Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ALETTA-24 in Mexico from 04 Jul 2024 15:00 UTC to 06 Jul 2024 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ALETTA-24

in Mexico

05 Jul 2024 12 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ALETTA-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	United States,
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	47 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (05 Jul 22:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	47 km/h	0.2 m	129 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	104 km/h	1.5 m	335 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

104 km/h

Up to 70 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Jul 2024 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	United States	69,900

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	04 Jul 2024 00:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	04 Jul 2024 12:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	05 Jul 2024 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	05 Jul 2024 12:00	144	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States, Other countries

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Jul 2024 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Mexico, Guatemala	107,603	+
	Mexico	14,317
	Guatemala	93,286
50-100 mm	United States, Mexico, Guatemala	2,368,418	+
	United States	78,703
	Mexico	1,256,453
	Guatemala	1,033,260

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	04 Jul 2024 00:00	160	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	04 Jul 2024 12:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	05 Jul 2024 00:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	05 Jul 2024 12:00	235	110 thousand			-	-	-	-	United States, Mexico, Guatemala

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 05 Jul 2024 22:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Jul 2024 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	05 Jul 2024 22:00	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.2
	05 Jul 2024 22:00	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.2
	05 Jul 2024 21:45	San Felipe	Mexico	0.2
	05 Jul 2024 13:45	La Choya	Mexico	0.2
	05 Jul 2024 13:45	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.2
	05 Jul 2024 17:30	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	05 Jul 2024 18:00	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	05 Jul 2024 18:00	Guasimas	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 16:30	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 12:15	Arista	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 12:00	La Gloria	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 12:00	Chaparral	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 17:15	San Rafael	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 12:15	Buenavista	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 17:45	Tastiota	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 17:45	Tecomate	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 12:15	Boqueron	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 12:15	Pasito de la Senora	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 12:15	La Concepion	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 12:15	Barra de San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 14:00	La Verde	Guatemala	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 14:00	El Tulate	Guatemala	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 18:00	Cachoana	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 14:15	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 17:15	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 17:15	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 12:15	Cachimba	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 16:30	San Jose	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 16:30	Atanacio	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 16:30	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 18:00	Empalme	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 15:00	Solo Dios	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 14:00	Acapan	Guatemala	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 14:00	Champerico	Guatemala	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 17:15	Borabampo	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 16:15	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 16:15	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 16:15	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 13:45	Puerto de San Benito	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 17:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 17:15	Mulege	Mexico	0.1
	06 Jul 2024 00:00	Vattman	United States	0.1
	06 Jul 2024 00:00	Loyola Beach	United States	0.1
	06 Jul 2024 00:00	Orange Grove	United States	0.1
	06 Jul 2024 00:00	La Parra Landing	United States	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 13:15	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 17:45	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 17:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 18:00	San Blas	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 18:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 17:00	El Barril	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 18:00	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 18:30	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 23:30	Ciudad del Carmen	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 17:15	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 17:15	Guaymas	Mexico	0.1
	06 Jul 2024 00:00	San Francisco del Mar	Mexico	0.1
	06 Jul 2024 00:00	La Majada	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 12:15	El Roble	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 18:15	Liliba	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 17:15	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 17:15	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 22:00	Huajapan	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 18:30	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 17:30	Cedros	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 14:15	Ocos	Guatemala	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 17:30	La Ventana	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 17:30	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 17:30	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 17:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	05 Jul 2024 13:45	El Chico	Guatemala	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.