Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ELIDA-20 in Mexico from 09 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC to 13 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20

in Mexico

14 Aug 2020 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	83 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.7 m (09 Aug 00:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	83 km/h	0.7 m	1042 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	83 km/h	0.7 m	1042 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

83 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Mexico	05

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	08 Aug 2020 12:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 Aug 2020 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 Aug 2020 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	10 Aug 2020 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 Aug 2020 12:00	72	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
6	11 Aug 2020 00:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	11 Aug 2020 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	12 Aug 2020 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	12 Aug 2020 12:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	13 Aug 2020 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	13 Aug 2020 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	14 Aug 2020 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Mexico	45,473
100-250 mm	Mexico	8,620,559
50-100 mm	Mexico	38,693,454

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	08 Aug 2020 12:00	301	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
2	09 Aug 2020 00:00	688	60 thousand			-	-	-	-	Mexico
3	09 Aug 2020 12:00	301	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
4	10 Aug 2020 00:00	579	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 Aug 2020 12:00	339	Few people			-	-	-	-	Mexico
6	11 Aug 2020 00:00	436	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	11 Aug 2020 12:00	329	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
8	12 Aug 2020 00:00	392	2 thousand			-	-	-	-	Mexico
9	12 Aug 2020 12:00	325	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
10	13 Aug 2020 00:00	348	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
11	13 Aug 2020 12:00	637	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	14 Aug 2020 00:00	660	Few people			-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.7m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Aug 2020 00:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	09 Aug 2020 00:45	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.7
	10 Aug 2020 04:15	Molino	Mexico	0.5
	10 Aug 2020 04:15	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.5
	16 Aug 2020 08:30	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.4
	16 Aug 2020 10:15	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.4
	16 Aug 2020 08:15	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.4
	16 Aug 2020 08:30	Tecomate	Mexico	0.4
	09 Aug 2020 00:45	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.4
	16 Aug 2020 08:30	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.4
	15 Aug 2020 22:00	Guasimas	Mexico	0.4
	15 Aug 2020 22:15	Empalme	Mexico	0.4
	15 Aug 2020 22:00	San Jose	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 22:00	Atanacio	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 22:00	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 22:15	San Rafael	Mexico	0.3
	16 Aug 2020 08:45	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 21:45	El Barril	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 21:30	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 21:30	San Bruno	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 22:00	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 21:45	Borabampo	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 21:45	Guaymas	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 21:45	Tastiota	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 22:00	San Carlos	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 22:00	Mulege	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 21:30	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 21:30	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 22:00	Ligui	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 22:00	Tripui	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 22:00	San Cosme	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 22:00	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 21:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 21:45	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 10:00	Los Burros	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 21:30	San Bruno	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 21:30	Loreto	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 22:15	Liliba	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 22:30	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:15	La Paz	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:15	Rosario	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 22:45	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 21:45	Datilito	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 21:15	Tierra Colorada	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 00:30	Cuantla	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 00:30	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 22:00	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.3
	09 Aug 2020 02:15	Aguaje	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 00:45	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 00:45	Cachoana	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 22:00	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.3
	09 Aug 2020 00:30	Cedros	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 22:15	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:15	La Ventana	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:15	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.3
	09 Aug 2020 00:30	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.3
	15 Aug 2020 07:00	Maudlowe	United States	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 07:00	Tivoli	United States	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 07:00	Spanish Village	United States	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 07:00	Austwell	United States	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 07:00	North Seadrift	United States	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 07:00	Long Mott	United States	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 07:00	Seadrift	United States	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 22:30	La Boca	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 22:45	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 00:30	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 21:45	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 21:45	Marquelia	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 20:45	La Tuza	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 22:00	Pie Cerro	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Perihuete	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 22:15	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 22:00	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 20:45	Mauricio Gutierrez	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 22:30	Altata	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 21:00	Copala	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 20:15	Acapulco	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 20:45	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 20:45	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 21:30	Bajos de Chila	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 20:15	Puerto Escondido	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 20:15	Paso Hondo	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 20:15	Chagues	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 21:30	El Papayo	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 21:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 21:45	Tlachicon	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 21:45	Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 22:30	Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 22:30	Joluta	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 20:30	La Redonda	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 20:00	El Marques	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 20:30	San Francisco	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 20:30	Monteon	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 20:30	La Lima	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 20:30	Calla de Campos	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 20:30	Chula	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 01:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Dimas	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 20:15	Nuxco	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 21:45	Calvario	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 21:45	Coyuquillas	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 20:30	Barrio Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 20:30	Zihuatanejo	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 02:15	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 22:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 22:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 22:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 22:15	La Ribera	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 22:15	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 22:15	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 22:15	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 21:15	Marmol	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 21:15	Florida	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 21:15	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 22:15	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 20:00	Lagunillas	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 10:30	San Blas	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 10:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 20:45	El Real	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 20:45	Chupadero	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 20:45	Apisa	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 10:15	Cayaca	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 10:15	San Telmo	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 22:15	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 01:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 01:00	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 22:15	La Palmita	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 10:00	Estrecho	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 10:00	Santiago	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 10:00	Manzanillo	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 22:15	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 22:30	Cuyutlan	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Barron	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 22:30	Chamela	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 22:30	Cuitzmala	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 22:30	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 22:30	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 21:15	Chola	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 21:30	El Ciruelo	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 20:30	Maruata	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 22:30	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 22:30	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 21:45	La Manzanilla	Mexico	0.2
	14 Aug 2020 21:45	Barra de Navidad	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 21:15	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 21:15	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 21:15	Puerto Vallarta	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 21:15	Las Trojitas	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 03:30	Santa Catarina	Mexico	0.2
	10 Aug 2020 01:00	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 22:15	Corrales	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 22:15	Aquiles Serdan	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 22:15	Ipala	Mexico	0.2
	16 Aug 2020 21:00	Bucerias	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 16:00	La Playa	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 05:15	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 12:30	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 12:30	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 12:30	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 04:15	Caruthers Cove Colonia	United States	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 04:15	Ingleside	United States	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 04:15	Kenney Lane West Colonia	United States	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 04:15	Port Ingleside	United States	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 04:15	Indian Trails Lane Colonia	United States	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 04:15	Country Acres Colonia	United States	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 04:15	Country Estates Colonia	United States	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 04:15	Aransas Pass	United States	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 04:15	Estes	United States	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 04:15	Mustang Beach	United States	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 04:15	Port Aransas	United States	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 04:15	Rockport	United States	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 04:15	Shell Ridge	United States	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 22:30	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.2
	15 Aug 2020 04:15	Flour Bluff	United States	0.1
	15 Aug 2020 22:15	El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	15 Aug 2020 05:00	Holiday Beach	United States	0.1
	15 Aug 2020 05:00	Lamar	United States	0.1
	16 Aug 2020 10:00	Pizota	Mexico	0.1
	15 Aug 2020 22:15	San Lucas	Mexico	0.1
	15 Aug 2020 04:30	Copano Village	United States	0.1
	15 Aug 2020 04:30	Fulton	United States	0.1
	14 Aug 2020 01:30	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:00	Corpus Christi	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:00	North Beach	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:00	Gardendale	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:00	Doyle	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:00	Orange Grove	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:00	Peary Place	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:00	Portland	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:00	Gregory	United States	0.1
	14 Aug 2020 03:45	Bahia Asuncion	Mexico	0.1
	15 Aug 2020 03:15	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	14 Aug 2020 14:30	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.1
	15 Aug 2020 03:45	El Martillo	United States	0.1
	15 Aug 2020 03:45	Yarborough	United States	0.1
	14 Aug 2020 02:30	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 04:45	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 03:15	La Gloria	Mexico	0.1
	09 Aug 2020 03:15	Chaparral	Mexico	0.1
	15 Aug 2020 22:15	Pozo de Cota	Mexico	0.1
	15 Aug 2020 10:30	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	14 Aug 2020 01:00	El Tomale	Mexico	0.1
	14 Aug 2020 01:00	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 12:00	Cunano	Mexico	0.1
	15 Aug 2020 10:30	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1
	14 Aug 2020 01:00	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.1
	14 Aug 2020 01:00	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.1
	15 Aug 2020 04:00	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.1
	15 Aug 2020 22:00	Todos Santos	Mexico	0.1
	15 Aug 2020 22:15	La Tinaja	Mexico	0.1
	15 Aug 2020 21:45	El Pescadero	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.