Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CHAMPI-21
in Guam

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

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Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 271200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 19
NAME LOW FROM 2105 CHAMPI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 271200UTC 33.6N 143.7E
MOVEMENT NNE 22KT
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 271200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME DEVELOPING LOW FORMER TS 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 271200UTC 34N 144E
MOVE NNE 25KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 040KT
30KT 300NM =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 271200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME DEVELOPING LOW FORMER TS 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 271200UTC 34N 144E
MOVE NNE 25KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 040KT
30KT 300NM =


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 270900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270900UTC 32.7N 142.9E FAIR
MOVE NNE 23KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 120NM EAST 60NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 272100UTC 37.2N 147.3E 45NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW
24HF 280900UTC 39.8N 152.6E 65NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 270900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270900UTC 32.7N 142.9E FAIR
MOVE NNE 23KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 120NM EAST 60NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 280900UTC 39.8N 152.6E 65NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 270900
WARNING ATCG MIL 06W NWP 210627064843
2021062706 06W CHAMPI 026 01 025 22 SATL 015
T000 319N 1425E 035 R034 060 NE QD 055 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD
T012 362N 1463E 035 R034 060 NE QD 110 SE QD 060 SW QD 010 NW QD
T024 398N 1523E 035 R034 090 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 040 NW QD
AMP 000HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
012HR EXTRATROPICAL
024HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 026
1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 026
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 31.9N 142.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 22 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 31.9N 142.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 36.2N 146.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 30 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 39.8N 152.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
270900Z POSITION NEAR 33.0N 143.5E.
27JUN21. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 247
NM SOUTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z
IS 14 FEET.
//
0621061912 81N1524E 15
0621061918 86N1518E 15
0621062000 93N1510E 15
0621062006 99N1502E 20
0621062012 104N1492E 20
0621062018 109N1484E 25
0621062100 113N1475E 30
0621062106 117N1464E 30
0621062112 121N1453E 30
0621062118 126N1445E 30
0621062200 133N1434E 30
0621062206 139N1425E 35
0621062212 142N1415E 35
0621062218 146N1408E 35
0621062300 156N1405E 35
0621062306 168N1407E 40
0621062312 177N1403E 40
0621062318 181N1401E 40
0621062400 186N1401E 45
0621062406 193N1400E 45
0621062412 198N1397E 50
0621062412 198N1397E 50
0621062418 205N1395E 55
0621062418 205N1395E 55
0621062500 212N1393E 60
0621062500 212N1393E 60
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
0621062518 238N1396E 65
0621062518 238N1396E 65
0621062518 238N1396E 65
0621062600 248N1397E 65
0621062600 248N1397E 65
0621062600 248N1397E 65
0621062606 260N1400E 60
0621062606 260N1400E 60
0621062612 270N1403E 55
0621062612 270N1403E 55
0621062618 282N1408E 40
0621062700 299N1414E 35
0621062706 319N1425E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 270900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 026//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 026
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 31.9N 142.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 22 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 31.9N 142.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 36.2N 146.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 30 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 39.8N 152.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
270900Z POSITION NEAR 33.0N 143.5E.
27JUN21. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 247
NM SOUTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 22 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z
IS 14 FEET.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 270600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.22 FOR TS 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS CHAMPI IS LOCATED AT 31.8N, 142.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
LOWER SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN
CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 IN A STATE OF
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT12. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 270600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 18
NAME 2105 CHAMPI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 270600UTC 31.8N 142.4E
MOVEMENT NNE 22KT
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 271800UTC 36.4N 146.1E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 270600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270600UTC 31.8N 142.3E FAIR
MOVE NNE 21KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 120NM EAST 60NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 271800UTC 36.5N 146.0E 35NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW
24HF 280600UTC 39.5N 151.1E 50NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 270600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270600UTC 31.8N 142.3E FAIR
MOVE NNE 21KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 120NM EAST 60NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 280600UTC 39.5N 151.1E 50NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 270600
WARNING 270600.
WARNING VALID 280600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2105 CHAMPI (2105) 996 HPA
AT 31.8N 142.3E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 21 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 36.5N 146.0E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 39.5N 151.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 270300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270300UTC 30.7N 141.6E FAIR
MOVE N 15KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 271500UTC 35.3N 145.2E 35NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW
24HF 280300UTC 39.2N 150.4E 50NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 270300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270300UTC 30.7N 141.6E FAIR
MOVE N 15KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 280300UTC 39.2N 150.4E 50NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 270300
WARNING ATCG MIL 06W NWP 210627010943
2021062700 06W CHAMPI 025 01 025 17 SATL 035
T000 298N 1416E 035 R034 070 NE QD 075 SE QD 060 SW QD 035 NW QD
T012 338N 1444E 035 R034 060 NE QD 090 SE QD 050 SW QD 000 NW QD
T024 379N 1489E 035 R034 070 NE QD 140 SE QD 100 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 407N 1546E 030
AMP
012HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 025
1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 025
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270000Z --- NEAR 29.8N 141.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 29.8N 141.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 33.8N 144.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 37.9N 148.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 40.7N 154.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
270300Z POSITION NEAR 30.8N 142.3E.
27JUN21. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 344
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-
NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 270900Z, 271500Z, 272100Z AND 280300Z.//
0621061912 81N1524E 15
0621061918 86N1518E 15
0621062000 93N1510E 15
0621062006 99N1502E 20
0621062012 104N1492E 20
0621062018 109N1484E 25
0621062100 113N1475E 30
0621062106 117N1464E 30
0621062112 121N1453E 30
0621062118 126N1445E 30
0621062200 133N1434E 30
0621062206 139N1425E 35
0621062212 142N1415E 35
0621062218 146N1408E 35
0621062300 156N1405E 35
0621062306 168N1407E 40
0621062312 177N1403E 40
0621062318 181N1401E 40
0621062400 186N1401E 45
0621062406 193N1400E 45
0621062412 198N1397E 50
0621062412 198N1397E 50
0621062418 205N1395E 55
0621062418 205N1395E 55
0621062500 212N1393E 60
0621062500 212N1393E 60
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
0621062518 238N1396E 65
0621062518 238N1396E 65
0621062518 238N1396E 65
0621062600 248N1397E 65
0621062600 248N1397E 65
0621062600 248N1397E 65
0621062606 260N1400E 60
0621062606 260N1400E 60
0621062612 270N1403E 55
0621062612 270N1403E 55
0621062618 282N1408E 40
0621062700 298N1416E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 270300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 025//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 025
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270000Z --- NEAR 29.8N 141.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 29.8N 141.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 33.8N 144.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 37.9N 148.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 40.7N 154.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
270300Z POSITION NEAR 30.8N 142.3E.
27JUN21. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 344
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-
NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 270900Z, 271500Z, 272100Z AND 280300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 270000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.21 FOR TS 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS CHAMPI IS LOCATED AT 29.9N, 141.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC.
DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS
ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL
FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 IN A STATE OF
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT12. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 270000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 17
NAME 2105 CHAMPI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 270000UTC 29.9N 141.6E
MOVEMENT NNE 18KT
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 271200UTC 34.2N 144.2E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 270000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2105 CHAMPI (2105) DOWNGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270000UTC 29.9N 141.4E FAIR
MOVE NNE 17KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 271200UTC 34.2N 144.1E 35NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW
24HF 280000UTC 38.5N 148.9E 50NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 270000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2105 CHAMPI (2105) DOWNGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270000UTC 29.9N 141.4E FAIR
MOVE NNE 17KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 280000UTC 38.5N 148.9E 50NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 270000
WARNING 270000.
WARNING VALID 280000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2105 CHAMPI (2105) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL
STORM 994 HPA
AT 29.9N 141.4E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 17 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 34.2N 144.1E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 38.5N 148.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 262100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 262100UTC 29.2N 141.2E FAIR
MOVE NNE 17KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 120NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 270900UTC 33.2N 143.5E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 22KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 272100UTC 37.7N 147.8E 50NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 262100
WARNING 262100.
WARNING VALID 272100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2105 CHAMPI (2105) 992 HPA
AT 29.2N 141.2E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 17 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270900UTC AT 33.2N 143.5E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 272100UTC AT 37.7N 147.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 262100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 262100UTC 29.2N 141.2E FAIR
MOVE NNE 17KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 120NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 272100UTC 37.7N 147.8E 50NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 262100
WARNING ATCG MIL 06W NWP 210626193447
2021062618 06W CHAMPI 024 01 020 13 SATL 040
T000 282N 1408E 040 R034 085 NE QD 085 SE QD 060 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 319N 1431E 040 R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD
T024 361N 1467E 040 R034 070 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 394N 1517E 035 R034 060 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 040 NW QD
AMP
012HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 024
1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 024
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261800Z --- NEAR 28.2N 140.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.2N 140.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 31.9N 143.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 36.1N 146.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 39.4N 151.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
262100Z POSITION NEAR 29.1N 141.4E.
26JUN21. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 99 NM
NORTHWEST OF CHICHI JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
261800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z, 270900Z, 271500Z
AND 272100Z.//
0621061912 81N1524E 15
0621061918 86N1518E 15
0621062000 93N1510E 15
0621062006 99N1502E 20
0621062012 104N1492E 20
0621062018 109N1484E 25
0621062100 113N1475E 30
0621062106 117N1464E 30
0621062112 121N1453E 30
0621062118 126N1445E 30
0621062200 133N1434E 30
0621062206 139N1425E 35
0621062212 142N1415E 35
0621062218 146N1408E 35
0621062300 156N1405E 35
0621062306 168N1407E 40
0621062312 177N1403E 40
0621062318 181N1401E 40
0621062400 186N1401E 45
0621062406 193N1400E 45
0621062412 198N1397E 50
0621062412 198N1397E 50
0621062418 205N1395E 55
0621062418 205N1395E 55
0621062500 212N1393E 60
0621062500 212N1393E 60
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
0621062518 238N1396E 65
0621062518 238N1396E 65
0621062518 238N1396E 65
0621062600 248N1397E 65
0621062600 248N1397E 65
0621062600 248N1397E 65
0621062606 260N1400E 60
0621062606 260N1400E 60
0621062612 270N1403E 55
0621062612 270N1403E 55
0621062618 282N1408E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 262100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 024//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 024
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261800Z --- NEAR 28.2N 140.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.2N 140.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 31.9N 143.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 36.1N 146.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 39.4N 151.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
262100Z POSITION NEAR 29.1N 141.4E.
26JUN21. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 99 NM
NORTHWEST OF CHICHI JIMA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
261800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z, 270900Z, 271500Z
AND 272100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 261800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.20 FOR STS 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS CHAMPI IS LOCATED AT 28.3N, 140.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW
SSTS, LOW TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT24. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 261800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 16
NAME 2105 CHAMPI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 261800UTC 28.3N 140.8E
MOVEMENT NNE 17KT
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 270600UTC 32.3N 143.1E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
24HR
POSITION 271800UTC 36.7N 146.6E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
36HR
POSITION 280600UTC 40.2N 150.8E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 261800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261800UTC 28.3N 140.8E FAIR
MOVE NNE 14KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 120NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 270600UTC 32.0N 142.8E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 20KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
24HF 271800UTC 36.7N 146.5E 50NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 261800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261800UTC 28.3N 140.8E FAIR
MOVE NNE 14KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 120NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 271800UTC 36.7N 146.5E 50NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 261800
WARNING 261800.
WARNING VALID 271800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2105 CHAMPI (2105) 992 HPA
AT 28.3N 140.8E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 32.0N 142.8E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 36.7N 146.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 261500
WARNING 261500.
WARNING VALID 271500.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2105 CHAMPI (2105) 985 HPA
AT 27.5N 140.5E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 25 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270300UTC AT 31.2N 142.3E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271500UTC AT 35.5N 145.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 261500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261500UTC 27.5N 140.5E GOOD
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 120NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 270300UTC 31.2N 142.3E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 20KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 271500UTC 35.5N 145.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE 25KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 281200UTC 41.1N 155.2E 105NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 261500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261500UTC 27.5N 140.5E GOOD
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 120NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 271500UTC 35.5N 145.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE 25KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 281200UTC 41.1N 155.2E 105NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 261200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.19 FOR STS 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS CHAMPI IS LOCATED AT 26.9N, 140.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 60KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF LOWER SSTS, LOW TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF
ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN
CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, LOW TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT48. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 261500
WARNING ATCG MIL 06W NWP 210626124134
2021062612 06W CHAMPI 023 01 015 10 SATL 020
T000 270N 1403E 055 R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 045 NW QD
T012 303N 1420E 050 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 010 NW QD
T024 345N 1449E 050 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 000 NW QD
T036 389N 1494E 045 R034 060 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW QD 030 NW QD
AMP
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 023
1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261200Z --- NEAR 27.0N 140.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.0N 140.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 30.3N 142.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 34.5N 144.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 38.9N 149.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
261500Z POSITION NEAR 27.8N 140.7E.
26JUN21. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 499
NM SOUTH OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT
10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 261200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z, 270300Z, 270900Z
AND 271500Z.//
0621061912 81N1524E 15
0621061918 86N1518E 15
0621062000 93N1510E 15
0621062006 99N1502E 20
0621062012 104N1492E 20
0621062018 109N1484E 25
0621062100 113N1475E 30
0621062106 117N1464E 30
0621062112 121N1453E 30
0621062118 126N1445E 30
0621062200 133N1434E 30
0621062206 139N1425E 35
0621062212 142N1415E 35
0621062218 146N1408E 35
0621062300 156N1405E 35
0621062306 168N1407E 40
0621062312 177N1403E 40
0621062318 181N1401E 40
0621062400 186N1401E 45
0621062406 193N1400E 45
0621062412 198N1397E 50
0621062412 198N1397E 50
0621062418 205N1395E 55
0621062418 205N1395E 55
0621062500 212N1393E 60
0621062500 212N1393E 60
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
0621062518 238N1396E 65
0621062518 238N1396E 65
0621062518 238N1396E 65
0621062600 248N1397E 65
0621062600 248N1397E 65
0621062600 248N1397E 65
0621062606 260N1400E 60
0621062606 260N1400E 60
0621062612 270N1403E 55
0621062612 270N1403E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 261500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 023//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261200Z --- NEAR 27.0N 140.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.0N 140.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 30.3N 142.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 34.5N 144.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 38.9N 149.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
261500Z POSITION NEAR 27.8N 140.7E.
26JUN21. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 499
NM SOUTH OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT
10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 261200Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z, 270300Z, 270900Z
AND 271500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 261200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 15
NAME 2105 CHAMPI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 261200UTC 26.8N 140.1E
MOVEMENT N 14KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 270000UTC 30.2N 141.5E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
24HR
POSITION 271200UTC 34.2N 143.7E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
36HR
POSITION 280000UTC 38.5N 148.4E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 261200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2105 CHAMPI (2105) DOWNGRADED FROM TY
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261200UTC 26.9N 140.2E GOOD
MOVE N 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 120NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 270000UTC 30.2N 141.8E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 18KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 271200UTC 34.4N 144.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE 24KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 281200UTC 41.1N 155.2E 105NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 261200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2105 CHAMPI (2105) DOWNGRADED FROM TY
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261200UTC 26.9N 140.2E GOOD
MOVE N 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 120NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 271200UTC 34.4N 144.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE 24KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 281200UTC 41.1N 155.2E 105NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 261200
WARNING 261200.
WARNING VALID 271200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2105 CHAMPI (2105) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 985
HPA
AT 26.9N 140.2E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING NORTH 11 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 25 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 30.2N 141.8E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 34.4N 144.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 41.1N 155.2E WITH 105 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 260900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260900UTC 26.3N 140.0E GOOD
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 120NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 262100UTC 29.3N 141.3E 35NM 70%
MOVE NNE 16KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 270900UTC 33.3N 143.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE 23KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 280600UTC 40.5N 151.8E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 260900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260900UTC 26.3N 140.0E GOOD
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 120NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 270900UTC 33.3N 143.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE 23KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 280600UTC 40.5N 151.8E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 260900
WARNING 260900.
WARNING VALID 270900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2105 CHAMPI (2105) 980 HPA
AT 26.3N 140.0E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING NORTH 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 25 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 262100UTC AT 29.3N 141.3E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270900UTC AT 33.3N 143.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 260900
WARNING ATCG MIL 06W NWP 210626072019
2021062606 06W CHAMPI 022 01 015 12 SATL 020
T000 260N 1400E 060 R050 030 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 080 SE QD 065 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 288N 1412E 055 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 323N 1432E 050 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 020 NW QD
T036 365N 1467E 045 R034 070 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 020 NW QD
T048 408N 1517E 040 R034 040 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 020 NW QD
AMP
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR EXTRATROPICAL
048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 022
1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 022
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 06W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260600Z --- NEAR 26.0N 140.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.0N 140.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 28.8N 141.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 32.3N 143.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 36.5N 146.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 40.8N 151.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
260900Z POSITION NEAR 26.7N 140.3E.
26JUN21. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 101 NM
NORTHWEST OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS DOWNGRADED FROM A
TYPHOON. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 22 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z, 262100Z, 270300Z AND 270900Z.//
0621061912 81N1524E 15
0621061918 86N1518E 15
0621062000 93N1510E 15
0621062006 99N1502E 20
0621062012 104N1492E 20
0621062018 109N1484E 25
0621062100 113N1475E 30
0621062106 117N1464E 30
0621062112 121N1453E 30
0621062118 126N1445E 30
0621062200 133N1434E 30
0621062206 139N1425E 35
0621062212 142N1415E 35
0621062218 146N1408E 35
0621062300 156N1405E 35
0621062306 168N1407E 40
0621062312 177N1403E 40
0621062318 181N1401E 40
0621062400 186N1401E 45
0621062406 193N1400E 45
0621062412 198N1397E 50
0621062412 198N1397E 50
0621062418 205N1395E 55
0621062418 205N1395E 55
0621062500 212N1393E 60
0621062500 212N1393E 60
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
0621062518 237N1397E 65
0621062518 237N1397E 65
0621062518 237N1397E 65
0621062600 248N1397E 65
0621062600 248N1397E 65
0621062600 248N1397E 65
0621062606 260N1400E 60
0621062606 260N1400E 60
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 260900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 022//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 022
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 06W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260600Z --- NEAR 26.0N 140.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.0N 140.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 28.8N 141.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 32.3N 143.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 36.5N 146.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 40.8N 151.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
260900Z POSITION NEAR 26.7N 140.3E.
26JUN21. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 101 NM
NORTHWEST OF IWO TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS DOWNGRADED FROM A
TYPHOON. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 22 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z, 262100Z, 270300Z AND 270900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 260600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.18 FOR TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY CHAMPI IS LOCATED AT 25.8N, 140.1E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW.
THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST
SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE
MOVEMENT. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN
TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT48. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 260600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 14
NAME 2105 CHAMPI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 260600UTC 25.8N 139.9E
MOVEMENT N 14KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 261800UTC 28.5N 140.7E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
24HR
POSITION 270600UTC 32.0N 142.5E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
36HR
POSITION 271800UTC 36.5N 145.4E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
48HR
POSITION 280600UTC 40.0N 151.0E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 260600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260600UTC 25.8N 140.1E GOOD
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 120NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 261800UTC 28.5N 140.9E 35NM 70%
MOVE N 14KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 270600UTC 32.2N 143.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE 21KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 280600UTC 40.5N 151.8E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 260600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260600UTC 25.8N 140.1E GOOD
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 120NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 270600UTC 32.2N 143.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE 21KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 280600UTC 40.5N 151.8E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 260600
WARNING 260600.
WARNING VALID 270600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2105 CHAMPI (2105) 980 HPA
AT 25.8N 140.1E OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 25 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 28.5N 140.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 32.2N 143.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 40.5N 151.8E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 260300
WARNING 260300.
WARNING VALID 270300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2105 CHAMPI (2105) 980 HPA
AT 25.1N 139.9E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 25 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261500UTC AT 27.5N 140.5E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270300UTC AT 30.8N 142.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 260300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260300UTC 25.1N 139.9E GOOD
MOVE NNE 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 120NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 261500UTC 27.5N 140.5E 35NM 70%
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 270300UTC 30.8N 142.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE 18KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 280000UTC 38.5N 147.6E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 260300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260300UTC 25.1N 139.9E GOOD
MOVE NNE 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 120NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 270300UTC 30.8N 142.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE 18KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 280000UTC 38.5N 147.6E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 260300
WARNING ATCG MIL 06W NWP 210626021937
2021062600 06W CHAMPI 021 01 360 11 SATL XTRP 040
T000 248N 1397E 065 R064 020 NE QD 015 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 065 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 270N 1404E 065 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 302N 1418E 060 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 020 NW QD
T036 342N 1443E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 100 SE QD 060 SW QD 020 NW QD
T048 381N 1482E 050 R050 035 NE QD 060 SE QD 035 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 130 SE QD 080 SW QD 040 NW QD
AMP
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 021
1. TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260000Z --- NEAR 24.8N 139.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N 139.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 27.0N 140.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 30.2N 141.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 34.2N 144.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 38.1N 148.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
260300Z POSITION NEAR 25.4N 139.9E.
26JUN21. TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 87 NM WEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z, 261500Z, 262100Z AND 270300Z.//
0621061912 81N1524E 15
0621061918 86N1518E 15
0621062000 93N1510E 15
0621062006 99N1502E 20
0621062012 104N1492E 20
0621062018 109N1484E 25
0621062100 113N1475E 30
0621062106 117N1464E 30
0621062112 121N1453E 30
0621062118 126N1445E 30
0621062200 133N1434E 30
0621062206 139N1425E 35
0621062212 142N1415E 35
0621062218 146N1408E 35
0621062300 156N1405E 35
0621062306 168N1407E 40
0621062312 177N1403E 40
0621062318 181N1401E 40
0621062400 186N1401E 45
0621062406 193N1400E 45
0621062412 198N1397E 50
0621062412 198N1397E 50
0621062418 205N1395E 55
0621062418 205N1395E 55
0621062500 212N1393E 60
0621062500 212N1393E 60
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
0621062518 237N1397E 65
0621062518 237N1397E 65
0621062518 237N1397E 65
0621062600 248N1397E 65
0621062600 248N1397E 65
0621062600 248N1397E 65
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 260300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 021//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260000Z --- NEAR 24.8N 139.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N 139.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 27.0N 140.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 30.2N 141.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 34.2N 144.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 38.1N 148.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
260300Z POSITION NEAR 25.4N 139.9E.
26JUN21. TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 87 NM WEST OF
IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 260900Z, 261500Z, 262100Z AND 270300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 260000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.17 FOR TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY CHAMPI IS LOCATED AT 24.8N, 139.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM
TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON
THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB
CLUSTERS GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW ARE NOW DISTINCT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN
TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW THEREAFTER
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT48. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 260000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 13
NAME 2105 CHAMPI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 260000UTC 24.8N 139.6E
MOVEMENT NNE 15KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 261200UTC 27.3N 140.3E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
24HR
POSITION 270000UTC 30.0N 141.4E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
36HR
POSITION 271200UTC 34.2N 144.0E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
48HR
POSITION 280000UTC 38.6N 147.9E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 260000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260000UTC 24.8N 139.7E GOOD
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 150NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 261200UTC 26.8N 140.1E 35NM 70%
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
24HF 270000UTC 29.7N 141.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE 16KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 280000UTC 38.5N 147.6E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 260000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260000UTC 24.8N 139.7E GOOD
MOVE NNE 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 150NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 270000UTC 29.7N 141.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE 16KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 280000UTC 38.5N 147.6E 120NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 260000
WARNING 260000.
WARNING VALID 270000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2105 CHAMPI (2105) 980 HPA
AT 24.8N 139.7E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 25 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 26.8N 140.1E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 29.7N 141.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 38.5N 147.6E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 252100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 252100UTC 24.0N 139.4E FAIR
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 150NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 260900UTC 26.2N 139.7E 45NM 70%
MOVE N 11KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 262100UTC 28.8N 140.9E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNE 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
45HF 271800UTC 36.6N 145.1E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 24KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 281800UTC 41.2N 153.3E 180NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 252100
WARNING 252100.
WARNING VALID 262100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2105 CHAMPI (2105) 980 HPA
AT 24.0N 139.4E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 25 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260900UTC AT 26.2N 139.7E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 262100UTC AT 28.8N 140.9E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 252100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 252100UTC 24.0N 139.4E FAIR
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 150NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 262100UTC 28.8N 140.9E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNE 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
45HF 271800UTC 36.6N 145.1E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 24KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 281800UTC 41.2N 153.3E 180NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 252100
WARNING ATCG MIL 06W NWP 210625205406
2021062518 06W CHAMPI 020 01 015 07 SATL XTRP 045
T000 237N 1397E 065 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 257N 1400E 075 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 283N 1410E 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD
T036 320N 1429E 065 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 035 NW QD
T048 362N 1461E 055 R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 110 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 412N 1542E 045 R034 090 NE QD 150 SE QD 130 SW QD 080 NW QD
AMP
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 020
1. TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251800Z --- NEAR 23.7N 139.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.7N 139.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 25.7N 140.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 28.3N 141.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 32.0N 142.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 36.2N 146.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 41.2N 154.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
252100Z POSITION NEAR 24.2N 139.8E.
25JUN21. TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 110 NM SOUTHWEST
OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS 23 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z, 260900Z, 261500Z AND 262100Z.//
0621061912 81N1524E 15
0621061918 86N1518E 15
0621062000 93N1510E 15
0621062006 99N1502E 20
0621062012 104N1492E 20
0621062018 109N1484E 25
0621062100 113N1475E 30
0621062106 117N1464E 30
0621062112 121N1453E 30
0621062118 126N1445E 30
0621062200 133N1434E 30
0621062206 139N1425E 35
0621062212 142N1415E 35
0621062218 146N1408E 35
0621062300 156N1405E 35
0621062306 168N1407E 40
0621062312 177N1403E 40
0621062318 181N1401E 40
0621062400 186N1401E 45
0621062406 193N1400E 45
0621062412 198N1397E 50
0621062412 198N1397E 50
0621062418 205N1395E 55
0621062418 205N1395E 55
0621062500 212N1393E 60
0621062500 212N1393E 60
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
0621062518 237N1397E 65
0621062518 237N1397E 65
0621062518 237N1397E 65
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 252100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 020//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251800Z --- NEAR 23.7N 139.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.7N 139.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 25.7N 140.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 28.3N 141.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 32.0N 142.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 25 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 36.2N 146.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 41.2N 154.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
252100Z POSITION NEAR 24.2N 139.8E.
25JUN21. TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 110 NM
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z
IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z, 260900Z, 261500Z AND 262100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 251800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.16 FOR TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY CHAMPI IS LOCATED AT 23.6N, 139.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR.
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE
CENTER ARE 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP
MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS
ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK
VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS AND INCREASED VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL
TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT72. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 251800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 12
NAME 2105 CHAMPI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 251800UTC 23.7N 139.1E
MOVEMENT N 10KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 260600UTC 25.8N 139.6E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
24HR
POSITION 261800UTC 28.1N 140.3E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
36HR
POSITION 270600UTC 31.8N 142.3E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
48HR
POSITION 271800UTC 36.7N 145.2E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
72HR
POSITION 281800UTC 41.2N 153.0E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 251800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251800UTC 23.6N 139.2E FAIR
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 150NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 260600UTC 25.8N 139.4E 35NM 70%
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 261800UTC 28.1N 140.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
48HF 271800UTC 36.6N 145.1E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 24KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 281800UTC 41.2N 153.3E 180NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 251800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251800UTC 23.6N 139.2E FAIR
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 150NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 261800UTC 28.1N 140.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
48HF 271800UTC 36.6N 145.1E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 24KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 281800UTC 41.2N 153.3E 180NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 251800
WARNING 251800.
WARNING VALID 261800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2105 CHAMPI (2105) 980 HPA
AT 23.6N 139.2E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 25 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 25.8N 139.4E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 28.1N 140.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 36.6N 145.1E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 41.2N 153.3E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 251500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251500UTC 23.2N 139.0E FAIR
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 150NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 260300UTC 25.2N 139.1E 45NM 70%
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 261500UTC 27.3N 139.9E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 271200UTC 33.8N 143.2E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 20KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 281200UTC 40.8N 150.4E 180NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 251500
WARNING 251500.
WARNING VALID 261500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2105 CHAMPI (2105) 980 HPA
AT 23.2N 139.0E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 25 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260300UTC AT 25.2N 139.1E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261500UTC AT 27.3N 139.9E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 251500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251500UTC 23.2N 139.0E FAIR
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 150NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 261500UTC 27.3N 139.9E 65NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 271200UTC 33.8N 143.2E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 20KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 281200UTC 40.8N 150.4E 180NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 251500
WARNING ATCG MIL 06W NWP 210625131620
2021062512 06W CHAMPI 019 01 015 08 SATL 060
T000 230N 1395E 065 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 080 SE QD 055 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 247N 1397E 075 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 268N 1402E 085 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 299N 1417E 080 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 338N 1441E 065 R064 000 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 404N 1511E 045 R034 120 NE QD 160 SE QD 100 SW QD 090 NW QD
AMP
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 019
1. TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251200Z --- NEAR 23.0N 139.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.0N 139.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 24.7N 139.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 26.8N 140.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 29.9N 141.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 33.8N 144.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 40.4N 151.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
251500Z POSITION NEAR 23.4N 139.5E.
25JUN21. TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 146 NM
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 252100Z, 260300Z, 260900Z AND 261500Z.
//
0621061912 81N1524E 15
0621061918 86N1518E 15
0621062000 93N1510E 15
0621062006 99N1502E 20
0621062012 104N1492E 20
0621062018 109N1484E 25
0621062100 113N1475E 30
0621062106 117N1464E 30
0621062112 121N1453E 30
0621062118 126N1445E 30
0621062200 133N1434E 30
0621062206 139N1425E 35
0621062212 142N1415E 35
0621062218 146N1408E 35
0621062300 156N1405E 35
0621062306 168N1407E 40
0621062312 177N1403E 40
0621062318 181N1401E 40
0621062400 186N1401E 45
0621062406 193N1400E 45
0621062412 198N1397E 50
0621062412 198N1397E 50
0621062418 205N1395E 55
0621062418 205N1395E 55
0621062500 212N1393E 60
0621062500 212N1393E 60
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062506 222N1393E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
0621062512 230N1395E 65
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 251500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 019//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251200Z --- NEAR 23.0N 139.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.0N 139.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 24.7N 139.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 26.8N 140.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 29.9N 141.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 33.8N 144.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 40.4N 151.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
251500Z POSITION NEAR 23.4N 139.5E.
25JUN21. TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 146 NM
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 252100Z, 260300Z, 260900Z AND 261500Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 251200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.15 FOR TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY CHAMPI IS LOCATED AT 22.8N, 139.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR.
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE
CENTER ARE 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A CDO PATTERN.
DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP
MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS
ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN
UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS AND
INCREASED VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL
CYCLONE BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF
GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 251200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 11
NAME 2105 CHAMPI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 251200UTC 22.8N 138.9E
MOVEMENT N 10KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 260000UTC 24.6N 138.9E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
24HR
POSITION 261200UTC 26.5N 139.4E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
36HR
POSITION 270000UTC 29.4N 140.8E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
48HR
POSITION 271200UTC 33.7N 143.2E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
72HR
POSITION 281200UTC 40.7N 150.6E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 251200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251200UTC 22.8N 139.0E FAIR
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 150NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
12HF 260000UTC 24.6N 138.9E 35NM 70%
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 261200UTC 26.5N 139.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 271200UTC 33.8N 143.2E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 20KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 281200UTC 40.8N 150.4E 180NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 251200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251200UTC 22.8N 139.0E FAIR
MOVE N 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 150NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 261200UTC 26.5N 139.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 271200UTC 33.8N 143.2E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 20KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 281200UTC 40.8N 150.4E 180NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 251200
WARNING 251200.
WARNING VALID 261200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2105 CHAMPI (2105) 980 HPA
AT 22.8N 139.0E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 25 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 24.6N 138.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 26.5N 139.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 33.8N 143.2E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 40.8N 150.4E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 250900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250900UTC 22.4N 139.0E FAIR
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 150NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 260900UTC 26.0N 139.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 270600UTC 30.4N 141.5E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 280600UTC 38.8N 147.6E 180NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 250900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250900UTC 22.4N 139.0E FAIR
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 150NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 260900UTC 26.0N 139.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 270600UTC 30.4N 141.5E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 280600UTC 38.8N 147.6E 180NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 250900
WARNING 250900.
WARNING VALID 260900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2105 CHAMPI (2105) 980 HPA
AT 22.4N 139.0E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 25 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260900UTC AT 26.0N 139.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 250900
WARNING ATCG MIL 06W NWP 210625072901
2021062506 06W CHAMPI 018 01 355 09 SATL 045
T000 221N 1392E 065 R064 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 075 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 237N 1390E 080 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 255N 1392E 090 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 279N 1402E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 313N 1420E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 387N 1480E 050 R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 018
1. TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 018
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 06W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250600Z --- NEAR 22.1N 139.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.1N 139.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 23.7N 139.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 25.5N 139.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 27.9N 140.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 31.3N 142.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 38.7N 148.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
250900Z POSITION NEAR 22.5N 139.2E.
25JUN21. TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 199 NM
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 24
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z, 252100Z, 260300Z AND 260900Z.
//
0621061912 81N1524E 15
0621061918 86N1518E 15
0621062000 93N1510E 15
0621062006 99N1502E 20
0621062012 104N1492E 20
0621062018 109N1484E 25
0621062100 113N1475E 30
0621062106 117N1464E 30
0621062112 121N1453E 30
0621062118 126N1445E 30
0621062200 133N1434E 30
0621062206 139N1425E 35
0621062212 142N1415E 35
0621062218 146N1408E 35
0621062300 156N1405E 35
0621062306 168N1407E 40
0621062312 177N1403E 40
0621062318 181N1401E 40
0621062400 186N1401E 45
0621062406 193N1400E 45
0621062412 198N1397E 50
0621062412 198N1397E 50
0621062418 205N1395E 55
0621062418 205N1395E 55
0621062500 212N1393E 60
0621062500 212N1393E 60
0621062506 221N1392E 65
0621062506 221N1392E 65
0621062506 221N1392E 65
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 250900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 018//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 018
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 06W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250600Z --- NEAR 22.1N 139.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.1N 139.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 23.7N 139.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 25.5N 139.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 27.9N 140.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 31.3N 142.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 38.7N 148.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
250900Z POSITION NEAR 22.5N 139.2E.
25JUN21. TYPHOON 06W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 199 NM
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 24
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z, 252100Z, 260300Z AND 260900Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 250600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.14 FOR TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY CHAMPI IS LOCATED AT 21.9N, 139.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE WINDS DATA ESTIMATED FROM
SATELLITE SCATTEROMETERS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A
BAND SPIRALING AROUND THE CSC BY AT LEAST 360 DEGREES. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER
SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL TRANSFORM
INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 250600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 10
NAME 2105 CHAMPI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 250600UTC 21.8N 139.0E
MOVEMENT NNW 11KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 251800UTC 23.4N 138.8E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
24HR
POSITION 260600UTC 25.0N 139.0E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
36HR
POSITION 261800UTC 27.2N 139.7E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
48HR
POSITION 270600UTC 31.0N 141.7E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
72HR
POSITION 280600UTC 38.8N 146.8E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 250600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105) UPGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250600UTC 21.9N 139.0E FAIR
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 150NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 260600UTC 25.2N 138.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 270600UTC 30.4N 141.5E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 280600UTC 38.8N 147.6E 180NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 250600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2105 CHAMPI (2105) UPGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250600UTC 21.9N 139.0E FAIR
MOVE NNW 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 150NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 260600UTC 25.2N 138.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 270600UTC 30.4N 141.5E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNE 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 280600UTC 38.8N 147.6E 180NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 250600
WARNING 250600.
WARNING VALID 260600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2105 CHAMPI (2105) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 980
HPA
AT 21.9N 139.0E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 25 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 25.2N 138.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 30.4N 141.5E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 38.8N 147.6E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 250300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250300UTC 21.3N 139.3E FAIR
MOVE NNW 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 260300UTC 24.3N 138.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 270000UTC 28.0N 139.8E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 280000UTC 35.4N 144.3E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE 20KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
93HF 290000UTC 40.4N 151.7E 260NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 250300
WARNING 250300.
WARNING VALID 260300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2105 CHAMPI (2105) 985 HPA
AT 21.3N 139.3E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 25 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260300UTC AT 24.3N 138.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 250300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250300UTC 21.3N 139.3E FAIR
MOVE NNW 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 25NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 260300UTC 24.3N 138.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 270000UTC 28.0N 139.8E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 280000UTC 35.4N 144.3E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE 20KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 250300
WARNING ATCG MIL 06W NWP 210625013704
2021062500 06W CHAMPI 017 01 345 08 SATL 020
T000 211N 1394E 060 R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 075 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 226N 1390E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 005 SW QD 005 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD
T024 242N 1390E 075 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 261N 1394E 085 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 288N 1406E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 368N 1454E 050 R050 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 110 SE QD 055 SW QD 040 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 017
1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250000Z --- NEAR 21.1N 139.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N 139.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 22.6N 139.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 24.2N 139.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 26.1N 139.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 28.8N 140.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 36.8N 145.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
250300Z POSITION NEAR 21.5N 139.3E.
25JUN21. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 246
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 250900Z, 251500Z, 252100Z AND 260300Z.
//
0621061912 81N1524E 15
0621061918 86N1518E 15
0621062000 93N1510E 15
0621062006 99N1502E 20
0621062012 104N1492E 20
0621062018 109N1484E 25
0621062100 113N1475E 30
0621062106 117N1464E 30
0621062112 121N1453E 30
0621062118 126N1445E 30
0621062200 133N1434E 30
0621062206 139N1425E 35
0621062212 142N1415E 35
0621062218 146N1408E 35
0621062300 156N1405E 35
0621062306 168N1407E 40
0621062312 177N1403E 40
0621062318 181N1401E 40
0621062400 186N1401E 45
0621062406 193N1400E 45
0621062412 198N1397E 50
0621062412 198N1397E 50
0621062418 203N1396E 55
0621062418 203N1396E 55
0621062500 211N1394E 60
0621062500 211N1394E 60
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 250300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 017//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250000Z --- NEAR 21.1N 139.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N 139.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 22.6N 139.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 24.2N 139.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 26.1N 139.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 28.8N 140.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 36.8N 145.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
250300Z POSITION NEAR 21.5N 139.3E.
25JUN21. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 246
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 250900Z, 251500Z, 252100Z AND 260300Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 250000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.13 FOR STS 2105 CHAMPI (2105)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS CHAMPI IS LOCATED AT 20.6N, 139.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 60KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE
NOW DISTINCT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTHEAST UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION
WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL
TRANSFORM INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY FT96. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 250000
WARNING 250000.
WARNING VALID 260000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2105 CHAMPI (2105) 985 HPA
AT 20.6N 139.4E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 25 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 23.7N 138.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 28.0N 139.8E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 35.4N 144.3E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 40.4N 151.7E WITH 260 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 242100
WARNING 242100.
WARNING VALID 252100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2105 CHAMPI (2105) 992 HPA
AT 20.3N 139.7E SEA SOUTH OF JAPAN MOVING NORTH 06 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 252100UTC AT 23.4N 138.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 241500
WARNING 241500.
WARNING VALID 251500.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2105 CHAMPI (2105) 992 HPA
AT 19.8N 139.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH 06 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251500UTC AT 22.5N 138.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 241500 COR
WARNING ATCG MIL 06W NWP 210624140032
2021062412 06W CHAMPI 015A 01 330 06 SATL 060
T000 198N 1397E 045 R034 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 209N 1392E 055 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD
T024 224N 1388E 065 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 240N 1388E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 263N 1394E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 328N 1430E 060 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 030 NW QD
T096 397N 1505E 040 R034 090 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 050 NW QD
AMP
072HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
096HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 015A CORRECTED
1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 015A CORRECTED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241200Z --- NEAR 19.8N 139.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N 139.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 20.9N 139.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 22.4N 138.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 24.0N 138.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 26.3N 139.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 32.8N 143.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 39.7N 150.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
241500Z POSITION NEAR 20.1N 139.6E.
24JUN21. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 313
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 242100Z, 250300Z, 250900Z AND 251500Z.
//
0621061912 81N1524E 15
0621061918 86N1518E 15
0621062000 93N1510E 15
0621062006 99N1502E 20
0621062012 104N1492E 20
0621062018 109N1484E 25
0621062100 113N1475E 30
0621062106 117N1464E 30
0621062112 121N1453E 30
0621062118 126N1445E 30
0621062200 133N1434E 30
0621062206 139N1425E 35
0621062212 142N1415E 35
0621062218 146N1408E 35
0621062300 156N1405E 35
0621062306 168N1407E 40
0621062312 177N1403E 40
0621062318 181N1401E 40
0621062400 186N1401E 45
0621062406 193N1400E 45
0621062412 198N1397E 45
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 241500 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 015A CORRECTED//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI) WARNING NR 015A CORRECTED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241200Z --- NEAR 19.8N 139.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N 139.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 20.9N 139.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 22.4N 138.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 24.0N 138.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 26.3N 139.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 32.8N 143.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 39.7N 150.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
241500Z POSITION NEAR 20.1N 139.6E.
24JUN21. TROPICAL STORM 06W (CHAMPI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 313
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 242100Z, 250300Z, 250900Z AND 251500Z.
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED 64KT WIND RADII TO TAU 24.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 240900
WARNING 240900.
WARNING VALID 250900.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2105 CHAMPI (2105) 992 HPA
AT 19.4N 139.7E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 06
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES EAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250900UTC AT 22.1N 138.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 211500 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W (SIX) WARNING NR 003A CORRECTED//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W (SIX) WARNING NR 003A CORRECTED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
211200Z --- NEAR 12.1N 145.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 12.1N 145.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 13.2N 143.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 14.4N 141.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 15.6N 140.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 17.1N 140.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 20.3N 139.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 25.2N 139.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 32.1N 142.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
211500Z POSITION NEAR 12.4N 144.8E.
21JUN21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W (SIX), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 99
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 212100Z, 220300Z, 220900Z AND 221500Z.
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADDED 50 KT WIND RADII TO TAU 72
AND TAU 96.//
NNNN

>