Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for IMELDA-19
in United States

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2019-09-18 02:50

WTNT41 KNHC 180248
TCDAT1

Tropical Depression Imelda Discussion Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112019
1000 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2019

The center of the tropical cyclone continues to move farther inland
over southeast Texas, with a motion estimate of 360/5 kt. Earlier
surface observations along the coast indicated that the intensity
had dropped below tropical storm strength, so the Tropical Storm
Warning was discontinued.

Although it has weakened, slow-moving Imelda will remain a
rainfall/flood threat for at least the next couple of days.

This is the last NHC advisory on Imelda. Future information on this
system can be found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather
Prediction Center beginning at 5 AM EDT, under AWIPS header
TCPAT1, WMO header WTNT31 KWNH, and on the web at
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov.


Key Messages:

1. This system is likely to produce life-threatening flash flooding
along portions of the Upper Texas Coast, including the Houston and
Galveston areas.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 18/0300Z 29.8N 95.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
12H 18/1200Z 30.5N 95.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
24H 19/0000Z 31.2N 95.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
36H 19/1200Z 31.8N 95.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
48H 20/0000Z 32.7N 95.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Pasch

>

2019-09-18 02:50

WTNT31 KNHC 180248
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Imelda Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112019
1000 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2019

...IMELDA MOVING FARTHER INLAND...
...HEAVY RAINS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD INLAND OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...
...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.8N 95.5W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM NW OF HOUSTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Imelda
was located near latitude 29.8 North, longitude 95.5 West. The
depression is moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days.
On the forecast track, Imelda will move over eastern Texas through
Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
system should become a remnant low by late Thursday.


The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Imelda is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 6 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 18
inches across the upper coastal region of Texas, including the
Houston and Galveston areas. Rainfall amounts of 4 to 6 inches with
isolated totals of 10 inches are possible across portions of
southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana through Thursday. This
rainfall may produce significant to life-threatening flash floods.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Imelda. Future information on this system can be found in
Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning
at 5 AM EDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT1, WMO header WTNT31 KWNH, and
on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

>

2019-09-18 02:49

WTNT21 KNHC 180247
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION IMELDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112019
0300 UTC WED SEP 18 2019

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 95.5W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 95.5W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 95.5W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 30.5N 95.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 31.2N 95.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 31.8N 95.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 32.7N 95.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N 95.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON IMELDA. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER BEGINNING
AT 5 AM EDT, UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT1, WMO HEADER WTNT31 KWNH, AND
ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

>

2019-09-17 23:40

WTNT31 KNHC 172338
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Imelda Intermediate Advisory Number 2A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112019
700 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2019

...IMELDA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...
...HEAVY RAINS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD INLAND OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.6N 95.4W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM N OF HOUSTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning from Sargent to Port Bolivar, Texas, has
been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Imelda
was located near latitude 29.6 North, longitude 95.4 West. Imelda
is moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue through early Wednesday. A north-
northwestward motion is expected Wednesday night and Thursday. On
the forecast track, the center of Imelda will continue to move
farther inland across eastern Texas tonight and Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h)
with higher gusts. Imelda is expected to continue to weaken as it
moves farther inland.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Imelda is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 6 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 18
inches across the upper coastal region of Texas, including the
Houston and Galveston areas. Rainfall amounts of 4 to 6 inches with
isolated totals of 10 inches are possible across portions of
southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana through Thursday. This
rainfall may produce significant to life-threatening flash floods.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

>

2019-09-17 20:35

WTNT41 KNHC 172033
TCDAT1

Tropical Storm Imelda Discussion Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112019
400 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2019

Shortly after the earlier NHC Special Advisory, the cyclone quickly
intensified just before it made landfall near Freeport, Texas
around 1800 UTC. A National Ocean Service observing site near
Freeport, Texas, reported sustained winds of 35 kt with a gust to
41 kt, and a minimum pressure of 1005.6 mb. A Weatherflow station
at Surfside Beach also measured sustained winds of 35 kt with a gust
to 44 kt. The advisory intensity is set at 35 kt based on recent
Doppler velocities within some of the rain bands that are still
offshore.

Imelda joins a list of several systems in the northwestern Gulf of
Mexico that formed and intensified very near the Texas coast. Other
recent examples include Allison in 2001 and Humberto in 2007.
Thankfully, in this case Imelda made landfall before significant
strengthening could occur. Now that the center is moving inland,
gradual weakening is expected. It cannot be stressed enough,
however, that the primary threat from Imelda remains very heavy
rainfall and life-threatening flash flooding that will spread
northward into eastern Texas and portions of western Louisiana
during the next day or so.

Imelda is moving northward at about 6 kt. The cyclone should
continue to move slowly northward to north-northwestward around the
western side of a mid-level ridge over the Tennessee Valley until
dissipation occurs in a couple of days. The updated NHC track
forecast has been nudged eastward but remains near the center of the
tightly clustered track guidance.

Key Messages:

1. This system is likely to produce life-threatening flash flooding
along portions of the Upper Texas Coast, including the Houston and
Galveston areas.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 17/2100Z 29.3N 95.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 18/0600Z 30.1N 95.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
24H 18/1800Z 30.8N 95.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
36H 19/0600Z 31.4N 95.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
48H 19/1800Z 32.1N 95.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brown

>

2019-09-17 20:35

WTNT31 KNHC 172032
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Imelda Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112019
400 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2019

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING TO SPREAD
INLAND OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.3N 95.3W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM W OF GALVESTON TEXAS
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM SSE OF HOUSTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sargent to Port Bolivar

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Imelda was
located near latitude 29.3 North, longitude 95.3 West. Imelda is
moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this general motion
is expected to continue through early Wednesday. A north-
northwestward motion is expected Wednesday night and Thursday.
On the forecast track, the center of Imelda will continue to move
farther inland across eastern Texas tonight and Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Imelda is expected to weaken to a tropical depression as it moves
farther inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
mainly to the southeast of the center over water. A wind gust to
40 mph (65 km/h) was recently reported in Galveston, Texas.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Imelda is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 6 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 18
inches across the upper coastal region of Texas, including the
Houston and Galveston areas. Rainfall amounts of 4 to 6 inches with
isolated totals of 10 inches are possible across portions of
southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana through Thursday. This
rainfall may produce significant to life-threatening flash floods.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the
warning area this afternoon and evening.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

>

2019-09-17 20:33

WTNT21 KNHC 172031
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM IMELDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112019
2100 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SARGENT TO PORT BOLIVAR

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 95.3W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 95.3W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 95.3W

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 30.1N 95.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 30.8N 95.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 31.4N 95.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 32.1N 95.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 95.3W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 18/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

>

2019-09-17 18:29

WTNT61 KNHC 171827
TCUAT1

Tropical Storm Imelda Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112019
130 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2019

...TROPICAL STORM IMELDA MAKES LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING WILL SPREAD INLAND...

NOAA Doppler radar data and surface observations indicate that
Tropical Storm Imelda made landfall near Freeport, Texas at
100 PM CDT with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph.

A National Ocean Service observing site at Freeport, Texas reported
a minimum pressure near 1005 mb (29.68 inches) around the time of
landfall.

SUMMARY OF 130 PM CDT...1830 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.0N 95.3W
ABOUT 0 MI...0 KM S OF FREEPORT TEXAS
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SW OF GALVESTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky/Brown

>

2019-09-17 17:47

WTNT61 KNHC 171745
TCUAT1

Tropical Storm Imelda Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112019
1245 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2019

...DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM IMELDA...

Surface observations indicate that the depression has strengthened
as it nears the coast and has become Tropical Storm Imelda, with
maximum sustained winds near 40 mph (65 km/h). A National Ocean
Service observing site at Freeport, Texas, recently reported a
sustained wind of 40 mph (65 km/h) and a wind gust of 47 mph (76
km/h).


SUMMARY OF 1245 PM CDT...1745 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.9N 95.3W
ABOUT 0 MI...0 KM S OF FREEPORT TEXAS
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM SW OF GALVESTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Brennan/Brown

>

2019-09-17 17:08

WTNT41 KNHC 171706
TCDAT1

Tropical Depression Eleven Special Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112019
1200 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2019

Satellite, radar, and surface data show that the area of low
pressure near the Upper Texas coast has become better defined this
morning. The associated deep convection has also become better
organized, and winds from the Houston Doppler Radar support
an initial intensity of 30 kt. Based on these data, advisories are
being initiated on a tropical depression. The system has very
little time left over water in which to strengthen, but given the
recent increase in organization, the system is forecast to become a
tropical storm before it moves inland. As a result, a Tropical
Storm Warning has been issued for a portion of the Upper Texas
coast. Regardless of the intensity of the system, the primary
threat associated is flooding rainfall that is expected over
portions of eastern Texas and southwestern Louisiana over the next
day or two.

The initial motion estimate is 005/6 kt. The cyclone should move
inland very soon, and a general northward motion around the western
side of a mid-level ridge centered over the Tennessee Valley should
continue through tonight. The system is forecast to turn north-
northwestward on Wednesday and that general motion is forecast to
continue until dissipation occurs. The NHC track forecast follows
the solution of the majority of the dynamical models.

Key Messages:

1. This system is likely to produce life-threatening flash flooding
along portions of the Upper Texas Coast, including the Houston and
Galveston areas.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 17/1700Z 28.7N 95.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 18/0000Z 29.4N 95.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
24H 18/1200Z 30.1N 95.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
36H 19/0000Z 30.7N 95.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
48H 19/1200Z 31.3N 96.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brown

>

2019-09-17 17:00

WTNT31 KNHC 171658
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Eleven Special Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112019
1200 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2019

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS NEAR THE TEXAS COAST...
...EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING...


SUMMARY OF 1200 PM CDT...1700 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.7N 95.4W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSW OF FREEPORT TEXAS
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SW OF GALVESTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the coast of Texas
from Sargent to Port Bolivar.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Sargent to Port Bolivar

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next few hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1200 PM CDT (1700 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eleven
was located near latitude 28.7 North, longitude 95.4 West. The
depression is moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h), and
this general motion is expected to continue through early
Wednesday. A north-northwestward motion is expected Wednesday night
and Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of the depression
will move inland over the Upper Texas coast later today, and move
farther inland tonight and Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight strengthening is possible before the center moves
onshore.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulation of 5 to 10 inches with isolated maximum of 15 inches
across the upper coastal region of Texas into far southwest
Louisiana through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-
threatening flash floods.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the
warning area this afternoon and evening.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

>

2019-09-17 16:59

WTNT21 KNHC 171657
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112019
1700 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS
FROM SARGENT TO PORT BOLIVAR.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SARGENT TO PORT BOLIVAR

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT FEW HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 95.4W AT 17/1700Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 95.4W AT 17/1700Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 95.7W

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 29.4N 95.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 30.1N 95.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 30.7N 95.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 31.3N 96.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N 95.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

>