Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SEVEN-E-20
Off-shore

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2020-07-21 16:03


Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 211602

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 21.07.2020

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 99L ANALYSED POSITION : 9.4N 39.2W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL992020

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 21.07.2020 0 9.4N 39.2W 1010 21
0000UTC 22.07.2020 12 10.0N 41.0W 1010 20
1200UTC 22.07.2020 24 10.4N 43.1W 1009 26
0000UTC 23.07.2020 36 10.6N 46.1W 1006 34
1200UTC 23.07.2020 48 10.3N 48.9W 1004 36
0000UTC 24.07.2020 60 10.6N 51.4W 1007 35
1200UTC 24.07.2020 72 10.5N 54.4W 1006 38
0000UTC 25.07.2020 84 10.7N 57.4W 1007 38
1200UTC 25.07.2020 96 11.0N 60.7W 1008 39
0000UTC 26.07.2020 108 11.7N 64.2W 1008 37
1200UTC 26.07.2020 120 12.6N 68.0W 1010 37
0000UTC 27.07.2020 132 CEASED TRACKING

TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS ANALYSED POSITION : 12.5N 123.6W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP082020

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 21.07.2020 0 12.5N 123.6W 999 39
0000UTC 22.07.2020 12 11.8N 126.0W 994 45
1200UTC 22.07.2020 24 11.5N 128.3W 991 47
0000UTC 23.07.2020 36 12.2N 130.6W 985 55
1200UTC 23.07.2020 48 13.3N 133.5W 981 58
0000UTC 24.07.2020 60 14.7N 136.8W 982 57
1200UTC 24.07.2020 72 15.9N 140.2W 983 61
0000UTC 25.07.2020 84 17.0N 143.4W 988 61
1200UTC 25.07.2020 96 17.8N 146.5W 993 49
0000UTC 26.07.2020 108 18.5N 149.7W 996 49
1200UTC 26.07.2020 120 19.2N 152.7W 998 51
0000UTC 27.07.2020 132 19.7N 155.2W 1007 45
1200UTC 27.07.2020 144 20.0N 160.1W 1010 34

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E ANALYSED POSITION : 19.4N 133.5W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072020

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 21.07.2020 0 19.4N 133.5W 1011 22
0000UTC 22.07.2020 12 CEASED TRACKING


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 211602

>

2020-07-21 16:03


Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 211602

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 21.07.2020

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 99L ANALYSED POSITION : 9.4N 39.2W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL992020

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 21.07.2020 9.4N 39.2W WEAK
00UTC 22.07.2020 10.0N 41.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 22.07.2020 10.4N 43.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 23.07.2020 10.6N 46.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 23.07.2020 10.3N 48.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 24.07.2020 10.6N 51.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 24.07.2020 10.5N 54.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 25.07.2020 10.7N 57.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 25.07.2020 11.0N 60.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 26.07.2020 11.7N 64.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 26.07.2020 12.6N 68.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 27.07.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS ANALYSED POSITION : 12.5N 123.6W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP082020

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 21.07.2020 12.5N 123.6W MODERATE
00UTC 22.07.2020 11.8N 126.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 22.07.2020 11.5N 128.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 23.07.2020 12.2N 130.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 23.07.2020 13.3N 133.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 24.07.2020 14.7N 136.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 24.07.2020 15.9N 140.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 25.07.2020 17.0N 143.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 25.07.2020 17.8N 146.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 26.07.2020 18.5N 149.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 26.07.2020 19.2N 152.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 27.07.2020 19.7N 155.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 27.07.2020 20.0N 160.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E ANALYSED POSITION : 19.4N 133.5W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072020

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 21.07.2020 19.4N 133.5W WEAK
00UTC 22.07.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 211602

>

2020-07-21 14:41


Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 211438
TCDEP2

Post-Tropical Cyclone Seven-E Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072020
800 AM PDT Tue Jul 21 2020

The cyclone has decayed to a remnant low, and is now comprised of
a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds with organized convection
unlikely to re-develop. The remnant low is forecast to degenerate
to a trough between 24-36 h, and the global models suggest this
could happen earlier than forecast.

The initial motion is 270/11. The remnant low is expected to turn
west-southwestward in the low-level trade winds before it
dissipates.

This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center
on this system. For additional information on the remnant low
please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and
on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php



FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 21/1500Z 19.3N 134.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 22/0000Z 18.9N 135.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 22/1200Z 18.1N 138.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven

>

2020-07-21 14:40


Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 211438
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Seven-E Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072020
800 AM PDT Tue Jul 21 2020

...DEPRESSION DEGENERATES TO A REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 134.1W
ABOUT 1575 MI...2535 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Seven-E was located near latitude 19.3 North, longitude 134.1 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west near 13 mph
(20 km/h), and a turn toward the west-southwest is expected by
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast, and the post-tropical cyclone is expected to
dissipate Wednesday or Wednesday night.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant
low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and
on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php


$$
Forecaster Beven


>

2020-07-21 14:38


Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 211436
TCMEP2

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072020
1500 UTC TUE JUL 21 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 134.1W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 134.1W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 133.5W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.9N 135.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.1N 138.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 134.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT
LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

>

2020-07-21 08:41


Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 210839
TCDEP2

Tropical Depression Seven-E Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072020
200 AM PDT Tue Jul 21 2020

The cyclone is now devoid of all deep convection. If deep convection
does not redevelop soon, it will become a remnant low early Tuesday.
The system is moving over 24 to 25 deg C waters, thus long-term
redevelopment of organized deep convection is not anticipated.

The cyclone has turned toward the west, and a general westward
motion is expected for the next day or so as the shallow low is
steered primarily by low-level easterly flow. A pair of ASCAT passes
near 06Z surprisingly showed winds of 30-35 kt, but given the lack
of convection, it seems reasonable to assume that the winds have
decreased a little since that time so the initial intensity is set
at 30 kt. The low should gradually spin down over the course of the
next day or so until it dissipates. No changes of significance were
made to the previous NHC track or intensity forecast.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 21/0900Z 19.3N 133.0W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 21/1800Z 19.2N 134.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 22/0600Z 18.7N 137.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 22/1800Z 17.7N 140.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

>

2020-07-21 08:39


Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 210838
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Seven-E Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072020
200 AM PDT Tue Jul 21 2020

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION WELL ON ITS WAY TO BECOMING A REMNANT LOW...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 133.0W
ABOUT 1505 MI...2425 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Seven-E
was located near latitude 19.3 North, longitude 133.0 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and
this general motion is expected to continue for the next day or so.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
The system is forecast to become a remnant low within the next few
hours. The winds associated with the remnant low should gradually
diminish during the next day or two until the system dissipates.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky


>

2020-07-21 08:37


Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 210835
TCMEP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072020
0900 UTC TUE JUL 21 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 133.0W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 133.0W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 132.4W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 19.2N 134.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.7N 137.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.7N 140.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 133.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY



>

2020-07-21 04:06


Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 210406

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 21.07.2020

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 99L ANALYSED POSITION : 9.0N 38.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL992020

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 21.07.2020 0 9.0N 38.4W 1011 19
1200UTC 21.07.2020 12 9.5N 39.0W 1011 21
0000UTC 22.07.2020 24 CEASED TRACKING

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 90L ANALYSED POSITION : 28.3N 98.1W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL902020

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 21.07.2020 0 28.3N 98.1W 1009 18
1200UTC 21.07.2020 12 CEASED TRACKING

TROPICAL STORM 08E ANALYSED POSITION : 13.3N 121.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP082020

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 21.07.2020 0 13.3N 121.0W 1005 28
1200UTC 21.07.2020 12 12.9N 123.3W 1002 35
0000UTC 22.07.2020 24 12.3N 126.1W 998 40
1200UTC 22.07.2020 36 11.9N 128.6W 996 42
0000UTC 23.07.2020 48 12.2N 130.9W 991 47
1200UTC 23.07.2020 60 13.3N 133.6W 985 52
0000UTC 24.07.2020 72 14.5N 136.7W 980 58
1200UTC 24.07.2020 84 15.6N 139.8W 980 60
0000UTC 25.07.2020 96 16.7N 143.0W 984 59
1200UTC 25.07.2020 108 17.5N 146.1W 991 55
0000UTC 26.07.2020 120 18.1N 149.3W 997 50
1200UTC 26.07.2020 132 18.5N 152.6W 1002 44
0000UTC 27.07.2020 144 18.9N 155.3W 1006 43

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E ANALYSED POSITION : 18.9N 131.5W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072020

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 21.07.2020 0 18.9N 131.5W 1011 24
1200UTC 21.07.2020 12 CEASED TRACKING


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 210405

>

2020-07-21 02:35


Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 210233
TCDEP2

Tropical Depression Seven-E Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072020
500 PM HST Mon Jul 20 2020

All that remains of the deep convection associated with the
depression is a small shapeless patch of clouds sheared about
70 miles to the west of the poorly defined surface circulation.
Barely enough to classify it as a tropical depression by TAFB and
SAB. Weakening is expected during the next couple of days as the
cyclone continues to move over oceanic temperatures of less than
25C and also ingests more stable, cold-air stratocumulus clouds
intruding from the north. Degeneration into a remnant low
pressure is forecast Tuesday morning, with dissipation expected in
a couple of days.

The initial motion is estimated to be west-northwestward or, 290/10
kt. A westward and west-southwestward motion is expected during
the next day or so, within the tradewind flow, while the remnant
low is steered by the building low to mid-level ridge to the north.
The NHC forecast is hedged toward the HFIP HCCA consensus and is
slightly to the left of the previous forecast. The track
adjustment is primarily due to the fact that the FV3/GFS has also
shifted to the left, and is now closer to the consistent ECMWF
solution.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 21/0300Z 19.2N 131.8W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 21/1200Z 19.4N 133.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 22/0000Z 19.1N 135.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 22/1200Z 18.2N 138.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 23/0000Z 17.5N 141.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Roberts

>

2020-07-21 02:34


Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 210232
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Seven-E Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072020
500 PM HST Mon Jul 20 2020

...POORLY ORGANIZED DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON
TUESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.2N 131.8W
ABOUT 1435 MI...2305 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Seven-E
was located near latitude 19.2 North, longitude 131.8 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19
km/h). A turn toward the west is forecast early Tuesday and to the
west-southwest late Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and the
depression is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by Tuesday
morning. The remnant low should then dissipate by late Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST.

$$
Forecaster Roberts


>

2020-07-21 02:34


Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 210232
TCMEP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072020
0300 UTC TUE JUL 21 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 131.8W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 131.8W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 131.3W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.4N 133.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.1N 135.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.2N 138.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.5N 141.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 131.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS

>

2020-07-20 20:35


Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 202033
TCDEP2

Tropical Depression Seven-E Discussion Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072020
200 PM PDT Mon Jul 20 2020

The depression continues to move over waters colder than 25 degrees
Celsius, and its low-level center is exposed to the east of a
relatively small area of deep convection. A very recent ASCAT
pass showed maximum winds of 30 kt, and that remains the
initial intensity for this advisory. This estimate is also in
agreement with Dvorak 2.0/30 kt classifications from TAFB and
SAB. The cooler waters and a drier, more stable atmosphere should
cause the remaining deep convection to dissipate soon, which will
also lead to a gradual decrease in the system's winds. The official
forecast therefore shows the depression degenerating into a remnant
low by 24 hours. The remnant low is now shown to dissipate by 60
hours, although global model guidance suggests that this could
occur even sooner than that.

The depression's initial motion is still northwestward, or 305/9
kt, although the system appears to be gradually making a turn to
the left. As it becomes a shallower system with the loss of deep
convection, the depression is expected to turn west-northwestward
soon, and then westward and west-southwestward during the next
24-36 hours within the low-level trade winds. The GFS is somewhat
of a northern outlier on this cycle, and the NHC track forecast
more closely follows the ECMWF and the various consensus models.
This puts it very close to the forecast from the previous advisory.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 20/2100Z 19.0N 131.0W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 21/0600Z 19.5N 132.6W 25 KT 30 MPH
24H 21/1800Z 19.4N 134.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 22/0600Z 18.8N 137.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 22/1800Z 18.1N 140.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Berg

>

2020-07-20 20:33


Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 202031
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Seven-E Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072020
200 PM PDT Mon Jul 20 2020

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON TUESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.0N 131.0W
ABOUT 1385 MI...2230 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Seven-E
was located near latitude 19.0 North, longitude 131.0 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17
km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest is expected by this
evening, followed by a turn toward the west early Tuesday and the
west-southwest late Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and the
depression is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by Tuesday
morning. The remnant low should then dissipate by late Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg


>

2020-07-20 20:32


Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 202031
TCMEP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072020
2100 UTC MON JUL 20 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 131.0W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 131.0W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 130.5W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.5N 132.6W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 19.4N 134.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.8N 137.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 18.1N 140.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 131.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG



>

2020-07-20 16:06


Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 201603

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 20.07.2020

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 99L ANALYSED POSITION : 9.2N 36.8W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL992020

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 20.07.2020 9.2N 36.8W WEAK
00UTC 21.07.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 90E ANALYSED POSITION : 14.0N 119.3W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP902020

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 20.07.2020 14.0N 119.3W WEAK
00UTC 21.07.2020 13.6N 121.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 21.07.2020 12.8N 123.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 22.07.2020 12.0N 126.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 22.07.2020 11.5N 128.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 23.07.2020 11.9N 130.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 23.07.2020 12.9N 133.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 24.07.2020 14.0N 136.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 24.07.2020 15.1N 139.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 25.07.2020 16.2N 142.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 25.07.2020 17.0N 145.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 26.07.2020 17.5N 148.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 26.07.2020 17.8N 152.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E ANALYSED POSITION : 17.8N 129.9W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072020

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 20.07.2020 17.8N 129.9W WEAK
00UTC 21.07.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 201603

>

2020-07-20 14:34


Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 201432
TCDEP2

Tropical Depression Seven-E Discussion Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072020
500 AM HST Mon Jul 20 2020

Even with its center now over 25 degrees Celsius water, the
depression continues to produce a small area of deep convection
which is asymmetrically favoring the southwestern semicircle of the
circulation. With Dvorak Current Intensity numbers of 2.0/30 kt
from TAFB and SAB, and no appreciable change in the overall
convective structure, the initial intensity remains 30 kt.
Thermodynamics are expected to be the primary limiting factor on
the depression's intensity, as sea surface temperatures along the
system's path continue to drop and the atmosphere becomes drier and
more stable. As such, the depression is expected to lose organized
deep convection, weaken, and degenerate into a remnant low in about
24 hours. The remnant low is forecast to dissipate in about 3
days, if not sooner, based on the latest global model guidance.
The updated NHC intensity forecast is largely unchanged from the
previous advisory.

The depression is located along the southwestern edge of a
mid-tropospheric high centered west of the Baja California
peninsula, and to the southeast of a large mid-/upper-level low
centered northeast of the Hawaiian Islands. The resultant flow
around these features is imparting a northwestward motion on the
depression at around 11 kt. With the depression expected to weaken
over the next few days, it should become increasingly steered by
lower-level winds, causing it to turn west-northwestward and then
westward before it dissipates. The official track forecast lies
close to HCCA and the other multi-model consensus aids, and it has
been shifted slightly north of the previous forecast.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 20/1500Z 18.7N 130.3W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 21/0000Z 19.4N 131.7W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 21/1200Z 19.7N 133.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 22/0000Z 19.3N 136.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 22/1200Z 18.4N 138.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 23/0000Z 17.3N 141.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Berg

>

2020-07-20 14:33


Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 201431
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Seven-E Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072020
500 AM HST Mon Jul 20 2020

...DEPRESSION MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER COOLER WATERS...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW EARLY TUESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.7N 130.3W
ABOUT 1345 MI...2170 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Seven-E
was located near latitude 18.7 North, longitude 130.3 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A
turn toward the west-northwest is expected later today, followed by
a turn toward the west early Tuesday and west-southwest early
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some weakening is forecast, and the depression is expected to
degenerate into a remnant low early Tuesday. The remnant low should
then dissipate by early Thursday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Berg


>

2020-07-20 14:33


Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 201431
TCMEP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072020
1500 UTC MON JUL 20 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 130.3W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 130.3W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 129.8W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.4N 131.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.7N 133.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.3N 136.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.4N 138.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.3N 141.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N 130.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG



>

2020-07-20 08:34


Original Message :

WTPZ42 KNHC 200832
TCDEP2

Tropical Depression Seven-E Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072020
1100 PM HST Sun Jul 19 2020

The small low pressure are that the National Hurricane Center has
been tracking for the past couple of days has finally developed
enough persistent organized deep convection for the system to
classified as Tropical Depression Seven-E. An earlier burst of
strong convection with cloud tops colder than -80C helped to spin up
the low-level wind field and cause the center to become better
defined based on a 0529 UTC ASCAT-A overpass. The aforementioned
scatterometer data showed surface winds of 29-30 kt in the western
semicircle, which is the basis for the 30-kt initial intensity. This
intensity is also supported by 06Z Dvorak satellite intensity
estimates of T2.0/30 kt from both TAFB and SAB.

The initial motion estimate is 310/10 kt based on conventional,
microwave, and scatterometer satellite fix data over the past 12
hours. The small cyclone is expected to be steered northwestward to
west-northwestward at about the same forward speed for the next day
or so due to a strong subtropical ridge situated to the north of the
depression. By 24-36 h, the system is forecast to degenerate into a
shallow remnant low and be steered westward through 48-60 h,
followed by a turn toward the southwest before dissipating by 96 h.
The NHC official forecast track lies close to the tightly packed
simple consensus models, which is consistent with the NOAA
corrected-consensus model, HCCA.

Although the vertical wind shear is expected to remain low at less
than 5 kt for the next 24 h or so, the small cyclone is already
moving over sub-26 deg C sea-surface temperatures (SST), with
slightly cooler water ahead of the system. The ingestion of cooler
and drier air, along with the cool SSTs, is expected to weaken the
system below depression status by 24 h. Although it is possible that
the system could hold on to tropical cyclone status a little longer
than currently indicated, especially when the system moves
southwestward toward warmer water, moderate to strong southwesterly
vertical wind shear should cause the small cyclone to dissipate by
96 h. The official intensity forecast closely follows the IVCN
intensity consensus model.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 20/0900Z 18.0N 129.3W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 20/1800Z 18.7N 130.7W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 21/0600Z 19.3N 132.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
36H 21/1800Z 18.9N 134.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
48H 22/0600Z 18.0N 137.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
60H 22/1800Z 16.0N 139.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
72H 23/0600Z 13.7N 141.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
96H 24/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Stewart

>

2020-07-20 08:33


Original Message :

WTPZ32 KNHC 200832
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Seven-E Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072020
1100 PM HST Sun Jul 19 2020

...NEW DEPRESSION FORMS WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY TUESDAY MORNING...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.0N 129.3W
ABOUT 1300 MI...2090 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Seven-E
was located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 129.3 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and
this motion is expected to continue through Monday night, followed
by a turn the west by early Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little if any change in strength is forecast during the next 48
hours. The depression is expected to be a short-lived tropical
cyclone that will degenerate into a remnant low by Tuesday morning.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


>

2020-07-20 08:33


Original Message :

WTPZ22 KNHC 200832
TCMEP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072020
0900 UTC MON JUL 20 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 129.3W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 129.3W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 128.9W

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.7N 130.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.3N 132.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.9N 134.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.0N 137.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 16.0N 139.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 13.7N 141.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 129.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



>