Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for FELICIA-21 Off-shore from 14 Jul 2021 09:00 UTC to 21 Jul 2021 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FELICIA-21

Off-shore

21 Jul 2021 12 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FELICIA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	58 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (21 Jul 13:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	58 km/h	0.3 m	170 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	0.3 m	562 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

176 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 21 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	14 Jul 2021 06:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 Jul 2021 12:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	14 Jul 2021 18:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 Jul 2021 00:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	15 Jul 2021 06:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	15 Jul 2021 12:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	15 Jul 2021 18:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	16 Jul 2021 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	16 Jul 2021 06:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	16 Jul 2021 12:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	16 Jul 2021 18:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	17 Jul 2021 00:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	17 Jul 2021 06:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	17 Jul 2021 12:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	17 Jul 2021 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	18 Jul 2021 00:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	18 Jul 2021 06:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	18 Jul 2021 12:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	18 Jul 2021 18:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	19 Jul 2021 00:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	19 Jul 2021 06:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	19 Jul 2021 12:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	19 Jul 2021 18:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	20 Jul 2021 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	20 Jul 2021 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	20 Jul 2021 12:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	20 Jul 2021 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	21 Jul 2021 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	21 Jul 2021 06:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	21 Jul 2021 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 21 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	14 Jul 2021 06:00	96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 Jul 2021 12:00	138	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	14 Jul 2021 18:00	103	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 Jul 2021 00:00	84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	15 Jul 2021 06:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	15 Jul 2021 12:00	168	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	15 Jul 2021 18:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	16 Jul 2021 00:00	134	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	16 Jul 2021 06:00	165	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	16 Jul 2021 12:00	229	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	16 Jul 2021 18:00	124	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	17 Jul 2021 00:00	168	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	17 Jul 2021 06:00	156	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	17 Jul 2021 12:00	145	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	17 Jul 2021 18:00	146	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	18 Jul 2021 00:00	147	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	18 Jul 2021 06:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	18 Jul 2021 12:00	103	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	18 Jul 2021 18:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	19 Jul 2021 00:00	105	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	19 Jul 2021 06:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	19 Jul 2021 12:00	88	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	19 Jul 2021 18:00	157	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	20 Jul 2021 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	20 Jul 2021 06:00	132	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	20 Jul 2021 12:00	179	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	20 Jul 2021 18:00	154	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	21 Jul 2021 00:00	117	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	21 Jul 2021 06:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	21 Jul 2021 12:00	231	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in La Fortuna, Mexico. This height is estimated for 21 Jul 2021 13:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Jul 2021 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	21 Jul 2021 13:15	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.3
	21 Jul 2021 13:15	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.3
	21 Jul 2021 13:15	Perihuete	Mexico	0.3
	21 Jul 2021 13:15	Dimas	Mexico	0.3
	21 Jul 2021 13:30	Marmol	Mexico	0.3
	21 Jul 2021 13:30	Florida	Mexico	0.3
	21 Jul 2021 13:15	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 13:15	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 13:15	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 13:15	La Ribera	Mexico	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 13:15	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 13:00	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 12:45	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 13:30	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 13:15	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 12:30	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 12:30	El Tomale	Mexico	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 13:45	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 14:30	Maalaea	United States	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 14:30	Kihei	United States	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 14:30	Keawakapu	United States	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 14:30	Makena	United States	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 14:30	Keoneoio	United States	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 14:30	Ulupalakua	United States	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 16:45	Olowalu	United States	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 16:45	Waihee	United States	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 16:45	Hyashi Village	United States	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 16:45	Wailuku	United States	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 16:45	Kahului	United States	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 16:45	Puunene	United States	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 16:45	Village Eight	United States	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 16:45	Hawaiian Village	United States	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 16:45	Paia	United States	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 16:45	Haiku	United States	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 16:45	Pauwela	United States	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 12:45	El Tule	Mexico	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 14:30	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 12:45	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 12:45	Cunano	Mexico	0.2
	21 Jul 2021 13:45	San Lucas	Mexico	0.1
	21 Jul 2021 13:30	Todos Santos	Mexico	0.1
	21 Jul 2021 13:30	El Pescadero	Mexico	0.1
	21 Jul 2021 13:15	Pozo de Cota	Mexico	0.1
	21 Jul 2021 13:00	La Tinaja	Mexico	0.1
	21 Jul 2021 14:45	Kaanapali	United States	0.1
	21 Jul 2021 14:45	Puukolii	United States	0.1
	21 Jul 2021 14:45	Lahaina	United States	0.1
	21 Jul 2021 14:45	Crater Village	United States	0.1
	21 Jul 2021 14:45	Honokahua	United States	0.1
	21 Jul 2021 14:45	Mahinahina Camp	United States	0.1
	21 Jul 2021 14:45	Kapalua	United States	0.1
	21 Jul 2021 14:45	Kahakuloa	United States	0.1
	21 Jul 2021 14:45	Pukoo	United States	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.