Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for TINO-20 in Niue, Tonga, Samoa, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Tuvalu from 16 Jan 2020 18:00 UTC to 19 Jan 2020 06:00 UTC

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 190900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 200119074148
2020011906 08P TINO 011 01 140 33 SATL 030
T000 277S 1673W 055 R050 195 NE QD 170 SE QD 105 SW QD 155 NW QD R034
325 NE QD 290 SE QD 195 SW QD 310 NW QD
T012 329S 1626W 050 R050 100 NE QD 050 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD R034
350 NE QD 270 SE QD 240 SW QD 250 NW QD
AMP 000HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
012HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 011
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190000Z --- NEAR 25.1S 169.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 27 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 295 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
275 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
295 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.1S 169.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 29.3S 165.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 190900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190600Z --- NEAR 27.7S 167.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 33 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 325 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
195 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
310 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.7S 167.3W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 32.9S 162.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 190900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190600Z --- NEAR 27.7S 167.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 33 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 325 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
195 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
310 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.7S 167.3W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 32.9S 162.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
190900Z POSITION NEAR 29.0S 166.1W.
19JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (TINO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 535
NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NIUE, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 33 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) CONTINUES TO BECOME
ELONGATED AND THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME LIMITED. THE INITIAL
POSITION IS PLACED WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE AND IS BASED ON AN 180608Z
SSMIS 37 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE, WHICH SHOWS AN ELONGATED LLCC. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS IS BASED ON THE DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY
(CI) ESTIMATE OF T3.5 (55 KNOTS) FROM KNES AND THE ADT CI OF T3.5 (55
KNOTS). TC 08P IS EXPERIENCING FAVORABLE TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (15 T0 20 KNOTS). TC 08P ALSO HAS AN EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW
CHANNEL. HOWEVER, SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE MARGINAL (25 TO 26
DEGREES CELSIUS). TC 08P IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD WHILE POSITIONED ON
THE SOUTHWESTERN EDGE OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR). TC 08P IS
INTERACTING WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND IS QUICKLY TRANSITIONING TO
AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. THE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WILL BE COMPLETE
BY TAU 12. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT,
THEREFORE, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK. THIS
IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL
HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 27 FEET.//

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 190900
WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 200119074148
2020011906 08P TINO 011 01 140 33 SATL 030
T000 277S 1673W 055 R050 195 NE QD 170 SE QD 105 SW QD 155 NW QD R034 325 NE QD 290 SE QD 195 SW Q
D 310 NW QD
T012 329S 1626W 050 R050 100 NE QD 050 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 350 NE QD 270 SE QD 240 SW Q
D 250 NW QD
AMP 000HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
012HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 011
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190000Z --- NEAR 25.1S 169.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 27 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 295 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
275 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
295 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.1S 169.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 29.3S 165.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 34.0S 162.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
190300Z POSITION NEAR 26.1S 168.7W.
19JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (TINO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM SOUTH OF NIUE, HAS TRACKED
SOUTHEASTWARD AT 27 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 19000
0Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z, 191500Z AND 192100Z.//
0820011512 113S1719E 25
0820011518 112S1729E 30
0820011600 113S1741E 30
0820011606 119S1755E 30
0820011612 127S1768E 35
0820011618 137S1778E 40
0820011700 148S1787E 50
0820011706 153S1799E 60
0820011706 153S1799E 60
0820011712 160S1788W 65
0820011712 160S1788W 65
0820011712 160S1788W 65
0820011718 179S1774W 70
0820011718 179S1774W 70
0820011718 179S1774W 70
0820011800 191S1763W 70
0820011800 191S1763W 70
0820011800 191S1763W 70
0820011806 202S1749W 70
0820011806 202S1749W 70
0820011806 202S1749W 70
0820011812 214S1731W 65
0820011812 214S1731W 65
0820011812 214S1731W 65
0820011818 230S1715W 60
0820011818 230S1715W 60
0820011900 251S1696W 55
0820011900 251S1696W 55

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 190300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 200119013813
2020011900 08P TINO 010 01 140 27 SATL 030
T000 251S 1696W 055 R050 200 NE QD 180 SE QD 000 SW QD 180 NW QD R034
295 NE QD 275 SE QD 145 SW QD 295 NW QD
T012 293S 1659W 050 R050 110 NE QD 050 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034
310 NE QD 280 SE QD 220 SW QD 260 NW QD
T024 340S 1623W 045 R034 320 NE QD 280 SE QD 300 SW QD 240 NW QD
AMP 000HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
012HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
024HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190000Z --- NEAR 25.1S 169.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 27 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 295 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
275 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
295 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.1S 169.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 29.3S 165.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 190300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190000Z --- NEAR 25.1S 169.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 27 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 295 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
275 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
295 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.1S 169.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 29.3S 165.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 190300
WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 200119013813
2020011900 08P TINO 010 01 140 27 SATL 030
T000 251S 1696W 055 R050 200 NE QD 180 SE QD 000 SW QD 180 NW QD R034 295 NE QD 275 SE QD 145 SW Q
D 295 NW QD
T012 293S 1659W 050 R050 110 NE QD 050 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 310 NE QD 280 SE QD 220 SW Q
D 260 NW QD
T024 340S 1623W 045 R034 320 NE QD 280 SE QD 300 SW QD 240 NW QD
AMP 000HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
012HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
024HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190000Z --- NEAR 25.1S 169.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 27 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 295 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
275 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
295 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.1S 169.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 29.3S 165.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 34.0S 162.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
190300Z POSITION NEAR 26.1S 168.7W.
19JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (TINO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM SOUTH OF NIUE, HAS TRACKED
SOUTHEASTWARD AT 27 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 19000
0Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z, 191500Z AND 192100Z.//
0820011512 113S1719E 25
0820011518 112S1729E 30
0820011600 113S1741E 30
0820011606 119S1755E 30
0820011612 127S1768E 35
0820011618 137S1778E 40
0820011700 148S1787E 50
0820011706 153S1799E 60
0820011706 153S1799E 60
0820011712 160S1788W 65
0820011712 160S1788W 65
0820011712 160S1788W 65
0820011718 179S1774W 70
0820011718 179S1774W 70
0820011718 179S1774W 70
0820011800 191S1763W 70
0820011800 191S1763W 70
0820011800 191S1763W 70
0820011806 202S1749W 70
0820011806 202S1749W 70
0820011806 202S1749W 70
0820011812 214S1731W 65
0820011812 214S1731W 65
0820011812 214S1731W 65
0820011818 230S1715W 60
0820011818 230S1715W 60
0820011900 251S1696W 55
0820011900 251S1696W 55

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 190300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190000Z --- NEAR 25.1S 169.6W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 27 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 295 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
275 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
295 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.1S 169.6W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 29.3S 165.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 34.0S 162.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
190300Z POSITION NEAR 26.1S 168.7W.
19JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (TINO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360
NM SOUTH OF NIUE, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 27 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE
DEEP CONVECTION IS BECOMING ISOLATED ON THE SOUTHEAST SIDE OF THE
INITIAL POSITION AND EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND UPPER LEVEL
CONVERGENCE TO THE WEST IS SUPPRESSING CONVECTION ON THAT SIDE OF THE
SYSTEM. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PGTW DVORAK
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.5 (55 KTS). WITH EXCELLENT POLEWARD
OUTFLOW, MODERATE (15-20 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), AND COOL (25-
26 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST), THE ENVIRONMENT IS
MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE. ADDITIONALLY, TC 08P IS BEGINNING TO INTERACT
WITH THE MIDLATITUDE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND THE SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION HAS BEGUN. THE RAPID POLEWARD
MOTION SHOULD ALLOW EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION TO COMPLETE BY TAU 24, IF
NOT SOONER. THROUGHOUT THAT PERIOD, COOL SST AND HIGH VWS SHOULD
STEADILY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM, HOWEVER THE INTENSITY WILL NOT FALL MUCH
AS TC 08P DEVELOPS THE CHARACTERISTICS OF A MIDLATITUDE CYCLONE. FOR
THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST, TC 08P WILL FOLLOW A SIMILAR TRACK ALONG
THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. NUMERICAL MODEL
GUIDANCE IS IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE
JTWC TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 25
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z, 191500Z AND 92100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 182100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 200118193222
2020011818 08P TINO 009 01 140 22 SATL 020
T000 230S 1715W 060 R050 205 NE QD 190 SE QD 090 SW QD 190 NW QD R034
275 NE QD 265 SE QD 175 SW QD 305 NW QD
T012 270S 1680W 055 R050 160 NE QD 120 SE QD 050 SW QD 100 NW QD R034
300 NE QD 270 SE QD 195 SW QD 260 NW QD
T024 316S 1644W 050 R050 100 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034
320 NE QD 280 SE QD 220 SW QD 220 NW QD
T036 363S 1608W 045 R034 260 NE QD 280 SE QD 260 SW QD 270 NW QD
AMP
012HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
181800Z --- NEAR 23.0S 171.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 22 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
265 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
305 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.0S 171.5W

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 182100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
181800Z --- NEAR 23.0S 171.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 22 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
265 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
305 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.0S 171.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 27.0S 168.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
195 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 182100
WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 200118193222
2020011818 08P TINO 009 01 140 22 SATL 020
T000 230S 1715W 060 R050 205 NE QD 190 SE QD 090 SW QD 190 NW QD R034 275 NE QD 265 SE QD 175 SW Q
D 305 NW QD
T012 270S 1680W 055 R050 160 NE QD 120 SE QD 050 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 270 SE QD 195 SW Q
D 260 NW QD
T024 316S 1644W 050 R050 100 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 320 NE QD 280 SE QD 220 SW Q
D 220 NW QD
T036 363S 1608W 045 R034 260 NE QD 280 SE QD 260 SW QD 270 NW QD
AMP
012HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
181800Z --- NEAR 23.0S 171.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 22 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
265 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
305 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.0S 171.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 27.0S 168.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
195 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 31.6S 164.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 36.3S 160.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
182100Z POSITION NEAR 24.0S 170.6W.
18JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (TINO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 251 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NIUE, H
AS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGH
T AT 181800Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z, 190900Z, 191500Z AND 192100Z.//
0820011512 113S1719E 25
0820011518 112S1729E 30
0820011600 113S1741E 30
0820011606 119S1755E 30
0820011612 127S1768E 35
0820011618 137S1778E 40
0820011700 148S1787E 50
0820011706 153S1799E 60
0820011706 153S1799E 60
0820011712 160S1788W 65
0820011712 160S1788W 65
0820011712 160S1788W 65
0820011718 179S1774W 70
0820011718 179S1774W 70
0820011718 179S1774W 70
0820011800 191S1763W 70
0820011800 191S1763W 70
0820011800 191S1763W 70
0820011806 202S1749W 70
0820011806 202S1749W 70
0820011806 202S1749W 70
0820011812 214S1731W 65
0820011812 214S1731W 65
0820011812 214S1731W 65
0820011818 230S1715W 60
0820011818 230S1715W 60

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 182100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
181800Z --- NEAR 23.0S 171.5W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 22 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 275 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
265 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
305 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 23.0S 171.5W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 27.0S 168.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
195 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 31.6S 164.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 36.3S 160.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
182100Z POSITION NEAR 24.0S 170.6W.
18JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (TINO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 251
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NIUE, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS
(KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY REVEALS AN ASYMMETRIC CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST WITH EASTERLY
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). A PARTIAL EYEWALL FEATURE IN A 181737Z
SSMIS 37 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE PROVIDES HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL
POSITION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 60 KTS FALLS BETWEEN MULTI-AGENCY
DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T3.5-4.0 (55-65 KTS). TC 08P IS EXPERIENCING GOOD
POLEWARD OUTFLOW DUE TO ITS PROXIMITY TO A POLAR FRONT JET (PFJ).
ALTHOUGH THE INITIAL POSITION IS IN AN AREA OF FAVORABLE (10-20 KT)
VWS, VWS VALUES INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT GETS CLOSER TO THE PFJ.
COMBINED WITH MARGINAL (26-27 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST),
THE ENVIRONMENT IS SLIGHTLY UNFAVORABLE. TC 08P IS TRACKING ALONG THE
SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR). HIGH VWS AND COOL
SST WILL MAKE THE ENVIRONMENT INCREASINGLY HOSTILE AS TC 08P CONTINUES
TO TRACK ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE STR. BY TAU 12, THE SYSTEM WILL
BEGIN INTRUDING ON THE MIDLATITUDE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND START
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. BY TAU 36, THE SYSTEM WILL HAVE FULLY
TRANSITIONED INTO A DEEP, COLD-CORE EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. NUMERICAL
MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN STRONG AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE
JTWC TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 26
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z, 190900Z, 191500Z AND 192100Z.//

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 181500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 200118143959
2020011812 08P TINO 008 01 125 22 SATL 030
T000 214S 1731W 065 R064 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050
135 NE QD 040 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 250 NE QD 200 SE QD
145 SW QD 200 NW QD
T012 250S 1698W 065 R064 040 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050
140 NE QD 070 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 350 NE QD 250 SE QD
110 SW QD 210 NW QD
T024 295S 1660W 060 R050 100 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034
340 NE QD 280 SE QD 150 SW QD 190 NW QD
T036 344S 1626W 055 R050 080 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
280 NE QD 290 SE QD 270 SW QD 230 NW QD
AMP
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 008
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
180000Z --- NEAR 19.1S 176.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 181500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
181200Z --- NEAR 21.4S 173.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 22 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.4S 173.1W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 25.0S 169.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 181500
WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 200118143959
2020011812 08P TINO 008 01 125 22 SATL 030
T000 214S 1731W 065 R064 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 135 NE QD 040 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 250 NE QD 200 SE QD 145 SW QD 200 NW QD
T012 250S 1698W 065 R064 040 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 140 NE QD 070 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 350 NE QD 250 SE QD 110 SW QD 210 NW QD
T024 295S 1660W 060 R050 100 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 340 NE QD 280 SE QD 150 SW QD 190 NW QD
T036 344S 1626W 055 R050 080 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 280 NE QD 290 SE QD 270 SW QD 230 NW QD
AMP
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 008
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
180000Z --- NEAR 19.1S 176.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 345 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
325 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.1S 176.3W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 22.0S 173.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 380 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
245 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 25.5S 170.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 410 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 29.9S 167.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 390 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 34.0S 164.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
350 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
310 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
180300Z POSITION NEAR 19.8S 175.6W.
18JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (TINO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 307 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z, 181500Z, 182100Z AND 190300Z.//
0820011512 113S1719E 25
0820011518 112S1729E 30
0820011600 113S1741E 30
0820011606 119S1755E 30
0820011612 127S1768E 35
0820011618 137S1778E 40
0820011700 148S1787E 50
0820011706 153S1799E 60
0820011706 153S1799E 60
0820011712 160S1788W 65
0820011712 160S1788W 65
0820011712 160S1788W 65
0820011718 179S1774W 70
0820011718 179S1774W 70
0820011718 179S1774W 70
0820011800 191S1763W 70
0820011800 191S1763W 70
0820011800 191S1763W 70
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 181500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
181200Z --- NEAR 21.4S 173.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 22 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
200 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.4S 173.1W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 25.0S 169.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 29.5S 166.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 34.4S 162.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
181500Z POSITION NEAR 22.3S 172.3W.
18JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (TINO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 227
NM SOUTHWEST OF NIUE, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS (KTS)
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS CONVECTION AND DRY AIR WRAPPING INTO A LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THERE IS GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL
POSITION BASED ON EIR AND AN 181231Z ATMS 88.2 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE.
SET ON THE LOWER END OF MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY
ESTIMATES OF T4.0-4.5 (65-77 KTS) BY PGTW/KNES/NFFN AND AN 181152Z
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE ESTIMATE OF T4.0 (65 KTS), THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS SET AT 65 KTS WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. AN 180849Z METOP-A
PARTIAL PASS DEPICTED A SWATH OF 45-49 KTS WINDS TO THE NORTHEAST OF
THE LLCC. NOTABLY, EIR AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWED A WEAKENING
TREND WITH WARMING CLOUD TOPS AND DRY AIR INTRUSION FROM 180600Z TO
180900Z. HOWEVER, IN THE PAST THREE HOURS, DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEGUN
TO BUILD BACK IN AROUND THE LLCC. ALL WIND RADII HAVE BEEN UPDATED
BASED ON THE AFOREMENTIONED ASCAT PASS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS
REVEALS LOW (10-15 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (27-28 CELSIUS) SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST), AND ROBUST UPPER-LEVEL EQUATORWARD AND
POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNELS. TC 08P IS TRACKING ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE EAST, WHICH WILL REMAIN
AS THE PRIMARY STEERING MECHANISM THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WILL ALLOW TC 08P TO MAINTAIN
INTENSITY IN THE NEAR TERM THEN GRADUALLY WEAKENING AS SST BEGIN TO
DECREASE BELOW 26 CELSIUS AROUND TAU 12. FOLLOWING THAT, INTERACTION
WITH THE MIDLATITUDE BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL CAUSE TC 08P TO START
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) BY TAU 24. ETT COMPLETION IS EXPECTED
BY TAU 36, IF NOT SOONER, AS THE SYSTEM GAINS FRONTAL CHARACTERISTICS
AND IS INFLUENCED BY THE JET. DUE TO STRONG AGREEMENT IN THE MODEL
GUIDANCE, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 28 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 182100Z, 190300Z, 190900Z AND 191500Z.//

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 180900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 200118080629
2020011806 08P TINO 007 01 130 16 SATL XTRP 035
T000 201S 1750W 070 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 045 NW QD R050
080 NE QD 050 SE QD 055 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 325 NE QD 240 SE QD
105 SW QD 350 NW QD
T012 233S 1720W 070 R064 040 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050
110 NE QD 090 SE QD 040 SW QD 095 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 250 SE QD
100 SW QD 270 NW QD
T024 274S 1683W 065 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 035 NW QD R050
090 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 260 SE QD
095 SW QD 220 NW QD
T036 322S 1646W 060 R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 010 SW QD 070 NW QD R034
270 NE QD 280 SE QD 190 SW QD 230 NW QD
AMP
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
180000Z --- NEAR 19.1S 176.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 180900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
180600Z --- NEAR 20.1S 175.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 325 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
350 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.1S 175.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 23.3S 172.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 180900
WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 200118080629
2020011806 08P TINO 007 01 130 16 SATL XTRP 035
T000 201S 1750W 070 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 050 SE QD 055 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 325 NE QD 240 SE QD 105 SW QD 350 NW QD
T012 233S 1720W 070 R064 040 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 095 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 250 SE QD 100 SW QD 270 NW QD
T024 274S 1683W 065 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 090 NW QD R034 290 NE QD 260 SE QD 095 SW QD 220 NW QD
T036 322S 1646W 060 R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 010 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 270 NE QD 280 SE QD 190 SW Q
D 230 NW QD
AMP
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
180000Z --- NEAR 19.1S 176.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 345 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
325 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.1S 176.3W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 22.0S 173.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 380 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
245 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 25.5S 170.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 410 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 29.9S 167.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 390 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 34.0S 164.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
350 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
310 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
180300Z POSITION NEAR 19.8S 175.6W.
18JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (TINO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 307 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FI
JI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z, 181500Z, 182100Z AND 190300Z.//
0820011512 113S1719E 25
0820011518 112S1729E 30
0820011600 113S1741E 30
0820011606 119S1755E 30
0820011612 127S1768E 35
0820011618 137S1778E 40
0820011700 148S1787E 50
0820011706 153S1799E 60
0820011706 153S1799E 60
0820011712 160S1788W 65
0820011712 160S1788W 65
0820011712 160S1788W 65
0820011718 179S1774W 70
0820011718 179S1774W 70
0820011718 179S1774W 70
0820011800 191S1763W 70
0820011800 191S1763W 70
0820011800 191S1763W 70

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 180900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
180600Z --- NEAR 20.1S 175.0W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 325 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
350 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.1S 175.0W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 23.3S 172.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 27.4S 168.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 29 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 32.2S 164.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
180900Z POSITION NEAR 20.9S 174.2W.
18JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (TINO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 294
NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF NIUE, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS
(KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY (MSI) REVEALS DEEP CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO A LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE MSI AND AN EXTRAPOLATION OF AN 180415Z
SSMIS 37 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE PLACES GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL
POSITION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 70 KTS FALLS BELOW THE
KNES/NFFN/PGTW DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T4.5-5.0 (77-90
KTS) BASED ON A RELATIVELY WELL-DEFINED CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE ALONG
WITH THE RECENT METOP-B PASS SHOWING PEAK WINDS OF 45-49 KTS. OF
NOTE, INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY HAS BEGUN TO SHOW A WARMING OF CLOUD
TOPS WITHIN THE SYSTEM OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND IS BEGINNING TO
INGEST SOME DRY AIR FROM THE SOUTH. FURTHERMORE, WIND SPEED SURFACE
OBSERVATION OF 35 KTS WAS RECORDED AT LUPEPAU'U, TONGA (NFTV) WHICH
IS LOCATED ABOUT 105 NM NORTHEAST OF THE INITIAL POSITION. THE SYSTEM
REMAINS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF LOW (10-15 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND
WARM (27-28 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST). PAIRED WITH THE
ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW WHICH IS ENHANCED BY THE POLAR FRONT JET TO
THE SOUTH, TC 08P IS CURRENTLY IN AN OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.
THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO
THE EAST FOR THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. IN THE NEAR TERM,
THE ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN MARGINALLY FAVORABLE, ALLOWING TC 08P TO
MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT INTENSITY THROUGH TAU 12. BEYOND TAU 12, COOLING
SST WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM, SLOWLY AT FIRST AND THEN MORE
RAPIDLY. BY TAU 24, EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) IS EXPECTED TO
BEGIN AS TC 08P INTERACTS WITH THE MIDLATITUDE BAROCLINIC ZONE, WITH
ETT COMPLETION BY TAU 36. DUE TO GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE DYNAMIC MODEL
GUIDANCE, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 181500Z, 182100Z, 190300Z AND 190900Z.//

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 180300 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 200118011144
2020011800 08P TINO 006 01 140 16 SATL XTRP 025
T000 191S 1763W 070 R064 055 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 045 NW QD R050
090 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 345 NE QD 225 SE QD
070 SW QD 325 NW QD
T012 220S 1735W 075 R064 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
110 NE QD 060 SE QD 000 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 380 NE QD 245 SE QD
100 SW QD 270 NW QD
T024 255S 1707W 070 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
130 NE QD 070 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 410 NE QD 270 SE QD
130 SW QD 220 NW QD
T036 299S 1672W 065 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
090 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 390 NE QD 310 SE QD
220 SW QD 230 NW QD
T048 340S 1649W 055 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034
340 NE QD 350 SE QD 290 SW QD 310 NW QD
AMP
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
180000Z --- NEAR 19.1S 176.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 180300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
180000Z --- NEAR 19.1S 176.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 345 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
325 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.1S 176.3W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 22.0S 173.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 180300
WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 200118011144
2020011800 08P TINO 006 01 140 16 SATL XTRP 025
T000 191S 1763W 070 R064 055 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 345 NE QD 225 SE QD 070 SW QD 325 NW QD
T012 220S 1735W 075 R064 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 060 SE QD 000 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 380 NE QD 245 SE QD 100 SW QD 270 NW QD
T024 255S 1707W 070 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 130 NE QD 070 SE QD 000 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 410 NE QD 270 SE QD 130 SW QD 220 NW QD
T036 299S 1672W 065 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW Q
D 020 NW QD R034 390 NE QD 310 SE QD 220 SW QD 230 NW QD
T048 340S 1649W 055 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 340 NE QD 350 SE QD 290 SW Q
D 310 NW QD
AMP
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
180000Z --- NEAR 19.1S 176.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 345 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
325 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.1S 176.3W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 22.0S 173.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 380 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
245 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 25.5S 170.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 410 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 29.9S 167.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 390 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 34.0S 164.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
350 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
310 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
180300Z POSITION NEAR 19.8S 175.6W.
18JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (TINO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 307 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FI
JI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z, 181500Z, 182100Z AND 190300Z.//
0820011512 113S1719E 25
0820011518 112S1729E 30
0820011600 113S1741E 30
0820011606 119S1755E 30
0820011612 127S1768E 35
0820011618 137S1778E 40
0820011700 148S1787E 50
0820011706 153S1799E 60
0820011706 153S1799E 60
0820011712 160S1788W 65
0820011712 160S1788W 65
0820011712 160S1788W 65
0820011718 179S1774W 70
0820011718 179S1774W 70
0820011718 179S1774W 70
0820011800 191S1763W 70
0820011800 191S1763W 70
0820011800 191S1763W 70

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 180300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
180000Z --- NEAR 19.1S 176.3W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 345 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
225 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
325 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.1S 176.3W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 22.0S 173.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 380 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
245 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 25.5S 170.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 410 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 29.9S 167.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 390 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 34.0S 164.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
350 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
310 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
180300Z POSITION NEAR 19.8S 175.6W.
18JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (TINO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 307
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 16
KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE (AMSI) IMAGERY REVEALS A DECAYING CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST
WITH DRY AIR WRAPPING IN FROM THE SOUTH. EXTRAPOLATION FROM A
172133Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS AND THE AMSI PROVIDES GOOD CONFIDENCE IN
THE INITIAL POSITION AND FAIR CONFIDENCE IN THE 34 AND 50 KT WIND
RADII. THE INITIAL INTENSITY FALLS BELOW THE KNES/PGTW DVORAK
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T4.5-5.0 (77-90 KTS) BASED ON THE
METOP-B PASS SHOWING A PEAK WIND OF 45-49 KTS. NOTABLY, 08P HAD AN
EYE BRIEFLY BETWEEN 171800Z AND 180000Z. ADDITIONALLY, A 35 KT WIND
SPEED SURFACE OBSERVATION WAS RECORDED AT LUPEPAU'U, TONGA (NFTV),
LOCATED ABOUT 135 NM TO THE EAST OF THE INITIAL POSITION. THE POLAR
FRONT JET, LOCATED ABOUT 250 NM TO THE SOUTH OF 08P IS PROVIDING
EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW. LOW (10-15 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND
WARM (27-28 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST) SHOULD BE
SUPPORTIVE FOR THE NEXT 12-18 HOURS. OVERALL, THE ENVIRONMENT IS
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE THROUGH TAU 12. FOR THE DURATION OF THE
FORECAST, TC 08P WILL TRACK ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. AFTER TAU 12, THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BECOME
SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE DUE TO COOL SST. THIS WILL CAUSE SLOW WEAKENING
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST. BY TAU 24, TC 08P WILL START
INTERACTING WITH THE MIDLATITUDE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND BEGIN
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION, WITH COMPLETION EXPECTED BY TAU 48, IF NOT
SOONER. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH
CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z, 181500Z,
182100Z AND 190300Z.//

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 172100 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 200117194840
2020011718 08P TINO 005 01 145 23 SATL 020
T000 179S 1774W 070 R064 050 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 035 NW QD R050
185 NE QD 145 SE QD 065 SW QD 120 NW QD R034 345 NE QD 200 SE QD
100 SW QD 405 NW QD
T012 207S 1746W 075 R064 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 025 NW QD R050
190 NE QD 125 SE QD 040 SW QD 085 NW QD R034 385 NE QD 240 SE QD
130 SW QD 340 NW QD
T024 238S 1719W 070 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050
190 NE QD 110 SE QD 020 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 420 NE QD 280 SE QD
160 SW QD 280 NW QD
T036 278S 1689W 065 R064 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
150 NE QD 080 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 420 NE QD 310 SE QD
200 SW QD 250 NW QD
T048 318S 1663W 055 R050 090 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034
400 NE QD 330 SE QD 290 SW QD 290 NW QD
AMP
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171800Z --- NEAR 17.9S 177.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 23 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 172100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171800Z --- NEAR 17.9S 177.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 23 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 345 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
405 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S 177.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 20.7S 174.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 172100
WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 200117194840
2020011718 08P TINO 005 01 145 23 SATL 020
T000 179S 1774W 070 R064 050 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 185 NE QD 145 SE QD 065 SW Q
D 120 NW QD R034 345 NE QD 200 SE QD 100 SW QD 405 NW QD
T012 207S 1746W 075 R064 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 190 NE QD 125 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 085 NW QD R034 385 NE QD 240 SE QD 130 SW QD 340 NW QD
T024 238S 1719W 070 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 190 NE QD 110 SE QD 020 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 420 NE QD 280 SE QD 160 SW QD 280 NW QD
T036 278S 1689W 065 R064 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 150 NE QD 080 SE QD 020 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 420 NE QD 310 SE QD 200 SW QD 250 NW QD
T048 318S 1663W 055 R050 090 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 400 NE QD 330 SE QD 290 SW Q
D 290 NW QD
AMP
024HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
036HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
048HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171800Z --- NEAR 17.9S 177.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 23 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 345 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
405 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S 177.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 20.7S 174.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 385 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
340 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 23.8S 171.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 420 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 27.8S 168.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 420 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 31.8S 166.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 400 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
330 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
172100Z POSITION NEAR 18.6S 176.7W.
17JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (TINO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM EAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TR
ACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS (KTS) OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300
Z, 180900Z, 181500Z AND 182100Z.//
0820011512 113S1719E 25
0820011518 112S1729E 30
0820011600 113S1741E 30
0820011606 119S1755E 30
0820011612 127S1768E 35
0820011618 137S1778E 40
0820011700 148S1787E 50
0820011706 153S1799E 60
0820011706 153S1799E 60
0820011712 160S1788W 65
0820011712 160S1788W 65
0820011712 160S1788W 65
0820011718 179S1774W 70
0820011718 179S1774W 70
0820011718 179S1774W 70

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 172100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171800Z --- NEAR 17.9S 177.4W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 23 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 345 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
405 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S 177.4W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 20.7S 174.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 385 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
340 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 23.8S 171.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 420 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 27.8S 168.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 420 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 31.8S 166.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 400 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
330 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
172100Z POSITION NEAR 18.6S 176.7W.
17JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (TINO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240
NM EAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 23 KNOTS (KTS)
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY REVEALS AN APPROXIMATE 210 NM CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST (CDO).
A 171749Z SSMIS 37 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS A MICROWAVE EYE
FEATURE, PROVIDING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY FALLS JUST BELOW PGTW/KNES DVORAK CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T4.5 (77 KTS) DUE TO THE INTRUSION OF WARMER
CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES IN THE CDO. THE ENVIRONMENT, CHARACTERIZED BY
RADIAL OUTFLOW, LOW (10-15 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (27-28
CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST), IS FAVORABLE. TC 08P IS
TRACKING ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND WILL
CONTINUE TO DO SO UNTIL BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL AROUND TAU 48. COOL
SST AFTER TAU 24, WILL CAUSE THE INTENSITY TO FALL TO 55 KTS BY TAU
48. AROUND TAU 24, THE SYSTEM WILL START INTERACTING WITH THE
MIDLATITUDE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION, WITH
COMPLETION BY TAU 48. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF NAVGEM (SLIGHT
SOUTHWESTERN OUTLIER), NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN STRONG
AGREEMENT, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 180300Z, 180900Z, 181500Z AND 182100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 171500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 200117144526
2020011712 08P TINO 004 01 120 12 SATL 040
T000 159S 1791W 065 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 030 NW QD R050
095 NE QD 090 SE QD 050 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 330 NE QD 170 SE QD
100 SW QD 385 NW QD
T012 185S 1767W 070 R064 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 060 NW QD R050
150 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 360 NE QD 250 SE QD
120 SW QD 280 NW QD
T024 212S 1743W 075 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
150 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 370 NE QD 270 SE QD
120 SW QD 250 NW QD
T036 245S 1714W 070 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
140 NE QD 060 SE QD 020 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 380 NE QD 280 SE QD
110 SW QD 240 NW QD
T048 289S 1684W 065 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050
120 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 360 NE QD 290 SE QD
160 SW QD 250 NW QD
T072 355S 1640W 055 R050 100 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 160 NW QD R034
300 NE QD 300 SE QD 260 SW QD 300 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171200Z --- NEAR 15.9S 179.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 171500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171200Z --- NEAR 15.9S 179.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
385 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9S 179.1W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 18.5S 176.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 171500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171200Z --- NEAR 15.9S 179.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
385 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9S 179.1W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 18.5S 176.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 360 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 21.2S 174.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 370 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 24.5S 171.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 380 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 28.9S 168.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 360 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 35.5S 164.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
300 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
171500Z POSITION NEAR 16.6S 178.5W.
17JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (TINO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
195 NM NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT
12 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
(EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) OBSCURED BY OVERHEAD CONVECTION WITH DEEP CONVECTIVE
BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC. BASED ON THE EIR AND AN
EXTRAPOLATION OF A 170638Z SSMIS 37 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTING
A FORMATIVE MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE, THERE IS FAIR CONFIDENCE IN THE
INITIAL POSITION. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS SET AT 65 KTS BASED ON
A 170558Z SMAP ESTIMATE OF 62 KTS. THIS IS FURTHER SUPPORTED BY A
170610Z SATELLITE CONSENSUS ESTIMATE OF 62 KTS AND MULTI-AGENCY
DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T3.5-4.0 (55-65 KTS) BY
PGTW/KNES/NFFN/PHFO, LENDING GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL
INTENSITY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD POLEWARD AND
EQUATORWARD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW CHANNELS, SUPPORTED BY A POINT
SOURCE POSITIONED OVER THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN AN AREA
OF LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND WARM (28-29
CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST), ESTABLISHING AN OVERALL
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF FURTHER
INTENSIFICATION. TC 08P IS TRACKING ALONG A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
(STR) TO THE EAST WHICH WILL ACT AS THE PRIMARY STEERING FEATURE
THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO
INTENSIFY IN THE NEAR TERM, PEAKING AROUND TAU 24, AND THEN
GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS COOLING SST AND INCREASING VWS IMPACT THE
SYSTEM. AROUND TAU 48, TC 08P WILL BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION
(ETT) AS IT STARTS TO INTERACT WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. BY TAU
72, TC 08P WILL COMPLETE ETT, TAKING ON FRONTAL CHARACTERISTICS AS
IT BECOMES EMBEDDED IN THE JET. OVERALL, DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS
IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD, NAVGEM EMERGES
AS THE WESTERNMOST SOLUTION WHILE UKMET AND UKMET ENSEMBLE BECOME
THE EASTERNMOST TRACKS, GRADUALLY INCREASING THE MODEL SOLUTION
SPREAD TO 190 NM BY TAU 48. OVERALL, THERE IS GOOD CONFIDENCE IN
THE JTWC TRACK FORECAST WHICH IS PLACED NEAR THE MULTI-MODEL
CONSENSUS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 25 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z, 180300Z, 180900Z AND 181500Z.//

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 171500
WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 200117144526
2020011712 08P TINO 004 01 120 12 SATL 040
T000 159S 1791W 065 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 095 NE QD 090 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 100 NW QD R034 330 NE QD 170 SE QD 100 SW QD 385 NW QD
T012 185S 1767W 070 R064 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 150 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 360 NE QD 250 SE QD 120 SW QD 280 NW QD
T024 212S 1743W 075 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 150 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 370 NE QD 270 SE QD 120 SW QD 250 NW QD
T036 245S 1714W 070 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 140 NE QD 060 SE QD 020 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 380 NE QD 280 SE QD 110 SW QD 240 NW QD
T048 289S 1684W 065 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 120 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 360 NE QD 290 SE QD 160 SW QD 250 NW QD
T072 355S 1640W 055 R050 100 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 160 NW QD R034 300 NE QD 300 SE QD 260 SW Q
D 300 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171200Z --- NEAR 15.9S 179.1W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
385 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9S 179.1W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 18.5S 176.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 360 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 21.2S 174.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 370 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 24.5S 171.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 380 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 28.9S 168.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 360 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
290 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 35.5S 164.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
300 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
171500Z POSITION NEAR 16.6S 178.5W.
17JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195
NM NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 172100Z, 180300Z, 180900Z AND 181500Z.
//
0820011512 113S1719E 25
0820011518 112S1729E 30
0820011600 113S1741E 30
0820011606 119S1755E 30
0820011612 127S1768E 35
0820011618 137S1778E 40
0820011700 148S1787E 45
0820011706 153S1798E 60
0820011706 153S1798E 60
0820011712 159S1791W 65
0820011712 159S1791W 65
0820011712 159S1791W 65

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 170900 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 200117084100
2020011706 08P TINO 003 01 125 08 SATL 040
T000 153S 1794E 055 R050 030 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R034
350 NE QD 165 SE QD 095 SW QD 340 NW QD
T012 178S 1781W 060 R050 170 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034
370 NE QD 230 SE QD 140 SW QD 290 NW QD
T024 204S 1758W 060 R050 180 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034
370 NE QD 250 SE QD 160 SW QD 240 NW QD
T036 232S 1731W 060 R050 140 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
380 NE QD 280 SE QD 150 SW QD 220 NW QD
T048 270S 1700W 055 R050 130 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034
370 NE QD 310 SE QD 150 SW QD 230 NW QD
T072 343S 1641W 050 R050 040 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 120 NW QD R034
340 NE QD 300 SE QD 250 SW QD 290 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
170600Z --- NEAR 15.3S 179.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 170900 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
170600Z --- NEAR 15.3S 179.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
340 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.3S 179.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 17.8S 178.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 370 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 170900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
170600Z --- NEAR 15.3S 179.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
340 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.3S 179.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 17.8S 178.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 370 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 20.4S 175.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 370 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 23.2S 173.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 380 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 27.0S 170.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 370 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 34.3S 164.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
170900Z POSITION NEAR 15.9S 180.0E.
17JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (TINO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
178 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT
08 KNOTS (KTS) OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING SYSTEM WITH DEEP
CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING TIGHTLY INTO AN OBSCURED LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON AN
EXTRAPOLATION OF THE 170429Z SSMIS 37 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE, PLACING
FAIR CONFIDENCE IN THE INITIAL POSITION. BASED ON PGTW/KNES DVORAK
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T3.5 (55 KTS), AN ADVANCED DVORAK
TECHNIQUE ESTIMATE OF T3.6 (57 KTS), AND A SATELLITE CONSENSUS
ESTIMATE OF 56 KTS, THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 55 KNOTS
WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. THERE REMAIN AREAS OF DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN
THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE WHICH ARE ASSOCIATED WITH LOW-LEVEL
CONVERGENT WESTERLY FLOW AND UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. UPPER-LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW, SUPPORTED BY A POINT SOURCE
POSITIONED OVER THE SYSTEM AND WELL-DEVELOPED POLEWARD AND
EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNELS. ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS IN A
REGION OF LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM
(28-29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST), CONTRIBUTING TO
THE OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. TC 08P IS TRACKING ALONG A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) ENTRENCHED TO THE EAST, WHICH WILL REMAIN
AS THE PRIMARY STEERING FEATURE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC
08P IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY TO 60 KTS IN THE NEAR TERM
AS IT TRANSITS THROUGH THIS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. AFTER TAU 36,
COOLING SST (LESS THAN 26 CELSIUS) WILL CAUSE TC 08P TO WEAKEN AS
IT BEGINS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT). THROUGHOUT ETT, SST WILL
CONTINUE TO DECREASE, DROPPING BELOW 20 CELSIUS, AND VWS WILL
RAPIDLY INCREASE TO VALUES GREATER THAN 60 KTS. TC 08P WILL
COMPLETE ETT BY TAU 72, GAINING FRONTAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT
TRACKS NEAR THE JET STREAM. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN STRONG
AGREEMENT, INCREASING TO A 70 NM SPREAD IN MODELS BY TAU 36. AFTER
THIS, MODEL AGREEMENT REMAINS GOOD; HOWEVER, AS THE SYSTEM BEGINS
TO INTERACT WITH THE JET AND THE BAROCLINIC ZONE, MODEL SPREAD
INCREASES SIGNIFICANTLY. OVERALL, THERE IS GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE
JTWC TRACK FORECAST WHICH IS PLACED NEAR THE MULTI-MODEL
CONSENSUS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 23 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z, 172100Z, 180300Z AND 180900Z.//

>

Original Message :

WTPS51 PGTW 170900
WARNING ATCG MIL 08P SWP 200117084100
2020011706 08P TINO 003 01 125 08 SATL 040
T000 153S 1794E 055 R050 030 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 350 NE QD 165 SE QD 095 SW QD 340 NW QD
T012 178S 1781W 060 R050 170 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 370 NE QD 230 SE QD 140 SW QD 290 NW QD
T024 204S 1758W 060 R050 180 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 370 NE QD 250 SE QD 160 SW QD 240 NW QD
T036 232S 1731W 060 R050 140 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 380 NE QD 280 SE QD 150 SW QD 220 NW QD
T048 270S 1700W 055 R050 130 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 370 NE QD 310 SE QD 150 SW QD 230 NW QD
T072 343S 1641W 050 R050 040 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 120 NW QD R034 340 NE QD 300 SE QD 250 SW QD 290 NW QD
AMP
048HR BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
072HR EXTRATROPICAL
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
170600Z --- NEAR 15.3S 179.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
340 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.3S 179.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 17.8S 178.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 370 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 20.4S 175.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 370 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 19 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 23.2S 173.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 380 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
220 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z --- 27.0S 170.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 370 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 34.3S 164.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
170900Z POSITION NEAR 15.9S 180.0E.
17JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 178 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 171500Z, 172100Z, 180300Z AND 180900Z.//
0820011512 113S1719E 25
0820011518 112S1729E 30
0820011600 113S1741E 30
0820011606 119S1755E 30
0820011612 127S1768E 35
0820011618 137S1778E 40
0820011700 148S1787E 45
0820011706 153S1794E 55
0820011706 153S1794E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 170300 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
170000Z --- NEAR 14.9S 178.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 295 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
320 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S 178.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 17.1S 179.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 19.5S 176.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 170300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
170000Z --- NEAR 14.9S 178.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 295 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
320 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S 178.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 17.1S 179.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 350 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
280 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 19.5S 176.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 360 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 22.1S 174.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 370 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 25.2S 171.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 360 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 32.3S 164.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 340 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
170300Z POSITION NEAR 15.5S 179.3E.
17JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (TINO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 193
NM NORTH OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING SYSTEM WITH DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING
WRAPPING TIGHTLY INTO A PARTIALL-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC), WHICH SUPPORTS THE CURRENT POSITION WITH FAIR
CONFIDENCE. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW
EXTENSIVE AREAS OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE
ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENT WESTERLY FLOW AND UPPER-
LEVEL DIVERGENCE. A 162153Z AMSU 89GHZ IMAGE DEPICTS A PRIMARY BAND
OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE WRAPPING INTO AN
ELONGATED BUT DEFINED LLCC. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 45
KNOTS BASED ON PGTW/NFFN DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T3.0 (45 KNOTS) AND
RECENT ASCAT DATA. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW WITH
A POINT SOURCE POSITIONED OVER THE CENTER AND NEAR-RADIAL OUTFLOW,
AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). SST VALUES OF ABOUT 29C REMAIN
FAVORABLE. OVERALL, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST
TRACK DUE TO A RELATIVELY SIMPLE STEERING PATTERN WITH THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) ENTRENCHED TO THE EAST THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT THROUGH TAU
36 WITH A 35-50NM SPREAD IN SOLUTIONS, AND, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
NAVGEM, REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TAU 72 WITH A 155NM SPREAD
IN SOLUTIONS AT TAU 72. ADDITIONALLY, THE ECMWF ENSEMBLE REMAINS IN
TIGHT AGREEMENT LENDING MORE CONFIDENCE TO THE FORECAST. TC 08P IS
FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY DUE TO THE BROAD NATURE OF THE SYSTEM,
HOWEVER, IT IS EXPECTED TO PEAK AT 60 KNOTS BY TAU 24 AS UPPER-LEVEL
CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE. AFTER TAU 48, TC 08P WILL WEAKEN
GRADUALLY AS IT TRACKS OVER COOLER SST (LESS THAN 25C) AND BEGINS
EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT). BY TAU 72, SST VALUES WILL DECREASE
SIGNIFICANTLY (20C) AND VWS WILL INCREASE TO STRONG LEVELS (40-50
KNOTS), WHICH WILL FURTHER WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. TC 08P WILL COMPLETE
ETT BY TAU 72 AS IT GAINS FRONTAL CHARACTERISTICS AND TRACKS NEAR
THE JET STREAM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 21
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z, 171500Z, 172100Z AND 180300Z.//
NNNN

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Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 162100 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 001//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/152051ZJAN2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
161800Z --- NEAR 13.7S 177.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
360 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.7S 177.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 16.0S 179.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
300 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 16 KTS

>

Original Message :

WTPS31 PGTW 162100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 001//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/152051ZJAN2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (TINO) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
161800Z --- NEAR 13.7S 177.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
360 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.7S 177.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 16.0S 179.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
300 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z --- 18.3S 177.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 20.7S 175.8W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 23.4S 173.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 330 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
230 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 30.6S 165.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 310 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
162100Z POSITION NEAR 14.3S 178.3E.
16JAN20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (TINO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 266
NM NORTH OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING SYSTEM WITH DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING
WRAPPING TIGHTLY INTO A DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC),
WHICH SUPPORTS THE CURRENT POSITION WITH FAIR CONFIDENCE. EIR ALSO
CONTINUES TO SHOW EXTENSIVE AREAS OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENT
WESTERLY FLOW AND UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. A 161714Z SSMIS 91GHZ
IMAGE DEPICTS A PRIMARY BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHERN
AND WESTERN QUADRANTS WITH FRAGMENTED BANDING ELSEWHERE BUT CLEARLY
REFLECTS THE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION THAT HAS OCCURRED OVER THE PAST
SIX TO TWELVE HOURS. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 40 KNOTS
BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING FROM T2.5 TO T3.0
(35 TO 45 KNOTS). UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES IMPROVED OUTFLOW
WITH A POINT SOURCE NOW POSITIONED OVER THE CENTER AND NEAR-RADIAL
OUTFLOW, AND DECREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). SST VALUES OF 29C
REMAIN FAVORABLE. OVERALL, THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC
FORECAST TRACK DUE TO A RELATIVELY SIMPLE STEERING PATTERN WITH THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) ENTRENCHED TO THE EAST THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT THROUGH TAU
36 WITH A 40-45NM SPREAD IN SOLUTIONS, AND REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT
THROUGH TAU 72 WITH A 145NM SPREAD IN SOLUTIONS AT TAU 72.
ADDITIONALLY, THE ECMWF ENSEMBLE REMAINS IN TIGHT AGREEMENT LENDING
MORE CONFIDENCE TO THE FORECAST. TC 08P IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY
SLOWLY DUE TO THE BROAD NATURE OF THE SYSTEM, HOWEVER, IT IS
EXPECTED TO PEAK AT 60 KNOTS BY TAU 36 AS UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS
REMAIN FAVORABLE. AFTER TAU 48, TC 08P WILL WEAKEN GRADUALLY AS IT
TRACKS OVER COOLER SST (LESS THAN 26C) AND BEGINS EXTRA-TROPICAL
TRANSITION (ETT). BY TAU 72, SST VALUES WILL DECREASE SIGNIFICANTLY
(20C) AND VWS WILL INCREASE TO STRONG LEVELS (30-40 KNOTS), WHICH
WILL FURTHER WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. TC 08P WILL COMPLETE ETT BY TAU 72
AS IT GAINS FRONTAL CHARACTERISTICS AND TRACKS NEAR THE JET STREAM.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 170300Z, 170900Z, 171500Z AND 172100Z.
2. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 152100).//

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