Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SHANSHAN-18
in Japan


Tropical Cyclone SHANSHAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries Japan
Exposed population 2.3 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability Low (Japan)


GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 148 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 176 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)


148 km/h Current

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Green 1 02 Aug 2018 18:00 148 1.5 million No people Japan

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
1 02 Aug 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 18.6, 150.7
1 03 Aug 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 19.3, 149.7
1 03 Aug 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 20.5, 148.3
1 04 Aug 2018 06:00 Category 1 120 2700 people no people 22, 146.9
1 04 Aug 2018 18:00 Category 1 139 2700 people no people 23.4, 145.7
1 05 Aug 2018 18:00 Category 1 148 11000 people no people 26.5, 144.9
1 06 Aug 2018 18:00 Category 1 139 1.4 million people no people 31.1, 145.8 Japan
1 07 Aug 2018 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 36.7, 147.6
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Exposed population

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.


Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.



0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 02 Aug 2018 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)