Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KARINA-20 Off-shore from 13 Sep 2020 03:00 UTC to 17 Sep 2020 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KARINA-20

Off-shore

13 Sep 2020 18 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KARINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	122 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (14 Sep 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	122 km/h	0.3 m	270 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	126 km/h	0.5 m	586 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	13 Sep 2020 00:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	13 Sep 2020 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	13 Sep 2020 12:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	13 Sep 2020 18:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

586 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	13 Sep 2020 00:00	328	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	13 Sep 2020 06:00	343	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	13 Sep 2020 12:00	214	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	13 Sep 2020 18:00	848	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 14 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	14 Sep 2020 00:00	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.3
	14 Sep 2020 00:00	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2020 00:00	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2020 00:00	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2020 00:00	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2020 00:00	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2020 19:15	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2020 22:15	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2020 22:15	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2020 23:45	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2020 20:00	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2020 23:45	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2020 20:15	Tecomate	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2020 20:15	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2020 22:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2020 18:15	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2020 20:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2020 23:30	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2020 18:15	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2020 18:45	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2020 21:45	Molino	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2020 21:45	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2020 18:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2020 18:45	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2020 23:30	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.2
	14 Sep 2020 00:00	Cedros	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2020 20:15	San Rafael	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2020 22:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2020 18:30	La Florida	Mexico	0.2
	13 Sep 2020 22:00	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 18:45	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 21:30	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 21:15	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 18:45	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 18:45	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 18:45	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 19:15	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 18:45	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 18:45	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 19:00	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 20:00	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 19:00	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 19:00	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 18:00	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 18:00	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2020 00:00	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 18:00	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 18:00	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 18:45	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 18:45	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 19:45	Los Burros	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 19:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 21:15	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 23:15	El Tomale	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 23:15	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 23:15	Cunano	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 23:15	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 20:15	El Barril	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 19:45	Guasimas	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 19:45	Atanacio	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 19:45	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 19:45	Borabampo	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2020 00:00	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 20:45	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2020 00:00	Marmol	Mexico	0.1
	14 Sep 2020 00:00	Florida	Mexico	0.1
	13 Sep 2020 19:45	San Jose	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.