Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NAKRI-19
in Viet Nam, Cambodia, Philippines, Laos, Thailand

Global Telecommunication Service

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Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 110000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110000UTC 13N 109E
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 1002HPA =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 110000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110000UTC 13N 109E
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 1002HPA =


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 102100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 102100UTC 12.9N 109.2E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
24HF 112100UTC 14.3N 106.5E 70NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 102100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 102100UTC 12.9N 109.2E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
24HF 112100UTC 14.3N 106.5E 70NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 102100
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 191110194804
2019111018 25W NAKRI 021 01 280 07 SATL 045
T000 129N 1092E 045 R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD
T012 132N 1079E 030
T024 137N 1065E 025
T036 143N 1052E 020
AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 021
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101800Z --- NEAR 12.9N 109.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N 109.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 13.2N 107.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 13.7N 106.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 14.3N 105.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
102100Z POSITION NEAR 13.0N 108.9E.
10NOV19. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
193 NM NORTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH CITY, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED
WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
2519110318 130N1152E 20
2519110400 131N1151E 20
2519110406 133N1150E 20
2519110412 135N1151E 20
2519110418 137N1152E 20
2519110500 138N1154E 20
2519110506 137N1156E 20
2519110512 135N1157E 20
2519110518 135N1159E 25
2519110600 133N1161E 30
2519110606 132N1164E 35
2519110612 133N1167E 40
2519110618 133N1169E 40
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110818 126N1157E 65
2519110818 126N1157E 65
2519110818 126N1157E 65
2519110900 124N1150E 60
2519110900 124N1150E 60
2519110906 126N1140E 60
2519110906 126N1140E 60
2519110912 127N1132E 55
2519110912 127N1132E 55
2519110918 130N1130E 55
2519110918 130N1130E 55
2519111000 128N1119E 55
2519111000 128N1119E 55
2519111006 129N1109E 55
2519111006 129N1109E 55
2519111012 128N1099E 55
2519111012 128N1099E 55
2519111018 129N1092E 45
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 102100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 021//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101800Z --- NEAR 12.9N 109.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N 109.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 13.2N 107.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 13.7N 106.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 14.3N 105.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
102100Z POSITION NEAR 13.0N 108.9E.
10NOV19. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
193 NM NORTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH CITY, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED
WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 101945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 101800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 994 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (12.7 N) ONE
ZERO NINE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (109.2 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 101800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.26 FOR TS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS NAKRI IS LOCATED AT 12.8N, 109.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 40KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF LOW TCHP, STRONG VWS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF
ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT
VIET-NAM SOON. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM
WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT06. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 101800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101800UTC 12.8N 109.5E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
24HF 111800UTC 14.2N 106.7E 70NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 101800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101800UTC 12.8N 109.5E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 60NM
FORECAST
24HF 111800UTC 14.2N 106.7E 70NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 101800
WARNING 101800.
WARNING VALID 111800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1924 NAKRI (1924) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL
STORM 996 HPA
AT 12.8N 109.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 13.5N 108.0E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 14.2N 106.7E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 101645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 101500 UTC, TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (12.6 N) ONE ZERO
NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (109.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 101500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1924 NAKRI (1924) DOWNGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101500UTC 12.6N 109.7E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 111500UTC 13.9N 107.0E 50NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 101500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1924 NAKRI (1924) DOWNGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101500UTC 12.6N 109.7E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 111500UTC 13.9N 107.0E 50NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 101500
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 191110132644
2019111012 25W NAKRI 020 01 285 13 SATL 050
T000 130N 1096E 055 R050 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 105 SE QD 070 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 132N 1081E 040
T024 137N 1067E 030
T036 141N 1052E 020
AMP
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 020
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101200Z --- NEAR 13.0N 109.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.0N 109.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 13.2N 108.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 13.7N 106.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 14.1N 105.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
101500Z POSITION NEAR 13.0N 109.2E.
10NOV19. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 102100Z, 110300Z, 110900Z AND 111500Z.
//
2519110318 130N1152E 20
2519110400 131N1151E 20
2519110406 133N1150E 20
2519110412 135N1151E 20
2519110418 137N1152E 20
2519110500 138N1154E 20
2519110506 137N1156E 20
2519110512 135N1157E 20
2519110518 135N1159E 25
2519110600 133N1161E 30
2519110606 132N1164E 35
2519110612 133N1167E 40
2519110618 133N1169E 40
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110818 126N1157E 65
2519110818 126N1157E 65
2519110818 126N1157E 65
2519110900 124N1150E 60
2519110900 124N1150E 60
2519110906 126N1140E 60
2519110906 126N1140E 60
2519110912 127N1132E 55
2519110912 127N1132E 55
2519110918 130N1130E 55
2519110918 130N1130E 55
2519111000 128N1119E 55
2519111000 128N1119E 55
2519111006 127N1109E 55
2519111006 127N1109E 55
2519111012 130N1096E 55
2519111012 130N1096E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 101500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 020//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101200Z --- NEAR 13.0N 109.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.0N 109.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 13.2N 108.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 13.7N 106.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 14.1N 105.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
101500Z POSITION NEAR 13.0N 109.2E.
10NOV19. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z, 110300Z, 110900Z AND 111500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 101345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 101200 UTC, TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (12.6 N) ONE ZERO
NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (109.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 101200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.25 FOR STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS NAKRI IS LOCATED AT 12.6N, 110.1E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 50KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF LOW TCHP, STRONG VWS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND. ANIMATED MSI
SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
DMSP-F15/SSMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND
WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM
WILL HIT VIET-NAM BY FT09. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM
WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT12. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 101200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101200UTC 12.6N 110.1E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 111200UTC 13.6N 107.5E 50NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 101200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101200UTC 12.6N 110.1E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 111200UTC 13.6N 107.5E 50NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 101200
WARNING 101200.
WARNING VALID 111200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1924 NAKRI (1924) 990 HPA
AT 12.6N 110.1E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 13.0N 108.5E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 13.6N 107.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 101045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 100900 UTC, TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (12.6 N) ONE ONE
ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (110.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110900 UTC
ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (107.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 100900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100900UTC 12.6N 110.5E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 60NM SOUTHEAST 30NM NORTHWEST
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 110900UTC 13.5N 107.8E 50NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 100900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100900UTC 12.6N 110.5E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 60NM SOUTHEAST 30NM NORTHWEST
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 110900UTC 13.5N 107.8E 50NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 100900
WARNING 100900.
WARNING VALID 110900.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1924 NAKRI (1924) 985 HPA
AT 12.6N 110.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 30
MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 102100UTC AT 13.0N 109.0E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110900UTC AT 13.5N 107.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1006 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 100900
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 191110074517
2019111006 25W NAKRI 019 02 270 10 SATL 040
T000 128N 1109E 050 R050 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 105 SE QD 120 SW QD 160 NW QD
T012 130N 1093E 040 R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 135N 1078E 030
T036 140N 1065E 025
T048 145N 1051E 020
AMP
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 019
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 019
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100600Z --- NEAR 12.8N 110.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N 110.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 13.0N 109.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 13.5N 107.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 14.0N 106.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 14.5N 105.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
100900Z POSITION NEAR 12.8N 110.5E.
10NOV19. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 274 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH CITY, VI, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 101500Z, 102100Z, 110300Z AND 110900Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2519110318 130N1152E 20
2519110400 131N1151E 20
2519110406 133N1150E 20
2519110412 135N1151E 20
2519110418 137N1152E 20
2519110500 138N1154E 20
2519110506 137N1156E 20
2519110512 135N1157E 20
2519110518 135N1159E 25
2519110600 133N1161E 30
2519110606 132N1164E 35
2519110612 133N1167E 40
2519110618 133N1169E 40
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110818 126N1157E 65
2519110818 126N1157E 65
2519110818 126N1157E 65
2519110900 124N1150E 60
2519110900 124N1150E 60
2519110906 126N1140E 60
2519110906 126N1140E 60
2519110912 127N1132E 55
2519110912 127N1132E 55
2519110918 130N1130E 55
2519110918 130N1130E 55
2519111000 128N1119E 55
2519111000 128N1119E 55
2519111006 128N1109E 50
2519111006 128N1109E 50
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 100900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 019//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 019
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100600Z --- NEAR 12.8N 110.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N 110.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 13.0N 109.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 13.5N 107.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 14.0N 106.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 14.5N 105.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
100900Z POSITION NEAR 12.8N 110.5E.
10NOV19. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 274 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH CITY, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z, 102100Z, 110300Z AND 110900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (HALONG) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 100600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.24 FOR STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS NAKRI IS LOCATED AT 12.6N, 110.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TCHP, STRONG VWS AND DRY
AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE
LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT VIET-NAM BY
FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOW TCHP, STRONG VWS, DRY AIR AND LAND. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL.
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT24. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 100600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100600UTC 12.6N 110.9E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 60NM SOUTHEAST 30NM NORTHWEST
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 110600UTC 13.4N 108.1E 40NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 100600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100600UTC 12.6N 110.9E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 60NM SOUTHEAST 30NM NORTHWEST
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 110600UTC 13.4N 108.1E 40NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 100600
WARNING 100600.
WARNING VALID 110600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1924 NAKRI (1924) 985 HPA
AT 12.6N 110.9E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 30
MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 12.8N 109.3E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 13.4N 108.1E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 100445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 100300 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (12.6 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (111.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110300 UTC
ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (107.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 100300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100300UTC 12.5N 111.2E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 60NM SOUTHEAST 30NM NORTHWEST
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 110300UTC 13.4N 108.2E 40NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 100300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100300UTC 12.5N 111.2E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 60NM SOUTHEAST 30NM NORTHWEST
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 110300UTC 13.4N 108.2E 40NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 100300
WARNING 100300.
WARNING VALID 110300.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1924 NAKRI (1924) 985 HPA
AT 12.5N 111.2E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 30
MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101500UTC AT 12.8N 109.7E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110300UTC AT 13.4N 108.2E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 100300
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 191110021934
2019111000 25W NAKRI 018 02 260 11 SATL 030
T000 128N 1119E 055 R050 055 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 085 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 105 SE QD 120 SW QD 160 NW QD
T012 131N 1103E 055 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 133N 1088E 045 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 140N 1074E 030
T048 146N 1068E 020
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 018
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 018
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100000Z --- NEAR 12.8N 111.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N 111.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 13.1N 110.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 13.3N 108.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 14.0N 107.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 14.6N 106.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
100300Z POSITION NEAR 12.9N 111.5E.
2519110318 130N1152E 20
2519110400 131N1151E 20
2519110406 133N1150E 20
2519110412 135N1151E 20
2519110418 137N1152E 20
2519110500 138N1154E 20
2519110506 137N1156E 20
2519110512 135N1157E 20
2519110518 135N1159E 25
2519110600 133N1161E 30
2519110606 132N1164E 35
2519110612 133N1167E 40
2519110618 133N1169E 40
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110818 126N1157E 65
2519110818 126N1157E 65
2519110818 126N1157E 65
2519110900 124N1150E 60
2519110900 124N1150E 60
2519110906 126N1140E 60
2519110906 126N1140E 60
2519110912 127N1132E 55
2519110912 127N1132E 55
2519110918 130N1130E 55
2519110918 130N1130E 55
2519111000 128N1119E 55
2519111000 128N1119E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 100300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 018//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 018
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100000Z --- NEAR 12.8N 111.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N 111.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 13.1N 110.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 13.3N 108.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 14.0N 107.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 14.6N 106.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
100300Z POSITION NEAR 12.9N 111.5E.
10NOV19. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 284 NM
SOUTHEAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 20
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z, 101500Z, 102100Z AND 110300Z. REFER TO
TROPICAL STORM 24W (HALONG) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR FINAL
WARNING.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 100000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.23 FOR STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS NAKRI IS LOCATED AT 12.5N, 111.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TCHP, STRONG VWS AND DRY
AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE
LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE NOW DISTINCT. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT VIET-NAM BY
FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW,
LOW TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL
FT24 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY
BY FT24. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 100145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 100000 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (12.6 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (111.7 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110000 UTC
ONE THREE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (13.2 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (108.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 100000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100000UTC 12.5N 111.6E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 60NM SOUTHEAST 30NM NORTHWEST
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 110000UTC 13.3N 108.5E 40NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 100000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100000UTC 12.5N 111.6E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 60NM SOUTHEAST 30NM NORTHWEST
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 110000UTC 13.3N 108.5E 40NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 100000
WARNING 100000.
WARNING VALID 110000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1924 NAKRI (1924) 985 HPA
AT 12.5N 111.6E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 30
MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 12.9N 110.2E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 13.3N 108.5E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 092245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 092100 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (12.6 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (112.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 102100 UTC
ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (13.1 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (109.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 112100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 092100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 092100UTC 12.5N 112.0E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 60NM SOUTHEAST 30NM NORTHWEST
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 102100UTC 13.1N 108.7E 50NM 70.
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 111800UTC 14.6N 106.2E 90NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 092100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 092100UTC 12.5N 112.0E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 60NM SOUTHEAST 30NM NORTHWEST
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 102100UTC 13.1N 108.7E 50NM 70.
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 111800UTC 14.6N 106.2E 90NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 092100
WARNING 092100.
WARNING VALID 102100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1924 NAKRI (1924) 985 HPA
AT 12.5N 112.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 30
MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100900UTC AT 12.8N 110.5E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 102100UTC AT 13.1N 108.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 092100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 017
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091800Z --- NEAR 13.0N 113.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.0N 113.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 13.4N 111.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 13.7N 110.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 14.0N 108.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 14.6N 107.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 15.5N 106.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
092100Z POSITION NEAR 13.1N 112.6E.
09NOV19. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 327 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
091800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z, 100900Z, 101500Z AND
102100Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 24W (HALONG) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-
HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 092100
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 191109202826
2019110918 25W NAKRI 017 02 325 04 SATL 035
T000 130N 1130E 055 R050 045 NE QD 035 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 085 SE QD 155 SW QD 135 NW QD
T012 134N 1115E 050 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 100 SW QD 140 NW QD
T024 137N 1100E 045 R034 070 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 140N 1084E 035 R034 070 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 146N 1073E 025
T072 155N 1062E 015
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 017
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 017
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091800Z --- NEAR 13.0N 113.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.0N 113.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 13.4N 111.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 13.7N 110.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 14.0N 108.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 14.6N 107.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 15.5N 106.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
092100Z POSITION NEAR 13.1N 112.6E.
09NOV19. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 327 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z, 100900Z, 101500Z AND 102100Z.
2519110318 130N1152E 20
2519110400 131N1151E 20
2519110406 133N1150E 20
2519110412 135N1151E 20
2519110418 137N1152E 20
2519110500 138N1154E 20
2519110506 137N1156E 20
2519110512 135N1157E 20
2519110518 135N1159E 25
2519110600 133N1161E 30
2519110606 132N1164E 35
2519110612 133N1167E 40
2519110618 133N1169E 40
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110818 126N1157E 65
2519110818 126N1157E 65
2519110818 126N1157E 65
2519110900 124N1150E 60
2519110900 124N1150E 60
2519110906 126N1140E 60
2519110906 126N1140E 60
2519110912 127N1132E 55
2519110912 127N1132E 55
2519110918 130N1130E 55
2519110918 130N1130E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 091800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.22 FOR STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS NAKRI IS LOCATED AT 12.4N, 112.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS THE SHORTENING OF A BAND WITH CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE
CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GPM/GMI
89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH
CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT VIET-NAM BY FT48.
THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO
OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT
LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE
TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 091945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 091800 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (12.5 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (112.7 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101800 UTC
ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (13.1 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (109.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 091800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091800UTC 12.4N 112.4E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 60NM SOUTHEAST 30NM NORTHWEST
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 101800UTC 13.1N 109.3E 50NM 70.
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 111800UTC 14.6N 106.2E 90NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 091800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091800UTC 12.4N 112.4E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 60NM SOUTHEAST 30NM NORTHWEST
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 101800UTC 13.1N 109.3E 50NM 70.
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 111800UTC 14.6N 106.2E 90NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 091800
WARNING 091800.
WARNING VALID 101800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1924 NAKRI (1924) 985 HPA
AT 12.4N 112.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 30
MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 12.7N 110.9E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 13.1N 109.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 14.6N 106.2E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1006 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 091645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 091500 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (12.5 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (113.0 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101500 UTC
ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (13.3 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (110.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 091500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091500UTC 12.4N 112.7E FAIR
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 101500UTC 13.1N 109.9E 50NM 70.
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 111200UTC 14.5N 106.8E 90NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 091500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091500UTC 12.4N 112.7E FAIR
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 101500UTC 13.1N 109.9E 50NM 70.
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 111200UTC 14.5N 106.8E 90NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 091500
WARNING 091500.
WARNING VALID 101500.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1924 NAKRI (1924) 980 HPA
AT 12.4N 112.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100300UTC AT 12.7N 111.3E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101500UTC AT 13.1N 109.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 091500
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 191109145103
2019110912 25W NAKRI 016 02 275 08 SATL 045
T000 127N 1132E 055 R050 000 NE QD 080 SE QD 000 SW QD 085 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 130 SE QD 150 SW QD 165 NW QD
T012 130N 1118E 050 R050 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 110 SW QD 150 NW QD
T024 133N 1103E 045 R034 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 138N 1086E 035 R034 070 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
T048 142N 1074E 030
T072 149N 1049E 020
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 016
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091200Z --- NEAR 12.7N 113.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N 113.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 13.0N 111.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 13.3N 110.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 13.8N 108.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 14.2N 107.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 14.9N 104.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
091500Z POSITION NEAR 12.8N 112.9E.
09NOV19. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 398 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH CITY, VI, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 092100Z, 100300Z, 100900Z AND 101500Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2519110318 130N1152E 20
2519110400 131N1151E 20
2519110406 133N1150E 20
2519110412 135N1151E 20
2519110418 137N1152E 20
2519110500 138N1154E 20
2519110506 137N1156E 20
2519110512 135N1157E 20
2519110518 135N1159E 25
2519110600 133N1161E 30
2519110606 132N1164E 35
2519110612 133N1167E 40
2519110618 133N1169E 40
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110818 126N1157E 65
2519110818 126N1157E 65
2519110818 126N1157E 65
2519110900 124N1150E 60
2519110900 124N1150E 60
2519110906 126N1140E 60
2519110906 126N1140E 60
2519110912 127N1132E 55
2519110912 127N1132E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 091500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091200Z --- NEAR 12.7N 113.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N 113.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 13.0N 111.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 13.3N 110.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 13.8N 108.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 14.2N 107.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 14.9N 104.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
091500Z POSITION NEAR 12.8N 112.9E.
09NOV19. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 398 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH CITY, VI, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 092100Z, 100300Z, 100900Z AND 101500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 24W (HALONG) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 091200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.21 FOR STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS NAKRI IS LOCATED AT 12.3N, 113.1E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 60KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE
CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT VIET-NAM BY FT48.
THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO
OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT
LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE
TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 091345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 091200 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (12.5 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (113.3 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101200 UTC
ONE THREE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (13.2 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (110.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111200 UTC
ONE FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (14.0 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (107.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 091200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091200UTC 12.3N 113.1E FAIR
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 101200UTC 13.0N 110.2E 50NM 70.
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 111200UTC 14.5N 106.8E 90NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 091200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091200UTC 12.3N 113.1E FAIR
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 101200UTC 13.0N 110.2E 50NM 70.
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 111200UTC 14.5N 106.8E 90NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 091200
WARNING 091200.
WARNING VALID 101200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1924 NAKRI (1924) 980 HPA
AT 12.3N 113.1E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 12.5N 111.7E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 13.0N 110.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 14.5N 106.8E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1006 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 091045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 090900 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (12.5 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (113.6 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100900 UTC
ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (13.1 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (111.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110900 UTC
ONE THREE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (13.9 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (107.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 090900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090900UTC 12.4N 113.3E FAIR
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 100900UTC 13.0N 110.5E 50NM 70.
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 110600UTC 14.1N 107.5E 90NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 090900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090900UTC 12.4N 113.3E FAIR
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 100900UTC 13.0N 110.5E 50NM 70.
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 110600UTC 14.1N 107.5E 90NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 090900
WARNING 090900.
WARNING VALID 100900.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1924 NAKRI (1924) 980 HPA
AT 12.4N 113.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100900UTC AT 13.0N 110.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 090900
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 191109082100
2019110906 25W NAKRI 015 02 280 10 SATL 050
T000 126N 1140E 060 R050 000 NE QD 080 SE QD 000 SW QD 085 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 130 SE QD 150 SW QD 165 NW QD
T012 129N 1126E 060 R050 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 130 SW QD 160 NW QD
T024 132N 1112E 055 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 140 NW QD
T036 136N 1096E 050 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 142N 1077E 035 R034 050 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 150N 1051E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 015
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 015
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090600Z --- NEAR 12.6N 114.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.6N 114.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 12.9N 112.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 13.2N 111.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 13.6N 109.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 14.2N 107.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 15.0N 105.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
090900Z POSITION NEAR 12.7N 113.6E.
09NOV19. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 442 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH CITY, VI, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 091500Z, 092100Z, 100300Z AND 100900Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2519110318 130N1152E 20
2519110400 131N1151E 20
2519110406 133N1150E 20
2519110412 135N1151E 20
2519110418 137N1152E 20
2519110500 138N1154E 20
2519110506 137N1156E 20
2519110512 135N1157E 20
2519110518 135N1159E 25
2519110600 133N1161E 30
2519110606 132N1164E 35
2519110612 133N1167E 40
2519110618 133N1169E 40
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110818 126N1157E 65
2519110818 126N1157E 65
2519110818 126N1157E 65
2519110900 124N1150E 60
2519110900 124N1150E 60
2519110906 126N1140E 60
2519110906 126N1140E 60
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 090900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 015
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090600Z --- NEAR 12.6N 114.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.6N 114.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 12.9N 112.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 13.2N 111.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 13.6N 109.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 14.2N 107.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 15.0N 105.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
090900Z POSITION NEAR 12.7N 113.6E.
09NOV19. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 442 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH CITY, VI, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 091500Z, 092100Z, 100300Z AND 100900Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 24W (HALONG) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 090745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 090600 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (12.5 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (114.0 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100600 UTC
ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (13.0 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (111.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110600 UTC
ONE THREE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (13.9 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (107.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 090600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.20 FOR STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS NAKRI IS LOCATED AT 12.4N, 113.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 60KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM
TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON
THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND. ANIMATED MSI
SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT VIET-NAM BY
FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE
TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 090600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090600UTC 12.4N 113.7E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 100600UTC 13.0N 110.9E 50NM 70.
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 110600UTC 14.1N 107.5E 90NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 090600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090600UTC 12.4N 113.7E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 100600UTC 13.0N 110.9E 50NM 70.
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 110600UTC 14.1N 107.5E 90NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 090600
WARNING 090600.
WARNING VALID 100600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1924 NAKRI (1924) 980 HPA
AT 12.4N 113.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 13.0N 110.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 14.1N 107.5E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 090445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 090300 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (12.5 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (114.3 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100300 UTC
ONE TWO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (12.9 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (111.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110300 UTC
ONE THREE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (13.9 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (108.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 090300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090300UTC 12.4N 114.1E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 100300UTC 12.9N 111.0E 30NM 70.
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 110000UTC 13.4N 108.2E 60NM 70.
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 120000UTC 14.2N 107.1E 100NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 090300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090300UTC 12.4N 114.1E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 100300UTC 12.9N 111.0E 30NM 70.
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 110000UTC 13.4N 108.2E 60NM 70.
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 120000UTC 14.2N 107.1E 100NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 090300
WARNING 090300.
WARNING VALID 100300.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1924 NAKRI (1924) 980 HPA
AT 12.4N 114.1E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100300UTC AT 12.9N 111.0E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 090300
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 191109023847
2019110900 25W NAKRI 014 02 260 07 SATL 030
T000 126N 1150E 060 R050 065 NE QD 050 SE QD 075 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 105 SE QD 140 SW QD 165 NW QD
T012 128N 1134E 060 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 140 SW QD 170 NW QD
T024 130N 1119E 060 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 100 SW QD 150 NW QD
T036 133N 1104E 055 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 138N 1090E 045 R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 146N 1071E 025
T096 144N 1049E 015
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 014
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 014
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 25W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090000Z --- NEAR 12.6N 115.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.6N 115.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 12.8N 113.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 13.0N 111.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 13.3N 110.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 13.8N 109.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 14.6N 107.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 14.4N 104.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
090300Z POSITION NEAR 12.6N 114.6E.
09NOV19. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 090900Z, 091500Z, 092100Z AND 100300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2519110318 130N1152E 20
2519110400 131N1151E 20
2519110406 133N1150E 20
2519110412 135N1151E 20
2519110418 137N1152E 20
2519110500 138N1154E 20
2519110506 137N1156E 20
2519110512 135N1157E 20
2519110518 135N1159E 25
2519110600 133N1161E 30
2519110606 132N1164E 35
2519110612 133N1167E 40
2519110618 133N1169E 40
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110818 127N1157E 65
2519110818 127N1157E 65
2519110818 127N1157E 65
2519110900 126N1150E 60
2519110900 126N1150E 60
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 090300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 014
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 25W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090000Z --- NEAR 12.6N 115.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.6N 115.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 12.8N 113.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 13.0N 111.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 13.3N 110.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 13.8N 109.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 14.6N 107.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 14.4N 104.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
090300Z POSITION NEAR 12.6N 114.6E.
09NOV19. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
090000Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z, 091500Z, 092100Z AND
100300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 24W (HALONG) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 090000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.19 FOR STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS NAKRI IS LOCATED AT 12.4N, 114.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 60KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND. ANIMATED MSI
SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT VIET-NAM BY
FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER
NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW
THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE
TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 090145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 090000 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (12.5 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (114.6 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100000 UTC
ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (12.8 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (111.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110000 UTC
ONE THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (13.7 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (108.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 090000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924) DOWNGRADED FROM TY
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090000UTC 12.4N 114.3E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 100000UTC 12.8N 111.1E 30NM 70.
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 110000UTC 13.4N 108.2E 60NM 70.
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 120000UTC 14.2N 107.1E 100NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 090000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924) DOWNGRADED FROM TY
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090000UTC 12.4N 114.3E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 100000UTC 12.8N 111.1E 30NM 70.
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 110000UTC 13.4N 108.2E 60NM 70.
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 120000UTC 14.2N 107.1E 100NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 090000
WARNING 090000.
WARNING VALID 100000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1924 NAKRI (1924) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 980
HPA
AT 12.4N 114.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 12.8N 111.1E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 13.4N 108.2E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 14.2N 107.1E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 082245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 082100 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (12.5 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (114.9 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 092100 UTC
ONE TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (12.7 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (112.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 102100 UTC
ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (108.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 112100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 082100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 082100UTC 12.6N 114.8E FAIR
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 092100UTC 12.8N 111.9E 50NM 70.
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
45HF 101800UTC 13.4N 109.4E 60NM 70.
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 111800UTC 13.4N 107.2E 100NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 082100
WARNING 082100.
WARNING VALID 092100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1924 NAKRI (1924) 975 HPA
AT 12.6N 114.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 092100UTC AT 12.8N 111.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 082100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 082100UTC 12.6N 114.8E FAIR
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 092100UTC 12.8N 111.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
45HF 101800UTC 13.4N 109.4E 60NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 111800UTC 13.4N 107.2E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 082100
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 191108205809
2019110818 25W NAKRI 013 02 280 11 SATL 035
T000 129N 1153E 065 R064 025 NE QD 030 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 075 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 120 SE QD 150 SW QD 135 NW QD
T012 130N 1138E 065 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 055 SE QD 060 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 110 SE QD 140 SW QD 155 NW QD
T024 132N 1122E 060 R050 035 NE QD 045 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 130 SW QD 155 NW QD
T036 134N 1107E 055 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 150 NW QD
T048 138N 1093E 050 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 075 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 148N 1075E 025
T096 150N 1053E 015
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 013
1. TYPHOON 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 013
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
081800Z --- NEAR 12.9N 115.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N 115.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 13.0N 113.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 13.2N 112.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 13.4N 110.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 13.8N 109.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 14.8N 107.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 15.0N 105.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
082100Z POSITION NEAR 12.9N 114.9E.
08NOV19. TYPHOON 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 347 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 090300Z, 090900Z, 091500Z AND 092100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2519110318 130N1152E 20
2519110400 131N1151E 20
2519110406 133N1150E 20
2519110412 135N1151E 20
2519110418 137N1152E 20
2519110500 138N1154E 20
2519110506 137N1156E 20
2519110512 135N1157E 20
2519110518 135N1159E 25
2519110600 133N1161E 30
2519110606 132N1164E 35
2519110612 133N1167E 40
2519110618 133N1169E 40
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110818 129N1153E 65
2519110818 129N1153E 65
2519110818 129N1153E 65
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 082100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 013
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
081800Z --- NEAR 12.9N 115.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N 115.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 13.0N 113.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 13.2N 112.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 13.4N 110.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 13.8N 109.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 14.8N 107.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 15.0N 105.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
082100Z POSITION NEAR 12.9N 114.9E.
08NOV19. TYPHOON 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 347 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
081800Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z, 090900Z, 091500Z AND
092100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 24W (HALONG) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 081800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.18 FOR TY 1924 NAKRI (1924)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY NAKRI IS LOCATED AT 12.5N, 115.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS THE SHORTENING OF A BAND WITH CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE
CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT VIET-NAM BY
FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND STRONG VWS.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM
WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 081945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 081800 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (12.5 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (115.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091800 UTC
ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (12.8 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (112.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101800 UTC
ONE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (13.4 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (109.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 081800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081800UTC 12.5N 115.0E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 091800UTC 12.7N 112.3E 30NM 70.
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
48HF 101800UTC 13.4N 109.4E 60NM 70.
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 111800UTC 13.4N 107.2E 100NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 081800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081800UTC 12.5N 115.0E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 091800UTC 12.7N 112.3E 30NM 70.
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
48HF 101800UTC 13.4N 109.4E 60NM 70.
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 111800UTC 13.4N 107.2E 100NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 081800
WARNING 081800.
WARNING VALID 091800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1924 NAKRI (1924) 975 HPA
AT 12.5N 115.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 12.7N 112.3E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 13.4N 109.4E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 13.4N 107.2E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 081645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 081500 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (12.4 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (115.5 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091500 UTC
ONE TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (12.7 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (112.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101500 UTC
ONE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (13.4 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (109.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111500 UTC
ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (14.6 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (106.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 081500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081500UTC 12.4N 115.2E FAIR
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 90NM SOUTH 60NM NORTH
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 091500UTC 12.6N 112.6E 30NM 70.
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 101200UTC 13.2N 110.1E 60NM 70.
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 111200UTC 15.0N 107.9E 100NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 081500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081500UTC 12.4N 115.2E FAIR
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 90NM SOUTH 60NM NORTH
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 091500UTC 12.6N 112.6E 30NM 70.
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 101200UTC 13.2N 110.1E 60NM 70.
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 111200UTC 15.0N 107.9E 100NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 081500
WARNING 081500.
WARNING VALID 091500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1924 NAKRI (1924) 975 HPA
AT 12.4N 115.2E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091500UTC AT 12.6N 112.6E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 081500
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 191108134320
2019110812 25W NAKRI 012 02 270 03 SATL 045
T000 127N 1164E 065 R064 020 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 065 SE QD 070 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 130 SE QD 150 SW QD 140 NW QD
T012 127N 1152E 065 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 055 SE QD 060 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 110 SE QD 140 SW QD 155 NW QD
T024 128N 1136E 065 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 045 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 130 SW QD 155 NW QD
T036 131N 1120E 060 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 150 NW QD
T048 135N 1105E 050 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 075 SW QD 100 NW QD
T072 145N 1077E 030
T096 148N 1064E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 012
1. TYPHOON 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 012
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
081200Z --- NEAR 12.7N 116.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N 116.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 12.7N 115.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 12.8N 113.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 13.1N 112.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 13.5N 110.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 14.5N 107.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 14.8N 106.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
081500Z POSITION NEAR 12.7N 116.1E.
08NOV19. TYPHOON 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 291 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 03
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 082100Z, 090300Z, 090900Z AND 091500Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2519110318 130N1152E 20
2519110400 131N1151E 20
2519110406 133N1150E 20
2519110412 135N1151E 20
2519110418 137N1152E 20
2519110500 138N1154E 20
2519110506 137N1156E 20
2519110512 135N1157E 20
2519110518 135N1159E 25
2519110600 133N1161E 30
2519110606 132N1164E 35
2519110612 133N1167E 40
2519110618 133N1169E 40
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
2519110812 127N1164E 65
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 081500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 012
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
081200Z --- NEAR 12.7N 116.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N 116.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 12.7N 115.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 12.8N 113.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 13.1N 112.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 13.5N 110.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 14.5N 107.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 14.8N 106.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
081500Z POSITION NEAR 12.7N 116.1E.
08NOV19. TYPHOON 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 291 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 03
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 082100Z, 090300Z, 090900Z AND 091500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 24W (HALONG) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 081200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.17 FOR TY 1924 NAKRI (1924)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY NAKRI IS LOCATED AT 12.4N, 115.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS A BAND SPIRALING AROUND THE CSC BY AT LEAST 360 DEGREES.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL
WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 081345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 081200 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (12.4 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (115.7 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091200 UTC
ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (12.6 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (113.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101200 UTC
ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (13.3 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (110.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111200 UTC
ONE FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (14.4 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (106.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 081200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081200UTC 12.4N 115.7E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 90NM SOUTH 60NM NORTH
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 091200UTC 12.6N 113.0E 30NM 70.
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 101200UTC 13.2N 110.1E 60NM 70.
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 111200UTC 15.0N 107.9E 100NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 081200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 081200UTC 12.4N 115.7E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 90NM SOUTH 60NM NORTH
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 091200UTC 12.6N 113.0E 30NM 70.
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 101200UTC 13.2N 110.1E 60NM 70.
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 111200UTC 15.0N 107.9E 100NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 081200
WARNING 081200.
WARNING VALID 091200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1924 NAKRI (1924) 975 HPA
AT 12.4N 115.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 12.6N 113.0E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 13.2N 110.1E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 15.0N 107.9E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 081045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 080900 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (12.5 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (116.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090900 UTC
ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (12.6 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (113.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100900 UTC
ONE THREE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (13.2 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (110.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110900 UTC
ONE FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (14.2 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (107.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 080900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080900UTC 12.4N 116.1E FAIR
MOVE WSW SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 90NM SOUTH 60NM NORTH
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 090900UTC 12.5N 113.4E 50NM 70.
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 100600UTC 13.0N 110.7E 75NM 70.
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 110600UTC 13.8N 107.9E 100NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 080900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080900UTC 12.4N 116.1E FAIR
MOVE WSW SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 90NM SOUTH 60NM NORTH
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 090900UTC 12.5N 113.4E 50NM 70.
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 100600UTC 13.0N 110.7E 75NM 70.
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 110600UTC 13.8N 107.9E 100NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 080900
WARNING 080900.
WARNING VALID 090900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1924 NAKRI (1924) 975 HPA
AT 12.4N 116.1E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090900UTC AT 12.5N 113.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 080900
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 191108074135
2019110806 25W NAKRI 011 02 255 04 SATL 030
T000 127N 1167E 065 R064 020 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 065 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 125 SE QD 130 SW QD 115 NW QD
T012 126N 1156E 070 R064 015 NE QD 030 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 140 SW QD 140 NW QD
T024 127N 1142E 070 R064 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 055 SE QD 045 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 140 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 129N 1127E 070 R064 015 NE QD 030 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 120 SW QD 160 NW QD
T048 132N 1110E 065 R064 015 NE QD 025 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 095 SW QD 130 NW QD
T072 141N 1080E 035
T096 147N 1066E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 011
1. TYPHOON 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 011
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 25W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080600Z --- NEAR 12.7N 116.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N 116.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 12.6N 115.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 12.7N 114.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 12.9N 112.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 13.2N 111.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 14.1N 108.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 14.7N 106.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
080900Z POSITION NEAR 12.7N 116.4E.
08NOV19. TYPHOON 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 081500Z, 082100Z, 090300Z AND 090900Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2519110318 130N1152E 20
2519110400 131N1151E 20
2519110406 133N1150E 20
2519110412 135N1151E 20
2519110418 137N1152E 20
2519110500 138N1154E 20
2519110506 137N1156E 20
2519110512 135N1157E 20
2519110518 135N1159E 25
2519110600 133N1161E 30
2519110606 132N1164E 35
2519110612 133N1167E 40
2519110618 133N1169E 40
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110806 127N1167E 65
2519110806 127N1167E 65
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 080900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 011
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 25W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080600Z --- NEAR 12.7N 116.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N 116.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 12.6N 115.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 12.7N 114.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 12.9N 112.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 13.2N 111.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 14.1N 108.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 14.7N 106.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
080900Z POSITION NEAR 12.7N 116.4E.
08NOV19. TYPHOON 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 275 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 24 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 081500Z, 082100Z, 090300Z AND 090900Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 24W (HALONG) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 080600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.16 FOR TY 1924 NAKRI (1924)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY NAKRI IS LOCATED AT 12.5N, 116.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR.
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE
CENTER ARE 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A BAND SPIRALING AROUND THE CSC
BY AT LEAST 360 DEGREES. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN
RAPIDLY UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO
TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 080745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 080600 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (12.5 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (116.4 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 60 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090600 UTC
ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (12.6 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (113.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100600 UTC
ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (13.1 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (110.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110600 UTC
ONE FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (14.2 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (107.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 080600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1924 NAKRI (1924) UPGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080600UTC 12.5N 116.4E FAIR
MOVE WSW SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 90NM SOUTH 60NM NORTH
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 090600UTC 12.4N 113.8E 50NM 70.
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 100600UTC 13.0N 110.7E 75NM 70.
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 110600UTC 13.8N 107.9E 100NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 080600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1924 NAKRI (1924) UPGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080600UTC 12.5N 116.4E FAIR
MOVE WSW SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 90NM SOUTH 60NM NORTH
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 090600UTC 12.4N 113.8E 50NM 70.
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 100600UTC 13.0N 110.7E 75NM 70.
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 110600UTC 13.8N 107.9E 100NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 080600
WARNING 080600.
WARNING VALID 090600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1924 NAKRI (1924) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 975 HPA
AT 12.5N 116.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 60 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090600UTC AT 12.4N 113.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 13.0N 110.7E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 13.8N 107.9E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 080445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 080300 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (12.8
N) ONE ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (116.5 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090300 UTC
ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (12.6 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (114.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100300 UTC
ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (13.1 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (111.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110300 UTC
ONE THREE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (13.9 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (107.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 080300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080300UTC 12.3N 116.5E FAIR
MOVE SW SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 90NM SOUTHEAST 60NM NORTHWEST
30KT 210NM
FORECAST
24HF 090300UTC 12.4N 114.1E 50NM 70.
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 100000UTC 12.8N 111.1E 75NM 70.
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 110000UTC 13.6N 108.0E 100NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 080300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080300UTC 12.3N 116.5E FAIR
MOVE SW SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 90NM SOUTHEAST 60NM NORTHWEST
30KT 210NM
FORECAST
24HF 090300UTC 12.4N 114.1E 50NM 70.
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
45HF 100000UTC 12.8N 111.1E 75NM 70.
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 110000UTC 13.6N 108.0E 100NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 080300
WARNING 080300.
WARNING VALID 090300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1924 NAKRI (1924) 980 HPA
AT 12.3N 116.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING SOUTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60
MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090300UTC AT 12.4N 114.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 080300
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 191108020810
2019110800 25W NAKRI 010 02 180 02 SATL 035
T000 128N 1171E 060 R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 105 SE QD 120 SW QD 150 NW QD
T012 127N 1161E 065 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 100 SE QD 130 SW QD 170 NW QD
T024 125N 1148E 065 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 130 SW QD 170 NW QD
T036 127N 1132E 070 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 130 SW QD 170 NW QD
T048 130N 1115E 065 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 140 NW QD
T072 134N 1087E 035 R034 080 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 140N 1070E 025
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080000Z --- NEAR 12.8N 117.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N 117.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 12.7N 116.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 12.5N 114.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 12.7N 113.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 13.0N 111.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 13.4N 108.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 14.0N 107.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
080300Z POSITION NEAR 12.8N 116.8E.
08NOV19. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 252 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT
02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 080000Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z, 081500Z, 082100Z
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
2519110318 130N1152E 20
2519110400 131N1151E 20
2519110406 133N1150E 20
2519110412 135N1151E 20
2519110418 137N1152E 20
2519110500 138N1154E 20
2519110506 137N1156E 20
2519110512 135N1157E 20
2519110518 135N1159E 25
2519110600 133N1161E 30
2519110606 132N1164E 35
2519110612 133N1167E 40
2519110618 133N1169E 40
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110712 132N1172E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110718 130N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
2519110800 128N1171E 60
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 080300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
080000Z --- NEAR 12.8N 117.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.8N 117.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 12.7N 116.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 12.5N 114.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 12.7N 113.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 13.0N 111.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 13.4N 108.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 14.0N 107.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
080300Z POSITION NEAR 12.8N 116.8E.
08NOV19. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 252 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT
02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 080000Z IS 21 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z, 081500Z, 082100Z
AND 090300Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 24W (HALONG) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 080000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.15 FOR STS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS NAKRI IS LOCATED AT 12.4N, 116.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 60KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM
TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON
THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING
FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE
SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. DMSP-F15/SSMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN
RAPIDLY UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO
TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE
DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 080145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 080000 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (12.9 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (116.5 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090000 UTC
ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (12.6 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (114.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100000 UTC
ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (13.0 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (111.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110000 UTC
ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (13.8 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (108.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 080000
WARNING 080000.
WARNING VALID 090000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1924 NAKRI (1924) 980 HPA
AT 12.4N 116.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING SOUTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60
MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 090000UTC AT 12.4N 114.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 12.8N 111.1E WITH 75 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 13.6N 108.0E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 072245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 072100 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (13.1
N) ONE ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (116.6 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 082100 UTC
ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (12.6 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (115.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 092100 UTC
ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (13.0 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (112.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 102100 UTC
ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (13.6 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (108.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 112100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 072100
WARNING 072100.
WARNING VALID 082100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1924 NAKRI (1924) 980 HPA
AT 12.6N 116.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING SOUTHSOUTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 60
MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 210
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 082100UTC AT 12.5N 114.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 072100
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 191107200529
2019110718 25W NAKRI 009 02 295 02 SATL 035
T000 136N 1170E 060 R050 050 NE QD 075 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 165 SE QD 165 SW QD 175 NW QD
T012 135N 1164E 065 R064 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 130 SE QD 155 SW QD 185 NW QD
T024 133N 1152E 070 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 150 SW QD 190 NW QD
T036 133N 1138E 070 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 150 SW QD 190 NW QD
T048 135N 1123E 065 R064 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 130 SW QD 170 NW QD
T072 141N 1092E 045 R034 080 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 147N 1074E 025
T120 155N 1051E 015
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 009
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071800Z --- NEAR 13.6N 117.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N 117.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 13.5N 116.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 13.3N 115.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 13.3N 113.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 13.5N 112.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 14.1N 109.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 14.7N 107.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 15.5N 105.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
072100Z POSITION NEAR 13.6N 116.9E.
07NOV19. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
080300Z, 080900Z, 081500Z AND 082100Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 24W (HALONG)
2519110318 130N1152E 20
2519110400 131N1151E 20
2519110406 133N1150E 20
2519110412 135N1151E 20
2519110418 137N1152E 20
2519110500 138N1154E 20
2519110506 137N1156E 20
2519110512 135N1157E 20
2519110518 135N1159E 25
2519110600 133N1161E 30
2519110606 132N1164E 35
2519110612 133N1167E 40
2519110618 133N1169E 40
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110700 133N1171E 50
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110706 133N1173E 55
2519110712 135N1172E 60
2519110712 135N1172E 60
2519110718 136N1170E 60
2519110718 136N1170E 60
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 072100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 009
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071800Z --- NEAR 13.6N 117.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N 117.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 13.5N 116.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z --- 13.3N 115.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 13.3N 113.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 13.5N 112.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 14.1N 109.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 14.7N 107.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 15.5N 105.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
072100Z POSITION NEAR 13.6N 116.9E.
07NOV19. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 240 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
080300Z, 080900Z, 081500Z AND 082100Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 24W (HALONG)
WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. //
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 071945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 071800 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (13.4
N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (117.0 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 55 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081800 UTC
ONE TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (12.7 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (115.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091800 UTC
ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (13.0 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (112.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101800 UTC
ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (109.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111800 UTC
ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (14.6 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (106.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.
0000023100
09619

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 071645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 071500 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (13.4
N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (117.1 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO BE SLOW MOVING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081500 UTC
ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (13.0 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (115.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091500 UTC
ONE THREE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (13.2 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (112.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101500 UTC
ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (109.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111500 UTC
ONE FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (14.2 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (107.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 071500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI) WARNING NR 008
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
071200Z --- NEAR 13.5N 117.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N 117.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z --- 13.4N 116.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 13.3N 116.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z --- 13.2N 114.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 13.3N 113.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 13.8N 110.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 14.5N 107.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 15.2N 105.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
071500Z POSITION NEAR 13.5N 117.2E.
07NOV19. TROPICAL STORM 25W (NAKRI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 543 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 02
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
071200Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z, 080300Z, 080900Z AND
081500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 24W (HALONG) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 071345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 071200 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5
N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (117.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO BE SLOW MOVING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081200 UTC
ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (13.1 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (116.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091200 UTC
ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (13.1 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (113.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101200 UTC
ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (110.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111200 UTC
ONE FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (14.1 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (107.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 071045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 070900 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5
N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (117.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO BE SLOW MOVING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080900 UTC
ONE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (13.4 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (116.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090900 UTC
ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (13.1 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (113.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100900 UTC
ONE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (13.4 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (110.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110900 UTC
ONE FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (14.1 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (107.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 070745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 070600 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5
N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (117.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO BE SLOW MOVING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080600 UTC
ONE THREE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (13.2 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (116.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090600 UTC
ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (13.1 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (113.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100600 UTC
ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (110.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110600 UTC
ONE FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (14.1 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (107.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.
0000012300
06040

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 070445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 070300 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5
N) ONE ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (117.3 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO BE SLOW MOVING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 150 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 300 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080300 UTC
ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (13.3 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (116.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090300 UTC
ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (13.0 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (113.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100300 UTC
ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (110.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110300 UTC
ONE FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (14.1 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (107.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 062245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 062100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (13.6 N) ONE ONE
SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (117.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
BE SLOW MOVING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 072100 UTC
ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (13.3 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (116.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 082100 UTC
ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (13.0 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (114.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 092100 UTC
ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (13.3 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (111.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 102100 UTC
ONE FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (14.0 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (108.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 112100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 061800 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.10 FOR TS 1924 NAKRI (1924)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS NAKRI IS LOCATED AT 13.5N, 116.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED
THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF ACTIVE
CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC, INDICATING INTERFERENCE
FROM INTENSIFICATION. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY
OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN
CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 061945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 061800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (13.6 N) ONE ONE
SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (117.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
BE SLOW MOVING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 071800 UTC
ONE THREE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (13.2 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (117.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081800 UTC
ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (13.0 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (115.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091800 UTC
ONE THREE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (13.2 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (112.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101800 UTC
ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (13.8 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (108.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 061645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 061500 UTC, TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (13.6 N) ONE ONE
SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (116.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
BE SLOW MOVING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 071500 UTC
ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (13.3 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (117.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081500 UTC
ONE TWO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (12.9 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (115.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091500 UTC
ONE TWO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (12.9 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (112.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101500 UTC
ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (13.3 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (109.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 061345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 061200 UTC, TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (13.7 N) ONE
ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (116.5 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO BE SLOW MOVING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 061045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 060900 UTC, TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (13.7 N) ONE
ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (116.4 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO BE SLOW MOVING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070900 UTC
ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (117.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080900 UTC
ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (13.1 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (116.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090900 UTC
ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (12.8 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (113.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100900 UTC
ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (13.3 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (110.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110900 UTC
ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (13.8 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (107.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 060745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 060600 UTC, TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (13.7 N) ONE
ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (116.4 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO BE SLOW MOVING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070600 UTC
ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (117.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080600 UTC
ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (13.0 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (116.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090600 UTC
ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (12.8 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (113.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100600 UTC
ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (13.3 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (110.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110600 UTC
ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (13.6 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (107.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 060445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 060300 UTC, TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5 N) ONE
ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (116.4 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO BE SLOW MOVING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070300 UTC
ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (13.3 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (116.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080300 UTC
ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (13.0 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (115.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090300 UTC
ONE TWO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (12.9 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (113.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100300 UTC
ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (13.8 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (109.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110300 UTC
ONE FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (14.4 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (106.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 060145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 060000 UTC, TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5 N) ONE
ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (116.4 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO BE SLOW MOVING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 070000 UTC
ONE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (13.4 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (116.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080000 UTC
ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (13.0 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (115.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090000 UTC
ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (12.8 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (113.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100000 UTC
ONE THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (13.7 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (110.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110000 UTC
ONE FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (14.3 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (107.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 052245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 052100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM NAKRI (1924) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 995 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (13.6 N) ONE ONE
SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (116.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO BE
SLOW MOVING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 240 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 062100 UTC
ONE THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (13.5 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (116.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 072100 UTC
ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (13.0 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (116.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 082100 UTC
ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (12.8 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (113.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 092100 UTC
ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (13.6 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (110.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 102100 UTC
ONE FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (14.2 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (107.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.
0000011600
94600

>