Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for JULIA-22 in Nicaragua from 06 Oct 2022 15:00 UTC to 07 Oct 2022 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for JULIA-22

in Nicaragua

07 Oct 2022 03 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JULIA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Nicaragua
Exposed population	520 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	139 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1 m (09 Oct 15:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Nicaragua)
Landfall	between 09 Oct 2022 12:00 - 10 Oct 2022 00:00 in Nicaragua

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	139 km/h	1.0 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	139 km/h	1.0 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

139 km/h Current Max.

Up to 200000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	06 Oct 2022 15:00	83	17.9 million	No people	Colombia, Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador, Guatemala, Mexico
2	06 Oct 2022 21:00	139	15.2 million	No people	Venezuela, Colombia, Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador, Guatemala
3	07 Oct 2022 03:00	139	12.3 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua, Honduras

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	06 Oct 2022 15:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	11.4, -67
2	06 Oct 2022 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	380000 people	11.6, -68.7
3	07 Oct 2022 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	73000 people	11.9, -69.8	Venezuela
3	07 Oct 2022 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	59000 people	12.4, -72	Colombia
3	08 Oct 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	13, -75
3	08 Oct 2022 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	82000 people	13.2, -78
3	09 Oct 2022 00:00	Category 1	120	5300 people	800000 people	13.2, -80.7
3	09 Oct 2022 12:00	Category 1	139	200000 people	2.7 million people	13.3, -83.1
3	10 Oct 2022 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	11.6 million people	13.9, -85.4	Nicaragua
3	11 Oct 2022 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	15.5, -90	Guatemala

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Category 1 or higher strength
Nicaragua	200000 people
Honduras	no people

Provinces

Region Province	Country	Population in Category 1 or higher strength
Zelaya	Nicaragua	180000 people
Jinotega	Nicaragua	21000 people
El Paraiso	Honduras	no people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Providencia	PVA	6	Civ.	Paved	No	4500
Siuna	SIU	unknown				0
Rosita	RFS	63				0
Bonanza San Pedro	BZA	unknown				0
Siuna		146				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Bahia Catalina		Colombia
Providencia Island		Colombia
Puerto Isabel		Nicaragua

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

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StormSurge

1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.0m in Coco Haulover, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 09 Oct 2022 15:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (211 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 07 Oct 2022 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Coco Haulover	Nicaragua	1.0
	09 Oct 2022 14:00	Hualpasika	Nicaragua	0.9
	09 Oct 2022 14:00	Wounta	Nicaragua	0.9
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Puerto Cabezas	Nicaragua	0.9
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Lama Laya	Nicaragua	0.8
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Tuapi	Nicaragua	0.8
	09 Oct 2022 14:00	Tahuantla	Nicaragua	0.8
	09 Oct 2022 16:00	Karata	Nicaragua	0.8
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Huahua	Nicaragua	0.8
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Crucira	Nicaragua	0.8
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Ninayeri	Nicaragua	0.8
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Ledakura	Nicaragua	0.8
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Graytown	Nicaragua	0.8
	09 Oct 2022 14:00	Puerto Isabel	Nicaragua	0.8
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Awastara	Nicaragua	0.6
	09 Oct 2022 14:00	Wankluma	Nicaragua	0.5
	09 Oct 2022 16:00	Raya	Honduras	0.5
	09 Oct 2022 16:00	Clubki	Honduras	0.5
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Cabo Gracias Viejo	Nicaragua	0.5
	09 Oct 2022 19:00	Uhi	Honduras	0.5
	09 Oct 2022 17:00	Irlaya	Honduras	0.4
	09 Oct 2022 18:00	Patlaya	Honduras	0.4
	09 Oct 2022 16:00	Cabo Gracias a Dios	Honduras	0.4
	10 Oct 2022 08:00	Petacaltepe	Nicaragua	0.3
	09 Oct 2022 16:00	Kanko	Honduras	0.3
	10 Oct 2022 06:00	El Capulin	Nicaragua	0.3
	10 Oct 2022 06:00	Venecia	Nicaragua	0.3
	10 Oct 2022 06:00	Jiquilillo	Nicaragua	0.3
	10 Oct 2022 06:00	Cedeno	Honduras	0.3
	10 Oct 2022 06:00	Santo Tomas	Nicaragua	0.3
	10 Oct 2022 06:00	Mangle Alto	Nicaragua	0.3
	10 Oct 2022 08:00	Barrancones	Honduras	0.3
	09 Oct 2022 03:00	Aguadulce	Colombia	0.3
	09 Oct 2022 03:00	Morris Hill	Colombia	0.3
	09 Oct 2022 03:00	Franshua	Colombia	0.3
	10 Oct 2022 20:00	Cattle Landing	Belize	0.2
	10 Oct 2022 19:00	Baranca	Belize	0.2
	10 Oct 2022 18:00	San Juan	Guatemala	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Canco	Honduras	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Barra Kruta	Honduras	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 17:00	Pusuaya	Honduras	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 17:00	Yahurabila	Honduras	0.2
	10 Oct 2022 18:00	Cocoli	Guatemala	0.2
	10 Oct 2022 17:00	Livingston	Guatemala	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	El Aceituno	Venezuela	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	Altagracia	Venezuela	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	Las Playitas	Venezuela	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	Punto Miranda	Venezuela	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 08:00	Guaguri	Colombia	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 09:00	Puerto Estrella	Colombia	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 16:00	Barra de Caratasca	Honduras	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 16:00	Kaski	Honduras	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 22:00	Machacal	Guatemala	0.2
	10 Oct 2022 11:00	El Carmen	Nicaragua	0.2
	10 Oct 2022 09:00	Condega	Honduras	0.2
	10 Oct 2022 11:00	Gualora	Honduras	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 09:00	Chichibacoa	Colombia	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 16:00	Tay Lirila	Honduras	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 16:00	Dapat	Honduras	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 08:00	Punta Espada	Colombia	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 09:00	Puerto Chimare	Colombia	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Cauauira	Honduras	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	Haticos del Sur	Venezuela	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 02:00	El Cucharal	Venezuela	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	Jaguecito	Venezuela	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	El Canito	Venezuela	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 08:00	Karasua	Colombia	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 08:00	Puerto Ingles	Colombia	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	Punta Igauna	Venezuela	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	Palmarejo	Venezuela	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 19:00	Set Net	Nicaragua	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 22:00	Macho Creek	Guatemala	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 22:00	Puerto Barrios	Guatemala	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 22:00	Corozo	Guatemala	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 22:00	Barra del Motagua	Guatemala	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	Punta de Leiva	Venezuela	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	Santa Rita	Venezuela	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	El Guere	Venezuela	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	Cabimas	Venezuela	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	El Mene	Venezuela	0.2
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	Las Mucuras	Venezuela	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 17:00	Claura	Honduras	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 12:00	Barra de Rio Grande	Nicaragua	0.2
	10 Oct 2022 18:00	Buena Vista	Guatemala	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 22:00	La Graciosa	Guatemala	0.2
	10 Oct 2022 19:00	New Haven	Belize	0.2
	10 Oct 2022 00:00	Stann Creek Town	Belize	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 23:00	Boca Chica	Panama	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 11:00	San Jose	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 11:00	Bahia Hondita	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 11:00	Inosu	Colombia	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	Palmarejo	Venezuela	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	El Bebedero	Venezuela	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	Barrancas	Venezuela	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	La Vaca	Venezuela	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	El Porvenir	Venezuela	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 18:00	Barra del Patuca	Honduras	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 21:00	Jurulapa	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 21:00	Uluimana	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 13:00	El Cabo	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 13:00	Amaiquiro	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 11:00	Kaurimahana	Colombia	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	El Bajo	Venezuela	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	Bajo Grande	Venezuela	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 12:00	Sandy Bay Sirpi	Nicaragua	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 17:00	Punta Manabique	Guatemala	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 23:00	Cambalache	Guatemala	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	La Concepcion	Venezuela	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 00:00	Vaca Monte	Panama	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 00:00	Vera Cruz	Panama	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 00:00	Fuerte Kobbe	Panama	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 21:00	Jasav	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 21:00	Gualipana	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 21:00	Cojoro	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 10:00	Maasichi	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 12:00	Carrizal	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 11:00	Huauariuaha	Colombia	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 19:00	Rio Platano	Honduras	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 19:00	Huarta	Honduras	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 19:00	Tusi Cocal	Honduras	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 21:00	Guasapatu	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 05:00	Hato Abajo	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 05:00	El Rosario	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 05:00	Conejal	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 05:00	Guadalajara	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 05:00	La California	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 05:00	Guaimu	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 06:00	Orejitas	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 06:00	Macama	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 06:00	La Boca	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 06:00	Las Cruces	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 06:00	Matacan	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 06:00	Cayude	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 13:00	Araurio	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 13:00	Puerto Aramatka	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 13:00	Santa Rosa	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 12:00	Cardon	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 12:00	Kosinamahana	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 11:00	Pichuasahi	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 10:00	Caserio Taroa	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 11:00	Junain	Colombia	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	Pedregalito	Venezuela	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	San Antonio	Venezuela	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	La Pica Roja	Venezuela	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	Agua Clara	Venezuela	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 20:00	Baltimore	Honduras	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 16:00	San Francisco del Mar	Guatemala	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 00:00	Mullins	Belize	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 00:00	Freetown Area	Belize	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 13:00	Huattapo	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 21:00	Potchoure	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 21:00	Zarrupiai	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 21:00	Cuzi	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 21:00	Morchipa	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 21:00	Parsua	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 13:00	Pirpir	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 13:00	Mayapo	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 13:00	Arbol del Descanso	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 13:00	Urachikarein	Colombia	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 23:00	Damas	Costa Rica	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 23:00	Rios	Costa Rica	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 00:00	Taboga	Panama	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 20:00	Tasbarraya	Honduras	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 21:00	Conchaguita	El Salvador	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 20:00	Monkey River	Belize	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 05:00	Los Taques	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 05:00	Adaro	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 06:00	El Cardon	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 06:00	Punta Cardon	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 05:00	Punto Fijo	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 05:00	La Macolla	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 05:00	Las Piedras	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 05:00	Guanadito	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 06:00	Tiguajada	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 06:00	Caujarito	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 05:00	El Vaquero	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 05:00	San Lorenzo	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 05:00	El Imujo	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 12:00	Iturumahana	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 12:00	Mausahu	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 12:00	Jojoromahana	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 12:00	Auyama	Colombia	0.1
	08 Oct 2022 01:00	Punta Gordo	Venezuela	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 11:00	Corn Island	Nicaragua	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 00:00	Saboga	Panama	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 00:00	Boca de Torin	Panama	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 00:00	Chinina	Panama	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 00:00	Chiman	Panama	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 00:00	Boca de Pacora	Panama	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 00:00	Rio Chico	Panama	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 00:00	Chepillo	Panama	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 00:00	Sabaneta	Panama	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 00:00	Palo Grande	Panama	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 19:00	Mocobila	Honduras	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 00:00	El Sitio	Panama	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 00:00	Ciudad Radial	Panama	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 12:00	Tasbapauni	Nicaragua	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 09:00	Las Pozas	Nicaragua	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 07:00	Caduto	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 07:00	Guasare Abajo	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 06:00	Ocorote	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 06:00	Rio Seco	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 21:00	Guichep	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 21:00	Palachuou	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 13:00	El Pajaro	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 13:00	Shichepeho	Colombia	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 23:00	Julieta	Costa Rica	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 23:00	Pueblo Nuevo	Costa Rica	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 23:00	Parrita	Costa Rica	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 06:00	El Porvenir	Honduras	0.1
	10 Oct 2022 06:00	La Ceiba	Honduras	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.