Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (10 Aug 04:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 72 km/h 0.5 m 579 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 83 km/h 0.7 m 1042 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

83 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico05 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Aug 2020 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Aug 2020 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Aug 2020 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 Aug 2020 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico316,489 
50-100 mmMexico3,880,603 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Aug 2020 12:00 301 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 09 Aug 2020 00:00 688 60 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 3 09 Aug 2020 12:00 301 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 10 Aug 2020 00:00 743 320 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Molino, Mexico. This height is estimated for 10 Aug 2020 04:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Aug 2020 04:15 Molino Mexico  0.5
10 Aug 2020 04:15 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.5
10 Aug 2020 04:15 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.4
10 Aug 2020 04:15 El Desemboque Mexico  0.4
10 Aug 2020 04:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.4
10 Aug 2020 04:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.4
10 Aug 2020 04:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.4
10 Aug 2020 02:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 02:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 03:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 12:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Maudlowe United States  0.2
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Tivoli United States  0.2
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Spanish Village United States  0.2
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Austwell United States  0.2
10 Aug 2020 10:15 North Seadrift United States  0.2
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Long Mott United States  0.2
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Seadrift United States  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:45 San Jose Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 04:15 El Barril Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 12:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 12:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 12:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:30 Empalme Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 02:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 02:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 02:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:45 La Boca Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 03:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 02:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 02:00 Mulege Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 02:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 02:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:45 Loreto Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 02:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 02:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:45 Ligui Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:45 Tripui Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:45 Liliba Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 00:45 Altata Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 02:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 01:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 02:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 00:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 00:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
10 Aug 2020 00:15 Novillero Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 00:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 02:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 03:45 Aguaje Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 02:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 07:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 10:15 North Beach United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Gardendale United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Doyle United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Orange Grove United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Peary Place United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Portland United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Gregory United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Ingleside United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 00:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 00:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 00:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:00 San Blas Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:30 La Playa Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Estes United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Port Aransas United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 07:15 Rockport United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 07:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:00 La Lima Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 02:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 02:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 00:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 00:30 Monteon Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:45 Cunano Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 07:15 Cedros Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:15 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 02:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 00:45 El Tule Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 10:15 Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
10 Aug 2020 01:15 San Lucas Mexico  0.1