Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ANA-21
in Bermuda

Global Telecommunication Service

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Original Message :

WTNT41 KNHC 240242
TCDAT1

Post-Tropical Cyclone Ana Discussion Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012021
1100 PM AST Sun May 23 2021

Ana has mainly remained devoid of deep and organized convection
today, with only a couple of short-lived bursts noted in satellite
imagery earlier this morning. The cyclone has been an exposed cloud
swirl through the afternoon and evening hours, and Ana continues
moving into a hostile environment characterized by cool sea-surface
temperatures, dry mid-level air, and increasing vertical wind shear.
Thus, Ana has become a post-tropical cyclone, and this will be the
final NHC advisory on the system.

Although a recent ASCAT-B pass missed the center of post-tropical
Ana, it still shows an area of 30-35 kt winds in the southeast
quadrant of the low near the edge of the swath. Therefore, the
initial intensity is set at 35 kt, with the slightly stronger winds
likely just a product of the accelerating forward speed of the
system. The post-tropical cyclone is embedded in deep-layer
southwesterly flow and will continue to accelerate northeastward
until it opens up into a trough and becomes absorbed by a strong
baroclinic zone approaching from the northwest on Monday.

Additional information on post-tropical Ana can be found in High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS
header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 24/0300Z 38.3N 55.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 24/1200Z 41.0N 50.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Brown

>

Original Message :

WTNT31 KNHC 240240
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Ana Advisory Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012021
1100 PM AST Sun May 23 2021

...ANA BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY ON ANA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.3N 55.2W
ABOUT 680 MI...1095 KM NE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 28 MPH...44 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Ana
was located near latitude 38.3 North, longitude 55.2 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 28 mph (44
km/h), and a northeastward motion with an increase in forward speed
is expected through Monday.

Satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds
are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in
strength is forecast overnight, and Ana is expected to dissipate on
Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Ana. Additional information on this system can be found in
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under
AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Brown

>

Original Message :

WTNT21 KNHC 240238
TCMAT1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012021
0300 UTC MON MAY 24 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 55.2W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 24 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 60SE 30SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 55.2W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.5N 56.7W

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 41.0N 50.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.3N 55.2W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON ANA. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER
AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER REINHART/BROWN

>

Original Message :

WTNT41 KNHC 232043
TCDAT1

Tropical Depression Ana Discussion Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012021
500 PM AST Sun May 23 2021

Other than brief puff of convection late this morning, tiny Ana has
been devoid of organized deep convection for several hours. ASCAT
overpass data from this morning indicated that the peak winds had
deceased to 35 kt. Due to the lack of convection since that time,
it is reasonable to assume that the vortex has spun down a bit, and
therefore the initial advisory intensity has been lowered to 30 kt.

Ana is over cool waters and surrounded by very dry air in the
mid-troposphere. The brief convection that did occur today was
quickly stripped away, indicating that the anticipated increase in
shear has begun. Satellite imagery suggests that the circulation of
Ana is approaching a strong subtropical upper-level jet just to its
east, which is expected to produce even stronger shear over the
cyclone. These conditions should prevent further convection, if any,
from surviving, and the cyclone is expected to degenerate into a
remnant low by tonight. What is left of Ana's low-level circulation
should open into a trough on Monday as it is absorbed by a large
baroclinic zone approaching from the northwest.

The depression continues to accelerate northeastward, and the
forward motion is now northeastward at 15 kt. An accelerating
northwestward motion is anticipated until dissipation as Ana
gets caught up in increasing deep-layer southwesterly flow.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/2100Z 37.5N 57.7W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 24/0600Z 39.4N 53.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Latto

>

Original Message :

WTNT31 KNHC 232042
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Ana Advisory Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012021
500 PM AST Sun May 23 2021

...ANA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION AND EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW
SOON...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.5N 57.7W
ABOUT 540 MI...865 KM NE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ana was
located near latitude 37.5 North, longitude 57.7 West. The
depression is moving toward the northeast near 17 mph (28 km/h) and
this heading with an increase in forward speed is expected through
Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Ana is forecast to become a remnant low by tonight and dissipate on
Monday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Latto

>

Original Message :

WTNT21 KNHC 232042
TCMAT1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012021
2100 UTC SUN MAY 23 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.5N 57.7W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.5N 57.7W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 58.9W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 39.4N 53.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.5N 57.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER LATTO

>

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 231559

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 23.05.2021

TROPICAL STORM ANA ANALYSED POSITION : 36.1N 60.3W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL012021

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 23.05.2021 36.1N 60.3W WEAK
00UTC 24.05.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 231559

>

Original Message :

WTNT41 KNHC 231442
TCDAT1

Tropical Storm Ana Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012021
1100 AM AST Sun May 23 2021

Ana is barely holding on as a tropical cyclone this morning, as the
core of the system has become devoid of organized deep convection. A
recent ASCAT overpass showed that wind field is slowly weakening,
with peak winds of 35 kt located just to the southeast of the
center. Based on this data, the initial advisory intensity has also
been decreased to 35 kt.

The cyclone is currently located over cool SSTs of about 20 degrees
C and surrounded by very dry air in the mid-troposphere. The
environmental conditions will only become more hostile through
tonight, as Ana gets caught between a digging mid- to upper-level
trough to its northwest and a strong subtropical upper-level jet to
its southeast. These features will impart increasing southwesterly
shear over the system by later today, and any convection that tries
to regenerate should be stripped away. Whatever is left of Ana's
low-level circulation should then open into a trough on Monday as it
becomes absorbed by a large approaching baroclinic zone
associated with the upper-trough.

The storm is now moving northeastward at 12 kt, and an accelerating
forward speed is anticipated until dissipation as Ana gets caught up
in increasing deep-layered southwesterly flow.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/1500Z 36.6N 59.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 24/0000Z 38.0N 56.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 24/1200Z 41.7N 50.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
36H 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Latto

>

Original Message :

WTNT31 KNHC 231441
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Ana Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012021
1100 AM AST Sun May 23 2021

...ANA BARELY HOLDING ON AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.6N 59.4W
ABOUT 425 MI...690 KM NE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ana was
located near latitude 36.6 North, longitude 59.4 West. Ana is moving
toward the northeast near 14 mph (22 km/h) and this heading with
an increase in forward speed is expected during the next day or so.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Ana is forecast to become post-tropical by tonight and dissipate on
Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Latto

>

Original Message :

WTNT21 KNHC 231441
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012021
1500 UTC SUN MAY 23 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 59.4W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 90SE 60SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.6N 59.4W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.1N 60.3W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 38.0N 56.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 41.7N 50.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.6N 59.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER LATTO

>

Original Message :

WTNT41 KNHC 230830
TCDAT1

Tropical Storm Ana Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012021
500 AM AST Sun May 23 2021

Satellite images indicate that Ana has contracted significantly
since yesterday and now has a compact area of moderate convection
around the center. Given the tight low-level circulation, small
radius of maximum wind, and compact central convection, Ana is
now estimated to have transitioned from a subtropical storm to a
tropical storm. The initial intensity remains 40 kt for this
advisory based on the earlier ASCAT data, which indicated that the
tropical-storm-force winds were confined to the south side of the
circulation.

Ana is not expected to be around much longer. The storm is headed
for an environment of lower SSTs, drier air, and increasing wind
shear. All of these factors should cause the compact cyclone to
lose strength and ultimately open into a trough in 24 to 36 hours.
In fact, some of the models suggest that the storm could dissipate
even sooner than that. The remnants of Ana will likely be absorbed
by a cold front on Monday.

The storm continues to increase its forward speed, and the initial
motion is now estimated to be 045/10 kt. A faster motion to the
northeast is expected until the cyclone dissipates.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/0900Z 35.7N 60.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 23/1800Z 36.7N 58.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 24/0600Z 39.4N 53.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

>

Original Message :

WTNT31 KNHC 230829
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Ana Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012021
500 AM AST Sun May 23 2021

...ANA TRANSITIONS TO A TROPICAL STORM...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.7N 60.5W
ABOUT 340 MI...545 KM NE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ana was
located near latitude 35.7 North, longitude 60.5 West. Ana is moving
toward the northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this heading with an
increase in forward speed is expected during the next day or so.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slight weakening is expected over the next 24 hours and Ana is
expected to dissipate by Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

>

Original Message :

WTNT21 KNHC 230829
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012021
0900 UTC SUN MAY 23 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 60.5W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 50SE 40SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 60.5W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 61.1W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 36.7N 58.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 50SE 40SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 39.4N 53.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.7N 60.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

>

Original Message :

WTNT41 KNHC 230251
TCDAT1

Subtropical Storm Ana Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012021
1100 PM AST Sat May 22 2021

Ana continues to produce a small, but concentrated area of moderate
convection near its center. The storm remains embedded in a
large-scale upper-level trough axis, and convection near the center
has not been deep or expansive enough to result in significant
upper-level anticyclonic outflow. This structure suggests that the
system remains subtropical. However, scatterometer imagery also
indicates that Ana's radius of maximum winds is very small. A recent
METOP-B ASCAT pass at 0054 UTC had a peak wind retrieval of 36 kt
just southeast of Ana's center. Due to the small size of Ana's wind
field and allowing for some undersampling of this instrument, the
initial intensity was bumped up to 40 kt for this advisory.

Ana has begun to accelerate to the northeast and its initial motion
is now 050/8 kt. A continued northeastward motion at an increasing
forward speed is expected as deep-layer southwesterly steering flow
increases between a deepening mid-latitude trough to the northwest
and a subtropical high to the southeast.

The upper-level trough axis that Ana remains centered in has kept
the tiny cyclone in a small region of light upper-level flow,
allowing convection to persist near the center. However, as Ana
accelerates northeastward, this trough axis will gradually decay and
upper-level northerly flow is expected to increase after 12 h. The
resulting increase in northeasterly shear will import dry
mid-latitude air and likely strip away the remaining convection
associated with Ana by tomorrow night. The latest intensity forecast
calls for slow weakening after 12 h with dissipation by 48 h, though
it is possible that Ana could dissipate earlier than currently
forecast.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/0300Z 35.0N 61.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 23/1200Z 35.8N 60.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 24/0000Z 37.5N 56.3W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 24/1200Z 41.1N 50.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Papin/Brown

>

Original Message :

WTNT31 KNHC 230249
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Ana Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012021
1100 PM AST Sat May 22 2021

...ANA A BIT STRONGER AND MOVING FASTER TO THE NORTHEAST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.0N 61.4W
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM NE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Ana was
located near latitude 35.0 North, longitude 61.4 West. The storm is
moving a bit faster toward the northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h). Ana
is expected to accelerate further to the northeast on Sunday.

Satellite wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds have
increased slightly to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is expected over the next 24 hours and Ana is
expected to dissipate by Monday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Brown

>

Original Message :

WTNT21 KNHC 230247
TCMAT1

SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012021
0300 UTC SUN MAY 23 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N 61.4W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 60SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.0N 61.4W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 61.8W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 35.8N 60.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 40SE 40SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 37.5N 56.3W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 41.1N 50.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.0N 61.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN/BROWN

>

Original Message :

WTNT41 KNHC 222039
TCDAT1

Subtropical Storm Ana Discussion Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012021
500 PM AST Sat May 22 2021

While Ana continues to produce convection near the center, the
amount of convection has decreased during the past several hours.
In addition, earlier scatterometer data and recent satellite
intensity estimates from TAFB suggest the cyclone has weakened.
The initial intensity is reduced to 35 kt.

A combination of increasing shear, dry air, and decreasing SSTs
should cause Ana to gradually weaken, and most of the global models
now show the system decaying to a trough in about 36 h. The new
intensity forecast calls for a slow weakening with dissipation
just after that time, and it is possible that Ana could dissipate
earlier than currently forecast.

Ana made a small counter-clockwise loop during the past few hours,
and the initial motion is now 050/4. A continued northeastward
motion at an increasing forward speed, due to the southwesterly
flow associated with a developing mid-latitude cyclone to the north
and northwest, is expected until the cyclone dissipates.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 22/2100Z 34.5N 62.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 23/0600Z 34.9N 61.6W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 23/1800Z 36.2N 59.0W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 24/0600Z 38.3N 54.3W 30 KT 35 MPH
48H 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven

>

Original Message :

WTNT31 KNHC 222037
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Ana Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012021
500 PM AST Sat May 22 2021

...ANA NOW STARTING TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.5N 62.4W
ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM NE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Ana was
located near latitude 34.5 North, longitude 62.4 West. The storm is
moving toward the northeast near 5 mph (7 km/h). A faster motion
toward the northeast is expected tonight through Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are now near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual weakening is expected Sunday and Sunday night, and
Ana is expected to dissipate by Monday.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

>

Original Message :

WTNT21 KNHC 222035
TCMAT1

SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012021
2100 UTC SAT MAY 22 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OF WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 62.4W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 60SE 240SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 62.4W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 62.6W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 34.9N 61.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 36.2N 59.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 50SE 50SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 38.3N 54.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.5N 62.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

>

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 221558

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 22.05.2021

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 91L ANALYSED POSITION : 29.1N 97.5W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL912021

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 22.05.2021 0 29.1N 97.5W 1013 24
0000UTC 23.05.2021 12 CEASED TRACKING

TROPICAL STORM ANA ANALYSED POSITION : 34.4N 62.6W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL012021

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 22.05.2021 0 34.4N 62.6W 1007 30
0000UTC 23.05.2021 12 34.4N 62.3W 1009 27
1200UTC 23.05.2021 24 35.6N 60.2W 1009 30
0000UTC 24.05.2021 36 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 9.0N 91.4W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 28.05.2021 144 9.1N 91.9W 1008 25


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 221558

>

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 221558

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 22.05.2021

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 91L ANALYSED POSITION : 29.1N 97.5W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL912021

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 22.05.2021 29.1N 97.5W WEAK
00UTC 23.05.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

TROPICAL STORM ANA ANALYSED POSITION : 34.4N 62.6W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL012021

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 22.05.2021 34.4N 62.6W WEAK
00UTC 23.05.2021 34.4N 62.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 23.05.2021 35.6N 60.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 24.05.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 9.0N 91.4W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 28.05.2021 9.1N 91.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 221558

>

Original Message :

WTNT41 KNHC 221438
TCDAT1

Subtropical Storm Ana Discussion Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012021
1100 AM AST Sat May 22 2021

Satellite imagery and radar data from Bermuda indicate that the
central convection associated with Ana has changed little in
organization during the past several hours, with a complex of small
bands near the center at this time. The initial intensity will be
held at 40 kt based on the latest intensity estimate from TAFB,
although recently-received ASCAT data suggests this could be a
little generous. Although the cyclone has some characteristics of
a tropical cyclone, Ana remains a subtropical storm based on its
position near the center of a large upper-level low pressure system
and the current lack of anticyclonic upper-level outflow.

The initial motion is 270/3. Ana and the large low it is embedded
in are expected to turn northward later today as a developing
mid-latitude cyclone over eastern Canada and the New England
states erodes the subtropical ridge west of Ana. After that, the
storm is expected to turn northeastward on the southeast side of
the mid-latitude cyclone. The track guidance is in good agreement
with this scenario, and the new track forecast is similar to, but a
little slower than, the various consensus models.

Little change in strength is expected for the next 12 h or so.
After Ana recurves, a combination of increasing shear, dry air, and
decreasing SSTs should cause the storm to gradually weaken tonight
and Sunday. The large-scale models agree upon Ana opening up into
a trough of low pressure in 36-48 h, and the official forecast
shows this happening just after 48 h. The remnant trough will
likely be absorbed by a cold front associated with the mid-latitude
cyclone shortly thereafter.

The Bermuda Weather Service has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Watch for Bermuda.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 22/1500Z 34.3N 63.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 23/0000Z 34.8N 62.8W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 23/1200Z 35.8N 61.2W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 24/0000Z 37.2N 57.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 24/1200Z 39.7N 52.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
60H 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven

>

Original Message :

WTNT31 KNHC 221438
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Ana Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012021
1100 AM AST Sat May 22 2021

...ANA NOW MOVING WESTWARD WHILE NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.3N 63.0W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM NE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Bermuda Weather Service has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Watch for Bermuda.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches of warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Ana was
located near latitude 34.3 North, longitude 63.0 West. The storm is
moving toward the west near 3 mph (6 km/h). A turn toward the
north at a slow forward speed is expected later today, followed by
a faster motion toward the northeast Sunday and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast today, but gradual
weakening is expected tonight and Sunday. Ana is expected to
dissipate in a couple of days.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) mainly to
the north of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Locally gusty winds are possible on Bermuda today.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

>

Original Message :

WTNT21 KNHC 221437
TCMAT1

SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012021
1500 UTC SAT MAY 22 2021

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OF WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 63.0W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 50SE 50SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 60SE 240SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 63.0W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 62.8W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 34.8N 62.8W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 35.8N 61.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 37.2N 57.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 39.7N 52.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.3N 63.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

>

Original Message :

WTNT31 KNHC 221136
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Ana Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012021
800 AM AST Sat May 22 2021

...ANA MOVING SLOWLY WHILE CENTERED NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.2N 62.5W
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM NE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Ana was
located near latitude 34.2 North, longitude 62.5 West. The storm is
moving toward the west-southwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). A continued
slow and erratic motion is expected through tonight, followed by a
faster northeastward motion on Sunday and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast today, but gradual
weakening is expected tonight and Sunday. Ana is expected to
dissipate in a couple of days.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) north of
the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible on Bermuda today.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

>

Original Message :

WTNT41 KNHC 220832
TCDAT1

Subtropical Storm Ana Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012021
500 AM AST Sat May 22 2021

Satellite images indicate that the low pressure system that is
located a couple of hundred miles northeast of Bermuda has become
better organized overnight. The low now has a well-defined center
of circulation, some central deep convection, and thunderstorms that
are organized in curved bands to the north and northeast of the
center. The system is considered a subtropical cyclone rather than
a tropical cyclone since it is still entangled with an upper-level
low as evident in water vapor satellite images, but it does have
some tropical characteristics as well. The initial intensity is
estimated to be 40 kt, which makes the system Subtropical Storm Ana.

Ana is moving slowly to the west-southwest with the initial motion
estimated to be 240/3 kt. An even slower motion is expected later
this morning, and Ana is forecast to meander through tonight while
it remains embedded within the upper-level low in weak steering
currents. However, a mid- to upper-level trough moving off of
Atlantic Canada should cause Ana to turn northeastward thereafter
and accelerate in that direction on Sunday and Monday. The NHC
track forecast lies close to the HCCA and TVCA consensus models.

Ana will likely change little in strength in the short term, but a
combination of increasing shear, dry air, and decreasing SSTs should
cause the storm to gradually weaken tonight and Sunday. Nearly all
of the models show Ana opening up into a trough of low pressure in
about 48 to 60 hours, and so does the NHC forecast. The remnant
trough will likely be absorbed by a front shortly thereafter.

The Bermuda Weather Service has a Tropical Storm Watch in effect
for the island of Bermuda.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 22/0900Z 34.2N 62.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 22/1800Z 34.3N 62.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 23/0600Z 35.1N 61.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 23/1800Z 36.2N 59.6W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 24/0600Z 37.9N 55.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
60H 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

>

Original Message :

WTNT31 KNHC 220831
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Ana Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012021
500 AM AST Sat May 22 2021

...SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA FORMS JUST NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.2N 62.2W
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM NE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 240 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Ana was
located near latitude 34.2 North, longitude 62.2 West. The storm is
moving toward the west-southwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). A continued
slow and erratic motion is expected through tonight, followed by a
faster northeastward motion on Sunday and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast today, but gradual weakening
is expected tonight and Sunday. Ana is expected to dissipate in a
couple of days.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) north of the
center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible on Bermuda today.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

>

Original Message :

WTNT21 KNHC 220831
TCMAT1

SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012021
0900 UTC SAT MAY 22 2021

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 62.2W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 240 DEGREES AT 3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 0SE 0SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 60SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 62.2W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 62.1W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 34.3N 62.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 35.1N 61.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 36.2N 59.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 37.9N 55.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.2N 62.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 22/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

>