Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for FIFTEEN-19 in Cape Verde from 14 Oct 2019 21:00 UTC to 16 Oct 2019 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FIFTEEN-19

in Cape Verde

15 Oct 2019 18 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIFTEEN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Cape Verde
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	61 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (15 Oct 21:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	61 km/h	0.2 m	156 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	65 km/h	0.3 m	332 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

65 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Cape Verde	04

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	14 Oct 2019 18:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	15 Oct 2019 00:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Oct 2019 06:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 Oct 2019 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	15 Oct 2019 18:00	68	-		-	-	-	-	-	Cape Verde

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Cape Verde	3,524

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 Oct 2019 18:00	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	15 Oct 2019 00:00	111	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Oct 2019 06:00	112	Few people			-	-	-	-	Cape Verde
4	15 Oct 2019 12:00	115	-		-	-	-	-	-	Cape Verde
5	15 Oct 2019 18:00	491	-		-	-	-	-	-	Cape Verde

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Baloma de Baixo, Guinea-Bissau. This height is estimated for 15 Oct 2019 21:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Baloma de Baixo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Uato Mandinga	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Uato Fula	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Ponta Doce Mancanha	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Ga Moria	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Canema	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Pecete	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Meruigi	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Bolama	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Intindumbo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Gantumane	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Sao Joao	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Santa Maria	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Ganchombe	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Madina de Baixo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Ganture	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Tabanca Nova	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Sancoma	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Fortuna	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Bigine	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Gambacar Nancho	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Mansaba	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Darsalame	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Ganafa	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Ga Eugenia	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Ga Maior de Baixo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Paiunco	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Bocana Balanta	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Camaga	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Ga Maior Beafada	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Umpoloco	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Bocano	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Cabaceira	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Batanta	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Ponta Filipe	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Tema	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Pobreza	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Canchungozinho	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Oco	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Ponta Gardele	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Conlumo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Bissau	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Antula	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Birte	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Nhacra	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Ca Grande	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Cumere	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Ilheu do Mancebo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Oco Grande	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Nhala de Baixo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Nhala de Cima	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Nague	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Santa Joana	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Rucuto	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Fei	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Cunteda	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Biogate	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Enxude	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Foia	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Enchude	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Chugue	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Mato Grande	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Gambinta	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Cabame	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Farancunda	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Ametite	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Ancano	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Catabao Segundo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Ilheu de Melo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Cametonco	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Cabedu	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Cabedu Balanta	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Cabanta	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Cassincha	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Campeane	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Cacao-oi	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Pampaire	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Caboxanque	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Katchek Ou Franceville	Guinea	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Koreou	Guinea	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Kahouongor	Guinea	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Cassaca	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Kamsabome	Guinea	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Kadignan	Guinea	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Cambeque	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Cabonepo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Cacine	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Bonia	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Karban Kara	Guinea	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Bakhaday	Guinea	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Kamabanga	Guinea	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 08:00	Camissora	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 02:30	Diourmel	Senegal	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 02:30	Tiougoune	Senegal	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 02:30	Kharane	Senegal	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 02:30	Tounde Maleye	Senegal	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 02:30	Yodi	Senegal	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 02:30	Keur Dao Beye	Senegal	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 02:30	Quassoumassal	Senegal	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 02:30	Sag	Senegal	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 02:30	Dao	Senegal	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 02:30	Keur Koura	Senegal	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:15	Gabar	Senegal	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:15	Gnayam	Senegal	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:15	Tare	Senegal	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:15	Mbao	Senegal	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:15	Degounaye	Senegal	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:15	Mboumbaye	Senegal	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:15	Guembeng	Senegal	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:15	Mouit	Senegal	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:15	Niol	Senegal	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:15	Ndieben	Senegal	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:15	Ndiedene	Senegal	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:15	Maka	Senegal	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:45	Botai	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:45	Ondame	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:45	Chedia	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:45	Bissa	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:45	Blom	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:45	Ponto Compito	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:45	Suro	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:45	Petate	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:45	Prabis	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 19:15	Abene	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 19:15	Eticodeba	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 19:15	Acanho	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 19:15	Uite	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 19:15	Uassa	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 19:15	Ameta	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 19:15	Eguebe	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 19:15	Eticoba	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 19:15	Bubaque	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 19:15	Ambeno	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 19:15	Inhoda	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 19:15	Ambuduco	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 19:15	Umpucute	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 19:15	Indena	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 19:15	Meneque	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 19:15	Angumba	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 19:15	Inorei	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 19:15	Angojiga	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 23:30	Vila de Sal Rei	Cape Verde	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 23:30	Provoacao Velha	Cape Verde	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 23:30	Povocao Velha	Cape Verde	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 23:30	Sal Rel	Cape Verde	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 23:30	Cabecadas	Cape Verde	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 23:30	Rabil	Cape Verde	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 23:30	Ponta Adiante	Cape Verde	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 23:30	Bofareira	Cape Verde	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 23:30	Prazeres	Cape Verde	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 23:30	Espingueira	Cape Verde	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 23:30	Derrubado	Cape Verde	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 23:30	Curral Velho	Cape Verde	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Acampamento	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Anchorupe	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Tombali	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Caleu	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 21:30	Tambacumba	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 23:30	Anor	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 23:30	Erinhoco	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 23:30	Etinhoque	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 23:30	Ancagume	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 23:30	Ancopado	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 23:30	Imbone	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:45	Dentema	Guinea	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:45	Tiliponi	Guinea	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:45	Dikya	Guinea	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:45	Bel-Air	Guinea	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:45	Foulaya	Guinea	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:45	Tugnifilidi	Guinea	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:45	Tunyfilidi	Guinea	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:45	Koundinde	Guinea	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:45	Tanene	Guinea	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:45	Koumbaya	Guinea	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:45	Bolhi	Guinea	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:45	Yereya	Guinea	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:45	Soubane	Guinea	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:45	Youmaleya	Guinea	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:45	Kenende	Guinea	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:45	Deporou	Guinea	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:45	Bikhakhaoade	Guinea	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 18:45	Siranka	Guinea	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.