Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BUD-18
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BUD-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 213 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (15 Jun 23:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 56 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 213 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

56 km/h Current

No content available ..

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 09 Jun 2018 21:00 167 Few people No people Mexico
Green 2 10 Jun 2018 03:00 148 Few people No people
Green 3 10 Jun 2018 09:00 148 100 thousand No people Mexico
Green 4 10 Jun 2018 15:00 176 530 thousand No people Mexico
Green 5 10 Jun 2018 21:00 176 520 thousand No people Mexico
Green 6 11 Jun 2018 03:00 185 520 thousand No people Mexico
Green 7 11 Jun 2018 09:00 185 520 thousand No people Mexico
Green 8 11 Jun 2018 15:00 204 520 thousand No people Mexico
Green 9 11 Jun 2018 21:00 204 570 thousand No people Mexico
Green 10 12 Jun 2018 03:00 204 610 thousand No people Mexico
Green 11 12 Jun 2018 09:00 213 610 thousand Few people Mexico
Green 12 12 Jun 2018 15:00 204 1.7 million No people Mexico
Green 13 12 Jun 2018 21:00 185 520 thousand No people Mexico
Green 14 13 Jun 2018 03:00 148 520 thousand No people Mexico
Green 15 13 Jun 2018 09:00 120 1.8 million No people Mexico
Green 16 13 Jun 2018 15:00 102 2 million No people Mexico
Green 17 13 Jun 2018 21:00 83 1000 thousand No people Mexico
Green 18 14 Jun 2018 03:00 83 520 thousand No people Mexico
Green 19 14 Jun 2018 09:00 74 520 thousand No people Mexico
Green 20 14 Jun 2018 15:00 74 530 thousand No people Mexico
Green 21 14 Jun 2018 21:00 74 1 million No people Mexico
Green 22 15 Jun 2018 03:00 65 1.9 million No people Mexico
Green 23 15 Jun 2018 09:00 65 520 thousand No people Mexico
Green 24 15 Jun 2018 15:00 56 520 thousand No people Mexico
Green 25 15 Jun 2018 18:00 56 510 thousand No people Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 09 Jun 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.2, -101.4
GREEN
2 10 Jun 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.6, -101.7
GREEN
3 10 Jun 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 13.1, -102.3
GREEN
4 10 Jun 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 14.4, -103.2
GREEN
5 10 Jun 2018 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 15.1, -103.8
GREEN
6 11 Jun 2018 00:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 15.7, -104.6
GREEN
7 11 Jun 2018 06:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 16.2, -105.7
GREEN
8 11 Jun 2018 12:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 16.5, -106.6
GREEN
9 11 Jun 2018 18:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 16.8, -107.2
GREEN
10 12 Jun 2018 00:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 17.4, -107.3
GREEN
11 12 Jun 2018 06:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 17.8, -107.9
GREEN
12 12 Jun 2018 12:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 18.2, -108.3
GREEN
13 12 Jun 2018 18:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 18.3, -108.4
GREEN
14 13 Jun 2018 00:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 18.6, -108.5
GREEN
15 13 Jun 2018 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 18.9, -108.7
GREEN
16 13 Jun 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 19.2, -108.7
GREEN
17 13 Jun 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 19.6, -108.8
GREEN
18 14 Jun 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 20.2, -109
GREEN
19 14 Jun 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 74 230000 people no people 21.1, -109.3 Mexico
GREEN
20 14 Jun 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 74 510000 people no people 21.4, -109.5 Mexico
GREEN
21 14 Jun 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 74 520000 people no people 21.9, -109.7 Mexico
GREEN
22 15 Jun 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 74 520000 people no people 22.7, -109.7 Mexico
GREEN
23 15 Jun 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 65 270000 people no people 24, -109.8 Mexico
GREEN
24 15 Jun 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 24.9, -110 Mexico
GREEN
25 15 Jun 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 25.4, -110.2 Mexico
GREEN
25 16 Jun 2018 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 27.3, -110.1 Mexico
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Baja California Sur Mexico 340000 people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
La Paz Baja California Sur Mexico Major city 170000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
La Paz 26 0
Leon LAP 21 Civ. Paved Yes 8200
Punta Pescadero 7 0
Punta Colorada PCO unknown 0
Los Cabos International SJD 109 Civ. Paved Yes 9800
Cabo San Lucas 139 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
La Paz Mexico
Buenavista Mexico
San Hose Del Cabo Mexico
San Lucas Mexico

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Las Bocas, Mexico. This height is estimated for 15 Jun 2018 23:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (39 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 22 of 15 Jun 2018 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Jun 2018 23:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2018 00:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2018 01:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
15 Jun 2018 02:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.2
15 Jun 2018 19:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
15 Jun 2018 08:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
15 Jun 2018 03:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
15 Jun 2018 03:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
15 Jun 2018 01:00 El Tule Mexico  0.2
15 Jun 2018 06:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
15 Jun 2018 08:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
16 Jun 2018 02:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
15 Jun 2018 03:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 06:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 09:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 05:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 17:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 17:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 22:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 01:00 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 02:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 12:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 14:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 08:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 12:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 08:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
16 Jun 2018 02:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 03:00 Novillero Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 03:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 05:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 04:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 10:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 06:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 10:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 02:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 02:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 02:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 12:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2018 16:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1