Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for KATIA-17
in Mexico
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KATIA-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (09 Sep 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 72 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 98 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

98 km/h

Up to 10 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Sep 2017 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico12,634 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Sep 2017 18:00 64 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Sep 2017 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Sep 2017 06:00 72 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 06 Sep 2017 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 06 Sep 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in El Tular, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Sep 2017 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Sep 2017 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Sep 2017 06:00 El Tular Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 06:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 06:00 La Mata Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 05:45 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 06:00 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 06:00 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 06:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2017 23:00 Balantanche Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2017 23:15 Neyac Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:45 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 03:45 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 02:30 Las Guayabas Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 02:30 La Pesca Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 18:30 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.1
08 Sep 2017 18:30 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.1
08 Sep 2017 18:30 Condega Honduras  0.1
08 Sep 2017 18:30 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.1
09 Sep 2017 06:00 Los Pericos Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:00 La Presita Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 02:15 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 04:15 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2017 06:15 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2017 06:15 Salinas Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2017 06:15 Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2017 06:15 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 06:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2017 12:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2017 12:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1