Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ESTHER-20
in Australia
24 Feb 2020 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone ESTHER-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Australia
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 1.6 m (24 Feb 17:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Australia)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 83 km/h 1.6 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 93 km/h 1.6 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      83 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 5500 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 23 Feb 2020 12:00 102 6 thousand No people Australia
        Green 2 23 Feb 2020 18:00 102 7 thousand No people Australia
        Green 3 24 Feb 2020 00:00 83 6 thousand No people Australia

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 23 Feb 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 3100 people -15.5, 139.5 Australia
          GREEN
          		 2 23 Feb 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 3200 people -16.1, 139.1 Australia
          GREEN
          		 3 24 Feb 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 2800 people -16.6, 138.3 Australia
          GREEN
          		 3 24 Feb 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 1800 people -17.1, 136.9 Australia
          GREEN
          		 3 25 Feb 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 1800 people -17.2, 135.4 Australia
          GREEN
          		 3 25 Feb 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -17.1, 133.8 Australia
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Australia

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Queensland Australia
          Northern Territory Australia

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Wollogorang WLL unknown 0
          Mornington Island ONG 10 Civ. Unpaved Yes 4900
          Robinson River RRV unknown 0
          Burketown BUC 15 Civ. Paved Yes 4500
          Borroloola BOX 16 Civ. Paved Yes 4000
          McArthur River Mine 40 Priv. Paved Yes 4900
          Cresswell Downs CSD unknown 0
          Anthony Lagoon AYL unknown 0
          Eva Downs EVD unknown 0
          Daly Waters DYW unknown 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Mornington Island Coral Sea Islands
          Bentinck Island Coral Sea Islands
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          1.6 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  1.6m in Karumba, Australia. This height is estimated for 24 Feb 2020 17:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (141 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 24 Feb 2020 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          24 Feb 2020 17:00 Karumba Australia  1.6
          24 Feb 2020 17:00 Kowanyama Australia  1.1
          24 Feb 2020 19:00 Mapoon Australia  1.0
          23 Feb 2020 19:00 Taroea Anim Indonesia  1.0
          24 Feb 2020 19:00 Kulinchin Australia  1.0
          24 Feb 2020 19:00 Weipa Australia  1.0
          24 Feb 2020 19:00 Weipa South Australia  1.0
          25 Feb 2020 05:00 Alyangula Australia  0.9
          24 Feb 2020 20:00 Port Kennedy Australia  0.9
          25 Feb 2020 06:00 Numbulwar Australia  0.9
          24 Feb 2020 20:00 Cape York Australia  0.9
          24 Feb 2020 20:00 Badu Australia  0.9
          24 Feb 2020 21:00 Hammond I Australia  0.8
          24 Feb 2020 16:00 Sarire Indonesia  0.8
          24 Feb 2020 19:00 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.8
          24 Feb 2020 16:00 Kumbe Indonesia  0.8
          24 Feb 2020 19:00 Bula Papua New Guinea  0.8
          23 Feb 2020 19:00 Birab Indonesia  0.8
          24 Feb 2020 16:00 Merauke Indonesia  0.8
          24 Feb 2020 16:00 Anansai Indonesia  0.8
          24 Feb 2020 16:00 Wendu Indonesia  0.8
          24 Feb 2020 16:00 Onggalie Indonesia  0.8
          24 Feb 2020 16:00 Matara Indonesia  0.8
          24 Feb 2020 16:00 Urum Indonesia  0.8
          23 Feb 2020 19:00 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.8
          24 Feb 2020 21:00 Seisia Australia  0.8
          25 Feb 2020 08:00 Caburinga Village Australia  0.7
          24 Feb 2020 16:00 Kotad Indonesia  0.7
          24 Feb 2020 16:00 Dumande Indonesia  0.7
          25 Feb 2020 01:00 Nhulunbuy Australia  0.7
          24 Feb 2020 16:00 Alakoe Indonesia  0.7
          24 Feb 2020 16:00 Alatepi Indonesia  0.7
          25 Feb 2020 08:00 Gove Australia  0.7
          25 Feb 2020 08:00 Yirrkala Mission Australia  0.7
          25 Feb 2020 08:00 Yirrkala Australia  0.7
          24 Feb 2020 16:00 Okaba Indonesia  0.7
          24 Feb 2020 16:00 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.7
          24 Feb 2020 16:00 Papisote Indonesia  0.7
          24 Feb 2020 16:00 Welab Indonesia  0.7
          24 Feb 2020 16:00 Kobiem Indonesia  0.7
          23 Feb 2020 19:00 Per Indonesia  0.7
          23 Feb 2020 19:00 Jow Indonesia  0.7
          23 Feb 2020 19:00 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.7
          23 Feb 2020 19:00 Amborip Indonesia  0.7
          23 Feb 2020 19:00 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.7
          24 Feb 2020 17:00 Gelib Indonesia  0.6
          24 Feb 2020 17:00 Wamal Indonesia  0.6
          24 Feb 2020 02:00 Kladar Indonesia  0.6
          24 Feb 2020 02:00 Sabon Indonesia  0.6
          24 Feb 2020 02:00 Tor Indonesia  0.6
          24 Feb 2020 18:00 Komoran Indonesia  0.6
          23 Feb 2020 21:00 Agats Indonesia  0.6
          24 Feb 2020 19:00 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.6
          23 Feb 2020 21:00 Jofar Indonesia  0.6
          24 Feb 2020 19:00 Selemit Indonesia  0.6
          24 Feb 2020 19:00 Konerau Indonesia  0.5
          24 Feb 2020 19:00 Wan Indonesia  0.5
          23 Feb 2020 16:00 Running Creek Australia  0.5
          23 Feb 2020 16:00 Aloszville Australia  0.4
          25 Feb 2020 02:00 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.4
          23 Feb 2020 16:00 Coolbie Australia  0.3
          23 Feb 2020 16:00 Halifax Australia  0.3
          23 Feb 2020 16:00 Moongobulla Australia  0.3
          23 Feb 2020 16:00 Mutarnee Australia  0.3
          23 Feb 2020 16:00 Rollingstone Australia  0.3
          23 Feb 2020 16:00 Kinduro Australia  0.3
          25 Feb 2020 01:00 Saibai Australia  0.2
          23 Feb 2020 16:00 Cassady Australia  0.2
          25 Feb 2020 03:00 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.2
          25 Feb 2020 03:00 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.2
          23 Feb 2020 15:00 Lower Tully Australia  0.2
          23 Feb 2020 15:00 South Mission Beach Australia  0.2
          24 Feb 2020 23:00 Longar Indonesia  0.2
          24 Feb 2020 23:00 Baimoeh Indonesia  0.2
          24 Feb 2020 23:00 Gomo Gomo Indonesia  0.2
          24 Feb 2020 23:00 Masian Indonesia  0.2
          23 Feb 2020 16:00 Lucinda Australia  0.2
          24 Feb 2020 23:00 Krai Indonesia  0.2
          24 Feb 2020 23:00 Kobadangar Indonesia  0.2
          24 Feb 2020 23:00 Djamboeai Indonesia  0.2
          24 Feb 2020 23:00 Barakan Indonesia  0.2
          24 Feb 2020 22:00 Oud Krai Indonesia  0.2
          24 Feb 2020 22:00 Krei-lama Indonesia  0.2
          24 Feb 2020 22:00 Diommon Indonesia  0.2
          24 Feb 2020 22:00 Doka Indonesia  0.2
          23 Feb 2020 16:00 Alva Australia  0.2
          25 Feb 2020 00:00 Rabal Indonesia  0.2
          24 Feb 2020 22:00 Wadjin Indonesia  0.2
          25 Feb 2020 04:00 Waidoro Papua New Guinea  0.2
          25 Feb 2020 01:00 Kangoerma Indonesia  0.2
          23 Feb 2020 16:00 Carstairs Australia  0.2
          23 Feb 2020 16:00 Jarvisfield Australia  0.2
          23 Feb 2020 16:00 Rita Island Australia  0.2
          24 Feb 2020 23:00 Djoering Indonesia  0.2
          24 Feb 2020 23:00 Pono Indonesia  0.2
          25 Feb 2020 01:00 Basada Indonesia  0.2
          25 Feb 2020 01:00 Kobroor Indonesia  0.2
          23 Feb 2020 14:00 Mossman Australia  0.2
          23 Feb 2020 14:00 Miallo Australia  0.2
          23 Feb 2020 14:00 Wonga Australia  0.2
          23 Feb 2020 14:00 Port Douglas Australia  0.2
          23 Feb 2020 14:00 Hockley Australia  0.2
          24 Feb 2020 22:00 Ngaibor Indonesia  0.2
          25 Feb 2020 03:00 Sewer Indonesia  0.1
          25 Feb 2020 03:00 Karwai Indonesia  0.1
          25 Feb 2020 01:00 Kedjabi Indonesia  0.1
          25 Feb 2020 03:00 Komfane Indonesia  0.1
          25 Feb 2020 03:00 Karaum Indonesia  0.1
          25 Feb 2020 03:00 Keojabi Indonesia  0.1
          25 Feb 2020 03:00 Bendjoering Indonesia  0.1
          23 Feb 2020 19:00 Cooktown Australia  0.1
          23 Feb 2020 20:00 Oolbun Australia  0.1
          23 Feb 2020 17:00 Nightcliff Australia  0.1
          23 Feb 2020 17:00 Leanyer Australia  0.1
          23 Feb 2020 20:00 Townsville Australia  0.1
          23 Feb 2020 20:00 Oonoonba Australia  0.1
          23 Feb 2020 20:00 Cluden Australia  0.1
          23 Feb 2020 16:00 Elim Australia  0.1
          23 Feb 2020 14:00 Trinity Beach Australia  0.1
          23 Feb 2020 18:00 Elalie Australia  0.1
          23 Feb 2020 18:00 Kalarka Australia  0.1
          23 Feb 2020 18:00 Clairview Australia  0.1
          23 Feb 2020 18:00 Saint Lawrence Australia  0.1
          24 Feb 2020 23:00 Fatural Indonesia  0.1
          24 Feb 2020 23:00 Jerdera Indonesia  0.1
          24 Feb 2020 22:00 Ok Village Australia  0.1
          23 Feb 2020 14:00 Ayton Australia  0.1
          23 Feb 2020 14:00 Barron Falls Australia  0.1
          23 Feb 2020 14:00 Freshwater Australia  0.1
          23 Feb 2020 14:00 Yorkeys Knob Australia  0.1
          23 Feb 2020 14:00 Stratford Australia  0.1
          25 Feb 2020 04:00 Moha Indonesia  0.1
          25 Feb 2020 04:00 Marlasi Indonesia  0.1
          25 Feb 2020 04:00 Masidan Indonesia  0.1
          23 Feb 2020 18:00 Carmila Australia  0.1
          23 Feb 2020 18:00 Flaggy Rock Australia  0.1
          25 Feb 2020 00:00 Alardjir Indonesia  0.1
          23 Feb 2020 15:00 Innisfail Australia  0.1
          25 Feb 2020 00:00 Fekfekai Indonesia  0.1
          25 Feb 2020 12:00 Minjilang Australia  0.1
          25 Feb 2020 04:00 Goemsei Indonesia  0.1