Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for RAMON-23 Off-shore from 23 Nov 2023 15:00 UTC to 26 Nov 2023 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for RAMON-23

Off-shore

27 Nov 2023 06 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone RAMON-23 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	90 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.9 m (30 Nov 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	90 km/h	0.9 m	292 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	90 km/h	0.9 m	292 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

90 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 27 Nov 2023 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	23 Nov 2023 12:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Nov 2023 18:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Nov 2023 00:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Nov 2023 06:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	24 Nov 2023 12:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	24 Nov 2023 18:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Nov 2023 00:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	25 Nov 2023 06:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	25 Nov 2023 12:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	25 Nov 2023 18:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	26 Nov 2023 00:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	26 Nov 2023 06:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	26 Nov 2023 12:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	26 Nov 2023 18:00	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	27 Nov 2023 00:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	27 Nov 2023 06:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 27 Nov 2023 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	23 Nov 2023 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Nov 2023 18:00	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Nov 2023 00:00	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Nov 2023 06:00	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	24 Nov 2023 12:00	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	24 Nov 2023 18:00	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Nov 2023 00:00	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	25 Nov 2023 06:00	92	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	25 Nov 2023 12:00	190	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	25 Nov 2023 18:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	26 Nov 2023 00:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	26 Nov 2023 06:00	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	26 Nov 2023 12:00	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	26 Nov 2023 18:00	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	27 Nov 2023 00:00	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	27 Nov 2023 06:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.9m in La Playa, Mexico. This height is estimated for 30 Nov 2023 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Nov 2023 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Level	Country	Population
3.0 - 5.0 m	Mexico	1,037
2.0 - 3.0 m	Mexico	22
1.0 - 2.0 m	Mexico	75
0.5 - 1.0 m	Mexico	06
0.25 - 0.5 m	Mexico	8,178

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Nov 2023 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	30 Nov 2023 06:00	La Playa	Mexico	0.9
	24 Nov 2023 09:30	San Felipe	Mexico	0.6
	24 Nov 2023 09:15	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.6
	24 Nov 2023 01:45	La Choya	Mexico	0.4
	24 Nov 2023 01:45	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.4
	25 Nov 2023 00:45	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.3
	24 Nov 2023 05:15	Guasimas	Mexico	0.3
	24 Nov 2023 05:15	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 13:15	La Paz	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 13:15	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:45	San Rafael	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:30	Tastiota	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:45	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 00:45	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 22:00	Cachoana	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:15	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	23 Nov 2023 20:00	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:00	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:00	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:00	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:15	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:15	Mulege	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 04:45	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 04:30	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:30	El Barril	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:00	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 01:30	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.2
	30 Nov 2023 06:00	La Ribera	Mexico	0.2
	30 Nov 2023 06:00	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	30 Nov 2023 06:00	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.2
	30 Nov 2023 06:00	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:00	Liliba	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:15	Loreto	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:00	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:15	Ligui	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:00	Tripui	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 21:15	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 21:00	San Cosme	Mexico	0.2
	23 Nov 2023 20:15	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	23 Nov 2023 20:15	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.2
	23 Nov 2023 19:45	Cedros	Mexico	0.2
	23 Nov 2023 23:45	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 23:45	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 23:30	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.1
	24 Nov 2023 00:30	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.1
	24 Nov 2023 04:30	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.1
	24 Nov 2023 00:30	Molino	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 19:30	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 23:30	Tecomate	Mexico	0.1
	24 Nov 2023 05:30	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.1
	24 Nov 2023 05:15	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.1
	24 Nov 2023 13:45	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.1
	24 Nov 2023 05:15	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	24 Nov 2023 21:00	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 21:15	Perihuete	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 20:45	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	24 Nov 2023 03:00	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	26 Nov 2023 23:00	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 21:15	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 20:15	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 20:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 20:15	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 20:15	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 20:00	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	24 Nov 2023 21:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	24 Nov 2023 21:00	La Ventana	Mexico	0.1
	24 Nov 2023 21:00	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	24 Nov 2023 02:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	24 Nov 2023 02:00	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.