Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for BUD-24 Off-shore from 24 Jul 2024 21:00 UTC to 26 Jul 2024 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BUD-24

Off-shore

27 Jul 2024 00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BUD-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	47 km/h
Maximum storm surge	2.5 m (30 Jul 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	47 km/h	2.5 m	237 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	47 km/h	2.5 m	237 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

47 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 27 Jul 2024 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	24 Jul 2024 00:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Jul 2024 12:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Jul 2024 00:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Jul 2024 12:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	26 Jul 2024 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Jul 2024 12:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	27 Jul 2024 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jul 2024 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Mexico	1,044,335
50-100 mm	Mexico, United States	43,891,706	+
	Mexico	43,462,388
	United States	427,690
	Other countries	1,627

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Jul 2024 00:00	131	-		-	-	-	-	-	Other countries, Mexico
2	24 Jul 2024 12:00	193	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Jul 2024 00:00	152	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Jul 2024 12:00	106	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
5	26 Jul 2024 00:00	95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Jul 2024 12:00	72	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
7	27 Jul 2024 00:00	237	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

2.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 2.5m in La Playa, Mexico. This height is estimated for 30 Jul 2024 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Jul 2024 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Level	Country	Population
3.0 - 5.0 m	Mexico	51,894	+
	Mexico	51,888
	Other countries	06
2.0 - 3.0 m	Mexico	13,897
1.0 - 2.0 m	Mexico	12,766
0.5 - 1.0 m	Mexico	2,456
0.25 - 0.5 m	Mexico	16,345

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Jul 2024 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	30 Jul 2024 00:00	La Playa	Mexico	2.5
	30 Jul 2024 00:00	Puertecitos	Mexico	2.0
	30 Jul 2024 00:00	La Florida	Mexico	1.3
	30 Jul 2024 00:00	San Carlos	Mexico	1.3
	30 Jul 2024 00:00	Las Palmas	Mexico	1.3
	30 Jul 2024 00:00	La Ribera	Mexico	1.3
	30 Jul 2024 00:00	Punta Colorada	Mexico	1.3
	30 Jul 2024 00:00	Punta Arena	Mexico	1.3
	30 Jul 2024 00:00	Tampico Alta	Mexico	1.0
	24 Jul 2024 22:00	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.6
	29 Jul 2024 17:15	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.5
	29 Jul 2024 17:15	San Felipe	Mexico	0.5
	29 Jul 2024 17:45	La Choya	Mexico	0.4
	29 Jul 2024 17:15	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.4
	28 Jul 2024 04:00	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.3
	29 Jul 2024 17:45	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 17:45	Molino	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 17:45	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.2
	25 Jul 2024 18:00	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.2
	24 Jul 2024 09:00	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.2
	25 Jul 2024 17:30	San Rafael	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jul 2024 03:15	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:45	Tierra Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:45	Pie Cerro	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:45	La Tuza	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:45	Mauricio Gutierrez	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:30	Marquelia	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:30	Joluta	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:30	Copala	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:15	El Papayo	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:15	Nuxco	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:15	El Marques	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:30	Acapulco	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:30	Calvario	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:30	Coyuquillas	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:45	Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:45	Lagunillas	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:45	Barrio Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:45	Zihuatanejo	Mexico	0.2
	24 Jul 2024 12:15	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jul 2024 07:00	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:45	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jul 2024 04:00	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jul 2024 00:00	Calla de Campos	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jul 2024 00:00	Chula	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jul 2024 00:00	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.2
	25 Jul 2024 17:45	Tastiota	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 01:00	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.2
	25 Jul 2024 17:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 04:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 04:00	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 04:00	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	25 Jul 2024 17:00	Guasimas	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jul 2024 00:00	Las Trojitas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 01:00	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 01:00	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 01:00	Cachoana	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 23:15	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 23:15	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	25 Jul 2024 18:00	Tecomate	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 01:15	Mulege	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:45	Maruata	Mexico	0.2
	25 Jul 2024 17:30	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	25 Jul 2024 17:30	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 03:15	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 03:15	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.2
	26 Jul 2024 09:30	El Barril	Mexico	0.2
	25 Jul 2024 17:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jul 2024 00:00	Bucerias	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jul 2024 03:45	Cedros	Mexico	0.2
	25 Jul 2024 17:45	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 01:15	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 01:15	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 01:15	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 01:15	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 03:15	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	25 Jul 2024 17:15	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jul 2024 23:00	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.2
	25 Jul 2024 17:30	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:30	San Telmo	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 04:30	Erendria	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:30	Cayaca	Mexico	0.2
	25 Jul 2024 18:00	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:30	Apisa	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:30	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:30	El Ciruelo	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:30	Cuyutlan	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:30	Chupadero	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jul 2024 23:45	Estrecho	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 23:45	Santiago	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 23:45	Manzanillo	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 23:30	El Real	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 01:30	Loreto	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:45	Ligui	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:45	Tripui	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 01:00	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:30	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jul 2024 03:30	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jul 2024 17:15	Liliba	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:45	San Cosme	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 01:30	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 11:45	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 03:15	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 23:30	Barra de Navidad	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 23:45	La Manzanilla	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 23:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 23:45	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 23:00	Monteon	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 23:00	La Lima	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 01:15	La Ventana	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jul 2024 01:15	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 02:15	El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 02:15	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:45	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 04:30	Rancho Cepeda	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 04:30	Rancho San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 04:30	Colonia Camalu	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jul 2024 17:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:15	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:15	Cuitzmala	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 04:30	Santa Catarina	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:15	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:15	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:15	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 22:30	San Blas	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 22:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 04:15	Rancho Boca de San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:15	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:30	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 04:15	Rosarito	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 04:15	El Descanso	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 04:15	La Mision	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:00	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 13:00	Chola	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 13:00	Chamela	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 04:15	Encino Solo	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 04:15	El Sauzal	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 04:15	Cabo Punta Banda	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 04:15	Ensenada	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:15	Perihuete	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 11:30	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:45	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 04:15	El Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 04:15	Santa Marie	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 03:30	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 13:15	San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 11:45	La Palmita	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 03:45	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 03:45	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:00	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:00	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:45	Ipala	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:45	Aquiles Serdan	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:45	Dimas	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:15	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 11:45	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:00	Marmol	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 04:00	Bahia Asuncion	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:15	Pizota	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:45	Corrales	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:15	Puerto Vallarta	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:15	Florida	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 12:00	Barron	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 13:00	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jul 2024 03:30	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 03:00	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 04:00	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 03:15	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.1
	29 Jul 2024 03:15	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.