Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MALAKAS-22
Off-shore

Global Telecommunication Service

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Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 151800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 32
NAME LOW FROM 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 151800UTC 31.7N 145.9E
MOVEMENT NE 28KT
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 151800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME DEVELOPING LOW FORMER STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 151800UTC 32N 146E
MOVE NE 30KT
PRES 976HPA
MXWD 055KT
30KT 600NM SOUTHEAST 400NM NORTHWEST =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 151800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME DEVELOPING LOW FORMER STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 151800UTC 32N 146E
MOVE NE 30KT
PRES 976HPA
MXWD 055KT
30KT 600NM SOUTHEAST 400NM NORTHWEST =


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 151500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 151500UTC 30.5N 144.1E FAIR
MOVE NE 21KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 180NM SOUTHEAST 80NM NORTHWEST
30KT 500NM SOUTHEAST 300NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 160300UTC 35.9N 151.0E 30NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW
24HF 161500UTC 43.2N 157.0E 42NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 151500
WARNING 151500.
WARNING VALID 161500.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 980 HPA
AT 30.5N 144.1E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 21 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80
MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 500 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160300UTC AT 35.9N 151.0E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
976 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161500UTC AT 43.2N 157.0E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
976 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 151500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 151500UTC 30.5N 144.1E FAIR
MOVE NE 21KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 180NM SOUTHEAST 80NM NORTHWEST
30KT 500NM SOUTHEAST 300NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 161500UTC 43.2N 157.0E 42NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 151200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.38 FOR STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 30N, 143.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM
TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT24.
THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO
OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL
NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 IN A STATE OF
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT12. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 151200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 31
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 151200UTC 30.1N 143.4E
MOVEMENT NE 25KT
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 160000UTC 34.6N 149.4E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 151200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 151200UTC 30.0N 143.7E FAIR
MOVE NE 28KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 100NM SOUTHEAST 80NM NORTHWEST
30KT 500NM SOUTHEAST 300NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 160000UTC 34.3N 149.0E 30NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW
24HF 161200UTC 41.4N 155.6E 42NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 151200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 151200UTC 30.0N 143.7E FAIR
MOVE NE 28KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 100NM SOUTHEAST 80NM NORTHWEST
30KT 500NM SOUTHEAST 300NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 161200UTC 41.4N 155.6E 42NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 151200
WARNING 151200.
WARNING VALID 161200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 980 HPA
AT 30.0N 143.7E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING NORTHEAST 28 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80
MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 500 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160000UTC AT 34.3N 149.0E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
976 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 41.4N 155.6E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
976 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 150900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201) DOWNGRADED FROM TY
ANALYSIS
PSTN 150900UTC 29.3N 142.6E FAIR
MOVE NNE 25KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 100NM EAST 80NM WEST
30KT 500NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 152100UTC 33.1N 147.5E 30NM 70%
MOVE NE 34KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 160900UTC 39.2N 154.7E 42NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 150900
WARNING 150900.
WARNING VALID 160900.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 975
HPA
AT 29.3N 142.6E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 25 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 500 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 152100UTC AT 33.1N 147.5E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160900UTC AT 39.2N 154.7E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
976 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 150900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201) DOWNGRADED FROM TY
ANALYSIS
PSTN 150900UTC 29.3N 142.6E FAIR
MOVE NNE 25KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 100NM EAST 80NM WEST
30KT 500NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 160900UTC 39.2N 154.7E 42NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 150900
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220415070919
2022041506 02W MALAKAS 034 01 030 23 SATL 015
T000 283N 1419E 055 R050 145 NE QD 150 SE QD 095 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 255 NE QD 260 SE QD 175 SW QD 145 NW QD
T012 327N 1462E 050 R050 090 NE QD 140 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 320 SE QD 240 SW QD 210 NW QD
T024 382N 1523E 045 R034 280 NE QD 320 SE QD 320 SW QD 280 NW QD
AMP 000HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
012HR EXTRATROPICAL
024HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 034
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 034
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 02W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150600Z --- NEAR 28.3N 141.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 23 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 255 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.3N 141.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 32.7N 146.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
320 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 37 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 38.2N 152.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
320 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
320 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
150900Z POSITION NEAR 29.4N 143.0E.
15APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 212
NM NORTH OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z
IS 28 FEET.
//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
0222040912 84N1430E 45
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041306 179N1370E 115
0222041306 179N1370E 115
0222041306 179N1370E 115
0222041312 188N1376E 115
0222041312 188N1376E 115
0222041312 188N1376E 115
0222041318 197N1376E 115
0222041318 197N1376E 115
0222041318 197N1376E 115
0222041400 206N1380E 105
0222041400 206N1380E 105
0222041400 206N1380E 105
0222041406 218N1385E 100
0222041406 218N1385E 100
0222041406 218N1385E 100
0222041412 227N1392E 100
0222041412 227N1392E 100
0222041412 227N1392E 100
0222041418 248N1397E 80
0222041418 248N1397E 80
0222041418 248N1397E 80
0222041500 263N1406E 65
0222041500 263N1406E 65
0222041500 263N1406E 65
0222041506 283N1419E 55
0222041506 283N1419E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 150900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 034//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 034
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 02W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150600Z --- NEAR 28.3N 141.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 23 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 255 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.3N 141.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 32.7N 146.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
320 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 37 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 38.2N 152.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
320 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
320 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
150900Z POSITION NEAR 29.4N 143.0E.
15APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 212 NM
NORTH OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI)
SHOWS THE SYSTEM CONTINUED TO DETERIORATE RAPIDLY AS THE CENTRAL
CONVECTION HAS BECOME SHEARED 200+NM NORTHEASTWARD, FULLY EXPOSING A
BROAD AND RAGGED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). THE MSI LOOP ALSO
SHOWS COLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS LINES WRAPPING INTO THE LLC. ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE CYCLONE HAS ENTERED THE BAROCLINIC ZONE WHERE THE SST
IS 24C AND DROPPING AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS 30+ KTS. TS 02W HAS
BEGUN EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION AND IS EXPECTED TO TRANSFORM INTO A
STRONG GALE-FORCE COLD CORE LOW WITH AN EXPANDING WIND FIELD BY TAU
12. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z
IS 28 FEET.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 150600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.37 FOR TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 27.8N, 141.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW
SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE WINDS
DATA ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE SCATTEROMETERS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT24.
THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO
OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL
NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 IN A STATE OF
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT24. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 150600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 30
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 150600UTC 27.9N 141.7E
MOVEMENT NNE 19KT
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 64KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 151800UTC 32.1N 146.4E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
24HR
POSITION 160600UTC 37.1N 152.7E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 150600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 150600UTC 27.8N 141.7E FAIR
MOVE NNE 22KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 100NM EAST 80NM WEST
30KT 500NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 151800UTC 32.0N 146.2E 30NM 70%
MOVE NE 30KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 160600UTC 37.4N 153.1E 42NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 150600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 150600UTC 27.8N 141.7E FAIR
MOVE NNE 22KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 100NM EAST 80NM WEST
30KT 500NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 160600UTC 37.4N 153.1E 42NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 150600
WARNING 150600.
WARNING VALID 160600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 970 HPA
AT 27.8N 141.7E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 22 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 500 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 32.0N 146.2E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 37.4N 153.1E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
976 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 150300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 150300UTC 27.1N 141.2E FAIR
MOVE NNE 20KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 100NM EAST 80NM WEST
30KT 500NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 151500UTC 30.9N 145.1E 35NM 70%
MOVE NE 27KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 160300UTC 35.6N 151.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE NE 34KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 170000UTC 46.1N 159.9E 60NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 150300
WARNING 150300.
WARNING VALID 160300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 965 HPA
AT 27.1N 141.2E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 500 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151500UTC AT 30.9N 145.1E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160300UTC AT 35.6N 151.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 150300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 150300UTC 27.1N 141.2E FAIR
MOVE NNE 20KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 100NM EAST 80NM WEST
30KT 500NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 160300UTC 35.6N 151.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE NE 34KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 170000UTC 46.1N 159.9E 60NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 150300
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220415023546
2022041500 02W MALAKAS 033 01 030 17 SATL 060
T000 263N 1406E 065 R064 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 125 NE QD 130 SE QD 095 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 230 SE QD 175 SW QD 145 NW QD
T012 302N 1439E 055 R050 140 NE QD 180 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 310 NE QD 390 SE QD 220 SW QD 180 NW QD
T024 347N 1489E 050 R050 130 NE QD 170 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 310 NE QD 350 SE QD 220 SW QD 190 NW QD
AMP
012HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
024HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 033
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 033
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150000Z --- NEAR 26.3N 140.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.3N 140.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 30.2N 143.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
390 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 31 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 34.7N 148.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
350 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
150300Z POSITION NEAR 27.3N 141.4E.
15APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 98 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 17
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 38 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 150900Z, 151500Z AND 152100Z.
//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
0222040912 84N1430E 45
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041306 179N1370E 115
0222041306 179N1370E 115
0222041306 179N1370E 115
0222041312 188N1376E 115
0222041312 188N1376E 115
0222041312 188N1376E 115
0222041318 197N1376E 115
0222041318 197N1376E 115
0222041318 197N1376E 115
0222041400 206N1380E 105
0222041400 206N1380E 105
0222041400 206N1380E 105
0222041406 218N1385E 100
0222041406 218N1385E 100
0222041406 218N1385E 100
0222041412 227N1392E 100
0222041412 227N1392E 100
0222041412 227N1392E 100
0222041418 248N1397E 80
0222041418 248N1397E 80
0222041418 248N1397E 80
0222041500 263N1406E 65
0222041500 263N1406E 65
0222041500 263N1406E 65
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 150300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 033//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 033
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
150000Z --- NEAR 26.3N 140.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.3N 140.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 30.2N 143.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
390 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 31 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 34.7N 148.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
350 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
150300Z POSITION NEAR 27.3N 141.4E.
15APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 98 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 17
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 38 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 150900Z, 151500Z AND 152100Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 150000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.36 FOR TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 26.1N, 141.1E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 75KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM
TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT48. THE
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER
NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP
MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 IN A STATE OF EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE BY FT48. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 150000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 29
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 150000UTC 26.1N 140.6E
MOVEMENT N 26KT
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 151200UTC 30.0N 144.2E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
24HR
POSITION 160000UTC 34.3N 148.9E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 150000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 150000UTC 26.1N 141.1E FAIR
MOVE NNE 20KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 100NM EAST 80NM WEST
30KT 500NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 151200UTC 29.8N 144.3E 35NM 70%
MOVE NE 22KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
24HF 160000UTC 34.0N 149.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE NE 30KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 170000UTC 46.1N 159.9E 60NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 150000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 150000UTC 26.1N 141.1E FAIR
MOVE NNE 20KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 100NM EAST 80NM WEST
30KT 500NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 160000UTC 34.0N 149.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE NE 30KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 170000UTC 46.1N 159.9E 60NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 150000
WARNING 150000.
WARNING VALID 160000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 965 HPA
AT 26.1N 141.1E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 20 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 500 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 29.8N 144.3E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160000UTC AT 34.0N 149.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 46.1N 159.9E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 142100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 142100UTC 24.8N 140.8E FAIR
MOVE NNE 18KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 100NM EAST 80NM WEST
30KT 500NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 150900UTC 28.6N 143.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 23KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 152100UTC 32.6N 147.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE NE 26KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 161800UTC 44.1N 157.8E 90NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 142100
WARNING 142100.
WARNING VALID 152100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 955 HPA
AT 24.8N 140.8E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 18 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 500 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150900UTC AT 28.6N 143.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 152100UTC AT 32.6N 147.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 142100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 142100UTC 24.8N 140.8E FAIR
MOVE NNE 18KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 100NM EAST 80NM WEST
30KT 500NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 152100UTC 32.6N 147.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE NE 26KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 161800UTC 44.1N 157.8E 90NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 142100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 032//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 032
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141800Z --- NEAR 24.8N 139.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 21 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N 139.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 28.1N 142.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 31.8N 146.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
350 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 35 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 37.0N 152.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
370 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
142100Z POSITION NEAR 25.6N 140.4E.
14APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 87 NM WEST
OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 21 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 42 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 150300Z, 150900Z, 151500Z AND 152100Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 141800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.35 FOR TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 23.6N, 140.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 85KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LOWER SSTS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE WINDS DATA ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE
SCATTEROMETERS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A BAND
SPIRALING AROUND THE CSC BY AT LEAST 360 DEGREES. ANIMATED MSI
SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. METOP-B/MHS 85 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT48. THE
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER
NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP
MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT48. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 141800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 28
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 141800UTC 23.7N 140.2E
MOVEMENT NE 17KT
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 150600UTC 27.2N 142.8E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
24HR
POSITION 151800UTC 30.8N 146.3E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
36HR
POSITION 160600UTC 35.8N 152.7E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 141800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 141800UTC 23.6N 140.4E GOOD
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 100NM EAST 80NM WEST
30KT 500NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 150600UTC 27.8N 142.9E 25NM 70%
MOVE NNE 24KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 151800UTC 31.8N 146.2E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 25KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 161800UTC 44.1N 157.8E 90NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 141800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 141800UTC 23.6N 140.4E GOOD
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 100NM EAST 80NM WEST
30KT 500NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 151800UTC 31.8N 146.2E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 25KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 161800UTC 44.1N 157.8E 90NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 141800
WARNING 141800.
WARNING VALID 151800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 950 HPA
AT 23.6N 140.4E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING NORTHEAST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 500 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 27.8N 142.9E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 31.8N 146.2E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 44.1N 157.8E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 141500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 141500UTC 23.1N 139.6E GOOD
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 100NM EAST 80NM WEST
30KT 500NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 150300UTC 26.9N 142.0E 25NM 70%
MOVE NNE 22KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 151500UTC 30.6N 145.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE NE 23KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 161200UTC 40.2N 156.2E 60NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 141500
WARNING 141500.
WARNING VALID 151500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 950 HPA
AT 23.1N 139.6E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHEAST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 500 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150300UTC AT 26.9N 142.0E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151500UTC AT 30.6N 145.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 141500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 141500UTC 23.1N 139.6E GOOD
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 100NM EAST 80NM WEST
30KT 500NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 151500UTC 30.6N 145.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE NE 23KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 161200UTC 40.2N 156.2E 60NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 141500
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220414131449
2022041412 02W MALAKAS 031 01 030 13 SATL 015
T000 229N 1392E 100 R064 075 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 140 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW Q
D 085 NW QD R034 245 NE QD 195 SE QD 165 SW QD 150 NW QD
T012 261N 1414E 080 R064 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 140 NE QD 170 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 320 SE QD 200 SW QD 170 NW QD
T024 297N 1446E 065 R064 010 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 170 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 310 NE QD 350 SE QD 220 SW QD 190 NW QD
T036 342N 1495E 050 R050 080 NE QD 140 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 310 NE QD 370 SE QD 240 SW Q
D 220 NW QD
AMP
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 031
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 031
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141200Z --- NEAR 22.9N 139.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 245 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
195 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.9N 139.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 26.1N 141.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
320 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 29.7N 144.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
350 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 31 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 34.2N 149.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
370 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
141500Z POSITION NEAR 23.7N 139.7E.
14APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 162 NM
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
141200Z IS 42 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z, 150300Z, 150900Z
AND 151500Z.//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
0222040912 84N1430E 45
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041306 179N1370E 115
0222041306 179N1370E 115
0222041306 179N1370E 115
0222041312 188N1376E 115
0222041312 188N1376E 115
0222041312 188N1376E 115
0222041318 197N1376E 115
0222041318 197N1376E 115
0222041318 197N1376E 115
0222041400 206N1380E 105
0222041400 206N1380E 105
0222041400 206N1380E 105
0222041406 218N1385E 100
0222041406 218N1385E 100
0222041406 218N1385E 100
0222041412 229N1392E 100
0222041412 229N1392E 100
0222041412 229N1392E 100

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 141500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 031//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 031
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
141200Z --- NEAR 22.9N 139.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 245 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
195 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.9N 139.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 26.1N 141.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
320 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 29.7N 144.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
350 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 31 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 34.2N 149.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
370 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
141500Z POSITION NEAR 23.7N 139.7E.
14APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 162 NM
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
141200Z IS 42 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z, 150300Z, 150900Z
AND 151500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 141200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.34 FOR TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 22.6N, 139E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 85KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LOWER SSTS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE WINDS DATA ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE
SCATTEROMETERS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A BAND
SPIRALING AROUND THE CSC BY AT LEAST 360 DEGREES. ANIMATED MSI
SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT48. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 141200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 27
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 141200UTC 22.6N 139.0E
MOVEMENT NNE 9KT
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 150000UTC 25.7N 141.4E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
24HR
POSITION 151200UTC 29.6N 144.3E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
36HR
POSITION 160000UTC 33.6N 148.7E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
48HR
POSITION 161200UTC 39.8N 155.7E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 141200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 141200UTC 22.6N 139.0E GOOD
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 100NM EAST 80NM WEST
30KT 425NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 150000UTC 25.8N 141.4E 25NM 70%
MOVE NNE 19KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 151200UTC 29.7N 144.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE NE 24KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 161200UTC 40.2N 156.2E 60NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 141200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 141200UTC 22.6N 139.0E GOOD
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 100NM EAST 80NM WEST
30KT 425NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 151200UTC 29.7N 144.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE NE 24KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 161200UTC 40.2N 156.2E 60NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 141200
WARNING 141200.
WARNING VALID 151200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 950 HPA
AT 22.6N 139.0E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 425 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 25.8N 141.4E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 29.7N 144.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 40.2N 156.2E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 140900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 140900UTC 22.1N 138.8E GOOD
MOVE NNE 15KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 100NM EAST 80NM WEST
30KT 425NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 142100UTC 25.1N 140.8E 25NM 70%
MOVE NNE 18KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 150900UTC 28.7N 143.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 22KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
45HF 160600UTC 36.2N 152.5E 75NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 140900
WARNING 140900.
WARNING VALID 150900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 950 HPA
AT 22.1N 138.8E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 425 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 142100UTC AT 25.1N 140.8E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150900UTC AT 28.7N 143.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 140900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 140900UTC 22.1N 138.8E GOOD
MOVE NNE 15KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 100NM EAST 80NM WEST
30KT 425NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 150900UTC 28.7N 143.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 22KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
45HF 160600UTC 36.2N 152.5E 75NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 140900
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220414070035
2022041406 02W MALAKAS 030 01 020 13 SATL 010
T000 218N 1385E 100 R064 080 NE QD 075 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 145 NE QD 135 SE QD 090 SW QD 085 NW QD R034 250 NE QD 235 SE QD 160 SW QD 150 NW QD
T012 246N 1403E 080 R064 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 150 NE QD 170 SE QD 090 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 310 SE QD 200 SW QD 180 NW QD
T024 279N 1429E 070 R064 040 NE QD 080 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 160 NE QD 190 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 310 SE QD 200 SW QD 190 NW QD
T036 318N 1466E 055 R050 120 NE QD 180 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 330 SE QD 220 SW QD 220 NW QD
T048 371N 1525E 045 R034 270 NE QD 310 SE QD 270 SW QD 210 NW QD
AMP
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 030
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 030
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140600Z --- NEAR 21.8N 138.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
235 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.8N 138.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 24.6N 140.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 27.9N 142.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 31.8N 146.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
330 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 36 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 37.1N 152.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
140900Z POSITION NEAR 22.5N 139.0E.
14APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 237 NM
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
140600Z IS 40 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z, 142100Z, 150300Z
AND 150900Z.//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
0222040912 84N1430E 45
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041306 179N1370E 115
0222041306 179N1370E 115
0222041306 179N1370E 115
0222041312 188N1376E 115
0222041312 188N1376E 115
0222041312 188N1376E 115
0222041318 197N1376E 115
0222041318 197N1376E 115
0222041318 197N1376E 115
0222041400 206N1380E 105
0222041400 206N1380E 105
0222041400 206N1380E 105
0222041406 218N1385E 100
0222041406 218N1385E 100
0222041406 218N1385E 100
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 140900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 030//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 030
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140600Z --- NEAR 21.8N 138.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
235 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.8N 138.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 24.6N 140.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 27.9N 142.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 31.8N 146.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
330 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 36 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 37.1N 152.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
140900Z POSITION NEAR 22.5N 139.0E.
14APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 237 NM
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
140600Z IS 40 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z, 142100Z, 150300Z
AND 150900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 140600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.33 FOR TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 21.9N, 138.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 85KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TCHP AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED
THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
EYE HAS BECOME OBSCURE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS HIGH BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP, STRONG VWS AND DRY AIR. THE
SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT48. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 140600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 26
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 140600UTC 21.7N 138.5E
MOVEMENT NNE 15KT
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 141800UTC 24.2N 140.2E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
24HR
POSITION 150600UTC 27.8N 142.6E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
36HR
POSITION 151800UTC 31.4N 146.0E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
48HR
POSITION 160600UTC 36.4N 152.2E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 140600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 140600UTC 21.9N 138.6E GOOD
MOVE NNE 16KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 100NM EAST 80NM WEST
30KT 425NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 141800UTC 24.3N 140.1E 25NM 70%
MOVE NNE 14KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 150600UTC 27.7N 142.4E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 20KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
48HF 160600UTC 36.2N 152.5E 75NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 140600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 140600UTC 21.9N 138.6E GOOD
MOVE NNE 16KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 100NM EAST 80NM WEST
30KT 425NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 150600UTC 27.7N 142.4E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 20KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
48HF 160600UTC 36.2N 152.5E 75NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 140600
WARNING 140600.
WARNING VALID 150600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 950 HPA
AT 21.9N 138.6E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 16 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 425 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 24.3N 140.1E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 27.7N 142.4E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 36.2N 152.5E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 140300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 140300UTC 21.1N 138.2E GOOD
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 100NM EAST 80NM WEST
30KT 425NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 141500UTC 23.7N 139.6E 25NM 70%
MOVE NNE 15KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
24HF 150300UTC 26.9N 141.9E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 19KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 160000UTC 33.3N 148.7E 60NM 70%
MOVE NE 25KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 170000UTC 46.2N 161.4E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 140300
WARNING 140300.
WARNING VALID 150300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 950 HPA
AT 21.1N 138.2E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 100 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 80 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 425 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141500UTC AT 23.7N 139.6E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150300UTC AT 26.9N 141.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 140300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 140300UTC 21.1N 138.2E GOOD
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 100NM EAST 80NM WEST
30KT 425NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 150300UTC 26.9N 141.9E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 19KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 160000UTC 33.3N 148.7E 60NM 70%
MOVE NE 25KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 170000UTC 46.2N 161.4E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 140300
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220414012233
2022041400 02W MALAKAS 029 01 025 10 SATL 015
T000 206N 1380E 105 R064 080 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 155 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 245 SE QD 180 SW QD 160 NW QD
T012 229N 1391E 085 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 290 SE QD 190 SW QD 170 NW QD
T024 261N 1412E 070 R064 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 280 NE QD 290 SE QD 180 SW QD 180 NW QD
T036 296N 1443E 055 R050 130 NE QD 150 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 300 SE QD 180 SW QD 190 NW QD
T048 339N 1489E 045 R034 300 NE QD 340 SE QD 200 SW QD 210 NW QD
AMP
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 029
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 029
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140000Z --- NEAR 20.6N 138.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
245 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N 138.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 22.9N 139.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 26.1N 141.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 29.6N 144.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 33.9N 148.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
340 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
140300Z POSITION NEAR 21.2N 138.3E.
14APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 311 NM
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
140000Z IS 36 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z, 141500Z, 142100Z
AND 150300Z.//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
0222040912 84N1430E 45
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041306 179N1370E 115
0222041306 179N1370E 115
0222041306 179N1370E 115
0222041312 188N1376E 115
0222041312 188N1376E 115
0222041312 188N1376E 115
0222041318 197N1376E 115
0222041318 197N1376E 115
0222041318 197N1376E 115
0222041400 206N1380E 105
0222041400 206N1380E 105
0222041400 206N1380E 105
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 140300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 029
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
140000Z --- NEAR 20.6N 138.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
245 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N 138.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 22.9N 139.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 26.1N 141.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 29.6N 144.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 33.9N 148.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
340 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
140300Z POSITION NEAR 21.2N 138.3E.
14APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 311 NM
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
140000Z IS 36 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z, 141500Z, 142100Z
AND 150300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 140000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.32 FOR TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 20.4N, 137.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
950HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 85KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TCHP AND DRY AIR. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND
THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING
WESTERLIES UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP, STRONG VWS AND DRY AIR. THE
SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT72. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 140000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 25
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 140000UTC 20.5N 138.0E
MOVEMENT NE 10KT
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 141200UTC 23.1N 138.8E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
24HR
POSITION 150000UTC 25.8N 140.9E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
36HR
POSITION 151200UTC 29.3N 143.7E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
48HR
POSITION 160000UTC 33.8N 148.4E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
60HR
POSITION 161200UTC 40.1N 154.8E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 140000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 140000UTC 20.4N 137.9E GOOD
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 425NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 141200UTC 23.0N 139.1E 25NM 70%
MOVE NNE 14KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
24HF 150000UTC 25.9N 141.3E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 18KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 160000UTC 33.3N 148.7E 60NM 70%
MOVE NE 25KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 170000UTC 46.2N 161.4E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 140000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 140000UTC 20.4N 137.9E GOOD
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 425NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 150000UTC 25.9N 141.3E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 18KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 160000UTC 33.3N 148.7E 60NM 70%
MOVE NE 25KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 170000UTC 46.2N 161.4E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 140000
WARNING 140000.
WARNING VALID 150000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 950 HPA
AT 20.4N 137.9E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 425 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 23.0N 139.1E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 25.9N 141.3E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160000UTC AT 33.3N 148.7E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 46.2N 161.4E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
974 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 132100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 132100UTC 20.1N 137.7E GOOD
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 425NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 140900UTC 22.5N 138.7E 25NM 70%
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
24HF 142100UTC 25.1N 140.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 16KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 151800UTC 31.3N 145.7E 60NM 70%
MOVE NNE 22KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 161800UTC 43.2N 158.5E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 132100
WARNING 132100.
WARNING VALID 142100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 950 HPA
AT 20.1N 137.7E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 425 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140900UTC AT 22.5N 138.7E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 142100UTC AT 25.1N 140.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 132100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 132100UTC 20.1N 137.7E GOOD
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 425NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 142100UTC 25.1N 140.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 16KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 151800UTC 31.3N 145.7E 60NM 70%
MOVE NNE 22KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 161800UTC 43.2N 158.5E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 132100
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220413201646
2022041318 02W MALAKAS 028 01 360 09 SATL 010
T000 197N 1376E 115 R064 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 055 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 175 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 265 SE QD 180 SW QD 145 NW QD
T012 219N 1384E 100 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 290 SE QD 190 SW QD 170 NW QD
T024 246N 1400E 085 R064 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 280 NE QD 290 SE QD 180 SW QD 180 NW QD
T036 279N 1424E 075 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 150 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 300 SE QD 180 SW QD 190 NW QD
T048 319N 1466E 065 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 160 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 340 SE QD 200 SW QD 210 NW QD
T072 366N 1520E 040 R034 375 NE QD 345 SE QD 215 SW QD 220 NW QD
AMP
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 028
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 028
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
131800Z --- NEAR 19.7N 137.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
265 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N 137.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 21.9N 138.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 24.6N 140.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 27.9N 142.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 31.9N 146.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
340 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 36.6N 152.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 375 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
345 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
215 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
132100Z POSITION NEAR 20.2N 137.8E.
13APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 369 NM
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS
38 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z, 140900Z, 141500Z AND
142100Z.//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
0222040912 84N1430E 45
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041306 179N1370E 115
0222041306 179N1370E 115
0222041306 179N1370E 115
0222041312 188N1376E 115
0222041312 188N1376E 115
0222041312 188N1376E 115
0222041318 197N1376E 115
0222041318 197N1376E 115
0222041318 197N1376E 115
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 132100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 028//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 028
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
131800Z --- NEAR 19.7N 137.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
265 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N 137.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 21.9N 138.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 24.6N 140.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 27.9N 142.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 31.9N 146.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
340 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 36.6N 152.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 375 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
345 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
215 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
132100Z POSITION NEAR 20.2N 137.8E.
13APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 369 NM
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS
38 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z, 140900Z, 141500Z AND
142100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 131800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.31 FOR TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 19.8N, 137.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
950HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 85KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TCHP AND DRY AIR. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN
EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN
CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP, STRONG VWS AND DRY AIR. THE
SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT72. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 131800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 24
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 131800UTC 19.7N 137.5E
MOVEMENT NNW 6KT
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 140600UTC 22.5N 138.4E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
24HR
POSITION 141800UTC 24.3N 139.5E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
36HR
POSITION 150600UTC 27.2N 141.8E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
48HR
POSITION 151800UTC 31.7N 146.1E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
60HR
POSITION 160600UTC 36.7N 151.4E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 131800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 131800UTC 19.8N 137.5E GOOD
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 425NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 140600UTC 21.9N 138.3E 25NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
24HF 141800UTC 24.3N 140.0E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 14KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 151800UTC 31.3N 145.7E 60NM 70%
MOVE NNE 22KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 161800UTC 43.2N 158.5E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 131800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 131800UTC 19.8N 137.5E GOOD
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 425NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 141800UTC 24.3N 140.0E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 14KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 151800UTC 31.3N 145.7E 60NM 70%
MOVE NNE 22KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 161800UTC 43.2N 158.5E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 131800
WARNING 131800.
WARNING VALID 141800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 950 HPA
AT 19.8N 137.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 425 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 21.9N 138.3E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 24.3N 140.0E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 31.3N 145.7E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 43.2N 158.5E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
978 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 131500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 131500UTC 19.4N 137.5E GOOD
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 425NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 140300UTC 21.3N 138.1E 25NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
24HF 141500UTC 23.6N 139.5E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 151200UTC 29.7N 143.6E 60NM 70%
MOVE NNE 20KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 161200UTC 39.1N 155.2E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 131500
WARNING 131500.
WARNING VALID 141500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 950 HPA
AT 19.4N 137.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 425 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 240 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140300UTC AT 21.3N 138.1E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141500UTC AT 23.6N 139.5E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 131500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 131500UTC 19.4N 137.5E GOOD
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 425NM EAST 240NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 141500UTC 23.6N 139.5E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 151200UTC 29.7N 143.6E 60NM 70%
MOVE NNE 20KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 161200UTC 39.1N 155.2E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 131500
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220413131835
2022041312 02W MALAKAS 027 01 030 11 SATL 030
T000 188N 1376E 115 R064 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 225 SE QD 170 SW QD 175 NW QD
T012 209N 1385E 105 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 290 SE QD 190 SW QD 170 NW QD
T024 232N 1396E 090 R064 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 280 NE QD 290 SE QD 180 SW QD 180 NW QD
T036 262N 1415E 075 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 150 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 300 SE QD 180 SW QD 190 NW QD
T048 298N 1448E 065 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 160 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 340 SE QD 200 SW QD 210 NW QD
T072 386N 1548E 045 R034 270 NE QD 330 SE QD 280 SW QD 200 NW QD
AMP
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 027
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 027
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
131200Z --- NEAR 18.8N 137.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N 137.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 20.9N 138.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 23.2N 139.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 26.2N 141.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 29.8N 144.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
340 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 30 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 38.6N 154.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
330 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
131500Z POSITION NEAR 19.3N 137.8E.
13APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 415 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 38 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 132100Z, 140300Z, 140900Z AND 141500Z.
//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
0222040912 84N1430E 45
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041306 179N1370E 115
0222041306 179N1370E 115
0222041306 179N1370E 115
0222041312 188N1376E 115
0222041312 188N1376E 115
0222041312 188N1376E 115

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 131500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 027//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 027
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
131200Z --- NEAR 18.8N 137.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N 137.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 20.9N 138.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 23.2N 139.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 26.2N 141.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 29.8N 144.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
340 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 30 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 38.6N 154.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
330 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
131500Z POSITION NEAR 19.3N 137.8E.
13APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 415 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 38 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 132100Z, 140300Z, 140900Z AND 141500Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 131200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.30 FOR TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 18.8N, 137.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
950HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 85KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION
ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
EYE HAS BECOME DISTINCT. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN
CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LOW
TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT72. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 131200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 23
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 131200UTC 18.9N 137.5E
MOVEMENT NNE 13KT
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 140000UTC 21.0N 137.8E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
24HR
POSITION 141200UTC 22.6N 138.4E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
36HR
POSITION 150000UTC 24.8N 139.9E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
48HR
POSITION 151200UTC 29.5N 143.8E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
60HR
POSITION 160000UTC 34.4N 149.1E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 131200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 131200UTC 18.8N 137.6E GOOD
MOVE NE 09KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 400NM SOUTHEAST 270NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 140000UTC 20.8N 137.9E 25NM 70%
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
24HF 141200UTC 22.9N 139.0E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 12KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 151200UTC 29.7N 143.6E 60NM 70%
MOVE NNE 20KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 161200UTC 39.1N 155.2E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 131200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 131200UTC 18.8N 137.6E GOOD
MOVE NE 09KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 400NM SOUTHEAST 270NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 141200UTC 22.9N 139.0E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 12KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 151200UTC 29.7N 143.6E 60NM 70%
MOVE NNE 20KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 161200UTC 39.1N 155.2E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 131200
WARNING 131200.
WARNING VALID 141200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 950 HPA
AT 18.8N 137.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHEAST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 270
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 20.8N 137.9E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 22.9N 139.0E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 29.7N 143.6E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 39.1N 155.2E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
976 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 130900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 130900UTC 18.2N 137.4E GOOD
MOVE NE 09KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 400NM SOUTHEAST 270NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 132100UTC 20.2N 137.7E 25NM 70%
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
24HF 140900UTC 22.4N 138.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 12KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
45HF 150600UTC 28.0N 142.4E 60NM 70%
MOVE NNE 18KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 160600UTC 35.7N 152.0E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 130900
WARNING 130900.
WARNING VALID 140900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 955 HPA
AT 18.2N 137.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHEAST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 270
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 132100UTC AT 20.2N 137.7E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140900UTC AT 22.4N 138.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 130900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 130900UTC 18.2N 137.4E GOOD
MOVE NE 09KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 400NM SOUTHEAST 270NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 140900UTC 22.4N 138.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 12KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
45HF 150600UTC 28.0N 142.4E 60NM 70%
MOVE NNE 18KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 160600UTC 35.7N 152.0E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 130900
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220413073811
2022041306 02W MALAKAS 026 01 040 08 SATL 030
T000 179N 1370E 115 R064 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 225 NE QD 230 SE QD 170 SW QD 175 NW QD
T012 194N 1380E 115 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 280 SE QD 190 SW QD 180 NW QD
T024 217N 1389E 095 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 130 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 290 SE QD 190 SW QD 170 NW QD
T036 245N 1405E 080 R064 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 140 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 290 SE QD 180 SW QD 180 NW QD
T048 280N 1431E 065 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 150 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 290 SE QD 180 SW QD 200 NW QD
T072 356N 1520E 045 R034 270 NE QD 300 SE QD 240 SW QD 230 NW QD
AMP
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 026
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 026
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
130600Z --- NEAR 17.9N 137.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N 137.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 19.4N 138.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 21.7N 138.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 24.5N 140.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 28.0N 143.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 35.6N 152.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
130900Z POSITION NEAR 18.3N 137.3E.
13APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 479 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z IS 38 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 131500Z, 132100Z, 140300Z AND 140900Z.
//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
0222040912 84N1430E 45
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041218 167N1360E 100
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041300 173N1365E 105
0222041306 179N1370E 115
0222041306 179N1370E 115
0222041306 179N1370E 115

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 130900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 026//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 026
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
130600Z --- NEAR 17.9N 137.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 225 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N 137.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 19.4N 138.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 21.7N 138.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 24.5N 140.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 28.0N 143.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 35.6N 152.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
130900Z POSITION NEAR 18.3N 137.3E.
13APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 479 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z IS 38 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 131500Z, 132100Z, 140300Z AND 140900Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 130600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.29 FOR TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 17.8N, 137E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
955HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 80KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY
AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE
LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND
THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN
CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION
WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM
INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 130600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 22
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 130600UTC 17.8N 136.9E
MOVEMENT NE 8KT
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 131800UTC 20.1N 137.7E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
24HR
POSITION 140600UTC 21.9N 138.0E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
36HR
POSITION 141800UTC 23.6N 139.1E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
48HR
POSITION 150600UTC 26.8N 141.7E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
72HR
POSITION 160600UTC 35.2N 150.9E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 130600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 130600UTC 17.8N 137.0E GOOD
MOVE NE 08KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 400NM SOUTHEAST 270NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
12HF 131800UTC 19.8N 137.5E 25NM 70%
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
24HF 140600UTC 22.0N 138.2E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 150600UTC 28.0N 142.4E 60NM 70%
MOVE NNE 18KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 160600UTC 35.7N 152.0E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 130600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 130600UTC 17.8N 137.0E GOOD
MOVE NE 08KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 400NM SOUTHEAST 270NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 140600UTC 22.0N 138.2E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 150600UTC 28.0N 142.4E 60NM 70%
MOVE NNE 18KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 160600UTC 35.7N 152.0E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 130600
WARNING 130600.
WARNING VALID 140600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 955 HPA
AT 17.8N 137.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHEAST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 270
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 19.8N 137.5E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 22.0N 138.2E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 28.0N 142.4E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 35.7N 152.0E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
972 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 130300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 130300UTC 17.5N 136.6E GOOD
MOVE NE 08KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 400NM SOUTHEAST 270NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 140300UTC 21.5N 138.0E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 150000UTC 25.9N 141.1E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 14KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 160000UTC 32.7N 148.4E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 23KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
93HF 170000UTC 44.7N 159.3E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 130300
WARNING 130300.
WARNING VALID 140300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 955 HPA
AT 17.5N 136.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHEAST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 400 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 270
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140300UTC AT 21.5N 138.0E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 130300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 130300UTC 17.5N 136.6E GOOD
MOVE NE 08KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 400NM SOUTHEAST 270NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 140300UTC 21.5N 138.0E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 150000UTC 25.9N 141.1E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 14KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 160000UTC 32.7N 148.4E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 23KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 130300
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220413011926
2022041300 02W MALAKAS 025 01 040 08 SATL 030
T000 173N 1364E 105 R064 060 NE QD 065 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 095 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 195 NE QD 210 SE QD 170 SW QD 140 NW QD
T012 188N 1373E 110 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 260 SE QD 190 SW QD 170 NW QD
T024 206N 1383E 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 280 SE QD 180 SW QD 180 NW QD
T036 229N 1398E 075 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 280 NE QD 300 SE QD 180 SW QD 170 NW QD
T048 261N 1417E 065 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 150 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 330 SE QD 190 SW QD 190 NW QD
T072 332N 1488E 045 R034 270 NE QD 300 SE QD 210 SW QD 210 NW QD
AMP
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 025
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 025
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
130000Z --- NEAR 17.3N 136.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N 136.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 18.8N 137.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 20.6N 138.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 22.9N 139.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 26.1N 141.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
330 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 33.2N 148.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
130300Z POSITION NEAR 17.7N 136.6E.
13APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 527 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
130000Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z, 131500Z, 132100Z
AND 140300Z.//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
0222040912 84N1430E 45
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041218 167N1359E 95
0222041218 167N1359E 95
0222041218 167N1359E 95
0222041300 173N1364E 105
0222041300 173N1364E 105
0222041300 173N1364E 105
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 130300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 025//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 025
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
130000Z --- NEAR 17.3N 136.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N 136.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 18.8N 137.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 20.6N 138.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 22.9N 139.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 26.1N 141.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
330 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 33.2N 148.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
130300Z POSITION NEAR 17.7N 136.6E.
13APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 527 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
130000Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z, 131500Z, 132100Z
AND 140300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 130000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.28 FOR TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 17.3N, 136.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
955HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 80KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY
AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE
LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND
THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 IN A STATE OF EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE BY FT96. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 130000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 21
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 130000UTC 17.3N 136.3E
MOVEMENT NNE 7KT
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 131200UTC 19.3N 137.4E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
24HR
POSITION 140000UTC 21.2N 137.7E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
36HR
POSITION 141200UTC 22.7N 138.5E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
48HR
POSITION 150000UTC 25.3N 140.6E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
72HR
POSITION 160000UTC 33.2N 148.8E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 130000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 130000UTC 17.3N 136.4E GOOD
MOVE NE 08KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 325NM
FORECAST
24HF 140000UTC 21.0N 137.8E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 150000UTC 25.9N 141.1E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 14KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 160000UTC 32.7N 148.4E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 23KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
96HF 170000UTC 44.7N 159.3E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 130000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 130000UTC 17.3N 136.4E GOOD
MOVE NE 08KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 325NM
FORECAST
24HF 140000UTC 21.0N 137.8E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 150000UTC 25.9N 141.1E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 14KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 160000UTC 32.7N 148.4E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 23KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 130000
WARNING 130000.
WARNING VALID 140000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 955 HPA
AT 17.3N 136.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHEAST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 21.0N 137.8E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 25.9N 141.1E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160000UTC AT 32.7N 148.4E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 44.7N 159.3E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
974 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 122100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 122100UTC 17.0N 136.1E GOOD
MOVE NE 06KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 325NM
FORECAST
24HF 132100UTC 20.5N 137.6E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
45HF 141800UTC 24.3N 139.8E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 12KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 151800UTC 30.9N 145.3E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 21KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
93HF 161800UTC 42.2N 157.3E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 122100
WARNING 122100.
WARNING VALID 132100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 955 HPA
AT 17.0N 136.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHEAST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 132100UTC AT 20.5N 137.6E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 122100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 122100UTC 17.0N 136.1E GOOD
MOVE NE 06KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 325NM
FORECAST
24HF 132100UTC 20.5N 137.6E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
45HF 141800UTC 24.3N 139.8E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 12KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 151800UTC 30.9N 145.3E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 21KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 122100
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220412192442
2022041218 02W MALAKAS 024 01 040 08 SATL 030
T000 167N 1359E 095 R064 050 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 095 NE QD 100 SE QD 085 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 180 SE QD 155 SW QD 145 NW QD
T012 181N 1367E 110 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 260 NE QD 240 SE QD 200 SW QD 170 NW QD
T024 197N 1376E 100 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 250 SE QD 190 SW QD 190 NW QD
T036 217N 1387E 090 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 120 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 270 SE QD 180 SW QD 180 NW QD
T048 242N 1404E 075 R064 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 290 SE QD 180 SW QD 190 NW QD
T072 315N 1471E 050 R050 100 NE QD 140 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 280 SE QD 200 SW QD 180 NW QD
AMP
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 024
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 024
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
121800Z --- NEAR 16.7N 135.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N 135.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 18.1N 136.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 19.7N 137.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 21.7N 138.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 24.2N 140.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 31.5N 147.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
122100Z POSITION NEAR 17.0N 136.1E.
12APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 573 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
121800Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z, 130900Z, 131500Z
AND 132100Z.//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
0222040912 84N1430E 45
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041206 159N1352E 85
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041218 167N1359E 95
0222041218 167N1359E 95
0222041218 167N1359E 95
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 122100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 024//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 024
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
121800Z --- NEAR 16.7N 135.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N 135.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 18.1N 136.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 19.7N 137.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 21.7N 138.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 24.2N 140.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 31.5N 147.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
122100Z POSITION NEAR 17.0N 136.1E.
12APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 573 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
121800Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z, 130900Z, 131500Z
AND 132100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 121800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.27 FOR TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 16.7N, 135.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
955HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 80KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY
AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE
LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS
THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 IN A STATE OF EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE BY FT96. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 121800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 20
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 121800UTC 16.8N 135.9E
MOVEMENT NE 10KT
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 130600UTC 18.5N 136.5E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
24HR
POSITION 131800UTC 20.3N 137.3E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
36HR
POSITION 140600UTC 22.1N 138.2E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
48HR
POSITION 141800UTC 23.9N 139.5E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
72HR
POSITION 151800UTC 31.4N 145.9E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
96HR
POSITION 161800UTC 42.8N 157.7E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 121800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 121800UTC 16.7N 135.9E GOOD
MOVE NE 06KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 325NM
FORECAST
24HF 131800UTC 20.1N 137.3E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 141800UTC 24.3N 139.8E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 12KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 151800UTC 30.9N 145.3E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 21KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
96HF 161800UTC 42.2N 157.3E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 121800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 121800UTC 16.7N 135.9E GOOD
MOVE NE 06KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 325NM
FORECAST
24HF 131800UTC 20.1N 137.3E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 141800UTC 24.3N 139.8E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 12KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 151800UTC 30.9N 145.3E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 21KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 121800
WARNING 121800.
WARNING VALID 131800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 955 HPA
AT 16.7N 135.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHEAST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 20.1N 137.3E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 24.3N 139.8E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 30.9N 145.3E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 42.2N 157.3E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
974 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 121500
WARNING 121500.
WARNING VALID 131500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 955 HPA
AT 16.3N 135.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 375 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131500UTC AT 19.8N 137.2E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 121500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 121500UTC 16.3N 135.7E GOOD
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 375NM EAST 300NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 131500UTC 19.8N 137.2E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
45HF 141200UTC 23.3N 139.1E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 151200UTC 29.1N 144.2E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 18KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
93HF 161200UTC 37.4N 154.4E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 121500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 121500UTC 16.3N 135.7E GOOD
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 375NM EAST 300NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 131500UTC 19.8N 137.2E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
45HF 141200UTC 23.3N 139.1E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 151200UTC 29.1N 144.2E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 18KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 121500
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220412135048
2022041212 02W MALAKAS 023 01 045 04 SATL 040
T000 161N 1354E 095 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 095 NE QD 095 SE QD 080 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 175 NE QD 170 SE QD 150 SW QD 140 NW QD
T012 174N 1361E 105 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 240 SE QD 190 SW QD 160 NW QD
T024 188N 1370E 115 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 250 SE QD 190 SW QD 170 NW QD
T036 206N 1379E 105 R064 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 270 SE QD 180 SW QD 180 NW QD
T048 227N 1390E 085 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 280 NE QD 280 SE QD 180 SW QD 180 NW QD
T072 288N 1438E 065 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 130 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 280 NE QD 320 SE QD 190 SW QD 170 NW QD
T096 371N 1532E 050 R050 010 NE QD 130 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 250 NE QD 370 SE QD 320 SW QD 250 NW QD
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 023
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
121200Z --- NEAR 16.1N 135.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N 135.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 17.4N 136.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 18.8N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 20.6N 137.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 22.7N 139.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 28.8N 143.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
320 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 37.1N 153.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
370 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
320 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
121500Z POSITION NEAR 16.4N 135.6E.
12APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 618 NM
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 122100Z, 130300Z, 130900Z AND 131500Z.
//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
0222040912 84N1430E 45
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041206 158N1351E 85
0222041206 158N1351E 85
0222041206 158N1351E 85
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041212 161N1354E 95
0222041212 161N1354E 95
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 121500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 023//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
121200Z --- NEAR 16.1N 135.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N 135.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 17.4N 136.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 18.8N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 20.6N 137.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 22.7N 139.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 28.8N 143.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
320 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 37.1N 153.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
370 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
320 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
121500Z POSITION NEAR 16.4N 135.6E.
12APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 618 NM
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 122100Z, 130300Z, 130900Z AND 131500Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 121200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.26 FOR TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 16.1N, 135.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND THE EYE IN
MICROWAVE IMAGERY. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE
IS 955HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 80KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION
ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY
OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF
ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 IN A STATE OF EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE BY FT96. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 121200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 19
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 121200UTC 16.2N 135.4E
MOVEMENT NE 7KT
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 130000UTC 17.6N 136.0E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
24HR
POSITION 131200UTC 19.1N 136.8E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
36HR
POSITION 140000UTC 20.8N 137.5E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
48HR
POSITION 141200UTC 22.7N 138.5E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
72HR
POSITION 151200UTC 29.2N 143.4E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
96HR
POSITION 161200UTC 39.1N 154.3E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 121200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 121200UTC 16.1N 135.3E GOOD
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 375NM EAST 300NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 131200UTC 19.3N 137.1E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 141200UTC 23.3N 139.1E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 151200UTC 29.1N 144.2E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 18KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
96HF 161200UTC 37.4N 154.4E 200NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 121200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 121200UTC 16.1N 135.3E GOOD
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 375NM EAST 300NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 131200UTC 19.3N 137.1E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 141200UTC 23.3N 139.1E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 151200UTC 29.1N 144.2E 120NM 70%
MOVE NE 18KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 121200
WARNING 121200.
WARNING VALID 131200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 955 HPA
AT 16.1N 135.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 375 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 19.3N 137.1E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 23.3N 139.1E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 29.1N 144.2E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 37.4N 154.4E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
974 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 120900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 120900UTC 16.0N 135.1E GOOD
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 375NM EAST 300NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 122100UTC 17.4N 136.2E 30NM 70%
MOVE NE 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 130900UTC 18.8N 136.9E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 140600UTC 22.0N 138.2E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 150600UTC 27.3N 141.8E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 16KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
93HF 160600UTC 34.4N 151.5E 170NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 120900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 120900UTC 16.0N 135.1E GOOD
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 375NM EAST 300NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 130900UTC 18.8N 136.9E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 140600UTC 22.0N 138.2E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 150600UTC 27.3N 141.8E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 16KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 120900
WARNING 120900.
WARNING VALID 130900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 970 HPA
AT 16.0N 135.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 375 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 122100UTC AT 17.4N 136.2E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130900UTC AT 18.8N 136.9E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 120900
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220412074558
2022041206 02W MALAKAS 022 01 360 04 SATL 030
T000 158N 1351E 085 R064 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 150 SE QD 150 SW QD 120 NW QD
T012 170N 1354E 105 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 240 SE QD 200 SW QD 160 NW QD
T024 185N 1362E 125 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 240 SE QD 200 SW QD 170 NW QD
T036 201N 1371E 115 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 250 SE QD 190 SW QD 180 NW QD
T048 220N 1380E 100 R064 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 280 NE QD 270 SE QD 180 SW QD 180 NW QD
T072 272N 1413E 075 R064 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 130 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 280 NE QD 310 SE QD 190 SW QD 180 NW QD
T096 351N 1503E 050 R050 050 NE QD 130 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 280 NE QD 350 SE QD 290 SW Q
D 280 NW QD
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 022
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120600Z --- NEAR 15.8N 135.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N 135.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 17.0N 135.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 18.5N 136.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 20.1N 137.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 22.0N 138.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 27.2N 141.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 35.1N 150.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
350 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
120900Z POSITION NEAR 16.1N 135.2E.
12APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 643 NM
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 121500Z, 122100Z, 130300Z AND 130900Z.
//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
0222040912 84N1430E 45
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 60
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041118 146N1355E 65
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041200 154N1351E 70
0222041206 158N1351E 85
0222041206 158N1351E 85
0222041206 158N1351E 85

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 120900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 022//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120600Z --- NEAR 15.8N 135.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N 135.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 17.0N 135.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 18.5N 136.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 20.1N 137.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 22.0N 138.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 27.2N 141.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 35.1N 150.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
350 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
120900Z POSITION NEAR 16.1N 135.2E.
12APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 643 NM
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 121500Z, 122100Z, 130300Z AND 130900Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 120600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.25 FOR TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 15.8N, 135.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
970HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 70KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE APPEARANCE OF
AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF
ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS.
THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT96.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 120600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 18
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 120600UTC 15.9N 135.1E
MOVEMENT N 4KT
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 121800UTC 16.9N 135.5E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
24HR
POSITION 130600UTC 18.1N 136.2E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
36HR
POSITION 131800UTC 19.4N 136.9E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
48HR
POSITION 140600UTC 21.2N 137.7E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
72HR
POSITION 150600UTC 26.8N 141.2E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
96HR
POSITION 160600UTC 34.8N 150.7E WITHIN 150NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
120HR
POSITION 170600UTC 45.8N 160.7E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 120600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 120600UTC 15.8N 135.2E GOOD
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 375NM EAST 300NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 121800UTC 17.1N 135.9E 30NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 130600UTC 18.4N 136.8E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 140600UTC 22.0N 138.2E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 150600UTC 27.3N 141.8E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 16KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
96HF 160600UTC 34.4N 151.5E 170NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 120600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 120600UTC 15.8N 135.2E GOOD
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 375NM EAST 300NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 130600UTC 18.4N 136.8E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 140600UTC 22.0N 138.2E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 150600UTC 27.3N 141.8E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 16KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 120600
WARNING 120600.
WARNING VALID 130600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 970 HPA
AT 15.8N 135.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH 06 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 375 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 17.1N 135.9E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 18.4N 136.8E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 22.0N 138.2E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 27.3N 141.8E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 34.4N 151.5E WITH 170 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
974 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 120300
WARNING 120300.
WARNING VALID 130300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 975 HPA
AT 15.6N 135.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 09
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 45 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 375 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121500UTC AT 16.7N 135.7E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130300UTC AT 17.9N 136.6E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 120300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 120300UTC 15.6N 135.1E FAIR
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 45NM
30KT 375NM EAST 300NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 121500UTC 16.7N 135.7E 30NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 130300UTC 17.9N 136.6E 42NM 70%
MOVE NE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 140000UTC 20.8N 137.8E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
69HF 150000UTC 25.2N 140.8E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
93HF 160000UTC 31.3N 147.4E 170NM 70%
MOVE NE 21KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
117HF 170000UTC 42.6N 158.9E 280NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 120300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 120300UTC 15.6N 135.1E FAIR
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 45NM
30KT 375NM EAST 300NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 130300UTC 17.9N 136.6E 42NM 70%
MOVE NE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 140000UTC 20.8N 137.8E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
69HF 150000UTC 25.2N 140.8E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 120300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 021//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120000Z --- NEAR 15.4N 135.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N 135.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 16.7N 135.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 17.9N 136.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 19.4N 136.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 21.1N 137.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 25.8N 140.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 32.3N 147.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
285 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 40.2N 158.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
275 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
120300Z POSITION NEAR 15.7N 135.3E.
12APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 393 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 120900Z, 121500Z, 122100Z AND 130300Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 120300
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220412023007
2022041200 02W MALAKAS 021 01 335 10 SATL 030
T000 154N 1352E 070 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 150 SE QD 140 SW QD 130 NW QD
T012 167N 1355E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 165 SE QD 160 SW QD 130 NW QD
T024 179N 1362E 100 R064 030 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 185 NE QD 180 SE QD 180 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 194N 1369E 110 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 215 NE QD 220 SE QD 220 SW QD 190 NW QD
T048 211N 1379E 100 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 260 NE QD 240 SE QD 190 SW QD 170 NW QD
T072 258N 1408E 080 R064 040 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 075 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 280 NE QD 260 SE QD 170 SW QD 190 NW QD
T096 323N 1476E 055 R050 075 NE QD 080 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 275 NE QD 285 SE QD 210 SW QD 220 NW QD
T120 402N 1584E 045 R034 270 NE QD 275 SE QD 210 SW QD 230 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 021
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
120000Z --- NEAR 15.4N 135.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N 135.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 16.7N 135.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 17.9N 136.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 19.4N 136.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 21.1N 137.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 25.8N 140.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 32.3N 147.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
285 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 40.2N 158.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
275 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
120300Z POSITION NEAR 15.7N 135.3E.
12APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 393 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 120900Z, 121500Z, 122100Z AND 130300Z.
//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
0222040912 84N1430E 45
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 65
0222041112 139N1358E 65
0222041112 139N1358E 65
0222041118 145N1356E 65
0222041118 145N1356E 65
0222041118 145N1356E 65
0222041200 154N1352E 70
0222041200 154N1352E 70
0222041200 154N1352E 70
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 120000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.24 FOR TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 15.5N, 135.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE
MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS.
THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT120.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 120000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 17
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 120000UTC 15.6N 135.2E
MOVEMENT NNW 10KT
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 121200UTC 16.3N 135.4E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
24HR
POSITION 130000UTC 17.5N 136.0E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
36HR
POSITION 131200UTC 18.8N 136.6E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
48HR
POSITION 140000UTC 20.4N 137.3E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
72HR
POSITION 150000UTC 24.5N 139.6E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
96HR
POSITION 160000UTC 31.3N 145.9E WITHIN 150NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
120HR
POSITION 170000UTC 41.4N 157.7E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 120000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201) UPGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 120000UTC 15.5N 135.2E FAIR
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 45NM
30KT 325NM NORTH 300NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 121200UTC 16.5N 135.6E 30NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 130000UTC 17.7N 136.5E 42NM 70%
MOVE NE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 140000UTC 20.8N 137.8E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
72HF 150000UTC 25.2N 140.8E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
96HF 160000UTC 31.3N 147.4E 170NM 70%
MOVE NE 21KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
120HF 170000UTC 42.6N 158.9E 280NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 120000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2201 MALAKAS (2201) UPGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 120000UTC 15.5N 135.2E FAIR
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 45NM
30KT 325NM NORTH 300NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 130000UTC 17.7N 136.5E 42NM 70%
MOVE NE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 140000UTC 20.8N 137.8E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
72HF 150000UTC 25.2N 140.8E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 120000
WARNING 120000.
WARNING VALID 130000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2201 MALAKAS (2201) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 975
HPA
AT 15.5N 135.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 10
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 45 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 16.5N 135.6E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 17.7N 136.5E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 20.8N 137.8E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 25.2N 140.8E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160000UTC AT 31.3N 147.4E WITH 170 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 170000UTC AT 42.6N 158.9E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 112100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 112100UTC 15.2N 135.4E FAIR
MOVE NNW 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 35NM
30KT 325NM NORTH 300NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 120900UTC 16.2N 135.4E 30NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 122100UTC 17.2N 136.1E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 131800UTC 19.7N 137.3E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 141800UTC 23.5N 139.3E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
93HF 151800UTC 29.0N 143.9E 170NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
117HF 161800UTC 38.5N 155.1E 280NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 112100
WARNING 112100.
WARNING VALID 122100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 980 HPA
AT 15.2N 135.4E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 11
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 35 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120900UTC AT 16.2N 135.4E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 122100UTC AT 17.2N 136.1E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 112100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 112100UTC 15.2N 135.4E FAIR
MOVE NNW 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 35NM
30KT 325NM NORTH 300NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 122100UTC 17.2N 136.1E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 131800UTC 19.7N 137.3E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 141800UTC 23.5N 139.3E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 112100
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220411200956
2022041118 02W MALAKAS 020 01 340 06 SATL 030
T000 145N 1356E 065 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 120 SE QD 150 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 159N 1353E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 165 SE QD 160 SW QD 130 NW QD
T024 170N 1359E 090 R064 030 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 185 NE QD 180 SE QD 180 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 182N 1366E 105 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 215 NE QD 220 SE QD 220 SW QD 190 NW QD
T048 197N 1374E 100 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 260 NE QD 240 SE QD 190 SW QD 170 NW QD
T072 238N 1396E 085 R064 040 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 075 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 280 NE QD 260 SE QD 170 SW QD 190 NW QD
T096 293N 1446E 060 R050 075 NE QD 080 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 275 NE QD 285 SE QD 210 SW QD 220 NW QD
T120 365N 1546E 045 R034 270 NE QD 275 SE QD 210 SW QD 230 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 020
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111800Z --- NEAR 14.5N 135.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N 135.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 15.9N 135.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 17.0N 135.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 18.2N 136.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 19.7N 137.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 23.8N 139.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 29.3N 144.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
285 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 36.5N 154.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
275 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
112100Z POSITION NEAR 14.8N 135.5E.
11APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 334 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 120300Z, 120900Z, 121500Z AND 122100Z.
//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
0222040912 84N1430E 45
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041106 132N1362E 60
0222041112 139N1358E 65
0222041112 139N1358E 65
0222041112 139N1358E 65
0222041118 145N1356E 65
0222041118 145N1356E 65
0222041118 145N1356E 65
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 112100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 020//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111800Z --- NEAR 14.5N 135.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N 135.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 15.9N 135.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 17.0N 135.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 18.2N 136.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 19.7N 137.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 23.8N 139.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 29.3N 144.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
285 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z --- 36.5N 154.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
275 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
112100Z POSITION NEAR 14.8N 135.5E.
11APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 334 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 120300Z, 120900Z, 121500Z AND 122100Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 111800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.23 FOR STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 14.7N, 135.8E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
980HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 60KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH
SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION
ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 111800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 16
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 111800UTC 14.7N 135.6E
MOVEMENT NNW 7KT
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 120600UTC 15.8N 135.3E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
24HR
POSITION 121800UTC 16.9N 135.6E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
36HR
POSITION 130600UTC 18.2N 136.4E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
48HR
POSITION 131800UTC 19.7N 137.0E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
72HR
POSITION 141800UTC 23.3N 138.8E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
96HR
POSITION 151800UTC 29.0N 143.5E WITHIN 150NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
120HR
POSITION 161800UTC 38.2N 153.8E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 111800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 111800UTC 14.7N 135.8E FAIR
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 35NM
30KT 325NM NORTH 300NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 120600UTC 15.9N 135.2E 30NM 70%
MOVE NNW 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 121800UTC 17.0N 135.8E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 131800UTC 19.7N 137.3E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 141800UTC 23.5N 139.3E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
96HF 151800UTC 29.0N 143.9E 170NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
120HF 161800UTC 38.5N 155.1E 280NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 111800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 111800UTC 14.7N 135.8E FAIR
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 35NM
30KT 325NM NORTH 300NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 121800UTC 17.0N 135.8E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 131800UTC 19.7N 137.3E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 141800UTC 23.5N 139.3E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 111800
WARNING 111800.
WARNING VALID 121800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 980 HPA
AT 14.7N 135.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH 09 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 35 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 325 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 15.9N 135.2E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 17.0N 135.8E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 19.7N 137.3E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 23.5N 139.3E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 29.0N 143.9E WITH 170 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161800UTC AT 38.5N 155.1E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 111500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 111500UTC 14.1N 136.0E FAIR
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 350NM NORTH 270NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 120300UTC 15.7N 135.1E 30NM 70%
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
24HF 121500UTC 16.6N 135.4E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 131200UTC 18.9N 136.8E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 141200UTC 22.5N 138.5E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
93HF 151200UTC 28.1N 142.4E 170NM 70%
MOVE NNE 17KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
117HF 161200UTC 35.0N 152.1E 280NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 111500
WARNING 111500.
WARNING VALID 121500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 985 HPA
AT 14.1N 136.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 270 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120300UTC AT 15.7N 135.1E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121500UTC AT 16.6N 135.4E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 111500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 111500UTC 14.1N 136.0E FAIR
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 350NM NORTH 270NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 121500UTC 16.6N 135.4E 42NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 131200UTC 18.9N 136.8E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 141200UTC 22.5N 138.5E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 111500
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220411131742
2022041112 02W MALAKAS 019 01 335 08 SATL 015
T000 142N 1357E 065 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 025 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 070 SE QD 090 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 155 SW QD 030 NW QD
T012 154N 1352E 075 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 200 SE QD 170 SW QD 150 NW QD
T024 166N 1352E 095 R064 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 220 SE QD 180 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 178N 1357E 110 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 230 SE QD 200 SW QD 150 NW QD
T048 193N 1364E 105 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 260 NE QD 240 SE QD 190 SW QD 170 NW QD
T072 229N 1384E 090 R064 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 280 NE QD 260 SE QD 170 SW QD 190 NW QD
T096 281N 1427E 065 R064 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 300 SE QD 210 SW QD 190 NW QD
T120 351N 1510E 045 R034 300 NE QD 380 SE QD 310 SW QD 290 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 019
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 019
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 02W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111200Z --- NEAR 14.2N 135.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N 135.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 15.4N 135.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 16.6N 135.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 17.8N 135.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 19.3N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 22.9N 138.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 28.1N 142.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 35.1N 151.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
380 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
111500Z POSITION NEAR 14.5N 135.6E.
11APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 112100Z, 120300Z, 120900Z AND 121500Z.
//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
0222040912 84N1430E 45
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041106 135N1360E 60
0222041106 135N1360E 60
0222041112 142N1357E 65
0222041112 142N1357E 65
0222041112 142N1357E 65
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 111500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 019//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 019
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 02W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111200Z --- NEAR 14.2N 135.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N 135.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 15.4N 135.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 16.6N 135.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 17.8N 135.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 19.3N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 22.9N 138.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 28.1N 142.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 35.1N 151.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
380 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
111500Z POSITION NEAR 14.5N 135.6E.
11APR22. TYPHOON 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 315 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 112100Z, 120300Z, 120900Z AND 121500Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 111200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.22 FOR STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 13.8N, 136E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 111200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 15
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 111200UTC 13.9N 135.8E
MOVEMENT NNW 9KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 120000UTC 15.3N 135.2E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
24HR
POSITION 121200UTC 16.3N 135.3E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
36HR
POSITION 130000UTC 17.4N 135.7E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
48HR
POSITION 131200UTC 18.7N 136.5E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
72HR
POSITION 141200UTC 22.1N 137.8E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
96HR
POSITION 151200UTC 27.8N 141.3E WITHIN 150NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
120HR
POSITION 161200UTC 35.2N 151.0E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 111200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 111200UTC 13.8N 136.0E FAIR
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 350NM NORTH 270NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 120000UTC 15.4N 135.1E 30NM 70%
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
24HF 121200UTC 16.4N 135.3E 42NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 131200UTC 18.9N 136.8E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 141200UTC 22.5N 138.5E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
96HF 151200UTC 28.1N 142.4E 170NM 70%
MOVE NNE 17KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
120HF 161200UTC 35.0N 152.1E 280NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 111200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 111200UTC 13.8N 136.0E FAIR
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 350NM NORTH 270NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 121200UTC 16.4N 135.3E 42NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 131200UTC 18.9N 136.8E 75NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 141200UTC 22.5N 138.5E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 111200
WARNING 111200.
WARNING VALID 121200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 985 HPA
AT 13.8N 136.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 270 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 15.4N 135.1E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 16.4N 135.3E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 18.9N 136.8E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 22.5N 138.5E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 28.1N 142.4E WITH 170 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 161200UTC AT 35.0N 152.1E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 110900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110900UTC 13.2N 136.1E FAIR
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 350NM NORTH 270NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 112100UTC 15.2N 135.2E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNW 11KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
24HF 120900UTC 16.1N 135.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 130600UTC 18.1N 136.2E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 140600UTC 21.6N 137.4E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
93HF 150600UTC 26.7N 140.5E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 15KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
117HF 160600UTC 32.2N 147.8E 280NM 70%
MOVE NE 21KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 110900
WARNING 110900.
WARNING VALID 120900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 990 HPA
AT 13.2N 136.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH 09 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 270 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 112100UTC AT 15.2N 135.2E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120900UTC AT 16.1N 135.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 110900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110900UTC 13.2N 136.1E FAIR
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 350NM NORTH 270NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 120900UTC 16.1N 135.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 130600UTC 18.1N 136.2E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 140600UTC 21.6N 137.4E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 110900
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220411065518
2022041106 02W MALAKAS 018 02 335 11 SATL 020
T000 135N 1360E 060 R050 000 NE QD 065 SE QD 080 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 150 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 149N 1353E 075 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 180 SE QD 170 SW QD 180 NW QD
T024 160N 1350E 095 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 210 SE QD 180 SW QD 190 NW QD
T036 171N 1353E 105 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 210 SE QD 190 SW QD 190 NW QD
T048 184N 1358E 100 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 210 SE QD 200 SW QD 150 NW QD
T072 217N 1375E 090 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 260 NE QD 230 SE QD 160 SW QD 210 NW QD
T096 265N 1408E 065 R064 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 270 SE QD 170 SW QD 230 NW QD
T120 326N 1475E 045 R034 290 NE QD 310 SE QD 230 SW QD 230 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 018
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 018
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110600Z --- NEAR 13.5N 136.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N 136.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 14.9N 135.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 16.0N 135.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 17.1N 135.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 18.4N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 21.7N 137.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 26.5N 140.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 32.6N 147.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
110900Z POSITION NEAR 13.8N 135.8E.
11APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z
IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z, 112100Z, 120300Z AND 120900Z.
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
0222040912 84N1430E 45
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041106 135N1360E 60
0222041106 135N1360E 60
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 110900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 018//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 018
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110600Z --- NEAR 13.5N 136.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N 136.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 14.9N 135.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 16.0N 135.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 17.1N 135.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 18.4N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 21.7N 137.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 26.5N 140.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 32.6N 147.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
110900Z POSITION NEAR 13.8N 135.8E.
11APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z
IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z, 112100Z, 120300Z AND 120900Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (MEGI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 110600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.21 FOR STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 12.7N, 136.1E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
990HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 50KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS
STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST
SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89
GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN
CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO
THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS AND REDUCED TCHP. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 110600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 14
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 110600UTC 13.1N 136.1E
MOVEMENT NNW 6KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 111800UTC 14.4N 135.1E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
24HR
POSITION 120600UTC 15.7N 134.9E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
36HR
POSITION 121800UTC 16.7N 135.1E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
48HR
POSITION 130600UTC 17.8N 135.7E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
72HR
POSITION 140600UTC 21.1N 136.8E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
96HR
POSITION 150600UTC 26.1N 139.4E WITHIN 150NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
120HR
POSITION 160600UTC 31.2N 145.6E WITHIN 205NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 110600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110600UTC 12.7N 136.1E FAIR
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 350NM NORTH 270NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 111800UTC 14.7N 135.4E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNW 11KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
24HF 120600UTC 15.9N 134.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 130600UTC 18.1N 136.2E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 140600UTC 21.6N 137.4E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
96HF 150600UTC 26.7N 140.5E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 15KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
120HF 160600UTC 32.2N 147.8E 280NM 70%
MOVE NE 21KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 110600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110600UTC 12.7N 136.1E FAIR
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 350NM NORTH 270NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 120600UTC 15.9N 134.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 130600UTC 18.1N 136.2E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 140600UTC 21.6N 137.4E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 110600
WARNING 110600.
WARNING VALID 120600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 990 HPA
AT 12.7N 136.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 270 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 14.7N 135.4E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 15.9N 134.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 18.1N 136.2E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 21.6N 137.4E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 26.7N 140.5E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160600UTC AT 32.2N 147.8E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 110300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110300UTC 12.3N 136.1E FAIR
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 350NM NORTH 270NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 111500UTC 14.5N 135.4E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNW 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
24HF 120300UTC 15.5N 134.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 130000UTC 17.3N 135.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 140000UTC 20.4N 136.8E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
93HF 150000UTC 24.4N 139.0E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
117HF 160000UTC 29.7N 143.9E 280NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 110300
WARNING 110300.
WARNING VALID 120300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 990 HPA
AT 12.3N 136.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 350 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 270 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111500UTC AT 14.5N 135.4E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120300UTC AT 15.5N 134.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 110300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110300UTC 12.3N 136.1E FAIR
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 350NM NORTH 270NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 120300UTC 15.5N 134.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 130000UTC 17.3N 135.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 140000UTC 20.4N 136.8E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 110300
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220411015152
2022041100 02W MALAKAS 017 02 325 07 SATL 020
T000 125N 1365E 060 R050 015 NE QD 060 SE QD 075 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 115 SE QD 150 SW QD 075 NW QD
T012 140N 1356E 065 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 250 NE QD 150 SE QD 130 SW QD 160 NW QD
T024 150N 1350E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 260 NE QD 180 SE QD 170 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 161N 1350E 085 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 250 NE QD 200 SE QD 180 SW QD 170 NW QD
T048 171N 1355E 100 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 250 NE QD 210 SE QD 190 SW QD 180 NW QD
T072 201N 1367E 095 R064 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 250 SE QD 170 SW QD 190 NW QD
T096 242N 1394E 075 R064 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 280 SE QD 160 SW QD 200 NW QD
T120 286N 1431E 050 R050 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 060 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 340 NE QD 330 SE QD 220 SW QD 240 NW QD
AMP
096HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
120HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 017
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 017
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110000Z --- NEAR 12.5N 136.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.5N 136.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 14.0N 135.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 15.0N 135.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 16.1N 135.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 17.1N 135.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 20.1N 136.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 24.2N 139.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 28.6N 143.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
330 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
110300Z POSITION NEAR 12.9N 136.3E.
11APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 203
NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
110000Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z, 111500Z, 112100Z
AND 120300Z.
//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
0222040912 84N1430E 45
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041100 125N1365E 60
0222041100 125N1365E 60
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 110300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 017//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 017
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110000Z --- NEAR 12.5N 136.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.5N 136.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 14.0N 135.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 15.0N 135.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 16.1N 135.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 17.1N 135.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 20.1N 136.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 24.2N 139.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 28.6N 143.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
330 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
110300Z POSITION NEAR 12.9N 136.3E.
11APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 203
NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
110000Z IS 27 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z, 111500Z, 112100Z
AND 120300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (MEGI) WARNINGS
(WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 110000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.20 FOR STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 11.9N, 136.1E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
990HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 50KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS
STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST
SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89
GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN
CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO
THE INFLUENCE OF LOWER SSTS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL
FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP
AND STRONG VWS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 110000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 13
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 110000UTC 12.3N 136.4E
MOVEMENT NW 9KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 111200UTC 14.1N 135.4E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
24HR
POSITION 120000UTC 15.2N 134.9E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
36HR
POSITION 121200UTC 16.3N 135.0E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
48HR
POSITION 130000UTC 17.3N 135.4E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
72HR
POSITION 140000UTC 20.1N 136.4E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
96HR
POSITION 150000UTC 24.4N 138.3E WITHIN 150NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
120HR
POSITION 160000UTC 29.3N 143.0E WITHIN 205NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 110000
WARNING 110000.
WARNING VALID 120000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 990 HPA
AT 11.9N 136.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 14.3N 135.5E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 15.3N 134.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 17.3N 135.7E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 20.4N 136.8E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 24.4N 139.0E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 160000UTC AT 29.7N 143.9E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 110000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110000UTC 11.9N 136.1E FAIR
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 300NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 111200UTC 14.3N 135.5E 35NM 70%
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
24HF 120000UTC 15.3N 134.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 130000UTC 17.3N 135.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 140000UTC 20.4N 136.8E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
96HF 150000UTC 24.4N 139.0E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
120HF 160000UTC 29.7N 143.9E 280NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 110000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110000UTC 11.9N 136.1E FAIR
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 300NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 120000UTC 15.3N 134.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 130000UTC 17.3N 135.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 140000UTC 20.4N 136.8E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 102100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 102100UTC 11.9N 136.7E FAIR
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 300NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 110900UTC 13.5N 135.8E 35NM 70%
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
24HF 112100UTC 14.7N 135.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 07KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 121800UTC 16.7N 135.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 131800UTC 19.3N 136.5E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
93HF 141800UTC 22.9N 138.0E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
117HF 151800UTC 27.9N 141.6E 280NM 70%
MOVE NNE 15KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 102100
WARNING 102100.
WARNING VALID 112100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 990 HPA
AT 11.9N 136.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110900UTC AT 13.5N 135.8E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 112100UTC AT 14.7N 135.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 102100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 102100UTC 11.9N 136.7E FAIR
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 300NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 112100UTC 14.7N 135.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 07KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 121800UTC 16.7N 135.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 131800UTC 19.3N 136.5E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 102100
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220410192128
2022041018 02W MALAKAS 016 02 290 11 SATL 040
T000 119N 1369E 055 R050 070 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 080 SE QD 085 SW QD 115 NW QD
T012 131N 1358E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 150 NW QD
T024 144N 1349E 075 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 150 SE QD 140 SW QD 170 NW QD
T036 156N 1348E 085 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 250 NE QD 190 SE QD 160 SW QD 170 NW QD
T048 166N 1351E 095 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 200 SE QD 160 SW QD 180 NW QD
T072 192N 1361E 100 R064 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 240 SE QD 180 SW QD 190 NW QD
T096 231N 1383E 080 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 270 SE QD 150 SW QD 190 NW QD
T120 274N 1415E 060 R050 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 310 NE QD 320 SE QD 170 SW QD 250 NW QD
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 016
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101800Z --- NEAR 11.9N 136.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N 136.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 13.1N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 14.4N 134.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 15.6N 134.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 16.6N 135.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 19.2N 136.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 23.1N 138.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 27.4N 141.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
320 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
102100Z POSITION NEAR 12.2N 136.6E.
10APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160
NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 101800Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z, 110900Z,
111500Z AND 112100Z. //
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
0222040912 84N1430E 45
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041006 114N1386E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041012 115N1379E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
0222041018 119N1369E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 102100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101800Z --- NEAR 11.9N 136.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N 136.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 13.1N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 14.4N 134.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 15.6N 134.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 16.6N 135.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 19.2N 136.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 23.1N 138.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z --- 27.4N 141.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
320 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
102100Z POSITION NEAR 12.2N 136.6E.
10APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160
NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 101800Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z, 110900Z,
111500Z AND 112100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (MEGI)
WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 101800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.19 FOR STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 11.8N, 137.1E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
990HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 50KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER
NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP
MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT120
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP
AND INCREASED VWS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS
OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 101800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 12
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 101800UTC 11.8N 137.2E
MOVEMENT W 4KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 110600UTC 13.5N 135.8E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
24HR
POSITION 111800UTC 14.6N 135.1E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
36HR
POSITION 120600UTC 15.8N 135.0E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
48HR
POSITION 121800UTC 16.9N 135.4E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
72HR
POSITION 131800UTC 19.6N 136.6E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
96HR
POSITION 141800UTC 23.3N 138.1E WITHIN 150NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
120HR
POSITION 151800UTC 28.0N 141.4E WITHIN 205NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 101800
WARNING 101800.
WARNING VALID 111800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 990 HPA
AT 11.8N 137.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 13.2N 136.0E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 14.4N 135.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 16.7N 135.3E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 19.3N 136.5E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 22.9N 138.0E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151800UTC AT 27.9N 141.6E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 101800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101800UTC 11.8N 137.1E FAIR
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 300NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 110600UTC 13.2N 136.0E 35NM 70%
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
24HF 111800UTC 14.4N 135.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 121800UTC 16.7N 135.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 131800UTC 19.3N 136.5E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
96HF 141800UTC 22.9N 138.0E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
120HF 151800UTC 27.9N 141.6E 280NM 70%
MOVE NNE 15KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 101800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101800UTC 11.8N 137.1E FAIR
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 300NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 111800UTC 14.4N 135.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 121800UTC 16.7N 135.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 131800UTC 19.3N 136.5E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 101500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101500UTC 11.8N 137.5E POOR
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 300NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 110300UTC 13.1N 135.9E 35NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
24HF 111500UTC 14.4N 135.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 121200UTC 16.2N 134.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 131200UTC 18.7N 136.1E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
93HF 141200UTC 22.2N 137.3E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
117HF 151200UTC 27.1N 139.9E 280NM 70%
MOVE NNE 14KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 101500
WARNING 101500.
WARNING VALID 111500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 990 HPA
AT 11.8N 137.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110300UTC AT 13.1N 135.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111500UTC AT 14.4N 135.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 101500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101500UTC 11.8N 137.5E POOR
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 300NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 111500UTC 14.4N 135.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 121200UTC 16.2N 134.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 131200UTC 18.7N 136.1E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 101500
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220410130110
2022041012 02W MALAKAS 015 02 290 14 SATL 020
T000 124N 1368E 055 R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 025 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 060 SE QD 065 SW QD 120 NW QD
T012 135N 1351E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 150 NW QD
T024 146N 1341E 075 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 150 SE QD 140 SW QD 170 NW QD
T036 158N 1337E 085 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 250 NE QD 190 SE QD 160 SW QD 170 NW QD
T048 168N 1338E 095 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 200 SE QD 160 SW QD 180 NW QD
T072 194N 1349E 100 R064 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 240 SE QD 180 SW QD 190 NW QD
T096 228N 1367E 085 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 270 SE QD 150 SW QD 190 NW QD
T120 274N 1397E 060 R050 090 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 310 NE QD 320 SE QD 170 SW QD 250 NW QD
AMP
120HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 015
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 015
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101200Z --- NEAR 12.4N 136.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N 136.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 13.5N 135.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 14.6N 134.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 15.8N 133.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 16.8N 133.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 19.4N 134.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 22.8N 136.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 27.4N 139.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
320 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
101500Z POSITION NEAR 12.7N 136.4E.
10APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z
IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z, 110300Z, 110900Z AND 111500Z.
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
0222040912 84N1430E 45
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041006 119N1381E 55
0222041006 119N1381E 55
0222041012 124N1368E 55
0222041012 124N1368E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 101500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 015
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101200Z --- NEAR 12.4N 136.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N 136.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 13.5N 135.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 14.6N 134.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 15.8N 133.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 16.8N 133.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 19.4N 134.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 22.8N 136.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z --- 27.4N 139.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
320 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
101500Z POSITION NEAR 12.7N 136.4E.
10APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z
IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z, 110300Z, 110900Z AND 111500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 03W (MEGI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 101200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.18 FOR STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 11.7N, 137.9E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS POOR BECAUSE THE CSC IS
OBSCURE. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
NEAR THE CENTER ARE 50KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER
NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP
MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT120
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP
AND INCREASED VWS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS
OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 101200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 11
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 101200UTC 11.7N 137.9E
MOVEMENT W 12KT
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 110000UTC 13.0N 136.3E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
24HR
POSITION 111200UTC 14.2N 135.3E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
36HR
POSITION 120000UTC 15.3N 135.0E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
48HR
POSITION 121200UTC 16.4N 135.2E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
72HR
POSITION 131200UTC 19.0N 136.3E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
96HR
POSITION 141200UTC 22.4N 137.6E WITHIN 150NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
120HR
POSITION 151200UTC 26.9N 139.8E WITHIN 205NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 101200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101200UTC 11.7N 137.9E POOR
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 300NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 110000UTC 12.8N 136.1E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
24HF 111200UTC 14.2N 135.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 121200UTC 16.2N 134.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 131200UTC 18.7N 136.1E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
96HF 141200UTC 22.2N 137.3E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
120HF 151200UTC 27.1N 139.9E 280NM 70%
MOVE NNE 14KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 101200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2201 MALAKAS (2201) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101200UTC 11.7N 137.9E POOR
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 300NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 111200UTC 14.2N 135.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 121200UTC 16.2N 134.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 131200UTC 18.7N 136.1E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 101200
WARNING 101200.
WARNING VALID 111200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL
STORM 990 HPA
AT 11.7N 137.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12
KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 300 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 12.8N 136.1E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 14.2N 135.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 16.2N 134.9E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 18.7N 136.1E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 22.2N 137.3E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 151200UTC AT 27.1N 139.9E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 100900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100900UTC 11.7N 138.6E POOR
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 102100UTC 12.8N 136.3E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 110900UTC 14.1N 135.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 120600UTC 16.0N 134.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 130600UTC 18.4N 135.9E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
93HF 140600UTC 21.6N 137.2E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
117HF 150600UTC 26.4N 139.6E 280NM 70%
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 100900
WARNING 100900.
WARNING VALID 110900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 992 HPA
AT 11.7N 138.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 102100UTC AT 12.8N 136.3E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110900UTC AT 14.1N 135.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 100900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100900UTC 11.7N 138.6E POOR
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 110900UTC 14.1N 135.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 120600UTC 16.0N 134.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 130600UTC 18.4N 135.9E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 100900
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220410071536
2022041006 02W MALAKAS 014 02 300 22 SATL 020
T000 119N 1381E 055 R050 065 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 040 SE QD 065 SW QD 110 NW QD
T012 131N 1360E 065 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 000 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 140 NW QD
T024 143N 1347E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 155N 1339E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 180 SE QD 160 SW QD 160 NW QD
T048 165N 1339E 095 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 190 SE QD 160 SW QD 170 NW QD
T072 192N 1349E 100 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 200 SE QD 160 SW QD 190 NW QD
T096 221N 1364E 085 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 250 SE QD 150 SW QD 190 NW QD
T120 261N 1389E 060 R050 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 280 NE QD 280 SE QD 170 SW QD 220 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 014
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 014
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100600Z --- NEAR 11.9N 138.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 22 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N 138.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 13.1N 136.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 14.3N 134.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 15.5N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 16.5N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 19.2N 134.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 22.1N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 26.1N 138.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
100900Z POSITION NEAR 12.2N 137.6E.
10APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 144 NM
NORTH OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 25
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z, 102100Z, 110300Z AND 110900Z.
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
0222040912 84N1430E 45
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222040918 95N1419E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041000 108N1400E 55
0222041006 119N1381E 55
0222041006 119N1381E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 100900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 014
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100600Z --- NEAR 11.9N 138.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 22 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.9N 138.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 13.1N 136.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 14.3N 134.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 15.5N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 16.5N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 19.2N 134.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 22.1N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 26.1N 138.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
100900Z POSITION NEAR 12.2N 137.6E.
10APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 144 NM
NORTH OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 25
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z, 102100Z, 110300Z AND 110900Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 03W (MEGI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 100600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.17 FOR TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 11.6N, 138.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS POOR BECAUSE THE CSC IS OBSCURE. CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 992HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45KNOTS. THE
SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT120
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND
STRONG VWS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 100600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 10
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 100600UTC 11.5N 138.8E
MOVEMENT WNW 9KT
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 101800UTC 12.4N 137.3E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
24HR
POSITION 110600UTC 13.6N 135.8E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
36HR
POSITION 111800UTC 14.8N 135.3E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
48HR
POSITION 120600UTC 16.0N 135.0E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
72HR
POSITION 130600UTC 18.5N 136.2E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
96HR
POSITION 140600UTC 21.4N 137.5E WITHIN 150NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
120HR
POSITION 150600UTC 25.9N 139.5E WITHIN 205NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 100600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100600UTC 11.6N 138.8E POOR
MOVE NW 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 101800UTC 12.6N 136.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 110600UTC 13.7N 135.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 120600UTC 16.0N 134.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 130600UTC 18.4N 135.9E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
96HF 140600UTC 21.6N 137.2E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
120HF 150600UTC 26.4N 139.6E 280NM 70%
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 100600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100600UTC 11.6N 138.8E POOR
MOVE NW 15KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 110600UTC 13.7N 135.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 120600UTC 16.0N 134.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 130600UTC 18.4N 135.9E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 100600
WARNING 100600.
WARNING VALID 110600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 992 HPA
AT 11.6N 138.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 12.6N 136.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 13.7N 135.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 16.0N 134.7E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 18.4N 135.9E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 21.6N 137.2E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150600UTC AT 26.4N 139.6E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 100300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100300UTC 11.4N 139.3E POOR
MOVE NW 18KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 101500UTC 12.3N 137.5E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 110300UTC 13.3N 136.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
45HF 120000UTC 15.3N 134.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 130000UTC 17.6N 135.7E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
93HF 140000UTC 20.3N 136.8E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
117HF 150000UTC 24.1N 138.4E 280NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 100300
WARNING 100300.
WARNING VALID 110300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 994 HPA
AT 11.4N 139.3E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHWEST 18 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101500UTC AT 12.3N 137.5E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110300UTC AT 13.3N 136.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 100300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100300UTC 11.4N 139.3E POOR
MOVE NW 18KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 240NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 110300UTC 13.3N 136.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
45HF 120000UTC 15.3N 134.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 130000UTC 17.6N 135.7E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 100300
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220410015430
2022041000 02W MALAKAS 013 02 320 25 SATL 040
T000 116N 1403E 055 R050 055 NE QD 010 SE QD 015 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 025 SE QD 045 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 131N 1380E 060 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 130 SE QD 080 SW QD 130 NW QD
T024 143N 1363E 070 R064 010 NE QD 005 SE QD 000 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 157N 1354E 080 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 180 NW QD
T048 170N 1350E 090 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 170 SE QD 140 SW QD 190 NW QD
T072 190N 1358E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 260 NE QD 240 SE QD 160 SW QD 200 NW QD
T096 215N 1371E 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 330 NE QD 270 SE QD 140 SW QD 190 NW QD
T120 252N 1391E 080 R064 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 320 NE QD 280 SE QD 120 SW QD 190 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 013
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 013
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100000Z --- NEAR 11.6N 140.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 25 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N 140.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 13.1N 138.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 14.3N 136.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 15.7N 135.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 17.0N 135.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 19.0N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 21.5N 137.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 25.2N 139.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
100300Z POSITION NEAR 12.0N 139.7E.
10APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 109
NM NORTH OF FAIS, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 25 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS
24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z, 101500Z, 102100Z AND 110300Z.
//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
0222040912 84N1430E 45
0222040918 97N1420E 55
0222040918 97N1420E 55
0222041000 116N1403E 55
0222041000 116N1403E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 100300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 013
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100000Z --- NEAR 11.6N 140.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 25 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N 140.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 13.1N 138.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 14.3N 136.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 15.7N 135.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 17.0N 135.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 19.0N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 21.5N 137.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z --- 25.2N 139.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
100300Z POSITION NEAR 12.0N 139.7E.
10APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 109
NM NORTH OF FAIS, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 25 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS
24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z, 101500Z, 102100Z AND 110300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 03W (MEGI) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 100000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.16 FOR TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 10.9N, 140.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS POOR BECAUSE THE CSC IS OBSCURE. CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 994HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45KNOTS. THE
SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW.
THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT120
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND
STRONG VWS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 100000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 9
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 100000UTC 10.9N 140.0E
MOVEMENT NW 24KT
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 101200UTC 11.8N 138.4E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
24HR
POSITION 110000UTC 13.1N 136.9E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
36HR
POSITION 111200UTC 14.3N 135.8E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
48HR
POSITION 120000UTC 15.5N 135.2E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
72HR
POSITION 130000UTC 17.9N 135.9E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
96HR
POSITION 140000UTC 20.5N 137.1E WITHIN 150NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
120HR
POSITION 150000UTC 23.7N 138.5E WITHIN 205NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 100000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100000UTC 10.9N 140.2E POOR
MOVE NW 18KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
12HF 101200UTC 12.0N 138.1E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 110000UTC 12.9N 136.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
48HF 120000UTC 15.3N 134.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 130000UTC 17.6N 135.7E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
96HF 140000UTC 20.3N 136.8E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
120HF 150000UTC 24.1N 138.4E 280NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 100000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100000UTC 10.9N 140.2E POOR
MOVE NW 18KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 110000UTC 12.9N 136.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
48HF 120000UTC 15.3N 134.7E 90NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 130000UTC 17.6N 135.7E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 100000
WARNING 100000.
WARNING VALID 110000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 994 HPA
AT 10.9N 140.2E MARIANAS MOVING NORTHWEST 18 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 12.0N 138.1E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 12.9N 136.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 15.3N 134.7E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 17.6N 135.7E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 20.3N 136.8E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 150000UTC AT 24.1N 138.4E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 092100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 092100UTC 10.2N 140.6E POOR
MOVE NW 20KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
12HF 100900UTC 11.6N 138.7E 40NM 70%
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 102100UTC 12.7N 136.8E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 111800UTC 14.9N 135.1E 90NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 121800UTC 17.2N 135.8E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
93HF 131800UTC 19.6N 137.0E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
117HF 141800UTC 22.7N 138.8E 280NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 092100
WARNING 092100.
WARNING VALID 102100.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 996 HPA
AT 10.2N 140.6E MARIANAS MOVING NORTHWEST 20 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100900UTC AT 11.6N 138.7E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 102100UTC AT 12.7N 136.8E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 092100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 092100UTC 10.2N 140.6E POOR
MOVE NW 20KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 102100UTC 12.7N 136.8E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 111800UTC 14.9N 135.1E 90NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 121800UTC 17.2N 135.8E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 092100
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220409192926
2022040918 02W MALAKAS 012 02 325 16 SATL 040
T000 097N 1420E 055 R050 060 NE QD 035 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 135 SE QD 075 SW QD 115 NW QD
T012 113N 1399E 060 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 130 SE QD 080 SW QD 130 NW QD
T024 127N 1379E 070 R064 010 NE QD 005 SE QD 000 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 140N 1364E 080 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 180 NW QD
T048 153N 1357E 090 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 170 SE QD 140 SW QD 190 NW QD
T072 174N 1361E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 260 NE QD 240 SE QD 160 SW QD 200 NW QD
T096 201N 1375E 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 330 NE QD 270 SE QD 140 SW QD 190 NW QD
T120 233N 1395E 080 R064 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 320 NE QD 280 SE QD 120 SW QD 190 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 012
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 012
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091800Z --- NEAR 9.7N 142.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.7N 142.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 11.3N 139.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 12.7N 137.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 14.0N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 15.3N 135.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 17.4N 136.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 20.1N 137.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 23.3N 139.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
092100Z POSITION NEAR 10.1N 141.5E.
09APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 89
NM EAST OF FAIS ISLAND, FEDERATED STATES OF MICRONESIA, HAS
TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 100300Z, 100900Z, 101500Z AND 102100Z.
//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
0222040912 84N1430E 45
0222040918 97N1420E 55
0222040918 97N1420E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 092100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 012
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091800Z --- NEAR 9.7N 142.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.7N 142.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 11.3N 139.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 12.7N 137.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 14.0N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 15.3N 135.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 17.4N 136.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 20.1N 137.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 23.3N 139.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
092100Z POSITION NEAR 10.1N 141.5E.
09APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 89
NM EAST OF FAIS ISLAND, FEDERATED STATES OF MICRONESIA, HAS
TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 100300Z, 100900Z, 101500Z AND 102100Z. REFER TO
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 091800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.15 FOR TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 9.4N, 141.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS POOR BECAUSE THE CSC IS OBSCURE. CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 996HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40KNOTS. THE
SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW.
HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN
CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO
THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS AND LOW TCHP. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 091800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 8
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 091800UTC 9.2N 141.3E
MOVEMENT NW 18KT
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 100600UTC 10.8N 139.6E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
24HR
POSITION 101800UTC 12.6N 137.9E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
36HR
POSITION 110600UTC 13.7N 136.4E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
48HR
POSITION 111800UTC 15.0N 135.5E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
72HR
POSITION 121800UTC 17.5N 135.9E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
96HR
POSITION 131800UTC 19.8N 137.0E WITHIN 150NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
120HR
POSITION 141800UTC 22.7N 138.5E WITHIN 205NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 091800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091800UTC 09.4N 141.2E POOR
MOVE NW 17KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
12HF 100600UTC 11.3N 139.3E 40NM 70%
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 101800UTC 12.6N 137.3E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 111800UTC 14.9N 135.1E 90NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 121800UTC 17.2N 135.8E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
96HF 131800UTC 19.6N 137.0E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
120HF 141800UTC 22.7N 138.8E 280NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 091800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091800UTC 09.4N 141.2E POOR
MOVE NW 17KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 101800UTC 12.6N 137.3E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 111800UTC 14.9N 135.1E 90NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 121800UTC 17.2N 135.8E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 091800
WARNING 091800.
WARNING VALID 101800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 996 HPA
AT 09.4N 141.2E CAROLINES MOVING NORTHWEST 17 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 11.3N 139.3E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 12.6N 137.3E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 14.9N 135.1E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 17.2N 135.8E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 19.6N 137.0E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 22.7N 138.8E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 091500
WARNING 091500.
WARNING VALID 101500.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 996 HPA
AT 08.7N 141.9E CAROLINES MOVING NORTHWEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100300UTC AT 11.2N 139.8E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101500UTC AT 12.5N 137.7E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 091500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091500UTC 08.7N 141.9E POOR
MOVE NW 15KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
12HF 100300UTC 11.2N 139.8E 40NM 70%
MOVE NW 16KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 101500UTC 12.5N 137.7E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 111200UTC 14.6N 135.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 121200UTC 16.8N 135.2E 140NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
93HF 131200UTC 19.2N 136.6E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
117HF 141200UTC 22.3N 138.3E 280NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 091500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091500UTC 08.7N 141.9E POOR
MOVE NW 15KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 101500UTC 12.5N 137.7E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 111200UTC 14.6N 135.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 121200UTC 16.8N 135.2E 140NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 091500
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220409124230
2022040912 02W MALAKAS 011 02 315 10 SATL 025
T000 084N 1430E 045 R034 080 NE QD 055 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 103N 1409E 050 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 130 SE QD 080 SW QD 130 NW QD
T024 118N 1388E 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 131N 1372E 075 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 180 NW QD
T048 144N 1360E 085 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 170 SE QD 140 SW QD 190 NW QD
T072 164N 1357E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 260 NE QD 240 SE QD 160 SW QD 200 NW QD
T096 190N 1372E 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 330 NE QD 270 SE QD 140 SW QD 190 NW QD
T120 223N 1393E 080 R064 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 320 NE QD 280 SE QD 120 SW QD 190 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 011
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 011
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091200Z --- NEAR 8.4N 143.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.4N 143.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 10.3N 140.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 11.8N 138.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 13.1N 137.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 14.4N 136.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 16.4N 135.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 19.0N 137.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 22.3N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
091500Z POSITION NEAR 8.9N 142.5E.
09APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 298 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 20 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z, 100300Z, 100900Z AND 101500Z. REFER TO
UPDATES.//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
0222040912 84N1430E 45
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 091500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 011
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091200Z --- NEAR 8.4N 143.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.4N 143.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 10.3N 140.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 11.8N 138.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 13.1N 137.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 14.4N 136.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 16.4N 135.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 19.0N 137.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 22.3N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
091500Z POSITION NEAR 8.9N 142.5E.
09APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 298 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 20
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z, 100300Z, 100900Z AND 101500Z. REFER
TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-
HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 091200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.14 FOR TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 8.2N, 142.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS POOR BECAUSE THE CSC IS OBSCURE. CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 996HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE
40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS
STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST
SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP
MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS
ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL
FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW TCHP, WEAK VWS
AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL
FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP
AND STRONG VWS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 091200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 7
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 091200UTC 8.1N 142.7E
MOVEMENT WNW 11KT
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 100000UTC 9.8N 140.9E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
24HR
POSITION 101200UTC 11.6N 139.0E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
36HR
POSITION 110000UTC 12.8N 137.4E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
48HR
POSITION 111200UTC 14.2N 136.3E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
72HR
POSITION 121200UTC 17.0N 135.4E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
96HR
POSITION 131200UTC 19.3N 136.7E WITHIN 150NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
120HR
POSITION 141200UTC 21.7N 138.0E WITHIN 205NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 091200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091200UTC 08.2N 142.4E POOR
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
12HF 100000UTC 10.9N 140.4E 40NM 70%
MOVE NW 17KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 101200UTC 12.2N 138.3E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 111200UTC 14.6N 135.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 121200UTC 16.8N 135.2E 140NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
96HF 131200UTC 19.2N 136.6E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
120HF 141200UTC 22.3N 138.3E 280NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 091200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091200UTC 08.2N 142.4E POOR
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 101200UTC 12.2N 138.3E 57NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 111200UTC 14.6N 135.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 121200UTC 16.8N 135.2E 140NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 091200
WARNING 091200.
WARNING VALID 101200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 996 HPA
AT 08.2N 142.4E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 10.9N 140.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 12.2N 138.3E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 14.6N 135.3E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 16.8N 135.2E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 19.2N 136.6E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 22.3N 138.3E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 090900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090900UTC 07.8N 143.1E POOR
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
12HF 092100UTC 10.5N 140.9E 40NM 70%
MOVE NW 16KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 100900UTC 12.1N 138.8E 57NM 70%
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 110600UTC 14.2N 136.0E 90NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 120600UTC 16.5N 135.2E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
93HF 130600UTC 18.8N 136.9E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
117HF 140600UTC 21.5N 138.0E 280NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 090900
WARNING 090900.
WARNING VALID 100900.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 996 HPA
AT 07.8N 143.1E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 092100UTC AT 10.5N 140.9E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100900UTC AT 12.1N 138.8E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 090900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090900UTC 07.8N 143.1E POOR
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 100900UTC 12.1N 138.8E 57NM 70%
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 110600UTC 14.2N 136.0E 90NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 120600UTC 16.5N 135.2E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 090900
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220409072018
2022040906 02W MALAKAS 010 02 310 11 SATL 020
T000 077N 1437E 045 R034 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 095N 1417E 050 R050 110 NE QD 000 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 112N 1397E 060 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 150 NW QD
T036 126N 1380E 070 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 130 SE QD 130 SW QD 170 NW QD
T048 138N 1365E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 160 SE QD 150 SW QD 180 NW QD
T072 162N 1358E 095 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 220 SE QD 150 SW QD 200 NW QD
T096 185N 1370E 085 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 220 SE QD 150 SW QD 210 NW QD
T120 213N 1387E 070 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 040 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 270 SE QD 130 SW QD 180 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 010
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090600Z --- NEAR 7.7N 143.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.7N 143.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 9.5N 141.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 11.2N 139.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 12.6N 138.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 13.8N 136.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 16.2N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 18.5N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 21.3N 138.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
090900Z POSITION NEAR 8.2N 143.2E.
09APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 349 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS
20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z, 092100Z, 100300Z AND 100900Z.
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
0222040906 77N1437E 45
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 090900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/ TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 010
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 010
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090600Z --- NEAR 7.7N 143.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.7N 143.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 9.5N 141.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 11.2N 139.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 12.6N 138.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 13.8N 136.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 16.2N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 18.5N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 21.3N 138.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
090900Z POSITION NEAR 8.2N 143.2E.
09APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 349 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS
20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z, 092100Z, 100300Z AND 100900Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 090600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.13 FOR TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 7.5N, 143.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS POOR BECAUSE THE CSC IS OBSCURE. CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 996HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE
40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED
IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION
ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC,
INDICATING INTERFERENCE FROM INTENSIFICATION. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS
GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL
FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED
TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION
WITH LOWER SSTS AND REDUCED TCHP. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED
ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 090600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 6
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 090600UTC 7.6N 143.7E
MOVEMENT NW 8KT
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 091800UTC 9.3N 142.0E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
24HR
POSITION 100600UTC 11.0N 139.9E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
36HR
POSITION 101800UTC 12.2N 138.2E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
48HR
POSITION 110600UTC 13.6N 136.7E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
72HR
POSITION 120600UTC 16.4N 135.3E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
96HR
POSITION 130600UTC 18.6N 136.3E WITHIN 150NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
120HR
POSITION 140600UTC 20.8N 137.2E WITHIN 205NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 090600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090600UTC 07.5N 143.6E POOR
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
12HF 091800UTC 09.5N 141.5E 40NM 70%
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 100600UTC 11.7N 139.2E 57NM 70%
MOVE NW 16KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 110600UTC 14.2N 136.0E 90NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 120600UTC 16.5N 135.2E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
96HF 130600UTC 18.8N 136.9E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
120HF 140600UTC 21.5N 138.0E 280NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 090600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090600UTC 07.5N 143.6E POOR
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 100600UTC 11.7N 139.2E 57NM 70%
MOVE NW 16KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 110600UTC 14.2N 136.0E 90NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 120600UTC 16.5N 135.2E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 090600
WARNING 090600.
WARNING VALID 100600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 996 HPA
AT 07.5N 143.6E CAROLINES MOVING NORTHWEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 09.5N 141.5E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 11.7N 139.2E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 14.2N 136.0E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 16.5N 135.2E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 18.8N 136.9E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 21.5N 138.0E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 090300
WARNING 090300.
WARNING VALID 100300.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 996 HPA
AT 07.3N 144.0E CAROLINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091500UTC AT 09.1N 142.2E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100300UTC AT 11.0N 140.0E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 090300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090300UTC 07.3N 144.0E POOR
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
12HF 091500UTC 09.1N 142.2E 40NM 70%
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 100300UTC 11.0N 140.0E 57NM 70%
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 110000UTC 13.3N 136.6E 105NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 120000UTC 16.1N 135.2E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
93HF 130000UTC 18.1N 136.6E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
117HF 140000UTC 20.3N 137.9E 280NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 090300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090300UTC 07.3N 144.0E POOR
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 100300UTC 11.0N 140.0E 57NM 70%
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 110000UTC 13.3N 136.6E 105NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 120000UTC 16.1N 135.2E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 090300
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220409015639
2022040900 02W MALAKAS 009 01 350 05 SATL 060
T000 070N 1445E 040
T012 085N 1428E 040 R034 120 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 102N 1408E 045 R034 180 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 110 NW QD
T036 119N 1388E 050 R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 140 NW QD
T048 133N 1373E 060 R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 160 NW QD
T072 157N 1360E 080 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 210 SE QD 130 SW QD 180 NW QD
T096 178N 1368E 090 R064 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 230 SE QD 140 SW QD 190 NW QD
T120 202N 1382E 080 R064 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 230 SE QD 130 SW QD 180 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090000Z --- NEAR 7.0N 144.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.0N 144.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 8.5N 142.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 10.2N 140.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 11.9N 138.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 13.3N 137.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 15.7N 136.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 17.8N 136.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 20.2N 138.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
090300Z POSITION NEAR 7.4N 144.1E.
09APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 19
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IFALIK, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 090900Z, 091500Z, 092100Z AND 100300Z.
//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
0222040900 70N1445E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 090300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090000Z --- NEAR 7.0N 144.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.0N 144.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 8.5N 142.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 10.2N 140.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 11.9N 138.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 13.3N 137.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 15.7N 136.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 17.8N 136.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 20.2N 138.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
090300Z POSITION NEAR 7.4N 144.1E.
09APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 19
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IFALIK, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z
IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z, 091500Z, 092100Z AND 100300Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 090000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.12 FOR TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 7.1N, 144.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS POOR BECAUSE THE CSC IS OBSCURE. CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 996HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE
40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED
IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION
ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF
ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC, INDICATING
INTERFERENCE FROM INTENSIFICATION. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE NOW DISTINCT. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89
GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL
FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED
TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION
WITH LOWER SSTS AND REDUCED TCHP. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED
ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 090000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 5
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 090000UTC 7.0N 144.2E
MOVEMENT NNW 8KT
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 091200UTC 8.6N 142.6E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
24HR
POSITION 100000UTC 10.3N 140.8E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
36HR
POSITION 101200UTC 11.6N 139.0E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
48HR
POSITION 110000UTC 13.0N 137.3E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
72HR
POSITION 120000UTC 15.8N 135.1E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
96HR
POSITION 130000UTC 18.1N 135.9E WITHIN 150NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
120HR
POSITION 140000UTC 20.0N 136.9E WITHIN 205NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 090000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090000UTC 07.1N 144.6E POOR
MOVE N 07KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
12HF 091200UTC 08.8N 142.6E 40NM 70%
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 100000UTC 10.7N 140.5E 57NM 70%
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 110000UTC 13.3N 136.6E 105NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 120000UTC 16.1N 135.2E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
96HF 130000UTC 18.1N 136.6E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
120HF 140000UTC 20.3N 137.9E 280NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 090000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090000UTC 07.1N 144.6E POOR
MOVE N 07KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 100000UTC 10.7N 140.5E 57NM 70%
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 110000UTC 13.3N 136.6E 105NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 120000UTC 16.1N 135.2E 140NM 70%
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 090000
WARNING 090000.
WARNING VALID 100000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 996 HPA
AT 07.1N 144.6E CAROLINES MOVING NORTH 07 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 08.8N 142.6E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 10.7N 140.5E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 13.3N 136.6E WITH 105 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 16.1N 135.2E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 18.1N 136.6E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 20.3N 137.9E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 082100
WARNING 082100.
WARNING VALID 092100.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 996 HPA
AT 06.5N 144.4E CAROLINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 092100UTC AT 10.0N 140.8E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 082100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 082100UTC 06.5N 144.4E POOR
MOVE NNW 07KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 092100UTC 10.0N 140.8E 65NM 70%
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 101800UTC 12.6N 137.3E 120NM 70%
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 111800UTC 15.0N 135.0E 180NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
93HF 121800UTC 17.3N 135.3E 200NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
117HF 131800UTC 19.6N 136.9E 280NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 082100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 082100UTC 06.5N 144.4E POOR
MOVE NNW 07KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 092100UTC 10.0N 140.8E 65NM 70%
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 101800UTC 12.6N 137.3E 120NM 70%
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 111800UTC 15.0N 135.0E 180NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 082100
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220408202913
2022040818 02W MALAKAS 008 01 285 11 SATL 060
T000 065N 1446E 040
T012 079N 1431E 040 R034 120 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 095N 1413E 045 R034 160 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 111N 1393E 050 R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 110 SE QD 120 SW QD 130 NW QD
T048 125N 1377E 060 R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 150 NW QD
T072 149N 1358E 085 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 240 NE QD 190 SE QD 130 SW QD 180 NW QD
T096 171N 1359E 095 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 230 SE QD 140 SW QD 190 NW QD
T120 193N 1369E 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 310 NE QD 250 SE QD 140 SW QD 190 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 008
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
081800Z --- NEAR 6.5N 144.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.5N 144.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 7.9N 143.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 9.5N 141.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 11.1N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 12.5N 137.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 14.9N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 17.1N 135.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 19.3N 136.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
082100Z POSITION NEAR 6.9N 144.2E.
08APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 49
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IFALIK, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 081800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z, 090900Z, 091500Z
AND 092100Z.
//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40
0222040818 65N1446E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 082100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
081800Z --- NEAR 6.5N 144.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.5N 144.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 7.9N 143.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 9.5N 141.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 11.1N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 12.5N 137.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 14.9N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 17.1N 135.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 19.3N 136.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
082100Z POSITION NEAR 6.9N 144.2E.
08APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 49
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IFALIK, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 081800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z, 090900Z, 091500Z
AND 092100Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 081800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.11 FOR TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 6.4N, 144.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS POOR BECAUSE THE CSC IS OBSCURE. CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 996HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE
40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED
IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION
ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY
AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL
FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED
TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 081800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 4
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 081800UTC 6.5N 144.5E
MOVEMENT NNW 4KT
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 090600UTC 7.8N 143.4E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
24HR
POSITION 091800UTC 9.5N 141.7E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
36HR
POSITION 100600UTC 11.0N 139.8E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
48HR
POSITION 101800UTC 12.4N 138.1E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
72HR
POSITION 111800UTC 14.9N 135.0E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
96HR
POSITION 121800UTC 17.0N 134.8E WITHIN 150NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
120HR
POSITION 131800UTC 19.2N 135.7E WITHIN 205NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 081800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081800UTC 06.4N 144.5E POOR
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 091800UTC 09.5N 141.3E 65NM 70%
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 101800UTC 12.6N 137.3E 120NM 70%
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 111800UTC 15.0N 135.0E 180NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
96HF 121800UTC 17.3N 135.3E 200NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
120HF 131800UTC 19.6N 136.9E 280NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 081800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081800UTC 06.4N 144.5E POOR
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 091800UTC 09.5N 141.3E 65NM 70%
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 101800UTC 12.6N 137.3E 120NM 70%
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 111800UTC 15.0N 135.0E 180NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 081800
WARNING 081800.
WARNING VALID 091800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 996 HPA
AT 06.4N 144.5E CAROLINES MOVING NORTHWEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 09.5N 141.3E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 12.6N 137.3E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 15.0N 135.0E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 17.3N 135.3E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 19.6N 136.9E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 081500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081500UTC 06.3N 144.5E POOR
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 091500UTC 09.2N 141.9E 57NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 101200UTC 12.1N 138.1E 105NM 70%
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 111200UTC 14.9N 135.2E 160NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
93HF 121200UTC 16.9N 135.1E 230NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
117HF 131200UTC 19.5N 136.3E 320NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 081500
WARNING 081500.
WARNING VALID 091500.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 996 HPA
AT 06.3N 144.5E CAROLINES MOVING NORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091500UTC AT 09.2N 141.9E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 081500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081500UTC 06.3N 144.5E POOR
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 091500UTC 09.2N 141.9E 57NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 101200UTC 12.1N 138.1E 105NM 70%
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 111200UTC 14.9N 135.2E 160NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 081500
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220408135331
2022040812 02W MALAKAS 007 01 330 06 SATL 045
T000 062N 1457E 040
T012 075N 1444E 045 R034 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 090N 1428E 050 R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 110 NW QD
T036 105N 1410E 060 R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW Q
D 140 NW QD
T048 120N 1392E 070 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 170 NW QD
T072 147N 1366E 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 190 SE QD 120 SW QD 180 NW QD
T096 169N 1356E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 210 SE QD 140 SW QD 180 NW QD
T120 192N 1364E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 240 SE QD 130 SW QD 170 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
081200Z --- NEAR 6.2N 145.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.2N 145.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 7.5N 144.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 9.0N 142.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 10.5N 141.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 12.0N 139.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 14.7N 136.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 16.9N 135.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 19.2N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
081500Z POSITION NEAR 6.5N 145.4E.
08APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 452
NM SOUTH OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 081200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z, 090300Z,
090900Z AND 091500Z.//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 40
0222040812 62N1457E 40

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 081500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 007//
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
081200Z --- NEAR 6.2N 145.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.2N 145.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 7.5N 144.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 9.0N 142.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 10.5N 141.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 12.0N 139.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 14.7N 136.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 16.9N 135.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 19.2N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
081500Z POSITION NEAR 6.5N 145.4E.
08APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 452
NM SOUTH OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 081200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z, 090300Z,
090900Z AND 091500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 081200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.10 FOR TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 5.8N, 144.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS POOR BECAUSE THE CSC IS OBSCURE. CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 996HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE
40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY
AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP
MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT
DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL
FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED
TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 081200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 3
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 081200UTC 5.8N 144.9E
MOVEMENT NW 9KT
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 090000UTC 7.1N 144.2E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
24HR
POSITION 091200UTC 8.5N 142.7E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
36HR
POSITION 100000UTC 9.9N 141.0E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
48HR
POSITION 101200UTC 11.6N 138.9E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
72HR
POSITION 111200UTC 14.4N 135.4E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
96HR
POSITION 121200UTC 16.3N 134.5E WITHIN 150NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
120HR
POSITION 131200UTC 18.3N 134.5E WITHIN 205NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 081200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081200UTC 05.8N 144.6E POOR
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 091200UTC 08.6N 142.5E 57NM 70%
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 101200UTC 12.1N 138.1E 105NM 70%
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 111200UTC 14.9N 135.2E 160NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
96HF 121200UTC 16.9N 135.1E 230NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
120HF 131200UTC 19.5N 136.3E 320NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 081200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081200UTC 05.8N 144.6E POOR
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 091200UTC 08.6N 142.5E 57NM 70%
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 101200UTC 12.1N 138.1E 105NM 70%
MOVE NW 14KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 111200UTC 14.9N 135.2E 160NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 081200
WARNING 081200.
WARNING VALID 091200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 996 HPA
AT 05.8N 144.6E CAROLINES MOVING NORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 08.6N 142.5E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 12.1N 138.1E WITH 105 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 14.9N 135.2E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 16.9N 135.1E WITH 230 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 19.5N 136.3E WITH 320 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 080900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080900UTC 05.3N 144.9E POOR
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 090900UTC 08.4N 142.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 100600UTC 11.1N 140.0E 120NM 70%
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 110600UTC 14.3N 136.5E 180NM 70%
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
93HF 120600UTC 16.4N 134.4E 260NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
117HF 130600UTC 17.7N 134.6E 360NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 080900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080900UTC 05.3N 144.9E POOR
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 090900UTC 08.4N 142.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 100600UTC 11.1N 140.0E 120NM 70%
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 110600UTC 14.3N 136.5E 180NM 70%
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 080900
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220408074845
2022040806 02W MALAKAS 006 01 335 07 SATL 060
T000 057N 1460E 045
T012 066N 1452E 050 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 125 SE QD 125 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 077N 1442E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 091N 1427E 060 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 105N 1411E 070 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 140 NW QD
T072 134N 1382E 090 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 230 NE QD 170 SE QD 120 SW QD 160 NW QD
T096 160N 1366E 100 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 220 NE QD 190 SE QD 120 SW QD 170 NW QD
T120 183N 1358E 100 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 190 SE QD 120 SW QD 160 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080600Z --- NEAR 5.7N 146.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 5.7N 146.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 6.6N 145.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 7.7N 144.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 9.1N 142.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 10.5N 141.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 13.4N 138.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 16.0N 136.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 18.3N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
080900Z POSITION NEAR 5.9N 145.8E.
08APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 484
NM SOUTH OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 080600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z, 082100Z,
090300Z AND 090900Z.//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1463E 40
0222040806 57N1460E 45
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 080900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080600Z --- NEAR 5.7N 146.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 5.7N 146.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 6.6N 145.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 7.7N 144.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 9.1N 142.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 10.5N 141.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 13.4N 138.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 16.0N 136.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 18.3N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
080900Z POSITION NEAR 5.9N 145.8E.
08APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 484
NM SOUTH OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 080600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z, 082100Z,
090300Z AND 090900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 080600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 9 FOR TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 4.8N, 145.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS POOR BECAUSE THE CSC IS OBSCURE. CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 998HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE
35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE WINDS DATA ESTIMATED FROM
SATELLITE SCATTEROMETERS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY
AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS
THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 080600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 2
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 080600UTC 5.1N 145.6E
MOVEMENT WNW 6KT
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 37KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 081800UTC 6.0N 144.9E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
24HR
POSITION 090600UTC 7.5N 143.7E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
36HR
POSITION 091800UTC 8.8N 142.1E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
48HR
POSITION 100600UTC 10.7N 140.0E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
72HR
POSITION 110600UTC 14.0N 136.8E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
96HR
POSITION 120600UTC 16.0N 134.7E WITHIN 150NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
120HR
POSITION 130600UTC 17.9N 134.6E WITHIN 205NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 080600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080600UTC 04.8N 145.3E POOR
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 090600UTC 08.0N 143.3E 35NM 70%
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 100600UTC 11.1N 140.0E 120NM 70%
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 110600UTC 14.3N 136.5E 180NM 70%
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
96HF 120600UTC 16.4N 134.4E 260NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
120HF 130600UTC 17.7N 134.6E 360NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 080600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080600UTC 04.8N 145.3E POOR
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 090600UTC 08.0N 143.3E 35NM 70%
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 100600UTC 11.1N 140.0E 120NM 70%
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 110600UTC 14.3N 136.5E 180NM 70%
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 080600
WARNING 080600.
WARNING VALID 090600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) 998 HPA
AT 04.8N 145.3E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 08.0N 143.3E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 11.1N 140.0E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 14.3N 136.5E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 16.4N 134.4E WITH 260 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 17.7N 134.6E WITH 360 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 080300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080300UTC 04.6N 145.6E POOR
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 090300UTC 07.6N 143.1E 65NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 100000UTC 09.4N 141.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 110000UTC 13.1N 138.4E 180NM 70%
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
93HF 120000UTC 16.6N 136.0E 260NM 70%
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
117HF 130000UTC 18.1N 136.1E 360NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 080300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080300UTC 04.6N 145.6E POOR
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 090300UTC 07.6N 143.1E 65NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 100000UTC 09.4N 141.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 110000UTC 13.1N 138.4E 180NM 70%
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 080300
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220408021003
2022040800 02W MALAKAS 005 01 335 07 SATL 060
T000 051N 1464E 040
T012 059N 1457E 045 R034 150 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 069N 1447E 050 R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 081N 1438E 060 R050 000 NE QD 030 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 098N 1422E 070 R064 035 NE QD 015 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 130N 1391E 085 R064 025 NE QD 015 SE QD 030 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 130 NW QD
T096 153N 1370E 095 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 180 SE QD 130 SW QD 150 NW QD
T120 173N 1354E 100 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 040 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD 130 SW QD 130 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080000Z --- NEAR 5.1N 146.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 5.1N 146.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 5.9N 145.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 6.9N 144.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 8.1N 143.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 9.8N 142.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 13.0N 139.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 15.3N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 17.3N 135.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
080300Z POSITION NEAR 5.3N 146.2E.
08APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 524
NM SOUTH OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 080900Z, 081500Z, 082100Z AND 090300Z.
//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 45N1467E 35
0222040800 51N1464E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 080300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080000Z --- NEAR 5.1N 146.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 5.1N 146.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 5.9N 145.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 6.9N 144.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 8.1N 143.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 9.8N 142.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 13.0N 139.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 15.3N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 17.3N 135.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
080300Z POSITION NEAR 5.3N 146.2E.
08APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 524
NM SOUTH OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 080900Z, 081500Z, 082100Z AND 090300Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 080000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 8 FOR TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
A TD PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 4.1N, 146.4E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TS
(MALAKAS) STATUS. TS MALAKAS IS LOCATED AT 4.5N, 146E. INFORMATION
ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS POOR BECAUSE THE CSC IS
OBSCURE. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE WINDS
DATA ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE SCATTEROMETERS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS HAVE GATHERED AROUND THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. NOAA-19/MHS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WEAK
VWS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE
DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 080000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 1
NAME 2201 MALAKAS
ANALYSIS
POSITION 080000UTC 4.8N 146.1E
MOVEMENT N 12KT
PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 35KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 081200UTC 5.4N 145.4E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 37KT
24HR
POSITION 090000UTC 6.5N 144.4E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
36HR
POSITION 091200UTC 7.9N 143.0E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
48HR
POSITION 100000UTC 9.5N 141.5E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
72HR
POSITION 110000UTC 13.3N 138.1E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
96HR
POSITION 120000UTC 16.2N 136.0E WITHIN 150NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
120HR
POSITION 130000UTC 17.8N 135.7E WITHIN 205NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 080000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080000UTC 04.5N 146.0E POOR
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 090000UTC 06.4N 144.8E 57NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 100000UTC 09.4N 141.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 110000UTC 13.1N 138.4E 180NM 70%
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
96HF 120000UTC 16.6N 136.0E 260NM 70%
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
120HF 130000UTC 18.1N 136.1E 360NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 080000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2201 MALAKAS (2201) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080000UTC 04.5N 146.0E POOR
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 090000UTC 06.4N 144.8E 57NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 100000UTC 09.4N 141.7E 120NM 70%
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 110000UTC 13.1N 138.4E 180NM 70%
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 080000
WARNING 080000.
WARNING VALID 090000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2201 MALAKAS (2201) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION
1000 HPA
AT 04.5N 146.0E CAROLINES MOVING NORTHWEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 06.4N 144.8E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 09.4N 141.7E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 13.1N 138.4E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 16.6N 136.0E WITH 260 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 18.1N 136.1E WITH 360 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 072100 COR
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220407210354
2022040718 02W TWO 004A 01 285 08 SATL 060
T000 044N 1463E 035
T012 049N 1454E 040 R034 120 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 058N 1445E 050 R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 015 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 070N 1433E 060 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 025 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 082N 1420E 070 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 115N 1389E 080 R064 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 050 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 120 NW QD
T096 151N 1364E 095 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 160 SE QD 100 SW QD 140 NW QD
T120 180N 1357E 105 R064 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 170 SE QD 110 SW QD 140 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 004A CORRECTED
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 004A CORRECTED
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071800Z --- NEAR 4.4N 146.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 4.4N 146.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 4.9N 145.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 5.8N 144.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 7.0N 143.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 8.2N 142.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 11.5N 138.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 15.1N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 18.0N 135.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
072100Z POSITION NEAR 4.5N 146.1E.
07APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 564 NM
SOUTH OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z
IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z, 080900Z, 081500Z AND 082100Z.
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED 64 KNOT WIND RADII TO TAU
48 AND 72 POSITIONS, AND ADDED 50 KNOT WIND RADII TO TAU 36 POSITION.//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 44N1463E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 072100 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 004A CORRECTED//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 004A CORRECTED
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071800Z --- NEAR 4.4N 146.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 4.4N 146.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 4.9N 145.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 5.8N 144.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 7.0N 143.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 8.2N 142.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 11.5N 138.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 15.1N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 18.0N 135.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
072100Z POSITION NEAR 4.5N 146.1E.
07APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 564 NM
SOUTH OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z
IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z, 080900Z, 081500Z AND 082100Z.
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED 64 KNOT WIND RADII TO TAU
48 AND 72 POSITIONS, AND ADDED 50 KNOT WIND RADII TO TAU 36
POSITION.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 072100
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220407201853
2022040718 02W TWO 004 01 285 08 SATL 060
T000 044N 1463E 035
T012 049N 1454E 040 R034 120 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 058N 1445E 050 R034 150 NE QD 070 SE QD 020 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 070N 1433E 060 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 025 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 082N 1420E 070 R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 115N 1389E 080 R064 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 050 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 120 NW QD
T096 151N 1364E 095 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 160 SE QD 100 SW QD 140 NW QD
T120 180N 1357E 105 R064 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 170 SE QD 110 SW QD 140 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 004
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071800Z --- NEAR 4.4N 146.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 4.4N 146.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 4.9N 145.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 5.8N 144.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 7.0N 143.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 8.2N 142.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 11.5N 138.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 15.1N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 18.0N 135.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
072100Z POSITION NEAR 4.5N 146.1E.
07APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 564 NM
SOUTH OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 080300Z, 080900Z, 081500Z AND 082100Z.
//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 39N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
0222040718 44N1463E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 072100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 004
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071800Z --- NEAR 4.4N 146.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 4.4N 146.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 4.9N 145.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 5.8N 144.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 7.0N 143.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 8.2N 142.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 11.5N 138.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 15.1N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 18.0N 135.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
072100Z POSITION NEAR 4.5N 146.1E.
07APR22. TROPICAL STORM 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 564 NM
SOUTH OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 080300Z, 080900Z, 081500Z AND 082100Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 071500
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220407142951
2022040712 02W TWO 003 01 290 05 SATL 045
T000 042N 1471E 030
T012 048N 1462E 035 R034 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 055N 1453E 040 R034 130 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 064N 1445E 045 R034 150 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 079N 1431E 055 R050 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 112N 1400E 070 R064 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 120 SE QD 070 SW QD 130 NW QD
T096 138N 1377E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 150 SE QD 090 SW QD 140 NW QD
T120 169N 1361E 100 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 180 SE QD 090 SW QD 130 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071200Z --- NEAR 4.2N 147.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 4.2N 147.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 4.8N 146.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 5.5N 145.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 6.4N 144.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 7.9N 143.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 11.2N 140.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 13.8N 137.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 16.9N 136.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
071500Z POSITION NEAR 4.4N 146.9E.
07APR22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 572
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z, 080300Z,
080900Z AND 081500Z.//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1483E 25
0222040706 40N1476E 30
0222040712 42N1471E 30
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 071500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071200Z --- NEAR 4.2N 147.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 4.2N 147.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 4.8N 146.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 5.5N 145.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 6.4N 144.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 7.9N 143.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 11.2N 140.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 13.8N 137.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 16.9N 136.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
071500Z POSITION NEAR 4.4N 146.9E.
07APR22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 572
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z, 080300Z,
080900Z AND 081500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 070900
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220407083747
2022040706 02W TWO 002 01 295 09 SATL 045
T000 040N 1476E 030
T012 047N 1463E 030
T024 053N 1456E 035 R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 040 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 061N 1449E 040 R034 120 NE QD 120 SE QD 040 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 073N 1439E 050 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 080 NW QD
T072 107N 1408E 070 R064 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 160 SE QD 090 SW QD 110 NW QD
T096 140N 1379E 085 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 190 SE QD 110 SW QD 130 NW QD
T120 168N 1362E 090 R064 050 NE QD 000 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 200 SE QD 130 SW QD 130 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070600Z --- NEAR 4.0N 147.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 4.0N 147.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 4.7N 146.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 5.3N 145.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 6.1N 144.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 7.3N 143.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 10.7N 140.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 14.0N 137.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 16.8N 136.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
070900Z POSITION NEAR 4.2N 147.3E.
07APR22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 582
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HAGATNA, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 071500Z, 072100Z, 080300Z AND 080900Z.//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1484E 25
0222040706 40N1476E 30

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 070900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070600Z --- NEAR 4.0N 147.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 4.0N 147.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 4.7N 146.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 5.3N 145.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 6.1N 144.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 7.3N 143.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 10.7N 140.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 14.0N 137.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 16.8N 136.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
070900Z POSITION NEAR 4.2N 147.3E.
07APR22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 582
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HAGATNA, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 071500Z, 072100Z, 080300Z AND 080900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 070300
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 220407013225
2022040700 02W TWO 001 01 295 08 SATL 040
T000 036N 1484E 025
T012 041N 1474E 030
T024 047N 1467E 035 R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 110 NW QD
T036 056N 1461E 040 R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 067N 1452E 050 R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 110 NW QD
T072 098N 1429E 070 R050 070 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 120 NW QD
T096 127N 1412E 085 R064 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 130 SE QD 090 SW QD 130 NW QD
T120 155N 1404E 090 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 170 SE QD 100 SW QD 120 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070000Z --- NEAR 3.6N 148.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 3.6N 148.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 4.1N 147.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 4.7N 146.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 5.6N 146.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 6.7N 145.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 9.8N 142.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 12.7N 141.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 15.5N 140.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
070300Z POSITION NEAR 3.7N 148.1E.
07APR22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 640
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 070900Z, 071500Z, 072100Z AND 080300Z.
//
0222040218 41N1615E 15
0222040300 42N1600E 20
0222040306 43N1586E 20
0222040312 42N1571E 20
0222040318 42N1558E 20
0222040400 42N1551E 20
0222040406 42N1546E 15
0222040412 41N1541E 10
0222040418 41N1534E 15
0222040500 41N1528E 15
0222040506 38N1528E 15
0222040512 36N1526E 15
0222040518 35N1521E 20
0222040600 33N1514E 20
0222040606 33N1506E 20
0222040612 33N1499E 20
0222040618 33N1491E 20
0222040700 36N1484E 25
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 070300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 001//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/062221ZAPR2022//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
070000Z --- NEAR 3.6N 148.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 3.6N 148.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 4.1N 147.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 4.7N 146.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 5.6N 146.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 6.7N 145.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 9.8N 142.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 12.7N 141.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 15.5N 140.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
070300Z POSITION NEAR 3.7N 148.1E.
07APR22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 640
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 070900Z, 071500Z, 072100Z AND 080300Z.
2. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 062230).//
NNNN

>