Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone for MA-ON-22
in China, Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines

Global Telecommunication Service

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Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 260000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260000UTC 21N 105E
MOVE WSW 10KT
PRES 1000HPA =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 260000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260000UTC 21N 105E
MOVE WSW 10KT
PRES 1000HPA =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 252100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 252100UTC 21.4N 105.4E FAIR
MOVE WSW 15KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 260900UTC 22.2N 101.9E 45NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HF 262100UTC 22.5N 098.1E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 252100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 252100UTC 21.4N 105.4E FAIR
MOVE WSW 15KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 262100UTC 22.5N 098.1E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 251800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.19 FOR TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MA-ON IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 21.4N, 106.4E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
992HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH
SSTS, STRONG VWS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN
ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND STARTING TO FORM A CURVED BAND.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE
CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE
OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT12. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 251800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251800UTC 21.4N 106.4E FAIR
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 260600UTC 22.1N 102.8E 45NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HF 261800UTC 22.4N 099.0E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 251800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251800UTC 21.4N 106.4E FAIR
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 261800UTC 22.4N 099.0E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 251800
WARNING 251800.
WARNING VALID 261800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) 992 HPA
AT 21.4N 106.4E VIETNAM MOVING WEST 16 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 22.1N 102.8E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 22.4N 099.0E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 251645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 251500 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 994 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (21.8 N) ONE
ZERO SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (107.6 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 18 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 251500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251500UTC 21.6N 107.1E FAIR
MOVE W 18KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 210NM EAST 120NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 260300UTC 22.2N 103.6E 35NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HF 261500UTC 22.6N 099.1E 50NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 251500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251500UTC 21.6N 107.1E FAIR
MOVE W 18KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 210NM EAST 120NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 261500UTC 22.6N 099.1E 50NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 251200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.18 FOR TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MA-ON IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 21.4N, 108.1E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
992HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH
SSTS, STRONG VWS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN
ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF
ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS
GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, STRONG VWS, LOW TCHP AND LAND. THE
SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT12. THE INTENSITY FORECAST
IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 251345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 251200 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 994 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (21.8 N) ONE
ZERO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (108.4 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 18 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 251200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251200UTC 21.4N 108.1E FAIR
MOVE W 18KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 210NM EAST 120NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 260000UTC 21.9N 104.7E 35NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HF 261200UTC 22.2N 101.0E 50NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 251200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251200UTC 21.4N 108.1E FAIR
MOVE W 18KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 210NM EAST 120NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 261200UTC 22.2N 101.0E 50NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 251200
WARNING 251200.
WARNING VALID 261200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) 992 HPA
AT 21.4N 108.1E GULF OF TONGKING MOVING WEST 18 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 21.9N 104.7E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 22.2N 101.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 250900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250900UTC 21.7N 108.8E FAIR
MOVE W 20KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 210NM EAST 120NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 260900UTC 22.1N 102.2E 50NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 250900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250900UTC 21.7N 108.8E FAIR
MOVE W 20KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 210NM EAST 120NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 252100UTC 21.9N 105.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 260900UTC 22.1N 102.2E 50NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 250900
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 220825071135
2022082506 10W MA-ON 016 02 290 17 SATL RADR SYNP 060
T000 218N 1101E 045 R034 115 NE QD 105 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 225N 1065E 035 R034 090 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 230N 1025E 020
AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 016
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250600Z --- NEAR 21.8N 110.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.8N 110.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 22.5N 106.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 23.0N 102.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
250900Z POSITION NEAR 22.0N 109.2E.
25AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM
WEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS
1022081718 136N1374E 15
1022081800 141N1362E 15
1022081806 146N1350E 15
1022081812 153N1339E 15
1022081818 160N1330E 15
1022081900 167N1323E 15
1022081906 173N1318E 15
1022081912 179N1313E 15
1022081918 183N1309E 15
1022082000 179N1309E 15
1022082006 182N1311E 15
1022082012 185N1300E 15
1022082018 183N1289E 15
1022082100 175N1280E 20
1022082106 172N1273E 20
1022082112 166N1265E 25
1022082118 163N1255E 30
1022082200 162N1246E 35
1022082206 162N1237E 40
1022082212 162N1232E 45
1022082218 165N1232E 55
1022082218 165N1232E 55
1022082300 172N1227E 60
1022082300 172N1227E 60
1022082306 179N1217E 55
1022082306 179N1217E 55
1022082312 186N1204E 50
1022082312 186N1204E 50
1022082318 190N1188E 50
1022082318 190N1188E 50
1022082400 193N1178E 55
1022082400 193N1178E 55
1022082406 197N1165E 55
1022082406 197N1165E 55
1022082412 200N1151E 60
1022082412 200N1151E 60
1022082418 206N1132E 55
1022082418 206N1132E 55
1022082500 212N1118E 50
1022082500 212N1118E 50
1022082506 218N1101E 45
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 250900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250600Z --- NEAR 21.8N 110.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.8N 110.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 22.5N 106.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 23.0N 102.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
250900Z POSITION NEAR 22.0N 109.2E.
25AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM
WEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED RADAR DATA CONFIRMS THAT TS 10W MADE
LANDFALL JUST SOUTHWEST OF YANGJIANG, CHINA AT 250200Z AND HAS SINCE
RAPIDLY MOVED INLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI)
DEPICTS A SHEARED SYSTEM, WITH THE BULK OF THE DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED
TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE INCREASINGLY DIFFUSE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC). THE MSI, ANIMATED RADAR DATA AND ANALYSIS OF SURFACE
WIND OBSERVATIONS ACROSS THE REGION PROVIDED HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE
INITIAL POSITION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS IS ASSESSED WITH
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE BASED ON AN RJTD OVER LAND DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY
ESTIMATE OF T3.0, AND MSLP OBSERVATIONS SURROUNDING THE CENTER WITH
NUMEROUS SITES REPORTING 995MB. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE
MOVING A RAPID CLIP TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY
OF A DEEP SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH, SKIRTING JUST NORTH OF
THE GULF OF TONKIN SHORELINE, CROSSING FAR NORTHERN VIETNAM AND
ULTIMATELY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT CYCLONE OVER FAR SOUTHWESTERN
CHINA NO LATER THAN TAU 24. WHILE NOT LIKELY AT THIS TIME, THERE
REMAINS A SMALL CHANCE THE SYSTEM COULD DUCK DOWN AND TOUCH ITS FEET
INTO THE GULF OF TONKIN BETWEEN AND TAU 12. IF THIS OCCURS HOWEVER, IT
WILL BE SHORT LIVED AND UNLIKELY TO LEAD TO ANY REINTENSIFICATION OF
THE SYSTEM. SO WHILE THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE
JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI, THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11W
(TOKAGE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 250745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 250600 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (21.8
N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (110.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 18 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260600 UTC
TWO TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (22.7 N)
ONE ZERO ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (101.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 250600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.17 FOR TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MA-ON IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 21.6N, 109.7E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
992HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, LOW TCHP, STRONG VWS, DRY AIR AND
LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE
CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOW TCHP, STRONG VWS, DRY AIR AND LAND. THE
SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT24. THE INTENSITY FORECAST
IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 250600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2209 MA-ON (2209) DOWNGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250600UTC 21.6N 109.7E FAIR
MOVE WNW 16KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 210NM EAST 120NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 251800UTC 21.8N 106.5E 30NM 70%
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 260600UTC 22.2N 102.8E 42NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 250600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2209 MA-ON (2209) DOWNGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250600UTC 21.6N 109.7E FAIR
MOVE WNW 16KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 210NM EAST 120NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 260600UTC 22.2N 102.8E 42NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 250600
WARNING 250600.
WARNING VALID 260600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL
STORM 992 HPA
AT 21.6N 109.7E SOUTH CHINA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 16 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 21.8N 106.5E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 22.2N 102.8E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 250445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 250300 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (21.5 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (111.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260300 UTC
TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (22.5 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (104.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 250300
WARNING 250300.
WARNING VALID 260300.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) 990 HPA
AT 21.5N 110.9E SOUTH CHINA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251500UTC AT 21.8N 107.4E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260300UTC AT 22.2N 103.7E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 250300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250300UTC 21.5N 110.9E FAIR
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 180NM EAST 120NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 251500UTC 21.8N 107.4E 30NM 70%
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 260300UTC 22.2N 103.7E 42NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 250300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250300UTC 21.5N 110.9E FAIR
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 180NM EAST 120NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 260300UTC 22.2N 103.7E 42NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 250000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.16 FOR STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MA-ON IS LOCATED AT 21.1N, 112E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 50KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, STRONG VWS, DRY AIR AND LAND. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION
ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS
ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE
MAINLAND BY FT12. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP, STRONG VWS, DRY AIR AND LAND. THE
SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT24. THE INTENSITY FORECAST
IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 250300
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 220825012255
2022082500 10W MA-ON 015 02 290 19 SATL SYNP 060
T000 211N 1117E 055 R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD
T012 217N 1084E 045 R034 090 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 222N 1050E 020
AMP
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 015
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 015
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250000Z --- NEAR 21.1N 111.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N 111.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 21.7N 108.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 22.2N 105.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
250300Z POSITION NEAR 21.3N 110.9E.
25AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 157 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 19
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 250900Z, 251500Z AND 252100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1022081718 136N1374E 15
1022081800 141N1362E 15
1022081806 146N1350E 15
1022081812 153N1339E 15
1022081818 160N1330E 15
1022081900 167N1323E 15
1022081906 173N1318E 15
1022081912 179N1313E 15
1022081918 183N1309E 15
1022082000 179N1309E 15
1022082006 182N1311E 15
1022082012 185N1300E 15
1022082018 183N1289E 15
1022082100 175N1280E 20
1022082106 172N1273E 20
1022082112 166N1265E 25
1022082118 163N1255E 30
1022082200 162N1246E 35
1022082206 162N1237E 40
1022082212 162N1232E 45
1022082218 165N1232E 55
1022082218 165N1232E 55
1022082300 172N1227E 60
1022082300 172N1227E 60
1022082306 179N1217E 55
1022082306 179N1217E 55
1022082312 186N1204E 50
1022082312 186N1204E 50
1022082318 190N1188E 50
1022082318 190N1188E 50
1022082400 193N1178E 55
1022082400 193N1178E 55
1022082406 197N1165E 55
1022082406 197N1165E 55
1022082412 200N1151E 60
1022082412 200N1151E 60
1022082418 204N1136E 55
1022082418 204N1136E 55
1022082500 211N1117E 55
1022082500 211N1117E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 250300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 015
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250000Z --- NEAR 21.1N 111.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N 111.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 21.7N 108.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 22.2N 105.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
250300Z POSITION NEAR 21.3N 110.9E.
25AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 157 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG,
HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 20 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z, 251500Z AND 252100Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 11W (TOKAGE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 250145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 250000 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (21.0 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (111.9 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 30 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260000 UTC
TWO TWO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (22.3 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (105.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 250000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250000UTC 21.1N 112.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 180NM EAST 120NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 251200UTC 21.7N 108.4E 30NM 70%
MOVE W 17KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 260000UTC 22.1N 104.5E 42NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 250000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250000UTC 21.1N 112.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 180NM EAST 120NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 260000UTC 22.1N 104.5E 42NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 250000
WARNING 250000.
WARNING VALID 260000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) 990 HPA
AT 21.1N 112.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 21.7N 108.4E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 22.1N 104.5E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 242245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 242100 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (21.0 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (112.6 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 30 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 252100 UTC
TWO TWO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (22.2 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (106.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 262100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 242100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 242100UTC 21.0N 112.8E FAIR
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 180NM EAST 120NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 250900UTC 21.7N 109.2E 30NM 70%
MOVE W 17KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 252100UTC 22.2N 105.6E 42NM 70%
MOVE W 17KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 261800UTC 23.2N 100.5E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 242100
WARNING 242100.
WARNING VALID 252100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) 985 HPA
AT 21.0N 112.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250900UTC AT 21.7N 109.2E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 252100UTC AT 22.2N 105.6E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 242100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 242100UTC 21.0N 112.8E FAIR
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 180NM EAST 120NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 252100UTC 22.2N 105.6E 42NM 70%
MOVE W 17KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 261800UTC 23.2N 100.5E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 241800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.15 FOR STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MA-ON IS LOCATED AT 20.5N, 113.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND
STRONG VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY
OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS
BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE WINDS DATA
ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE SCATTEROMETERS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. METOP-C/MHS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM
WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 242100
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 220824193505
2022082418 10W MA-ON 014 02 285 15 SATL 060
T000 204N 1136E 055 R050 050 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 212N 1104E 050 R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 217N 1070E 030
T036 221N 1037E 015
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 014
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 014
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241800Z --- NEAR 20.4N 113.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N 113.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 21.2N 110.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 21.7N 107.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 22.1N 103.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
242100Z POSITION NEAR 20.6N 112.8E.
24AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 119 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 250300Z, 250900Z, 251500Z AND 252100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1022081718 136N1374E 15
1022081800 141N1362E 15
1022081806 146N1350E 15
1022081812 153N1339E 15
1022081818 160N1330E 15
1022081900 167N1323E 15
1022081906 173N1318E 15
1022081912 179N1313E 15
1022081918 183N1309E 15
1022082000 179N1309E 15
1022082006 182N1311E 15
1022082012 185N1300E 15
1022082018 183N1289E 15
1022082100 175N1280E 20
1022082106 172N1273E 20
1022082112 166N1265E 25
1022082118 163N1255E 30
1022082200 162N1246E 35
1022082206 162N1237E 40
1022082212 162N1232E 45
1022082218 165N1232E 55
1022082218 165N1232E 55
1022082300 172N1227E 60
1022082300 172N1227E 60
1022082306 179N1217E 55
1022082306 179N1217E 55
1022082312 186N1204E 50
1022082312 186N1204E 50
1022082318 190N1188E 50
1022082318 190N1188E 50
1022082400 193N1178E 55
1022082400 193N1178E 55
1022082406 197N1165E 55
1022082406 197N1165E 55
1022082412 200N1151E 60
1022082412 200N1151E 60
1022082418 204N1136E 55
1022082418 204N1136E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 242100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 014
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241800Z --- NEAR 20.4N 113.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N 113.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 21.2N 110.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 21.7N 107.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 22.1N 103.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
242100Z POSITION NEAR 20.6N 112.8E.
24AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 119 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 241800Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z, 250900Z, 251500Z
AND 252100Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 11W (TOKAGE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 241945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 241800 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (20.7
N) ONE ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (113.5 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 30 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251800 UTC
TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (22.4 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (107.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 241800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 241800UTC 20.5N 113.5E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 180NM EAST 120NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 250600UTC 21.5N 110.1E 30NM 70%
MOVE WNW 17KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
24HF 251800UTC 21.9N 106.9E 42NM 70%
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 261800UTC 23.2N 100.5E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 241800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 241800UTC 20.5N 113.5E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 180NM EAST 120NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 251800UTC 21.9N 106.9E 42NM 70%
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 261800UTC 23.2N 100.5E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 241800
WARNING 241800.
WARNING VALID 251800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) 985 HPA
AT 20.5N 113.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 21.5N 110.1E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 21.9N 106.9E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 23.2N 100.5E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 241645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 241500 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (20.4
N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (114.3 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES OVER EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE, 30 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251500 UTC
TWO TWO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (22.3 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (108.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 241500
WARNING 241500.
WARNING VALID 251500.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) 985 HPA
AT 20.0N 114.1E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250300UTC AT 21.2N 111.1E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251500UTC AT 21.9N 107.6E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 241500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 241500UTC 20.0N 114.1E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 251500UTC 21.9N 107.6E 42NM 70%
MOVE W 17KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 261200UTC 22.2N 102.6E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 241500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 241500UTC 20.0N 114.1E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 250300UTC 21.2N 111.1E 30NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 251500UTC 21.9N 107.6E 42NM 70%
MOVE W 17KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 261200UTC 22.2N 102.6E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 241500
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 220824141020
2022082412 10W MA-ON 013 02 290 14 SATL 050
T000 203N 1153E 055 R050 065 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 105 SE QD 095 SW QD 095 NW QD
T012 212N 1124E 050 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 219N 1090E 040 R034 040 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 020 NW QD
T036 224N 1056E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 013
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 013
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241200Z --- NEAR 20.3N 115.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N 115.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 21.2N 112.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 21.9N 109.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 22.4N 105.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
241500Z POSITION NEAR 20.5N 114.6E.
24AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 135 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 241200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z, 250300Z, 250900Z
AND 251500Z.//
1022081718 136N1374E 15
1022081800 141N1362E 15
1022081806 146N1350E 15
1022081812 153N1339E 15
1022081818 160N1330E 15
1022081900 167N1323E 15
1022081906 173N1318E 15
1022081912 179N1313E 15
1022081918 183N1309E 15
1022082000 179N1309E 15
1022082006 182N1311E 15
1022082012 185N1300E 15
1022082018 183N1289E 15
1022082100 175N1280E 20
1022082106 172N1273E 20
1022082112 166N1265E 25
1022082118 163N1255E 30
1022082200 162N1246E 35
1022082206 162N1237E 40
1022082212 162N1232E 45
1022082218 165N1232E 55
1022082218 165N1232E 55
1022082300 172N1227E 60
1022082300 172N1227E 60
1022082306 179N1217E 55
1022082306 179N1217E 55
1022082312 186N1204E 50
1022082312 186N1204E 50
1022082318 190N1188E 50
1022082318 190N1188E 50
1022082400 193N1178E 55
1022082400 193N1178E 55
1022082406 198N1167E 55
1022082406 198N1167E 55
1022082412 203N1153E 55
1022082412 203N1153E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 241500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 013
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241200Z --- NEAR 20.3N 115.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N 115.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 21.2N 112.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 21.9N 109.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 22.4N 105.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
241500Z POSITION NEAR 20.5N 114.6E.
24AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 135 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 241200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z, 250300Z, 250900Z
AND 251500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 11W (TOKAGE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 241200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.14 FOR STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MA-ON IS LOCATED AT 19.9N, 114.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, REDUCED TCHP, STRONG VWS AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED
THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SHORTENING OF
A BAND WITH CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND STRONG VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL
WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 241345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 241200 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (20.1 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (115.0 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251200 UTC
TWO TWO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (22.2 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (109.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 241200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 241200UTC 19.9N 114.8E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 250000UTC 21.0N 112.0E 30NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 251200UTC 21.9N 108.9E 42NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 261200UTC 22.2N 102.6E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 241200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 241200UTC 19.9N 114.8E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 251200UTC 21.9N 108.9E 42NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 261200UTC 22.2N 102.6E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 241200
WARNING 241200.
WARNING VALID 251200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) 985 HPA
AT 19.9N 114.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 21.0N 112.0E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 21.9N 108.9E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 22.2N 102.6E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 241045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 240900 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (19.8
N) ONE ONE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (116.1 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250900 UTC
TWO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (22.1 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (109.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260900 UTC
TWO TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (22.7 N)
ONE ZERO TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (102.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 240900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 240900UTC 19.7N 115.4E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 242100UTC 20.6N 112.6E 30NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 250900UTC 21.9N 109.7E 42NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 260600UTC 22.4N 103.6E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 240900
WARNING 240900.
WARNING VALID 250900.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) 980 HPA
AT 19.7N 115.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 242100UTC AT 20.6N 112.6E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250900UTC AT 21.9N 109.7E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 240900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 240900UTC 19.7N 115.4E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 250900UTC 21.9N 109.7E 42NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 260600UTC 22.4N 103.6E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 240600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.13 FOR STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MA-ON IS LOCATED AT 19.3N, 116E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 60KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP
OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS
BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE ELONGATION OF
A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS
GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND STRONG VWS.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE
SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE INTENSITY FORECAST
IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 240900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 008
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
240000Z --- NEAR 34.1N 148.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 34.1N 148.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 36.5N 149.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 39.3N 151.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 42.9N 154.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 46.3N 160.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
240300Z POSITION NEAR 34.7N 148.8E.
24AUG22. TYPHOON 11W (TOKAGE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 415 NM EAST
OF NARITA AIRPORT, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS
31 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z, 241500Z, 242100Z AND 250300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 240900
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 220824071339
2022082406 10W MA-ON 012 02 295 10 SATL 045
T000 197N 1168E 055 R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 085 SE QD 075 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 207N 1141E 055 R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 085 SE QD 075 SW QD 105 NW QD
T024 216N 1110E 050 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 222N 1077E 035 R034 020 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 000 NW QD
T048 227N 1040E 020
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 012
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 012
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
240600Z --- NEAR 19.7N 116.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N 116.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 20.7N 114.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 21.6N 111.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 22.2N 107.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 22.7N 104.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
240900Z POSITION NEAR 20.0N 116.1E.
24AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 213 NM
SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
240600Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z, 242100Z, 250300Z
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1022081718 136N1374E 15
1022081800 141N1362E 15
1022081806 146N1350E 15
1022081812 153N1339E 15
1022081818 160N1330E 15
1022081900 167N1323E 15
1022081906 173N1318E 15
1022081912 179N1313E 15
1022081918 183N1309E 15
1022082000 179N1309E 15
1022082006 182N1311E 15
1022082012 185N1300E 15
1022082018 183N1289E 15
1022082100 175N1280E 20
1022082106 172N1273E 20
1022082112 166N1265E 25
1022082118 163N1255E 30
1022082200 162N1246E 35
1022082206 162N1237E 40
1022082212 162N1232E 45
1022082218 165N1232E 55
1022082218 165N1232E 55
1022082300 172N1227E 60
1022082300 172N1227E 60
1022082306 179N1217E 55
1022082306 179N1217E 55
1022082312 186N1204E 50
1022082312 186N1204E 50
1022082318 190N1188E 50
1022082318 190N1188E 50
1022082400 193N1178E 55
1022082400 193N1178E 55
1022082406 197N1168E 55
1022082406 197N1168E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 240900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 012
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
240600Z --- NEAR 19.7N 116.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N 116.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 20.7N 114.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 21.6N 111.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 22.2N 107.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 22.7N 104.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
240900Z POSITION NEAR 20.0N 116.1E.
24AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 213 NM
SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
240600Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z, 242100Z, 250300Z
AND 250900Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 11W (TOKAGE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 240745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 240600 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (19.5
N) ONE ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (116.7 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250600 UTC
TWO ONE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (21.9 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (110.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260600 UTC
TWO TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (22.6 N)
ONE ZERO THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (103.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 240600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 240600UTC 19.3N 116.0E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 241800UTC 20.5N 113.3E 30NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 250600UTC 21.7N 110.3E 42NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 260600UTC 22.4N 103.6E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 240600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 240600UTC 19.3N 116.0E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 250600UTC 21.7N 110.3E 42NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 260600UTC 22.4N 103.6E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 240600
WARNING 240600.
WARNING VALID 250600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) 980 HPA
AT 19.3N 116.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 20.5N 113.3E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 21.7N 110.3E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 22.4N 103.6E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 240445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 240300 UTC, THE SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3
N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (117.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 210 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250300 UTC
TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (21.6 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (112.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260300 UTC
TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (22.5 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (108.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 240300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 240300UTC 19.0N 116.6E FAIR
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 241500UTC 20.5N 114.3E 30NM 70%
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 250300UTC 21.4N 111.6E 42NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 260000UTC 22.3N 105.3E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 240300
WARNING 240300.
WARNING VALID 250300.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) 985 HPA
AT 19.0N 116.6E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241500UTC AT 20.5N 114.3E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250300UTC AT 21.4N 111.6E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 240300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 240300UTC 19.0N 116.6E FAIR
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 250300UTC 21.4N 111.6E 42NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 260000UTC 22.3N 105.3E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 240300
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 220824014229
2022082400 10W MA-ON 011 02 280 13 SATL 040
T000 193N 1174E 050 R050 070 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 095 SE QD 095 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 203N 1149E 060 R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 110 NW QD
T024 213N 1120E 060 R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 221N 1087E 045 R034 100 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 040 NW QD
T048 226N 1053E 030
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 011
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 011
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
240000Z --- NEAR 19.3N 117.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N 117.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 20.3N 114.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 21.3N 112.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 22.1N 108.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 22.6N 105.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
240300Z POSITION NEAR 19.6N 116.8E.
24AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 254 NM
SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 20
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z, 241500Z, 242100Z AND 250300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1022081718 136N1374E 15
1022081800 141N1362E 15
1022081806 146N1350E 15
1022081812 153N1339E 15
1022081818 160N1330E 15
1022081900 167N1323E 15
1022081906 173N1318E 15
1022081912 179N1313E 15
1022081918 183N1309E 15
1022082000 179N1309E 15
1022082006 182N1311E 15
1022082012 185N1300E 15
1022082018 183N1289E 15
1022082100 175N1280E 20
1022082106 172N1273E 20
1022082112 166N1265E 25
1022082118 163N1255E 30
1022082200 162N1246E 35
1022082206 162N1237E 40
1022082212 162N1232E 45
1022082218 165N1232E 55
1022082218 165N1232E 55
1022082300 172N1227E 60
1022082300 172N1227E 60
1022082306 179N1217E 55
1022082306 179N1217E 55
1022082312 186N1204E 50
1022082312 186N1204E 50
1022082318 191N1188E 50
1022082318 191N1188E 50
1022082400 193N1174E 50
1022082400 193N1174E 50
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 240300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 011
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
240000Z --- NEAR 19.3N 117.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N 117.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 20.3N 114.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 21.3N 112.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 22.1N 108.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 22.6N 105.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
240300Z POSITION NEAR 19.6N 116.8E.
24AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 254 NM
SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 20
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z, 241500Z, 242100Z AND 250300Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 11W (TOKAGE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 240000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.12 FOR STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MA-ON IS LOCATED AT 19N, 117E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, LAND AND INCREASED VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS HAVE
GATHERED AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO
TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 240145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 240000 UTC, THE SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3
N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (117.7 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250000 UTC
TWO ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (21.5 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (112.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260000 UTC
TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (22.4 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (108.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 240000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 240000UTC 19.0N 117.0E FAIR
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 241200UTC 20.3N 114.9E 30NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 250000UTC 21.2N 112.4E 42NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 260000UTC 22.3N 105.3E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 240000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 240000UTC 19.0N 117.0E FAIR
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 250000UTC 21.2N 112.4E 42NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 260000UTC 22.3N 105.3E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 240000
WARNING 240000.
WARNING VALID 250000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) 985 HPA
AT 19.0N 117.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 16 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 20.3N 114.9E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 21.2N 112.4E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 22.3N 105.3E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 232245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 232100 UTC, THE SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE NINE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (19.1 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (118.4 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 242100 UTC
TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (21.3 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (113.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 252100 UTC
TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (22.4 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (108.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 262100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 232100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 232100UTC 19.0N 118.0E FAIR
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 240900UTC 20.0N 116.1E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 242100UTC 20.9N 113.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 251800UTC 22.3N 107.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 261800UTC 23.7N 101.3E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 232100
WARNING 232100.
WARNING VALID 242100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) 985 HPA
AT 19.0N 118.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240900UTC AT 20.0N 116.1E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 242100UTC AT 20.9N 113.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 232100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 232100UTC 19.0N 118.0E FAIR
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 242100UTC 20.9N 113.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 251800UTC 22.3N 107.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 261800UTC 23.7N 101.3E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 232100
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 220823191056
2022082318 10W MA-ON 010 02 290 16 SATL 030
T000 191N 1188E 050 R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 165 SE QD 105 SW Q
D 085 NW QD
T012 200N 1164E 060 R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW Q
D 110 NW QD
T024 211N 1138E 065 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 221N 1108E 060 R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW Q
D 040 NW QD
T048 228N 1075E 050
T072 234N 1023E 020
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 010
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231800Z --- NEAR 19.1N 118.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N 118.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 20.0N 116.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 21.1N 113.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 22.1N 110.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 22.8N 107.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 23.4N 102.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
232100Z POSITION NEAR 19.3N 118.2E.
23AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 322 NM
SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 231800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z, 240900Z, 241500Z
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1022081718 136N1374E 15
1022081800 141N1362E 15
1022081806 146N1350E 15
1022081812 153N1339E 15
1022081818 160N1330E 15
1022081900 167N1323E 15
1022081906 173N1318E 15
1022081912 179N1313E 15
1022081918 183N1309E 15
1022082000 179N1309E 15
1022082006 182N1311E 15
1022082012 185N1300E 15
1022082018 183N1289E 15
1022082100 175N1280E 20
1022082106 172N1273E 20
1022082112 166N1265E 25
1022082118 163N1255E 30
1022082200 162N1246E 35
1022082206 162N1237E 40
1022082212 162N1232E 45
1022082218 165N1232E 55
1022082218 165N1232E 55
1022082300 172N1227E 60
1022082300 172N1227E 60
1022082306 179N1217E 55
1022082306 179N1217E 55
1022082312 186N1204E 50
1022082312 186N1204E 50
1022082318 191N1188E 50
1022082318 191N1188E 50

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 232100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/ TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 010
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231800Z --- NEAR 19.1N 118.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N 118.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 20.0N 116.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 21.1N 113.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 22.1N 110.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 22.8N 107.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 23.4N 102.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
232100Z POSITION NEAR 19.3N 118.2E.
23AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 322 NM
SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 231800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z, 240900Z, 241500Z
AND 242100Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 11W (TOKAGE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 231945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 231800 UTC, THE SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (18.8
N) ONE ONE NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (119.0 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241800 UTC
TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (21.0 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (114.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251800 UTC
TWO TWO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (22.3 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (109.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 231800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.11 FOR STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MA-ON IS LOCATED AT 18.9N, 118.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 231800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 231800UTC 18.9N 118.9E FAIR
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 240600UTC 19.8N 117.0E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 241800UTC 20.8N 114.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 251800UTC 22.3N 107.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 261800UTC 23.7N 101.3E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 231800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 231800UTC 18.9N 118.9E FAIR
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 241800UTC 20.8N 114.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 251800UTC 22.3N 107.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 261800UTC 23.7N 101.3E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 231800
WARNING 231800.
WARNING VALID 241800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) 985 HPA
AT 18.9N 118.9E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 19.8N 117.0E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 20.8N 114.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 22.3N 107.6E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 23.7N 101.3E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 231645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 231500 UTC, THE SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (18.8
N) ONE ONE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (119.9 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241500 UTC
TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (21.1 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (115.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251500 UTC
TWO TWO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (22.9 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (109.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 231500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 231500UTC 18.9N 119.7E FAIR
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 210NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 240300UTC 19.6N 117.8E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 241500UTC 20.8N 115.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 251200UTC 22.3N 109.8E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 261200UTC 23.6N 103.6E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 231500
WARNING 231500.
WARNING VALID 241500.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) 985 HPA
AT 18.9N 119.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240300UTC AT 19.6N 117.8E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241500UTC AT 20.8N 115.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 231500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 231500UTC 18.9N 119.7E FAIR
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 210NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 241500UTC 20.8N 115.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 251200UTC 22.3N 109.8E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 261200UTC 23.6N 103.6E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 231500
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 220823131854
2022082312 10W MA-ON 009 02 300 14 SATL 040
T000 186N 1204E 050 R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 095 SW QD 075 NW QD
T012 196N 1181E 055 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 206N 1157E 065 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 216N 1130E 070 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 223N 1102E 050 R050 010 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 232N 1050E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 009
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231200Z --- NEAR 18.6N 120.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N 120.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 19.6N 118.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 20.6N 115.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 21.6N 113.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 22.3N 110.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 23.2N 105.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
231500Z POSITION NEAR 18.9N 119.8E.
23AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 413 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
231200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z, 240300Z, 240900Z.//
1022081718 136N1374E 15
1022081800 141N1362E 15
1022081806 146N1350E 15
1022081812 153N1339E 15
1022081818 160N1330E 15
1022081900 167N1323E 15
1022081906 173N1318E 15
1022081912 179N1313E 15
1022081918 183N1309E 15
1022082000 179N1309E 15
1022082006 182N1311E 15
1022082012 185N1300E 15
1022082018 183N1289E 15
1022082100 175N1280E 20
1022082106 172N1273E 20
1022082112 166N1265E 25
1022082118 163N1255E 30
1022082200 162N1246E 35
1022082206 162N1237E 40
1022082212 162N1232E 45
1022082218 166N1227E 50
1022082218 166N1227E 50
1022082300 170N1225E 60
1022082300 170N1225E 60
1022082306 179N1217E 55
1022082306 179N1217E 55
1022082312 186N1204E 50
1022082312 186N1204E 50
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 231500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 009
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231200Z --- NEAR 18.6N 120.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N 120.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 19.6N 118.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 20.6N 115.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 21.6N 113.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 22.3N 110.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 23.2N 105.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
231500Z POSITION NEAR 18.9N 119.8E.
23AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 413 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
231200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z, 240300Z, 240900Z
AND 241500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 11W (TOKAGE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 231345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 231200 UTC, THE SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (18.4
N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (120.5 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12
KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241200 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (20.7 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (116.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251200 UTC
TWO TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (22.8 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (110.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 231200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.10 FOR STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MA-ON IS LOCATED AT 18.5N, 120.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP
OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS
BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SHORTENING OF A BAND WITH CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 231200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 231200UTC 18.5N 120.3E FAIR
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 210NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 240000UTC 19.3N 118.2E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 241200UTC 20.5N 115.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 251200UTC 22.3N 109.8E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 261200UTC 23.6N 103.6E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 231200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 231200UTC 18.5N 120.3E FAIR
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 210NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 241200UTC 20.5N 115.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 251200UTC 22.3N 109.8E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 261200UTC 23.6N 103.6E 160NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 231200
WARNING 231200.
WARNING VALID 241200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) 985 HPA
AT 18.5N 120.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 19.3N 118.2E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 20.5N 115.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 22.3N 109.8E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 23.6N 103.6E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 231045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 230900 UTC, THE SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (18.3
N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (120.9 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12
KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240900 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (20.3 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (116.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250900 UTC
TWO TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (22.7 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (111.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260900 UTC
TWO THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (23.4 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (107.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 230900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 230900UTC 18.1N 121.0E FAIR
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 210NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 232100UTC 19.2N 118.9E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 240900UTC 20.3N 116.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 250600UTC 22.3N 112.0E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 260600UTC 23.8N 105.7E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 230900
WARNING 230900.
WARNING VALID 240900.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) 985 HPA
AT 18.1N 121.0E PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 232100UTC AT 19.2N 118.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240900UTC AT 20.3N 116.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 230900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 230900UTC 18.1N 121.0E FAIR
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 210NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 240900UTC 20.3N 116.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 250600UTC 22.3N 112.0E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 260600UTC 23.8N 105.7E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 230900
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 220823071236
2022082306 10W MA-ON 008 02 315 10 SATL SYNP 030
T000 177N 1217E 055 R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 085 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 189N 1197E 050 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 110 SW QD 110 NW QD
T024 199N 1174E 060 R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 110 NW QD
T036 210N 1148E 075 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 219N 1119E 065 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 229N 1067E 035
T096 234N 1015E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 008
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 008
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230600Z --- NEAR 17.7N 121.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N 121.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 18.9N 119.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 19.9N 117.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 21.0N 114.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 21.9N 111.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 22.9N 106.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 23.4N 101.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
230900Z POSITION NEAR 18.0N 121.2E.
23AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD
AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 230600Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z, 232100Z,
240300Z AND 240900Z.
1022081718 136N1374E 15
1022081800 141N1362E 15
1022081806 146N1350E 15
1022081812 153N1339E 15
1022081818 160N1330E 15
1022081900 167N1323E 15
1022081906 173N1318E 15
1022081912 179N1313E 15
1022081918 183N1309E 15
1022082000 179N1309E 15
1022082006 182N1311E 15
1022082012 185N1300E 15
1022082018 183N1289E 15
1022082100 175N1280E 20
1022082106 172N1273E 20
1022082112 166N1265E 25
1022082118 163N1255E 30
1022082200 162N1246E 35
1022082206 162N1237E 40
1022082212 162N1232E 45
1022082218 166N1227E 50
1022082218 166N1227E 50
1022082300 170N1225E 60
1022082300 170N1225E 60
1022082306 177N1217E 55
1022082306 177N1217E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 230900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 008
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230600Z --- NEAR 17.7N 121.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N 121.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 18.9N 119.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 19.9N 117.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 21.0N 114.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 21.9N 111.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 22.9N 106.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 23.4N 101.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
230900Z POSITION NEAR 18.0N 121.2E.
23AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD
AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 230600Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z, 232100Z,
240300Z AND 240900Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 11W (TOKAGE) WARNINGS
(WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 230745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 230600 UTC, THE SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9
N) ONE TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (121.6 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12
KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240600 UTC
ONE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (19.9 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (117.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250600 UTC
TWO TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (22.5 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (112.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260600 UTC
TWO THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (23.4 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (108.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 230600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 9 FOR STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MA-ON IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 17.9N, 121.6E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND ANIMATED
MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP, DRY AIR AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
METOP-C/MHS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND
WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, DRY AIR AND
LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL
WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 230600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 230600UTC 17.9N 121.6E FAIR
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 180NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 231800UTC 19.1N 119.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 240600UTC 20.0N 117.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 250600UTC 22.3N 112.0E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 260600UTC 23.8N 105.7E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 230600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 230600UTC 17.9N 121.6E FAIR
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 180NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 240600UTC 20.0N 117.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 250600UTC 22.3N 112.0E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 260600UTC 23.8N 105.7E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 230600
WARNING 230600.
WARNING VALID 240600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) 985 HPA
AT 17.9N 121.6E PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 19.1N 119.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 20.0N 117.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 22.3N 112.0E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 23.8N 105.7E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 230445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 230300 UTC, THE SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5
N) ONE TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (122.4 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240300 UTC
ONE NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (19.7 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (117.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250300 UTC
TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (22.4 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (112.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260300 UTC
TWO THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (23.8 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (108.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 230300
WARNING 230300.
WARNING VALID 240300.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) 985 HPA
AT 17.5N 122.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 08
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231500UTC AT 19.1N 120.4E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240300UTC AT 19.7N 118.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 230300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 230300UTC 17.5N 122.4E FAIR
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 180NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 231500UTC 19.1N 120.4E 35NM 70%
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 240300UTC 19.7N 118.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 250000UTC 21.9N 113.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 260000UTC 23.4N 107.0E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW 16KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
93HF 270000UTC 24.6N 102.2E 200NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 230300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 230300UTC 17.5N 122.4E FAIR
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 180NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 240300UTC 19.7N 118.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 250000UTC 21.9N 113.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 260000UTC 23.4N 107.0E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW 16KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 230300
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 220823011402
2022082300 10W MA-ON 007 02 345 04 SATL SYNP 025
T000 170N 1226E 060 R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 085 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 183N 1209E 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 193N 1187E 060 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 140 SE QD 100 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 204N 1163E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 216N 1133E 070 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 228N 1079E 035 R034 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD
T096 232N 1031E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 007
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230000Z --- NEAR 17.0N 122.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N 122.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 18.3N 120.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 19.3N 118.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 20.4N 116.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 21.6N 113.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 22.8N 107.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 23.2N 103.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
230300Z POSITION NEAR 17.3N 122.2E.
23AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 184 NM
NORTHEAST OF SUBIC, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 230000Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z, 231500Z, 232100Z AND
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1022081718 136N1374E 15
1022081800 141N1362E 15
1022081806 146N1350E 15
1022081812 153N1339E 15
1022081818 160N1330E 15
1022081900 167N1323E 15
1022081906 173N1318E 15
1022081912 179N1313E 15
1022081918 183N1309E 15
1022082000 179N1309E 15
1022082006 182N1311E 15
1022082012 185N1300E 15
1022082018 183N1289E 15
1022082100 175N1280E 20
1022082106 172N1273E 20
1022082112 166N1265E 25
1022082118 163N1255E 30
1022082200 162N1246E 35
1022082206 162N1237E 40
1022082212 162N1232E 45
1022082218 166N1227E 50
1022082218 166N1227E 50
1022082300 170N1226E 60
1022082300 170N1226E 60
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 230300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 007
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230000Z --- NEAR 17.0N 122.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N 122.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 18.3N 120.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 19.3N 118.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 20.4N 116.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 21.6N 113.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 22.8N 107.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 23.2N 103.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
230300Z POSITION NEAR 17.3N 122.2E.
23AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 184 NM
NORTHEAST OF SUBIC, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 230000Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z, 231500Z, 232100Z AND
240300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11W (TOKAGE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 230000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 8 FOR STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MA-ON IS LOCATED AT 16.9N, 123E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND
HIGH TCHP. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
ELONGATION OF A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE
MOVEMENT. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, DRY AIR AND
LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO
TD INTENSITY BY FT96. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 230000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 230000UTC 16.9N 123.0E FAIR
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 180NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 231200UTC 18.9N 121.1E 35NM 70%
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 240000UTC 19.5N 118.6E 50NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 250000UTC 21.9N 113.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 260000UTC 23.4N 107.0E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW 16KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
96HF 270000UTC 24.6N 102.2E 200NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 230000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 230000UTC 16.9N 123.0E FAIR
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 180NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 240000UTC 19.5N 118.6E 50NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 250000UTC 21.9N 113.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 260000UTC 23.4N 107.0E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW 16KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 230000
WARNING 230000.
WARNING VALID 240000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) 985 HPA
AT 16.9N 123.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 06
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 18.9N 121.1E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 19.5N 118.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 21.9N 113.6E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 23.4N 107.0E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 24.6N 102.2E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 222245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 222100 UTC, THE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (16.8 N) ONE TWO
THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (123.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 232100 UTC
ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (118.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 242100 UTC
TWO ONE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (21.9 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (114.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 252100 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (24.0 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (109.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 262100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 222100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 222100UTC 16.6N 123.2E FAIR
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 180NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 230900UTC 18.7N 121.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 232100UTC 19.4N 119.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 241800UTC 21.2N 115.2E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 251800UTC 23.4N 109.2E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
93HF 261800UTC 24.3N 103.6E 200NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 222100
WARNING 222100.
WARNING VALID 232100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) 990 HPA
AT 16.6N 123.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230900UTC AT 18.7N 121.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 232100UTC AT 19.4N 119.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 222100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 222100UTC 16.6N 123.2E FAIR
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 180NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 232100UTC 19.4N 119.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 241800UTC 21.2N 115.2E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 251800UTC 23.4N 109.2E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 222100
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 006
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221800Z --- NEAR 16.6N 122.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N 122.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 17.7N 121.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 18.8N 119.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 19.8N 117.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 20.8N 115.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 22.6N 109.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 23.4N 103.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
222100Z POSITION NEAR 16.9N 122.4E.
22AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 169 NM
NORTHEAST OF SUBIC, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 230300Z, 230900Z, 231500Z AND 232100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11W
(TOKAGE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 221800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 7 FOR STS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MA-ON IS LOCATED AT 16.2N, 123.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 50KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE WINDS DATA ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE SCATTEROMETERS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY
OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE FORMATION
OF A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS
GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WESTWARD
UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE CHINESE MAINLAND BY FT72. THE
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER
NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP
MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, DRY AIR AND
LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO
TD INTENSITY BY FT96. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 221945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 221800 UTC, THE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (16.5 N) ONE TWO
THREE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (123.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231800 UTC
ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (119.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241800 UTC
TWO ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (21.5 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (115.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251800 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (24.3 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (109.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 221800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 221800UTC 16.2N 123.2E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 180NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 230600UTC 18.2N 122.3E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNW 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 231800UTC 19.2N 119.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 241800UTC 21.2N 115.2E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 251800UTC 23.4N 109.2E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
96HF 261800UTC 24.3N 103.6E 200NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 221800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2209 MA-ON (2209) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 221800UTC 16.2N 123.2E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 180NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 231800UTC 19.2N 119.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 241800UTC 21.2N 115.2E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 251800UTC 23.4N 109.2E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 221800
WARNING 221800.
WARNING VALID 231800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM
990 HPA
AT 16.2N 123.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 18.2N 122.3E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 19.2N 119.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 21.2N 115.2E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 23.4N 109.2E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 24.3N 103.6E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 221645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 221500 UTC, THE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N) ONE TWO
THREE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (123.3 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231500 UTC
ONE NINE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (19.1 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (120.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241500 UTC
TWO ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (21.1 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (116.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251500 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (24.2 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (110.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 221500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 221500UTC 16.2N 123.2E FAIR
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 210NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
12HF 230300UTC 17.8N 122.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 231500UTC 19.2N 120.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 241200UTC 20.9N 116.8E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 251200UTC 22.8N 110.4E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW 16KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
93HF 261200UTC 23.3N 104.7E 200NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 221500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 221500UTC 16.2N 123.2E FAIR
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 210NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 231500UTC 19.2N 120.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 241200UTC 20.9N 116.8E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 251200UTC 22.8N 110.4E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW 16KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 221500
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 005
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221200Z --- NEAR 16.2N 123.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N 123.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 17.0N 122.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 18.3N 120.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 19.3N 119.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 20.4N 116.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 22.2N 111.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 23.4N 104.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
221500Z POSITION NEAR 16.4N 122.9E.
22AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 159 NM
NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 222100Z, 230300Z, 230900Z AND 231500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 11W (TOKAGE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
BT
#0001
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 221200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 6 FOR TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MA-ON IS LOCATED AT 16.2N, 123.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE WINDS
DATA ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE SCATTEROMETERS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS HAVE GATHERED AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, DRY AIR AND
LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT60 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT96 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL
WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT96. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 221500
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 220822130123

2022082212 10W MA-ON 005 02 270 05 SATL 060
T000 162N 1232E 045 R034 075 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 070 NW QD
T012 170N 1222E 050 R050 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
R034 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 183N 1208E 045 R034 130 NE QD 100 SE QD 105 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 193N 1191E 050 R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 070 SW QD 030 NW QD
R034 160 NE QD 180 SE QD 140 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 204N 1166E 055 R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD
R034 150 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 222N 1112E 045 R034 040 NE QD 120 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD
T096 234N 1047E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
NNNN
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON) WARNING NR 005
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221200Z --- NEAR 16.2N 123.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N 123.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 17.0N 122.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 18.3N 120.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 19.3N 119.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 20.4N 116.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 22.2N 111.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 23.4N 104.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
221500Z POSITION NEAR 16.4N 122.9E.
22AUG22. TROPICAL STORM 10W (MA-ON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 159 NM
NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 222100Z, 230300Z, 230900Z AND 231500Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
BT
#0001
NNNN
1022081718 136N1374E 15
1022081800 141N1362E 15
1022081806 146N1350E 15
1022081812 153N1339E 15
1022081818 160N1330E 15
1022081900 167N1323E 15
1022081906 173N1318E 15
1022081912 179N1313E 15
1022081918 183N1309E 15
1022082000 179N1309E 15
1022082006 182N1311E 15
1022082012 185N1300E 15
1022082018 183N1289E 15
1022082100 175N1280E 20
1022082106 172N1273E 20
1022082112 166N1265E 25
1022082118 163N1255E 30
1022082200 162N1246E 35
1022082206 162N1237E 40
1022082212 162N1232E 45

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 221345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 221200 UTC, THE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N) ONE TWO
THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (123.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231200 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (18.9 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (121.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241200 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (20.8 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (116.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251200 UTC
TWO FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (24.0 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (110.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 221200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 221200UTC 16.2N 123.3E FAIR
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 210NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 231200UTC 19.0N 121.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 241200UTC 20.9N 116.8E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 251200UTC 22.8N 110.4E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW 16KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
96HF 261200UTC 23.3N 104.7E 200NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 221200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 221200UTC 16.2N 123.3E FAIR
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 210NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 231200UTC 19.0N 121.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 241200UTC 20.9N 116.8E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 251200UTC 22.8N 110.4E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW 16KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 221200
WARNING 221200.
WARNING VALID 231200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) 992 HPA
AT 16.2N 123.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 19.0N 121.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 20.9N 116.8E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 22.8N 110.4E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 23.3N 104.7E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 221045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 220900 UTC, THE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 994 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N) ONE TWO
THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (123.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230900 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (18.7 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (121.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240900 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (20.5 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (117.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250900 UTC
TWO THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (23.7 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (111.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 220745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 220600 UTC, THE TROPICAL STORM MA-ON (2209) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 994 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (16.3 N) ONE TWO
THREE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (123.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 230600 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (18.3 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (122.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240600 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (20.1 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (118.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250600 UTC
TWO THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (23.0 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (112.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260600 UTC
TWO FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (25.1 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (108.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 220900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 220900UTC 16.2N 123.5E GOOD
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 210NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 230900UTC 18.7N 121.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 07KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 240600UTC 20.0N 118.4E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 250600UTC 22.6N 113.6E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
93HF 260600UTC 24.4N 108.1E 230NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 220900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 220900UTC 16.2N 123.5E GOOD
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 210NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 230900UTC 18.7N 121.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 07KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 240600UTC 20.0N 118.4E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 250600UTC 22.6N 113.6E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 220600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 5 FOR TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
THE SYSTEM WAS UPGRADED TO TS (MA-ON) STATUS THREE HOURS AGO. TS
MA-ON IS LOCATED AT 16.2N, 123.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED
THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE WINDS DATA ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE SCATTEROMETERS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF
ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC, INDICATING
INTERFERENCE FROM INTENSIFICATION. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO ITS
LANDFALL. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 220600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 220600UTC 16.2N 123.7E FAIR
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 210NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 230600UTC 18.2N 122.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 240600UTC 20.0N 118.4E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 250600UTC 22.6N 113.6E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
96HF 260600UTC 24.4N 108.1E 230NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 220600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2209 MA-ON (2209)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 220600UTC 16.2N 123.7E FAIR
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 210NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 230600UTC 18.2N 122.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 240600UTC 20.0N 118.4E 90NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 250600UTC 22.6N 113.6E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 220600
WARNING 220600.
WARNING VALID 230600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2209 MA-ON (2209) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION
996 HPA
AT 16.2N 123.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 18.2N 122.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 20.0N 118.4E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 22.6N 113.6E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 24.4N 108.1E WITH 230 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 220300
WARNING ATCG MIL 10W NWP 220822020833

2022082200 10W TEN 003 01 260 11 SATL SYNP 015
T000 163N 1246E 030
T012 170N 1236E 035 R034 040 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 150 NW QD
T024 180N 1224E 040 R034 050 NE QD 090 SE QD 130 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 192N 1207E 045 R034 130 NE QD 100 SE QD 130 SW QD 150 NW QD
T048 200N 1189E 050 R050 030 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD
R034 160 NE QD 190 SE QD 110 SW QD 140 NW QD
T072 224N 1136E 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD
R034 100 NE QD 150 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD
T096 237N 1075E 035 R034 040 NE QD 025 SE QD 030 SW QD 000 NW QD
T120 246N 0998E 020
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
NNNN
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220000Z --- NEAR 16.3N 124.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N 124.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 17.0N 123.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 18.0N 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 19.2N 120.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 20.0N 118.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 22.4N 113.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 23.7N 107.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 24.6N 99.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
220300Z POSITION NEAR 16.5N 124.3E.
22AUG22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
232NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SUBIC, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED
WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AND 230300Z.//
1022081718 136N1374E 15
1022081800 141N1362E 15
1022081806 146N1350E 15
1022081812 153N1339E 15
1022081818 160N1330E 15
1022081900 167N1323E 15
1022081906 173N1318E 15
1022081912 179N1313E 15
1022081918 183N1309E 15
1022082000 179N1309E 15
1022082006 182N1311E 15
1022082012 185N1300E 15
1022082018 183N1289E 15
1022082100 175N1280E 20
1022082106 172N1273E 20
1022082112 166N1265E 25
1022082118 165N1257E 30
1022082200 163N1246E 30

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 220300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2209 MA-ON (2209) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 220300UTC 16.3N 124.1E FAIR
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 230300UTC 17.8N 122.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 240000UTC 19.4N 119.5E 110NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 250000UTC 22.0N 115.2E 200NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
93HF 260000UTC 23.7N 108.8E 280NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 220300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2209 MA-ON (2209) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 220300UTC 16.3N 124.1E FAIR
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 210NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 230300UTC 17.8N 122.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 240000UTC 19.4N 119.5E 110NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 250000UTC 22.0N 115.2E 200NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 220300
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220000Z --- NEAR 16.3N 124.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N 124.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 17.0N 123.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 18.0N 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 19.2N 120.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 20.0N 118.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 22.4N 113.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 23.7N 107.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 24.6N 99.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
220300Z POSITION NEAR 16.5N 124.3E.
22AUG22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 232
NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SUBIC, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 220000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z
AND 230300Z.//

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 212100
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
211800Z --- NEAR 16.5N 125.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N 125.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 16.8N 124.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 17.5N 123.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 18.5N 122.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 19.5N 120.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 21.8N 117.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 23.3N 113.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 25.0N 109.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
212100Z POSITION NEAR 16.6N 125.4E.
21AUG22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330
NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SUBIC BAY, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD
AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z, 220900Z,
221500Z AND 222100Z.
//
BT
#0001
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 211500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN) WARNING NR 001//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210800ZAUG22//
AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
211200Z --- NEAR 17.0N 126.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N 126.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 16.9N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 17.4N 124.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 18.3N 122.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 19.3N 121.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 21.7N 117.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 23.3N 113.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 24.9N 109.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
211500Z POSITION NEAR 17.0N 125.9E.
21AUG22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W (TEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 338
NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 212100Z, 220300Z, 220900Z AND 221500Z.
2. THIS CANCELS AND SUPESEDES REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 210800).//
BT
#0001
NNNN

>