Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for HILDA-21 Off-shore from 30 Jul 2021 21:00 UTC to 06 Aug 2021 15:00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HILDA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	151 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (03 Aug 20:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	151 km/h	0.3 m	287 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	166 km/h	0.4 m	665 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 02 Aug 2021 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	30 Jul 2021 18:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	31 Jul 2021 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	31 Jul 2021 06:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	31 Jul 2021 12:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	31 Jul 2021 18:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	01 Aug 2021 00:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	01 Aug 2021 06:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Aug 2021 12:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	01 Aug 2021 18:00	148	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	02 Aug 2021 00:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	02 Aug 2021 06:00	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	02 Aug 2021 12:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	02 Aug 2021 18:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

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Impact estimation for the next 72h

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N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	30 Jul 2021 18:00	242	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	31 Jul 2021 00:00	222	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	31 Jul 2021 06:00	351	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	31 Jul 2021 12:00	159	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	31 Jul 2021 18:00	312	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	01 Aug 2021 00:00	453	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	01 Aug 2021 06:00	278	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	01 Aug 2021 12:00	368	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	01 Aug 2021 18:00	287	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	02 Aug 2021 00:00	153	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	02 Aug 2021 06:00	217	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	02 Aug 2021 12:00	325	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	02 Aug 2021 18:00	674	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Ligui, Mexico. This height is estimated for 03 Aug 2021 20:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Aug 2021 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	03 Aug 2021 20:45	Ligui	Mexico	0.3
	03 Aug 2021 20:45	Tripui	Mexico	0.3
	03 Aug 2021 22:00	San Cosme	Mexico	0.3
	03 Aug 2021 11:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.3
	04 Aug 2021 04:30	San Jose	Mexico	0.3
	04 Aug 2021 04:30	Atanacio	Mexico	0.3
	04 Aug 2021 04:30	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.3
	04 Aug 2021 04:15	Borabampo	Mexico	0.3
	03 Aug 2021 21:00	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.3
	03 Aug 2021 08:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.3
	03 Aug 2021 08:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.3
	03 Aug 2021 22:00	Mulege	Mexico	0.3
	03 Aug 2021 22:00	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.3
	03 Aug 2021 21:30	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.3
	03 Aug 2021 21:30	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.3
	03 Aug 2021 11:00	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 06:00	La Lima	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 07:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 07:45	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 07:45	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 19:30	La Florida	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 19:30	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 05:30	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 05:30	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 06:00	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 06:00	La Boca	Mexico	0.2
	05 Aug 2021 11:15	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	05 Aug 2021 11:15	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 08:30	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 08:30	La Ribera	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 08:30	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 04:30	Loreto	Mexico	0.2
	02 Aug 2021 23:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	02 Aug 2021 22:30	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.2
	02 Aug 2021 22:15	San Francisco	Mexico	0.2
	02 Aug 2021 22:15	Monteon	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 04:45	Los Burros	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 06:15	San Blas	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 08:30	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 04:15	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 04:15	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 04:30	Liliba	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 08:15	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 21:30	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 21:30	La Paz	Mexico	0.2
	02 Aug 2021 22:45	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	02 Aug 2021 22:45	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 21:45	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 10:15	Altata	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 22:45	Puerto Vallarta	Mexico	0.2
	02 Aug 2021 22:45	Queretaro	Mexico	0.2
	02 Aug 2021 22:45	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 21:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 04:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 08:45	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.2
	05 Aug 2021 02:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.2
	05 Aug 2021 02:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 04:30	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 04:30	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 06:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 08:30	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 05:30	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 21:45	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	05 Aug 2021 01:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 20:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 08:00	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 08:00	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 20:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 07:30	Dimas	Mexico	0.2
	02 Aug 2021 22:15	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 01:30	Perihuete	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 04:45	Cachoana	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 12:00	Quinones	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 08:00	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 06:30	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 06:30	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 05:45	Marmol	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 05:45	Florida	Mexico	0.2
	02 Aug 2021 21:45	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.2
	02 Aug 2021 23:15	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 09:15	La Palmita	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 09:15	Caimanero	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 21:45	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 21:45	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 05:00	Chola	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 07:45	Barron	Mexico	0.2
	05 Aug 2021 10:00	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 07:00	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 07:00	Cunano	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 07:00	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.2
	02 Aug 2021 23:00	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 07:30	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 07:30	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.2
	05 Aug 2021 10:30	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 08:15	Aquiles Serdan	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 08:15	Ipala	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 05:30	El Tomale	Mexico	0.2
	02 Aug 2021 22:45	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 06:45	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 19:00	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.2
	04 Aug 2021 12:00	Bahia Asuncion	Mexico	0.2
	03 Aug 2021 19:30	Chamela	Mexico	0.1
	03 Aug 2021 17:45	Pizota	Mexico	0.1
	03 Aug 2021 09:45	Corrales	Mexico	0.1
	02 Aug 2021 21:30	El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	02 Aug 2021 21:30	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.1
	04 Aug 2021 06:45	Todos Santos	Mexico	0.1
	04 Aug 2021 05:45	El Pescadero	Mexico	0.1