Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CHRIS-24
in Mexico
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Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CHRIS-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (01 Jul 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)
Landfall between
01 Jul 2024 03:00 - 01 Jul 2024 09:00

in Mexico

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 56 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 65 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

56 km/h Current Max.

Up to 7 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 30 Jun 2024 21:00 65 7.2 million No people Mexico
Green 2 01 Jul 2024 03:00 65 7.1 million No people Mexico
Green 3 01 Jul 2024 09:00 65 5.8 million No people Mexico
Green 4 01 Jul 2024 15:00 56 7 million No people Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 30 Jun 2024 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 1.6 million people 19.7, -94.9
GREEN
2 01 Jul 2024 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 7.1 million people 20, -96.2
GREEN
3 01 Jul 2024 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 20.1, -97.2 Mexico
GREEN
4 01 Jul 2024 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 20.2, -97.8 Mexico
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Mexico 6.9 million people

Provinces

Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Puebla Mexico 1.7 million people
Veracruz Mexico 4.1 million people
Hidalgo Mexico 810000 people
Tlaxcala Mexico 400000 people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Xiocotepec de Juarez Puebla Mexico City -
Zacatlán Puebla Mexico City 30000 people
Chignahuapan Puebla Mexico City 16000 people
Poza Rica Veracruz Mexico City 170000 people
Papantla Veracruz Mexico City 47000 people
Teziutlán Puebla Mexico City 60000 people
Tlapacoyan Veracruz Mexico City 33000 people
Álamo Veracruz Mexico City 23000 people
Libres Puebla Mexico City 13000 people
Tepeyahualco Puebla Mexico City -
Apan Hidalgo Mexico City 26000 people
Perote Veracruz Mexico City 32000 people
Apizaco Tlaxcala Mexico City 46000 people
Tuxpan Veracruz Mexico City -
Huamantla Tlaxcala Mexico City 45000 people
Misantla Veracruz Mexico City 23000 people
Jalapa Veracruz Mexico Major city -
Coatepec Veracruz Mexico City 48000 people
Teocelo Veracruz Mexico City 9200 people
Huatuxco Veracruz Mexico City -
Veracruz Veracruz Mexico Major city 560000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Tajin PAZ 138 Civ. Paved Yes 5900
Tlaxcala 2500 0
Fausto Vega Santander 3 0
El Lencero JAL 875 Civ. Paved No 5500
Las Bajadas VER 29 Civ. Paved Yes 7800

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Tuxpan MXTUX Mexico
Vera Cruz MXVER Mexico

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Tenango Coacuila 1910
Necaxa Necaxa 1909
La Soledad Apulco 1962
San Jose Atlangatepec Zahuapan 1959

Nuclear power plants

Site Type Name Country
Site-Mexico-BWR Nuclear Power Plant Laguna Verde-1 Mexico
Site-Mexico-BWR Nuclear Power Plant Laguna Verde-2 Mexico

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Nautla, Mexico. This height is estimated for 01 Jul 2024 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (8 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 30 Jun 2024 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Jul 2024 06:00 Nautla Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2024 06:00 El Laurel Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2024 07:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2024 07:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2024 07:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2024 05:00 Vega de Alatorre Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2024 05:00 Emilio Carranza Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2024 08:00 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.1