912 263N1329E 55
0124052918 274N1339E 55
0124052918 274N1339E 55
0124053000 282N1348E 55
0124053000 282N1348E 55
0124053006 290N1358E 50
0124053006 290N1358E 50
0124053012 301N1370E 45
0124053018 317N1385E 45
0124053100 328N1397E 45
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 302100
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240530192842
2024053018 01W EWINIAR 025 01 040 21 SATL 025
T000 317N 1385E 045 R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD
T012 352N 1432E 045 R034 070 NE QD 140 SE QD 100 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 385N 1498E 045 R034 150 NE QD 210 SE QD 150 SW QD 095 NW QD
AMP 000HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
012HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
024HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 025
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 025
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301800Z --- NEAR 31.7N 138.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 21 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 31.7N 138.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 35.2N 143.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 31 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 38.5N 149.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
302100Z POSITION NEAR 32.6N 139.7E.
30MAY24. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 224
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD
AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 301800Z IS 995 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
310300Z, 310900Z AND 311500Z.
//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1276E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 20
0124052412 104N1260E 25
0124052418 114N1250E 25
0124052500 122N1238E 30
0124052506 128N1230E 30
0124052512 135N1222E 35
0124052518 138N1218E 40
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052906 252N1318E 60
0124052906 252N1318E 60
0124052912 263N1329E 55
0124052912 263N1329E 55
0124052918 274N1339E 55
0124052918 274N1339E 55
0124053000 282N1348E 55
0124053000 282N1348E 55
0124053006 290N1358E 50
0124053006 290N1358E 50
0124053012 301N1370E 45
0124053018 317N1385E 45

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 302100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NR 025//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 025
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301800Z --- NEAR 31.7N 138.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 21 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 31.7N 138.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 35.2N 143.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 31 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 38.5N 149.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
302100Z POSITION NEAR 32.6N 139.7E.
30MAY24. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 224
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD
AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 301800Z IS 995 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
310300Z, 310900Z AND 311500Z.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 301800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.32 FOR EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE LOCATED AT 31N 138E
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
EWINIAR (2401) HAS TRANSFORMED INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. THE
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE IS LOCATED AT 31N, 138E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG
VWS. HOWEVER, ITS STATE OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION HAS CAUSED IT
TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON
THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM IS ONLY A VORTEX CONSISTING OF LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
SEE THE MARINE WARNING (WWJP27 RJTD).
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
SEE THE MARINE WARNING (WWJP27 RJTD).
5.REMARKS
THIS WILL BE THE FINAL PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR THE SYSTEM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 301800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME DEVELOPING LOW FORMER TS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 301800UTC 31N 138E
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 040KT
30KT 300NM SOUTHEAST 200NM NORTHWEST =

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 301500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 301500UTC 30.5N 137.4E GOOD
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 310300UTC 33.9N 141.5E 40NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW
24HF 311500UTC 37.4N 148.2E 57NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 301500
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240530134100
2024053012 01W EWINIAR 024 01 040 15 SATL 040
T000 300N 1369E 045 R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 332N 1402E 045 R034 080 NE QD 135 SE QD 000 SW QD 025 NW QD
T024 369N 1459E 045 R034 145 NE QD 170 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP 000HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
012HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
024HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 024
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 024
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301200Z --- NEAR 30.0N 136.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING SUBTROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 30.0N 136.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 33.2N 140.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 30 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 36.9N 145.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
301500Z POSITION NEAR 30.8N 137.7E.
30MAY24. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 348
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD
AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 301200Z IS 995 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
302100Z, 310300Z AND 310900Z.
//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1276E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 20
0124052412 104N1260E 25
0124052418 114N1250E 25
0124052500 122N1238E 30
0124052506 128N1230E 30
0124052512 135N1222E 35
0124052518 138N1218E 40
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052906 252N1318E 60
0124052906 252N1318E 60
0124052912 263N1329E 55
0124052912 263N1329E 55
0124052918 274N1339E 55
0124052918 274N1339E 55
0124053000 282N1348E 55
0124053000 282N1348E 55
0124053006 289N1358E 50
0124053006 289N1358E 50
0124053012 300N1369E 45
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 301500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 024//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 024
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
301200Z --- NEAR 30.0N 136.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING SUBTROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 30.0N 136.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 33.2N 140.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 30 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 36.9N 145.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
301500Z POSITION NEAR 30.8N 137.7E.
30MAY24. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 348
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD
AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 301200Z IS 995 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
302100Z, 310300Z AND 310900Z.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 301200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.31 FOR TS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS EWINIAR IS LOCATED AT 29.6N, 136.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW
SSTS AND STRONG VWS. HOWEVER, ITS STATE OF EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST
SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT24.
THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO
OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL
NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 IN A STATE OF
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT12. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 301200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 301200UTC 29.6N 136.7E GOOD
MOVE NE 13KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 310000UTC 32.9N 140.0E 40NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW
24HF 311200UTC 36.7N 146.5E 57NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 301200
WARNING 301200.
WARNING VALID 311200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 998 HPA
AT 29.6N 136.7E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 32.9N 140.0E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 36.7N 146.5E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 300900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 300900UTC 29.2N 136.2E GOOD
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 302100UTC 32.1N 139.3E 45NM 70%
MOVE NE 20KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 310900UTC 35.9N 145.0E 65NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 300900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300600Z --- NEAR 28.9N 135.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.9N 135.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 31.1N 138.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 34.3N 143.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 30 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 37.6N 149.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
300900Z POSITION NEAR 29.5N 136.4E.
30MAY24. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 432
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD
AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 300600Z IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
301500Z, 302100Z, 310300Z AND 310900Z.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 300900
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240530071013
2024053006 01W EWINIAR 023 01 050 11 SATL 040
T000 289N 1358E 050 R050 035 NE QD 045 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 055 SE QD 035 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 311N 1384E 050 R050 025 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 343N 1430E 045 R034 120 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 376N 1491E 045 R034 210 NE QD 210 SE QD 170 SW QD 080 NW QD
AMP
012HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 023
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300600Z --- NEAR 28.9N 135.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.9N 135.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 31.1N 138.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 34.3N 143.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 30 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 37.6N 149.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
300900Z POSITION NEAR 29.5N 136.4E.
30MAY24. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 432
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD
AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 300600Z IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
301500Z, 302100Z, 310300Z AND 310900Z.
//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1276E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 20
0124052412 104N1260E 25
0124052418 114N1250E 25
0124052500 122N1238E 30
0124052506 128N1230E 30
0124052512 135N1222E 35
0124052518 138N1218E 40
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052906 252N1318E 60
0124052906 252N1318E 60
0124052912 263N1329E 55
0124052912 263N1329E 55
0124052918 274N1339E 55
0124052918 274N1339E 55
0124053000 282N1348E 55
0124053000 282N1348E 55
0124053006 289N1358E 50
0124053006 289N1358E 50
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 300600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.30 FOR TS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS EWINIAR IS LOCATED AT 28.9N, 135.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
LOWER SSTS AND INCREASED VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN
OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS
BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND SURFACE WINDS DATA ESTIMATED
FROM SATELLITE SCATTEROMETERS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. NOAA-20/ATMS 85 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING
WESTERLIES UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS AND INCREASED VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 IN A STATE OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE
SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT24. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 300600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2401 EWINIAR (2401) DOWNGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 300600UTC 28.9N 135.6E GOOD
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 301800UTC 31.5N 138.1E 45NM 70%
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 310600UTC 35.2N 143.5E 65NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 300600
WARNING 300600.
WARNING VALID 310600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2401 EWINIAR (2401) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL
STORM 998 HPA
AT 28.9N 135.6E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 31.5N 138.1E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 35.2N 143.5E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 300300
WARNING 300300.
WARNING VALID 310300.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 992 HPA
AT 28.4N 135.2E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301500UTC AT 30.9N 137.5E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310300UTC AT 34.2N 141.5E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 300300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 300300UTC 28.4N 135.2E GOOD
MOVE NNE 12KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 180NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 301500UTC 30.9N 137.5E 45NM 70%
MOVE NE 16KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 310300UTC 34.2N 141.5E 65NM 70%
MOVE NE 24KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 010000UTC 39.8N 153.2E 100NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 300300
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240530013642
2024053000 01W EWINIAR 022 01 055 11 SATL 040
T000 279N 1349E 050 R050 035 NE QD 045 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 055 SE QD 035 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 301N 1371E 045 R034 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 020 NW QD
T024 333N 1409E 040 R034 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 365N 1462E 040 R034 110 NE QD 150 SE QD 110 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 393N 1527E 035 R034 200 NE QD 230 SE QD 180 SW QD 080 NW QD
AMP 000HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
012HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 022
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300000Z --- NEAR 27.9N 134.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.9N 134.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 30.1N 137.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 33.3N 140.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 36.5N 146.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 39.3N 152.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
300300Z POSITION NEAR 28.5N 135.5E.
30MAY24. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 388
NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 300000Z IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 310300Z.
//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1276E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 20
0124052412 104N1260E 25
0124052418 114N1250E 25
0124052500 122N1238E 30
0124052506 128N1230E 30
0124052512 135N1222E 35
0124052518 138N1218E 40
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052906 252N1318E 60
0124052906 252N1318E 60
0124052912 265N1328E 55
0124052912 265N1328E 55
0124052918 273N1339E 55
0124052918 273N1339E 55
0124053000 279N1349E 50
0124053000 279N1349E 50
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 300300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NR 022//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300000Z --- NEAR 27.9N 134.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.9N 134.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 30.1N 137.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 33.3N 140.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 36.5N 146.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 39.3N 152.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
300300Z POSITION NEAR 28.5N 135.5E.
30MAY24. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 388
NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 300000Z IS 992 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
300900Z, 301500Z, 302100Z AND 310300Z.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 300000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.29 FOR STS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS EWINIAR IS LOCATED AT 27.5N, 134.9E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
990HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 55KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF LOWER SSTS AND LOW TCHP. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY
AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING
WESTERLIES UNTIL FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS AND REDUCED TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 IN A STATE OF EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE BY FT48. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 300000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 300000UTC 27.5N 134.9E GOOD
MOVE ENE 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 301200UTC 30.0N 136.7E 45NM 70%
MOVE NNE 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 310000UTC 33.4N 139.9E 65NM 70%
MOVE NE 22KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 010000UTC 39.8N 153.2E 100NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 300000
WARNING 300000.
WARNING VALID 310000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 990 HPA
AT 27.5N 134.9E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 30.0N 136.7E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 33.4N 139.9E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 39.8N 153.2E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 292100
WARNING 292100.
WARNING VALID 302100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 990 HPA
AT 27.3N 134.7E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300900UTC AT 29.8N 136.0E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 302100UTC AT 32.6N 138.8E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 292100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 292100UTC 27.3N 134.7E GOOD
MOVE ENE 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 300900UTC 29.8N 136.0E 45NM 70%
MOVE NNE 14KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 302100UTC 32.6N 138.8E 65NM 70%
MOVE NE 18KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 311800UTC 38.3N 149.8E 100NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 292100
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240529195601
2024052918 01W EWINIAR 021 01 050 13 SATL 050
T000 273N 1339E 055 R050 000 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 293N 1357E 050 R034 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 020 NW QD
T024 320N 1386E 045 R034 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 351N 1435E 040 R034 110 NE QD 150 SE QD 110 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 382N 1496E 045 R034 200 NE QD 230 SE QD 180 SW QD 080 NW QD
AMP
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 021
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291800Z --- NEAR 27.3N 133.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.3N 133.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 29.3N 135.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 32.0N 138.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 35.1N 143.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 38.2N 149.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
292100Z POSITION NEAR 27.8N 134.4E.
29MAY24. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330
NM EAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 291800Z IS 983 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 25 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z, 300900Z, 301500Z AND 302100Z.//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1276E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 20
0124052412 104N1260E 25
0124052418 114N1250E 25
0124052500 122N1238E 30
0124052506 128N1230E 30
0124052512 135N1222E 35
0124052518 138N1218E 40
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052906 252N1318E 60
0124052906 252N1318E 60
0124052912 265N1328E 55
0124052912 265N1328E 55
0124052918 273N1339E 55
0124052918 273N1339E 55
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 292100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291800Z --- NEAR 27.3N 133.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.3N 133.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 29.3N 135.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 32.0N 138.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 35.1N 143.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 38.2N 149.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
292100Z POSITION NEAR 27.8N 134.4E.
29MAY24. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330
NM EAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 291800Z IS 983 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 25 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z, 300900Z, 301500Z AND 302100Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 291800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.28 FOR STS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS EWINIAR IS LOCATED AT 27.1N, 134.0E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
990HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 60KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF LOW TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND.
NOAA-20/ATMS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE
CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS AND LOW TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW.
THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT48.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 291800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 291800UTC 27.1N 134.0E GOOD
MOVE NE 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 300600UTC 29.2N 135.6E 45NM 70%
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 301800UTC 31.7N 137.8E 65NM 70%
MOVE NE 16KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 311800UTC 38.3N 149.8E 100NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 291800
WARNING 291800.
WARNING VALID 301800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 990 HPA
AT 27.1N 134.0E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 29.2N 135.6E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 31.7N 137.8E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 38.3N 149.8E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 291500
WARNING 291500.
WARNING VALID 301500.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 990 HPA
AT 26.7N 133.2E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300300UTC AT 28.8N 135.1E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301500UTC AT 31.0N 137.7E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 291500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 291500UTC 26.7N 133.2E GOOD
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 300300UTC 28.8N 135.1E 40NM 70%
MOVE NE 13KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 301500UTC 31.0N 137.7E 57NM 70%
MOVE NE 16KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 311200UTC 36.4N 146.1E 85NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 291200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.27 FOR STS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS EWINIAR IS LOCATED AT 26.4N, 132.8E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
990HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 60KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF LOW TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS AND LOW TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW.
THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT48.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 291500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 020//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 020
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 01W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291200Z --- NEAR 26.4N 133.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.4N 133.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 28.3N 135.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 30.7N 137.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 33.5N 141.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 36.7N 147.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
291500Z POSITION NEAR 26.9N 133.5E.
29MAY24. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 279 NM
EAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT
15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 291200Z
IS 981 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 28 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 291500
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240529121843
2024052912 01W EWINIAR 020 01 040 15 SATL RADR SYNP 025
T000 264N 1330E 060 R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 085 SE QD 055 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 283N 1350E 050 R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 307N 1375E 045 R034 050 NE QD 090 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD
T036 335N 1413E 040 R034 050 NE QD 120 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 367N 1472E 045 R034 130 NE QD 180 SE QD 140 SW QD 050 NW QD
AMP
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 020
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 020
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 01W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291200Z --- NEAR 26.4N 133.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.4N 133.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 28.3N 135.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 30.7N 137.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 33.5N 141.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 36.7N 147.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
291500Z POSITION NEAR 26.9N 133.5E.
29MAY24. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 279 NM
EAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT
15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 291200Z
IS 981 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 28 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z.//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1276E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 20
0124052412 104N1260E 25
0124052418 114N1250E 25
0124052500 122N1238E 30
0124052506 128N1230E 30
0124052512 135N1222E 35
0124052518 138N1218E 40
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052906 253N1319E 65
0124052906 253N1319E 65
0124052906 253N1319E 65
0124052912 264N1330E 60
0124052912 264N1330E 60
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 291200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 291200UTC 26.4N 132.8E GOOD
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 300000UTC 28.3N 134.6E 40NM 70%
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 301200UTC 30.2N 136.5E 57NM 70%
MOVE NE 13KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 311200UTC 36.4N 146.1E 85NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 291200
WARNING 291200.
WARNING VALID 301200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 990 HPA
AT 26.4N 132.8E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 28.3N 134.6E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 30.2N 136.5E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 36.4N 146.1E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 290900
WARNING 290900.
WARNING VALID 300900.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 990 HPA
AT 26.1N 132.5E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 17 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 292100UTC AT 27.7N 134.1E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300900UTC AT 29.6N 136.4E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 290900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 290900UTC 26.1N 132.5E GOOD
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 292100UTC 27.7N 134.1E 40NM 70%
MOVE NE 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 300900UTC 29.6N 136.4E 57NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 310600UTC 34.2N 142.2E 100NM 70%
MOVE NE 19KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 010600UTC 39.9N 155.6E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 290600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.26 FOR STS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS EWINIAR IS LOCATED AT 25.6N, 132.2E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 60KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TCHP AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED
THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2
89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH
CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, STRONG VWS, LOW TCHP AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 IN A STATE
OF EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 290900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 019//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290600Z --- NEAR 25.7N 132.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.7N 132.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 27.9N 134.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 30.0N 136.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 32.5N 140.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 35.3N 144.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 40.9N 157.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
290900Z POSITION NEAR 26.2N 133.0E.
29MAY24. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 252 NM EAST
OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 290600Z IS
979 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 291500Z, 292100Z, 300300Z AND 300900Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 290900
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240529061621
2024052906 01W EWINIAR 019 01 045 20 SATL RADR SYNP 020
T000 257N 1324E 065 R064 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 085 SE QD 055 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 279N 1346E 055 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 300N 1369E 045 R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 325N 1400E 040 R034 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 353N 1443E 040 R034 090 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 409N 1574E 040 R034 230 NE QD 240 SE QD 180 SW QD 100 NW QD
AMP
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 019
1. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290600Z --- NEAR 25.7N 132.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.7N 132.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 27.9N 134.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 30.0N 136.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 32.5N 140.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 35.3N 144.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 40.9N 157.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
290900Z POSITION NEAR 26.2N 133.0E.
29MAY24. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 252 NM EAST
OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 290600Z IS
979 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 291500Z, 292100Z, 300300Z AND 300900Z.//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1276E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 20
0124052412 104N1260E 25
0124052418 114N1250E 25
0124052500 122N1238E 30
0124052506 128N1230E 30
0124052512 135N1222E 35
0124052518 138N1218E 40
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052906 257N1324E 65
0124052906 257N1324E 65
0124052906 257N1324E 65
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 290600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2401 EWINIAR (2401) DOWNGRADED FROM TY
ANALYSIS
PSTN 290600UTC 25.6N 132.2E GOOD
MOVE NE 20KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 291800UTC 27.3N 133.6E 40NM 70%
MOVE NE 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 300600UTC 29.0N 135.5E 57NM 70%
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 310600UTC 34.2N 142.2E 100NM 70%
MOVE NE 19KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 010600UTC 39.9N 155.6E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 290600
WARNING 290600.
WARNING VALID 300600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2401 EWINIAR (2401) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 990
HPA
AT 25.6N 132.2E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 27.3N 133.6E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 29.0N 135.5E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 34.2N 142.2E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 39.9N 155.6E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
986 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 290300
WARNING 290300.
WARNING VALID 300300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 985 HPA
AT 24.9N 131.6E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 23 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291500UTC AT 27.0N 133.2E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300300UTC AT 28.5N 135.0E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 290300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 290300UTC 24.9N 131.6E GOOD
MOVE NNE 23KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 291500UTC 27.0N 133.2E 40NM 70%
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 300300UTC 28.5N 135.0E 57NM 70%
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 310000UTC 32.4N 139.4E 100NM 70%
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 010000UTC 38.6N 152.1E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 290208
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Typhoon Ewiniar (01W) Advisory Number 18
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP012024
1208 PM ChST Wed May 29 2024

...TYPHOON EWINIAR MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHEAST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...24.9N 131.3E

About 245 miles east-southeast of Okinawa
About 1180 miles northwest of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...80 mph
Present movement...northeast...40 degrees at 22 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...the center of Typhoon Ewiniar will be
located near Latitude 24.9 degrees North and Longitude 131.3 degrees
East. Ewiniar is moving northeast at 22 mph. It is expected to
maintain this general course with a decrease in forward speed through
Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to 80 mph. Ewiniar is forecast
to continue to weaken over the next couple of days.

Typhoon force winds extend outward from the center up to 40 miles to
the southeast and up to 30 miles elsewhere. Tropical storm force
winds extend outward from the center up to 100 miles to the southeast
and up to 65 miles elsewhere.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This will be the last advisory issued by the National Weather
Service on Ewiniar.

$$

Kleeschulte

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 290000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.25 FOR TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY EWINIAR IS LOCATED AT 24.3N, 130.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LOW TCHP. THIS HAS CAUSED
THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, LOW TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT72 IN A STATE OF
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 290300
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240529012259
2024052900 01W EWINIAR 018 01 040 19 SATL RADR 045
T000 243N 1308E 070 R064 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 085 SE QD 055 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 265N 1329E 060 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 284N 1348E 050 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 304N 1371E 045 R034 080 NE QD 110 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 329N 1409E 040 R034 100 NE QD 140 SE QD 095 SW QD 065 NW QD
T072 386N 1527E 045 R034 180 NE QD 210 SE QD 180 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 018
1. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290000Z --- NEAR 24.3N 130.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.3N 130.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 26.5N 132.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 28.4N 134.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 30.4N 137.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 32.9N 140.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 38.6N 152.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
290300Z POSITION NEAR 24.9N 131.3E.
29MAY24. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
209 NM SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD
AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 290000Z IS 978 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 35 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z, 291500Z, 292100Z AND 300300Z.
//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1276E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 20
0124052412 104N1260E 25
0124052418 114N1250E 25
0124052500 122N1238E 30
0124052506 128N1230E 30
0124052512 135N1222E 35
0124052518 138N1218E 40
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052900 243N1308E 70
0124052900 243N1308E 70
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 290300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 018//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290000Z --- NEAR 24.3N 130.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.3N 130.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 26.5N 132.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 28.4N 134.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 30.4N 137.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 32.9N 140.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 38.6N 152.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
290300Z POSITION NEAR 24.9N 131.3E.
29MAY24. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
209 NM SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD
AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 290000Z IS 978 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 35 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z, 291500Z, 292100Z AND 300300Z.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 290000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 290000UTC 24.3N 130.7E GOOD
MOVE NNE 25KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 291200UTC 26.3N 132.5E 40NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 300000UTC 28.0N 134.3E 57NM 70%
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 310000UTC 32.4N 139.4E 100NM 70%
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 010000UTC 38.6N 152.1E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 290000
WARNING 290000.
WARNING VALID 300000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 985 HPA
AT 24.3N 130.7E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 26.3N 132.5E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 28.0N 134.3E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 32.4N 139.4E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 38.6N 152.1E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ31 PGUM 282153
TCPPQ1

BULLETIN
Typhoon Ewiniar (01W) Advisory Number 17
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP012024
753 AM ChST Wed May 29 2024

...TYPHOON EWINIAR SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHEAST...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
None.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.

SUMMARY OF 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...23.4N 130.0E

About 240 miles southeast of Okinawa
About 1185 miles northwest of Guam

Maximum sustained winds...85 mph
Present movement...northeast...40 degrees at 23 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CHST...2100 UTC...the center of Typhoon Ewiniar was
located near Latitude 23.4 degrees North and Longitude
130.0 degrees East. Ewiniar is moving northeast at 23 mph. It is
expected to maintain this general course with a decrease in
forward speed through Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are 85 mph. Ewiniar is forecast to
maintain this intensity through tonight.

Typhoon force winds extend outward from the center up to
15 miles. Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the
center up to 85 miles to the east and up to 40 miles to the west.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 PM ChST.

$$

Simpson

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 282100
WARNING 282100.
WARNING VALID 292100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 985 HPA
AT 23.2N 130.0E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 20 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290900UTC AT 25.7N 132.0E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 292100UTC AT 27.5N 133.7E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 282100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 282100UTC 23.2N 130.0E GOOD
MOVE NE 20KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 290900UTC 25.7N 132.0E 40NM 70%
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
24HF 292100UTC 27.5N 133.7E 57NM 70%
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 301800UTC 30.9N 137.3E 100NM 70%
MOVE NE 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 311800UTC 36.4N 148.0E 140NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 282100
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240528192825
2024052818 01W EWINIAR 017 01 040 20 SATL 060
T000 228N 1295E 075 R064 010 NE QD 015 SE QD 005 SW QD 005 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 075 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD
T012 252N 1317E 075 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 272N 1336E 060 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 290N 1355E 050 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 311N 1380E 040 R034 110 NE QD 140 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 370N 1482E 035 R034 180 NE QD 180 SE QD 160 SW QD 080 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 017
1. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281800Z --- NEAR 22.8N 129.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.8N 129.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 25.2N 131.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 27.2N 133.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 29.0N 135.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 31.1N 138.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 37.0N 148.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
282100Z POSITION NEAR 23.4N 130.0E.
28MAY24. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
241 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED
NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 281800Z IS 975 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 36 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z, 290900Z, 291500Z AND 292100Z.//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1276E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 20
0124052412 104N1260E 25
0124052418 114N1250E 25
0124052500 122N1238E 30
0124052506 128N1230E 30
0124052512 135N1222E 35
0124052518 138N1218E 40
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052806 199N1268E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052812 213N1281E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
0124052818 228N1295E 75
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 282100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 017//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281800Z --- NEAR 22.8N 129.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.8N 129.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 25.2N 131.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 27.2N 133.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 29.0N 135.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 31.1N 138.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 37.0N 148.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
282100Z POSITION NEAR 23.4N 130.0E.
28MAY24. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
241 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED
NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 281800Z IS 975 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 36 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z, 290900Z, 291500Z AND 292100Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 281800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.24 FOR TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY EWINIAR IS LOCATED AT 22.2N, 129.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF REDUCED TCHP AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN
OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS
BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
METOP-B/MHS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND
WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND REDUCED TCHP. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, LOW TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT72 IN A STATE OF
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 281800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 281800UTC 22.2N 129.3E GOOD
MOVE NE 19KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 290600UTC 25.2N 131.5E 40NM 70%
MOVE NE 18KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
24HF 291800UTC 27.1N 133.3E 57NM 70%
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 301800UTC 30.9N 137.3E 100NM 70%
MOVE NE 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 311800UTC 36.4N 148.0E 140NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 281800
WARNING 281800.
WARNING VALID 291800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 985 HPA
AT 22.2N 129.3E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHEAST 19 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 25.2N 131.5E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 27.1N 133.3E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 30.9N 137.3E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 36.4N 148.0E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 281500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 281500UTC 21.6N 128.6E GOOD
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 290300UTC 24.6N 131.2E 40NM 70%
MOVE NE 19KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 291500UTC 26.6N 133.3E 57NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 301200UTC 29.8N 136.8E 100NM 70%
MOVE NE 13KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 311200UTC 35.4N 145.1E 140NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 281500
WARNING 281500.
WARNING VALID 291500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 980 HPA
AT 21.6N 128.6E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHEAST 17 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290300UTC AT 24.6N 131.2E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291500UTC AT 26.6N 133.3E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 281500
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240528125140
2024052812 01W EWINIAR 016 01 040 19 SATL SYNP 020
T000 214N 1280E 065 R064 015 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 080 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD
T012 242N 1305E 060 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 265N 1328E 055 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 286N 1352E 045 R034 070 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 307N 1379E 035 R034 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD
T072 360N 1464E 030
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 016
1. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 21.4N 128.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N 128.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 24.2N 130.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 26.5N 132.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 28.6N 135.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 30.7N 137.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 36.0N 146.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
281500Z POSITION NEAR 22.1N 128.6E.
28MAY24. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 306 NM
SOUTH OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD
AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
281200Z IS 980 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS
31 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z, 290300Z, 290900Z AND 291500Z.//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1276E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 20
0124052412 104N1260E 25
0124052418 114N1250E 25
0124052500 122N1238E 30
0124052506 128N1230E 30
0124052512 135N1222E 35
0124052518 138N1218E 40
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052806 199N1267E 70
0124052806 199N1267E 70
0124052806 199N1267E 70
0124052812 214N1280E 65
0124052812 214N1280E 65
0124052812 214N1280E 65
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 281500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 21.4N 128.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N 128.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 24.2N 130.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 26.5N 132.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 28.6N 135.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 30.7N 137.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 36.0N 146.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
281500Z POSITION NEAR 22.1N 128.6E.
28MAY24. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 306 NM
SOUTH OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD
AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
281200Z IS 980 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS
31 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z, 290300Z, 290900Z AND 291500Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 281200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.23 FOR TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY EWINIAR IS LOCATED AT 20.6N, 127.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 70KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY
AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE
LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, LOW TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT72. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 281200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 281200UTC 20.6N 127.8E GOOD
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 290000UTC 24.1N 130.5E 40NM 70%
MOVE NE 21KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 291200UTC 26.2N 132.8E 57NM 70%
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 301200UTC 29.8N 136.8E 100NM 70%
MOVE NE 13KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 311200UTC 35.4N 145.1E 140NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 281200
WARNING 281200.
WARNING VALID 291200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 980 HPA
AT 20.6N 127.8E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHEAST 17 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 24.1N 130.5E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 26.2N 132.8E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 29.8N 136.8E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 35.4N 145.1E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 280900
WARNING 280900.
WARNING VALID 290900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 980 HPA
AT 20.1N 127.2E SEA SOUTH OF OKINAWA MOVING NORTHEAST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 282100UTC AT 23.5N 130.2E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290900UTC AT 25.8N 132.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 280900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 280900UTC 20.1N 127.2E GOOD
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 282100UTC 23.5N 130.2E 35NM 70%
MOVE NE 22KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 290900UTC 25.8N 132.6E 50NM 70%
MOVE NE 16KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 300600UTC 28.9N 135.9E 100NM 70%
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 310600UTC 34.1N 142.1E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 19KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
93HF 010600UTC 40.1N 155.9E 150NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 280900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280600Z --- NEAR 19.9N 126.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N 126.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 22.8N 129.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 25.1N 131.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 27.1N 133.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 29.1N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 34.2N 143.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 40.2N 155.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
280900Z POSITION NEAR 20.6N 127.4E.
28MAY24. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 401 NM
SOUTH OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD
AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
280600Z IS 976 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS
32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z, 282100Z, 290300Z AND 290900Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 280900
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240528070216
2024052806 01W EWINIAR 015 01 040 18 SATL SYNP 020
T000 199N 1267E 070 R064 015 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 080 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD
T012 228N 1293E 065 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 251N 1316E 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 271N 1337E 050 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 291N 1358E 045 R034 080 NE QD 110 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 342N 1430E 035 R034 100 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T096 402N 1553E 030
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 015
1. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280600Z --- NEAR 19.9N 126.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N 126.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 22.8N 129.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 25.1N 131.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 27.1N 133.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 29.1N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 34.2N 143.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 40.2N 155.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
280900Z POSITION NEAR 20.6N 127.4E.
28MAY24. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 401 NM
SOUTH OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD
AT 18 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
280600Z IS 976 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS
32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z, 282100Z, 290300Z AND 290900Z.//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1276E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 20
0124052412 104N1260E 25
0124052418 114N1250E 25
0124052500 122N1238E 30
0124052506 128N1230E 30
0124052512 135N1222E 35
0124052518 138N1218E 40
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052718 178N1247E 80
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052800 185N1255E 75
0124052806 199N1267E 70
0124052806 199N1267E 70
0124052806 199N1267E 70
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 280600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.22 FOR TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY EWINIAR IS LOCATED AT 19.4N, 126.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 70KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND
WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN
CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL
FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND
REDUCED TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS AND LOW TCHP. THE SYSTEM
WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT96. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 280600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 280600UTC 19.4N 126.5E GOOD
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 90NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 281800UTC 22.8N 129.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE NE 22KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 290600UTC 25.3N 132.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 300600UTC 28.9N 135.9E 100NM 70%
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 310600UTC 34.1N 142.1E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 19KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
96HF 010600UTC 40.1N 155.9E 150NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 280600
WARNING 280600.
WARNING VALID 290600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 980 HPA
AT 19.4N 126.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHEAST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 22.8N 129.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 25.3N 132.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 28.9N 135.9E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 34.1N 142.1E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 40.1N 155.9E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 280300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 280300UTC 18.9N 125.9E GOOD
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 120NM SOUTHEAST 60NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 281500UTC 21.7N 128.8E 35NM 70%
MOVE NE 20KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 290300UTC 24.4N 131.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE NE 18KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 300000UTC 27.6N 134.8E 115NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 310000UTC 31.6N 139.5E 140NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
93HF 010000UTC 38.1N 151.7E 175NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 280300
WARNING 280300.
WARNING VALID 290300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 980 HPA
AT 18.9N 125.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHEAST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281500UTC AT 21.7N 128.8E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290300UTC AT 24.4N 131.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 280145 CCA

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 280000 UTC, TYPHOON EWINIAR (2401) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (18.3 N) ONE TWO FIVE
POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (125.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

NO FURTHER WARNINGS ON THIS TYPHOON WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HONG KONG OBSERVATORY UNLESS IT RE-ENTERS THE HONG KONG
AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290000 UTC
TWO THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (23.7 N)
ONE THREE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (130.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300000 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (27.6 N)
ONE THREE FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (134.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310000 UTC
THREE ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (31.8 N)
ONE THREE NINE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (139.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010000 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 280000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.21 FOR TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY EWINIAR IS LOCATED AT 18.3N, 125.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 70KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
FORMATION OF A CDO PATTERN. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL
FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, REDUCED
TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN
UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS,
LOW TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT96. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 280145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 280000 UTC, TYPHOON EWINIAR (2401) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (18.3 N) ONE TWO FIVE
POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (125.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

NO FURTHER WARNINGS ON THIS TYPHOON WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HONG KONG OBSERVATORY UNLESS IT RE-ENTERS THE HONG KONG
AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290000 UTC
TWO THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (23.7 N)
ONE THREE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (130.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300000 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (27.6 N)
ONE THREE FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (134.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310000 UTC
THREE ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (31.8 N)
ONE THREE NINE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (139.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010000 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 280300
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240528011702
2024052800 01W EWINIAR 014 01 030 09 SATL 060
T000 184N 1249E 075 R064 015 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 080 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD
T012 206N 1271E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 232N 1295E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 254N 1317E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 110 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 273N 1338E 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 125 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD
T072 313N 1390E 040 R034 110 NE QD 140 SE QD 100 SW QD 080 NW QD
T096 377N 1498E 035 R034 210 NE QD 200 SE QD 160 SW QD 080 NW QD
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 014
1. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280000Z --- NEAR 18.4N 124.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N 124.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 20.6N 127.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 23.2N 129.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 25.4N 131.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 27.3N 133.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 31.3N 139.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 37.7N 149.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
280300Z POSITION NEAR 19.0N 125.4E.
28MAY24. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
512 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 280000Z IS 976 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 32 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z, 281500Z, 282100Z AND 290300Z.//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1276E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 20
0124052412 104N1260E 25
0124052418 114N1250E 25
0124052500 122N1238E 30
0124052506 128N1230E 30
0124052512 135N1222E 35
0124052518 138N1218E 40
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052712 170N1239E 85
0124052718 176N1244E 80
0124052718 176N1244E 80
0124052718 176N1244E 80
0124052800 184N1249E 75
0124052800 184N1249E 75
0124052800 184N1249E 75
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 280300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280000Z --- NEAR 18.4N 124.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N 124.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 20.6N 127.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 23.2N 129.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 25.4N 131.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 27.3N 133.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 31.3N 139.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 37.7N 149.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
280300Z POSITION NEAR 19.0N 125.4E.
28MAY24. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
512 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 280000Z IS 976 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 32 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z, 281500Z, 282100Z AND 290300Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 280000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 280000UTC 18.3N 125.4E GOOD
MOVE NE 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 120NM SOUTHEAST 60NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 281200UTC 20.9N 128.1E 35NM 70%
MOVE NE 18KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 290000UTC 23.7N 130.6E 50NM 70%
MOVE NE 18KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 300000UTC 27.6N 134.8E 115NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 310000UTC 31.6N 139.5E 140NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
96HF 010000UTC 38.1N 151.7E 175NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 280000
WARNING 280000.
WARNING VALID 290000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 980 HPA
AT 18.3N 125.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHEAST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 20.9N 128.1E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 23.7N 130.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 27.6N 134.8E WITH 115 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 31.6N 139.5E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 38.1N 151.7E WITH 175 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 272245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 272100 UTC, TYPHOON EWINIAR (2401) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N) ONE TWO FOUR
POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (124.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 282100 UTC
TWO THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (23.1 N)
ONE THREE ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (130.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 292100 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (27.2 N)
ONE THREE FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (134.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 302100 UTC
THREE ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (31.1 N)
ONE THREE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (138.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 312100 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 272100
WARNING 272100.
WARNING VALID 282100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 985 HPA
AT 17.9N 124.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 08
KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280900UTC AT 20.4N 127.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 282100UTC AT 23.0N 130.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 272100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 272100UTC 17.9N 124.9E GOOD
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 120NM SOUTHEAST 60NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 280900UTC 20.4N 127.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 282100UTC 23.0N 130.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 291800UTC 26.8N 134.1E 100NM 70%
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 301800UTC 30.1N 138.3E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
93HF 311800UTC 36.7N 147.7E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 272100
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240527192111
2024052718 01W EWINIAR 013 01 025 07 SATL 060
T000 176N 1244E 080 R064 015 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 080 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD
T012 198N 1265E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 222N 1289E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 246N 1313E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 266N 1335E 070 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 110 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 302N 1382E 050 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 100 SW QD 080 NW QD
T096 358N 1470E 040 R034 170 NE QD 170 SE QD 120 SW QD 100 NW QD
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 013
1. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z --- NEAR 17.6N 124.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N 124.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 19.8N 126.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 22.2N 128.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 24.6N 131.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 26.6N 133.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 30.2N 138.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 35.8N 147.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
272100Z POSITION NEAR 18.1N 124.9E. 27MAY24.
TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 566 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 271800Z IS 972 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 34 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z, 280900Z, 281500Z AND 282100Z.//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1276E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 20
0124052412 104N1260E 25
0124052418 114N1250E 25
0124052500 122N1238E 30
0124052506 128N1230E 30
0124052512 135N1222E 35
0124052518 138N1218E 40
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052706 163N1235E 95
0124052706 163N1235E 95
0124052706 163N1235E 95
0124052712 170N1241E 85
0124052712 170N1241E 85
0124052712 170N1241E 85
0124052718 176N1244E 80
0124052718 176N1244E 80
0124052718 176N1244E 80
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 272100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z --- NEAR 17.6N 124.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N 124.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 19.8N 126.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 22.2N 128.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 24.6N 131.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 26.6N 133.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 30.2N 138.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 35.8N 147.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
272100Z POSITION NEAR 18.1N 124.9E. 27MAY24.
TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 566 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 271800Z IS 972 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 34 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z, 280900Z, 281500Z AND 282100Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 271945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 271800 UTC, TYPHOON EWINIAR (2401) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (17.6 N) ONE TWO FOUR
POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (124.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 281800 UTC
TWO TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (22.6 N)
ONE TWO NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (129.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 291800 UTC
TWO SIX POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (26.9 N)
ONE THREE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (133.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301800 UTC
THREE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (30.6 N)
ONE THREE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (138.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 311800 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 271800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.20 FOR TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY EWINIAR IS LOCATED AT 17.5N, 124.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
METOP-B/MHS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND
WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, LOW TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT96. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 271800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 271800UTC 17.5N 124.5E GOOD
MOVE NE 09KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 120NM SOUTHEAST 60NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 280600UTC 19.8N 126.9E 35NM 70%
MOVE NE 16KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 281800UTC 22.5N 129.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE NE 19KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 291800UTC 26.8N 134.1E 100NM 70%
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 301800UTC 30.1N 138.3E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
96HF 311800UTC 36.7N 147.7E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 271800
WARNING 271800.
WARNING VALID 281800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 985 HPA
AT 17.5N 124.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHEAST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 19.8N 126.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 22.5N 129.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 26.8N 134.1E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 30.1N 138.3E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 36.7N 147.7E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
988 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 271645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 271500 UTC, TYPHOON EWINIAR (2401) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (17.2 N) ONE TWO FOUR
POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (124.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 281500 UTC
TWO ONE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (21.9 N)
ONE TWO EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (128.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 291500 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (27.1 N)
ONE THREE TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (132.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301500 UTC
THREE ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (30.9 N)
ONE THREE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (137.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 311500 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 271500
WARNING 271500.
WARNING VALID 281500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 985 HPA
AT 17.2N 124.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHEAST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280300UTC AT 19.3N 126.5E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281500UTC AT 22.0N 129.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 271500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 271500UTC 17.2N 124.4E GOOD
MOVE NE 09KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
12HF 280300UTC 19.3N 126.5E 35NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 281500UTC 22.0N 129.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE NE 19KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 291200UTC 26.0N 133.6E 100NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 301200UTC 29.4N 137.9E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE 13KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
93HF 311200UTC 34.9N 145.7E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 271345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 271200 UTC, TYPHOON EWINIAR (2401) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N) ONE TWO FOUR
POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (124.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 281200 UTC
TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (21.1 N)
ONE TWO EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (128.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 291200 UTC
TWO SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (26.5 N)
ONE THREE TWO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (132.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301200 UTC
THREE ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (30.4 N)
ONE THREE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (136.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 311200 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 271500
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240527132659
2024052712 01W EWINIAR 012 01 040 08 SATL 025
T000 169N 1239E 085 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 065 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 188N 1257E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 212N 1281E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 235N 1304E 070 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 258N 1329E 065 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 302N 1380E 050 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 060 NW QD
T096 356N 1468E 040 R034 100 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 012
1. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271200Z --- NEAR 16.9N 123.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N 123.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 18.8N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 21.2N 128.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 23.5N 130.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 25.8N 132.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 30.2N 138.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 35.6N 146.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
271500Z POSITION NEAR 17.4N 124.3E.
27MAY24. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 616 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD
AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
271200Z IS 966 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS
26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z, 280300Z, 280900Z AND 281500Z.
//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1276E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 20
0124052412 104N1260E 25
0124052418 114N1250E 25
0124052500 122N1238E 30
0124052506 128N1230E 30
0124052512 135N1222E 35
0124052518 138N1218E 40
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052706 163N1234E 95
0124052712 169N1239E 85
0124052712 169N1239E 85
0124052712 169N1239E 85
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 271500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271200Z --- NEAR 16.9N 123.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N 123.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 18.8N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 21.2N 128.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 23.5N 130.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 25.8N 132.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 30.2N 138.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 35.6N 146.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
271500Z POSITION NEAR 17.4N 124.3E.
27MAY24. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 616 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD
AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
271200Z IS 966 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS
26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z, 280300Z, 280900Z AND 281500Z.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 271200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.19 FOR TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY EWINIAR IS LOCATED AT 16.7N, 124.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
NOAA-20/ATMS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND
WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT36 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW AND REDUCED TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL
FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, LOW TCHP
AND INCREASED VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE BY FT96. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 271200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 271200UTC 16.7N 124.2E GOOD
MOVE ENE 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
12HF 280000UTC 18.6N 125.8E 35NM 70%
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 281200UTC 21.3N 128.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE NE 19KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 291200UTC 26.0N 133.6E 100NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 301200UTC 29.4N 137.9E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE 13KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
96HF 311200UTC 34.9N 145.7E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 271200
WARNING 271200.
WARNING VALID 281200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 985 HPA
AT 16.7N 124.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 08
KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 18.6N 125.8E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 21.3N 128.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 26.0N 133.6E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 29.4N 137.9E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 34.9N 145.7E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 271045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 270900 UTC, TYPHOON EWINIAR (2401) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (16.5 N) ONE TWO THREE
POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (123.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280900 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (20.4 N)
ONE TWO SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (127.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 90 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290900 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (25.9 N)
ONE THREE ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (131.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300900 UTC
THREE ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (30.0 N)
ONE THREE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (135.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310900 UTC
THREE FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (34.8 N)
ONE FOUR FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (144.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010900 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 270745 CCB

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 270600 UTC, TYPHOON EWINIAR (2401) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (16.4 N) ONE TWO THREE
POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (123.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280600 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (20.0 N)
ONE TWO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (127.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 90 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290600 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (25.6 N)
ONE THREE ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (131.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300600 UTC
TWO NINE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (29.6 N)
ONE THREE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (135.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310600 UTC
THREE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (35.3 N)
ONE FOUR FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (145.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010600 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 270900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270900UTC 16.4N 123.9E GOOD
MOVE ENE 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
12HF 272100UTC 18.1N 125.2E 30NM 70%
MOVE NE 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 280900UTC 20.6N 127.6E 42NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 290600UTC 25.0N 131.9E 100NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 300600UTC 28.8N 135.8E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE 13KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
93HF 310600UTC 34.5N 142.3E 200NM 70%
MOVE NE 20KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
117HF 010600UTC 40.9N 154.6E 250NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 270900
WARNING 270900.
WARNING VALID 280900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 985 HPA
AT 16.4N 123.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 07
KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 272100UTC AT 18.1N 125.2E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280900UTC AT 20.6N 127.6E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 270745 CCA

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 270600 UTC, TYPHOON EWINIAR (2401) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (16.4 N) ONE TWO THREE
POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (123.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 18 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280600 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (20.0 N)
ONE TWO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (127.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 90 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290600 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (25.6 N)
ONE THREE ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (131.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300600 UTC
TWO NINE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (29.6 N)
ONE THREE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (135.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310600 UTC
THREE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (35.3 N)
ONE FOUR FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (145.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010600 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 270900
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240527074841
2024052706 01W EWINIAR 011 01 060 08 SATL RADR 025
T000 162N 1235E 095 R064 010 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 035 NW QD
T012 177N 1249E 100 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 198N 1270E 100 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 221N 1292E 095 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 245N 1315E 090 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 292N 1364E 065 R064 000 NE QD 015 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 339N 1432E 050 R050 050 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 155 SE QD 120 SW QD 070 NW QD
T120 405N 1563E 040 R034 115 NE QD 215 SE QD 190 SW QD 080 NW QD
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 011
1. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 16.2N 123.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N 123.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 17.7N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 19.8N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 22.1N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 24.5N 131.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 29.2N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 33.9N 143.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 31 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 40.5N 156.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
215 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
270900Z POSITION NEAR 16.6N 123.9E.
27MAY24. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 663 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 270600Z IS 957 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
271500Z, 272100Z, 280300Z AND 280900Z.
//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1276E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 20
0124052412 104N1260E 25
0124052418 114N1250E 25
0124052500 122N1238E 30
0124052506 128N1230E 30
0124052512 135N1222E 35
0124052518 138N1218E 40
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052700 158N1228E 90
0124052706 162N1235E 95
0124052706 162N1235E 95
0124052706 162N1235E 95
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 270900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 16.2N 123.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N 123.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 17.7N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 19.8N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 22.1N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 24.5N 131.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 29.2N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 33.9N 143.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 31 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 40.5N 156.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
215 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
270900Z POSITION NEAR 16.6N 123.9E.
27MAY24. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 663 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT
08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 270600Z IS 957 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
271500Z, 272100Z, 280300Z AND 280900Z.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 270745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 270600 UTC, TYPHOON EWINIAR (2401) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (16.4 N) ONE TWO THREE
POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (123.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHEAST OR EAST-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 18 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280600 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (20.0 N)
ONE TWO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (127.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 90 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290600 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (25.6 N)
ONE THREE ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (131.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300600 UTC
TWO NINE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (29.6 N)
ONE THREE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (135.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310600 UTC
THREE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (35.3 N)
ONE FOUR FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (145.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010600 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 270600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.18 FOR TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY EWINIAR IS LOCATED AT 16.1N, 123.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY
AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE
LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. METOP-C/MHS
85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH
CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS.
THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT120.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 270600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270600UTC 16.1N 123.4E GOOD
MOVE ENE 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
12HF 271800UTC 17.8N 124.6E 30NM 70%
MOVE NE 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 280600UTC 19.9N 126.8E 42NM 70%
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 290600UTC 25.0N 131.9E 100NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 300600UTC 28.8N 135.8E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE 13KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
96HF 310600UTC 34.5N 142.3E 200NM 70%
MOVE NE 20KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
120HF 010600UTC 40.9N 154.6E 250NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 270600
WARNING 270600.
WARNING VALID 280600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 985 HPA
AT 16.1N 123.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 07
KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 17.8N 124.6E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 19.9N 126.8E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 25.0N 131.9E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 28.8N 135.8E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 34.5N 142.3E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 40.9N 154.6E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 270445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 270300 UTC, TYPHOON EWINIAR (2401) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N) ONE TWO THREE
POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (123.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280300 UTC
ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N)
ONE TWO SIX POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (126.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290300 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (24.9 N)
ONE THREE ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (131.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300300 UTC
TWO NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (29.5 N)
ONE THREE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (135.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310300 UTC
THREE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (35.5 N)
ONE FOUR THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (143.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010300 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 270300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270300UTC 16.0N 123.1E GOOD
MOVE ENE 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
12HF 271500UTC 17.3N 124.4E 30NM 70%
MOVE NE 09KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
24HF 280300UTC 19.3N 126.6E 42NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 290000UTC 24.0N 131.2E 100NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 300000UTC 28.3N 135.5E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
93HF 310000UTC 33.3N 140.6E 200NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
117HF 010000UTC 40.5N 155.1E 250NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 270300
WARNING 270300.
WARNING VALID 280300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 985 HPA
AT 16.0N 123.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 06
KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271500UTC AT 17.3N 124.4E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280300UTC AT 19.3N 126.6E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 270145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 270000 UTC, TYPHOON EWINIAR (2401) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N) ONE TWO TWO
POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (122.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 70 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280000 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (18.9 N)
ONE TWO FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (125.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290000 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (24.4 N)
ONE THREE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (131.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300000 UTC
TWO NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (29.0 N)
ONE THREE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (135.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310000 UTC
THREE FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (34.9 N)
ONE FOUR TWO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (142.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 010000 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 270000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.17 FOR TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY EWINIAR IS LOCATED AT 15.8N, 122.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
ELONGATION OF A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. GPM/GMI
89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH
CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS.
THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT120.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 270000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2401 EWINIAR (2401) UPGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270000UTC 15.8N 122.8E GOOD
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 20NM
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
12HF 271200UTC 17.0N 124.0E 30NM 70%
MOVE NE 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
24HF 280000UTC 18.8N 125.9E 42NM 70%
MOVE NE 13KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 290000UTC 24.0N 131.2E 100NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 300000UTC 28.3N 135.5E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
96HF 310000UTC 33.3N 140.6E 200NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
120HF 010000UTC 40.5N 155.1E 250NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 270000
WARNING 270000.
WARNING VALID 280000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2401 EWINIAR (2401) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 985
HPA
AT 15.8N 122.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 20 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 17.0N 124.0E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 18.8N 125.9E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 24.0N 131.2E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 28.3N 135.5E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 33.3N 140.6E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 40.5N 155.1E WITH 250 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 262245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 262100 UTC, TYPHOON EWINIAR (2401) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7 N) ONE TWO TWO
POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (122.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 272100 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (18.5 N)
ONE TWO FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (125.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 282100 UTC
TWO THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (23.8 N)
ONE THREE ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (130.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 292100 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (28.4 N)
ONE THREE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (134.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 302100 UTC
THREE FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (34.0 N)
ONE FOUR ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (140.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 312100 UTC
BECOME EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 262100
WARNING 262100.
WARNING VALID 272100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 996 HPA
AT 15.7N 122.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 07
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270900UTC AT 17.3N 123.8E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 272100UTC AT 18.8N 125.7E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 262100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 262100UTC 15.7N 122.6E FAIR
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
12HF 270900UTC 17.3N 123.8E 30NM 70%
MOVE NE 10KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 272100UTC 18.8N 125.7E 42NM 70%
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 281800UTC 22.7N 130.1E 70NM 70%
MOVE NE 16KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 291800UTC 27.0N 134.1E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
93HF 301800UTC 30.9N 138.3E 150NM 70%
MOVE NE 13KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
117HF 311800UTC 38.5N 150.5E 180NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 262100
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240526192253
2024052618 01W EWINIAR 009 01 020 06 SATL 030
T000 155N 1225E 085 R064 010 NE QD 015 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 169N 1234E 100 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 184N 1249E 110 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 205N 1272E 115 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 229N 1299E 105 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 271N 1342E 080 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 150 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T096 317N 1394E 055 R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 382N 1506E 045 R034 170 NE QD 240 SE QD 230 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 009
1. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261800Z --- NEAR 15.5N 122.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N 122.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 16.9N 123.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 18.4N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 20.5N 127.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 22.9N 129.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 27.1N 134.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 31.7N 139.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 38.2N 150.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
262100Z POSITION NEAR 15.8N 122.7E.
26MAY24. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 723 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT
06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
261800Z IS 965 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS
25 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z, 270900Z, 271500Z AND 272100Z.//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1276E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 20
0124052412 104N1260E 25
0124052418 114N1250E 25
0124052500 122N1238E 30
0124052506 128N1230E 30
0124052512 135N1222E 35
0124052518 138N1218E 40
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052606 145N1218E 60
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052612 149N1223E 80
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
0124052618 155N1225E 85
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 262100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261800Z --- NEAR 15.5N 122.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N 122.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 16.9N 123.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 18.4N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 20.5N 127.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 22.9N 129.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 27.1N 134.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 31.7N 139.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 38.2N 150.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
262100Z POSITION NEAR 15.8N 122.7E.
26MAY24. TYPHOON 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 723 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT
06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
261800Z IS 965 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS
25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z, 270900Z, 271500Z AND 272100Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 261800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.16 FOR STS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS EWINIAR IS LOCATED AT 15.5N, 122.5E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
996HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 50KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
ELONGATION OF A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS.
THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT120.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 261800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2401 EWINIAR (2401) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261800UTC 15.5N 122.5E FAIR
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
12HF 270600UTC 16.9N 123.6E 25NM 70%
MOVE NE 09KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 271800UTC 18.3N 125.1E 35NM 70%
MOVE NE 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 281800UTC 22.7N 130.1E 70NM 70%
MOVE NE 16KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 291800UTC 27.0N 134.1E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
96HF 301800UTC 30.9N 138.3E 150NM 70%
MOVE NE 13KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
120HF 311800UTC 38.5N 150.5E 180NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 261800
WARNING 261800.
WARNING VALID 271800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2401 EWINIAR (2401) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL
STORM 996 HPA
AT 15.5N 122.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 07
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 16.9N 123.6E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 18.3N 125.1E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 22.7N 130.1E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 27.0N 134.1E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301800UTC AT 30.9N 138.3E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 311800UTC AT 38.5N 150.5E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 261645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 261500 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR (2401) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (15.2 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (122.3 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 271500 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N)
ONE TWO FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (124.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 281500 UTC
TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (21.6 N)
ONE TWO NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (129.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 291500 UTC
TWO SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (26.2 N)
ONE THREE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (133.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301500 UTC
TWO NINE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (29.6 N)
ONE THREE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (138.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 311500 UTC
THREE THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (33.7 N)
ONE FOUR THREE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (143.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.
0000038100
93872

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 261500
WARNING 261500.
WARNING VALID 271500.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 1000 HPA
AT 15.2N 122.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHEAST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270300UTC AT 16.5N 123.4E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271500UTC AT 17.8N 124.7E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 261500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261500UTC 15.2N 122.4E FAIR
MOVE NE 08KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
12HF 270300UTC 16.5N 123.4E 30NM 70%
MOVE NE 08KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 271500UTC 17.8N 124.7E 42NM 70%
MOVE NE 09KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 281200UTC 21.2N 128.7E 85NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 291200UTC 25.7N 132.8E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
93HF 301200UTC 29.5N 138.0E 150NM 70%
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
117HF 311200UTC 34.8N 145.9E 180NM 70%
MOVE NE 21KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 261200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.15 FOR TS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS EWINIAR IS LOCATED AT 14.9N, 122.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
ELONGATION OF A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE
NOW DISTINCT. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT96
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LOW SSTS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN
UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW
TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 261200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261200UTC 14.9N 122.2E FAIR
MOVE NE 07KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
12HF 270000UTC 16.1N 123.2E 30NM 70%
MOVE NE 08KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 271200UTC 17.3N 124.2E 42NM 70%
MOVE NE 08KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 281200UTC 21.2N 128.7E 85NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 291200UTC 25.7N 132.8E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
96HF 301200UTC 29.5N 138.0E 150NM 70%
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
120HF 311200UTC 34.8N 145.9E 180NM 70%
MOVE NE 21KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 261200
WARNING 261200.
WARNING VALID 271200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 1000 HPA
AT 14.9N 122.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHEAST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 16.1N 123.2E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 17.3N 124.2E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 21.2N 128.7E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 25.7N 132.8E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 301200UTC AT 29.5N 138.0E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 311200UTC AT 34.8N 145.9E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 261045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 260900 UTC, TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR (2401) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (14.6 N) ONE TWO
ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (121.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHEAST OR NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270900 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (17.0 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (123.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280900 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (20.4 N)
ONE TWO SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (127.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290900 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (25.1 N)
ONE THREE TWO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (132.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300900 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (28.7 N)
ONE THREE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (136.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310900 UTC
THREE TWO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (32.1 N)
ONE FOUR ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (141.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 260900
WARNING 260900.
WARNING VALID 270900.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 1002 HPA
AT 14.6N 121.9E PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 262100UTC AT 15.8N 123.0E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270900UTC AT 17.1N 123.9E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 260900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260900UTC 14.6N 121.9E FAIR
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
12HF 262100UTC 15.8N 123.0E 30NM 70%
MOVE NE 08KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 270900UTC 17.1N 123.9E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 280600UTC 20.1N 127.3E 70NM 70%
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 290600UTC 24.4N 131.8E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
93HF 300600UTC 27.8N 136.7E 150NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
117HF 310600UTC 32.1N 142.8E 180NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 260900
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240526075953
2024052606 01W EWINIAR 007 01 045 06 SATL RADR SYNP 025
T000 145N 1218E 055 R050 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 010 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 154N 1225E 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 167N 1235E 085 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 181N 1248E 095 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 201N 1268E 100 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 244N 1308E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 060 NW QD
T096 286N 1354E 060 R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 130 SE QD 090 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 330N 1422E 045 R034 120 NE QD 120 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260600Z --- NEAR 14.5N 121.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N 121.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 15.4N 122.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 16.7N 123.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 18.1N 124.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 20.1N 126.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 24.4N 130.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 28.6N 135.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 33.0N 142.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
260900Z POSITION NEAR 14.7N 122.0E.
26MAY24. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 795
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 06
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 260600Z IS 989 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
261500Z, 262100Z, 270300Z AND 270900Z.
//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1276E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 20
0124052412 104N1260E 25
0124052418 114N1250E 25
0124052500 122N1238E 30
0124052506 128N1230E 30
0124052512 135N1222E 35
0124052518 138N1218E 40
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052606 145N1218E 55
0124052606 145N1218E 55
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 260900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260600Z --- NEAR 14.5N 121.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N 121.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 15.4N 122.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 16.7N 123.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 18.1N 124.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 20.1N 126.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 24.4N 130.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 28.6N 135.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 33.0N 142.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
260900Z POSITION NEAR 14.7N 122.0E.
26MAY24. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 795
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT
06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 260600Z
IS 989 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 261500Z, 262100Z, 270300Z AND 270900Z.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 260745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 260600 UTC, TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR (2401) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (14.4 N) ONE TWO
ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (121.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 60 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270600 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (123.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280600 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (20.0 N)
ONE TWO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (127.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 70 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290600 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (24.5 N)
ONE THREE ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (131.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300600 UTC
TWO EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (28.3 N)
ONE THREE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (136.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310600 UTC
THREE ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (31.7 N)
ONE FOUR ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (141.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 260600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.14 FOR TS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS EWINIAR IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 14.3N, 121.7E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
1002HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
FORMATION OF A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL
FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS,
GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND REDUCED TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER
SSTS, LOW TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED
ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 260600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260600UTC 14.3N 121.7E FAIR
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
12HF 261800UTC 15.5N 122.7E 30NM 70%
MOVE NE 08KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 270600UTC 16.9N 123.5E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 280600UTC 20.1N 127.3E 70NM 70%
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 290600UTC 24.4N 131.8E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
96HF 300600UTC 27.8N 136.7E 150NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
120HF 310600UTC 32.1N 142.8E 180NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 260600
WARNING 260600.
WARNING VALID 270600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2401 EWINIAR (2401) 1002 HPA
AT 14.3N 121.7E PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 15.5N 122.7E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 16.9N 123.5E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 20.1N 127.3E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 24.4N 131.8E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 27.8N 136.7E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310600UTC AT 32.1N 142.8E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 260300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260300UTC 14.1N 121.5E FAIR
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
12HF 261500UTC 15.3N 122.5E 35NM 70%
MOVE NE 08KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 270300UTC 16.6N 123.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 280000UTC 19.4N 126.2E 85NM 70%
MOVE NE 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 290000UTC 23.9N 131.1E 140NM 70%
MOVE NE 16KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
93HF 300000UTC 27.7N 135.6E 175NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
117HF 310000UTC 31.7N 140.8E 215NM 70%
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 260300
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240526022011
2024052600 01W EWINIAR 006 01 290 05 SATL RADR 035
T000 141N 1214E 055 R050 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD
T012 150N 1216E 060 R050 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 160N 1223E 070 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD
T036 172N 1235E 090 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 020 NW QD
T048 188N 1250E 090 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 030 NW QD
T072 225N 1287E 085 R064 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 264N 1332E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 110 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD
T120 310N 1395E 045 R034 090 NE QD 140 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260000Z --- NEAR 14.1N 121.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N 121.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 15.0N 121.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 16.0N 122.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 17.2N 123.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 18.8N 125.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 22.5N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 26.4N 133.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 31.0N 139.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
260300Z POSITION NEAR 14.3N 121.4E.
26MAY24. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 826
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 260000Z IS 990 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 8 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z, 261500Z, 262100Z AND 270300Z.//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1276E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 20
0124052412 104N1260E 25
0124052418 114N1250E 25
0124052500 122N1238E 30
0124052506 128N1230E 30
0124052512 135N1222E 35
0124052518 139N1219E 40
0124052600 141N1214E 55
0124052600 141N1214E 55
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 260300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260000Z --- NEAR 14.1N 121.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N 121.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 15.0N 121.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 16.0N 122.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 17.2N 123.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 18.8N 125.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 22.5N 128.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 26.4N 133.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 31.0N 139.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
260300Z POSITION NEAR 14.3N 121.4E.
26MAY24. TROPICAL STORM 01W (EWINIAR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
826 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 260000Z IS 990 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 8 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z, 261500Z, 262100Z AND 270300Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 260000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.13 FOR TS 2401 EWINIAR (2401)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
A TD PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 13.5N, 121.2E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TS
(EWINIAR) STATUS. TS EWINIAR IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 14.0N, 121.6E.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 1002HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER
ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS
AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY
OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND. ANIMATED MSI
SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. GPM/GMI
89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE
CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT60 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL
FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOWER SSTS AND REDUCED TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER
SSTS, LOW TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED
ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 260145 CCA

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 260000 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION EWINIAR (2401) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (13.8
N) ONE TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (121.6 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 30 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270000 UTC
ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (122.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280000 UTC
ONE NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (19.0 N)
ONE TWO FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (125.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290000 UTC
TWO THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (23.8 N)
ONE THREE ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (130.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300000 UTC
TWO SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (27.4 N)
ONE THREE FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (135.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 310000 UTC
THREE ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (30.5 N)
ONE THREE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (139.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 260000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2401 EWINIAR (2401) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260000UTC 14.0N 121.6E FAIR
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
12HF 261200UTC 15.0N 122.3E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 270000UTC 16.3N 123.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 280000UTC 19.4N 126.2E 85NM 70%
MOVE NE 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 290000UTC 23.9N 131.1E 140NM 70%
MOVE NE 16KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
96HF 300000UTC 27.7N 135.6E 175NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
120HF 310000UTC 31.7N 140.8E 215NM 70%
MOVE NE 15KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 260000
WARNING 260000.
WARNING VALID 270000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2401 EWINIAR (2401) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION
1002 HPA
AT 14.0N 121.6E PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 15.0N 122.3E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 16.3N 123.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 19.4N 126.2E WITH 85 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 23.9N 131.1E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300000UTC AT 27.7N 135.6E WITH 175 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 310000UTC AT 31.7N 140.8E WITH 215 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 252100
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240525200635
2024052518 01W ONE 005 01 325 05 SATL RADR 035
T000 139N 1219E 035 R034 035 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 148N 1217E 040 R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 157N 1222E 050 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 167N 1232E 060 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 182N 1246E 075 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 217N 1280E 080 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 257N 1323E 060 R050 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 297N 1374E 045 R034 080 NE QD 130 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251800Z --- NEAR 13.9N 121.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N 121.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 14.8N 121.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 15.7N 122.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 16.7N 123.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 18.2N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 21.7N 128.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 25.7N 132.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 29.7N 137.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
252100Z POSITION NEAR 14.1N 121.8E. 25MAY24.
TROPICAL STORM 01W (ONE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 825 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED
NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 251800Z IS 998 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS 9 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z, 260900Z, 261500Z AND 262100Z.//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1276E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 20
0124052412 104N1260E 25
0124052418 114N1250E 25
0124052500 122N1238E 30
0124052506 128N1230E 30
0124052512 135N1222E 35
0124052518 139N1219E 35
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 252100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251800Z --- NEAR 13.9N 121.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N 121.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 14.8N 121.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 15.7N 122.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 16.7N 123.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 18.2N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 21.7N 128.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 25.7N 132.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 29.7N 137.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
252100Z POSITION NEAR 14.1N 121.8E. 25MAY24.
TROPICAL STORM 01W (ONE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 825 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, HAS TRACKED
NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 251800Z IS 998 MB.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS 9 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z, 260900Z, 261500Z AND 262100Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 251500 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NR 004A CORRECTED//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 004A CORRECTED
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251200Z --- NEAR 13.5N 122.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N 122.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 14.4N 121.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 15.3N 121.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 16.2N 122.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 17.3N 123.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 20.8N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 24.6N 131.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 29.0N 136.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
251500Z POSITION NEAR 13.7N 122.0E.
25MAY24. TROPICAL STORM 01W (ONE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 96 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 251200Z IS 998 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
252100Z, 260300Z, 260900Z AND 261500Z.
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: INCLUDED WIND RADII AND 1. AND
CORRECTED SPELLING ERRORS.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 251500 COR
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240525150658
2024052512 01W ONE 004A 01 310 10 SATL RADR SYNP 025
T000 135N 1222E 035 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 144N 1215E 040 R034 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD
T024 153N 1217E 045 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD
T036 162N 1227E 055 R050 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD
T048 173N 1237E 065 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 010 NW QD
T072 208N 1270E 075 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 030 NW QD
T096 246N 1310E 060 R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 040 NW QD
T120 290N 1360E 045 R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 040 NW QD
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 004A CORRECTED
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 004A CORRECTED
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251200Z --- NEAR 13.5N 122.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N 122.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 14.4N 121.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 15.3N 121.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 16.2N 122.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 17.3N 123.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 20.8N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 24.6N 131.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 29.0N 136.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
251500Z POSITION NEAR 13.7N 122.0E.
25MAY24. TROPICAL STORM 01W (ONE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 96 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 251200Z IS 998 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
252100Z, 260300Z, 260900Z AND 261500Z.
//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1276E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 20
0124052412 104N1260E 25
0124052418 114N1250E 25
0124052500 122N1238E 30
0124052506 128N1230E 30
0124052512 135N1222E 35
NNNN

Original Message :

WTIO51 PGTW 251500
WARNING ATCG MIL 01B NIO 240525134925
2024052512 01B ONE 001 01 350 06 SATL 045
T000 188N 0894E 035 R034 105 NE QD 130 SE QD 150 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 201N 0894E 045 R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 140 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 215N 0895E 050 R050 030 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 140 SE QD 140 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 229N 0898E 040 R034 090 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 240N 0903E 030
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (ONE) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (ONE) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251200Z --- NEAR 18.8N 89.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N 89.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 20.1N 89.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 21.5N 89.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 22.9N 89.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 24.0N 90.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
251500Z POSITION NEAR 19.1N 89.4E.
25MAY24. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (ONE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 235 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 251200Z IS 993 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
252100Z, 260300Z, 260900Z AND 261500Z.
//
0124052106 114N 804E 15
0124052112 119N 807E 15
0124052118 125N 810E 15
0124052200 129N 815E 15
0124052206 130N 819E 15
0124052212 131N 824E 15
0124052218 131N 832E 15
0124052300 132N 847E 20
0124052306 134N 859E 20
0124052312 136N 866E 20
0124052318 143N 876E 20
0124052400 149N 884E 20
0124052406 157N 891E 25
0124052412 164N 894E 25
0124052418 170N 895E 25
0124052500 177N 895E 25
0124052506 182N 895E 30
0124052512 188N 894E 35
NNNN

Original Message :

WTIO31 PGTW 251500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (ONE) WARNING NR 001//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (ONE) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251200Z --- NEAR 18.8N 89.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N 89.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 20.1N 89.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 21.5N 89.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 22.9N 89.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 24.0N 90.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
251500Z POSITION NEAR 19.1N 89.4E.
25MAY24. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B (ONE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 235 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 251200Z IS 993 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
252100Z, 260300Z, 260900Z AND 261500Z.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 251500
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240525133041
2024052512 01W ONE 004 01 310 10 SATL RADR SYNP 025
T000 135N 1222E 035
T012 144N 1215E 040 R034 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD
T024 153N 1217E 045 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD
T036 162N 1227E 055 R050 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD
T048 173N 1237E 065 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 010 NW QD
T072 208N 1270E 075 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 030 NW QD
T096 246N 1310E 060 R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 040 NW QD
T120 290N 1360E 045 R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 040 NW QD
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 004
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251200Z --- NEAR 13.5N 122.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N 122.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 14.4N 121.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 15.3N 121.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 16.2N 122.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 17.3N 123.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 20.8N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 24.6N 131.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 29.0N 136.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
251500Z POSITION NEAR 13.7N 122.0E.
25MAY24. TROPICAL STORM 01W (ONE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 96 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 251200Z IS 998 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
252100Z, 260300Z, 260900Z AND 261500Z.
//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1276E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 20
0124052412 104N1260E 25
0124052418 114N1250E 25
0124052500 122N1238E 30
0124052506 128N1230E 30
0124052512 135N1222E 35
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 251500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 004
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251200Z --- NEAR 13.5N 122.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N 122.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 14.4N 121.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 15.3N 121.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 16.2N 122.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 17.3N 123.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 20.8N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 24.6N 131.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 29.0N 136.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
251500Z POSITION NEAR 13.7N 122.0E.
25MAY24. TROPICAL STORM 01W (ONE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 96 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 251200Z IS 998 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
252100Z, 260300Z, 260900Z AND 261500Z.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 250900
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240525081246
2024052506 01W ONE 003 01 310 10 SATL RADR SYNP 025
T000 128N 1230E 030
T012 139N 1217E 035 R034 060 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD
T024 148N 1215E 035 R034 070 NE QD 030 SE QD 015 SW QD 010 NW QD
T036 156N 1222E 045 R034 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 025 SW QD 010 NW QD
T048 166N 1233E 060 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD
T072 194N 1262E 075 R064 000 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 035 NW QD
T096 240N 1307E 060 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 286N 1359E 045 R034 120 NE QD 140 SE QD 100 SW QD 090 NW QD
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250600Z --- NEAR 12.8N 123.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N 123.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 13.9N 121.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 14.8N 121.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 15.6N 122.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 16.6N 123.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 19.4N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 24.0N 130.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 28.6N 135.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
250900Z POSITION NEAR 13.1N 122.7E.
25MAY24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (ONE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 159
NM SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT
10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 250600Z IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
251500Z, 252100Z, 260300Z AND 260900Z.
//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1276E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 20
0124052412 104N1260E 25
0124052418 114N1250E 25
0124052500 122N1238E 30
0124052506 128N1230E 30
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 250900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250600Z --- NEAR 12.8N 123.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N 123.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 13.9N 121.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 14.8N 121.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 15.6N 122.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 16.6N 123.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 19.4N 126.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 24.0N 130.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 28.6N 135.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
250900Z POSITION NEAR 13.1N 122.7E.
25MAY24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (ONE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 159
NM SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT
10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 250600Z IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
251500Z, 252100Z, 260300Z AND 260900Z.
//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 250300
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240525015312
2024052500 01W ONE 002 01 310 15 SATL RADR SYNP 045
T000 123N 1241E 030
T012 138N 1225E 030
T024 152N 1218E 035 R034 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 164N 1224E 040 R034 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 177N 1234E 045 R034 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 213N 1266E 070 R064 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 000 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T096 263N 1324E 065 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 030 NW QD
T120 327N 1419E 050 R050 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 190 SE QD 130 SW QD 090 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250000Z --- NEAR 12.3N 124.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N 124.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 13.8N 122.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 15.2N 121.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 16.4N 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 17.7N 123.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 21.3N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 26.3N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING SUBTROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 32.7N 141.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
250300Z POSITION NEAR 12.7N 123.7E.
25MAY24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (ONE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 228
NM SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT
15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
250000Z IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z
IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z, 251500Z, 252100Z AND 260300Z.//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1279E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 25
0124052412 104N1260E 20
0124052418 113N1253E 25
0124052500 123N1241E 30
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 250300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250000Z --- NEAR 12.3N 124.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N 124.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 13.8N 122.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 15.2N 121.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 16.4N 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 17.7N 123.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 21.3N 126.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 26.3N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING SUBTROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 32.7N 141.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
250300Z POSITION NEAR 12.7N 123.7E.
25MAY24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (ONE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 228
NM SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT
15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
250000Z IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z
IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z, 251500Z, 252100Z AND 260300Z.//
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 242100
WARNING ATCG MIL 01W NWP 240524194825
2024052418 01W ONE 001 01 330 09 SATL SYNP 045
T000 112N 1255E 025
T012 126N 1238E 025
T024 142N 1222E 030
T036 155N 1222E 035 R034 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD
T048 166N 1229E 040 R034 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD
T072 192N 1251E 065 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 242N 1298E 075 R064 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 301N 1374E 055 R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241800Z --- NEAR 11.2N 125.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N 125.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 12.6N 123.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 14.2N 122.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 15.5N 122.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 16.6N 122.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 19.2N 125.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 24.2N 129.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING SUBTROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 30.1N 137.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
242100Z POSITION NEAR 11.6N 125.1E.
24MAY24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (ONE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
333 NM SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 241800Z IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
250300Z, 250900Z, 251500Z AND 252100Z.//
0124051912 29N1456E 15
0124051918 29N1447E 15
0124052000 30N1438E 15
0124052006 33N1428E 15
0124052012 36N1418E 15
0124052018 40N1404E 15
0124052100 44N1390E 15
0124052106 46N1379E 15
0124052112 48N1370E 15
0124052118 50N1363E 15
0124052200 52N1358E 15
0124052206 50N1354E 20
0124052212 49N1350E 20
0124052218 49N1344E 20
0124052300 53N1336E 20
0124052306 66N1327E 20
0124052312 75N1305E 20
0124052318 78N1293E 20
0124052400 83N1279E 20
0124052406 96N1266E 25
0124052412 104N1260E 20
0124052418 112N1255E 25
NNNN

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 242100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/241351ZMAY2024//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 001//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (ONE) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241800Z --- NEAR 11.2N 125.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N 125.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 12.6N 123.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 14.2N 122.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 15.5N 122.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 16.6N 122.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 19.2N 125.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 24.2N 129.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING SUBTROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 30.1N 137.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
242100Z POSITION NEAR 11.6N 125.1E.
24MAY24. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01W (ONE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
333 NM SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 241800Z IS 1004 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
250300Z, 250900Z, 251500Z AND 252100Z.
2. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 241400).//
NNNN

Global Telecommunication Service

Measurements Levels