Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for BUD-24 Off-shore from 24 Jul 2024 21:00 UTC to 26 Jul 2024 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BUD-24

Off-shore

26 Jul 2024 06 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BUD-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	86 km/h
Maximum storm surge	2.5 m (28 Jul 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	86 km/h	2.5 m	324 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	86 km/h	2.5 m	324 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

86 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 26 Jul 2024 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	24 Jul 2024 18:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Jul 2024 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Jul 2024 06:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Jul 2024 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Jul 2024 18:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Jul 2024 00:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Jul 2024 06:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 26 Jul 2024 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	24 Jul 2024 18:00	138	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Jul 2024 00:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Jul 2024 06:00	114	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Jul 2024 12:00	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Jul 2024 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Jul 2024 00:00	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Jul 2024 06:00	324	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

2.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 2.5m in La Playa, Mexico. This height is estimated for 28 Jul 2024 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Jul 2024 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Level	Country	Population
3.0 - 5.0 m	Mexico	51,894	+
	Mexico	51,888
	Other countries	06
2.0 - 3.0 m	Mexico	13,897
1.0 - 2.0 m	Mexico	12,762
0.5 - 1.0 m	Mexico	2,456
0.25 - 0.5 m	Mexico	16,223

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Jul 2024 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	28 Jul 2024 00:00	La Playa	Mexico	2.5
	28 Jul 2024 00:00	Puertecitos	Mexico	2.0
	28 Jul 2024 00:00	La Florida	Mexico	1.3
	28 Jul 2024 00:00	San Carlos	Mexico	1.3
	28 Jul 2024 00:00	Las Palmas	Mexico	1.3
	28 Jul 2024 00:00	La Ribera	Mexico	1.3
	28 Jul 2024 00:00	Punta Colorada	Mexico	1.3
	28 Jul 2024 00:00	Punta Arena	Mexico	1.3
	28 Jul 2024 00:00	Tampico Alta	Mexico	1.0
	26 Jul 2024 16:15	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.4
	27 Jul 2024 07:30	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.4
	27 Jul 2024 07:15	San Felipe	Mexico	0.3
	27 Jul 2024 07:00	La Choya	Mexico	0.3
	27 Jul 2024 07:00	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.3
	27 Jul 2024 04:30	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 07:00	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 03:30	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 03:30	San Rafael	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 03:15	Guasimas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 03:15	Tastiota	Mexico	0.2
	25 Jul 2024 20:15	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 03:00	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 03:15	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 03:15	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 03:15	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 03:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	26 Jul 2024 11:30	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.2
	26 Jul 2024 11:45	Mulege	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 04:30	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 03:00	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 03:00	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 03:15	Liliba	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 03:45	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 03:30	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 03:30	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 03:15	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 03:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 07:15	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 20:15	Molino	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 03:15	Loreto	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 06:15	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.2
	26 Jul 2024 11:30	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 03:45	El Barril	Mexico	0.2
	25 Jul 2024 02:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	25 Jul 2024 02:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 03:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 03:15	Ligui	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jul 2024 17:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jul 2024 05:00	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jul 2024 13:00	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 03:00	Tripui	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 03:15	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jul 2024 02:15	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 04:00	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 04:00	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 19:30	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 02:45	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 03:30	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 19:30	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 02:15	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 03:15	San Cosme	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 04:00	Tecomate	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 03:00	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 12:45	Tierra Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 03:45	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 03:45	Cedros	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jul 2024 02:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jul 2024 01:45	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 03:15	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 00:15	Joluta	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 03:30	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jul 2024 13:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jul 2024 13:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 02:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 02:45	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jul 2024 07:45	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 03:00	La Ventana	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 03:00	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jul 2024 03:15	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jul 2024 03:15	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jul 2024 13:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jul 2024 17:00	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 03:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jul 2024 03:30	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jul 2024 03:30	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 00:45	Marquelia	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 00:45	La Tuza	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 00:45	Mauricio Gutierrez	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 00:45	Pie Cerro	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jul 2024 01:30	San Blas	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jul 2024 01:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 02:15	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 01:00	Copala	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jul 2024 13:30	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 05:15	Rancho Boca de San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 05:15	Erendria	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 11:30	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 11:30	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 11:30	Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 05:00	Santa Catarina	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 00:45	El Marques	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 02:45	Altata	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.