Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for REMAL-24 in Bangladesh, India, Bhutan from 25 May 2024 12:00 UTC to 26 May 2024 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for REMAL-24

in Bangladesh, India, Bhutan

27 May 2024 00 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone REMAL-24 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	India, Bangladesh, Myanmar,
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	112 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability	High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	112 km/h	n.a.	818 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	112 km/h	n.a.	818 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

112 km/h

Up to 164.1 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 May 2024 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India, Bangladesh, Myanmar	164,102,977	+
	India	36,975,201
	Bangladesh	127,113,020
	Myanmar	9,353
	Other countries	5,401

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	25 May 2024 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	Bangladesh, Other countries
2	25 May 2024 18:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	Myanmar
3	26 May 2024 00:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	Bangladesh
4	26 May 2024 06:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	Bangladesh, Other countries, India
5	26 May 2024 12:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	Bangladesh, India, Other countries
6	26 May 2024 18:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	Bangladesh, India, Other countries
7	27 May 2024 00:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	India, Bangladesh, Myanmar, Other countries

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 May 2024 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Level	Country	Population
750-1000 mm	India	3,299
500-750 mm	Myanmar, India	194,403	+
	India	175,638
	Myanmar	18,765
250-500 mm	India, Myanmar, Bangladesh	17,384,921	+
	India	4,823,221
	Myanmar	172,481
	Bangladesh	12,387,979
	Other countries	1,239
100-250 mm	India, Myanmar, Nepal, Bhutan, China, Bangladesh	112,286,385	+
	China	167,552
	India	16,797,215
	Myanmar	2,527,879
	Nepal	2,686
	Bhutan	63
	Bangladesh	92,786,941
	Other countries	4,046
50-100 mm	China, India, Myanmar, Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh	63,242,576	+
	China	1,562,653
	India	29,212,938
	Myanmar	1,996,234
	Nepal	34,133
	Bhutan	42,933
	Bangladesh	30,393,682

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	25 May 2024 12:00	340	-		-	-	-	-	-	Myanmar
2	25 May 2024 18:00	204	-		-	-	-	-	-	Myanmar
3	26 May 2024 00:00	259	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	26 May 2024 06:00	144	-		-	-	-	-	-	Bangladesh, India
5	26 May 2024 12:00	106	-		-	-	-	-	-	India, Bangladesh
6	26 May 2024 18:00	168	460 thousand			-	-	-	-	Bangladesh, India, Other countries
7	27 May 2024 00:00	818	129.9 million						-	China, India, Myanmar, Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Other countries

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.