Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NISARGA-20
in India
03 Jun 2020 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone NISARGA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries India
    Exposed population 13.5 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (03 Jun 07:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability High (India)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 102 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 1.5
    Overall 139 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 1.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      102 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 55.2 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 02 Jun 2020 18:00 83 48.5 million No people India
        Orange 2 03 Jun 2020 00:00 102 55.2 million No people India

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          ORANGE
          		 1 02 Jun 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 34.1 million people 17, 71.7 India
          ORANGE
          		 2 03 Jun 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 38.5 million people 17.2, 72.1 India
          ORANGE
          		 2 03 Jun 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 52.6 million people 18.8, 73.4 India
          GREEN
          		 2 04 Jun 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 20.5, 75.3 India
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          India

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Maharashtra India

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Satara Maharashtra India City 110000 people
          Mumbai Maharashtra India Major city 12.5 million people
          Panvel Maharashtra India City 130000 people
          Navi Mumbai Maharashtra India Major city 910000 people
          Pune Maharashtra India Major city 2.9 million people
          Pimpri Maharashtra India City 1.3 million people
          Thana Maharashtra India City 1.3 million people
          Dombivli Maharashtra India City -
          Ambarnath Maharashtra India City 220000 people
          Badlapur Maharashtra India City 100000 people
          Ulhasnagar Maharashtra India City 480000 people
          Vasei Maharashtra India City -
          Navghar Maharashtra India City 160000 people
          Bhiwandi Maharashtra India City 700000 people
          Kalyan Maharashtra India City 1.2 million people
          Nalasopara Maharashtra India City 240000 people
          Ahmadnagar Maharashtra India City 370000 people
          Nasik Maharashtra India City -
          Kopargaon Maharashtra India City 65000 people
          Manmad Maharashtra India City 73000 people
          Malegaon Maharashtra India City 410000 people
          Aurangabad Maharashtra India City 880000 people
          Dhule Maharashtra India City 360000 people
          Amalner Maharashtra India City 96000 people
          Jalgaon Maharashtra India City 370000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Ratnagiri RTC 61 Civ. Paved No 3600
          Mumbai / Juhu 3 Civ. Paved No 3700
          Mumbai Chhatrapati Shivaji BOM 8 Civ. Paved Yes 11400
          Pune PNQ 589 Mil. Paved Yes 8300
          Nasik Road 597 0
          Ozar 579 Mil. Unpaved No 9800
          Aurangabad IXU 581 Civ. Paved Yes 7500
          Dhulia 280 0
          Jalgaon 244 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Ratnagiri Bay India
          Bankot India
          Srivardhan India
          Murud India
          Alibag India
          Bombay (Mumbai) INBOM India
          Jawaharlal Nehru Port INNSA India

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Koyna Koyna 1964
          Kasari Kasari River 1990
          Dhom Krishna 1977
          Vir Baji Pasalkar Mosi n/a
          Mulshi Lake Mula 1927
          Bhatghar Yelwanti 1927
          Vir Baji Pasalkar Nira 1965
          Thakurwadi Indrayani 1922
          Dimbhe Ghod n/a
          Wadaj Meena 1983
          Manikdoh Kukadi 1984
          Yedgaon Kukadi 1977
          Pimpalgaon Joga Pushpavati n/a
          Vaitarna Vaitarna 1973
          Ghod Ghod 1965
          Bhandardari Paravara 1926
          Alwandi Alwandi 1976
          Kadwa Kadwa n/a
          Darna Darna 1916
          Gangapur Godavari 1965
          Mula Mula 1972
          Alandi Alandi 1983
          Palkhed Kadva 1975
          Ozarkhed Unanda 1982
          Girna Girna 1969
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.7 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Bankot, India. This height is estimated for 03 Jun 2020 07:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (86 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 03 Jun 2020 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          03 Jun 2020 07:00 Bankot India  0.7
          03 Jun 2020 07:00 Kelshi India  0.7
          03 Jun 2020 07:00 Srivardhan India  0.7
          03 Jun 2020 08:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.7
          03 Jun 2020 06:00 Guhagar India  0.5
          03 Jun 2020 06:00 Anjanwel India  0.5
          03 Jun 2020 08:00 Murud India  0.4
          03 Jun 2020 06:00 Boria India  0.4
          03 Jun 2020 06:00 Jaigarh India  0.4
          03 Jun 2020 04:00 Ratnagiri India  0.4
          03 Jun 2020 09:00 Revadanda India  0.4
          03 Jun 2020 06:00 Mirya India  0.3
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Bhatkal India  0.3
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Kumta India  0.3
          03 Jun 2020 06:00 Purnagad India  0.3
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Gokarn India  0.3
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Manki India  0.3
          03 Jun 2020 06:00 Purangad India  0.3
          03 Jun 2020 16:00 Uran India  0.3
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Agacaim India  0.3
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Ankola India  0.3
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Bainduru India  0.3
          03 Jun 2020 16:00 Mandve India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Terekhol India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Belekeri India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Honavar India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Mavalli India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Shirali India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Kundapura India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Advota India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Chaudi India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Majali India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Karwar India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Chittadi India  0.2
          03 Jun 2020 04:00 Adiura India  0.2
          03 Jun 2020 10:00 Alibag India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Vengurla India  0.2
          03 Jun 2020 07:00 Vijayadurg India  0.2
          03 Jun 2020 17:00 Trombay India  0.2
          03 Jun 2020 12:00 Marmagao India  0.2
          03 Jun 2020 12:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Madgaon India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
          03 Jun 2020 04:00 Devgarh India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Chopdem India  0.2
          03 Jun 2020 04:00 Pural India  0.2
          03 Jun 2020 04:00 Achra India  0.2
          03 Jun 2020 17:00 Diva India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Anjuna India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Panaji India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Malvan India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Udipi India  0.2
          03 Jun 2020 16:00 Asumumbay India  0.2
          03 Jun 2020 16:00 Mumbai India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 19:00 Ghogha India  0.2
          03 Jun 2020 16:00 Malad India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Mulki India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Edakkad India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Tellicherry India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Mahe India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Payyoli India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Quilandi India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Mangaluru India  0.1
          03 Jun 2020 23:00 Lamba India  0.1
          03 Jun 2020 16:00 Dongri India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Madayipara India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Madayi India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Kannapuram India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Chirakkal India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Talakkolattur India  0.1
          03 Jun 2020 16:00 Vasai India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Valapattanam India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Azhikkal India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Badagara India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Kozhikode India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Beypore India  0.1
          03 Jun 2020 13:00 Mira Bhayandar India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Kumbla India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Kasaragod India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Bekal India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Chervattur India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Trikkaripur India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Cannanore India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Dharmadam India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Chaliyam India  0.1