Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for FELICIA-21 Off-shore from 14 Jul 2021 09:00 UTC to 21 Jul 2021 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FELICIA-21

Off-shore

17 Jul 2021 12 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FELICIA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	115 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (17 Jul 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	115 km/h	0.2 m	142 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	58 km/h	0.4 m	748 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

58 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	13 Jul 2021 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 Jul 2021 00:00	-	Few people							United States
3	14 Jul 2021 12:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 Jul 2021 00:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	15 Jul 2021 12:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	16 Jul 2021 00:00	-	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
7	16 Jul 2021 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	17 Jul 2021 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	17 Jul 2021 12:00	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	United States	3,384

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	13 Jul 2021 12:00	291	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 Jul 2021 00:00	204	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	14 Jul 2021 12:00	266	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 Jul 2021 00:00	316	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	15 Jul 2021 12:00	256	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	16 Jul 2021 00:00	256	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	16 Jul 2021 12:00	178	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	17 Jul 2021 00:00	123	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	17 Jul 2021 12:00	483	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Punta Arena, Mexico. This height is estimated for 17 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 Jul 2021 12:00	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.2
	17 Jul 2021 12:00	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.2
	17 Jul 2021 12:00	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.2
	17 Jul 2021 17:00	Perihuete	Mexico	0.2
	17 Jul 2021 17:00	Dimas	Mexico	0.2
	17 Jul 2021 12:15	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.2
	17 Jul 2021 12:15	Cunano	Mexico	0.2
	17 Jul 2021 12:15	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.2
	17 Jul 2021 17:15	El Tomale	Mexico	0.2
	17 Jul 2021 12:00	Marmol	Mexico	0.2
	17 Jul 2021 12:00	Florida	Mexico	0.2
	17 Jul 2021 17:00	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.2
	17 Jul 2021 16:45	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jul 2021 16:00	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jul 2021 16:00	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jul 2021 00:00	Olowalu	United States	0.1
	18 Jul 2021 00:00	Kahakuloa	United States	0.1
	18 Jul 2021 00:00	Waihee	United States	0.1
	18 Jul 2021 00:00	Hyashi Village	United States	0.1
	18 Jul 2021 00:00	Wailuku	United States	0.1
	18 Jul 2021 00:00	Kahului	United States	0.1
	18 Jul 2021 00:00	Puunene	United States	0.1
	18 Jul 2021 00:00	Village Eight	United States	0.1
	18 Jul 2021 00:00	Hawaiian Village	United States	0.1
	18 Jul 2021 00:00	Paia	United States	0.1
	18 Jul 2021 00:00	Haiku	United States	0.1
	18 Jul 2021 00:00	Pauwela	United States	0.1
	18 Jul 2021 00:00	Maalaea	United States	0.1
	18 Jul 2021 00:00	Kihei	United States	0.1
	17 Jul 2021 16:15	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jul 2021 16:15	La Ribera	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jul 2021 16:15	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jul 2021 16:30	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jul 2021 18:00	Ulumalu	United States	0.1
	17 Jul 2021 12:30	Todos Santos	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jul 2021 16:15	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.