Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ELIDA-20 in Mexico from 09 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC to 13 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20

in Mexico

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	94 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (12 Aug 14:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	94 km/h	0.5 m	208 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	151 km/h	0.7 m	1071 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

151 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Mexico	05

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	09 Aug 2020 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 Aug 2020 06:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 Aug 2020 12:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	09 Aug 2020 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 Aug 2020 00:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	10 Aug 2020 06:00	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	10 Aug 2020 12:00	115	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
8	10 Aug 2020 18:00	133	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
9	11 Aug 2020 00:00	126	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States, Mexico
10	11 Aug 2020 06:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	11 Aug 2020 12:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	11 Aug 2020 18:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	12 Aug 2020 00:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	12 Aug 2020 06:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	12 Aug 2020 12:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Mexico	439,230

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	09 Aug 2020 00:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 Aug 2020 06:00	197	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 Aug 2020 12:00	192	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
4	09 Aug 2020 18:00	129	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 Aug 2020 00:00	85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	10 Aug 2020 06:00	121	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	10 Aug 2020 12:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	10 Aug 2020 18:00	217	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
9	11 Aug 2020 00:00	133	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
10	11 Aug 2020 06:00	134	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	11 Aug 2020 12:00	204	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	11 Aug 2020 18:00	272	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	12 Aug 2020 00:00	260	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	12 Aug 2020 06:00	171	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	12 Aug 2020 12:00	621	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Molino, Mexico. This height is estimated for 12 Aug 2020 14:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	12 Aug 2020 14:45	Molino	Mexico	0.5
	12 Aug 2020 14:45	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.5
	12 Aug 2020 14:45	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.5
	12 Aug 2020 16:00	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.5
	12 Aug 2020 14:45	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.5
	12 Aug 2020 14:45	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.5
	12 Aug 2020 15:00	Tecomate	Mexico	0.4
	12 Aug 2020 15:00	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.4
	12 Aug 2020 12:30	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 12:30	Cachoana	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 12:30	Guasimas	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 16:00	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 12:30	San Jose	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 12:30	Atanacio	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 12:30	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 12:30	Empalme	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 12:15	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	La Paz	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Rosario	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 12:15	Borabampo	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 12:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Loreto	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Los Burros	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 13:00	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:30	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Ligui	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Tripui	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:30	San Cosme	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:30	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:30	Mulege	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:45	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:15	Liliba	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 14:00	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:15	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:30	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 17:30	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 17:30	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 17:30	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:45	San Rafael	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:30	Tastiota	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:15	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 16:30	Cedros	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 17:45	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 17:45	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 16:30	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 13:00	La Boca	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:15	Altata	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 14:15	El Barril	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:15	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:30	La Ribera	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:30	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:30	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:30	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 17:30	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 17:30	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:15	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 16:45	Santa Catarina	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 18:00	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Monteon	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	La Lima	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 17:15	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 17:45	Aguaje	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 17:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 17:15	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	La Palmita	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 17:30	La Playa	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 17:15	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 17:15	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 17:45	San Blas	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 17:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 17:30	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Barron	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Florida	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:15	El Tomale	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:15	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:15	Cunano	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:15	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Marmol	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:15	Perihuete	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:15	Dimas	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Todos Santos	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 17:15	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 17:15	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	El Pescadero	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 12:00	San Lucas	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.