Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for GONI-20
in Philippines

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GONI-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Philippines
Exposed population 24.4 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 315 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.4 m (01 Nov 13:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)
Landfall between
03 Nov 2020 18:00 - 04 Nov 2020 18:00

in Viet Nam

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 259 km/h 1.4 m n.a. 2.5
Overall 315 km/h 1.4 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

259 km/h Current Max.

Up to 21.9 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 28 Oct 2020 00:00 167 53.6 million 24 million Philippines
Red 2 28 Oct 2020 06:00 194 50.1 million 25.8 million Philippines
Orange 3 28 Oct 2020 12:00 148 50.4 million 2.3 million Philippines
Red 4 28 Oct 2020 18:00 194 51.2 million 2.2 million Philippines
Red 5 29 Oct 2020 00:00 222 49.7 million 6.5 million Philippines
Red 6 29 Oct 2020 06:00 231 53.2 million 6.5 million Philippines
Red 7 29 Oct 2020 12:00 213 48.2 million 6.1 million Philippines
Red 8 29 Oct 2020 18:00 231 51.4 million 6.1 million Philippines
Red 9 30 Oct 2020 00:00 231 51 million 6.2 million Philippines
Red 10 30 Oct 2020 06:00 222 54 million 3.5 million Philippines
Red 11 30 Oct 2020 12:00 231 55.7 million 6.8 million Philippines
Red 12 30 Oct 2020 18:00 259 61.7 million 21.9 million Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 28 Oct 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16.6, 140.1
GREEN
2 28 Oct 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 16.6, 139.5
GREEN
3 28 Oct 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.6, 138.7
GREEN
4 28 Oct 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.6, 137.5
GREEN
5 29 Oct 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 16.5, 136.6
GREEN
6 29 Oct 2020 06:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 16.8, 135.8
GREEN
7 29 Oct 2020 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 16.7, 134.6
GREEN
8 29 Oct 2020 18:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 16.3, 133.4
GREEN
9 30 Oct 2020 00:00 Category 4 231 no people no people 16.3, 132.7
GREEN
10 30 Oct 2020 06:00 Category 5 278 no people no people 16.3, 131.6
GREEN
11 30 Oct 2020 12:00 Category 5 287 no people no people 16.1, 130.9
GREEN
12 30 Oct 2020 18:00 Category 5 287 no people no people 15.8, 129.9
GREEN
12 31 Oct 2020 06:00 Category 5 278 no people 5.2 million people 15.1, 127.6
RED
12 31 Oct 2020 18:00 Category 5 259 440000 people 48.2 million people 14.5, 125
RED
12 01 Nov 2020 06:00 Category 4 222 21.6 million people 49.8 million people 14.5, 122.1
GREEN
12 01 Nov 2020 18:00 Category 1 139 no people 16 million people 15, 119.3
GREEN
12 02 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people <1000 people 15.3, 115
ORANGE
12 03 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 10.2 million people 15.3, 111.2
GREEN
12 04 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 15.1, 108 Viet Nam
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Philippines

Provinces

Region Province Country
Bicol Philippines
Southern Tagalog Philippines
Central Luzon Philippines
National Capital Region Philippines

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Binangonan Southern Tagalog Philippines City 220000 people
Antipolo Southern Tagalog Philippines City 540000 people
San Mateo Southern Tagalog Philippines City 130000 people
Taytay Southern Tagalog Philippines City 230000 people
Quezon City National Capital Region Philippines Major city 1.7 million people
Manila National Capital Region Philippines Capital 10.2 million people
Baliuag Central Luzon Philippines City 130000 people
Meycauayan Central Luzon Philippines City 180000 people
Pulilan Central Luzon Philippines City 76000 people
Cavite Cavite City Philippines City 120000 people
Malolos Central Luzon Philippines City 200000 people
Hagonoy Central Luzon Philippines City 120000 people
Guagua Central Luzon Philippines City 9300 people
Olongapo Central Luzon Philippines City 220000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Daet DTE 3 Civ. Paved No 3700
Larap 5 0
Ninoy Aquino International MNL 23 Civ. Paved Yes 12200
Sangley Point AB SGL 2 Mil. Paved No 8600
Basa AB 46 Mil. Paved No 8300
Subic Bay International Airpt SFS 17 Civ. Paved Yes 9000

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Mercedes Philippines
Paracale Philippines
Jose Panganiban PHJPM Philippines
Dahikan Philippines
Polillo Island Philippines
Puerto Real Philippines
Manila PHMNL Philippines
Navotas Philippines
Cavite PHCVE Philippines
Subic Bay PHSFS Philippines

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Angat Angat 1968

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.4m in Abucay, Philippines. This height is estimated for 01 Nov 2020 13:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (211 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 12 of 30 Oct 2020 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Nov 2020 13:00 Abucay Philippines  1.4
01 Nov 2020 13:00 Balanga Philippines  1.4
01 Nov 2020 13:00 Pamarauan Philippines  1.2
01 Nov 2020 13:00 Hermosa Philippines  1.2
01 Nov 2020 13:00 Orani Philippines  1.2
01 Nov 2020 13:00 Samal Philippines  1.2
01 Nov 2020 14:00 Pilar Philippines  1.1
01 Nov 2020 12:00 Meycauayan Philippines  0.9
01 Nov 2020 11:00 Manila Philippines  0.9
01 Nov 2020 12:00 Tanza Philippines  0.8
01 Nov 2020 12:00 Tinajeros Philippines  0.8
01 Nov 2020 14:00 Orion Philippines  0.8
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Caluekan Philippines  0.7
01 Nov 2020 11:00 Caloocan Philippines  0.7
01 Nov 2020 08:00 Real Philippines  0.6
01 Nov 2020 14:00 Limay Philippines  0.6
01 Nov 2020 11:00 Imus Philippines  0.6
01 Nov 2020 03:00 Banacboc Philippines  0.6
01 Nov 2020 07:00 Bisliang Philippines  0.5
01 Nov 2020 04:00 Capalonga Philippines  0.5
01 Nov 2020 14:00 Olongapo Philippines  0.5
01 Nov 2020 14:00 Subic Philippines  0.5
01 Nov 2020 04:00 Alayao Philippines  0.5
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Apad Lutao Philippines  0.5
01 Nov 2020 03:00 Paracale Philippines  0.5
01 Nov 2020 08:00 Labayat Philippines  0.5
01 Nov 2020 04:00 Mactang Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 05:00 Calaguikhik Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 14:00 Cavite Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 14:00 Tanza Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 14:00 Binakayan Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 04:00 Binauangan Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 05:00 Jomalig Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Union Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Tinambac Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Magtang Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Lamon Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 04:00 Pangas Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 07:00 Abucay Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 14:00 Cabcaben Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 14:00 Tehero Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 14:00 General Trias Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 05:00 Talingting Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 04:00 Jose Panganiban Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Pag-aguasan Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 14:00 Amaya Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Patnanongan Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 07:00 Cabungalunan Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Cabag Philippines  0.3
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Thanh Thuy Vietnam  0.3
01 Nov 2020 05:00 Lopez Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 05:00 Calauag Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 08:00 Infanta Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 15:00 Pundaquit Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 01:00 San Vicente Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Apad Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Argosino Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 14:00 Naic Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 14:00 Morong Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Alabat Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Miguel Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Mascarina Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 05:00 Gumaca Philippines  0.3
31 Oct 2020 22:00 Panganiban Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 02:00 Daet Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Perez Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Cavilla Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Polillo Philippines  0.2
31 Oct 2020 21:00 Bikal Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Tandoc Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Concepcion Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 07:00 Calamias Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 14:00 Silanguin Philippines  0.2
31 Oct 2020 21:00 Bagas Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 14:00 Maragondon Philippines  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Xianmai China  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Taiping China  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Longshe China  0.2
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Atimonan Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 13:00 Bagac Philippines  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Dongli China  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Tung-li China  0.2
31 Oct 2020 22:00 Bitaogan Philippines  0.2
31 Oct 2020 23:00 Balaton Philippines  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Jinhe China  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Wai-lo China  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Dongshan China  0.2
31 Oct 2020 22:00 Calolbon Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 02:00 Vinzons Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 15:00 San Felipe Philippines  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Huangpo China  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Chiu-wu-ch'uan China  0.2
01 Nov 2020 05:00 San Jose Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 15:00 Looc Philippines  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Houhu China  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Huangwu China  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Bengtang China  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Shaoyao China  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Xingyou China  0.2
03 Nov 2020 17:00 Meilu China  0.2
03 Nov 2020 17:00 Hai-lu China  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Dongjian China  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Ma-hsieh China  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Badongxu China  0.2
01 Nov 2020 05:00 Mauban Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 08:00 Magdalo Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 13:00 Paysawan Philippines  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Nayan China  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Doulongcun China  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Houhai China  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Baisha China  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Qianshan China  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 An Cu Vietnam  0.2
31 Oct 2020 22:00 Pandan Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 16:00 Botolan Philippines  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Da Nang Vietnam  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Mui Da Nang Vietnam  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Phu Bai Vietnam  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 La Son Vietnam  0.2
31 Oct 2020 22:00 Adiagnao Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Tagontong Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Mambongalon Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 15:00 Mariveles Philippines  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Hele China  0.2
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Boao China  0.2
31 Oct 2020 23:00 Barceloneta Philippines  0.2
31 Oct 2020 21:00 Pandanan Philippines  0.1
31 Oct 2020 21:00 Colongcogong Philippines  0.1
31 Oct 2020 21:00 Garchitorena Philippines  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Shuidong China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Hoi An Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Tuyet iem Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Thai Duong Thuong Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Thon Thai Duong Ha Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Thon Phu An Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 An Thuan Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Thon My Thuy Vietnam  0.1
31 Oct 2020 21:00 Guijalo Philippines  0.1
31 Oct 2020 21:00 Manambrag Philippines  0.1
31 Oct 2020 21:00 Gitoma Philippines  0.1
31 Oct 2020 22:00 Mapid Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 00:00 Barana Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 15:00 Cabangan Philippines  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Ch'i-ching China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Dianbai China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Danchang China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Magang China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Diancheng China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Chen Lan China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Qinglan China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Phung Chinh Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Mui Chon Dong Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 The Chi Tay Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Ap Quan Nam Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Giem Ha Trung Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Dong Ha Vietnam  0.1
31 Oct 2020 23:00 Mandao Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 08:00 Binibitinan Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Calutcot Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 08:00 Panukulan Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 08:00 Ngalan Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 14:00 San Antonio Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 14:00 San Narciso Philippines  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Rudong China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Shangyang China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Lengzilin China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Pinggang China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Baipu China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 15:00 Puqian China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Huiwen China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 An Thach Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Thon My Khanh Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 An Hai Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Phu Xuan Ha Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 16:00 Longtang China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Cat Son Phuong Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Dong Hoi Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 16:00 Boshegang China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Yandun China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Chengcun China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Ly Nhon Thon Vietnam  0.1
31 Oct 2020 21:00 Caramoan Philippines  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Santouzui China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Hsi-t'ou China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Xom Da Me Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Mui Lay Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Xom Lap Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Jiangcheng China  0.1
31 Oct 2020 21:00 Sialat Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 00:00 Gongonan Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Talaga Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 09:00 Kinasakitan Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 08:00 Libjo Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 16:00 Iba Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 16:00 Maloma Philippines  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Chung-yuan China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Ha Tru Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Phu Loc Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Ky Tan Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Duc Pho Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 An Lac Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Dien Truong Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Cua Thon Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 11:00 Dalangwan China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Sancai China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Linwang China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Tang Kiu China  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Ba Don Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Tho Ngoa Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Hau Con Vietnam  0.1
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Con Soi Vietnam  0.1