Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for RAMON-23 Off-shore from 23 Nov 2023 15:00 UTC to 26 Nov 2023 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for RAMON-23

Off-shore

26 Nov 2023 12 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone RAMON-23 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	94 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.9 m (29 Nov 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	94 km/h	0.9 m	524 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	94 km/h	0.9 m	524 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

94 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 26 Nov 2023 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	23 Nov 2023 12:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Nov 2023 18:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Nov 2023 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Nov 2023 06:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	24 Nov 2023 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	24 Nov 2023 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Nov 2023 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	25 Nov 2023 06:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	25 Nov 2023 12:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	25 Nov 2023 18:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	26 Nov 2023 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	26 Nov 2023 06:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	26 Nov 2023 12:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 26 Nov 2023 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	23 Nov 2023 12:00	275	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Nov 2023 18:00	103	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Nov 2023 00:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Nov 2023 06:00	191	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	24 Nov 2023 12:00	198	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	24 Nov 2023 18:00	182	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Nov 2023 00:00	157	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	25 Nov 2023 06:00	277	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	25 Nov 2023 12:00	201	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	25 Nov 2023 18:00	258	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	26 Nov 2023 00:00	213	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	26 Nov 2023 06:00	291	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	26 Nov 2023 12:00	483	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.9m in La Playa, Mexico. This height is estimated for 29 Nov 2023 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Nov 2023 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Level	Country	Population
3.0 - 5.0 m	Mexico	1,037
2.0 - 3.0 m	Mexico	22
1.0 - 2.0 m	Mexico	75
0.5 - 1.0 m	Mexico	02
0.25 - 0.5 m	Mexico	9,507

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Nov 2023 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	29 Nov 2023 12:00	La Playa	Mexico	0.9
	25 Nov 2023 21:30	San Felipe	Mexico	0.5
	25 Nov 2023 21:30	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.4
	25 Nov 2023 08:00	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.3
	25 Nov 2023 17:30	Guasimas	Mexico	0.3
	26 Nov 2023 02:15	Cachoana	Mexico	0.3
	25 Nov 2023 13:30	La Choya	Mexico	0.2
	25 Nov 2023 13:30	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.2
	25 Nov 2023 17:15	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 01:15	La Paz	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 01:15	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	25 Nov 2023 17:45	San Rafael	Mexico	0.2
	25 Nov 2023 17:45	Tastiota	Mexico	0.2
	25 Nov 2023 17:15	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	25 Nov 2023 17:00	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.2
	25 Nov 2023 17:00	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.2
	25 Nov 2023 17:15	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	25 Nov 2023 17:15	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	25 Nov 2023 17:15	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 01:45	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 01:45	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 01:45	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 01:45	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.2
	25 Nov 2023 17:30	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	25 Nov 2023 17:30	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 01:45	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	25 Nov 2023 18:00	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 09:15	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 01:45	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	25 Nov 2023 17:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 02:00	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 01:45	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 01:45	San Cosme	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 01:45	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 09:15	Liliba	Mexico	0.2
	25 Nov 2023 17:15	Mulege	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 01:30	Ligui	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 02:00	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.2
	25 Nov 2023 17:15	Loreto	Mexico	0.2
	25 Nov 2023 17:15	Tripui	Mexico	0.2
	25 Nov 2023 17:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 01:45	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.2
	25 Nov 2023 17:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 01:30	La Boca	Mexico	0.2
	29 Nov 2023 12:00	La Ribera	Mexico	0.2
	29 Nov 2023 12:00	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	29 Nov 2023 12:00	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.2
	29 Nov 2023 12:00	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 01:45	Los Burros	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 01:45	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.2
	25 Nov 2023 17:45	El Barril	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 01:15	Altata	Mexico	0.2
	27 Nov 2023 00:00	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 01:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 01:15	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 01:15	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 00:45	Perihuete	Mexico	0.2
	27 Nov 2023 17:15	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.2
	27 Nov 2023 17:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	27 Nov 2023 17:15	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.2
	27 Nov 2023 17:15	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.2
	27 Nov 2023 16:30	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	27 Nov 2023 16:30	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	25 Nov 2023 09:30	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	26 Nov 2023 05:00	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.1
	27 Nov 2023 16:00	Cedros	Mexico	0.1
	26 Nov 2023 01:30	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.1
	26 Nov 2023 01:15	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.1
	27 Nov 2023 00:45	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	27 Nov 2023 00:45	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	27 Nov 2023 00:45	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	27 Nov 2023 00:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	26 Nov 2023 01:00	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.1
	26 Nov 2023 05:30	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.1
	29 Nov 2023 09:45	San Lucas	Mexico	0.1
	29 Nov 2023 09:45	El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	29 Nov 2023 09:45	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.1
	25 Nov 2023 14:00	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	25 Nov 2023 14:00	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	27 Nov 2023 00:45	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	27 Nov 2023 08:30	La Florida	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.