Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for RAMON-23 Off-shore from 23 Nov 2023 15:00 UTC to 26 Nov 2023 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for RAMON-23

Off-shore

27 Nov 2023 00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone RAMON-23 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	47 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.9 m (30 Nov 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	47 km/h	0.9 m	295 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	47 km/h	0.9 m	295 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

47 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 27 Nov 2023 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	23 Nov 2023 00:00	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Nov 2023 12:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Nov 2023 00:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Nov 2023 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Nov 2023 00:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Nov 2023 12:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Nov 2023 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Nov 2023 12:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	27 Nov 2023 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 27 Nov 2023 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	23 Nov 2023 00:00	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	23 Nov 2023 12:00	111	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Nov 2023 00:00	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	24 Nov 2023 12:00	98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Nov 2023 00:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Nov 2023 12:00	268	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Nov 2023 00:00	326	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Nov 2023 12:00	118	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	27 Nov 2023 00:00	295	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.9m in La Playa, Mexico. This height is estimated for 30 Nov 2023 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Nov 2023 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Level	Country	Population
3.0 - 5.0 m	Mexico	1,037
2.0 - 3.0 m	Mexico	22
1.0 - 2.0 m	Mexico	75
0.5 - 1.0 m	Mexico	06
0.25 - 0.5 m	Mexico	27,889

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Nov 2023 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	30 Nov 2023 00:00	La Playa	Mexico	0.9
	24 Nov 2023 14:15	San Felipe	Mexico	0.6
	24 Nov 2023 14:15	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.6
	24 Nov 2023 06:00	La Choya	Mexico	0.4
	24 Nov 2023 06:00	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.4
	24 Nov 2023 09:45	San Rafael	Mexico	0.3
	24 Nov 2023 10:00	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.3
	23 Nov 2023 15:30	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.3
	24 Nov 2023 09:30	Tastiota	Mexico	0.3
	24 Nov 2023 05:30	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.3
	24 Nov 2023 09:15	Guasimas	Mexico	0.3
	24 Nov 2023 05:30	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.3
	24 Nov 2023 09:15	Empalme	Mexico	0.3
	24 Nov 2023 02:45	Cachoana	Mexico	0.3
	24 Nov 2023 09:30	Guaymas	Mexico	0.3
	24 Nov 2023 09:30	Mulege	Mexico	0.3
	24 Nov 2023 09:30	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.3
	24 Nov 2023 09:45	San Carlos	Mexico	0.3
	24 Nov 2023 09:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 09:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 09:45	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 09:45	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 09:45	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 09:15	El Barril	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 01:15	La Paz	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 01:15	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 09:30	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 09:30	Loreto	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 09:45	Liliba	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 09:45	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 09:45	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 02:00	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 09:45	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 09:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 09:30	Ligui	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 09:45	Tripui	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 09:45	San Cosme	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 09:45	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 11:00	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:45	Molino	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:45	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 09:30	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 11:00	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 11:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 09:30	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 09:30	Los Burros	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 02:00	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 09:30	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	30 Nov 2023 00:00	La Ribera	Mexico	0.2
	30 Nov 2023 00:00	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	30 Nov 2023 00:00	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.2
	30 Nov 2023 00:00	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 01:45	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 11:00	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 11:00	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 01:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 05:00	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 01:15	La Boca	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 10:30	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	26 Nov 2023 10:30	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	23 Nov 2023 11:00	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.2
	23 Nov 2023 11:00	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	23 Nov 2023 11:00	Tecomate	Mexico	0.2
	24 Nov 2023 01:45	Altata	Mexico	0.2
	25 Nov 2023 18:00	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	25 Nov 2023 18:00	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	29 Nov 2023 18:30	Perihuete	Mexico	0.1
	24 Nov 2023 02:15	Cedros	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 08:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 08:30	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 08:30	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 09:00	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 08:30	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	29 Nov 2023 19:00	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 08:30	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 08:30	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 08:30	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 08:30	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 08:30	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 08:45	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	29 Nov 2023 18:45	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 08:45	Rancho San Francisco	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 08:45	Colonia Camalu	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 08:30	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	26 Nov 2023 11:15	San Lucas	Mexico	0.1
	26 Nov 2023 11:15	El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	26 Nov 2023 11:15	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.1
	29 Nov 2023 18:45	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.1
	24 Nov 2023 01:00	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 09:00	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 08:30	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	23 Nov 2023 09:00	Rancho Cepeda	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.