Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JASMINE-22
in Madagascar

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JASMINE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Madagascar
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 102 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (24 Apr 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)
Landfall between
26 Apr 2022 12:00 - 26 Apr 2022 18:00

in Madagascar

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 65 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
Overall 102 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 2.4 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 24 Apr 2022 00:00 74 No people No people
Green 2 24 Apr 2022 06:00 74 No people No people
Green 3 24 Apr 2022 18:00 93 No people No people
Green 4 25 Apr 2022 06:00 83 680 thousand No people Madagascar
Green 5 25 Apr 2022 12:00 102 570 thousand No people Madagascar
Green 6 25 Apr 2022 18:00 93 1 million No people Madagascar
Green 7 26 Apr 2022 00:00 102 830 thousand No people Madagascar
Green 8 26 Apr 2022 06:00 102 680 thousand No people Madagascar
Green 9 26 Apr 2022 12:00 93 1.7 million No people Madagascar
Green 10 26 Apr 2022 18:00 65 2.4 million No people Madagascar

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 24 Apr 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -17.5, 40.3
GREEN
2 24 Apr 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -17.9, 39.4
GREEN
3 24 Apr 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -19.2, 39.5
GREEN
4 25 Apr 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -20.4, 40.3
GREEN
5 25 Apr 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -21.1, 40.8
GREEN
6 25 Apr 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -22.2, 41.3
GREEN
7 26 Apr 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 340000 people -22.6, 41.5
GREEN
8 26 Apr 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 680000 people -23.1, 42.3
GREEN
9 26 Apr 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 1.7 million people -23.3, 43.3
GREEN
10 26 Apr 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 2.3 million people -23.6, 44.2 Madagascar
GREEN
10 27 Apr 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -23.8, 47.4 Madagascar
GREEN
10 27 Apr 2022 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -22.6, 50.3
GREEN
10 28 Apr 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -21.2, 51.8
GREEN
10 28 Apr 2022 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -19.6, 53.2
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Madagascar

Provinces

Region Province Country
Toliara Madagascar
Fianarantsoa Madagascar

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Tulear Toliara Madagascar Major city -
Betroka Toliara Madagascar City -

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Betioky BKU unknown 0
Toliara TLE 8 Civ. Paved No 6500
Bekily OVA 387 Civ. Unpaved No 4100

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Toliara MGTLE Madagascar
Manombo MGMOB Madagascar
Manantenina Madagascar

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Damiao, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 24 Apr 2022 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (120 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 24 Apr 2022 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Apr 2022 08:00 Damiao Mozambique  0.6
24 Apr 2022 08:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.6
24 Apr 2022 08:00 Chamba Mozambique  0.6
24 Apr 2022 08:00 Beira Mozambique  0.6
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.5
25 Apr 2022 18:00 Amado Mozambique  0.5
25 Apr 2022 18:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.5
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Manica Mozambique  0.4
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.4
24 Apr 2022 08:00 Tama Mozambique  0.4
24 Apr 2022 08:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.4
24 Apr 2022 09:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.4
25 Apr 2022 17:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.3
24 Apr 2022 08:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.3
24 Apr 2022 08:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.3
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.3
24 Apr 2022 11:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.3
25 Apr 2022 18:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.3
24 Apr 2022 11:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.3
24 Apr 2022 11:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.3
24 Apr 2022 15:00 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.3
25 Apr 2022 18:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.3
25 Apr 2022 18:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.3
25 Apr 2022 18:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.3
24 Apr 2022 15:00 Barra Mozambique  0.3
24 Apr 2022 15:00 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.3
24 Apr 2022 15:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.3
24 Apr 2022 15:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.3
24 Apr 2022 15:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.3
25 Apr 2022 18:00 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.3
25 Apr 2022 18:00 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.3
25 Apr 2022 18:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.3
25 Apr 2022 18:00 Manometimay Madagascar  0.3
25 Apr 2022 19:00 Maintirano Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 12:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.2
25 Apr 2022 18:00 Morondava Madagascar  0.2
25 Apr 2022 19:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.2
25 Apr 2022 19:00 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.2
25 Apr 2022 19:00 Manomba Madagascar  0.2
25 Apr 2022 18:00 Antserananbondro Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.2
25 Apr 2022 19:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.2
25 Apr 2022 19:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.2
25 Apr 2022 19:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 12:00 Onara Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 12:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 12:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 12:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
25 Apr 2022 18:00 Antsamaka Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 04:00 Morrua Mozambique  0.2
25 Apr 2022 19:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.2
25 Apr 2022 18:00 Belo-sur-Mer Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 04:00 Chululu Mozambique  0.2
24 Apr 2022 04:00 Caramaca Mozambique  0.2
24 Apr 2022 04:00 Pebane Mozambique  0.2
25 Apr 2022 18:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 04:00 Moebase Mozambique  0.2
25 Apr 2022 18:00 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 04:00 Metapa Mozambique  0.2
24 Apr 2022 04:00 Murrumuana Mozambique  0.2
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 08:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 11:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.2
24 Apr 2022 04:00 Raraga Mozambique  0.2
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 08:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 08:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 08:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 08:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 08:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 08:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
25 Apr 2022 18:00 Ankiliabo Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 04:00 Carramali Mozambique  0.2
24 Apr 2022 04:00 Mutadua Mozambique  0.2
24 Apr 2022 08:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 08:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
25 Apr 2022 19:00 Antanambao Samaka Madagascar  0.2
25 Apr 2022 19:00 Antohgo Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.2
24 Apr 2022 11:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.1
24 Apr 2022 04:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.1
24 Apr 2022 04:00 Bajone Mozambique  0.1
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.1
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.1
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
25 Apr 2022 19:00 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.1
25 Apr 2022 19:00 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.1
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
24 Apr 2022 03:00 Mocareja Mozambique  0.1
25 Apr 2022 19:00 Marofototra Madagascar  0.1
25 Apr 2022 19:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.1
24 Apr 2022 02:00 Napito Mozambique  0.1
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
25 Apr 2022 19:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.1
25 Apr 2022 21:00 Moravano Madagascar  0.1
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.1
24 Apr 2022 07:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.1
25 Apr 2022 21:00 Andramasay Madagascar  0.1
25 Apr 2022 20:00 Ambararata Madagascar  0.1
25 Apr 2022 20:00 Ankevo Madagascar  0.1
24 Apr 2022 03:00 Larde Mozambique  0.1
24 Apr 2022 02:00 Namorre Mozambique  0.1
24 Apr 2022 03:00 Coropoa Mozambique  0.1
25 Apr 2022 19:00 Afo Mozambique  0.1
25 Apr 2022 18:00 Morombe Madagascar  0.1