Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for GONI-20
in Philippines
28 Oct 2020 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GONI-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Taiwan, China, Vietnam
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.2 m (28 Oct 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 94 km/h 1.2 m 127 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 364 km/h 1.7 m 582 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

364 km/h

Up to 2.9 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormTaiwan, China, Vietnam2,867,703
+
Taiwan1,629,752 
China141,334 
Vietnam1,096,617 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 28 Oct 2020 00:00 137 20 thousand
- - - - China, Vietnam
GREEN 2 28 Oct 2020 06:00 162 -
- - - - - Taiwan, China, Vietnam
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmVietnam, Laos13,068
+
Vietnam12,875 
Laos193 
250-500 mmVietnam, Laos1,745,469
+
Vietnam1,736,778 
Laos8,691 
100-250 mmJapan, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Federated States of Micronesia9,096,940
+
Japan473 
Vietnam4,354,192 
Laos518,401 
Thailand4,097,468 
Cambodia126,181 
Federated States of Micronesia225 
50-100 mmJapan, Vietnam, Laos, Philippines, China, Thailand, Cambodia, Federated States of Micronesia, Palau23,817,627
+
Japan52 
Vietnam7,140,450 
Laos1,622,475 
Philippines850,687 
China888,683 
Thailand11,062,365 
Cambodia2,252,666 
Federated States of Micronesia46 
Palau203 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 28 Oct 2020 00:00 206 930 thousand
- - - - Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia
Blue 2 28 Oct 2020 06:00 575 10.9 million
- - Japan, Vietnam, Laos, Philippines, China, Thailand, Cambodia, Federated States of Micronesia, Palau




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

1.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.2m in Tho Ngoa, Vietnam. This height is estimated for 28 Oct 2020 10:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2020 06:00 UTC
    

!No content available ..